Marc Chaikin How to Find Winning Stocks and Avoid Losses Webinar

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How to Find Winning Stocks and Avoid Losses by Combining Technicals with the Chaikin Power Gauge Marc Chaikin, CEO Chaikin Analytics TraderMinute © 2013 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. January 26, 2015

Transcript of Marc Chaikin How to Find Winning Stocks and Avoid Losses Webinar

How to Find Winning Stocks and Avoid Losses by

Combining Technicals with the Chaikin Power Gauge

Marc Chaikin, CEO Chaikin Analytics

TraderMinute

© 2013 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.

January 26, 2015

Chaikin Analytics Disclaimer

Chaikin Analytics LLC is not registered as a broker-dealer or

investment advisor either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange

Commission or with any state securities regulatory authority.

Chaikin Analytics does not recommend the purchase of any stock or

advise on the suitability of any trade or investment. The information

presented in this webinar is generic in nature and is not to be

construed as an endorsement, recommendation, investment advice or

any offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities of any kind, but solely

as information requiring further research as to suitability, accuracy and

appropriateness.

Users bear sole responsibility for their own investment research and

decisions.

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© 2013 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.

What Chaikin Analytics Adds to TraderMinute

•Know the Fundamentals without being a Research Analyst

•Know the Technicals without being a Market Technician

• Profit from a proven quantitative model without doing the math

•Pinpoint profitable entries with Chaikin Buy/Sell signals

Increases Your Conviction and Makes You the “Smart Money”

Time – Your Most Precious Commodity

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© 2013 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.

The Solution: A Disciplined Methodology

The Chaikin Method

Chaikin Buy/Sell Signals

Chaikin Technical IndicatorsVolatility Bands, Money Flow, Overbought/Oversold, Relative Strength

Chaikin Power GaugeETF Strength

Chaikin Power Gauge - Reliable

Simple but Powerful

Chaikin Power Gauge RatingClear summary of a stock’s potential - with a record of success

© 2014 Chaikin Analytics All Rights Reserved. Proprietary and Confidential.

Technicals

• Price Trend • Price Trend Rate of Change• Chaikin Money Flow • Relative Strength vs. Market• Volume Trend

Experts

• Earnings Estimate Trend • Short Interest • Insider Activity • Analyst Ratings• Industry Relative Strength

Financials

• LT Debt to Equity Ratio• Price to Book Value• Return on Equity• Price to Sales Ratio• Free Cash Flow

Earnings

• Earnings Growth• Earnings Surprise• Earnings Trend• Projected P/E Ratio• Earnings Consistency

• Power Gauge Rating Bullish

• Relative Performance Strong

• Chaikin Money Flow Strong

• Buy Signal in Chaikin Analytics

What to Buy: Classic Bull

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

CMF stays positive

• Power Gauge Rating Bearish

• Relative Performance Weak

• Chaikin Money Flow Weak

• Sell Signal in Chaikin Analytics

What to Sell: Classic Bear

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

• Relative Strength compares a stock to market over past 26 weeks

• Displayed as a Red/Green indicator

• Measures Persistency of stock’s performance relative to S&P 500

• Stands alone as a bullish or bearish indicator

• Institutional investors are measured against a benchmark

• Superior returns come from stocks that outperform the market

The Dynamic DuoChaikin Power Gauge Rating and Chaikin Relative Strength

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

The Key to Making Money in all MarketsSpotting Personality Changes

• When Relative Strength changes color = personality change

• Powerful when it confirms the Power Gauge rating

• Because the Market is agreeing with the Model

• Chaikin Money Flow can confirm change of personality

Apple: Ripe, Rotten or Reversal - 2013?

Bearish Personality Change

CMF stays negative

Bearish Personality ChangeBearish Personality Change

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

Play Offense Well: What to Buy

Price Acceleration

Market agrees with the Model

Price Acceleration

Market agrees with the Model

Price Acceleration

CMF stays positive

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

Price Acceleration

Market agrees with the Model

Play Good DefenseTurn Lemons into Lemonade

Market agrees with the Model

CMF stays negative

Market agrees with the Model

Bearish Personality Change Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

Chaikin Buy/Sell Signals

Buy Signals Sell Signals

Oversold Buy Momentum Breakout Reversal Buy Money Flow Buy Relative Strength Buy Rel. Strength Breakout Buy

Overbought Sell Momentum Breakdown Reversal Sell Money Flow Sell Relative Strength Sell Rel. Strength Breakdown Sell

CMF stays negativeCMF stays negative

Sector / Industry Group Strength = Tailwind

• Strong Groups Put Wind at Your Back = Long Profits

• Weak Groups and Sectors = Short Opportunities

Sector ETFs Sorted by Power Gauge

XLV – Health Care Outperforming

Negative Personality Change

Price Acceleration after Bullish Earnings Surprise

Market agrees with the Model

Sector ETFs Sorted by Power Gauge

XLE – Energy Underperforming

Negative Personality Change

Market agrees with the Model

Winning Earnings Plays – Long and Short

Market agrees with the Model

Market agrees with the Model

Market agrees with the ModelMarket agrees with the Model

Price Acceleration after Bullish Earnings SurprisePrice Acceleration after Bullish Earnings SurprisePrice Acceleration after Bullish Earnings Surprise

Testimonial

“I am thrilled that I got the heads up to go long SWKS before earnings the first week I subscribed

to the service. That trade paid for my entire yearly subscription. Thanks and I want to

compliment you on your user friendly App.”

‒ PH, July 21, 2014 Chaikin Analytics Subscriber

Testimonial

Quick $21,500 Profit

“Just added Chaikin Analytics to my arsenal.

Using the Upcoming Earnings Ideas in CA, Netflix had a Very Bearish rating and was recommended by Chaikin…

Bought three put contracts before earnings on 10/15 for $22.20 and sold the day after earnings for $93.90. A quick $21,500 profit.”

‒ John V, Chaikin Analytics Subscriber

Stocks Reporting EPS This Week

• 1/26 (P.M.) Microsoft (MSFT)

• 1/27 (A.M.) Caterpillar (CAT) (P.M.) Amgen (AMGN), Apple (AAPL)

• 1/28 (A.M.) Biogen (BIIB) (P.M.) Facebook (FB), Lam Research (LRCX)

• 1/29 (A.M.) Alibaba (BABA), (P.M.) Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOG)

• 1/30 (A.M.) Chevron (CVX), Mastercard (MA)

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What Was TraderMinute Trading

Three Stocks Where Chaikin Confirmed

TraderMinute and Gave you Conviction

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Chaikin Market Insights January 25, 2014

Bullish Stock of the Week – Lam Research Corp (LRCX) – 80.42

Buy LRCX ahead of Wednesday’s earnings report.

Testimonial

Amazing results: Five for Five!

“LULU, AA, SWKS, NOW, DWRE. I just closed out DWRE for 14% profit this morning. I have only been a member for a couple of months and have already paid for your annual membership fees several times over on just these five stocks. Thank you for your solid advice.”

RM, 8/19/14 Chaikin Analytics Subscriber

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