Making the Most of Wave Energy AR 2010

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    a n e os o ave ner ya n e os o ave ner y

    Alex Raventos

    Wave Energy Centre (WavEC)Responsible for Energy Economics

    23 24 June 2010Hilton Kensington Hotel, London

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vision, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergyConclusions

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vission, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergyConclusions

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    Portugal Historic Milestones in Wave Energy

    ,Prof. Antnio Falco

    Earl 90s Euro ean Pilot Plant on the Island of Pico/Azores IST Several EC-funded projects - planning, conception and construction

    Simulation and Tank tests conducted in early 90s (IST, UCC, QUB)

    ons ruc on an comm ss on ng o p an -

    Since 2000| The bigger picture: efforts towards industrial involvement

    Since 2001| Increasing governmental attention Tariff

    March 2003 | Creation of the Wave Energy Centre (WavEC):Independant non-profit association to promote the implementation of

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

    wave energy

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    Wave Energy Centre (WavEC)| Associates

    Project developersProject developers UtilitiesUtilities

    Research institutionsResearch institutions

    Unipessoal Lda.

    a so ec n. ev.a so ec n. ev.

    u uu u

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

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    Wave Energy Centre (WavEC) Activity Fields

    150

    200

    250

    300

    qd(t)

    qd(t)_smallf requencies

    Due Diligence; State-of-.the-art reports;Potential &

    Feasibility Studies

    Pico OWC;

    -200

    -150

    -100

    -50

    0

    50

    100

    10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

    t [s]

    qd

    [m3/s]

    AWS pilot plant;

    ...

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4

    P*

    experimental values

    full-scale testing(instantaneousvalues)PRMSNumerical

    ModellingDissemination

    -1

    -0.5

    U*

    Pico & Douro

    OWCs; EC-funded

    ro ect CORES

    IEA-OES; Technical

    support of seminars;

    EC-funded projects:

    Wave lam A uaRET R&D on tariff &

    EC-funded pro jectEQUIMAR;

    Pilot Zone Proposal

    socio-economics;

    iniciative for PilotZone activities

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, t a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vission, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergyConclusions

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    Wave Energy Technology DemonstrationWave Energy Technology Demonstration

    750 kW (2004, 2007)500 kW

    40 kW; 1:3

    > 1000 patented ideas

    very few reached large

    20 kW; 1:4scale sea trials

    4 tested in Portugal

    20 kW; 1:4.51:4?

    40 kW; 1:1.5 (2004-2007)

    5.5 kW; 1:10

    40 kW

    500 kW (2007)

    296 kW

    20 kW; 1:2 (2007) 1000 kW 2250 kW 2250 kW13 kW

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    1999 | Pico plant grid connected since 20051999 | Pico plant grid connected since 2005

    Pico plant, Azores (400 kW)

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    Pico OWC: shoreline, but complex enoughPico OWC: shoreline, but complex enough

    Buil t in late 90s as

    Abandoned in 2001due to mechanicalpro ems

    Recovered in 2005

    2010 (with minimal means)

    Several non-standard

    story can be told

    by other

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

    applications identified

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    The Pico OWC: from FROG to PRINCESS?2008...2010

    200720082009

    [Production hours]450265

    100

    50

    140

    MAY

    100

    120ElectricalPowerOutput(kW)

    2425.03.2010

    60

    80

    20

    20:00 20:30 21:00 21:30 22:00 22:30 23:00 23:30 0:00 0:30 1:00 1:30 2:00 2:30 3:00 3:30

    Milestone 2009 | Problem of vibrations of the turbo-generator group solved

    estone utonomous operat on o t e p ant u y e o o ect vesPerspectives | European testing infrastructure within the new Offshore Energy Institute

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    2004 | The world's first submerged prototype2004 | The world's first submerged prototype

    eamwor ec no ogy... . .(Dutch company)

    * ,facilitate mob/demob

    Since 2001, failed submergence trials andfinancial problems, succeded 2004 (in house)

    Basic design and unpredictability/unsteadyness ofsea state were Achilles heels

    After tests, IP acquired by AWS Ocean Ltd. an further developed

    Northern Portugal

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    2005-2007 | Breakwater OWC in Foz Douto (EDP, Kymaner, etc)2005-2007 | Breakwater OWC in Foz Douto (EDP, Kymaner, etc)

    2 air chambers; 3*250kW

    Dischar e Valve / Noise Control

    Vertical-axe modules

    NotNot

    implemented

    due to non

    implemented

    due to non

    Public

    Insitution!

    Public

    Insitution!

    ICOE 2008 Pico OWC (WavEC) F. Neumann, V. Winands, A.J.N.A. Sarmento

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    2008 | Pelamis World 1st Commercial Farm (Aguadoura)2008 | Pelamis World 1st Commercial Farm (Aguadoura)

    Breakwater OWCDevices

    devices to Pelamis Wave Power

    worlds 1st commercial wave farm

    Minimum national involvement(turn-key correct decision?)

    Installation delayed(2006-2008), also due to

    sea-state conditions

    Project stopped in 2009, because

    Northern PortugalBabcock&Brown (owner) went bankrupt

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    Some practical lessons learned

    Increase demonstration at sea(only real sea operation will allow to identify the best solutions reliability and costs Test Centres)

    Improve materials, components and power take-off equipment(failures to date are related to components and not the basicconce t

    Improve design, monitoring and control methods and tools for

    (Demonstration at sea is very expensive and risky)

    , , ,including support vessels

    (cost reductions by a factor of 3 are to be attained)

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Develo ments in Portu al

    Vission, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergyConclusions

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    Latest Developments of WE in Portugal

    SURGE FP7 EU-funded project

    -

    Standpoint FP7 EU-funded project

    WaveBob(IRL)-Contract with Generg(PT)3 years (2009), 3 M, 10 partners

    3 years (2009), 5,1 M, 250kW

    Potentially off the coast of Portugal (not decided yet)

    10 kW unit installed in 2007 in Peniche, Portugal

    Oceanlinxs (AUS) Photo taken during a visit to Galway Bay (Ireland)Windfloat(US)rom onsor um nerg a as n as

    To Wavelinx (PT)

    Portugal expected to be one of the target countries

    Principle Powerand platform developed byMarineInnov. & Technology contract withEDP(PT)

    2009, Aguadora, Grid connected project

    Mk3PC : 3rd Generation device

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    National technology

    Kymaner (PT, 2005)working with WavEC in Pico Plant; Martifer Flow Protot eproject MODONDAS under negotiation

    CORES FP7 project

    Location: Galway Bay Ireland (2008-2011)Timeframe: 2008 -2011

    KYMANOSdevice

    Oebuo Galwa Ba , Ireland

    Device conception and modeling with INETI

    and IST (initially)Purchased shipyard in Aveiro

    1:40 tests in own flume; planned 1:10 coastalor esy:

    Kymaner

    1.2 MW planned

    es s

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    Why are they taking place in Portugal?

    Attractive conditions in PortugalAttractive conditions in Portugal

    Good natural conditionsGood natural conditions:: resource, deepresource, deepwaters close to coast, sandy ocean bed, no significantwaters close to coast, sandy ocean bed, no significant

    currents, proper meteorologycurrents, proper meteorology

    V. Castelo

    5 GW of wave energy potential5 GW of wave energy potentialcapacity alongside Portuguese coastcapacity alongside Portuguese coast

    Aveiro

    Leixes

    e n rae n ra--s ruc ure coas :s ruc ure coas :

    Strong electrical grid close to the coastStrong electrical grid close to the coast

    Availability of ports and shipyards along the coastAvailability of ports and shipyards along the coast

    F. Foz

    Peniche

    11stst to put Publicto put Public policies in place (waves):policies in place (waves): Lisboa

    Setbal-- ,,

    a Pilot zone (250 MW)a Pilot zone (250 MW)

    Societal good acceptanceSocietal good acceptance

    Sines

    Tradition and knowledge in waveenergy R&D

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    ...should we not expect some difficulties??

    Most vital capacity for ongonig

    development phase: rs mo or car rs car n ser e +: First car in serie

    .

    1888, 12 kW 1941, 1.25 MW 70s/80s, 30 kW 2007, 5MW

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vision, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergy

    Conclusions

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    Main supporting policies

    Policy Background-

    Action plan to meet the major energy challenges Europe faces:

    By 2020 renewable energy should account for 20% of the EU's countries

    National Energy Policy CommitmentPortugal (highly dependent on imported oil and gas) has stepped up

    .particularly in wind power and, more recently, in solar energy, while attempting to diversify its RES including waves

    NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY ACTION PLANStrategic actions: diversification of RES, stimulating R&D of newtechnologies - Comprehensive policy mix exists which include waves

    Wave Energy | Two public support schemes in place:

    Feed-in tariffper kWhfor wave energy

    Decree-Law 225/2007

    -

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    Feed-in Tariff for wave energy

    Decree-Law 225/2007

    300 600

    World Power (MW)/ kWh

    0.30DEMO (< 4 MW per technology)

    0.25

    PRE-COMMERCIAL (< 20 MW per technology)0.20

    0.15COMMERCIAL

    0.10

    1 10 20 100 250 1000

    0.05

    National Power (MW)

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    Portuguese pilot zone

    Jan 07 Proposal approved

    Total capacity: 250 MW

    an ec- aw n

    Set up of Pilot Zone

    22 km

    ota area: mWater depths: 30m - 90m

    Three phases:

    18,3 km

    20 kmE

    emonstrat on, up to

    Pre-commercial, up to 20MWCommercial, no power limit

    14,9 km

    -

    Set up of management body

    Rede Energtica Nacional

    2010 Pro osal a roved

    Concession holder of the National ElectricityTransmission Grid

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    Portuguese Policy Stated Objecives

    Creation of an industrial cluster associated with wave power

    No significant offshore engineering & operation capacities

    Adjacent industries exist but are not prepared for specific needs

    O&M issues will be the most vital competition factors in the early phase, andPortugal has a good chance to position itself

    , -

    must be accessible and benefit entire sector

    Attract demonstration & industrial develo ment to Portu al

    Due to substantial fundin a for first full-scale devices 5-15M/MW

    We must try to avoid being a mere turnkey consumer like in other sectors

    the cost-efficiency of future deployment sites will be decisive.

    Major cost factor: offshore operations and related (cost) uncertainty for

    Project Developers, Investors, and Operators benefit from open test site

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    A new Institute: Offshore Energy InstituteA new Institute: Offshore Energy Institute

    Competitiveness andTechnology Center for EnergySet up in 2009 as non-profit association to

    Innovation in the Portuguese Energy Sector

    the heart of a Portuguese ENERGY CLUSTER

    Solar Energy

    ENERGYIN

    s oreEnergy

    SustainableMobility Anchor project: to set up the

    Offshore Energy Institute

    Energyefficiency

    Smart Grids

    By adding new infrastructures,competences and resources to theexisting Wave Energy Centre

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    Offshore Energy InstituteOffshore Energy Institute

    ...not yet secure .

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vision, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c otent a o ave nergyConclusions

    Th hTh h

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    The reasons why areThe reasons why are

    Portugal energy dependence is above 80%

    WE can supply a share of electricity demand of: 1% (2020) and 10-15%

    in 2030 with cumulative savings of 1-2 B in fossil fuel imports by 2030.

    WE can avoid 30 MtCO2 to 2030 (corresponding to cumulativesavings of 0,6-1,5 B)

    Renewable Energy Association (APREN) proposal for the Portuguese National Plan

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

    The reasons why areThe reasons why are

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    The reasons why areThe reasons why are

    WE will require and cumulative investment in Portugal of around 4-

    6B by 2030 to achieve an installed capacity of 3GW

    WE would can create around 2.000 direct obs b 2020 and

    between 7.000-11.000 by 2030.

    WE can be competitive with coal and gas between 2020-2035

    without accountin for externalities and ositivemacroeconomic impacts.

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

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    The reasons why areThe reasons why are

    Socio economic Impacts ofSocio economic Impacts of

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

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    Historic Milestones in Portugal & WavEC

    xper ence, a s an essons

    Latest Developments in Portugal

    Vision, Policy & Actions in Portugal

    oc o-econom c mpacts o ave nergy

    Conclusions

    Some Final RemarksSome Final Remarks

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    Some Final RemarksSome Final Remarks

    Significant progress in the last 5 years, in spite of small investment done( 300M /10 years)

    Development of WE is taking longer, and being harder and more expensivethan anticipated, with technology possible stabilizing in 2015

    Wave ener is a LONG-TERM investment!!

    - (Developers can concentrate on demonstrate and further develop technology)

    EU MS targets for OE are very ambitious

    IWES Summit|London, 23-24 June 2010

    ortuga nee s to conso ate a pers stent an cons stent approac

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    Alex Raventos

    .

    Wave Ener Centrewww.wavec.org

    Picture from: Terra - A world of research & creativity at Oregon State University Spring 2006