MALAYSIAN ICT SECTORAL OUTLOOK: Trends...
Transcript of MALAYSIAN ICT SECTORAL OUTLOOK: Trends...
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MALAYSIAN ICT SECTORAL OUTLOOK:Trends, Challenges and Prospects
ASOCIO Presentation and DiscussionKathmandu, Nepal
19th May 2012
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PIKOM in Brief: Voice of ICT Industry in Malaysia
International Affiliations
PIKOM Annual EventsMembership : 1986-2011
Wisma PIKOM : 2012
Commands 80 % of ICT industryCommands 80 % of ICT industry
PIKOM @26PIKOM @26
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About Malaysia
PopulationPopulation 28.3 million28.3 millionTotal Fertility Rate (TFR)Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 2.2 2.2 (below replacement level))
Per Capita incomePer Capita income USD7,760 (RM25,866)USD7,760 (RM25,866)PrePre--crisis GDP growthcrisis GDP growth 5.7% (20065.7% (2006--2008)2008)Revised GDP GrowthRevised GDP Growth 2.0% (20092.0% (2009--2010)2010)World CompetitivenessWorld Competitiveness 1010thth positionpositionUnemployment rateUnemployment rate 3.6% 3.6% (low unemployment)
Consumer Price IndexConsumer Price Index 2.8% 2.8% (low inflation)
LiteracyLiteracy 93.1% 93.1% (high literacy)
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New Economy Model Proposition: Higher Value Adding / Higher Income Nation
HIGH INCOME –INNOVATION DRIVEN
ECONOMYLand, labour and low skills
Infrastructure, Capital, Factory, Technical Skills and Semi-skilled Workforce
Info-structure (ICT), science, R&D, knowledge capital, innovation skills, XY Generations, entrepreneurship and globalization
GNI Per Capita (USD$) 1970 2009
Korea 260 21,530
Malaysia 380 6,760
Source: DOSM /10th Plan /PIKOM
1995 GNI per capita:RM5,406
1995 Household Income:RM2,020
1980 GNI per capita:RM1,820
1980 Household Income:RM692
UntilMid 90’s
UntilLate 70’s
LOW INCOME – FACTOR DRIVEN ECONOMY
2020 Target:USD21,834
10th MP (2011-2015)USD12,139
Developed Economy
Benchmark:USD14,816
MIDDLE INCOME –FACTOR DRIVEN
ECONOMY
2010 GNI per capita:RM26,420 (USD8,256)
2009 Household Income:RM4,025 (USD1,183)
By 2020 GNI per capita
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Next Economic Major Thrust: Endogenous Growth through New Transformation Policy
FDI Driven Growth Periods
New Transformation
Policy
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National Transformation Policy Strategies
VISION 20201 Malaysia ETP GTP
Polit
ical
Tra
nsfo
rmat
ion
Prog
ram
me
(PTP
)R
ural Transformation Program
me (R
TP)
Tenth Malaysia Plan (10MP : 2011-2015) / Eleventh Malaysia Plan (11MP: 2016-2020)
DTP
Preservation and
enhancement of unity in diversity
People First and
Performance Now
One Malaysia
New Economy Model: A High Income,
Inclusive & Sustainable Nation
131 Entry Point Projects;
60 Business Opportunities;
8 Strategic Reform Initiatives (SRI)
Economic Transformation
Programme
Effective delivery of Government Services
6 National Key Result Areas (NKRA)
Government Transformation
Programme
Accelerate the Development of
Digital Economy;Improve Quality of life
25 Entry Point Projects;
28 business opportunities;
DigitalTransformation
Programme
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An Overview:ICT Policy Strategies in Malaysia
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Contribution of ICT GDP mainly comes from private consumption of ICT Products
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Trend # 1:Structural changes in ICT Sector
Share of ICT
Services to GDPShare of ICT Manufacturing to GDP
4.1%Value of ICT
Services RM11.8 billion
Value of ICT Manufacturing RM31.6 billion
Value of ICT Manufacturing RM34.1 billion
Value of ICT Services RM31.8
billion8.4%
6.7%
6.9%
Year 2000 Year 2010
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Trend # 2:ICT Trade grew during industrial era , now declining
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Trend # 3:Share of Computer Professionals are increasing in the ICT workforce
Average annual growth rate of ICT workforce
6.4%
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Trend # 4:3 out of 4 ICT Graduates employed in ICT User Industries
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Trend # 5:Professional workforce at 13% poised to expand
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Trend # 6: New ICT Products are emerging in line with IDE
Digital contents can be created or captured or manipulated in various devices
Digital processes requiring shorter frame of time, cost effective and ease handling
Digital storage requires less physical storage, ease of storage and retrieval and longer shelf-life
Digital distribution easily done, cost effective, globally sharable and targeted mass
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Trend # 7:Shifts in mobile communication sector towards cellular products
121.3% 27.2%
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Trend # 8:Demand for Internet digital media products growing
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Trend # 9:Significant Expansion in e-Government Services
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Trend # 10:R&D micro-electronics sector poised to introduce new ICT products and services in the market
Nanotechnology MEMS Technology Semantic Technology Convergence : 4G
Wireless Technology Biotechnology ICT Road MapGrid Computing
Cyber security
Open Source
Cyber Laws
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Key Challenge # 1:Supply of quality ICT graduates declining
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Key Challenge 2 #ICT Remuneration still low
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Key Challenge 3 #Highly skewed broadband provision
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Key Challenge # 4:Lack global competitive edge in broadband leadership
PENETRATION LEADERS
QUALITY LEADERS
South Korea
Hong Kong
Iceland
Luxemburg
Malta
United Arab Emirates
Netherlands
Japan
Latvia
Sweden
SwitzerlandNorway
Ireland
Bahrain
Singapore
Denmark
Finland
USAGermany
Canada
Slovenia
LithuaniaRomania
Bulgaria
Cyprus
UKTurkey
Mexico
Poland
Italy
New Zealand
Hungary
PortugalCzech Republic
Slovakia
Taiwan
Israel
Australia
Greece
Austria
Spain
Ukraine
Argentina
Chile
Russia F.
China
Saudi Arabia
Malaysia
Angola
Nigeria
Kenya
Brazil
PeruVietnam
Colombia
Jordan
BROADBAND LEADERS
AlgeriaEgypt
Costa Rica
Tunisia
Pakistan
Ghana
Philippines
Morocco
India
Indonesia
Estonia
Belgium
France
BQS
(Sca
led)
Household Penetration
South Africa
Thailand
LOW PENETRATION
/ QUALITY
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Key Challenge #5 : Meeting ICT demands of YZ technology savvy generation generation
A number of parameters are in place in order for the nation to move up not through infrastructure alone but also through building human capital and harnessing the demands of YZ technology savvy generation
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Thank YouThank You