Manama, Bahrain 26-27 March 2018 · ITU Regional Workshop on ICT Statistics Manama, Bahrain 26-27...
Transcript of Manama, Bahrain 26-27 March 2018 · ITU Regional Workshop on ICT Statistics Manama, Bahrain 26-27...
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ITU Regional Workshop on ICT StatisticsManama, Bahrain26-27 March 2018
Ivan Vallejo Vall
ICT Data and Statistics DivisionInternational Telecommunication Union
Telecommunication indicators
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ITU Handbook• Covers 81 indicators on
telecommunication/ICT services
• Covers data collected from administrative sources (e.g. telecom operators)
• Discussed in the ITU Expert Group on Telecom/ICT Indicators (EGTI)
• Available at:http://www.itu.int/pub/D-IND-ITC_IND_HBK-2011
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ITU Handbook (cont.)Groupings:
• Fixed-telephone networks• Mobile-cellular networks• Internet• Traffic• Tariffs• Quality of service• Persons employed• Revenue• Investment• Public access• Broadcasting and other
indicators
Definition
Clarifications and scope
Method of collection
Relationship with other indicators
Methodological issues
Examples
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ITU Handbook – additions Revision of revenue and investment indicators
New indicators from administrative sources 2011-2013
Fixed broadband and mobile QoS
Broadband Internet traffic
Pay-TV subscriptions
Mobile-broadband prices
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New indicators from administrative data sources added in 2015:
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M2M mobile-network subscriptions
Fixed-broadband subscriptions for organizations
Percentage of the population covered by at least an LTE/WiMAX mobile network
Subscriptions to bundled telecommunication services
ITU Handbook – additions (ii)
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New indicators from 2016:
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Active subscriptions to LTE/WiMAX mobile-broadband networks
Change in mobile-bb sub-categories
ITU Handbook – additions (iii)
New indicators from 2017: Fixed wired network coverage
Extension fixed-broadband speed tiers
Modification price baskets
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Methodological note on the indicator “Fixed-broadband Internet traffic“
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ITU Handbook – additions (iv)
https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/publications/handbook.aspx
New March 2018
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8http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/datacollection/default.aspx#questionnaires
ITU questionnairesAnnual
QuestionnairesShort WTI
Long WTI
ICT Price Basket
Addressee Regulators and Ministries
Format Online Online Online
Date March/April July/September October
# indicators 14 66
mobile cellular, mobile broadband
and fixed broadband prices
Response Rate(Arab States)
19/22 replies65% data
16/22 replies49% data
15/22 replies68% data
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Administrativeindicatorscollected
by countries
Indicators ITU Handbook
Indicators collected in ITU administrative questionnaires
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Context: indicators from administrative sources
Admin indicators included in the
ICT Development Index9
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81 Data per operator
Sub-national data
Data for market analysis
Data to track national ICT policies
International National
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1. Mobile-cellular network
Main ITU indicators from administrative sources
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Indicator 11: Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions
Number of subscriptions to a public mobile telephone service that provide access to the PSTN using cellular technology.
The indicator includes: (i)postpaid subscriptions; and (ii)prepaid accounts that are active, i.e. used during the last
three months.
The indicator applies to all mobile-cellular subscriptions that offer voice communications.
It excludes subscriptions via data cards or USB modems, subscriptions to public mobile data services, private trunked mobile radio, telepoint, radio paging and M2M.
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What do we actually measure?
Mobile-cellular...
• Subscriptions √• Users
• Handsets
• Subscribers
operator data
household survey data
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Mobile cellularMobile-cellular subscriptions, end 2016
Per 1
00 in
habi
tant
s
215 210
155 149 142133 125 122 118 116
104 10284 78 72 70
60 5737
0
50
100
150
200
250
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subscriptions ≠ mobile uptakeIndividuals owning a mobile phone, 2016
Perc
enta
ge
100 100 10088 85
77 74
0
20
40
60
80
100
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Mobile coverage indicators
irrespective of whether or not they are subscribers,% of inhabitants that live within range of: Total mobile
coverage
At least 3G coverage
At least LTE/mobile
WiMAX coverage
1. Any mobile-cellular signal
2. At least a 3G mobile network(excl. EDGE, GPRS, CDMA 1xRTT)
3. At least an LTE/WiMAX mobile network(excl. HSPA, UMTS, EV-DO)
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Mobile coverage – methodology
Possible ways of collecting the data:
1. Each operator reports total country coverage⇒ Max value of all reported
2. Each operator reports total per admin unit⇒ Max value of all reported per admin unit⇒ Aggregation according to population/admin unit
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Mobile coverage – methodology
Example:
Op 1 Op 2 Op 3
Region 1(25% pop) 70% 80% 70%
Region 2(25% pop) 50% 60% 70%
Region 3(50% pop) 80% 70% 70%
Total coverage: 80% * 25% + 70% * 25% + 80% * 50% = 77.5%
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Mobile coverage – methodology 3. Ask each operator to report coverage according
to a given division of the land area
Example of Japan:
Mesh1 Mesh2
Mesh3 Mesh4
Approx. 500 meter
Approx. 500m
Covered Area
○ ○
××
90%
40% 10%
100%
Counted as ‘Covered’
Counted as‘Not covered’
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Mobile-cellular coverageMobile-cellular coverage, by technology, end 2016
Perc
enta
ge
0
20
40
60
80
100Total At least 3G At least LTE
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• Indicator collected from 2016:
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Machine to machine subscriptions
mobile-cellular machine-to-machine subscriptions that are assigned for use in machines and devices (cars, smart meters, consumer electronics) for the exchange of data between networked devices, and are not part of a consumer subscription.
For instance, SIM-cards in personal navigation devices, smart meters, trains and automobiles should be included. Mobile dongles and tablet subscriptions should be excluded.
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M2M subscriptionsMobile-cellular M2M subscriptions, end 2016
% m
obile
-cel
lula
r sub
scrip
tions
2.10.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2
0
10
20
30
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Other mobile-cellular indicators Prepaid mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions
– 16/22 countries reported data in 2016
Mobile-cellular numbers ported– 11/22 countries reported data in 2016
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2. Fixed-telephone network
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Indicator 2: Fixed-telephone subscriptions
The sum of (active) number of:
(i)analogue fixed-telephone lines
(ii)Voice-over-IP (VoIP) subscriptions
(iii) fixed wireless local loop (WLL) subscriptions
(iv) integrated services digital network (ISDN) voice channel
equivalents
(v)fixed public payphones
This indicator was previously called Main telephone lines in operation.
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Fixed-telephone subscriptions
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Fixed telephoneFixed-telephone subscriptions, end 2016
Per 1
00 in
habi
tant
s
30.2
24.721.8
19.6 18.8 18.2
11.3 10.0 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.46.4 5.9
4.3 4.22.6 1.6 1.2 0.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
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Other fixed-telephone indicators
% fixed-telephone subscriptions that are residential – 13/22 countries reported data in 2016 (range: 32%-88%)
VoIP subscriptions – 9/22 countries reported data in 2016
Fixed-telephone numbers ported – 11/22 countries reported data in 2016 (only available in Bahrain, Comoros, Morocco, Oman, Syria and UAE)
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3. Broadband
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Active mobilebroadband
Fixedbroadband
(1) xDSL
(2) Cable modem
(3) FTTH/FTTB
(4) Other fixed wired
(5) Satellite broadband
(6) Fixed wireless broadband
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Classification of broadband subscriptions
(1) Data and voice
(2) Data only
Fixedwired
Fixedwireless
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3a. Fixed broadband
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Fixed-broadband subscriptions
• advertised ≥ 256 kbit/s
• fixed
Main features:
Breakdowns:
• by speed
• ≥ 10 Mbit/s
• 2 – 10 Mbit/s
• 0.256 – 2 Mbit/s
• ≥ 100 Mbit/s
• 30 – 100 Mbit/s
• 10 – 30 Mbit/s
From July 2018
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Fixed wireless broadband
Indicator 24: Terrestrial fixed wireless broadband subscriptions
Includes: fixed WiMAX and fixed-wireless with an advertised download speed of at least 256 kbit/s.
Excludes: 1- Occasional users at hotspots and subscribers of Wi-Fi hotspots
2- Mobile-broadband subscriptions where users can access a service throughout the country wherever coverage is available.
Indicator 23: Satellite-broadband subscriptions
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Fixed broadbandFixed broadband subscriptions, end 2016
Per
100
inha
bita
nts
Breakdown by tech available for 11 out of 22 countries
16.3
14.0
10.2 9.9
7.0 6.7 6.45.6 5.5
4.8 4.73.6
2.7 2.5
0.4 0.2 0.10
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
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Fixed-broadband speedFixed broadband subscriptions, breakdown by speed, end 2016
Of
tota
l fix
ed-b
b su
bs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
≥ 10 Mbit/s 2 Mbit/s - 10 Mbit/s 256 kbit/s - 2 Mbit/s
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Fixed-broadband technologyFixed broadband subscriptions, breakdown by technology, end 2016
Of
tota
l fix
ed-b
b su
bs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%FTTH/B DSL Cable Fixed wireless Other
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Fixed-broadband subscriptions for organizations
subscriptions contracted by public and private organizations (i.e. non-residential customers) to access the public Internet at a fixed location at downstream speeds greater than, or equal to, 256 kbit/s. This includes cable modem, DSL, fibre-to-the-home/building and fixed wireless broadband technologies.
It excludes residential subscriptions and subscriptions that have access to data communications (including the Internet) via mobile networks.
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Fixed broadband organizationsFixed broadband subscriptions, breakdown by type, end 2016
Of
tota
l fix
ed-b
b su
bs
14% 13% 12% 9% 8% 8% 7% 4% 3%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%Non-residential Residential
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3b. Mobile broadband
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Active mobile-broadband subscriptions
• advertised ≥ 256 kbit/s
• active
Main features:
GPRS and EDGE excluded
1. Monthly fee paid only for Internet access
2. Accessed the Internet in the previous three months
OR
• allows access to the open Internet
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Mobile broadbandActive mobile-broadband subscriptions, end 2016
Per
100
inha
bita
nts 254
165 157140
10491
74 66 6347 45
35 2913
00
50
100
150
200
250
300
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Mobile broadband subcategoriesFollowing the agreement in the 6th EGTI Meeting (September 2015, Geneva) mobile broadband subcategories are as follows:
USB donglesdatacardstablets
voice + Internet plans
add-on (to voice) data plan
Mobile broadband
Data & voice(standard)
Data only(dedicated)
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Mobile broadbandActive mobile-broadband subscriptions, by type of contract, end 2016
Of to
tal m
obile
-bro
adba
nd s
ubs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%Data+voice Data only (tablets, USB keys, dongles)
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Collected from 2016:
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Active subscriptions to LTE/WiMAX mobile-broadband networks
subscriptions that have generated Internet traffic in the last 90 days in LTE/mobile WiMAX and other advanced mobile-broadband networks, such as LTE-Advanced and WirelessMAN.
It excludes subscriptions having generated Internet traffic only in HSPA, UMTS, EV-DO and previous 3G networks, and also excludes fixed WiMAX subscriptions.
Total mobile subscriptions
Mobile-broadband
subscriptions
LTE/mobile WiMAX
subscriptions
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Mobile broadbandLTE/mobile WiMAX broadband subscriptions, end 2016
Of to
tal m
obile
-bro
adba
nd s
ubs
55%39% 34%
24% 18%5%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%LTE/Mobile WiMAX Other mobile broadband
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3c. Bandwidth
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https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Technology/Pages/InteractiveTransmissionMaps.aspx46
Mapping international connectivity
More information at:
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International Internet bandwidth
ITU collects data on two indicators:
1. Lit/equipped capacity 2. Used capacity
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Lit/equipped international bandwidth capacity, in Mbit/s
total lit/equipped capacity of international links, namely fiber-optic cables, international radio links and satellite uplinks to orbital satellites in the end of the reference year (expressed in Mbit/s).
If the traffic is asymmetric (i.e. incoming traffic and outgoing traffic is not equal), then the higher value out of the two should be provided.
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International bandwidth usage, in Mbit/s
Average usage of all international links including fiber-optic cables, radio links and traffic processed by satellite ground stations and teleports to orbital satellites (expressed in Mbit/s).
All international links used by all types of operators, namely fixed, mobile and satellite operators should be taken into account.
The average should be calculated over the 12-month period of the reference year.
For each individual international link, if the traffic is asymmetric, i.e. incoming traffic is not equal to outgoing traffic, then the higher value out of the two should be provided.
The combined average usage of all international links can be reported as the sum of the average usage of each individual link
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Intl Internet bandwidth – methodology
Data collected from facilities-based ISPs based on links crossing borders
Source data: network monitoring tools (e.g. MRTG-Multi Router Traffic Grapher)
Aspirational: OTTs, CDNs included
Source: https://ams-ix.net/
Source: Gigapix.
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1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Used Lit
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Intl Internet bandwidthInternational Internet bandwidth, end 2016
Log
scal
e
Mbit/s
Gbit/s
Tbit/s
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3d. Fixed wired network coverage
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Households covered by a fixed wired network
1. Also known as cabled households or homes passed
2. Measures availability of but not necessarily the subscription to or usage of fixed network services
3. A household is covered if the service provider already provisions or could provision a wired connection within a short period of time (i.e. a few days) and without an extraordinary commitment of resources
To be reported from July 2018
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Households covered by a fixed wired network (ii)
• installing or extending cable from local switching center, a DSLAM, CMTS, OLT, fiber node, optical splitter, FTTC cabinet, HFC node,
• building a duct• installing poles• leasing a line
Examples of extraordinary commitment:
EXCL. Fixed wireless, mobile nomadic and satellite networks
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Households covered by a fixed wired network (iii)
• Traditional public switched telephone network • DSL (excl. VDSL)• VDSL, VDSL vectoring• CATV networks• FTTP• Other
Broken down by:
The total indicator is not the sum of the sub-indicators
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Perfect overlap in all municipalities =>
Max (PSTN; ADSL; VDSL;CATV; FTTP; Others)
Households covered by a fixed wired network (iv)
Method of collection 1:
11500COUNTRY
PSTN ADSL VDSL CATV FTTP OTHER
Municipality 1 5000 10000
Municipality 2 100 400 1000 600
Municipality 3 500 500
TOTAL
10000
1000
500
By default, assume perfect overlap
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Households covered by a fixed wired network (v)
Method of collection 2:I. Collect database of geolocated network elements
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Households covered by a fixed wired network (vi)
Method of collection 2:II. Obtain a digital map of the country/database with number of households at the lowest possible level of granularity
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Households covered by a fixed wired network (vii)
Method of collection 2:III. Overlay the two sets of data for each operator and technology using GIS tool
IV. Aggregate among operators as in method 1
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4. Bundled telecommunication services
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Definition of bundle A bundle is a commercial offer meeting all of the
following conditions:
1. A commercial offer that includes two or more of the following services: fixed telephone, mobile voice, fixed broadband, mobile broadband, pay TV
2. marketed as a single offer, with a single invoice and with a single price for the set of services included in the bundle
3. subscribed under conditions that cannot be obtained by adding single play offers together
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ITU indicators on bundles
1. Subscriptions to fixed-broadband and fixed-telephone bundles
Subscriptions that include additional telecommunication services – such as triple play subscriptions including fixed telephony, fixed broadband and pay TV – should be excluded
2. Subscriptions to fixed-broadband, fixed-telephone and pay-TV bundles
Collected from 2015:
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Bundled subscriptionsBundled fixed-broadband subscriptions, end 2016
Of
tota
l fix
ed-b
b su
bs
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%3x 2x Other
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5. QoS and traffic indicators
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Quality of service (QoS) Mobile-cellular services:
Mobile-cellular unsuccessful call ratio – 11/22 countries reported data in 2016 (ranges from 0.3% to 2.3%)
Mobile-cellular dropped call ratio – 12/22 countries reported data in 2016 (ranges from 0.1% to 1.9%)
Fixed broadband Service activation time for fixed-broadband service –
10/22 countries reported data in 2016(ranges from 1 to 43 days)
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Traffic Fixed telephone: domestic, international minutes
Mobile cellular: domestic, international minutes and SMS
Data traffic: Fixed-broadband Internet traffic (exabytes) Mobile-broadband Internet traffic (inside country) Mobile-broadband Internet traffic (outside, roaming out)
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Fixed and mobile data traffic – methodology
Collected by ITU since 2013
Source data: ISPs Internet access log records / IPDRs
Measured at the end-user access pointExcl. walled-garden (e.g. zero-rated), wholesale traffic, IPTV/CATV
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Fixed and mobile data traffic – methodology (ii)
Units:
References:− Fixed: 0.05 – 140 EB− Mobile (domestic): 0.04 – 10 EB − Mobile (roaming): 10−6 – 10−2 EB
1012 EB Exabyte
109 PB Petabyte
106 TB Terabyte
103 GB Gigabyte
1 MB Megabyte
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IPDRsor Internet access log
records available?
YES NO
Aggregate per year and report data Can an estimate
be produced based on other measurements
of retail Internet traffic?
YES NO
Report estimate
Report estimatebased on traffic exchanged with
wholesalers
Either
Report estimatebased on load of
international Internet channels
The portion of on-net Internet traffic should be considered in the
estimate
The portion of on-net Internet traffic should be considered in the
estimate
Telecommunication operator
Example 1
Example 2 Example 3
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Fixed and mobile data traffic – examples
Example 1: Internet log records
Source: ITU Big Data for Measuring the Information Society: Country Report – United Arab Emirates.
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Fixed and mobile data traffic – examples Example 2: traffic data at IXPs
Source: Autoridade Nacional de Comunicações (ANACOM), Portugal.
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Fixed and mobile data traffic – examples Example 3: load international channels
Source: Autoridade Nacional de Comunicações (ANACOM), Portugal.
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Mobile broadband data trafficMobile-broadband traffic per mobile-broadband subscription, end 2016
GB /
subs
crip
tion
/ m
onth
10.9
7.7
5.1
1.7 1.6 1.61.1
0.60.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
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Fixed broadband data trafficFixed-broadband traffic per fixed-broadband subscription, end 2016
GB /
subs
crip
tion
/ m
onth
690
224
115 10048 35 28
00
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
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Traffic trends – SMS
Evolution of SMS sent, 2015-2016
% g
row
th
20%17%
9% 8%
0%
-9%
-22%-28%
-52%-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
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Traffic trends – domestic mobile voiceEvolution of domestic mobile voice minutes, 2015-2016
% g
row
th
39%
25%
10% 9%6%
4% 4%
0%
-4%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
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6. Revenue and investment
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Methodology• ITU Handbook
• EGTI reviewed the definitions in 2012
• Chapter 4 in MIS 2012 analysed revenue and investment data
• Input from international organizations
+Methodological note
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1. Definition of the sector• International Standard Industrial Classification
of All Economic Activities, Rev 4
• But … activities related to the creation of content are excluded
The sector includes businesses that operate, maintain and provide access to telecommunication networks. Resellers of telecommunication services are also included.
Content&media sector
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TV broadcasting• Telecommunications or content and
media sector?
If a business engages both in the creation of content and its distribution through telecommu-nication networks, revenue and investment data should be reported only for those activities that relate to the distribution of content, and exclude those that relate to the creation of content
Rule:
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TV broadcasting (cont.)• Proposed practical approach:
INCLUDED EXCLUDED
Free-to-air TV NO YES
Pay DTT channels NO YES
IPTV YES NO
Cable TV - Internet/PSTN access - Multichannel distribution PARTIALLY - Content creation
Satellite - Internet access - Multichannel distribution PARTIALLY - Content creation
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2. Revenues• Breakdowns: Total / mobile• Main issues:
Additional breakdowns not compa-rable because of ≠ revenue allocation
INCLUDED
Retail revenues from residential customers YES
Retail revenues from business customers YES
Wholesale revenues, e.g. interconnection revenues NO
Revenues from resellers and mobile virtual operators YES
VAT and excise taxes NO
Corporate taxes and administrative fees, e.g. numbering fees YES
(not to be deducted from total revenues)
Revenues from device sales and rents NO
Revenues from added value services, e.g. premium SMS YES
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Mobile revenues Other revenues
2. RevenuesTotal telecommunication revenues, end 2016
Mill
ion
USD
No data
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3. Investment• Only total investment• Definition of investment ≈ gross fixed capital formation (as in SNA)
Difficult to allocate investment to services
investment made by entities providing telecommunication networks and/or services (including fixed, mobile and Internet services, as well as the transmission of TV signals) for acquiring or upgrading fixed assets (usually referred to as CAPEX) less disinvestment owing to disposals of fixed assets
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3. Investment (cont.)• Main issues:
INCLUDED
Additions less disposals of tangible fixed assets YES
Additions less disposals of intangible fixed assets YES
Investment from national-owned operators in the country YES
Investment from foreign-owned operators in the country YES
Investment from national-owned operators outside the country NO
Licence fees NO
R&D expenditures YES
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
3. InvestmentAnnual investment in telecommunications, end 2016
Mill
ion
USD
No data
10’0
00
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7. Broadcasting
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ITU data on TV broadcasting
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TV broadcasting Content
Networks and devices √
Administrativerecords
Survey data
Data from operatorsCensusesHousehold surveys
Regulators, ministries National statistical offices
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ITU indicators on TV broadcasting
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EGTI proposed changes to administrative indicators on TV broadcasting:
TV subscriptions
IPTV OtherSatellite TVCable TV
TV p
latf
orm
Pay DTT
MMDS…
We are referring to pay TV
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Future work
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Expert Group on Telecommunication/ICT IndicatorsWork programme 2018
1. Indicators on spectrum allocation/assignment sub-group will be created within EGTI
2. Indicators on Quality of Service (QoS)
3. 5G related indicators and indicators on IoT availability
4. Indicators on convergence: fixed-mobile bundles
5. For experience sharing: indicators on OTT services (carry-over) and cybersecurity (supply side)
9th EGTI meeting: week 15 October 2018, Geneva
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Participation in EGTIRegistered forum Active forum Participation meeting
AlgeriaBahrainComorosDjiboutiEgyptIraqJordanKuwaitLebanonLibyaMauritaniaMoroccoOmanPalestineQatarSaudi ArabiaSomaliaSudanSyriaTunisiaUAEYemen