Mark smolinski big data and public health
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Ending Pandemics: Big Ideas, Big Data and You!
Mark Smolinski, MD, MPHSkoll Global Threats Fund
Big Data and Public HealthOctober 24, 2013
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
TIME
CASES
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
TIME
CASES
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
TIME
CASES
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
TIME
CASES
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
Participatory epidemiology and future innovations
TIME
CASES
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Epidemic curve
Routine disease reporting
Astute clinician reports
Sentinel networks
Digital disease detection
Participatory epidemiologyand future innovations
TIME
CASES
Even earlier: disease surveillance in animals
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Early detection is working
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS167 Days
23 Days
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
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Early detection is working
19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
GOARN
GPHIN & ProMed
New International Health Regulations
Approved
New International Health Regulations
Implemented
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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Flu Trends
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19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Early detection is working
New ideas, policies and technologies
Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics
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19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009
150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS
20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023
New ideas, policies and technology
New ideas, policies and technologies
Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics
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A Better and Faster Signal?
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A Better and Faster Signal?
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25
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AND PERSONNAL PROGRESS
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VACCINE INFORMATION
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The first year of participatory surveillance
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Hotspots for pandemic threats
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Expanded Symptoms
Expanded Geographies
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Taking Participatory Surveillance to where it is most needed now.
pushing the boundaries of surveillanceEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime
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Training the next generation of field epidemilogists…
faster detection across the globeEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime