Efficient Decentralized Collaborative Mapping for Outdoor ...
MAPPING THE POTENTIAL FOR DECENTRALIZED ENERGY GENERATION ... · mapping the potential for...
Transcript of MAPPING THE POTENTIAL FOR DECENTRALIZED ENERGY GENERATION ... · mapping the potential for...
MAPPING THE POTENTIAL FOR DECENTRALIZED ENERGYGENERATION BASED ON RES IN WESTERN BALKANS
by
Daniel R. SCHNEIDER, Neven DUI], Igor RAGUZIN, Željko BOGDAN,Marko BAN, Borislav GRUBOR, Predrag STEFANOVI],
Dragoljub DAKI], Branislav REPI], Žarko STEVANOVI], Ana ŽBOGAR,Maja STUDOVI], Stevan NEMODA, Nikola OKA, Dejan DJUROVI],
Nikola KADI], Vukman BAKI], Srdjan BELOŠEVI], Aleksandar ERI],Rastko MLADENOVI], Milijana PAPRIKA, Nijaz DELALI], Alija LEKI],
Rasim BAJRAMOVI], Armin TESKEREDŽI], Izet SMAJEVI],Ejub DŽAFEROVI], Fajik BEGI], Haris LULI], Sadjit METOVI],
Semin PETROVI], Adnan DJUGUM, Džana KADRI], Nihad HODŽI],Fahrudin KULI], Anes KAZAGI], and Admir GAFI]
Original scientific paperUDC: 621.316:620.97
BIBLID: 0354-9836, 11 (2007), 3, 7-26
Al though the coun tries of the West ern Bal kans are mostly elec tri fied, thereare still re gions which do not have ac cess to the elec tric ity net work or where the net work ca pac ity is in suf fi cient. For the most part such ar eas are un derspe cial care of the state (i. e. un der de vel oped, dev as tated by war, de pop u -lated), on is lands or in moun tain ous re gions. Since the de cen tral ized en ergy gen er a tion cov ers a broad range of tech nol o gies, in clud ing many re new -able en ergy tech nol o gies that pro vide small-scale power at sites close to the us ers, such con cept could be of in ter est for these lo ca tions. This pa per iden -ti fies the ar eas in West ern Bal kans where such sys tems could be ap plied.Con sid er ation is given to geo graph ical lo ca tions as well as pos si ble ap pli -ca tions. Wind, hy dro, so lar pho to vol taic, and bio mass con ver sion sys temswere taken into con sid er ation. Since the re new able en ergy sources data forWest ern Bal kans re gion are rather scarce, the in ten tion was to give a sur vey of the pres ent sit u a tion and an es ti mate of fu ture po ten tial for de cen tral izeden ergy gen er a tion based on re new able en ergy sources. The de cen tral izeden ergy gen er a tion based on re new able en ergy sources in West ern Bal kanswill find its niche eas ier for the us ers that will pro duce elec tric ity for theirown needs and for the us ers lo cated in re mote ru ral ar eas (off-grid ap pli ca -tions).
Key words: de cen tral ized power pro duc tion, dis trib uted en ergy gen er a -tion, re new able en ergy sources, wind, bio mass, solar, hydro
Introduction
The West ern Bal kans re gion – here in clud ing Al ba nia, Bosnia and Herzegovina(B&H), Croatia, Kosovo/UN in terim ad min is tra tion mis sion in Kosovo (UNMIK), Mac -e do nia, Montenegro, and Ser bia – is re cov er ing from over a de cade of con flict and in sta -
DOI:10.2298/TSCI0703007S 7
bil ity, which are re sult of the dis so lu tion of the for mer Yu go sla via. As the re gion sta bi -lizes, the Bal kans will play an im por tant role not only as a tran sit cen tre for gas andelec tric ity as well as for the oil ex ports from the Rus sian and Cas pian sea re gion, but mayalso be come a part of a new de cen tral ised en ergy gen er a tion (DEG) sys tem of the widerEU.
Rec og niz ing po ten tial ben e fits, and as part of a wider move ment to deeper re -gional in te gra tion, the gov ern ments of Al ba nia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bul garia,Croatia, Kosovo/UNMIK, Mac e do nia, Montenegro, Ro ma nia, and Ser bia signed theAth ens Mem o ran dum (2002, re vised in 2003, en tered into force on July 1st, 2006), inwhich it was agreed to es tab lish a South East Eu rope Re gional Elec tric ity Mar ket(SEE-REM) now known as the En ergy Com mu nity of SEE. Based on that agree ment aswell as an adop tion of the EU Di rec tives 2003/54/EC and 2003/55/EC on the in ter nalmar ket in elec tric ity and nat u ral gas, the grad ual liberalisation of en ergy mar kets sim i larto the EU liberalisation is fore seen. Ta ble 1 shows the cur rent state of mar ket open ing inWest ern Bal kans (WB) [1, 2].
Table 1. Market opening in WB countries
Coun tryMar ketopen ing
El i gi bil ity thresh oldUnbundling
TSO1 DSO2
Albania 8% 40 GWh/year Le gal None
Bosnia andHerzegovina
33%10 GWh/year(1 GWh/year from January 2008)
Le gal None
Croatia 25%9 GWh/year(for non-residential consumers from July2007)
Le gal Le gal
Kosovo/UNMIK 0%Eligible consumers (four) connected at 110kV and over
Man.3 None
Macedonia 28%20 GWh/year and connected to high voltage(threshold shall be reduced in 2007)
Le gal None
Montenegro 17%
Direct customers (110 kV) as well asEPCG4 (for tariff customers) meet aboutone third of their electricity demandthrough imports
Man. None
Serbia 16%25 GWh/year at all metering points of onecustomer
Le gal None
1 – transmission system operator; 2 – distribution system operator; 3 – management; 4 – Electric power generationcompany of Montenegro
Al though all WB coun tries have the pri mary en ergy leg is la tion (here cov er ingelec tric ity and the es tab lish ment of the ap pli ca ble reg u la tory au thor ity), some of the sec -
8
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
ond ary leg is la tion is still miss ing (tab. 2) [3, 4]. The Ar ti cle 20 of the Treaty es tab lish ingthe En ergy Com mu nity says that each con tract ing Party shall pro vide to the Eu ro peanCom mis sion within one year of the date of en try into force of the Treaty: (1) a plan to im -ple ment Di rec tive 2001/77/EC on the pro mo tion of elec tric ity pro duced from re new ableen ergy sources (RES) in the in ter nal elec tric ity mar ket and (2) a plan to im ple ment Di rec -tive 2003/30/EC on the pro mo tion of the use of biofuels or other re new able fu els fortrans port. In an other ar ti cle (Ar ti cle 35) of the Treaty is writ ten that the En ergy Com mu -nity may adopt mea sures to fos ter de vel op ment in the ar eas of re new able en ergy sourcesand en ergy ef fi ciency, tak ing ac count of their ad van tages for se cu rity of sup ply, en vi ron -ment pro tec tion, so cial co he sion, and re gional de vel op ment. Ta bles 3 and 4 give the cur -rent sta tus of trans po si tion and im ple men ta tion of Di rec tive 2001/77/EC [3-5].
Map of DEG potential in Western Balkans
As a re sult of re stor ing or der and sta bil ity in the re gion of WB, busi ness and in -dus trial ac tiv i ties have been in ten si fied re sult ing in greater elec tric ity con sump tion. Insome coun tries there is not enough ca pac ity to meet those greater needs (e. g. sev eralyears of power re duc tions in Al ba nia [6]) while the other coun tries’ power gen er a tion ca -pac i ties are stretched to the lim its (e. g. Croatia or Mac e do nia [7]).
Al though the coun tries of the WB are greatly elec tri fied, there are still re gionswhich do not have ac cess to the elec tric ity net work or where the net work ca pac ity is in -
9
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
Table 2. Legislation
Coun tryPri mary
leg is la tionSec ond ary leg is la tion
Draft
leg is la tion
Reg u la tory
au thor ity
Albania Yes Yes Yes Yes
Bosnia andHerzegovina(B&H)
Yes
3 electricity laws;
1 in B&H and 1for each entity
No Yes Yes
Croatia Yes Yes Yes Yes
Kosovo/UNMIK Yes No Yes Yes
Macedonia Yes Yes No Yes
Montenegro Yes No Yes Yes
Serbia Yes Yes
Pending; variouspieces of secondarylegislation, pursuant to the new energylaw
Yes
11
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
/77/1002 ,sisab evitalsigel – ygre
ne elba
wene
R .4 elba
TC
Escitsiretc
ara
hc cificeps
dn
a n
alp
noit
atne
melp
mi
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
ht C
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
aina
blA
no
n
oi ta ls igel
sah
ai na
blA
sah
tu
b ,yc
nei ci ffe y
gr ene
er eht
ot deta ler e
no e
ht to
n-
;secru
os elb a
wen
i ffE
ygr e
nE
n
o
waL
eh
T- ni
decro f
ne nee
b sah yc
neic ecrei
P yb
detfard(
50
02 lir
pA
ua y
gr ene
gn itaert )
do
owt
A-
ygr e
ne ,
gn iti
dg
ni lle bal
, ycnei ci ffe
ygr e
ne raey-
owt
i ffe y
gr ene
d
na
gni
nnal
p- el
b ar ep
o t
on(
d
nuf
ycneic
;)tey
ceS re
wo
P n
o wa
L eh
T- i
vor
p wef yre
v a sah r
ot- er
u tuf
ot
deta ler
sn
ois.
SE
R f
o t
ne m
p ole
ved
taht setats
meht f
o en
O
noc
wen
gn i
dliu
b ne
hw
- rew
op la
mreht la
noi t
nev
ot yra ss ecen si ti ,st
nalp
;S
ER f
o %
2 esu
ceS re
wo
P n
o wa
L eh
T- r
of s
noi si
vor
p se
vig
rot
hci
hw st
nalp re
wo
p llams
dna sel
ur dei fil
pmis
deen
tcep ser
hti
w ser
u de c
orp
eht
ni tne
mtaert rieht
ot c
od re
hto
dna e
do
C dir
G-
;stne
mu
,S
ER e
ht n
o sn
oi tces lar eves s
nia tn
oc 4
00
2 m
orf yg etart
S ygr e
nE la
noi ta
N eh
Tn
o hc
um t
on( y
gr ene ra l
os d
na ,d
niw ,st
nalp re
wo
p or
dyh lla
ms eht
no ylts
om
a si ereh
T .)ssa m
oib
WfK
rof yc
neg
A lan
oi taN e
ht h
gu
orht
mar g
orp
deto
mor
p li
m 5.
3( S
ER e
ht fo t
ne m
p ole
ved re
h truf r
of sn
oi llim
9 fo le
vel eht ta y
gr en
E- t
ne mel
pmi r
of ecna tsi ssa la ci
nhcet
dna ,)s
noi lli
m 5.
3( ycnei ci ffe y
gr ene ,)
noil
- ;)s
noilli
m 2( seic
nega
gni
ycneiciff
E ygre
nE
UE
– aina
blA e
hT
ertne
C4(
39
91
ni de
hsilbatse
neeb sa
h s
noita
gilb
o g
nikat f
o ecne
uqes
noc a sa )ffats tr
op
pus
2 ,tsim
on
oce 1 ,stre
pxe
eh
T .ytaerT retra
hC y
gren
E eht
morf
ertne
Cy
do
b dec
nanif-fles a e
moce
b sah
,seid
uts ytilibisaef
dna ytili
bisaef-erp ,
gniti
dua y
grene
htiw
gnilae
d 1
00
2 retfas
marg
orp t
nem
pole
ved
dna
hcraeser fo yteira
v a ni seta
picitrap
osla tI .g
niniart
,V
P ,ral
os ,
dni
w( secr
uos
elba
wener
fo
sdleif
eht
ni
U
E e
ht y
b
decna
nif e
hT .)ssa
moi
bert
neC
latne
mnre
vo
g eht
ot smar
gor
p eseht etalerr
oc ot s
dnet
ni lar
ur d
na tnatsi
d ni
gni
vil srem
usn
oc elbare
nlu
v eht s
draw
ot detceri
d smar
gor
p ;saera
dna ai
nso
B a
niv
ogezre
Hr
o tces eht ta
ht detce
pxe si tI
eb lli
w secru
os elb a
we ner f
of
o tes eht
hg
uor
ht de
gna rra
;swal-y
b
ytaerT
re trah
C y
gr en
E e
hT
dr
o cca d
na de
ngis
neeb sa
h- de tti
mm
oc sah etats e
ht ylg
niet air
por
ppa
pole
ved
ot fle sti ;y
g etarts ycnei ci ffe y
gr ene
n
oi tcurt s
noc r
of stseu
qeR
stnal
p re
wo
p
or dy
h f
o,sre
bm
un
egral
ni
em
oct
na v eler
on si ere
ht tu
b ca
rieht
rof
kr
o we
marf-
laut
noi ta silaer
;
noi tce
nn
oc kr
o wte
n S
ER
eh
T .tey de
vlo ser t
on si
pu e
moc
ot stce p
xe O
SI
u los
kro
wemarf e
ht hti
w- tsrif
eht
n
o
desab
n
oittI .rae
ppa
dlu
ow ta
ht esac ri ffa
na yl p
pa ot s
dne t
ni- s
dra w
ot e
du ti tta
evi ta
m ;sr
otsev
ni
o
n era ereh
Tdes ilai ce
ps
we ner r
of ro
n ycnei ci ffe y
gr ene r
of reh tie
n sei cne
ga -
;secru
os elba
ni sa
g fo es
u ot e
uD
noitare
neg
oc se i
duts lar e
ves d
na w
ol rehtar si yc
nei ci ffe eht ,
;aera siht
ni eda
m eb
nac sse rg
orp f
o tol a ta
ht raf os
nw
ohs e
vah
eb
ot der e
di sn
oc si stnal
p rew
op
or dy
h llams
ni det ar e
neg yt icir tcele r
of ecirP
A .sei t ivi tca
noi tc
urt sn
oc tnal
p reh tr
uf m
orf sro tse
vni st
ne ver
p ti d
na ,w
ol yrev
ot
n
oi ssi m
moc
yro ta l
uger
eht
ot
de tti
mb
us si
tseu
qeresy la
naecir
p si
ht
;ylh
gu
oro
ht a
b co
h da
na n
o ero
m tu
b ,sei t ivi tca tce j
orp
gn i
o g
no lar e
ves era ereht ,re
v ew
oH
- dna
ts ixe
to
n se
od
hca
or p
pa cit a
me tsyS
.yaw
cida r
ops
a
ni
dna
sisn
oitasilan
oitutits
niyra t
n ul
ov a
no t
ne m
p ole
ved
dio
va ot
dedee
n si dleif si
ht ni ;si sa
b esac-yb-esac
12
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
)noita
unit
noC( 4 el
baT
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
ht C
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
airagl
uB
morf
n
oi tcu
dor
p yt icir tcel
E
uge
R d
na tcA y
gr en
E :S
ER
- rO f
o n
oi ta c ifi treC r
of n
oi tal-
;ni
gi
sleuf
oiB
wal A :tr
o ps
nart rof
txe t
noc e
ht ni
detfard
gn ie
b re
voc lli
w S
ER f
osle
ufoi
b ;tr
o ps
nart rof
snart
si e
vi tce riD
eh
T-
;des
op
ni la
noi ta
N a ev
or p
pa lliw sre ts i
niM f
o li cn
uo
C eht ta
ht setats tcA y
gr en
E eh
T- la
noi ta
N A .
doi re
p raey 0
1 a rof
SE
R m
orf dec
u d
orp yt icir tcele f
o te grat e
vi t acid
n
oc la nre t
ni ssor
g eht
ni S
ER
morf yt icir tcele f
o erahs
%1
1 fo te
grat evi t aci
dni
- se ccA
na ira gl
uB e
ht ot s
noi ta t
p ada la ci
nhce
T eht
ni de
ni fed si
01
02 y
b n
oi tp
mus
-/
77/
10
02 e
vi tce riD
gn i
nre cn
oc ytaerT
nois
CE
yt icir tcele fo
noi t
o m
orp e
ht n
o ;te
kram yt icir tcele la
nre tni e
ht ni
SE
R m
orf dec
u d
orp
ba tse era
hcih
w sff irat ni-
deef h
gu
orht
deto
mor
p si n
oi tcu
dor
p yt icir tcele S
ER
- secirp lai t
n er eferp e
ht taht setats tc
A ygr e
nE e
hT .r
o ta l u
geR y
gr en
E eht y
b de
hsil
ni sdl
o hes
uo
h ot yt icir tcele f
o ecirp
gn illes e
g ar eva e
ht fo
%0
8 fo tsael ta e
b ot era
u
geR y
gr en
E eht y
b de
hsi lb
up
dna
dehsi l
ba tse era sff irat eh
T .raey su
oi ver
p eht
- n
uo
C eht y
b det
po
da( tcA y
gr en
E eht
ot stne
md
nema r
of laso
por
p tne cer
A .ro tal
- sraey 2
1 a rof ta
ht seso
por
p )tne
mai lraP e
ht ot
de tti m
bus
dna sre ts i
niM f
o lic.secir
p lai tn er efer
p ta th
gu
ob e
b llahs yt icir tcele
SE
R fo e
m ul
ov eri t
ne eht
doi re
p ra
m eht sre t
ne taht yt icir tcele
SE
R fo sr ec
u d
orp lla r
of deil
ppa e
b llahs el
ur sih
T- 2
20
2 llit d
oi rep eri t
ne eht r
of secirp lai t
n er eferp e
hT .
01
02 ,
13 re
bme ce
D llit tek
i d
da nI .r
o ta l u
geR y
gr en
E eht y
b de
u ssi n
oi ta l u
geR cifi ce
ps a ni
deni fe
d eb lla
hs- rec r
of selur
dna ai re tirc e
ht eni fe
d ot
dessap
neeb sa
h n
oi ta l u
geR cifi ce
ps a ,n
oit- e
ht si rotal
uge
R ygre
nE e
hT .
SE
R m
orf yt icir tcele eht f
o ni
g iro e
ht g
n iy fit ;setacifitrec e
ht g
niussi f
o elbis
no
pser n
oitutits
niS
ER f
o sse cca g
n idra
ger sn
oi si v
orp e
dul c
ni sed
oC
dirG e
ht d
na tcA y
gr en
E eh
T ta
ht sdra
dnats la
noi t ar e
po sa lle
w sa dir
g eht
ot stnal
p n
oi t ar ene
gs
OS
Td
na s
OS
Dre
di v
orp ci l
bu
p ela selo
hw e
hT .
SE
R m
orf yt icir tcele sdra
wot
wo ll
of tsu
m a ta
SE
R m
orf dec
u d
orp yt icir tcele e
ht lla tu
o yu
b tsu
m sr elia ter ci lb
up e
ht d
na ;ecir
p lai tn er efer
p
aitaor
Cd
na y
m o
noc
E f
o yr ts i
niM
eva
h yc
neg
A yr
o ta l u
geR
hcih
w s
wal-yb
evif
detfar
dlia te
d ni se
u ssi deta ler taert
or
p ni
meht t
up
ot d
ne tni
dna
- lan
oi tan(
60
02 yl
uJ ni er
u dec
ne
mel p
mi eht r
of nal
p A
- evi tce ri
D e
ht f
o
noi tat
/7
7/1
00
2C
Enee
b sa
h
fo yr ts i
niM e
ht yb
detfard
;ym
on
ocE
yt icir tcele fo
noi tc
u d
orp r
of ste grat e
vi t aci d
ni g
ni ttes nal
p lan
oi tan
on si ere
hT
fo
noi tc
u der r
of d
na secru
os elb a
we ner
morf
GH
G;s
noi ssi
me
yt icir tcele fo
noi tc
u d
orp e
ht rof ecal
p ni t
up si e
mehcs tr
o p
pus ff irat
ni-deef e
hT
m
orfsel
bawe
ner ;)tc
A ygr e
nE e
ht fo
5 .rap ,
62 .tra(
eht
hcih
w m
orf ecru
os ygr e
ne eht yfi trec
ot det
nio
ppa
noi t
u tit sni
on si ere
hT
;dec
u d
orp sa
w yt icir tcele
13
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
)noita
unit
noC( 4 el
baT
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
htC
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
tro
pp
us ,ste
grat e
vi t aci d
ni
n arau
g rof ai re tirc ,se
mehcs
- ni
mda r
of selur ,
ni g ir
o fo eet
- dna
,seru
de cor
p e
vi tar tsi ;)se
u ssi dir
g ot s
noi t
u los
ne
mel p
mi eht r
of nal
p A
- evi tce ri
D e
ht f
o
noi tat
/0
3/3
00
2C
Enee
b sa
h
fo yr ts i
niM e
ht yb
detfard
;ym
on
ocE
cifi cep
Sn
oitasiro
htua
we
ner esu
hcih
w stnal
p rew
op
ot el ba cil
ppa ser
u de c
orp
- ;)tc
A yt icir tcelE
dna tc
A ygr e
nE( ecal
p ni t
up era secr
uos el
ba
decro f
ne yltne cer sa
w hci
hw e
do
C dir
G eht y
b der e
voc era se
u ssi me tsys
dirG
;)6
00
2 lirp
A(
eh
T .ygr e
ne d
niw
morf e
moc lli
w S
ER r
of sn
oi ta cil p
pa d
na stseu
qer fo yt ir
o jaM
OS
Tme tsys f
o yti ru ces
ot deta ler se i
duts
me tsys evi s
ne txe stc
u d
noc ylt
ne rruc
sa hc
us secru
os yt icir tcele tne tti
mre tni f
o level
noi tar t e
nep
hgi
h a hti
w n
oi t ar ep
o s
noi ti
dn
oc hc
us re d
nu yti r
u ces me tsys
nia tnia
m ot el
ba eb
oT .st
nalp re
wo
p d
niw
eht
OS
T ar e
po
dna
noi tce
nn
oc rof st
ne meri
u qer la ci
nhcet cifi ce
ps hsi l
bu
p lliw
-;secr
uos yt icir tcele t
ne tti mre t
ni fo
noit
remr
of eh
Tvals
og
uY
fo cil
bu
peR
ain
odeca
M
ni )6002( ygr ene no wa
L ehT
- ygr ene no snoi si vorp secu dort dna
ycnei ci ffeselba
wener i ff
E ygr en
E
XI re tpah
C(- ygr en
E elb awe ne
R dna ycneic neg 321-121 .stra ,secruo se
R- i ffe ygr ene 231-421 .stra ,lare-
241-331 .stra ,ycneicselba
wener ;)
fo
93
1 .tra ot
gn i
dro cc
Ar
of ,ygr e
ne n
o wa
L eht
a tiol
pxe
fo
n
oi to
mor
p-
nu e
b dl
uo
hs S
ER f
o n
oit- g
n iw
o llof
eht
ne
ka tred
rep te
grat eht :ser
u saem
- ni f
o raey d
na eg at
nec- e
ht
ni
SE
R
gn i
dulc
rep e
ht ,ecn ala
b ygr e
ne- d
na n
oi ta p ici tra
p fo t
nec az il aer r
of nal
p cima
nyd
- tne cre
p te grat e
ht fo
noit
-
dna ser
u saem ,e
ga-t
necni
se
vies
u eht e
g aru
o cne
ot f
osle
ufoi
b s
nart eht
ni - lar
u tlu ci r
ga ,r
o tces tr
op
eht e
g aru
o cne
ot sei c ilo
p,ssa
moi
b f
o yt ili
b aliava
rof ser
u de c
orp e
ht-
ussi
dna yc
nei ci ffe ygr e
ne fo t
ne me
vor
pmi r
of yc ilo
p eht set aerc t
ne m
nr ev
oG e
hT
yr ts ini
M eht
ot tro
pp
us sti sevi
g ycne
gA y
gr en
E eh
T .S
ER f
o n
oi ta tiol
pxe e
ht rof
ne f
o tne
mev
or p
mi rof y
g etartS e
ht fo
noi ta t
ne mel
pmi
dna
noi ta r
obale e
ht ni
-;
noi ta ti
ol p
xe S
ER r
of yg etart
S eht
dna yc
nei ci ffe ygre
fo
noi ta ti
ol p
xe eht r
of yg etart
S eht ,y
gr ene
no
waL e
ht fo
33
1 .tra ot
gn i
dro cc
Af
o sei t ila d
om e
ht d
na n
oi ta tiol
pxe
SE
R fo s
mia eht se
ni fed secr
uo ser
SE
R a ti
ol p
xe rof yt ili
bi saef eht ,
SE
R fo lai t
ne to
p eht yle
man ,s
mia eseht
gn i
veihca
-
dna se
m ul
ov te
grat eht ,
SE
R fo lai t
ne to
p eht f
o n
oite
nilemit
n
oi tp
mu s
noc e
ht rof
rof ser
u saem la
noi ti s
nart g
n ini fe
d ,ecn ala
b ygr e
ne eht
ni S
ER
morf yt icir tcele
rof sff irat lai t
n er eferp
gn i
dul c
ni ,secru
o ser elb a
we ner f
o n
oi ta tiol
pxe f
o tro
pp
us ;s
msi n a
hcem tr
o p
pus re
hto
dna ,yt icir tcele f
o sr ecu
dor
p lai tn er efer
p
,yr ts ini
M eht f
o laso
por
p eht
no
pu ,y
gr ene
no
waL e
ht fo
43
1 .tra ot
gn i
dro cc
Ar
of yg etart
S eht f
o n
oi ta tne
mel p
mi eht r
of mar
gor
P a stp
oda t
ne m
nr ev
oG e
htd
na n
oi ta tiol
pxe
SE
R rof ser
u saem e
ht seni fe
d mar
gor
P eh
T .n
oi ta tiol
pxe
SE
R sr
o ta ci d
ni ,stne
meriu
qer n
oi ta tne
mel p
mi ,secru
o ser lai cna
nif ,seru sae
m snia t
noc
i ffe ygr e
ne rof s
dra d
nats lan
oi tan
dna s
noi ta l
uger la ci
nhcet ,stl
u ser de
veihca r
of- e
d eht
dna sei t i
vi tca eht
gn i
mro fre
p sei ti tne e
ht d
na ,atad t
na v eler re
hto ,yc
neic-
;sei t ivi tca
deg asi
vne f
o n
oi taz il aer rof syal
14
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
)noita
unit
noC( 4 el
baT
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
htC
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
gni
rau
g fo
noi tar ts i
ger d
na - cir tcele r
of ni
g iro f
o see tna
- eht ,
SE
R m
orf dec
u d
orp yti
noi ta c ifi trec
rof
eru
de cor
pf
o recu
dor
p lai tn er efer
p a fo
ahce
m tr
o p
pus
,yt icir tcele- hti
w E
R fo es
u eht r
of smsi
ntsael ta f
o d
oi rep
noi ta r
ud a
noi ta t
ne mel
pmi ;sraey r
uof
,stne
meriu
qercte;
debirc ser
p slia ted re
h truf
ni eb lla
hs S
ER e
ht fo
noi ta zi lit
u rof ser
u saem e
hT
;ro tces y
gr ene e
ht ni
htiw llaf ta
ht sei t ivi tca e
ht rof t
ne te p
moc re ts i
nim e
ht yb
rof
ni g ir
o fo see t
n arau
g fo yr ts i
ger a snia t
niam
dna se
u ssi ycne
gA y
gr en
E yc
nei ci ffe-h
gih
morf
dna
SE
R m
orf dec
u d
orp yt icir tcele
noitare
neg
oc ili caf -
mi hti
w det ai c
o ssa ni
g iro f
o see tn ara
ug
dna ai
no
d ecaM f
o ci lb
u pe
R eht
ni seit-
;se id
ob la
noi ta
n dezi r
oh t
ua reht
o yb
deu ssi yt icir tcele f
o stro
pyt icir tcele r
of sff irat lai tn er efer
p hsi l
ba tse llahs
noi ssi
mm
oC yr
o ta l u
geR e
hT
morf yt icir tcele f
o sr ecu
dor
p d
na yt icir tcele fo sr ec
u d
orp lai t
n er eferp y
b dl
os yc
nei ci ffe-h
gih
noitare
neg
oc;sei t ili caf
orge
netn
oM
waL y
gren
E eh
Tsetal
uger yllacifice
ps ;
SE
R m
orf n
oitarene
g
eht f
o sn
oi si v
orp
denre c
no
C
op ta
ht eriu
qer wa
L ygr e
nE
- rew
op
ni
sro tse
vni
lai tnet
er evi ta
nre tla g
n isu st
nalp
- ua r
of yl p
pa dl
uo
hs secru
os-
;esne cil
dna
noi ta zi r
oht
u
geR e
ht ,stce jor
p hc
us ro
F-
mis tu
o stes ycne
gA yr
o tal- d
na ser
u de c
orp
dei fil
p
pa g
n idra
ger stne
meriu
qer- s
noi ta zi r
oh t
ua rof s
noi ta cil
p ;ses
ne cil d
na
seg asi
vne
waL y
gr en
E eh
Tser
u de c
orp
dei fil
pmis
eht
fo t
hgir e
ht fo
noi taz il aer r
ofd
na n
oi ssi ms
nart ot sse cca
no
skr
o wte
n
noi t
u bir tsi
d;si sa
b yro ta
n imir csi
d-n
on
if saw
orge
netn
oM f
o ycnei ci ff
E ygr e
nE f
o yg etart
S eht
50
02
hcraM
gn ir
uD
- e
hT .
dez ilan
nirge
netn
oM
nee
b sah yc
nei ci ffE y
gr en
E rof ti
nU
des ina
gro
deta ler d
na yg etart
S ycnei ci ff
E ygr e
nE e
ht ot
gn i
dro cca yr ts i
niM e
ht ni
htiw
.6
00
2-5
00
2 rof
nalP
noi tc
A
llam
S eh
Tre
wo
por
dyH
nee
b sah
orge
netn
oM r
of yg etart
S tne
mp
ole ve
D tnal
P si tI .
nalP
noi tc
A yra n i
mi lerp e
ht hti
w rehte
got t
ne m
nr ev
oG e
ht yb
detp
oda
n
E eht f
o tne
mp
ole ve
D rof y
g etartS e
ht fo tra
p lar ge t
ni na e
mo ce
b ot
gn i
og
- .
52
02 llit
orge
netn
oM
ni ro tce
S ygre
yra n i
mi lerp a
ni era )ssa m
oib/
dni
w/ra los( se i
duts tce j
orp eer
ht ,yltne rr
uC
a sa evres lli
w yeht ,
noi tel
pm
oc n
op
U .ecn er efer f
o smret
gn ita l
u mr
of fo esa
hp
or
p or
genet
no
M ni secr
uos el
b awe
ner fo t
ne m
p ole
ved r
of yg etarts a r
of si sab
- ...
ni g ir
o fo ee t
n arau
g ,eme
hcs tro
pp
us ,ste grat re
hto
gn
oma
gn i
div
er g
n isu
WM
01
wo le
b yt ica pac
dellat sni f
o tnal
p rew
op ta
ht de
hsi lba tse si tI
- eh
T .kr
o wte
n n
oi tu
bir tsid e
ht ni y
gr ene lles
ot del ti t
ne si secru
os elb a
wen
i ffe rof ,y
g ol
od
ohte
m g
ni ttes ecirp
gn i
dul c
ni ,yg
ol o
d o
htem t
uo stes yr ts i
niM
- yt icir tcelE e
ht rof sel
uR t
ne m
uco
d eht ec
nis ,kr
o wte
n eht
ot n
oi tce n
noc t
neiclla
ms ot el
ba cil p
pa to
n si ycne
gA yr
o ta l u
geR y
gr en
E eht y
b de
u ssi sff iraT
;W
M 0
1 na
ht ssel rew
op
dellat sni
htiw st
nalp re
wo
p
15
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
)noita
unit
noC( 4 el
baT
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
htC
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
aina
mo
Rt
na tro
pmi
na sah ai
na m
oR
,lai tne t
op y
gr ene el
b awe
nerd
na des
u yltrap yl
no si ta
ht.secr
uos
or dy
h m
orf ylnia
m e
d eht et
o m
orp
ot re dr
o nI
- reht
o ,
SE
R f
o t
ne m
p ole
vre
wo
p
or dy
h e
gral
naht
fo t
ne m
nr ev
oG e
ht ,stnal
p
we ne
R a det
po
da ai na
mo
R- y
b y
g etartS
ygr e
nE
elba
n
oi si ceD
tne
mnr e
vo
Gr
n. stes
hci
hw
ni
,4
00
2/5
35
1re
wo
p
%3
3 f
o te
grat e
htS
ER
m
orf
desu/
det ar ene
gor
dyh
egral
g
n id
ul cni
per lli
w sih
T .stnal
p rew
op
- we
ner fo era
hs %
11 t
ne ser- yra
mirp la t
ot ni secr
uos el
ba;
01
02 y
b ,secru
o ser ygr e
ne
/7
7/1
00
2 evi tce ri
DC
Er
of e
hte
marfemit
,0
10
2-5
00
2 e
ht h
gu
orht
detp
oda sa
wn
oi si ceD
tne
mnr e
vo
G e s
noc
a s
A .
30
02/
34
4-
eht
,ecne
uq
ER
NA
or
p
- fo
re b
mu
n a
det
om
stca la gel
dna s
noi ta l
uger
rof se
vi tne c
ni eto
mor
p ot
:g
n id
ul cni ,
SE
R
eer ceD
tne
mnr e
vo
Gf
o ytn ara
uG
no
40
02/
94
21
or
p yt icir tcele
fo
ni
g iro
- nr e
vo
G ,S
ER
morf
decu
d- 4
00
2/2
98
1 seer ce
D t
nem
o
mor
P n
o 5
00
2/8
59
dna
- noi t ar e
neg y
gr ene f
o n
oit
dna ,
SE
R m
orfE
RN
A r
O - a
grO e
ht n
o 5
00
2/0
4 red
- fo s
noi tc
nuf
dna
noi ta zi
n ;te
kram seta c ifi tre
C neer
G
,6
00
2 ni
%2
2.2 ,
50
02
ni %
7.0( sa t
ou
q yro ta
dna
m dec
u d
or tni sa
h ai na
mo
R ,
80
02
ni %
62.
5 ,7
00
2 ni
%4
7.3
cteel
b awe
ner m
orf deil
pp
us yt icir tcele fo ).
a de
p ole
ved
dna reil
pp
us hcae r
of secru
osdes ilar t
neC
ifi trec neer
g fo te
kraM
- y
b det ar e
po setac
MO
CP
Oosla
nac seta c ifi trec neer
G .5
00
2 re b
me v
oN ec
nis ,
beF
dna
50
02 re
bme
vo
N nee
w teB .sei
na p
moc
neew te
b yll ar eta lib
dedart e
b- r
of seta c ifi treC
neerG
38
17 sr ec
u d
orp e
ht ot
deu ssi ere
w ereht ,
60
02 yr a
urn
O .me tsys si
ht ni eta
p ici trap
ot el bi
g ile S
ER
morf
decu
dor
p yt icir tcele 5
00
2re
bme
vo
N nee
w teb
dedart ere
w ereht te
kram seta c ifi trec
neerg
dez ilar tnec e
ht;seta c ifi tre
C neer
G 1
42
7 )ato
uq raey
50
02 r
of( 6
00
2 yr au r
beF
dna
50
02
a llits era ereht sa seta c ifi trec
neerg r
of secirp e
vi sse cxe t
ne ver
p ot re
dro
nI e
D tne
mnr e
vo
G a ,seta c ifi trec neer
g de
vie cer taht sr
o t ar ene
g fo re
bm
un lla
ms- 4
2 m
u m i
nim f
o secirp
gn iliec ec
u d
or tni
ot dessa
p saw
50
02/
85
9 n
oi sic/
€h
WM
/€
24
mu
m ixa
m fo
dna
hW
M .
rof
naht retr
ohs si sr ec
u d
orp
neerg e
ht ot ses
ne cil g
n itnar
g rof
doi re
p emit e
hT
si ms
nart eht er
u sne
ot de
gilb
o era sro t ar e
po
dirg e
ht d
na sr ecu
dor
p reht
o eht
-;yt icir tcele
neerg f
o n
oi tu
bir tsid/
nois
aibre
S i
D eht
no tey
noi ta ls i
gel o
N- f
o
noi t
o m
orp
rof
sevi tcer
no r
o S
ER
morf yt icir tcele
rof
evi tce ri
D e
htsle
ufoi
b ;tr
o ps
nart rof
;n
m ul
oc su
oi ver
p eeS
;sn
m ul
oc su
oi ver
p eeS
16
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
)noita
unit
noC( 4 el
baT
ygre
ne elba
wene
R
yrtn
uo
Csisa
b evitalsi
geL
eht r
of nal
Pf
o n
oitatne
melp
mi/
77/
10
02 e
htC
Esecr
uos el
bawe
ner fo r
otces eht
ni scitsiretcarahc cifice
pS
sn
oitaN
detin
Umiret
nI
noitartsi
nim
dA
ni n
oissiM
ov
oso
K
lla dna yg etartS ygr en
E ehT
ekam
swal
ygr ene ro ja
m ne
ot ecn er efer
ra l uci trap- dna
ycnei ci ffe ygre
selbawener
fo 6 re tpahC ees(
pahC ;yg etart
S ygr enE eht
- wa
L eht fo 41-9 sel ci tra 3 reteht fo 01 .tra dna ygr ene no ci trap ni yt icir tcel
E no wa
L- dna ycnei ci ffe ygr en
E .)ra lutne
mno ri vne fo
noi tce torprof
ai re tirc cifi ceps
era2.03 .tra( sesne cil gn itnarg uge
R ygr enE no
waL eht fo
- ;)ro tal
rew
op
fo
n
oi to
mor
p e
hT
dna ,
SE
R m
orf n
oi t ar ene
g ifi trec r
of n
oi ta l u
geR e
ht- cir tcel
E fo
ni g ir
O fo
noi tac
eR y
b det ar e
neG re
wo
P- secr
uo
S y
gr en
E el
b awe
nni
htiw tlae
d slia ted
ni si e
ht d
na ygr e
nE
no
waL e
ht ;yt icir tcel
E n
o wa
L
raey hcae lla
hs g
n ini
M d
na ygr e
nE f
o yr ts ini
M eht ta
ht setats tcA y
gr en
E eh
T r e
neg tae
h ro yt icir tcele f
o n
oi tp
mu s
noc e
ht rof ste
grat evi t aci
dni
hsi lba tse
- ;
noi t ar e
neg-
oc ro
SE
R m
orf deta
seta c ifi trec eht
gn i
u ssi fo el
bi sn
op ser
noi t
u tit sni e
ht si ro ta l
uge
R ygr e
nE e
hT
,rev e
wo
H .secru
os ygr e
ne elb a
we ner
morf
decu
dor
p yt icir tcele fo
ni g ir
o rof
seta c ifi trec o
n d
na ygr e
ne elb a
we ner r
of de
ni mre te
d ff irat o
n si ereht ylt
ne rruc
;de
u ssi nee
b tey eva
h ni
g iro f
of
o hcta
psid yt ir
oirp a
gn i
gilb
o ,n
oi si v
orp eta r a
pes a sah y
gr en
E n
o wa
L eh
T ;)
11 .tra(
SE
R fo
dn
uor
g eht
no
decu
dor
p yt icir tcelee
ht nee
w teb
noi t ar e
p o
oc rof s
msi n a
hcem eter c
noc se
g asi v
ne n
oi ta ls igel e
hT
eht
ot ht
ob sre fer si
hT .yc
nei ci ffe ygr e
ne eto
mor
p ot sa s
noi t
u tit sni t
na v eler
( sn
oi tu tit s
ni etats nee
w teb
noi t ar e
p o
oc.
g .ey
gr en
E fo yr ts i
niM e
ht nee
w teb
a ls igel yr a
dn
oces g
n ira per
p fo sse c
orp e
ht ni r
o ta l u
geR e
ht d
na g
n ini
M d
na- 0
1 .tra ees – s
noi ta zi
na gr
o la tne
mnr e
vo
g-n
on
htiw
noi t ar e
p o
oc osla t
ub ,
noit
;)ygr e
nE
no
waL e
ht fo
yekr
uT
eR f
o n
oi ta zi litU
no
waL
- secru
o seR y
gr en
E elb a
wen
t ar ene
G fo es
o pr
uP e
ht rof
- waL( y
gr en
E la cir tcelE
gni
yaM
no
detc ane )
64
35 .
oN
;5
00
2 ,8
1
er d
na eme
hcs S
ER e
ht seni fe
d n
oi ta l u
geR
gn is
ne ciL te
kraM yt icir tcel
E eh
T-
;esne cil a
nia tb
o ot sr
o t ar ene
g seriu
qf
o %
8 tsael ta esahcr
up
ot de
gilb
o era sreliater wa
L S
ER
50
02 e
ht red
nU
ecirp e
ht 1
10
2 litn
U .)or
dyh e
gral g
nid
ulcni t
on(
SE
R m
orf yticirtcele rieht
eb
ot sah
hcih
w ecirp yticirtcele elasel
oh
w egare
va eht si
diap e
b ot
esaercni
nac sretsini
M fo lic
nu
oC e
hT .r
otalu
ger eht y
b yllau
nna
deni
mreted
;ecirp si
ht %
02
ot p
u ;
nigir
o fo seet
narau
g eht
gni
ussi rof el
bisn
opser si r
otalu
ger ygre
ne eh
Tsle
ufoi
Be
vi ta ls igel
gn i
o g
no e
ht fo tra
p sa desser
dda e
b osla lli
w tro
psnart r
of ;sr
o tces-b
us tn ere ffi
d ni str
o ffe
lan
oige
Re
vitcepsre
pU
E fo
noi ta t
ne mel
pmi
no s
nalp
noi tca e
vah t
on
od sei tra
P g
n itcar tn
oC e
ht fo yt ir
o jaM .
dep
ole ve
d llew t
on si
SE
R ot
deta ler si sab e
vi ta ls ige
L/
77/
10
02 e
vi tce riD
CE
cu
der rof
dna secr
uos el
b awe
ner m
orf yt icir tcele fo
noi tc
u d
orp r
of ste grat e
vi t aci d
ni g
ni ttes ni
dedee
n si kr
ow re
h tru
F .-
fo
noit
GH
G
morf yt icir tcele f
o n
oi tcu
dor
p eht r
of ecalp
ni eme
hcs tro
pp
us g
n ittu
p ,sn
oi ssime
selba
wener
eht yfi trec
ot n
oi tu tit s
ni g
n itni
o p
pa , cifi ce
ps g
n iyl p
pa ,dec
u d
orp si yt icir tcele e
ht hci
hw
morf ecr
uos y
gr ene
noitasir
oht
ua
we ner es
u hci
hw st
nalp re
wo
p ot el
ba cil p
pa seru
de cor
p -
.seu ssi
noi t ar e
po
me tsys d
na n
oi tce n
noc
dirg
gn ir e
voc
dna ,secr
uos el
ba
suf fi cient. For the most part such ar eas are un der spe cial care of the state (i. e. un der de vel -oped, dev as tated by war, de pop u lated), on is lands or in moun tain ous re gions. In ad di tion, these re gions have good re new able en ergy po ten tial. Since the de cen tral ized en ergy gen -er a tion cov ers a broad range of tech nol o gies, in clud ing many re new able en ergy tech nol -o gies that pro vide small-scale power at sites close to the us ers, such con cept could be ofin ter est for these lo ca tions. This pa per iden ti fies the ar eas in WB where such sys temscould be ap plied. Con sid er ation is given to geo graph ical lo ca tions as well as pos si ble ap -pli ca tions. Wind, hy dro, so lar pho to vol taic (PV), and bio mass con ver sion sys tems weretaken into con sid er ation. Since the RES data for WB re gion are rather scarce, the in ten -tion was to give a sur vey of the pres ent sit u a tion and an es ti mate of fu ture po ten tial forDEG based on RES.
The is lands and coastal area of Adri atic sea (and partly Ionian sea re gard ing WBre gion of south ern Al ba nia) have very good so lar and wind po ten tial. A great num ber ofsunny hours with high ir ra di a tion (Croatia >1450 kWh/m2, Al ba nia >1500 kWh/m2 an -nu ally) and av er age wind ve loc i ties above 4-5 m/s rep re sent en ergy po ten tial that shouldnot be ig nored (figs. 1 and 2). The global hor i zon tal ir ra di a tion in fig. 1 was com piled us -ing the data from the Joint Re search Cen tre of Eu ro pean Com mis sion [8]. Data are givenon the re gional ba sis – NUTS 3 re gions (a sys tem of ad min is tra tive di vi sion of coun triessim i lar to that of the No men cla ture of Ter ri to rial Units for Sta tis tics [9]), es tab lished byEurostat, for the pur pose of uni form rep re sen ta tion.
Fur ther more, in the moun tain ous re gions of WB there is con sid er able wind po -ten tial as in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Sarajevo area and on the South) or as in Mac e do nia where there are lo ca tions in high moun tains which have av er age an nual wind speeds ex -
17
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
Figure 1. Global horizontal irradiation[kWh/m2 per year]
Figure 2. Average annual wind velocity[m/s]
ceed ing 7 m/s [10]. The sys tem atic mea sure ments were not con ducted in WB coun tries,so the wind po ten tial in many coun tries is not ex plic itly known (fig. 2, n. a. – not avail -able). That is cer tainly one of the bar ri ers to wider im ple men ta tion of wind power pro -duc tion in WB.
Al though col lected for many de cades in al most all WB coun tries, the data ob -tained from me te o ro log i cal sta tions are in com plete for the in vest ment pur poses (e. g.they lack data like ver ti cal wind speed pro files). Even know ing wind speed at themacro-level (wind at las) is not suf fi cient for po ten tial de vel op ers of wind power plantssince the on-site data (mi cro-level) are re quired. Ex cept for a cou ple of dozen lo ca tions,there are no con tin u ous mea sure ments of wind speed over sev eral years. There fore, var i -ous com pa nies will ing to in vest in this sec tor have dif fi cul ties to as sess the fea si bil ity ofthe pro jects.
The map on fig. 3 shows tech ni cal po -ten tial of wind units for elec tric ity gen er a -tion. The po ten tial is es ti mated based onpro posed fu ture wind power plant pro jects,with their ca pac i ties to talled per NUTS 3 re -gions. The load ca pac ity given in the fig urerep re sents the max i mum ca pac ity, as sumedto be solely ac tive power that could be pro -duced con tin u ously through out a pro longedpe riod of op er a tion un der rep re sen ta tive cli -ma tic con di tions [11]. Sim i larly, the en ergyca pa bil ity (e. g. figs. 7-9) is the max i mumquan tity of elec tri cal en ergy pro duced un der the most fa vor able con di tions. This re source avail abil ity takes no ac count of elec tric itytrans mis sion and dis tri bu tion con straints.
The max i mum load ca pac ity and themax i mum po ten tial en ergy pro duced (en -ergy ca pa bil ity) were cal cu lated [12] us ing
the in for ma tion con sid er ing all planned and po ten tial RES pro jects. The data used wereob tained from dif fer ent sources: pub lished lit er a ture, rel e vant min is tries and agen cies,and where rel e vant data were not avail able or ob so lete, ex perts were con sulted [13-23].
In some coun tries the ad min is tra tive bar ri ers limit the ex ploi ta tion of all vi a blewind po ten tial, like in Croatia where the gov ern ment has banned con struc tion and plan -ning of all new wind power plants (to gether with quar ries, ware houses, fac to ries etc.) onlo ca tions that are on is lands and less than 1000 m from the sea. The pro jects that had al -ready ob tained the lo ca tion per mits prior to that de cree are ex cluded. The act was ex -plained as a mea sure to pro tect the Cro atian coastal area. That, un for tu nately, in cludessome of the best wind po ten tial lo ca tions on Cro atian is lands and along the Adri atic coast(re gions of South ern and West ern Croatia).
Apart from elec tric ity pro duc tion from the large wind farms, there are also otherpos si ble ap pli ca tions, e. g. the small wind tur bines for ir ri ga tion in river del tas and on
18
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
Figure 3. Maximum load capacity of proposed wind facilities [MW]
lakes or as in the case of Al ba nia where the wind tur bines could be used for safe guard ingthe land from floods [13]. Also, there are plans for hy brid fa cil i ties, like a pro posed windfarm Stupiš}e on is land of Vis (planned in Na tional en ergy programme Enwind [14]),which is fore thought to sup ply en ergy for pumps for ir ri ga tion and wa ter de sa li ni za tion.
De spite good so lar po ten tial it is notlikely that large so lar power plants will bebuilt in fol low ing years in WB coun triesdue to high cost of these fa cil i ties. With the ex cep tion of a cer tain num ber of house -holds and other build ings, so lar PV sys -tems will be re served for iso lated ar eas and spe cific pur poses. Po ten tial ap pli ca tionscould be: tele com mu ni ca tion base sta tions, me te o ro log i cal sta tions, light houses, roadsigns, pub lic light ing, dif fer ent au ton o -mous mon i tor ing sys tems (pol lut ant emis -sion mon i tor ing, for est fire pro tec tion,tech ni cal pro tec tion of in di vid ual fa cil i tiesetc.). It is dif fi cult to es ti mate the max i -mum load ca pac ity of po ten tial PV sys tems be cause there are no of fi cial sta tis tics oftheir use. The PV po ten tial could be givenap prox i mately by the PV power shown infig. 4. Their fu ture im ple men ta tion willprob a bly in clude a large num ber of units of smaller out puts, whether on grid or off gridap pli ca tions. The costs of such fa cil i ties ex ceed 20 c€/kWh.
On the other hand, ther mal so lar sys tems for hot wa ter pro duc tion will be usedex ten sively due to their rea son able econ omy. At the mo ment how ever, the main ob sta clepre vent ing wider us age of such sys tems is the lack of leg is la tion that pro motes and sub si -dizes the use of re new able en ergy sys tems, con trary to other Eu ro pean coun tries.
There are also some other ex am ples of RES hy brid sys tems:– in B&H where the solar collectors of simpler design (no insulation, with a
half-cylindrical reflecting surface) are used in industrial objects, hotels and apartment buildings; they are typically installed in a combination with a wood burningboiler/furnace and they are used for low temperature heating and domestic waterheating,
– one of the first PV systems in B&H was installed and put into service as a part of aproject financed by the government of Spain; the system has a total power of 0.32 kWand is used as the energy source for the irrigation system in Popovo Polje, located incanton K7 and Republic Srpska,
– hybrid system at the Mechanical Engineering Faculty in Sarajevo; it consists of a solarsystem (4.2 m2 of solar collector area) and a conventional natural gas burner (15 kW),and is used for water heating, and
19
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
Figure 4. PV power (horizontal) [MWh peryear]
– in Albania, a pilot project on exploitation of photovoltaic systems for pumping ofirrigation and potable water.
Use of bio mass is fa vor able in the low plains of Pannonia ba sin. Here ag ri cul turalres i dues such as, sun flower, soy bean, rape seed, and beans (shown in fig. 5) are plen ti ful*.Fruit res i dues are avail able all over WB, while ol ive res i dues could be found in the coastalre gions. In the moun tain ous for ested re gions (and par tially in plains), for est res i dues andwood waste from wood pro cess ing in dus try (fig. 6) could be re cov ered in large quan ti ties.This bio mass could be used for the pur pose of dis trict heat ing and, on a smaller scale, elec -tric ity pro duc tion. Some of the coun tries al ready use en ergy from the bio mass e. g. Ser bia[15]. One of the re cent ex am ples of bio mass use is the con struc tion of 3 MW fur nace (cig a -rette-type, do mes tic pro duc tion) burn ing soy straw (in forms of jumbo bales, 2 m height, di -
20
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
Figure 5. Agricultural biomass potential [t](a) sunflower, (b) soybean, (c) rapeseed, (d) beans
* The figures showing usable biomass are calculated based on existing (at the time of evaluation) arable land and donot take into account potential agricultural land, which is not yet developed
am e ter 1.2 m) com menced in ag ri cul ture in dus try farm PKB-Padinska Skela, near Bel grade, Ser bia. The fa cil ity will servefor heat ing of green house.
En ergy po ten tial from bio mass iscon sid er able and it is ex pressed as theen ergy ca pa bil ity (in GWh) given infig. 7. This rep re sents the max i mumelec tric ity that could be pro duced fromthe planned and po ten tial bio mass co--gen er a tions and biogas units. It is es ti -mated that in BiH bio mass will be thesec ond most im por tant re new ablesource of en ergy af ter large hy dro elec -tric fa cil i ties.
Bio mass co-gen er a tion fa cil i tieshave rel a tively low en ergy pro duc tioncosts, com pa ra ble to those of large hy -dro and wind power plants. But un likethe wind farms, power pro duc tion fromthe bio mass has higher so cial ben e fits in terms of in creased em ploy ment of lo calworkforce and ad di tional ac tiv i ties for farm ers that will pro duce raw ma te rial.
In ad di tion, the sig nif i cant en ergy po ten tial of waste should be men tioned.Waste ma te ri als con sid ered here in clude: mu nic i pal solid waste, sewer sludge, land fillgas, solid and liq uid ma nures from live stock farms and ab at toirs. Gen er ally, waste re cov -
21
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
Figure 7. Energy capability of potentialbiomass facilities [GWh]
Figure 6. Woody biomass potential(a) forest area [ha], (b) annual production of wood assortment (logs, firewood, wood residue) [m3]
ery has been ne glected in WB coun tries and hence waste was al most un used as an en ergysource. Dif fer ent WB coun tries are cur rently mak ing ef forts to es tab lish their waste man -age ment sys tems. Among other things, they an tic i pate the en ergy re cov ery of waste (thatpart of the waste that can not be re cy cled or used in other ways). It can be ex pected that the im por tance of this sec tor will grow in the near fu ture.
Cer tainly, some neg a tive as pects of bio mass and waste com bus tion, such as airpol lu tion, should be kept in mind. Bio mass, al though con sid ered as re new able fuel andCO2 neu tral, can cause lo cal air pol lu tion if the prod ucts of com bus tion are not treated ad -e quately. There fore, a ba sic re quire ment when burn ing bio mass and solid waste is to en -sure ap pro pri ate flue gas clean ing and con trol sys tems, which will sat isfy lim it ing val uesof emis sions pre scribed by law. An es pe cially sen si tive is sue in solid waste com bus tion is the emis sion of toxic or ganic sub stances like di ox ins and fu rans that should be mon i toredvery care fully.
Hy dro po ten tial is tra di tion ally the most ex ploited re new able en ergy re source inall WB coun tries. Some coun tries, e. g. Al ba nia, are even overdependent on hy dro power(98% of to tal elec tric ity pro duc tion), which could re sult, in poor hy dro log i cal con di tions, in short ages.
The large hy dro power plants, al though be long ing to cen tral ized power gen er a -tion, are in cluded in this anal y sis for the pur pose of cost com par i son. It is not sur pris ingthat the cost of elec tric ity pro duced from the big hy dro power plants is the low est of allRES. The same how ever, does not stand for the small hy dro power plants. The small hy -dro power plants are of sizes less than 10 MW. De pend ing on the spe cific case they couldex hibit sub stan tial costs.
One part of hy dro po ten tial suit able for large hy dro power plants is per ma nentlylost due to ur ban, en vi ron men tal, and eco nomic lim its, or due to sig nif i cant tour ist po ten -
tial of rivers in WB re gion. Some of theWB coun tries still have a cer tain num -ber of un de vel oped sites where largepro jects could fit in. In most cases theen ergy ca pa bil ity of po ten tial (large)hy dro power plants re fers to an in creaseof ca pac ity/ca pa bil ity of al ready ex ist -ing fa cil i ties (ad di tional or im provedunits) and only at sev eral lo ca tions com -pletely new large hy dro power plantswill be built. Fig ures 8 and 9 show en -ergy ca pa bil i ties of po ten tial large andsmall hy dro power plants. In somecoun tries the con struc tion of new largerhy dro power plants is meet ing fierce op -po si tion of lo cal com mu ni ties and en vi -ron men tal non-gov ern men tal or ga ni za -tions. For ex am ple, even small hy dropower plant pro jects in Croatia are con -
22
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
Figure 8. Energy capability of potential largehydro power plants [GWh]
fronted with strong pub lic re sis tance due to in creased en vi ron men tal con scious -ness. There fore, the list that de fines thequite sig nif i cant hy dro po ten tial of small hy dro power plants, shown in fig. 9, willhave to be re vised.
Conclusions
The re moval of geo graph ical con -straints to the de liv ery of power (re centreconnection of South-East Eu rope intoa sin gle UCTE sys tem), the grad ual lib -er al iza tion of en ergy mar kets, the pri vat -iza tion of the util ity com pa nies and newen vi ron men tal leg is la tion in tro duce new fac tors into the con ven tional power sys -tems of WB coun tries. Thus, se cu rity ofen ergy sup ply, cli mate change mit i ga -tion and eco nomic com pet i tive ness (elec tric ity and gas mar ket de reg u la tion) open a pos -si bil ity for a novel con cept of dis persed power gen er a tion that could eas ily co ex ist withthe con ven tional cen tral ised sys tems in fu ture. The RES tech nol o gies, whether they ex -ploit wind, hy dro or so lar power, geo ther mal heat, bio mass and waste ma te ri als, havemany ben e fits like en ergy re source di ver si fi ca tion, de creased fos sil fuel use, and re ducedper unit GHG emis sions. How ever, con struc tion and uti li za tion of dis persed en ergysources should not di min ish the sig nif i cance of the con ven tional sources to main tain thein teg rity of power sys tem. In line with nu mer ous ad van tages of de cen tral ized pro duc tion, some of DEG-RES sys tems (wind, so lar, bio mass CHP) are char ac ter ized by their lim i ta -tion in pro vid ing an cil lary ser vices as well as fol low ing the daily con sump tion curve.Avail abil ity of wind and so lar PV con ver sion sys tems pro duc tion de pends on the me te o -ro log i cal con di tions, whereas elec tric ity pro duc tion in bio mass co-gen er a tion fa cil i ties is de ter mined by the lo cal heat re quire ments. As a re sult of the in creased share of dis persedsources, an in creased re serve ca pac ity will be re quired.
An in ter mit tent na ture of re new able sources can be par tially mit i gated by ap ply -ing dif fer ent en ergy stor age sys tems or en ergy car ri ers such as high ca pac ity bat ter ies(new tech nol o gies and elec tro lytes, flow bat ter ies) up to sev eral tens of MWh, ca pac i tors, fly wheels, com pressed air sys tems, re vers ible hy dro sys tems, and hy dro gen (fuel cells),which could pro vide power when it is needed.
The DEG based on RES in WB will find its niche eas ier for the us ers that willpro duce elec tric ity for their own needs and for the us ers lo cated in re mote ru ral ar easwhere there is no elec tric ity net work or the net work ca pac ity is in suf fi cient (off-grid ap -pli ca tions). The us ers (most likely small com pa nies) that pro duce heat and/or power for
23
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
Figure 9. Energy capability of potential smallhydro power plants [GWh]
their own use (like ag ri cul ture, wood and food pro cess ing in dus try) could thus con troland re duce their costs for en ergy and achieve some sort of en ergy in de pend ence (e. g. ap -ply ing co-gen er a tion plant that uses bio mass). They could also be grid-con nected,islanded (off-grid) or em bed ded (in which case the ex tra gen er a tion could be sold to re -tailer).
Ex am ples of po ten tial ap pli ca tion of DEG based on RES in WB could in clude:– hotels and apartment houses, restaurants, auto-camps, nautical marinas, sports and
entertainment centers, chalets, also some facilities in rural and hunting tourism – ingeneral all tourist facilities that are situated in remote isolated areas on islands and inmountains where there is no possibility of network connection or it would be tooexpensive to connect or is not permitted by environmental laws (e. g. in national parks and nature reserves),
– cooling facilities for temporary storage of fish, meat etc., field ambulances (forelectrical medical appliances and cooling of medicines), electrical fences forlivestock ranching, autonomous electrical livestock/game feeders and water-troughs,for lighting and operation of agricultural facilities, hatcheries,
– irrigation in deltas of rivers, water desalination on islands,– telecommunication (base) stations, meteorological stations, lighthouses, road signs,
public lighting, different autonomous monitoring systems (pollutant emissionmonitoring, forest fire protection, technical protection of individual facilities etc.),
– households (permanent and weekend settlements) in isolated and rural areas(mountainous and coastal/island regions),
– saw mills situated near small rivers, in which power from the small hydro powerplants could be used, and
– hybrid combination of solar systems or wind turbines with liquefied petrol gas ordiesel aggregates could help solve the problem of energy infrastructure on islands and other remote locations. Furthermore, that could start development of traditional island activities with the engagement of local resources and workforce, which could, in turn,reduce depopulation of islands.
If ex ter nal costs con nected with global cli mate change and lo cal pol lu tion arein cluded in the cost of elec tric ity from con ven tional sources, which could reach up to10 c€/kWh (for coal power plants, ex ter nali ties in cluded), then the pro duc tion of elec -tric ity from re new able sources be comes quite at trac tive. The uti li za tion of these re -sources could also help the WB coun tries meet their Kyoto Pro to col re quire ments, withthe con di tion that the ad e quate in cen tives are pro vided.
Acknowledgments
This work was car ried out as a part of the ADEG “Ad vanced De cen tral ised En -ergy Gen er a tion Sys tems in West ern Bal kans” pro ject, fi nanced by the Eu ro pean Com -mis sion through INCO pro gram of 6th FRAMEWORK PROGRAM [12].
24
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26
References
[1] ***, Benchmarking Re port on SEE TSOs Sta tus of Re form for 3rd Ath ens Fo rum, SETSOTask Force, So fia, 2003
[2] ***, Third Benchmarking Re port on the Im ple men ta tion of the In ter nal Elec tric ity and GasMar ket, Com mis sion of the Eu ro pean Com mu ni ties, Brussels, 2004
[3] ***, CARDS Pro ject 2005 Fa cil i tat ing and Im ple ment ing the En ergy Com mu nity in SouthEast Eu rope, En ergy Com mu nity Re port on Com pli ance with the Elec tric ity Benchmarks,2006, www.en ergy-com mu nity.org/pls/por tal/docs/69826.PDF
[4] ***, En ergy Com mu nity – Coun try Re ports, 2006[5] Dizdarevi}, N., Renewables in the Con text of the Treaty Es tab lish ing the En ergy Com mu -
nity, Joint EURELECTRIC-VEÖ Cen tral & East-Eu ro pean Re gional Con fer ence, Re new -able En ergy in Cen tral & East ern Eu rope: Chal lenges and Pol icy Re sponses, Vi enna, 2006
[6] ***, The Na tional Strat egy of En ergy of Al ba nia, Min is try of In dus try and En ergy, Na tionalAgency of En ergy, World Bank, 2003
[7] Donevski, A., Sur vey of the En ergy Sit u a tion in Mac e do nia, Fac ulty of Tech ni cal Sci ences,Uni ver sity St. Clem ent Ohridski, Bitola, Mac e do nia, 2000 (Pub lished at In ter na tional Work -shop and Round Ta ble Dis cus sion on the En ergy Fu ture of Bosnia and Herzegovina, 2000,Me chan i cal En gi neer ing Fac ulty, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina)
[8] Eu ro pean Com mis sion, DG – Joint Re search Cen tre, In sti tute for En vi ron ment andSustainability, Re new able En er gies Unit, 2002,http://re.jrc.cec.eu.int/pvgis/regionframe.php
[9] ***, Hi er ar chi cal List of the No men cla ture of Ter ri to rial Units for Sta tis tics – NUTS and theSta tis ti cal Re gions of Eu rope, Eurostat, 2005,http://ec.europa.eu/comm/eurostat/ramon/nuts/codelist_en.cfm?list=cec
[10] ***, Re new able En ergy Coun try Pro file – FYRO Mac e do nia, NV Con sul tants, Pri maryCoun try Con sul tant, Interwind, Black & Veatch, Eu ro pean Bank for Re con struc tion and De -vel op ment, 2002
[11] ***, Un ion for the Co-or di na tion of Trans mis sion of Elec tric ity (UCTE), 2004, http://www.ucte.org
[12] Schnei der, D. R., Grubor, B., Leki}, A., et al., Map of DEG Po ten tial in WB, De liv er able 1,Ad vanced De cen tral ised En ergy Gen er a tion Sys tems in West ern Bal kans (ADEG), 2005,Zagreb, http://powerlab.fsb.hr/adeg
[13] ***, Re new able En ergy Coun try Pro file, ARGES Enerji Sistemleri San. Ve Tic. A. S., Re -new able En ergy Re source As sess ment, Eu ro pean Bank for Re con struc tion and De vel op -ment, 2002
[14] Horvath, L., et al., ENWIND – Wind En ergy Uti li sa tion Pro gram (Na tional En ergy Pro -gram), En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 1998
[15] ***, En ergy Po ten tial and Char ac ter is tics of Bio mass Waste and Tech nol ogy for its Ap pli ca -tion and En ergy Us age in Ser bia, Pro ject NP EE611-113A, Min is try of Sci ence and Tech nol -ogy of the Re pub lic of Ser bia, Bel grade, 2003
[16] Hrastnik, B., et al., SUNEN – So lar En ergy Uti li sa tion Pro gram (Na tional En ergy Pro gram),En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 1998
[17] Hrastnik, B., et al., SUNEN – So lar En ergy Uti li sa tion Pro gram – New Ad vances and Im ple -men ta tion (Na tional En ergy Pro gram), En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 2001
[18] Horvath, L., et al., ENWIND – Wind En ergy Uti li za tion Pro gram (Na tional En ergy Pro -gram), En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 1998
[19] Horvath, L., et al., ENWIND – Wind En ergy Uti li za tion Pro gram – New Ad vances and Im -ple men ta tion (Na tional En ergy Pro gram), En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 2001
[20] Mati}, Z., So lar Ra di a tion At las for the Area of the Re pub lic of Croatia, Book of ab stract, 1st
In ter na tional Fo rum of the Re new able En ergy Sources, Zagreb, Energetics of Mar ket ing,Zagreb, 2004, p. 16
25
Schneider, D. R., et al.: Mapping the Potential for Decentralized Energy Generation ...
[21] ***, Eu ro pean Com mis sion, DG – Joint Re search Cen tre, In sti tute for En vi ron ment andSustainability, Re new able En er gies Unit, 2002, http://re.jrc.cec.eu.int/pvgis/regionframe.php
[22] Domac, J., et al., BIOEN – Bio mass and Waste (Na tional En ergy Pro gram), En ergy In sti tuteHrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 1998
[23] Baši}, H., et al., MAHE – Small Hy dro elec tric Power Plants Con struc tion Pro gram (Na tionalEn ergy Pro gram), En ergy In sti tute Hrvoje Požar, Zagreb, 1998
Authors' addresses:
D. R. Schneider, N. Dui}, Ž. Bogdan, M. BanFaculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture,University of Zagreb5, I. Lu~i}a, HR-10000 Zagreb, Croatia
I. RaguzinMinistry of Economy, Labour and Entrepreneurship78, Ulica grada Vukovara, HR-10000 Zagreb, Croatia
B. Grubor, P. Stefanovi}, D. Daki}, B. Repi}, Ž. Stevanovi}, A. Žbogar,M. Studovi}, S. Nemoda, N. Oka, D. Djurovi}, N. Kadi}, V. Baki},S. Beloševi}, A. Eri}, R. Mladenovi}, M. PaprikaVIN^A Institute of Nu clear Sciences P. O. Box 522, 11001 Belgrade, Serbia
N. Delali}, A. Leki}, R. Bajramovi}, A. Teskeredži}, I. Smajevi},E. Džaferovi}, F. Begi}, H. Luli}, S. Metovi}, S. Petrovi},A. Djugum, Dž. Kadri}, N. Hodži}, F. Kuli}, A. Kazagi}, A. Gafi}Mechanical Engineering Faculty, University of Sarajevo9, Vilsonovo šetalište, 71000 Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Corresponding author D. R. SchneiderE-mail: [email protected]
Paper submitted: July 21, 2006Paper revised: March 31, 2007Paper accepted: April 10, 2007
26
THERMAL SCIENCE: Vol. 11 (2007), No. 3, pp. 7-26