Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

download Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

of 8

Transcript of Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    1/8

    Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,076 Canadians by Smart IVR from June 25-26, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones urveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.15%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Ce

    METHODOLOGY

    CANADA & THE WORLD

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    2/8

    UK REFERENDUM WILL MAKE NO DIFFERENCE TO UK/CANADA RELATIONSHIP, CANADIANS SAY

    une 29, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet Research poll finds 59% of Canadians believe the eferendum on EU membership wont make a difference to UK/Canada relations though 54% say the U

    decision to leave was a bad result. The Mainstreet Research Poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.15%, 19 tiout of 20.

    Three Amigos Looked on FavourablyAll three amigos have something to smile about, Canadians approve of all three of them, said Quito Ma

    president of Mainstreet Research. Barack Obama has an 80% approval rating followed by Trudeau at 6

    and Pea Nieto at 51%. A third of Canadians dont know quite what to make of Pea Nieto yet, which isurprising since we hear far less about Mexico in Canada than we do the United States. For Trudeau th

    high approval number which shows the Honeymoon is still not quite over.

    May at 54%, Ambrose 42%, Mulcair 39%Canadians are split on Tom Mulcair and Rona Ambrose with their numbers more or less evenly matc

    when you factor in margin of error. Elizabeth May meanwhile has a healthy 54% of Canadians approvin

    her leadership of the Green Party which makes her the second most popular leader in the commons.

    Post-Brexit, Canadians Expect Little to ChangeMost Canadians (54%) think the Brexit result was a poor outcome but few expect it to change Canada

    elations. Only 17% say it will impact Canada negatively while 11% think it will impact Canada positively. F59% say it will make no difference at all. Canadians are not impressed with outgoing Prime Minister DaCameron whose approval rating is underwater, 53% say they disapprove of his performance.

    Hillary wins Canada - by a Landslide; US Better Ally than UKWe followed up on favourability rankings for the US candidates from January, 2016. While Clinton Sanders have both greatly improved their standings with Canadians, Trumps numbers have not chan

    much in comparison, and what little change there is has been for the worse. 75% of Canadians haveunfavourable view of Trump and Hillary Clinton would easily win an election match-up with him in Canby a margin of 58%, 73% to 15% with 12% of Canadians undecided. Right now Canadians believe US/Canelations are very healthy. 56% say US/Canada relations are excellent or good, with another 19% saying t

    are fair. Only 17% say they are poor or very poor. 47% say the US is a better ally to Canada than the34%), finished Maggi.

    About Mainstreet Research

    Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three level

    government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

    Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of puopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BrColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the o

    polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

    -30-

    Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

    "Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    3/8

    Justin Trudeau

    Approve: 64%Disapprove: 30%

    Not Sure: 6%

    Barack Obama

    Approve: 80%Disapprove: 14%

    Not Sure: 6%

    Enrique Pea Nieto

    Approve: 51%Disapprove: 19%Not Sure: 30%

    Approval RatingsThree Amigos

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    4/8

    Favourability RatingsUS Election

    Hillary Clinton

    Favourable: 62% (+10%)Unfavourable: 24% (+2%)

    Not Sure: 9% (-13%)

    Not Familiar with: 5% (+1)

    Donald Trump

    Favourable: 15% (-4%)Unfavourable: 75% (+5%)

    Not Sure: 8% (-1%)Not Familiar with: 2% (-)

    Bernie Sanders

    Favourable: 55% (+21%)Unfavourable: 19% (+6%)

    Not Sure: 6% (-28%)Not Familiar with: 20% (+1%)

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    5/8

    Approval RatingsParty Leaders

    Rona Ambrose

    Approve: 42%Disapprove: 39%

    Not Sure: 19%

    Tom Mulcair

    Approve: 39%Disapprove: 41%Not Sure: 20%

    Elizabeth May

    Approve: 56%Disapprove: 33%

    Not Sure: 11%

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    6/8

    BREXIT

    David Cameron

    Approve: 42%Disapprove: 53%

    Not Sure: 12%

    The UK voted to leave the European Union ireferendum some refer to as the Brexit, in

    your opinion was this a good result or a baresult?

    Good: 27%Bad: 54%

    Not Sure: 19%

    In your opinion will the UK voting to leave tEuropean Union be good for Canada, bad foCanada or make no difference?

    Good: 11%Bad: 17%

    No Difference: 59%Not Sure: 13%

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    7/8

    US Relations

    Clinton vs Trump

    Clinton: 73% (+2%)Trump: 15% (-1%)

    Not Sure: 12% (-%)

    In your opinion who is a better ally to Canadis it the United Kingdom or the United States

    US: 47%UK: 34%

    Not Sure: 19%

    And how would you characterize the

    relationship between Canada and the US, is Excellent, Good, Fair, Poor or Very Poor?

    Excellent: 27%Good: 29%Fair: 19%Poor: 11%

    Very Poor: 6%

    Not Sure: 8%

  • 7/25/2019 Mainstreet - June 2016 Overview

    8/8

    Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

    public affairs.

    Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

    government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

    been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

    government in the 2015 federal election.

    CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

    mainstreetresearch.ca

    TWITTER

    @MainStResearch

    FACEBOOK

    fb.com/mainstresearch

    2016 Mainstreet Research. All rights esr