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Making better supplychain decisions throughtotal delivered costmanagement
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HPCLC Fall Educational EventConfidential – 2012 Ernst & Young
Page 11210-1397979
Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
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Introductions
► Gary Allen► North America – Logistics Practice Leader
► Tony Ross
► North America – Healthcare Supply Chain Leader
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Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
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Ernst & Young has a strong global presencein Supply Chain and Operations
Americas
300 Supply Chainprofessionals
8,200 Advisory
professionals
► Supply chain strategy and Operating modeltransformation (including TESCM)
► Total delivered cost optimization► Supply chain network and global trade flow
optimization► Transportation and logistics optimization► Improving supply chain responsiveness and agility► Improving cash to cash cycle and working capital (incl.
inventory optimization)► Supply chain functional performance improvement –
S&OP, Planning, Manufacturing, Logistics, Service► Order to cash performance improvement
► Improving supply chain risk management► Improving supply chain sustainability
► Procurement strategy and operating modeltransformation
► Advanced strategic sourcing and spend categorymanagement approaches (incl. demandmanagement)
► Procurement advanced hedging and risk
management strategies► Complex commercial contracting and outsourcing
reviews and implementation► Driving improved supplier relationship management
including innovation and development► Procure to pay performance improvement► Improved supplier risk management► Advanced procurement analytics incl. landed cost
models► Procurement performance management and benefits
tracking
Supply Chain Transformation
Procurement Transformation
EMEIA
450 Supply Chain
professionals
11,200 Advisoryprofessionals
Asia Pacific
250 Supply Chainprofessionals
3,600 Advisoryprofessionals
Global SC&O & Advisory Footprint
$22.9b revenue ($4.3b Advisory)
140 countries
152,000 professionals
Global
Advisory Assurance Tax Transaction
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HPCLC Fall Educational EventConfidential – 2012 Ernst & Young
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Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
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HPCLC Fall Educational EventConfidential – 2012 Ernst & Young
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Session objectives
► Major trends affecting logistics and how they affect supplychain decisions
► Perspective on total delivered cost, how companies areusing it today and a road map for you to apply it within
your organization
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HPCLC Fall Educational EventConfidential – 2012 Ernst & Young
Page 71210-1397979
Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
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2012 trends in transportation and logistics studyBackground
► 21st year of the study► Joint research with Dr. Karl Manrodt, Georgia
Southern University; Dr. Mary Holcomb,University of Tennessee; Ernst & Young;and Con-way
$50.6 billion is approximately6.7% of total domestic
transportation spend
The 2012 study sample representsmore than
► $30.1 billion domestic
► $20.5 billion international in logisticsexpenditures
1,370 respondents from 16 industry sectorsrepresented this study
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2012 study – top five megatrends
These top five trends were consistent across all sectors:
Companies are not maximizing their potentialto differentiate service.
Increased visibility is needed to build the needed levelof flexibility and to enable differentiation of service.
Business analytics capabilities need further developmentto enable differentiation capabilities.
Closer collaboration with key supply chain membersis needed to increase flexibility.
A deeper understanding of indirect costs are neededto achieve the desired level of efficiency.
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2012 study – top five megatrendsDifferentiated service
► Survey participants overwhelmingly agreed that “being better than our competitors in terms of service would
significantly improve our competitive position.”
► While “best” customers do receive better service, the difference in service levels between this group and “average”
customers is fairly low.
► “Average” customers reported more service improvements from the previous year than “best” customers.
Companies are not maximizing their potentialto differentiate service.
3.96
3.85
3.12
2.59
2.58
1.94
0 1 2 3 4 5
6. Our logistics / transportation service allows us tocharge a premium / prestige price to our customers.
5. The logistics / transportation service offered byour company is a barrier to new competition.
4. Increasing costs are often used to moderatelogistics / transportation service differentiation.
3. Our customers consider logistics / transportationservice an important differentiating characteristic that
is just as important as our products.
2. Innovation in logistics / transportation servicewould significantly improve our competitive edge.
1. Being better than our competitors in terms ofservice would significantly improve our competitive
position.
Scale: 1 = Strongly agree; 7 = Strongly disagree
“Best” customers receive better service
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2012 study – top five megatrendsBusiness intelligence
Business intelligence (analytics) capabilities need furtherdevelopment to enable dif ferent iat ion capabilities.
► Most commonly shared data withkey customers and suppliersprimarily involves operations.
► Business intelligence is not yet astrategic imperative but drivenprimarily by customer contractrequirements.
► The top five impediments todeveloping robust businessintelligence capabilities are:
► Lack of integrated processes► Objectives that vary across
business units
► Cost of implementation
► Lack of standardized data
► Lack of organizational strategy
26.4%
19.4%
57.9%
37.1%
58.9%
38.8%
19.5%
20.3%
18.2%
27.1%
15.9%
25.7%
24.5%
22.0%
12.6%
14.5%
10.6%
15.9%
29.5%
38.3%
11.2%
21.3%
14.5%
19.6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%100%
Data mining
Dashboards
Interactive visualization
Advanced analytics(including on-line analytical
processing)
Meta data management
Predictive modeling anddata mining
Not Planned
Planned
Implemented
Completed
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2012 study – top five megatrendsIncreased visibility
► Domestic visibility of the physical flow of goods and products on both the inbound and outboundsides increased.
► Visibility for the remaining points in the supply chain reported no improvement.
► International visibility also improved for inbound and outbound transportation. Other parts of thesupply chain halted previous years progress.
Increased visibility is needed to build the needed levelof f lex ibi l i ty and to enable dif ferent iat ion of service.
20125.2 3.8 3.0 2.7 1.9 3.6
NOTE: 1 = very visible; 7 = no t very visible
Supplier Supplier’s
Supplier Company Customer Outbound Inbound
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2012 study – top five megatrendsCollaboration with suppliers
► The results show that companies have placed much more effort in sharing information andcollaborating with key customers than they have with key suppliers.
► Capacity forecast sharing was near the bottom of the list of primary actions taken bycompanies to offset rising transportation costs.
► Improved integration of information systems with external supplychain partners was also one of the least likely initiatives to be taken.
Closer collaboration with key supply chain membersis needed to increase flexibility.
Shipmentstatus70%
Commonly shared dataWith key customers
Customerdelivery
requirements
63%
Orderstatus68%
Demandforecasts
62%
Productionschedules
37%
Advancedship notice
49%
Commonly shared data withkey suppliers
► Sharing data (as a collaborationinitiative) has focused on operationsand tactics
► If we continue to focus at these
levels, how and when willcollaboration become strategic?
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2012 study – top five megatrendsCost to serve
► Most companies tend to focus on cost of good sold, few companies have the capability to understand their true cost to
serve (CTS).
► CTS is often averaged across customers and products in a profitability review. Disaggregating these CTS averages
highlights opportunities to reduce value leakage.
► Leading class companies segment CTS at a customer, product, brand or company level and complete the picture byproviding end-to-end supply chain costs.
► CTS has recently become an area of focus, and many companies plan to launch CTS initiatives.
A deeper understanding of indirect costs isneeded to achieve the desired level of efficiency.
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Poll question #1: 21st annual trends inlogistics and transportation
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Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
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Companies must respond to meet increasing customer* and internal expectations withoutincreasing their costs
Current business environment
Understand the end-to-end supply chain costsand the impact ofchanges to the currentnetwork
“Leverage global sourcing as a major sourceof cost reduction for the company in years tocome”
“Focus on the product needs of customersand reduce inventory that is not in highdemand”
Pressures from various commercial strategies Enterprise-wide imperative
“Monitor inventory movement and receiveautomatic alerts to proactively managesupply chain events and prevent order
failures”
(*Customer in this narrative is another company or entity buying from a company; customer does not represent the end consumer.)
“Understanding impact of supply chainchanges on our bottom line and financialreports”
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Business complexities require a newsolution
Companies are being squeezed from all sides:► Commercial – demanding increased promotional support and
sales incentives
► Manufacturing and logistics – Increasing service levels whilereducing manufacturing and logistics costs (e.g., delivery, make toorder)
► Purchasing – internal cost of supply reduction pressures balancedagainst increased logistics costs and manufacturing flexibility
Customer behavior directly affects cost andprofitability:
► Up to 20% of cost of goods sold (COGS) can be directly affectedby customer behavior (i.e., ordering, planning, logistics).
► Connecting customer demands all the way back throughmanufacturing and cost of supply is often not well understood.
Commercial and supply chain often have misalignedobjectives:
► Supply chain aims to minimize costs by eliminating non-valueadding activities and is frustrated when commercial overcommits.
► Commercial looks to build volume through differentiated customerofferings and is frustrated when supply chain fails to deliver orders.
Inefficient behavior is rewarded:
► Companies often return 1.5% to 2% off list price to customers in
efficiency terms that are not conditional and founded on totaldelivered cost.
► Purchasing is rewarded on material pricing reductions,manufacturing on production rates and quality, and logistics oncost and delivery.
Without an understanding of total delivered costs, companies cannot reward efficient behavior ordefend against changes that drive cost.
Internal and external demands Misaligned internal objectives
► Enables a fact-based dialogue
► Facilitates communications between commercial and supply chain
► Requires a detailed understanding of total supply chain costs and profitability to uncover the next generation of cost savings
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What are companies doing?
Examples
Transportationoptimization
Order management
Networkoptimization
Potential activities
► Increase transport efficiency ratios via customer price negotiations and introductionof logistics terms
► Identify inefficient order demands and associated costs to drive fact-basedcustomer discussions
► Use spare capacity in distribution centers and consider shared warehousingarrangements
Total deliveredcosts
► Leading companies integrate all factors across supply chain and commercialorganizations to reward efficient behavior and defend against cost increases.
► Efficiency investments conditional and based on a total delivered cost viewpoint.
► Use outside expertise and capabilities to help flex with market and customerdemands
Logisticsoutsourcing
► Reduce freight, broker, duty and compliance costsGlobal trademanagement
While most companies have attempted various total cost management initiatives, they tendto be disparate supply chain activities
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Three components of total delivered costs
Supplier Manufacturer
Retailer/Distributor/Customer
Total landed cost Cost to serve
Total delivered cost
Customers continue to struggle to understand profitability and the related impact of balancingsupply chain cost trade-offs and consumer needs across these components.
Total delivered costs encompasses the entire supply chain from source of supply through deliveryto customer.
Conversion cost
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Understanding the challenges and insightsfor each component is critical
S t r a
t e g
i c
Regional/
local
How do I optimize my supplychain costs while balancinginternal and external needs?
How do I optimize my globalsourcing and logisticsnetwork across regions?
How do I balancemanufacturing performanceand demand variability?
Total delivered cost
Landed costs
Conversion cost
Global
Regional/
local
Global/regional
S t r a
t e g
i c / t
a c
t i c a
l
T a c
t i c a
l /
o p e r a
t i o n a
l
Cost to serveHow do I optimize myexecutional flows?
Understand and model operatingscenarios that meet needs whileoptimizing supply chain costs
Sourcing strategies shouldproperly account for all indirectand direct costs
Small improvements in processreliability can produce significantresults that make the differencebetween profit or loss
Help sales teams understanddelivery cost economics to buildefficiency into trade terms
T a c
t i c a
l /
o p e r a
t i o n a
l
Component Challenge Insight
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Total delivered cost framework
Models tend to be unique by industry or customer but extend the focus from gross profit toeconomic profit, taking into account all the cost elements.
Gr o s s S al e s
D e al s &
A l l ow an c e s
N e t S al e s
V al u e
Gr o s s P r of i t
E c on omi c
P r of i t
Landed and conversion costs► Standard COGS:
– Raw/purchased materials – Packaging materials – Variable conversion costs – Fixed conversion costs – Primary logistics – Customs fees, duty, tax
► COGS variances: – Purchase price variance – Materials usage variance – Conversion cost variance
Costs to serve►Secondary warehousing and distribution:
– Inbound material handling – Materials storage
– Order assembly – Transportation
► Order-to-cash processing costs
► Selling costs
► Customer working capital costs
Total delivered cost Illustrative
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Poll question #2: Total delivered cost framework
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Cost-to-serve capabilities allow companies to balance customerservice improvement with supply chain efficiencies
Helps inform any joint customerinitiative so that both parties benefitfrom changes
Understanding cost to serve on acustomer-by-customer basis canallow more specific promotionpricing to deliver higher returns
Tracking and controlling customercost drivers in daily operations candrive incremental cost and effortbenefits such as:► Working with customers to order
full pallets/full trucks► Increasing percentage of no-
touch transactions
Helps to understand and control thetrue cost of service offerings suchas:► Seven-day delivery► Custom pallet requirements► Electronic B2B utilization
Cost-to-serve analytics can identifyunprofitable customer trade lanes,allowing interventions to be made
Defining efficient trade terms makescertain that both the supplier andcustomer benefit from
improvements in efficient behavior
CTS provides transparency of thetrue profitability of customers andproducts and enables visibility intosupply chain costs across thebusiness through a variety of lenses – product, customer, brand andproduct group
Along with sales and operationsplanning (S&OP), cost-to-serveprovides the basis on which supply
chain and commercial interact. Itenables supply chain to make themove to become more customercentric
There can be a 10x cost differential in serving “efficient” customers versus “inefficient” customers
Efficiencytrade terms
Promotionpricing and
performance
Operationalcontinual
improvement
Customer joint value
creation
Customerserviceoffering
Go-to-market
distribution
strategy Costto
serve
Customerand product
profitability
Supply chainand
commercialinterface
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Resulting in benefits across the supply chain and typicallygenerating upwards of 10% of total cost to serve within the region
► Increase transport efficiency ratios viacustomer price negotiations andintroduction of logistics terms
► Support transport contract renegotiation
► Increase average order sizes throughthe use of structured logistics tradeterms with tiered pricing reflectingquantities ordered, leading to reducedprocessing volumes
► Increase efficiencies in how
deliveries are made tocustomers through flexibilityin the network, e.g., peakversus off-peak
Retailer supply chain
PlantRetailer store
shelvesRetailerRDCs
Plantwarehouse
CP company supply chain
SupplierDC
► Incentivize customers to order full pallet quantities to reducecase packing ratio through structured pricing and trade terms
► Identify inefficient order demands and associated costs inorder to drive fact-based retail discussions
► Contract renegotiation with 3PL provider
► Transition customers to electronic orderplacement and eliminate inefficient behaviors,e.g., deductions and queries
► Increase average order sizes through the use ofstructured logistics trade terms with tiered pricingreflecting quantities ordered, leading to reducedprocessing volumes
► Restructure teams to focus on priority customers
10%-20% ofbudget
6%-12% ofbudget
► Put in place logistics efficiency terms
based on cost to serve to reward efficientbehavior and defend against costincreases
► Make efficiency investments conditionaland based on true cost to serve
15%-30% ofbudget
Efficient spend1%-2% off list price
6%-12% ofbudget
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Global consumer products company – Cost to serve case study
Benefits identified
Estimated net cost reduction of 6% of total cost to serve through: Increase in direct flows
Increased vehicle fill
Cost of capital benefit from inventory reduction in supplier DCs
Additional benefits:
Reduced G&A cost and improved operational efficiency (for supplierand retailer) due to fewer orders, increased vehicle fill and thereforefewer vehicles
Using a cost to serve simulation, they conducted a thorough analysis oftheir current cost to serve.
This enabled them to understand exactly where the key cost drivers wereand identify and prioritize potential solutions for further analysis.
Initially focusing primarily on their two largest retailers, using the scenariosimulation they quantified the cost and service impact to create a businesscase and road map to change.
The operating company has been challenged to significantlyreduce costs during FY12.
Tasked it’s operating companies with identifying significant cost
reductions. Cost to serve identified as a key enabler to driving savings.Prior to implementation of the cost to serve solution, they understoodthat costs are high and that there is a high volume of internalmovements, but they have no means to quantify this and create abusiness case for change.
The business problem
Approach
Customer Initial hypothesis
Potential
impact(% total CTS)
Two largest retailersIncreased direct deliveriesfrom plant warehouse tocustomer
4.3%
Two largest retailers Increase vehicle fill 1%
Four small retailerswith low vehicle fill
Consolidation of volume toincrease vehicle fill
0.7%
Opportunity 6%
These opportunities were identified as relatively quick wins.
Additional opportunities identified how fast- and slow-movingSKUs are managed within the network.
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Landed cost issues and challenges
Global sourcing presents significant challenges that can lead to value leakage,brand damage, penalties and even jail.
► Companies face growing cost, compliance and risk challenges across their global supply chains as they becomestretched in the pursuit of low-cost country sourcing and revenue growth.
► Many companies continue to address global sourcing issues in a fragmented, silo-based approach that can furthercontribute to these issues. These are just a handful of examples to illustrate why it is important to understand globaltrade in an integrated way.
Challenges of globalization Examples
► Breaking into new and emergingmarkets
► Kellogg’s Indian breakfast cereal initially failed due to price, positioning and logistics
problems.
► Margin pressure and valueleakage
► Hidden duties within delivery duty paid (DPP) contracts cost a manufacturer an additional30% on landed costs
► Need to protect brandreputation
► Recalls cost Mattel $40m in 2007 and took $612m off its market capitalization.
► Increased cash flow needs ofthe global supply chain
► A multinational’s VAT systems setup did not match its evolving supply chain, leading to
€20m of irrecoverable VAT trapped on the balance sheet.
► Excessive lead times ► Weak controls over third-party distributors led to delays of up to three months in customersgetting orders delivered for this high-tech manufacturer.
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Landed cost optimization can enhance procurement and supplychain decision-making by taking a holistic view of the “inbound”supply chain costs
Landed costoptimization will allowprocurement, logisticsand manufacturing touncover hidden costs.
Network optimization► What is the impact on total landed
cost and total delivered cost?
Value analysis and engineering
► Do indirect tax factors trigger or
nullify cost-saving opportunities?
New product development
► Does the classification, source or
use of import material havesignificant indirect tax implications?
Materials and finished goodssourcing
► Is your supply base cost effective,
and can you take advantage of
short-term price opportunities?
Make vs. buy (life-cycle cost)
► Do the cost variables in your make-
buy analysis encompass indirect
tax cost drivers?
Capacity rebalancing
► Are you able to rebalance
production capacity while stillminimizing delivered costs
Product costing andrationalization
► Do you consider substitutes versus
original? Are your product costing
methods aligned?
Plant rationalization
► Are you considering trade and
indirect tax levers as well as
logistics and conversion costs?
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Deploying the appropriate landed cost and network modeling toolsto analyze supply chain costs and trade agreements will helpidentify potential opportunities
► Utilizing actual ERP data
on materials purchasesand product sales,combined with logisticstransaction data
► Enables improveddecision-making for:
► Duty cost reduction
Assess use of available
duty regimes and free tradeagreements
► Sourcing decisions
Compare different sourcesin use on a total deliveredcost basis
► Plant rationalization
Assess and check whichplant should supply whichend market
► Capacity balancing
Assess and check whichplant should supply whichend market
1
2
3a
3b
Example custom er output
1
2
3
3
2
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Diversified manufacturer – Global tradesoftware implementation case study► Trade preference determination improvement and automation projects generate duty savings between
30% and 60%
► A recently completed project yielded the following benefits:
Diversified manufacturing – $8.3B FY09 revenue
Over 600 types of products/ partstraded across NAFTA and EU
Manual origin qualification and trade
preference determination processes FY09 US imports: $706M
FY09 US import declaration filings:
6,300 lines (distinct product/
transaction)
Import FTEs: 2.5
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Prior to GTS After GTS
Annual duties paid in thousands for comparablevolume of trade
Investment
Software cost: $2,800,000 Hardware cost: $40,000
Process improvement and software
implementation services: $600,000
Total: $3,440,000
Savings:$3Mannually
* Assumes a 4 m onths implementat ion, cost of
capital 8% and 3 years capital amort izat ion period
$5,600
$2,600
ROI*
First savingsachieved in month 5
$850K income
statement impact infirst 12 months
Cash flow paybackachieved in 20months
Other benefits
Improved workingcapital
Lower inventorylevels
Labor efficiencies
Lower brokerage fees
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Lessons learned
Area Risk Mitigation plan
Scope of workand complexity
► Project delays through too much dataanalysis and scope of effort
► Launch an assessment to confirmbusiness case and prioritize initiatives
► Segment into logical buckets and pilotone segment in one region
► Structure around supply chainprocesses; Plan, Buy, Make, Move, Sell
BU participationand buy-in
► Depends heavily on BU levelparticipation and top-downsponsorship from BU executive
► BU participants identified at every levelwithin the project
► Initial buy-in from BU ownersrecommended prior to kick-off
Tool: scalabilityand alignment
► Tools built in this project may not bein alignment with IT systems anddirection
► Involve IT from the beginning to makesure that activities are aligned with ITsystems and IT strategy
Assignment andallocation rules:buy-in
► Assignment and allocation rules needto be defined and bought into acrossfunctions
► Participation from BU, sales, finance,supply chain and operations► Facilitated workshops for buy-in
Data availability ► Profitability dashboard and totaldelivered cost waterfall, hingesheavily on data availability
► Initial two weeks of deep-dive on dataavailability
► Leverage data warehouse if available
P ll i #3 di d l l d
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Poll question #3: case studies and lessons learned
T t l d li d t i l t ti t
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Total delivered cost implementation steps
1. Strategic alignment
► Understand business priorities, objectives & goals
► Get support from executive management & key functional leaders
2. Business segmentation
► Understand supply chain & customer unique characteristics
► Break it down into manageable pieces & identify a pilot to get started
► Establish clear definitions & understanding of services
3. TDC assessment and modeling
► Collect, analyze and model scenarios to help prioritize focus areas
► Focus on useful and value-driven cost data
4. Organization collaboration
► Gain alignment & proper incentives across all functional areas
► Create a cross-functional team with executive sponsorship
5. System enablement
► Evaluate which tools are right for you & will help sustain benefits
C l i
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Conclusion
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Key industry trends highlight theimportance of service differentiation,business analytics, visibility,collaboration and understanding totalcosts.
► Customer behaviors and
organization factors directly affectsupply chain costs.
► TDC encompasses the entiresupply chain from source of supplythrough delivery to customer.
► Without understanding TDC,companies cannot reward the rightbehavior that drive efficiencies.
►
TDC is complex and must be brokendown into “bite-size” chunks.
► Cost-to-serve capabilities allowcompanies to balance customerservice improvement with supplychain efficiencies.
► Landed cost optimization allowsprocurement, logistics andmanufacturing to uncover hiddencosts.
► Successful projects require executive
sponsorship and cross-functionalinvolvement.
► When launching a TDC project, makesure your strategy is clear and that aproper assessment is conducted.
A d
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Agenda
► Introductions► Who we are
► Session objectives
► 21st annual trends in logistics and transportation study
► Total delivered cost
► Questions
Th k !
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Thank you!
Gary AllenExecutive Director, Logistics Leader
+1 313 628 8639
Tony Ross
Senior Manager, Logistics Practice
+1 214 969 8846