Mark Noll & Blake Atherton Oil and Aid. Overview (1) Research questions (2) Hypotheses (3)...
-
Upload
anna-richardson -
Category
Documents
-
view
212 -
download
0
Transcript of Mark Noll & Blake Atherton Oil and Aid. Overview (1) Research questions (2) Hypotheses (3)...
Mark Noll & Blake Atherton
Oil and Aid
Overview
(1) Research questions
(2) Hypotheses
(3) Methodology
(4) Results
(5) Conclusion (we don’t have one yet!)
Research Questions
a. Do oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations?
b. Which donors, if any, tend to give out the most aid to these oil-wealthy nations and why?
Hypotheses
a. Oil-exporting nations receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations
b. Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to exporting nations than oil-secure donors do
Independent Variable: oil exportsDependent Variable: foreign aid received
Timeframe: 1986-2008
Oil-secure: Canada, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom, United StatesOil-vulnerable: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, Netherlands, Spain
Methodology
Preliminary Results
a. Oil-exporting nations do receive more foreign aid than non-exporting nations
b. Oil-vulnerable donors give more aid to oil exporters than do oil-secure donors
Foreign Aid and Oil Exports
Controlling for Other Factors
Vulnerable vs. Secure Vulnerable:● Regression coefficient of .1534791● T value of 4.86
Secure: ● Regression coefficient of .07191● T value of 2.63
Caveats and Next Steps● Hone statistical methods
● Binary categories
● Still some selection bias
Questions
Questions?
Feedback?