Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis

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Manhattan Associates and SAP A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS IMAN TAYLOR, NICK ANTONUCCI, SERGE NGATTA, VLAD RUSANOV

Transcript of Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis

Page 1: Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis

Manhattan Associates and SAPA COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

IMAN TAYLOR, NICK ANTONUCCI, SERGE NGATTA, VLAD RUSANOV

Page 2: Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis

Background Information

SAP• Founded in 1972 • Based in Walldorf, Germany• Leader in enterprise software and

software-related services • Global presence with locations in

more than 130 countries

Manhattan Associates• Founded in 1989• Based in Atlanta, GA• Develops and markets supply chain

commerce software• Member of the S&P 600 Technology

Sector

* Data compiled from Value Line, SAP 10k, MANH 10k

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Background Information – Offerings

SAP Manhattan Associates

* Data compiled from Value Line, SAP 10k, MANH 10k

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Top Line Financial Summary - Balance Sheet

SAP Market Cap: $95 billion LT Debt: ≈ $16 billion Working Capital: $594 million Current Ratio: 1.07 Quick Ratio: 0.94 Do not carry inventory Leverage Ratio (Assets/Equity): 670.60

Manhattan Associates Market Cap: $1 billion LT Debt: $0 Working Capital: $90 million Current Ratio: 1.99 Quick Ratio: 1.81 Do not carry inventory Leverage Ratio (Assets/Equity): 4.24

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

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Top Line Financial Summary - Income Statement

SAP 3 Yr Sales Growth: 11.92% 3 Yr Earnings Growth: 14.20% Profit Margin: 18.59% 2012 Revs: $22 billion ($4.21/shr)

2012 EPS: $3.42

Manhattan Associates 3 Yr Sales Growth: 15.11% 3 Yr Earnings Growth: 27.11% Profit Margin: 3.66% 2012 Revs: $376 million ($4.91/shr)

2012 EPS: $0.68

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

Tech Sector Rev Growth: 9.24% Tech Sector Ern Growth: 13.30%

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Profit Margin Trends

SAP Manhattan Associates

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

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SAP Profit Margin (Millions)

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

0.51

1.52

2.53

3.54

4.5

MANH Profit Margin (Percent)

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Revenue Analysis

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

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MANH Revenue (Millions)

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

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10000

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SAP Revenue (Millions)

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Net Income Analysis

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

2

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MANH Net Income (Millions)

2012 2011 2010 2009 20080

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SAP Net Income (Millions)

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Top Line Financial Summary – Cash Flow Statement

SAP Return on Assets: 11.28% Return on Equity: 21.02% FCF/ Share: $3.54 (2.62% CAGR)

CFO/ Liabilities: 30.18 Interest Coverage: 28.39x

Manhattan Associates Return on Assets: 19.89% Return on Equity: 32.05% FCF/ Share: $3.42 (11% CAGR)

CFO/ Liabilities: 75.04 Interest Coverage: No debt

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

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Operational, Market, and Economic Risks in the National Setting

SAP MANH

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Operational, Market, and Economic Risks in the Global Setting

SAP MANH

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Solutions and Strategies to Handle Risks

SAP MANH

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Financial Performance: Valuation and Volatility

SAP Beta (3yr): 1.11 P/E Ratio: 25.70 Long-Term Growth Rate: 12.24% PEG Ratio: 2.10 P/B: 4.47 *In-line with 3-year average

P/S: 5.13 *In-line with 3-year average

Dividend Yield: 1.72% *Covered 2.78x

MANH Beta (3yr): 1.02 P/E Ratio: 23.48 Long-Term Growth Rate: 21.74% PEG Ratio: 1.08 P/B: 3.15 *In-line with 3-year average

P/S: 7.33 *In-line with 3-year average

Dividend Yield: 0%Tech Sector Avg P/E: 14.50 Software Industry Avg P/E 14.13* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

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Financial Performance: DuPont Analysis

SAP ROE: 21.09% Profit Margin: 21.98% Total Asset Turnover: 0.65 Equity Multiplier: 1.86

MANH ROE: 32.05% Profit Margin: 13.08% Total Asset Turnover: 1.44 Equity Multiplier: 1.61

ROE = Profit Margin * Total Asset Turnover * Equity Multiplier

So what does it mean?

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

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Financial Performance: Comparative Analysis

Security 1-Year Return 3-Year Return 5-Year Return

MANH 49.06% 34.28% 18.30%

SAP 55.38% 21.27% 11.03%

Technology Sector 14.81% 8.71% 3.31%

S&P 500 15.99% 10.47% 1.51%

** Data as of 12/31/2012

MANH SAP S&P500

* Data compiled from Bloomberg data

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Investment Recommendation

With both companies being in the same industry, they face many of the same qualitative risks. As a result, we focused largely on the quantitative metrics of each and came to the conclusion that while both companies appear to be sound investments that will likely outperform the S&P 500 in the coming year, we would prefer to own Manhattan Associates due to its higher expected growth, lower relative valuation, and seemingly stronger balance sheet.

SAP Tgt Price: $97 MANH Tgt Price: $8523% premium 41% premium

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Questions?

Thank you!