Managerial Performance Evaluation with Residual Income ... · Residual Income — Limited...
Transcript of Managerial Performance Evaluation with Residual Income ... · Residual Income — Limited...
Managerial Performance Evaluation with
Residual Income — Limited Investment
Budget and NPV-Maximization
Alwine Mohnen*
Department of Business Administration
University of Cologne
December 2003
* Department of Business Administration, University of Cologne, Herbert-Lewin-Strasse 2, 50931 Cologne, Germany, Phone: +49-221-6310, Fax: +49—221-5078, E-mail:[email protected]
Abstract
If the investment budget is limited, not all profitable projects can be re-
alized. Then the principal desires the agent to select the NPV-maximizing
set of projects. Residual income does not solve this problem if the agent
is impatient. Even the relative benefit cost allocation scheme proposed by
Rogerson does not provide a solution. In this paper we show how this goal
can be achieved under the same information structure as in Rogerson (1997)
or Reichelstein (1997). The result can be interpreted as an annuity benefit
cost allocation scheme. Periodic shifts of the cash flows are used, which lead
to a performance measure reflecting the NPV-ranking in each period.
1 Introduction
In many principal agent relationships the agent decides about investments
because he is better informed about the investment opportunities. Thus,
the principal’s aim is to achieve goal congruence between his selection of
projects and the agent’s. Accordingly, the principal’s objective is to mo-
tivate the agent to accept projects with an expected positive net present
value (NPV ) to maximize the value of the investment portfolio. This special
delegation relationship has been an important research field in recent years
(Reichelstein, 1997 and 2000; Reichelstein and Dutta, 1999a and 1999b and
also 2002; Wagenhofer, 1999; Dutta, 2003).
It is well known that this problem can be solved by introducing residual in-
come as a performance measure, because the present value of residual incomes
over a project’s entire life can be shown to equal the NPV (Preinreich, 1937
and 1938; Lücke, 1955). This consistency property is called ”weak” goal
congruence (Baldenius, Fuhrmann and Reichelstein, 1999:54). Even if the
investment budget is limited, residual income achieves goal congruence as
long as agent and principal have the same planning horizon and use identical
discount rates. In this case the desired NPV-maximizing projects will be se-
lected. What drives this result, is the consistency with the NPV. In the case
of an unlimited budget all projects with an ex ante expected positive NPV
will be undertaken. In the case of a constrained budget the agent ranks the
projects in the same way as the NPV does. The only condition that has to
be satisfied, is that the agent receives a constant share of all residual incomes.
Consequently, the present value of his bonuses for any project is the same
constant portion of each project’s NPV. Therefore he ranks the projects in
the same way as the NPV does and selects the NPV -maximizing investment
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portfolio.
But often the agent is myopic, i.e. he has a shorter time horizon or uses a
higher discount rate. In an extreme case an impatient agent might just look at
the next period’s outcome. Due to the fact that the principal does not know
how impatient his agent is, periodic consistency between the performance
measure of any period and the NPV is necessary. For this purpose the
relative benefit cost allocation scheme as established by Rogerson (1997)
provides a specific solution. He finds an allocation rule for the investment
costs, resulting in all expected residual incomes of a project having the same
sign as the expected NPV. This property is called ”strong” goal congruence
(Baldenius, Fuhrmann and Reichelstein, 1999:55,58-60). In addition Rei-
chelstein (1997) demonstrates in a principal agent model that the residual
income in combination with Rogerson’s allocation rule is the unique (linear)
performance measure that achieves strong goal congruence in this context.
This performance measure results in the acceptance of all projects with an
expected positive net present value.
If, however, the investment budget is constrained, which is often the case, not
all profitable projects can be undertaken. The agent has to select a subset of
the possible projects. But if he has a shorter time horizon than the life span
of the longest project or a higher discount rate than the principal, his project
selection might not be NPV -maximizing. We demonstrate by using a coun-
terexample that the relative benefit cost allocation scheme fails to achieve
goal congruence in this case. It follows, that strong goal congruence generally
does not induce the NPV -maximizing investment selection. The principal
seeks to design a performance measure which creates goal congruence in a
way, that the agent should have an incentive to select the NPV -maximizing
portfolio of investment projects. Accordingly, our aim is to create a perfect
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goal congruent performance measure:1 In each period the ranking of projects
by the performance measure residual income is identical to the ranking by
NPV.
In this paper we establish an allocation rule of cash flows, which obtains
a stronger goal congruence between the agent and the principal. We need
a performance measure, which ensures that it is optimal for the agent to
select the NPV -maximizing portfolio. Hence, we have to ensure periodic
consistency between the performance measure and the NPV -rankings.
This means, if a project has a higher NPV than another, the residual in-
comes of the more profitable project exceed those of the less profitable one
in every period. The idea behind our solution is, that there exists an al-
location of the residual incomes over a project’s lifetime, which guarantees
that the agent chooses the NPV-maximizing investment portfolio even if he
looks only at a single period. For this purpose we look for an allocation rule
which "transfers" cash flows into accruals so that different projects are com-
parable. The determination of accruals, that means the determination of the
asset base and the allocation of benefits and costs, remains crucial for the
consistency between the performance measure and NPV -rankings. We show
that perfect goal congruence can be reached by using an annuity benefit cost
allocation scheme. The corresponding periodic shifts of the cash flows can be
interpreted as provisions or as receivables. Consequently our annuity benefit
cost allocation scheme allows a comparison of different projects, even if just
one period is considered. At last, it is very important to mention, that we
1Yet, Egginton (1995) required this kind of periodic consistency, a consistency betweenindividual ex ante residual incomes and NPV s. He finds a depreciation method, thatachieves periodic consistency for projects with equal life. But to reach this, he needs somuch information, that the NPV itself could be used. Therefore he argues, that residualincome does not satisfy the desired requirements.
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now use the same information structure as Rogerson (1997) or Reichelstein
(1997) to achieve this goal.
Our performance measure leads us to a wider and more realistic field of
application. So far it was only possible to motivate the agent to accept
all projects with a positive NPV. Here we establish a performance measure
inducing the optimal selection of investment projects, that the NPV will be
maximized. This is necessary in the very realistic case of a limited investment
budget or for alternative project decisions.
The paper is organized as follows. In section 2 we shortly describe the results
by Rogerson (1997) and Reichelstein (1997) and demonstrate that they are
not sufficient to achieve the NPV-maximizing project selection. In section 3
a solution for these limitations is developed by using a special allocation rule
for accruals, the "perfect" and the "annuity" benefit cost allocation scheme
which attain perfect goal congruence. Our findings are summarized in section
4.
2 Recent results and their limits
2.1 The model
We analyze the following situation. An owner (principal) delegates his in-
vestment decisions to a better informed manager (agent). In t = 0 the agent
decides about the realization of investment projects. A possible project Pi
∈ P can be described by Pi = (ai,c1i, c2i, . . . cni) with ai being the initial cash
outflow and cti, t = 1, . . . , n the periodic cash flows during the project’s life
span of n periods. By P ⊂ Rn+1 we denote the domain of possible projects
at t = 0. All cash in- and outflows are received or issued directly by the
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principal. Agent and principal learn the initial investment ai of a realized
project, but in t = 0 the expected cash flows E [cti] associated with a project
Pi are known only by the agent. Similarly to the models of Rogerson (1997)
and Reichelstein (1997), we assume that the cash flow in period t for project
i is given by
cti = xti · yi + εti (1)
where the noise terms εti are independently and identically distributed with
E[εti] = 0. Consequently the expected cash flows are E[cti] = xti ·yi.Withoutloss of generality the time horizon is the same for each possible project.2 The
parameter yi is called profitability factor and {xti}nt=1 reflects the temporaldistribution of cash flows. As in Rogerson (1997) or Reichelstein (1997) we
assume that the distributional parameters xti are known to both parties,
whereas yi is private information of the agent.
The owner’s aim is to maximize the NPV of the investment portfolio. His
ex ante expected utility equals the expected NPV of all realized projects:
E£UP¤=
Xi
nXt=1
µE [cti]
(1 + rP )t− ai
¶· I(Pi)
=Xi
E [NPVi] · I(Pi) (2)
with I(Pi) = 1, if project Pi is undertaken and I(Pi) = 0 if Pi is rejected.
The principal has a constant discount rate rP .
The agent has a utility function
E£UA¤= E
"nAXt=1
wt
(1 + rA)t
#2Note that of course if one project stops to generate (expected) cash flows at some
earlier date than n, then xti = 0 for the last periods before n.
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which is (weakly) monotonically increasing in his wages wτ of all periods. We
assume that the agent is more impatient than the principal. For instance, he
uses a constant discount rate rA with rA > rP or principal and agent may
have different planning horizons nA, nP with nA < nP .3 We assume that
the planning horizon of the principal exceeds the life span of the possible
projects. rA and nA are hidden information to the principal. He only knows
the fact that the agent is impatient but he doesn’t know how impatient he
is.
Both riskneutral parties sign a linear compensation contract.4 The wage is
assumed to be linear in a performance measure Πt and hence
wt = Ft + st ·Πt. (3)
with Ft being a fixed amount in t, st a premium rate and Πt the performance
measure in t. The agent maximizes his utility and therefore he grounds his
investment decision on the present value of his ex ante expected bonuses.
Additionally, we allow a transformation of cash flows into accruals, which has
to be controllable by the principal. Accordingly, the transformation rule is
based on realized cash flows. As we accept the assumption that an accounting
system is able to transform ai and cti separately for each project, we describe
a general performance measure for a project i as follows:
Πti = αti · cti − βti · ai (4)
The allocation rules αti and βti have to be designed to provide the desired
3Reichelstein (1997:166) offers several explanations for the manager’s impatience.4As we achieve the first best solution, the assumption of a linear contract is no con-
straint.
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incentives. For the performance of a whole period follows
Πt =Xi
(αti · cti − βti · ai) · I(Pi).
In our analysis, the performance measure is determined by accruals. An
accrual accounting system defines performance in each period by matching
costs and benefits.
2.2 Residual income and relative benefit cost alloca-
tion schedule
In the main part of the recent literature it is assumed αti ≡ 1, ∀i, t (Rei-chelstein, 1997; Rogerson, 1997). That means, that all operative cash flows
directly equal accruals, hence no ”real“ allocation rule between operative cash
flows and accruals is used. Only the initial cash outflow ai is allocated by
βti over a project’s life span. We now summarize the results obtained in this
scenario and examine which "degree" of goal congruence can be obtained, if
the only difference between a cash flow based performance measure and one
based on accruals is the transformation of the investment cash outflow.
Weak Goal Congruence
In a world with a perfect capital market the principal’s aim is to realize all
projects with an expected positive net present value, that is, he wants the
agent to undertake all projects withPn
t=1E[cti](1+rP )t
−ai > 0. In such an environ-ment it is well known that residual income RI induces the right investment
decision, because this performance measure fulfills the weak goal congruence
property, i.e. the present value of the expected residual incomes equals the
expected NPV of each project,Pn
t=1E[RIti](1+rP )t
= E [NPV i]. This property is
also called conservation property of residual income and is well known in
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literature. Unless the agent has the same time preferences as the principal
he realizes all projects with a positive expected NPV. Residual income is
defined as profit minus an interest charge for the assets employed. If αt = 1
residual income is defined by RIti = cti − dti · ai − rP ·Bt−1,i. It is calculated
by operative cash flows, cti, minus a depreciation charge, dti · ai, and minusan interest charge for the book value of the assets employed, rP ·Bt−1,i. The
depreciation schedule can be chosen freely as long asPn
t=1 dti = 1. Only the
interest charge for the book value Bt−1,i has to be accounted by rP ·Bt−1,i. Ac-
cording to the familiar notion of ”clean surplus accounting“ we assume that
the book value at the beginning of period t = 1 equals the investment cash
outflow. The book value in the following periods is reduced by depreciation
rates dti, these rates determine the depreciation for a project i in period t. In
accordance with the depreciation schedule the book value at the beginning of
period t equals Bt,i =¡1−Pt−1
τ=1 dτi¢ · ai. Consequently, our allocation rule
βti in the performance measure equation (4) can be described by
βti = −"dti + rP
Ã1−
t−1Xτ=1
dτi
!#(5)
Hence, it follows for our performance measure
ΠRIti = αti · cti − βti · ai
= cti − dti · ai − rP ·Bt−1,i.
That the conservation property holds for a single project was already proved
by Preinreich (1937, 1938) or by Lücke (1955). That this still holds for a set
of projects is shown in Reichelstein (1997:163):
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Xi
nXt=1
ΠRIti
(1 + rP )t=Xi
NPV i.
This is still true for the expected values, because the expected values of
the random variables equal zero. If principal and agent apply the same
discount rate, the conservation property of residual income ensures weak goal
congruence, provided that all bonus coefficients are identical, i.e. st ≡ s. No
restrictions are imposed on the depreciation schedule, exceptPn
t=1 dti = 1.
Strong Goal Congruence
In a more general case of an impatient agent, i.e. in the case of an higher
discount rate of the agent rA ≥ rP or in the case of a shorter time horizon of
the agent nA ≤ nP , weak goal congruence is not sufficient to introduce the
desired investment decision. The present value of the bonus payments cal-
culated by an impatient agent does not generally equal the NPV . Rogerson
(1997:789-791) offers a solution for this scenario, the relative benefit cost al-
location schedule. He designs a cost allocation βti of the initial investment in
a way that it takes into account the intertemporal allocation of cash flows.5
βti =xtiPn
τ=1xτi
(1+rP )τ
(6)
The intuition behind this special allocation scheme is that costs are allocated
according to the periodic returns. That means in periods with high returns
(xti high), high portions of the investment costs are allocated and in periods
with low returns (xti low), low costs are considered and if the return is zero in
a period (xti = 0) no investment costs are allocated. The resulting modified
5Rogerson (1997) has to restrict the domain of possible projects by xt ≥ 0,∀t. Ageneralization of this problem can be found in Mohnen (2002).
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residual income is
ΠRIti = cti − xtiPn
τ=1xτi
(1+rP )τ
· ai. (7)
The allocated periodic investment costs can be split into a depreciation and
an interest charge (for example Reichelstein, 1997:168), so that the perfor-
mance measure is still a kind of residual income. Under the assumption of
all distribution parameters being positive, it can be shown easily that for the
relative benefit cost allocation schedule the expected residual income in each
period of the life span is positive (negative), only if the expected NPV is
positive (negative) (Reichelstein, 1997):
E£ΠRIti
¤= E [cti]− xtiPn
τ=1xτi
(1+rP )τ
· ai
=xtiPn
τ=1xτi
(1+rP )τ
·Ã
nXτ=1
xτi(1 + rP )τ
xti · yixti
− ai
!
=xtiPn
τ=1xτi
(1+rP )τ
·
nXτ=1
xτi · yi(1 + rP )τ
− ai| {z }
E[NPVi]
Therefore, the manager has an incentive to invest in all projects with a
positive expected NPV, even if he looks at just one period. In contrast to
the case with identical discount rates and identical planning horizons of agent
and principal, the depreciation schedule is now determined uniquely by the
relative benefit cost allocation scheme. According to a positive contribution
to the agent’s utility in each period, the bonus coefficients can vary between
periods if the expected NPV is positive,
To summarize these results, we list the properties of the performance measure
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residual income:
• If the allocation rule βti is determined by −£dti + rP
¡1−Pt−1
τ=1 dτi¢¤,
the performance measure equals residual income which ensures the con-
servation property. The present value of all residual incomes equals
the NPV. Under the assumptionPn
t=1 dti = 1 weak goal congruence is
achieved.
• Residual income achieves strong goal congruence if the relative benefitcost allocation scheme, βti =
xtiPnτ=1
xτi(1+rP )
τ, is used and if every distri-
bution parameter is nonnegative, xti ≥ 0. Hence, residual income is apositive multiple of the NPV in each period. Consequently, an impa-
tient agent realizes all projects with an expected positive NPV, too.
These properties are achievable in the ex ante situation, which is the relevant
view to induce the desired investment decision. So in a perfect capital market
goal congruence between agent and principal is reachable because the agent
has an incentive to realize all projects with an ex ante expected positive
NPV.
2.3 Limits of the relative benefit cost allocation scheme
Now, we look at nearly the same situation, but we assume a limited budget,
so that not all projects can be realized. To keep things simple, we consider
a case with just two possible projects, i = 1, 2. Due to the limited budget,
only one of them can be realized. Generally, in a case with a limited budget
the principal wants the agent to maximize the expected NPV by his project
selection. With regard to our simplification with only two possible projects,
it is the principal’s aim to realize the project with the higher (expected)
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NPV. Whether goal congruence is still achieved, depends on the cash flow
structure of the two projects.
Proposition 1 Given xt1 = xt2,∀t, goal congruence is achieved. The agentselects the project with the higher expected NPV.
Proof
E [RIti] = xtiyi − ai · xtiPnj=1
xji(1+rP )j
=xtiPn
j=1xji
(1+rP )j
nXj=1
xji(1 + rP )j
yi − ai| {z }
E[NPV i]
q.e.d.
If xt1 = xt2,∀t, the same fraction of each E [NPV i] , i = 1, 2, is reflected in
every period. Thus, the agent selects the project with the higher expected
NPV , whatever his time preference is.
If, however, xt1 6= xt2 this is obviously no longer the case. It is instructive to
consider an example (see Pfaff, 1999:67-68 for another example).
Example:
Each project requires an initial investment of 70,000. We assume that agent
and principal have a discount rate of 10%.
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Project 1
t E [ct1]E[ct1](1+r)t
xt1 βt1 · a1 E£ΠRIt1
¤ P E[ΠRIt1 ]
(1+r)t
1 15,000 13,636 0.15 14,255 745 677
2 15,000 12,397 0.15 14,255 745 1,293
3 20,000 15,026 0.20 19,007 993 2,039
4 25,000 17,075 0.25 23,759 1,241 2,887
5 25,000 15,523 0.25 23,759 1,241 3,658
Project 2
t E [ct2]E[ct2](1+r)t
xt2 βt2 · a2 E£ΠRIt2
¤ P E[ΠRIt2 ]
(1+r)t
1 20,000 18,182 0.21 19,066 934 849
2 25,000 20,661 0.26 23,833 1,167 1,814
3 20,000 15,026 0.21 19,066 934 2,515
4 15,000 10,245 0.16 14,300 700 2,993
5 15,000 9,314 0.16 14,300 700 3,428
Over the whole planning horizon of 5 periods project 1 has a higher E [NPV ]
than project 2. Namely, E [NPV 1] = 3, 658 is higher than E [NPV 2] =
3, 428. Assume the agent gains a fixed share of the residual incomes. If the
planning horizon of the agent is shorter than 5 periods he will not decide
according to NPV -maximization. Due to the fact that he is only interested
in the present value of his expected bonuses he selects project 2 which has
a lower expected NPV than project 1. For instance, if he only looks at the
next 3 periods the present value of the expected residual incomes is 2,039 for
project 1 and 2,515 for project 2. Thus he selects the second one. Only if his
planning horizon is 5 periods he will select the NPV-maximizing project 1.
The same is true, if the agent uses a higher discount rate even though his
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planning horizon is longer than 5 periods. If his discount rate is at least 26%
he will not choose project 1, because the E [NPV ] of project 1 is 2,440 and
of project 2 is 2,441 for a discount rate of 26%.
From this counterexample we can conclude:
Proposition 2 In general, the relative benefit cost allocation scheme fails to
achieve perfect goal congruence.
Evidently, an impatient agent does not in every case select the project with
the highest expected NPV because he does not take into account the resid-
ual incomes of each period or he discounts them with a higher discount rate.
The relative benefit cost allocation scheme ensures that the expected perfor-
mance measure has the same sign in each period as the expected NPV of
each project, but it does not ensure that the same portion of each project’s
expected NPV is reflected in each period. Consequently, an incentive to
choose the NPV-maximizing portfolio is not induced.
The present value of the agent’s premiums of a project i is given by
nXt=1
s · E £ΠRIti
¤(1 + rAt)t
= s ·nXt=1
1
(1 + rA)t·µ
xtiPnτ=1 xτi · (1 + rP )−τ
· E [NPV i]
¶= s ·
Pnt=1 xti · (1 + rA)
−tPnτ=1 xτi · (1 + rP )−τ
·E [NPV i] , (8)
if the premium rate is constant. With regard to the project selection out of
the domain P, the factorPn
t=1 xti·(1+rA)−tPnτ=1 xτi·(1+rP )−τ shows that it is generally not true,
that an impatient agent (with either a higher discount rate or a shorter time
horizon6) selects the same subset of profitable projects as the principal does,
even if the premium rate is constant.
6Then the factor equalsPnA
t=1 xti·(1+rA)−tPnτ=1 xτi·(1+rP )−τ .
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The above mentioned example demonstrates that in the case of a limited
investment budget or in the case of competing projects the postulation of
strong goal congruence in the sense of same signs of residual income and NPV
in each period and for each project is not strong enough to induce the NPV-
maximizing range of projects, if the agent is impatient. The application of
both, residual income and the allocation rule relative benefit cost allocation
scheme, is so far restricted to the selection of all projects with a positive
expected NPV. However, the investment budget is often limited or you have
to select between alternative projects. Hence, it is important to ask the
question of whether a different way of constructing a performance measure
can be found that induces the right choice of investment projects.7
3 Perfect Goal Congruence
3.1 Definition
It is our aim to construct a perfect goal congruent performance measure under
the same informational assumptions as in Reichelstein (1997) or Rogerson
(1997). This aim seems to be unreachable, as Reichelstein (1997:168-169)
shows, that the relative benefit cost allocation schedule in (6) is the unique
method for achieving goal congruence if the discount rate of the agent is
unknown and higher than the principal’s one. However, Reichelstein and
Rogerson solely regard a special kind of residual income in their analysis.
They both assume indirectly that αti ≡ 1. Consequently all operative cash7Egginton (1995:213f) analyzes the ”maintainable” residual income. He uses a depre-
ciation charge that gives a constant ex ante residual income in each year of a project’slife. But it provides periodic consistency only for projects of equal life, it cannot copethe ranking of unequal lives. The most critical point of his method is the informationstructure. To control the performance measure the principal has to know the NPV of aproject. In that case, the principal could directly base the agent’s premium on the NPV.
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flows cti equal accruals8 in the same period, equation (4) is then restricted to
ΠRIti = cti−βti ·ai. Obviously, only the investment cash outflow ai is allocated
by using an allocation rule βti. In fact, under the informational assumptions
by Rogerson and Reichelstein there is no reason why the operative cash
flows cti should not be reallocated over a project’s entire life span. The cash
flows cti are verifiable. An allocation rule based on realized cash flows is not
manipulable as far as the allocation of ai is not. Regarding accounting rules
in practice, we also find some reallocation rules for realized cash flows, for
example provisions. Therefore, we will now show that the problem of project
selection can be solved if we allow for a reallocation of operative cash flows.
We are able to find a performance measure that motivates the agent to select
the NPV -maximizing set of projects.
We define perfect goal congruence as follows:
Definition 1 Given E[NPVi] > (<)E[NPVj], perfect goal congruence is
achieved if and only if E[ΠRIti ] > (<)E[Π
RItj ], ∀i, j, t.
If the agent has to decide between alternative projects, a perfect goal con-
gruent performance measure induces the right investment decision.
3.2 A class of perfect goal congruent performance mea-
sures
The definition of perfect goal congruence seems to be difficult to fulfill. In
contrast to Reichelstein (1997) or Rogerson (1997) we consider the decision
between projects and not the decision about separable projects. Our aim is to
make the possible projects ex ante comparable in the performance measure of
8Cost or benefits, in frameworks of Reichelstein (1997) or Rogerson (1997) benefitsbecause they assume only positive operative cash flows.
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each period. In our model it would be sufficient, if the expected performance
measure is a positive portion of the expected NPV, but the portion of the
expected NPV has to be the same for all projects. Hence, we have obtained
the following simple result:
Lemma 1 If
E[Πti] = γt · E[NPVi], (9)
with γt > 0,∀i, t, is achieved, perfect goal congruence as defined in the lastsection is obtained.
The factor γt merely depends on the period index t and is independent of
the project index i.9 This means, that in period t, the same share γt of each
expected NPV equals the expected performance measure, E[Πti], of each
possible project Pi.10 This must be true for every period. Hence, if we were
able to construct a performance measure fulfilling this property, we would
achieve a class of goal congruent performance measures.
We now demonstrate, that the principal indeed has enough information to
ensure E[Πti] = γt ·E[NPVi]. First, we transform equation (9) into:
E[Πti] = γt · E[NPVi]
= γt ·Ã
nXt=1
xti · yi(1 + rP )t
− ai
!
= γt · yi ·nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
− γt · ai. (10)
9Reichelstein (1997) and Rogerson (1997) require that E[Πti] = γti · E[NPVi] withγti > 0. This difference also illustrates why it is impossible to reach perfect goal congruenceif only the initial cash outflow is allocated over time.10Also equation (8) induces, that the principal has to ensure the same portion of each
expected NPV as performance measure in each period. The principal does not know thediscount factor of the agent, so he can just ensure that xtiPn
τ=1 xτi·(1+rP )−τ is the same factorfor each project in each period.
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To assure that E[Πti] = γt ·E[NPVi] for some vector of positive constants γt,
we have to show that there are values for αti and βti, such that the expected
value of our performance measure defined in equation (4), E[Πti] = αti ·E [cti] − βti · ai, equals γt · E[NPVi] in every period. Therefore,
αti ·E [cti]− βti · ai, has to equal equation (10):
αti · E [cti]− βti · ai = γt · yi ·nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
− γt · ai, ∀(yi,ai) ∈ R2.
This is equivalent toÃαti · xti − γt ·
nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
!· yi− (βti − γt) · ai = 0, ∀(yi,ai) ∈ R2. (11)
Since yi and ai can vary for each possible project Pi ∈ P, the two coefficientsfor yi and ai, the terms in brackets, have to be zero, in order for the left-hand
side of (11) to be identically equal zero. Hence,
αti · xti − γt ·nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
= 0
and
βti − γt = 0.
From these equations we can directly infer that a perfect goal congruent
performance measure can be constructed as follows:
αti =γtxti·
nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
(12)
and
βti = γt (13)
18
for an arbitrary vector of γt. We call this class of allocation rules, (12)
together with (13), "perfect" benefit cost allocation rules.
The principal ex ante knows the distribution of the expected cash flows. So he
can setup an allocation rule αti based on the distributional parameters and he
can choose a parameter γt > 0. Hence, we obtain the following proposition.
Proposition 3 Perfect goal congruence is achieved, if the agent is rewarded
on the basis of the performance measure, Πti = αti · cti − βti · ai, where theallocation rule, αti =
γtxti·Pn
t=1xti
(1+rP )twith γt > 0, is used to reallocate
operative cash flows into accruals and the allocation rule, βti = γt, is used to
allocate the investment cost.
A perfect goal congruent investment decision is induced, because the agent
bases his investment decision on his expected bonuses. Independently of the
premium rate st he maximizes his utility function, if he chooses the NPV -
maximizing subset of projects.
In view of the fact that the performance measure should be a residual income
ensuring that weak goal congruence still holds, we have to examine whether
the conservation property holds. The following corollary shows that we can
indeed find values for γt such that this objective is obtained.
Corollary The perfect benefit cost allocation rule results in a residual income
as a performance measure if and only ifPn
t=1γt
(1+rP )t= 1.
ProofnXt=1
E [Πti]
(1 + rP )t= E [NPVi]
⇔
19
nXt=1
γt · yi ·³Pn
t=1xti
(1+rP )t
´− γt · ai
(1 + rP )t=
nXt=1
xti · yi(1 + rP )t
− ai
⇔
yi ·Ã
nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
!·Ã
nXt=1
γt(1 + rP )t
− 1!=
ÃnXt=1
γt(1 + rP )t
− 1!· ai
⇔nXt=1
γt(1 + rP )t
= 1.
q.e.d.
Thus, weak goal congruence is obtained.
An important issue is, that the premium rate can vary over time to ensure
perfect goal congruence. The reason behind this result is, that the ranking
of the projects in each period by the expected performance measure is the
same as the ranking by NPV. It does not matter whether the premium rates
vary between periods.
3.3 Annuity benefit cost allocation scheme
To compare projects over time, it is useful to ensure a constant expected
performance measure for each project over it’s entire life span. Then the
same constant portion of a project’s expected NPV is allocated over the
entire life time of a project. If the performance measure is still a residual
income such a constant expected value has to equal the expected annuity
20
of a project according to the conservation property of the residual income
concept. Consequently, the value of a project is equally allocated across all
periods and the value contribution of each project is correctly reflected over
the project’s life span. The following allocation rule provides a solution to
achieve this constant value contribution.
Proposition 4 If γt =1Pn
t=1γ
(1+rP )t, ∀t, then the expected performance mea-
sures equals the expected annuity.
ProofnXt=1
γ
(1 + rP )t= 1
⇔γ =
1Pnt=1
γ(1+rP )t
⇔γ = ArP
where ArP denotes the annuity factor, ArP =³Pn
t=1γ
(1+rP )t
´−1= (1+rP )
n·rP(1+rP )n−1 .
For the expected performance measure follows:
αti · E [cti]− βti · ai =ArP
xti·
nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
·E [cti]−ArP · ai
= ArP ·Ã
nXt=1
xti · yi(1 + rP )t
− ai
!= ArP ·E[NPVi]
= E[ANi]
with ANi as the annuity of project i.
q.e.d.
21
We call this allocation rule the annuity benefit cost allocation scheme.
Perfect goal congruence is achieved in this special case of the annuity benefit
cost allocation scheme because the expected performance of each project
in each period equals the expected annuity of a project. In the case of
two projects having the same expected NPV, the agent will be indifferent
because both expected performance measures are equal in each period. In
the case of projects with different expected NPV, the expected bonus of a
more profitable project is higher than that of a less profitable one. It follows,
that the agent has an incentive to select the set of NPV -maximizing projects
independently of his time preference.
The designed performance measure is a residual income, because the con-
servation property still holds. The allocation of the investment costs can
be separated into a depreciation charge and an interest charge for the book
value. The depreciation schedule is uniquely fixed by the investment alloca-
tion rule βti. Strong goal congruence is also reached, because every perfect
goal congruent performance measure has the property of strong goal congru-
ence, too.
The annuity of a project reflects the profitability of a project in each period,
because it is a uniform distribution of the NPV over a project’s life span.
To calculate this figure or its expectation, you normally use the NPV resp.
E[NPV ] and the annuity factor. Accordingly, it seems to be impossible to
create such an annuity performance measure without having all information
about a project. For example, one might think that the principal ex ante
needs to know all expected cash flows of a project to induce the right incen-
tives. He can do this, however, even though he has not all this information,
because it is sufficient to have the information about the distribution para-
22
meters. It is not necessary to know the profitability parameters. It follows
that we donot have to change the information structure, it remains the same
as in Reichelstein or Rogerson.
3.4 Application in an accounting system
So far the principal is able to calculate the perfect or the annuity benefit cost
allocation scheme. Thus, he has to instruct the transformation of the original
distributional parameters of the cash flows into the distributional parameters
of the accruals.11 In our model we have found a solution, but how can it be
used in practice? Residual income is a measure usually calculated in an
accounting system.12 Therefore we now "translate" our allocation rule into
"accounting terms".
By using periodic shifts of the original cash flows, we can obtain the desired
distribution of accruals. To illustrate the annuity benefit cost allocation rule
we construct an annuity distribution. We have a look at the following original
cash flow distribution (x1i, x2i, . . . , xki, . . . , xk+l,i, . . . , xni) of a single project.
We assume that all distributional parameters equal the annuity distribution
xAi = αti · xti= ArP ·
nXt=1
xti(1 + rP )t
,
except xki and xk+l,i. Therefore, one of the two parameters is less than xAi
and the other one is higher than xAi.
11Dutta and Zhang (2002) examine how various revenue recognition principles affect theincentive properties of performance measures based on aggregated accounting data.12See Dutta and Reichelstein (2003) for the use of alternative accrual accounting rules
from an incentive and control perspective.
23
If in period k the original distributional parameter is less than xAi we can
"transfer" cash flows which originally belong the period k + l to period k.
That means that the recognition of these cash flows in the accounting system
occurs in an earlier period than their realization. In this case we have to
consider an interest effect. Assume we need ξ · xk+l,i, 0 ≤ ξ ≤ 1, in k to
reach xAi. In period k the distributional parameter is calculated by xki+
ξ · xk+l,i = xAi. Then in period k + l we have to subtract ξ · xk+l,i · (1 + rP )l
because of the interest effect between these two dates.
In the opposite case, i.e. in period k+ l the original distributional parameter
is less than xAi, we "shift" cash flows from period k to a future period k+ l.
Then the recognition in the accounting system is later than the realization
of the cash flows. Hence, in k we need to reserve the present value of the
necessary amount. For example, we need ν · xki, 0 ≤ ν ≤ 1, in period k + l,
that xk+l + ν · xki = xAi. Therefore in period k an amount ν · xki · (1 + rP )−l
has to be blocked, that xki − ν · xki · (1 + rP )−l = xAi.
Generally, it is possible to construct an annuity distributional vector xAi by
using period shifts between multiple periods. If, for example, the surplus
over xAi in a former period is not high enough in a single period to add up
xti to xAi, shifts over more than one period are possible:
xAi = xti +t−1Xk=1
ξtk · xki · (1 + rP )t−k.
In accounting terms this equals the release of provisions. In former periods
the provisions are built up. Contrary, in the case of high returns in the
24
current period, xτi > xAi we can use
xAi = xτi −nX
l=τ+1
ντl · xli(1 + rP )l−τ
,
allocating the surplus of period τ reasonably over the following periods with
distributional parameters less than xAi. In accounting terms, this is booking
provisions. With opposite signs these periodic shifts can be interpreted as
the booking of receivables and their release. This can be phrased as follows:
If in an early period the distributional parameter is higher than xAi, we can
build up provisions and release them in periods with an original distributional
parameter less than xAi. In the case of a distributional parameter less than
xAi we can enter receivables in the books, which are released in later periods
with higher expected returns. This shows, that in an accounting system
our allocation rule can be established by the principal. Importantly, but
contrary to general use in practice, the periodic shifts have to heed the timing
effect, i.e. they have to take into account the (imputed) interests. Since we
pay attention to these interest yields, the present value of the original and
the modified distributional parameters is still the same. The conservation
property still holds.13
At this point it is obvious why we do not need the assumptions that xti > 0
which has be to imposed by previous models. In these models only the allo-
cation of the investment cash outflow is considered. Here, we allow for the
allocation of the operative cash flows, too. Hence, if the present value of the
distributional parameters of a project is positive, there exists an allocation
rule for the investment costs and the operative cash flows, so that the distrib-
utional parameters of the corresponding accruals are all positive. Therefore,
13For a detailed proof in a similar context, see Mohnen (2002:148f).
25
it is not necessary anymore to assume positive original distributional para-
meters of the cash flows.
4 Conclusion
In situations with a limited budget or alternative projects, the principal
wants the agent to select the NPV -maximizing investment portfolio. In these
situations the residual income in combination with the relative benefit cost
allocation scheme does not induce the same project ranking as NPV. Here,
we have shown that by using a special transformation of the cash flows into
accruals, the ex ante expected residual income equals the expected annuity in
each period. The agent selects the NPV -maximizing set of projects, because
the expected residual incomes of different projects reflect the ex ante NPV -
ranking of the projects, even if just one period is considered. It is sufficient
to look at this performance measures to rank projects.
We obtain the annuity residual income by an allocation scheme which we call
annuity benefit cost allocation rule. This rule transforms the cash flows into
"annuity accruals" by using periodic shifts. The applied periodic shifts can
be interpreted as accounting methods used in practice. There it is common
use to set up provisions and to use receivables, generally to smooth earnings
over several periods. In financial accounting these methods are restricted by
law, but in managerial accounting they are not.
Concerning the information structure, it is good news, that we can use the
same model setup as seminal papers like Reichelstein (1997) or Rogerson
(1997). The principal needs only information about the distributional pa-
rameters of the operative cash flows. Ex ante this information is enough to
ensure a perfect goal congruent performance measure. The rational behind
26
this is, that it is sufficient to transform the distributional parameters into
a perfect, particularly into an annuity allocation. Then the agent has an
incentive to select the NPV -maximizing projects no matter what his time
preferences are.
As a further result, we have shown, that the premium rate can vary over
time because in each period the agent enhances his utility by selecting the
NPV -maximizing portfolio of projects.
In practice our result may seem a bit difficult to implement. However, in-
come smoothing is well established and here we do not use it for financial
reporting, but only for managerial control and performance payment pur-
poses. Moreover, the annuity performance measure may be a solution to
derive rules to handle the so called "EVA-Bonusbank".14
14See, for instance, Stewart (1991) or Ehrbar (1998).
27
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