M3 - Asian OSJSubsea 2015
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Transcript of M3 - Asian OSJSubsea 2015
Panel Discussion Country-specific finance challenges and opportunities in
subsea sector
Mike Meade, M3 Marine Group
Asian Offshore Support Journal Subsea Conference Singapore 18 & 19 March 2015
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
• E & P spending down
• We saw signs of this as early as Q1 2014
• Demand for subsea services is down in 2015 and 2016 which coupled with increasing supply is a problem for the industry
• Oversupply will leave some Owners exposed, especially in commoditised tonnage (ie ROV support)
• One glimmer of hope could be a drive towards consolidation leading to market discipline
Setting the scene……
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
Setting the scene (2)……
Demand growth still apparent in Mexico and Brazil… but…
Neither place is easy to work, Brazil especially so
Project lead times have increased, caused by delays introduced by the oil price ‘shock’
It is estimated we will not see activity levels reach 2014 levels until at least 2017
Big Oil starting running out of cash BEFORE the decline in the oil price
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
Setting the scene……
It’s not just about the oil price….
• The drop in the oil price is compounded by a massive increase in costs across the E&P industry
• The O&G industry has ‘lunacy’ levels of costs associated with it
• We have all witnessed the knee jerk reaction as big oil gets its red pen out
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
How is the market reacting ?
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
A ray of hope..?
Often asked what I would invest in.
I have invested in the Subsea ‘true’ DSV space.
Only 10 ‘true’ DSV’s being built in the world
2 of these are about to be cancelled (whose you may ask !)
Graphic courtesy of
M3 MARINE GROUP PTE LTD1 Commonwealth Lane, #09-19, ONE Commonwealth, Singapore 149544 T +65 6327 4606 M [email protected] W www.m3marine.com.sg All rights reserved.
A ray of hope..?
THE END
Asian Offshore Support Journal Subsea Conference Singapore 18 & 19 March 2015