Manual for SOA Exam MLC. - Binghamton University

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1/44 Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Manual for SOA Exam MLC. Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance. c 2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Extract from: ”Arcones’ Manual for the SOA Exam MLC. Fall 2009 Edition”. available at http://www.actexmadriver.com/ c 2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance.

Manual for SOA Exam MLC.Chapter 4. Life Insurance.

Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved.

Extract from:”Arcones’ Manual for the SOA Exam MLC. Fall 2009 Edition”.

available at http://www.actexmadriver.com/

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Properties of the APV for continuous insurance

The following table shows the definition of all the variables in theprevious section:

type of insurance payment

whole life insurance Z x = νTx

n–year term life insurance Z1x :n| = νTx I (Tx ≤ n)

n–year deferred life insurance n|Z x = νTx I (n < Tx)

n–year pure endowment life insurance Z1

x :n| = νnI (n < Tx)

n–year endowment life insurance Z x :n| = νmin(Tx ,n)

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 1We have that

Z x = Z1x :n| + n|Z x ,

Ax = A1x :n| + n|Ax ,

2Ax = 2A1x :n| +

2n|Ax ,

Var(Zx) = Var(Z 1x :n|) + Var(n|Z x)− 2A

1x :n| · n|Ax

Cov(Z1x :n|, n|Z x) = −A

1x :n| · n|Ax =

1

2

(A

1x :n|

2 + n|Ax2 − Ax

2)

.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 2We have that

Z x :n| = Z1x :n| + Z

1x :n|,

Ax :n| = A1x :n| + A

1x :n|,

2Ax :n| =2A

1x :n| +

2A1

x :n|,

Var(Z x :n|) = Var(Z 1x :n|) + Var(Z 1

x :n|)− 2A1x :n| · A

1x :n|

Cov(Z1x :n|,Z

1x :n|) = −A

1x :n| · A

1x :n| =

1

2

(A

1x :n|

2 + A1

x :n|2 − Ax :n|

2)

.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 3We have that

n|Ax = nExAx+n.

Proof: We have that

n|Ax =

∫ ∞

nνt

tpxµx+t dt =

∫ ∞

0νt+n

n+tpxµx+n+t dt

=νnnpx

∫ ∞

0νt

tpx+nµx+n+t dt = nExAx+n.

Corollary 1

Ax = A1x :n| + nExAx+n.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 3We have that

n|Ax = nExAx+n.

Proof: We have that

n|Ax =

∫ ∞

nνt

tpxµx+t dt =

∫ ∞

0νt+n

n+tpxµx+n+t dt

=νnnpx

∫ ∞

0νt

tpx+nµx+n+t dt = nExAx+n.

Corollary 1

Ax = A1x :n| + nExAx+n.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 3We have that

n|Ax = nExAx+n.

Proof: We have that

n|Ax =

∫ ∞

nνt

tpxµx+t dt =

∫ ∞

0νt+n

n+tpxµx+n+t dt

=νnnpx

∫ ∞

0νt

tpx+nµx+n+t dt = nExAx+n.

Corollary 1

Ax = A1x :n| + nExAx+n.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(i) Ax and Var(Z x).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(i) Ax and Var(Z x).Solution: (i) We have that

Ax =µ

µ + δ=

0.03

0.03 + 0.04= 0.4285714286,

2Ax =µ

µ + 2δ=

0.03

0.03 + (2)(0.04)= 0.2727272727,

Var(Z x) = 2Ax − (Ax)2 = 0.2727272727− (0.428571428)2

=0.0890538038.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:

(ii) A1

x :10| and Var(Z 1x :10|).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:

(ii) A1

x :10| and Var(Z 1x :10|).

Solution: (ii) We have that

A1

x :10| = e−10δ10px = e−(10)(0.04)e−(10)(0.03) = e−0.7 = 0.4965853038,

2A1

x :10| = e−10(2)δ10px = e−(10)(2)(0.04)e−(10)(0.03) = e−0.11

=0.3328710837,

Var(Z 1x :10|) = 2A

1x :10| − A

1x :10|

2= 0.3328710837− (0.4965853038)2

=0.08627411975.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(iii) 10|Ax and Var(10|Z x).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(iii) 10|Ax and Var(10|Z x).Solution: (iii) We have that

10|Ax = nExAx+n = (0.4965853038)(0.4285714286) = 0.2128222731,210|Ax = 2

nEx · 2Ax+n = (0.3328710837)(0.2727272727)

=0.09078302282,

Var(10|Z x) = 0.09078302282− (0.2128222731)2 = 0.04548970289.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:

(iv) A1x :10| and Var(Z 1

x :10|).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:

(iv) A1x :10| and Var(Z 1

x :10|).Solution: (iv) We have that

A1x :10| = Ax − 10|Ax = 0.4285714286− 0.2128222731 = 0.2157491555,

2A1x :10| =

2Ax − 210|Ax = 0.2727272727− 0.09078302282

=0.1819442499,

Var(Z 1x :10|) = 2A

1x :10| − A

1x :10|

2= 0.1819442499− (0.2157491555)2

=0.1353965518.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(v) Ax :10| and Var(Z x :10|).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 1

Suppose that δ = 0.04 and (x) has force of mortality µ = 0.03.Calculate:(v) Ax :10| and Var(Z x :10|).Solution: (v) We have that

Ax :10| = A1x :10| + A

1x :10| = 0.2157491555 + 0.4965853038

=0.7123344593,

2Ax :10| =2A

1x :10| +

2A1

x :10| = 0.1819442499 + 0.3328710837

=0.5148153336,

Var(Z 1x :10|) = 2A

1x :10| − A

1x :10|

2= 0.5148153336− (0.7123344593)2

=0.007394951694.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

Proof: (i) follows from a previous theorem.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

Proof: (ii)

A1

x :n| = e−nδ · npx = e−n(µ+δ).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

Proof: (iii)

n|Ax = nExAx+n = e−n(µ+δ) µ

µ + δ.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

Proof: (iv)

A1x :n| = Ax − n|Ax =

µ

µ + δ− e−n(µ+δ) µ

µ + δ

=(1− e−n(µ+δ))µ

µ + δ.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 4Suppose that the survival function is s(x) = e−µx , 0 ≤ x. Then,(i) Ax = µ

µ+δ .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−n(µ+δ).

(iii) n|Ax = e−n(µ+δ µµ+δ .

(iv) A1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µ

µ+δ .

(v) Ax :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ)) µµ+δ + e−n(µ+δ).

Proof: (v)

Ax :n| = A1x :n| + A

1x :n| = (1− e−n(µ+δ))

µ

µ + δ+ e−n(µ+δ).

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 2

Find the APV of a 15-year term life insurance to (x) with unitypayment if δ = 0.06 and (x) has a constant force of mortalityµ = 0.05.

Solution: We have that

A1x :15| =

(0.05)(1− e−(15)(0.05+0.06))

0.05 + 0.06=

(0.05)(1− e−(15)(0.11))

0.11

=0.3672500415.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 2

Find the APV of a 15-year term life insurance to (x) with unitypayment if δ = 0.06 and (x) has a constant force of mortalityµ = 0.05.

Solution: We have that

A1x :15| =

(0.05)(1− e−(15)(0.05+0.06))

0.05 + 0.06=

(0.05)(1− e−(15)(0.11))

0.11

=0.3672500415.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

Proof: (i) It follows from a previous theorem.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

Proof: (ii)

A1

x :n| = e−nδ · npx = e−nδ ω − x − n

ω − x.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

Proof: (iii)

n|Ax = nExAx+n = e−nδ ω − x − n

ω − x

aω−x−n|i

ω − x − n= e−nδ

aω−x−n|i

ω − x.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

Proof: (iv) It follows from a previous theorem.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Theorem 5Assume de Moivre’s law with terminal age ω and that ω and x arepositive integers. Then,

(i) Ax =aω−x|iω−x .

(ii) A1

x :n| = e−nδ ω−x−nω−x .

(iii) n|Ax = e−nδ aω−x−n|iω−x .

(iv) A1x :n| =

an|iω−x .

(v) Ax :n| =an|iω−x + e−nδ ω−x−n

ω−x .

Proof: (v)

Ax :n| = A1x :n| + A

1x :n| =

an|i

ω − x+ e−nδ ω − x − n

ω − x.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(i) Find the actuarial present value of the benefit of this life insur-ance.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(i) Find the actuarial present value of the benefit of this life insur-ance.Solution: (i) The density of T40 is fT40(t) = 1

60 , 0 ≤ t ≤ 60.Hence,

15|Ax = e−(15)(0.05)a60−15|i

60= e−(15)(0.05) 1− e−(45)(0.05)

(0.05)(60)

=e−0.75 − e−3

3= 0.1408598281.

The actuarial present value is (50000)(0.1408598281) =7042.991405.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.Solution: (ii) We have that

215|Ax = e−(15)(2)(0.05)

a60−15|(1+i)2−1

60= e−(15)(0.05) 1− e−(45)(2)(0.05)

(2)(0.05)(60)

=e−1.5 − e−6

6= 0.03677523466,

Var(50000 · 15|Z x) = (50000)2(0.03677523466− (0.1408598281)2)

=42334358.72.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 3

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15-year term deferred life policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death. Supposethat the survival function is s(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Supposethat the continuously compounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.Solution: (ii)The standard deviation of 50000 · 15|Z x is√

42334358.72 = 6506.485896.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(i) Find the actuarial present value of the benefit of this life insur-ance.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(i) Find the actuarial present value of the benefit of this life insur-ance.Solution: (i) The density of T40 is fT40(t) = 1

60 , 0 ≤ t ≤ 60.Hence,

A40:15| =a15|i

100− 40+ e−(15)(0.05) 100− 40− 15

100− 40

=1− e−(15)(0.05)

(0.05)(60)+ e−0.75 45

60=

1− e−0.75

3+ e−0.75(0.75) = 0.5301527303.

The actuarial present value is (50000)(0.5301527303) =26507.63652.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.Solution: We have that

2A40:15| =a15|(1+i)2−1

100− 40+ e−(15)(2)(0.05) 100− 40− 15

100− 40

=1− e−(15)(2)(0.05)

(2)(0.05)(60)+ e−1.5 45

60=

1− e−1.5

6+ e−1.5(0.75)

=0.2968259268,

Var(50000Z 40:15|) = (50000)2(0.2968259268− (0.5301527303)2)

=39410023.39.c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.

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Chapter 4. Life Insurance. Section 4.7. Properties of the APV for continuous insurance.

Example 4

Julia is 40 year old. She buys a 15–year endowment policyinsurance which will pay $50,000 at the time of her death, or in 15years whatever comes first. Suppose that the survival function iss(x) = 1− x

100 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 100. Suppose that the continuouslycompounded rate of interest is δ = 0.05.

(ii) Find the standard deviation of the present value of the benefitof this life insurance.Solution: The standard deviation of 50000Z 40:15| is√

39410023.39 = 6277.740309.

c©2009. Miguel A. Arcones. All rights reserved. Manual for SOA Exam MLC.