Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional...

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Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspective Presenter: Scott Cummins, Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia Pacific December, 2011 McDermott Asia Pacific © 2010 McDermott International, Inc. All rights reserved. 1

Transcript of Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional...

Page 1: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Managing Business Risk:

Asia Pacific – A Regional Perspective

Presenter: Scott Cummins, Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia Pacific

December, 2011

McDermott Asia Pacific

© 2010 McDermott International, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Page 2: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Today’s presentation – Introduction and overview

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Introduction and overview to McDermott Asia Pacific

– Who we are

– What we do

– Where we operate

– Our customers

– Variety and coverage of recent projects

Evolution of our business lines

Market Growth

McDermott Asia Pacific Key Business Challenges:

– Large-scale and mega projects

– Emergence of deepwater developments

– Shifting country demand patterns

– Local country geopolitical landscapes

– Establishing a local presence

Summary

Questions

Presenter: Scott Cummins

Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia Pacific

• Joined McDermott in 1986 • Held various positions in marine,

fabrication, project operations and executive management

• 18 years Asia Pacific industry experience

Page 3: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific - Who we are

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Established in 1970 Operating across Asia Pacific, from

as far north as Sakhalin Russia, to as far south as Tasmania, Australia Headquartered in Singapore with an

“on-the ground” business presence in Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam and China Significant regional presence with

circa 5,800 FTE Fabrication yards in Batam

Indonesia and Qingdao China (via JV with Wuchuan) Marine base in Batam Full EPCI capability within region

McDermott Asia Pacific

McDermott Asia Pacific a subsidiary of McDermott International Inc operating across the Asia Pacific region since 1970

McDermott International, Inc

Atlantic Middle East & Caspian

Asia Pacific

Serving the energy industry since 1923

Diversified fleet of marine vessels, fabrication facilities and engineering offices operating across more than 20 countries

14,000 employees globally

Annual revenues of USD $3B

We are a key pillar in McDermott Inc’s drive for growth and enhanced

profitability

Page 4: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific - What we do

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Engineering Procurement Construction Installation

Project & Risk Management

We deliver large-scale, complex, cross-boundary end-to-end EPCI projects for the oil and gas industry

Managing complexity and risk are key elements of what we do everyday

Concept Reality

Examples

• FEED, detailed & installation engineering for conventional & subsea structures in water depths of 0 -1,400m

• Typical conventional structures weighs from 200 to 25,000 Te

• 450,000 + man hours clocked in single large scale conventional project

• Globally source and procure materials and services, and manage complex supply chains

• Source/procure materials and services worth US$ 400m+ in a single project, managing 8,000+ purchase orders with individual invoices up to US$25m (Chevron Platong Gas II)

• Purchase & delivery of over 4,000 valves at a value of US$30m + for single project (Chevron Platong Gas II)

• Manage, engineer, fabricate, and assemble large complex structures incl. modules, jackets, integrated decks, spars and subsea equipment

• Engineered & fabricated largest jacket ever built in region (North Rankin B Substructure ~22,000 Te)

• Fabricated world-first & one of largest modular LNG facilities (Woodside LNG Train V: 75 modules weighing approx 18,000 Te)

• Load, transport and install complex structures and pipelines in a wide range of water depths and environments

• Conducted float-over installation of integrated topside weighing 21,000+ Te –the largest performed by MDR’s Intermac-650 (Chevron Platong Gas II)

• SURF Installation of flexible flowlines, umbilical & sub- sea manifold at water depths of 1,350m (Kikeh Phase II - Ongoing)

Activities

Page 5: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific - Where we operate

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Cover from New Zealand to East Coast Russia; from Myanmar to the Philippines

Employees represent 34 countries and territories

On the ground presence in 6 countries:

– Singapore (APAC HQ, Engineering office)

– Australia (2 business offices)

– China (1 JV)

– Indonesia (1 business office, fabrication yard, and marine base)

– Malaysia (1 business office)

– Vietnam (1 business office)

Deal with 10 official languages & many local dialects

Work in open and closed markets (via partnerships) alongside communist, socialist and democratic governments

Operate across vastly different weather conditions, with temperatures varying from zero to 40 ̊C, and exposure to weather extremes

McDermott Asia Pacific operates across an incredibly large and diverse region, with significant differences in language, cultures, business conditions and weather environments

Circa 1

1,0

00

km

Distance from Singapore

Sakhalin 7,000km

Melbourne 6,000km

Perth 4,000km

Qingdao 4,500km

Bangkok 1,400km

Ho Chi Minh 1,000km

Jakarta 800km

Kuala Lumpur 400km

Sakhalin Island

China

Vietnam Thailand

Malaysia

Indonesia

Australia

Singapore

Asia Pacific

Page 6: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific - Our customers

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We provide solutions to many companies, from large multinational exploration and production companies to JVs and smaller domestic operators - each with differing needs and expectations

Segment Key Customers Challenges and Needs

International Oil Companies

• Moving from traditional role as full equity developers to partial equity sharing and fee-for-services arrangements; often acting as a prime contractor

• Seeking certainty via technology leadership and expertise in design & delivery • Seeking effective risk management via partnerships with experienced service providers

Independent Oil Companies

• Higher risk disposition • Lower cost producers • Seeking technical leadership and lowest cost, time-efficient delivery • Apply differing approaches to managing and/or transferring risk

National Oil Companies (NOCs)

• Transforming from domestic, sovereign companies into global players via equity positions, alliances & JVs beyond national boarders

• Interests often aligned with host government social objectives • Looking to access and transfer knowledge and technology • Seeking lowest cost solution with maximum local and in-country content, • Expect contractors to independently manage greater elements of project risk

Joint Operating Companies

• JVs combined of nationals, Internationals and/or Independents • Require one-off customized and specialist solutions for specific projects • Seeking access to expertise, experience and technology at a competitive price • Expect contractors to independently manage greater elements of project risk

China

Malaysia

Thailand

Vietnam

Carigali-HESS

Carigali-PTTEPI

Lam Son JOC

Thang Long JOC

CH Mutiara

KPOC

Source: MDR analysis and information from Arthur D Little Prism Qtr 1, 2010

Since “One size does not fit all”, McDermott needs a highly flexible organization & operating model

Page 7: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific- Variety & coverage of recent projects

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Over the past few years, McDermott Asia Pacific have undertaken a vast array of geographically diverse and technically complex projects, each with their own unique features and challenges

Some Examples of our work across Asia Pacific

TGT Vietnam

Platong Gas II Thailand

North Belut Indonesia

North Rankin B Australia

Peregrino Brazil

Sakhalin Russia

Kikeh Malaysia

KTT Australia

Qingdao China

Page 8: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

McDermott Asia Pacific – Evolution of our business lines

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Conventional

Floating

Production

SURF

McDermott Asia Pacific has adapted and evolved to embrace significant change over the years as the market moved from conventional builds to more complex floating and SURF solutions for deep water, large-scale projects

Today: Four business lines

2000: One business line

Conventional

Onshore

Modules

Key Adaptation Challenges: • New business models • Physically larger facilities • Complex and integrated supply chains • New technologies and expertise • Specialist resources and skills • Investment in new /altered assets • Partnering to share risk and enhance

capability

Page 9: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

We’re excited by the growth prospect, but with it comes significant business challenge (but that’s a nice “problem” to have)

Asia Pacific – Market Growth

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Comments and Observations

Upward growth and investment driven by Asian demand for energy

Growing value reflects new deep water developments, which require new technologies and skills

Over 70% of the deepwater fields expected to come on line are gas-related

Seeing an increase in the number of large & mega projects

Attracting greater presence from traditional competitors and new players

Continued large-scale spend in Australia and re-emergence of Indonesia contributing to uplift

The market in which we operate continues to grow—almost oblivious to the wider western world’s economic woes—and provides both substantial opportunity and challenges

Indicative Global CAPEX by Region

Source: Infield Q3, 2010

0

5

10

15

20

25

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Ind

icat

ive

Glo

bal

CA

PEX

Trend of Global Capex by Region

Americas

Europe

Africa

Middle East & Caspian

Asia Pacific

Page 10: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – McDermott Asia Pacific’s key business challenges

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New projects are more complex and larger in size, which is challenging and changing the way we, our partners and our clients have traditionally operated

Our business focus has had to adapt and evolve to meet increasing demand in SURF & floater-related opportunities for deepwater developments

We foresee a significant change in demand patterns between countries, particularly with the revival of major growth prospects in Indonesia

We operate within an ever evolving and wide ranging spectrum of local business environments, each with unique challenges

The growth in the Asia Pacific market—whilst exciting—brings with it new business challenges and risks

Key business challenges

Large-scale and mega projects

Emergence of deepwater developments

Shifting country demand patterns

Local country geopolitical landscapes

Establishing a local presence and operating locally isn’t particularly easy and requires significant tenacity, effort and patience

Establishing a local presence

Page 11: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Large scale and mega projects

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• Attractiveness of project values are bringing increased and new competition into the region

• Size and economic benefit of project values are driving countries to be more restrictive and favor local operators and local content

• McDermott can’t always go it alone due to local restrictions or capability/capacity limitations, so there's a real need for partnering and risk sharing

Large-Scale Projects Indicative Contract Value & Size

• Larger projects (e.g. think market cap of a medium-sized entity) means new risk & exposures

• At the same time, they provide considerable opportunities, and each can be a market maker / game changer

• Traditional approaches are proving inadequate – new ways of operating are required

Facilities: 21,000 ST deck & 200-person living quarters platform, flare tripod and three bridges Water Depth: 75m

Chevron – Platong Gas II (EPCI)

0

5

10

15

2008 2009 2010 2011 In

dic

ativ

e C

on

trac

t V

alu

e Large Contracts

Medium Contracts

Small Contracts

5-fold increase in large

contracts

New projects coming on-line are becoming much more complex and larger in size, which is challenging and changing the way we, our partners and our clients have traditionally operated

Page 12: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Emergence of deepwater developments

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Comments and Observations

Four-fold uplift in overall value of work

Large-scale move from conventional to Floating solutions (ten-fold uplift in SURF-related opportunities and 30% in Floating)

Our business focus has had to adapt and evolve to meet overall increasing demand, especially for SURF & floater-related opportunities for deepwater developments

Challenges and Risks

• Competing with deepwater and floater specialists

• Availability and cost of specialist deepwater and SURF personnel

• Accuracy of cost estimates, capacity planning and forecasting

• Workloads of Proposal & Estimator resources

• Technology requirements for new solutions

• Asset availability (e.g. DP Crane vessel) and other asset constraints

• Higher cost bids due to complexity

Indicative Contract Value by Type over Time

This new business line growth will continue to challenge our resourcing, assets, skills and technical know-how

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Ind

icat

ive

Co

ntr

act

Val

ue

SURF

Floating

Conventional

Page 13: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Shifting country demand patterns

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We foresee a significant change in demand patterns between countries –for example, the revival of major growth prospects in Indonesia—which will require adopting new business models

Indicative Forecasted Demand Changes by Country (by % Value)

We are adopting new business models to reposition and optimize our assets and people to meet these changing requirements

Comments and Observations of Forecasted Bidding Activity

Significant shift in country focus

Australia still important, but less so

Explosive growth in Indonesia

Challenges and Risks

• Business continuity and agility

• Re-positioning to address changing regulatory rules and closed markets

• Local ownership and content requirements are a challenge

• Competing against price advantages for local companies

• Re-balancing and strengthening our in-country presence, resources and assets (including fabrication and vessels)

• Adopting new business models (including partnerships), organizational structures and resources to become more flexible and “local”

Source: Infield, forecasts, various news releases and McDermott AP analysis, 2011

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2010 - 2011 2012 - 13

Others

Vietnam

Malaysia

Indonesia

Australia

Page 14: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Local country geopolitical landscapes (1)

Broadly speaking, we see a number of key risk themes emerging across the specific geographic areas in which we operate, but alongside these there are significant market opportunities

Australia • Market has moved into deeper

water and is dictated by LNG market demand

Indonesia • Significant and large deep water

floating projects are in the pipeline

Challenges • Deepwater mega projects and physically

large facilities • Floating solutions required • Relatively open market but high

regulatory requirements • Increased pressure on operators to

achieve local content • Constrained and unionized labor supply

Challenges • Local content price preferences • Domestic marine capability required

and vessel age limits • Tendering restrictions on segregation of

early engineering and EPCI service • Intensified competition from local

contractors • Predictability or certainty of timing

Market Opportunity Examples* • Chevron Gorgon ($43B) • Inpex Ichthys ($25B) • Chevron Wheatstone ($25B) • Shell Prelude ($15B) • Woodside Browse ($32B) • ExxonMobil Scarborough

($20B)

Market Opportunity Examples* • Chevron Gendalo Gehem

($8B) • Inpex Abadi ($20B) • ENI Jangkrik ($4B)

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Note: * Approximate field development investment or expenditure Source: MDR analysis using Infield & various news releases, 2011

Page 15: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Local country geopolitical landscapes (2)

Broadly speaking, we see a number of key risk themes emerging across the specific geographic areas in which we operate, but alongside these there are significant market opportunities (continued)

Malaysia • No substantial finds in shallow

water • Growing SURF & floater markets • Marginal field development

underway

Vietnam • Shallow water development is

still the focus.

Challenges • Strict local licensing regime • Strengthening domestic marine sector • Government lead consolidation of

domestic fabricators and target to make Malaysia the No.1 Asia hub for deepwater oil & gas service.

Challenges • Directives issued to further support

local participation and content in oil and gas infrastructure projects

• Increased competition from local and international contractors

Market Opportunity Examples* • Murphy Kikeh ($6B) • Kebabanggan ($6B) • Shell Gumusut ($8B) • Shell Malikai ($10B) • Murphy Block H ($8B)

Market Opportunity Examples* • Chevron Block B ($4B)

16 Note: * Approximate field development investment or expenditure Source: MDR analysis using Infield & various news releases, 2011

Page 16: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Asia Pacific – Establishing a local presence

Establishing a local presence and operating locally isn’t particularly easy and requires significant tenacity, effort and patience, but the long-term rewards are substantial

Qingdao - China • Qingdao McDermott Wuchuan JV • Established in 2008

Challenges • A single facility servicing

multiple markets • Training a fluctuating work force • Working within local customs

and practices • Managing through economic

peaks & troughs • Language and cultural

differences

Source: MDR analysis using Infield & various news releases, 2011 17

Batam – Indonesia • Established in 1971

Benefits • Local presence in Indonesia • Meet local content requirements • Low cost fabrication for international

projects • Centrally located to service Asia Pacific

region • Flexible, low cost labor supply

Challenges • Four years to establish a 50 year

joint venture with Wuchuan • Approval processes complex –

nothing is “straight forward” • Achieving organic growth • Language and cultural

differences, as well as partner expectations

Benefits • Low cost fabrication facility • Access to new capabilities to support

floating solutions • Risk sharing • Establishes platform for working more

closely with China-based industries • Complements our Batam facility and

regional supply chain strategy

Page 17: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

A challenging environment…

McDermott Asia Pacific – Summary

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In summary, we’ve learned a lot from operating in Asia Pacific over the past 40+ years, and our future success will continue to be predicated on local knowledge and a balanced approach

• A focused strategy predicated on selectivity; countries, clients, partners, projects, contract approaches.

• Adaptability to foresee future market trends, meet new technical requirements, provide value to diverse needs, assess and manage risk.

• Use of proven control and feedback mechanisms. Strategic initiatives, Business acquisition, Project execution. Rigorous and continuous evaluation involving all levels of the organization

Emergence of deep water developments

Shifting country demand patterns

Local country geopolitical landscapes

Establishing a local presence

… requires a balanced approach…

Local knowledge &

understanding

Selectivity

Adaptability Control

...to optimize key success criteria

Large-scale and mega projects

Page 18: Managing Business Risk: Asia Pacific A Regional Perspectiveecrisponsor.org/Npresentations/ams1-2.pdf · 2019. 2. 16. · Summary Questions Presenter: Senior VP and GM, McDermott Asia

Questions

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“Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls, and looks like work” - Thomas A. Edison

Ceasing work and sheltering from bad weather & rough seas off coast of Sakhalin, Russia 2011

1.25km “shore pull” pipeline installation in heavy fog off the coast of Sakhalin, Russia 2011

Inset: shore pull pipeline installation

“Nobody can really guarantee the future. The best we can do is size up the chances, calculate the risks involved, estimate our ability to deal with them and make our plans with confidence” - Henry Ford II

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