Makis Keynote

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1 © Nokia Siemens Networks 3 rd  IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop 19-May-2008 Wireless Broadband: Does one size fit all?  Asimakis Kokkos China Industry Environment 

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Transcript of Makis Keynote

  • 1 Nokia Siemens Networks 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop 19-May-2008

    Wireless Broadband: Does one size fit all?

    Asimakis KokkosChina Industry Environment

  • 2 Nokia Siemens Networks 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop 19-May-2008

    Digital cellular & Fixed Digital cellular & Fixed Internet, 1990sInternet, 1990s

    Mobile MultimediaMobile Multimedia2000s2000s

    Transistors Transistors 1960-1970s1960-1970s

    Analog Cellular Analog Cellular 1980s1980s

    Personal computer Personal computer 1980-90s1980-90s

    A tale of two industries Mobile BroadbandMobile Broadband2010s2010s

  • 3 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Evolution of Mobile Services

    Basic text messaging

    Hi, Ill see you at 6 PM Regards, Bob

    Messaging

    Black and white screens,simple graphics

    Instant connectivity,colour screen,WAP Push

    xHTML for WAP and web integration, animated content

    Ringing tones, icons,screensavers,business cards

    Downloading

    Downloadable applications,MIDI sounds

    Video content(MMS, streaming)

    Multimedia messaging with video

    Dial-up connections

    Accelerated connections,voice and data multitasking

    Corporate access

    Always-on,performance and securityenhancements

    Multimedia messaging with pictures and audio

    Browsing

  • 4 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Internet goes mobile

    Happy end users

    Service winners match trends with technology opportunities

    Simple

    Familiarandpersonal

    Early adoption logic

  • 5 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Mobiledomain

    Homedomain

    Enterprisedomain

    Internet(Media)domain

    Converging digital world opens new business opportunities

    Multimedia messaging between

    mobile and PC

    Real Time Video Sharing from mobile

    phone to PC

    Rich Media Delivery

    Interactive on line gaming with PC and

    mobile

    Rich Call

    Mobile meeting with PC and mobile terminals

    Push to Talk

    Browse Internet

    Access Corporate Systems & E-mail

    Share Pictures, Music, Video

    Seamless voice

  • 6 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Source: ITU, National Regulators, Nokia Siemens Networks 2007

    GlobalM obile M OU = M obile minutes/subscript ions

    Fixed M OU = Fixed line minutes/(subscript ions * average number of people per household)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

    Out

    goin

    g M

    OU

    /Mon

    th

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    Fixed MoU Mobile MoU Mobile penetration Fixed penetration

    Mobile minutes of use exceeded fixed minutes in 2005Global figures represent 75 countries

    Total MOU stable

    Fixed-to-mobile substitution

  • 7 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Convergence, open battlefield

    MobileFixed

    Circuit Switched

    Packet Switched

    Voice

    Multimedia

  • 8 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Operator: Does one size fit all?

    Volume of servicesDifferent market uptakesEnormous price elasticity

    Complexity of services

    Complexity of the value chain Content providersApplication service providersAccess providersCorporate access

    Different business models for different services

  • 9 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Traffic increase requires low cost/bit technologies

    Source: Light Reading (adapted)

    Voice dominated

    Data dominated

    Traffic volume

    Revenue

    Time

    Network cost

    Price per MByte has to be reduced to remain profitable

    Network cost (existing technologies)

    Profitability

  • 10 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Telecommunication Trends

    Wireless industry faces spectrum liberalization

    Subscribers go for predictable communication costs

    Ever increasing device capabilities are moving away from network capabilities

    Services and Applications are moving towards the network/internet

    I&C industry observes a growing trend towards an all-IP architecture

    Operators observe increase in wireless data usage

    Device Capabilities

    All IP

    Spectrum

    Services / Applications

    Wireless Data

    Flat Rates

    IP

  • 11 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Future Networks

    Applications

    FixedBroadband

    WirelessBroadband

    CellularBroadband

    (DSL PON)

    (UMTS, HSPA LTE)(WiFi, WiMAX)

    Service Delivery & Session Control

    Transport (aggregation and core)

    System 1

    System 2

    System 3

    Open

    Platform

  • 12 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Rev ARev B

    Radio Evolution

    WCDMA

    GSM, EDGE

    WiMAX-802.16d (Fixed)

    WiMAX-802.16e (Mobile)

    EDGE Evolution

    HSPA HSPA+I-HSPA (pre-LTE)

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    TD-SCDMA

    LTE

  • 13 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Access Core Control

    eNodeB aGW IMS HLR/HSS

    LTE / SAE: fulfill the requirements of a next generation mobile network

    UMTS HSPA I-HSPA LTE

    Cost per MByte

    Performance enhancement

    IP based

    flat arc

    hitectur

    e

    Cost reduction

    LTE/SAE

  • 14 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    The Enhancement of The Performance

  • 15 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Ready for multiradio

    With Flexi BTS you can efficiently build multiradio sites

    Easy building of efficient and flexible multiradio sites

    Same site acquisition and construction principles synergies in network rollout and maintenance

    Standardized interfaces between modules

    NSN Flexi BTS modules for GSM/EDGE, WCDMA/HSPA and LTE

    GSM

    900 MHzMultiradio Combiner

    WCDMA / HSPA

    LTE

  • 16 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Evolution paths to IMT-Advanced

    IMT-2000

    -2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012-

    EDGE

    WCDMA HSDPA HSUPA

    cdma20001xEV-DO EV-DO A

    TD-SCDMA

    UTRAN LTE

    EV-DO B EV-DO C

    = Commercial = Possible commercial launch

    802.16e

    IMT-Advanced

  • 17 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    SpectrumSpectrum

    GSM GSM GSM GSM

    DECT

    UMTS Bluetooth

    802.11b/g

    HiperLAN/2

    802.11a

    450 MHz 900 MHz 1.8 GHz 1.9 GHz 2 GHz 2.4 GHz 5 GHz

    Frequency

    Frequency

    All networks

    Current spectrum - RAT (Radio Access Technology) allocation:

    Reconfigurable devices allow more flexibility in spectrum allocation for available RATs:

    IMTidentified

    2.6 GHz

    IMTidentified

    IMT-2000

    3.5 GHz

    IMTidentified

    2.32.4 GHz700 MHz

    450 MHz 900 MHz 1.8 GHz 1.9 GHz 2 GHz 2.4 GHz 5 GHz2.6 GHz 3.5 GHz2.32.4 GHz700 MHz

  • 18 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Our market vision of 2015 the World connected

    Applications pre-dominantly in

    Internet

    Applications pre-dominantly in

    Internet

    Broadband Everywhere

    5 Bn people connected

    Multitude of business models

  • 19 Nokia Siemens Networks Dr. Asimakis Kokkos 3rd IEEE Broadband Wireless Workshop

    Thanks