Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis
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Transcript of Manhattan Associates and SAP: A Financial Analysis
Manhattan Associates and SAPA COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
IMAN TAYLOR, NICK ANTONUCCI, SERGE NGATTA, VLAD RUSANOV
Background Information
SAP• Founded in 1972 • Based in Walldorf, Germany• Leader in enterprise software and
software-related services • Global presence with locations in
more than 130 countries
Manhattan Associates• Founded in 1989• Based in Atlanta, GA• Develops and markets supply chain
commerce software• Member of the S&P 600 Technology
Sector
* Data compiled from Value Line, SAP 10k, MANH 10k
Background Information – Offerings
SAP Manhattan Associates
* Data compiled from Value Line, SAP 10k, MANH 10k
Top Line Financial Summary - Balance Sheet
SAP Market Cap: $95 billion LT Debt: ≈ $16 billion Working Capital: $594 million Current Ratio: 1.07 Quick Ratio: 0.94 Do not carry inventory Leverage Ratio (Assets/Equity): 670.60
Manhattan Associates Market Cap: $1 billion LT Debt: $0 Working Capital: $90 million Current Ratio: 1.99 Quick Ratio: 1.81 Do not carry inventory Leverage Ratio (Assets/Equity): 4.24
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Top Line Financial Summary - Income Statement
SAP 3 Yr Sales Growth: 11.92% 3 Yr Earnings Growth: 14.20% Profit Margin: 18.59% 2012 Revs: $22 billion ($4.21/shr)
2012 EPS: $3.42
Manhattan Associates 3 Yr Sales Growth: 15.11% 3 Yr Earnings Growth: 27.11% Profit Margin: 3.66% 2012 Revs: $376 million ($4.91/shr)
2012 EPS: $0.68
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Tech Sector Rev Growth: 9.24% Tech Sector Ern Growth: 13.30%
Profit Margin Trends
SAP Manhattan Associates
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
5
10
15
20
25
30
SAP Profit Margin (Millions)
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
0.51
1.52
2.53
3.54
4.5
MANH Profit Margin (Percent)
Revenue Analysis
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
MANH Revenue (Millions)
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
SAP Revenue (Millions)
Net Income Analysis
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
MANH Net Income (Millions)
2012 2011 2010 2009 20080
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
SAP Net Income (Millions)
Top Line Financial Summary – Cash Flow Statement
SAP Return on Assets: 11.28% Return on Equity: 21.02% FCF/ Share: $3.54 (2.62% CAGR)
CFO/ Liabilities: 30.18 Interest Coverage: 28.39x
Manhattan Associates Return on Assets: 19.89% Return on Equity: 32.05% FCF/ Share: $3.42 (11% CAGR)
CFO/ Liabilities: 75.04 Interest Coverage: No debt
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Operational, Market, and Economic Risks in the National Setting
SAP MANH
Operational, Market, and Economic Risks in the Global Setting
SAP MANH
Solutions and Strategies to Handle Risks
SAP MANH
Financial Performance: Valuation and Volatility
SAP Beta (3yr): 1.11 P/E Ratio: 25.70 Long-Term Growth Rate: 12.24% PEG Ratio: 2.10 P/B: 4.47 *In-line with 3-year average
P/S: 5.13 *In-line with 3-year average
Dividend Yield: 1.72% *Covered 2.78x
MANH Beta (3yr): 1.02 P/E Ratio: 23.48 Long-Term Growth Rate: 21.74% PEG Ratio: 1.08 P/B: 3.15 *In-line with 3-year average
P/S: 7.33 *In-line with 3-year average
Dividend Yield: 0%Tech Sector Avg P/E: 14.50 Software Industry Avg P/E 14.13* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Financial Performance: DuPont Analysis
SAP ROE: 21.09% Profit Margin: 21.98% Total Asset Turnover: 0.65 Equity Multiplier: 1.86
MANH ROE: 32.05% Profit Margin: 13.08% Total Asset Turnover: 1.44 Equity Multiplier: 1.61
ROE = Profit Margin * Total Asset Turnover * Equity Multiplier
So what does it mean?
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Financial Performance: Comparative Analysis
Security 1-Year Return 3-Year Return 5-Year Return
MANH 49.06% 34.28% 18.30%
SAP 55.38% 21.27% 11.03%
Technology Sector 14.81% 8.71% 3.31%
S&P 500 15.99% 10.47% 1.51%
** Data as of 12/31/2012
MANH SAP S&P500
* Data compiled from Bloomberg data
Investment Recommendation
With both companies being in the same industry, they face many of the same qualitative risks. As a result, we focused largely on the quantitative metrics of each and came to the conclusion that while both companies appear to be sound investments that will likely outperform the S&P 500 in the coming year, we would prefer to own Manhattan Associates due to its higher expected growth, lower relative valuation, and seemingly stronger balance sheet.
SAP Tgt Price: $97 MANH Tgt Price: $8523% premium 41% premium
Questions?
Thank you!