Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of...
Transcript of Making the Leap - UC Davis Graduate School of...
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Prof. Andrew HargadonDirector, Center for EntrepreneurshipUC Davis Graduate School of
Cleveland JustisInstitute for Innovation & EntrepreneurshipUC Davis Graduate School of Management
Making the Leap
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Today
– Introductions & Overview
– Innovation: What is it and Why do we Care?
– What is the Leap?
– Marshmallows and the Leap
– Managing Risk During the Leap
– Success Stories
– Networking
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Some (brief) Introductions...
UsYou - Name- How people in this room
can help you
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what is innovation?
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"[In Wallace's shop] I saw for the first time everything in practical operation. It was all before me. I saw the thing had not gone so far but that I had a chance. I saw that what had been done had never been made practically useful. The intense light had not been subdivided so that it could be brought into private houses."
— Thomas Edison
“
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Innovation
Creativity EntrepreneurshipCommitment
+ +
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Innovation
Creativity
creating a novel, valuable idea...
Entrepreneurship
turning it into something real...
Commitment
+ +determining
whether and how to make it real
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three lessonsfor innovation
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Innovation is about connecting, not inventing.
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1,599
264,972
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“I invented nothing new. I simply assembled into a car the discoveries of other men behind whom were centuries of work. . . . Had I worked fifty or ten or even five years before, I would have failed. So it is with every new thing. Progress happens when all the factors that make for it are ready, and then it is inevitable. To teach that a comparatively few men are responsible for the greatest forward steps of mankind is the worst sort of nonsense.” — Henry Ford
“
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The network is the innovation.
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"build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door."
— Ralph Waldo Emerson
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4,400402
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Telegraph Technology +
suppliers
JP Morgan& other venture
investors
FranchiseesLocal
Investors
Generator Companies
Competing Light Mfrs
Regulators
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ideas are nothing without action.
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368
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What is the leap?
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Lifecycle of a university spinout
Research GrantsDevelopment
Grants (eg SBIR)
Friends, Family, & Founders($5-$50k)
AngelInvestors
($50-$500k)
Funding
Early StageVenture Capital($500k-$2M+)
Venture Capital($2M-$50M)
Private Equity,Project Financing
($2M-$50M)
IPO, Merger, or Acquisition
($2M-$50M)
Stage of Venture Development
Basic Research Applied Research
Proof ofConcept
Working Prototypes
Founding Team
Target Market
BusinessPlan
EngineeringPrototypes
ProductionPrototypes
SupplierContracts
ProductIntroduction
RevenueGrowth
“Valley of Death”
DistributionContracts
# of New
Ventures
NetCash Flow
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Lifecycle of a university spinout
Research GrantsDevelopment
Grants (eg SBIR)
Friends, Family, & Founders($5-$50k)
AngelInvestors
($50-$500k)
Funding
Early StageVenture Capital($500k-$2M+)
Venture Capital($2M-$50M)
Private Equity,Project Financing
($2M-$50M)
IPO, Merger, or Acquisition
($2M-$50M)
Stage of Venture Development
Basic Research Applied Research
Proof ofConcept
Working Prototypes
Founding Team
Target Market
BusinessPlan
EngineeringPrototypes
ProductionPrototypes
SupplierContracts
ProductIntroduction
RevenueGrowth
DistributionContracts
# of New
Ventures
NetCash Flow
Gen1first 3-9 mos.
Gen2(startup)
Gen3(transition)
Gen4(business)
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Lifecycle of a new venture
Funding
Stage of Venture Development
# of New
Ventures
NetCash Flow
Gen1first 3+9
mos.
Gen2(startup)
Gen3(transition)
Gen4(business)
manage for uncertainty and commitment
manage for market, product, & process development
manage for growth
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Let’s Get Real!
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In groups of 4-5 people, and using just the available materials:
Build the tallest freestanding structure you can with the available materials
The entire marshmallow must be on topUse as much or as little of the kit
Break up the spaghetti, string or tapeYou have 18 minutes to build (and test and
rebuild) your structure.
Innovation in Action
Materials:
Spaghetti1 yard of tape1 yard of string1 marshmallowyour witsluck
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Rules
1.The tallest freestanding structure when the judges measure is the winner; you may not hold or stabilize your structure after the time limit.
2.If the rest of the group will say it’s cheating, it probably is; If the rest of the class will wish they thought of it, you’re on the right track.
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Insert Countdown Clock Here
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Results:
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Innovation is risky
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Source: Stevens, G.A. and Burley, J., “3,000 Raw Ideas = 1 Commercial Success!”, (May/June 1997) Research Technology Management, Vol. 40, #3, pp. 16-27.
3,000 raw ideas
100 exploratory projects
10 well-developed projects2 product launches
1 successful product
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How do you know an idea is worth pursuing?
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Is the idea any good?
type I errors:Investing time and
energy in a bad idea that looked good at
first glance
everyone’s a genius
duh
type II errors:Rejecting a good idea because it
looked bad at first glance
idealooks good
idealooks bad
ideais bad
ideais good
the inventor’scurse
the MBA’scurse
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Innovation is risky, but...
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Not all risk is created equal.
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Moving forward means reducing your uncertainty
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An idea’s worth = f(uncertainty, outcome)
value
uncertainty
development of the idea (or time)
currentworth
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The Challenge
think
do
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Thinking about thinking and doing...
value
uncertainty
thinking doing thinking doing thinking
development of the idea (or time)
currentworth
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A new venture is a series of experiments
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Managing the Generative Cycle
$5, $50, $500, $5,000...
Identify and resolve the critical uncertainties
quickly and cheaply.
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The prime objective (@ the start)
The objective is to maximize, per resources committed(time, energy, and money),
the amount of uncertainty reduced.
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What are the uncertainties?
TECHNOLOGY MARKET
BUSINESS
YOURBUSINESS MODEL
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The slide deck is your first $5 experiment
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The Problem (& Solution)
The Business
The Market
The MarketAssumptions
The TechnologyAssumptions
The BusinessAssumptions
( )The Deliverables
The Team
The Milestones
The Investment
The Summary & Next Steps
The Idea (as pitch)
The major uncertainties that, if resolved, will make
the idea worth pursuing
What you need to deliver the
deliverables, and what you will do
next.
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Setting early stage deliverables
Hypothesis $5 $50 $500 $5,000
Gen1first 3+9 mos.
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Setting early stage deliverables
Hypothesis $5 $50 $500 $5,000
Gen2(startup)
Gen1first 3+9 mos.
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ideas into
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The pedagogical flow
thinking
doing
networking
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Innovation
+Creativity Entrepreneurship
creating a novel, valuable idea...
turning that idea into something real...
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Innovation
Creativity+ Entrepreneurship
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Case Study: Greenlight Apparel
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Case Study: Revolution Foods
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[Entrepreneurship] does not essentially consist in either inventing anything or otherwise creating the conditions which
the enterprise exploits. It consists in getting things done. — Joseph Schumpeter”“