Luc Quadacker - Prof Skepticism and Anlytical Rocedures

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    What is Professional Skepticism?

    Four Determinants of Auditors Skeptical Disposition and Their

    Relationship to Analytical Procedures Planning Behavior

    Luc Quadackers

    Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Ernst & [email protected]

    Tom GrootVrije Universiteit Amsterdam

    Arnold WrightNortheastern University, Boston

    August 25, 2007

    Draft version, please do not refer to or quote without permission

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    Abstract

    The purpose of this study is to examine the relationships between four determinants of

    auditors skeptical disposition and to look at what determinants are most closely related

    to auditors skeptical behaviors.

    Despite the importance of professional skepticism in the auditing literature, there

    is a lack of consensus and empirical data on how skeptical disposition is measured and

    the extent to which such measures map with auditor behaviors. Gaining insight into

    factors that lead to desired skeptical behaviors forms the basis for auditor training,

    guidance in audit tools, and can be used as a starting point for future research.

    Four determinants of skeptical disposition are compared: (1) interpersonal trust;

    (2) suspension of judgment; (3) locus of control; and (4) a comprehensive professional

    skepticism scale. Moreover, the influence of strength of management control philosophy

    on this relationship is studied.

    An experimental study is conducted to address these issues involving a sample of

    376 auditors from offices of the Big Four auditing firms in the Netherlands with

    experience ranging from staff to partner level.

    The results show that the strength of the effects of the determinants on skeptical

    behaviors is different across the determinants. Overall, interpersonal trust appears to have

    the highest explanatory power in predicting skeptical behaviors.

    1. Introduction

    Professional skepticism is considered to be an essential ingredient of the financial

    statement audit, as reflected in the professional auditing standards (e.g., IFAC, 2007) andthe audit methodologies of international audit firms. Furthermore, the academic and

    professional auditing literatures emphasize the importance of the use of professional

    skepticism (see e.g., Hurtt et al., 2003a, p.2; Kadous, 2000; Nelson, 2007). In addition,

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    Despite its importance, there exists no clear definition of what professional

    skepticism is and how auditors skeptical characteristics are related to skeptical behaviors

    (see e.g., Hurtt et al., 2003a; Nelson, 2007).1In a review of the philosophical literature,

    Kurtz (1992, p. 21-22) summarizes:

    ... skeptikos means to consider, examine; skepsis means inquiry and doubt.

    ... Skeptics always bid those overwhelmed by Absolute Truth or Special Virtue to

    pause. They ask, What do you mean?- seeking clarification and definition and

    Why do you believe what you do?- demanding reasons, evidence, justification,

    or proof. ... they say, Show me. ... Skeptics wish to examine all sides of a

    question; and for every argument in favor of a thesis, they can usually find one or

    more arguments opposed to it.

    In a recent working paper, Nelson (2007) summarizes the existing literature on

    professional skepticism in auditing and derives the following definition:

    indicated by auditor judgments and decisions that reflect a heightened assessment

    of the risk that an assertion is incorrect, conditional on the information available

    to the auditor.

    ISA 200.15 (IFAC, 2006) states that an auditor should plan and perform an audit

    with an attitude of professional skepticism, while ISA 200.16 (IFAC, 2006) states that

    [a]n attitude of professional skepticism means the auditor makes a critical assessment,with a questioning mind, of the validity of audit evidence obtained and is alert to audit

    evidence that contradicts or brings into question the reliability of documents and

    responses to inquiries and other information obtained from management and those

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    reliability of management assertions and to develop an audit program (Shaub and

    Lawrence, 1999, p. 62).

    Most of the auditing research literature that explicitly considers skeptical traits

    (cf. Nelson, 2007) has equaled trust (or more specifically the complement of trust:

    suspicion) as a measure for auditors skeptical disposition. Quadackers (2007)

    summarizes the literature on the use of the complement of trust as a skeptical disposition

    and recognizes the need for examining the Interpersonal Trust Scale (e.g., Rotter, 1967).

    The Quadackers (2007) paper uses the same case materials that are used in this paper.

    The interpersonal trust results of the Quadackers (2007) study are integrated in this paper

    for reasons of comparison. In particular, this paper adds to the Quadackers (2007) study

    in that it considers and compares three additional alternative measures of skeptical

    disposition and in evaluating their power of explaining auditors skeptical behaviors.

    Auditor skepticism will be studied based on the relationships between four

    determinants of auditors skeptical disposition, a situational factor (management control

    philosophy) and auditors skeptical behaviors (measured by planning judgments in an

    analytical procedures task). Knowing what determinants constitute an auditors skeptical

    disposition and how these determinants are related to skeptical behavior provides crucial

    insights for the audit. Finding out the factors that make up an auditors skeptical

    disposition can lead to a definition of the key attributes of skepticism in audit manuals

    and training. Ultimately, audit firms may administer personality tests to their personnel in

    order to assess the skepticism attributes of their auditors (e.g., Nelson, 2007).

    Alternatively, Nelson (2007, p. 35) suggests that audit firms can stress the importance of

    professional skepticism traits when hiring new auditors and when marketing the auditprofession in the hopes of discouraging people with low professional skepticism traits

    from applying.

    Furthermore, the insights gained from this study will also help in structuring

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    efficiency (see e.g., Hirst & Koonce, 1996, p. 461, 464; Peecher, 1996, p. 125-126;

    Koonce et al., 1995, p. 369). The experimental case, adapted from Peecher (1996),

    contains an unexpected material increase in gross margin and a related management non-

    error explanation concerning the fluctuation. 376 auditors read the case materials and

    completed questions on how they would respond to the case situation in terms of audit

    planning. In addition, they completed instruments measuring skeptical personality

    dispositions.

    In total, four different determinants are used to capture skeptical disposition: (1)

    interpersonal trust (as measured by the Interpersonal Trust Scale, Rotter, 1967); (2)

    suspension of judgment (as measured by the complement of the Need for Closure Scale,

    Webster and Kruglanski, 1994); (3) locus of control (as measured by the Locus of

    Control Scale, Rotter, 1966); and (4) a comprehensive professional skepticism scale (i.e.

    the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale, Hurtt, 2003). These scales are widely recognized

    and cited in the decision science and/or auditing literatures and will be described in depth

    in the next section.

    Six variables were used to examine skeptical judgments (i.e. skeptical behaviors):

    (1) (the complement of) the likelihood that managements change in sales mix

    explanation accounts for substantially all of the increase in gross margin; (2) the

    likelihood of fraud; (3) the number of alternative explanations provided; (4) the number

    of error explanations; (5) the likelihood that error explanations account for substantially

    all of the increase in gross margin; and (6) the number of budgeted hours. Higher

    assessments for each of these variables represent greater skeptical behavior by the

    auditor.As mentioned, an important contribution of this paper is the empirical

    examination of four determinants of skeptical disposition. This study enables a

    comparison of the predictive validity of different determinants of skeptical disposition in

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    negative correlation between interpersonal trust and locus of control. There appear to be

    significant interaction effects of client risk on the relationships between determinants of

    skeptical disposition and skeptical planning behaviors.

    The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 the theory,

    literature and hypotheses are described. The research method will be discussed in Section

    3 and the results are presented in Section 4. The final section provides a discussion of the

    findings and their implications for future research.

    2. Theory, literature and hypotheses

    Determinants of auditors skeptical disposition

    As mentioned in the introduction, there exists no universally accepted definition of

    professional skepticism. Considering various determinants of auditors skeptical

    disposition (and related measures) enables a careful identification of personality factors

    that engender desired behaviors, how they are related and what determinants have highest

    explanatory value. Some authors assume auditors personality traits to be stable when

    they start audit training and practice (see e.g., Libby and Luft, 1993; Nelson, 2007).

    However, others have found auditor traits to be alterable (e.g. Carpenter, 2004). Hence,

    knowing the status quo of the determinants of auditors skeptical disposition may be

    influential in staffing decisions and/or planning auditors training.

    This study examines four determinants of skeptical disposition. These measures

    are based on skeptical characteristics which are of particular importance for auditors.

    These characteristics and the related measures are discussed in this section, as well as theassociated findings of empirical auditing literature.

    Reserved interpersonal trust

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    Interpersonal trust can be defined as a generalized expectancy held by an

    individual or a group that the word, promise, verbal or written statement of another

    individual or group can be relied upon (Rotter, 1967, p. 651; Rotter, 1980, p. 1).

    ISA 200.16 states that [w]hen making inquiries and performing other audit

    procedures, the auditor is not satisfied with less-than persuasive audit evidence based on

    a belief that management and those charged with governance are honest and have

    integrity.

    The basic thought is that if an auditor has a lower level of interpersonal trust he is

    assumed to be more skeptical (e.g., Shaub, 1996; Hurtt, 2003). To measure trust, Shaub

    (1996) used the trustworthiness and independence parts of the Wrightsman Philosophies

    of Human Nature scale (Wrightsman, 1964, 1974) and a self-developed Client Trust

    scale. Choo and Tan (2000) used a modified version of the Rempel et al. Trust Scale

    (1985), originally measuring trust in the relationship with a persons life partner. To a

    limited extent these scales showed significant direct or interaction effects in explaining

    skeptical behaviors. However, none of the scales yield strong results. The trustworthiness

    and independence parts of the Wrightsman Philosophies of Human Nature Scale do not

    lead to significant results. Shaubs Client Trust Scale only shows significant results in

    two of the 18 regressions tested. The Rempel et al.Trust Scale showed some significant

    results but Choo and Tan (2000, p. 81) state that the scale is not psychometrically valid.

    With the exception of a study by Quadackers (2007), the Rotter Interpersonal Trust

    Scale (1967) has not been used yet as a measure for skeptical disposition in prior auditing

    research despite the fact that this scale is widely accepted in other fields (see e.g., Hoell,

    2004; Johnson-George and Swap, 1982; Stack, 1978; Webb and Worchel, 1986). In non-auditing studies Rotters Interpersonal Trust Scale has been associated more strongly

    with actual behaviors and other validating evidence than other interpersonal trust scales

    (Stack, 1978, p. 569; Rotter, 1980, p.2).2 Therefore, the first measure for skeptical

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    Suspension of judgment

    Suspension of judgment is one of the main characteristics of skeptics (e.g., Bunge,

    1991; Kurtz, 1992; Hurtt et al., 2003a). Kurtz states that suspension of judgments ... is a

    necessary ingredient of skeptical inquiry (1992, p. 41). According to Bunge (1991, p.

    131) [s]keptics do not accept naively the first things they perceive or think; they are not

    gullible. Nor are they neophobic. They are just critical; they want to see evidence before

    believing. Skeptics particularly suspend judgment concerning whatever has not been

    checked (Bunge, 1991, p. 132). Skeptics keep on gathering evidence until no reasonable

    person would doubt the claim stated (Kurtz, 1992, p. 132).

    Also the auditing standards state that the auditor should gather sufficient and

    appropriate audit evidence to the point that he is able to draw reasonable conclusions on

    which to base the audit opinion (ISA 200.16).3 Particularly when there is a risk of

    material misstatement due to fraud, this can affect the auditors professional skepticism in

    two ways (ISA 240.64). Firstly, it may increase the auditors assessment of the risk of

    material misstatement and sensitivity in the selection of the nature and extent of

    documentation. Secondly, it may increase the auditors recognition of the need to

    corroborate management explanations or representations concerning material matters.

    This leads to suspension of judgment.

    Suspension of judgment is assumed to be negatively correlated with the need for

    cognitive closure. Need for cognitive closure is one of the important dispositional

    constructs affecting the knowledge acquisition process (e.g., Kruglanski and Ajzen,

    1983). If a person has a higher need for closure then it might hinder the persons

    hypothesis-generation process because conflicting hypotheses would threaten an existingor inherited conclusion. Research evidence suggests that the need for quickly reaching a

    decision leads to the tendency to seek cognitive closure and to refrain from critical

    probing of a given seemingly adequate solution to a problem (Kruglanski and Freund,

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    The Need for Cognitive Closure Scale measures the desire to possess some

    knowledge on a given topic, any definite knowledge as opposed to confusion and

    ambiguity (Webster and Kruglanski, 1994). The proposition is that a skeptical person will

    suspend judgment until he or she knows more about an ambiguous situation and hence

    will have a lower score on this scale.

    This implies that an auditor with a higher need for closure has a lower ability to

    suspend judgment when confronted with a management explanation (i.e. he will be more

    eager to accept the explanation) and hence will behave a less skeptically. Or as Bailey et

    al. (2006) state: [a] heightened need for closure would inhibit the hypothesis-generation

    process because conflicting hypotheses would threaten an existing conclusion.

    Consideration of initial hypotheses wrongly may cause problems since they may steer

    auditors further evidence evaluation and judgment.

    The only auditing study to examine need for closure was conducted by Bailey et

    al. (2006). They report that the need for closure is significantly less for higher ranks than

    for lower ranks. Furthermore, a series of experiments show that need for closure affects

    judgment and decision making in professional settings. More specifically, auditors with a

    higher need for cognitive closure show more stereotyping behavior and spend less time

    on tasks.

    Internal locus of control

    Locus of control refers to assumed internal states that explain why some people

    actively, tenaciously, and eagerly try to deal with difficult circumstances, while others get

    passively stuck in negative emotions (Lefcourt, 1991, p. 413). An external locus ofcontrol indicates a pervasive belief that outcomes cannot be influenced by ones personal

    efforts, while an internal locus of control implies the belief that outcomes are contingent

    upon personal actions (Lefcourt, 1991, p. 414).4Persons with a more external locus of

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    control are referred to as externals and persons with a more internal locus of control are

    referred to as internals.

    The importance of locus of control has been widely recognized (Phares, 1978, p.

    276). Previous research shows that externals are more readily persuasible, confirming,

    and accepting of information from others (see e.g. Phares, 1978 for an overview).

    Internals are associated with a more active pursuit of valued goals, information seeking

    (e.g. they have better learning skills in identifying and searching for task relevant cues)

    and autonomous decision making, and are better able to cope with stress (e.g., Lefcourt,

    1991, p. 414; Phares, 1978). Internals generally appear to be more competent and

    personally effective than externals (e.g., Phares, 1978, p. 278) and they approach

    situations with a more directive and alert posture than externals (Phares, 1978, p. 276).

    Although acceptance by an internal of the control of another does happen, it will most

    certainly be thoughtful and analytic rather than blind und unthinking (Phares, 1978, p.

    279).

    The characteristics of internals mentioned above appear to be highly relevant for

    auditors professional skepticism (cf. Hurtt, 2003). For example, in terms of accepting

    management assertions, internals will be more critical than externals. Being critical of

    management assertions is considered to be important by the auditing standards (e.g., ISA

    240, par. 42).

    Furthermore, in auditing surveys, several potential reasons for practicing a low

    level of professional skepticism in auditing have been identified. Pasewark et al.(1992)

    find that auditors may not take skeptical action because of intimidation or concerns about

    clients reactions. In addition, Behn et al. (1997) found a negative relationship betweendemonstrated professional skepticism and client satisfaction (i.e. the more skeptical the

    auditor was the unhappier the client became). These situations may result in pleasing the

    client and reducing skepticism. Allegedly, skeptical behavior in such situations may

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    examines the link between locus of control and auditors fraud detection. The detection

    rate for fraud was not significantly higher for internal locus of control auditors (however

    there was an interaction with experience). Tsui and Gul (1996) find a direct effect of

    locus of control on auditors behavior in an audit conflict situation (but also report an

    interaction effect with ethical reasoning). Externals were more likely to ignore

    unrecorded liabilities as wanted by management. Donnelly et al. (2003) find that

    externals are more accepting of dysfunctional audit behavior (e.g. premature sign-off,

    gathering of insufficient evidence).

    A comprehensive professional skepticism scale

    The need for development of a specific professional skepticism scale for auditing

    has been stressed by several authors (e.g., Choo and Tan, 2000; Hurtt, 2003). Hurtt

    (2003) developed such an instrument to measure an individuals level of professional

    skepticism based on skeptical characteristics. Hurtt et al. (2003a) derive three sets of

    skeptical characteristics from philosophical literature, auditing standards and existing

    literature on skepticism in auditing which together determine an individuals overall level

    of professional skepticism: (1) examination of evidence; (2) understanding evidence-

    providers; and (3) acting on the evidence.

    The characteristics related to the examination of evidence consist of a

    questioning mind, suspension of judgment and search for knowledge. A questioning

    mind is demonstrated in a requirement for reasons, evidence, justification or proof.

    Suspension of judgment is a characteristic indicating that a skeptic is slow to form

    judgments, requiring deliberation and additional supporting information to reach thatjudgment. Search for knowledge is equated with curiosity.

    The characteristics related to understanding evidence-providers consist of

    interpersonal understanding of the motivation and integrity of evidence-providers.

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    These three sets of characteristics determine the individuals overall level of

    professional skepticism, which in turn drive skeptical behavior (Hurtt et al., 2003a).

    There is some empirical evidence that the scores on the Hurtt Professional Skepticism

    Scale are related to skeptical behavior (Hurtt et al., 2003b; and Popova, 2006). Hurtt et

    al. (2003b) find that scores on this scale are significantly related to contradictions

    detected in the working papers (one of two variables) and marginally related to one of

    three variables measuring expanded information search. Popova (2006) studied the

    relationship between the scores on the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale and the

    determination of initial hypotheses regarding potential misstatements. Generally, the

    findings show that the auditors who are less skeptical in terms of the Hurtt scale are

    guided more by client specific experience when they assess initial hypothesis regarding

    possible misstatements. Furthermore, more skeptical auditors are more evidence-prone

    than less skeptical auditors (particularly in the positive client experience setting) and

    more skeptical auditors judge fraud evidence to be of greater relevance.

    All four determinants described are hypothesized to influence skeptical

    disposition. Therefore it is of interest to study the extent to which these determinants are

    related. Three of the determinants comprise characteristics of skeptical auditors. The

    fourth determinant is a comprehensive measure of professional skepticism. It is not

    theoretically clear whether and how the determinants are related. For example, Hurtt

    (2003, p. 12) found empirical evidence for the fact that the trustworthiness and

    independence parts of the Wrightsman Philosophies of Human Nature Scale are not

    significantly correlated with the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale. However, she

    postulates that interpersonal trust aspects are a component of professional skepticism.Therefore, the relationship between the four determinants is stated as a research

    question.

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    Prior research in psychology has found that personality dispositions influence

    behavior (e.g., Eagly and Chaiken, 1993; 2005; Ajzen, 2005, pp 34-37).5In the setting of

    professional skepticism, Hurtt et al. (2003a; 2003b) theorize that an auditors skeptical

    characteristics (such as a questioning mind) determine level of professional skepticism,

    which subsequently drives skeptical behavior. Hence, theory implies that auditors with a

    more skeptical disposition behave more skeptically (e.g., suspend judgment and engage

    in more substantive testing) than auditors with a less skeptical disposition. Of particular

    importance is what determinant is most closely related to the auditors skeptical

    behaviors.

    The second research question is formulated as follows.

    RQ2: How closely are the four determinants of skeptical disposition related to skeptical

    behavior and which is most closely related?

    The influence of situational factors: client risk

    Although skeptical behavior is hypothesized to be related to skeptical disposition,

    behavior is also expected to be related to situational characteristics (see e.g., Eagly and

    Chaiken, 1993; 2005; Ajzen, 2005; Kee and Knox, 1970). Therefore, it is conceivable

    that professional skepticism is situation specific (Bhattacharya et al., 1998, p. 461).

    Auditor skeptical behavior is particularly necessary in high risk situations. For

    instance, professional standards dictate that engagements with a higher risk of material

    misstatement due to fraud should be audited with increased professional skepticism

    (IFAC, 2006, ISA 240.63). Such situations also expose the individual auditor and thefirm to increased reputation and other risks (e.g., litigation). Furthermore, clients

    explanations of unexpected fluctuations should be corroborated by the auditor more fully

    if the risk related to the areas of explanation is high (cf. Hirst and Koonce, 1996, p. 473).

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    with increased professional skepticism (IFAC, 2006). This may result in all auditors

    exhibiting skeptical behavior in a high risk situation, regardless of their skeptical

    disposition. However, it is unclear whether behavior will then differ according to

    skeptical disposition in the low risk setting.

    Alternatively, auditors may all show similar levels of low skeptical behavior in

    the low risk setting (regardless of their skeptical disposition), since they may judge the

    situation as non risky. However, then skeptical behavior might be dependent on skeptical

    disposition in high risk settings.

    One of the most pervasive client risks is the clients control environment (e.g.

    Haskins, 1987; Bernardi, 1994). Management control philosophy is an important

    constituent of the control environment. Financial reporting problems of companies are

    often related to a weak management control philosophy (see e.g., COSO, 1992). Cohen

    and Hanno (2000) found that audit planning judgments are responsive to management

    control philosophy.

    Since the nature of the potential interaction effect between skeptical disposition,

    skeptical behavior, and client risk is unclear the final issue is addressed as a research

    question.

    RQ3: How is the relationship between auditors skeptical disposition and

    skeptical behavior (as reflected in audit planning judgments) dependent on

    the strength of management control philosophy?

    3. Method

    Research setting

    The study utilizes an experimental case that is embedded in a planning stage

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    1995, p. 369). For example, missing a material overstatement of earnings that could have

    been identified by analytical procedures can result in misleading financial statements

    with the associated misallocation of resources and litigation (see e.g., Asare and Wright,

    2001).

    The case contains an unexpected material increase in gross margin. Since the

    audit client is the most common source of explanations concerning unexpected

    fluctuations in planning-stage analytical procedures (see e.g., Hirst and Koonce, 1996, p.

    463; Trompeter and Wright, 2007), in the case a client explanation is provided. The CFO

    of the company gives a non-error explanation concerning the fluctuation stating that the

    increase in gross margin is caused by a change in the sales-mix. In view of the fact that

    management may lack independence, auditors should evaluate client explanations with

    professional skepticism (cf. Bedard and Biggs, 1991, pp. 77-79; Glover et al., 2000, p.

    29; ISA 240, par. 42).

    In the experiment, strength of management control philosophy was manipulated

    as strong or weak by using vignettes based on Cohen and Hanno (2000).

    Research variables

    Dependent variablesSix proxies for auditors skeptical behavior are used as dependent variables. They

    are presented below.

    An auditor should reflect on the information that is provided by a client.

    Particularly for a skeptical auditor it is common to ponder over the incentives a client

    might have in furnishing that information (e.g., Hurtt et al. 2003a). Auditors who assess alower probability of accepting managements explanation are assumed to show more

    skeptical behavior. The variables studied in this respect are the likelihood that

    managements explanation (a change in sales mix) accounts for substantially all of the

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    examine (e.g., Hurtt et al. 2003a). Auditors are assumed to exhibit more skeptical

    behavior when they: (1) are able to generate a greater number of plausible alternative

    explanations; (2) provide more error-explanations (since these are opposite to the clients

    non error explanation); and (3) assess higher probabilities of the accuracy of error

    explanations. As a result, the variables studied are the number of alternative explanations

    provided, the number of error explanations provided and the likelihood that the error

    explanations account for substantially all of the increase in gross margin (>85%) (c.f.,

    Peecher, 1996; McMillan and White, 1993).

    Finally, an indication of skepticism is the extent to which auditors want to

    perform further testing (e.g., Hurtt et al. 2003a). The main variable studied is number of

    budgeted hours (cf., Shaub, 1996; Shaub and Lawrence, 1996; Hurtt et al., 2003b;

    Popova, 2006). A reference point of 100 hours for last year is given.

    Independent variables: four determinants of skeptical disposition

    The measurement scales for the four determinants of auditors skeptical

    disposition will now be discussed.7

    Interpersonal trust

    The first determinant of skeptical disposition, interpersonal trust, is measured by

    (the complement of) the Interpersonal Trust Scale (Rotter, 1967). Rotters Interpersonal

    Trust Scale consists of 25 items that are scored on a five point Likert Scale (varying from

    strongly disagree to strongly agree).8Three typical scale-items are, for example: (1) in

    7 The primary focus of this study is on the general affects of determinants of skeptical disposition on

    auditor behaviors. Therefore, factor-analyses to examine individual factors within the determinants

    are outside the scope of this paper.8 As noted by Quadackers (2007), there are four reasons for selecting this measure: (1) Rotters

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    dealing with strangers one is better off to be cautious until they have provided evidence

    that they are trustworthy (negatively scored); (2) it is safe to believe that in spite of

    what people say most people are primarily interested in their own welfare (negatively

    scored); and (3) most salesmen are honest in describing their products.

    Suspension of judgment

    Suspension of judgment is studied as the second determinant of skeptical

    disposition and will be measured by the 42-item Need for Closure Scale (Webster and

    Kruglanski, 1994). The responses to the 42 items are requested on a 6-point Likert scale

    ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 6 (strongly agree). Webster and Kruglanski (1994)

    rationalized that the need for closure will express itself in a variety of ways. This is in

    accordance with the underlying theory of lay epistemics (Kruglanski, 1989, 1990a,

    1990b). Therefore, they viewed it as a latent variable visible through different facets (cf.

    Carver, 1989).9Webster and Kruglanski (1994) identified five major facets that represent

    the construct: (1) preference for order; (2) preference for predictability; (3) decisiveness;

    Webster and Kruglanski (1994) reasoned that persons with a high need for closure would

    possess a desire to reach closure, revealed in a decisiveness of their judgments and

    choices; (4) discomfort with ambiguity; and (5) closed-mindedness; Webster andKruglanski (1994) theorize that a person with a high need for closure possesses an

    unwillingness to have one's knowledge confronted (hence, rendered insecure) by

    alternative opinions or inconsistent evidence. They found that the Need for Closure

    Scale is reliable in assessing a single coherent construct with five facets and has high test-

    retest reliability. The Need for Closure Scale has been confirmed and has been validated

    in numerous studies cross-culturally.

    Three examples of scale items are: (1) when I am confused about an important

    issue, I feel very upset; (2) I dislike questions which could be answered in many

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    Locus of control

    The third determinant of skeptical disposition studied is locus of control and is

    measured by Rotters (1966) Locus of Control scale. This scale contains 23 question pairs

    that have to be answered in a forced choice format (i.e. one of the two possibilities per

    question). For example, one of the question pairs was: (a) without the right breaks one

    cannot be an effective leader; and (b) capable people who fail to become leaders have

    not taken advantage of their opportunities. The participants had to choose one of the two

    options. In this case option b indicated an external locus of control. In this fashion the

    number of hits on external locus of control statements constitutes the Locus of Control

    Score.

    Rotters Locus of Control scale has been proven reliable and valid in numerous

    samples (see e.g. Lefcourt, 1991).

    Comprehensive professional skepticism

    The fourth comprehensive determinant of skeptical disposition is the Hurtt

    Professional Skepticism Scale (2003). This is a relatively new scale which has only been

    examined in a few unpublished papers (e.g. Hurtt et al. 2003b; Popova, 2006; Fullerton

    and Durtschi, 2005). The scale consists of 30 items to be scored on a 6-point scale,ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 6 (strongly agree). The scale is designed to provide

    a single score of professional skepticism, although the items are organized along six

    theoretically derived facets: (1) search for knowledge; (2) suspension of judgment; (3)

    self-determining; (4) interpersonal understanding; (5) self-confidence; and (6)

    questioning mind (see Hurtt, 2003). Three illustrative items are, for example: (1) I often

    accept other peoples explanations without further thought (negatively scored); (2) I

    dont like to decide until Ive looked at all of the readily available information; and (3)

    It is easy for other people to convince me (negatively scored).

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    Independent variables: manipulated and control variables

    Strength of the management control philosophy is manipulated as being strong

    (coded as 0) or weak (coded as 1).10In the strong management control philosophy setting,

    management is conservative in doing business, has modest disagreements with the

    external auditors, has strict guidelines for following internal control procedures, and

    obtains reward based on several financial and non-financial performance measures. In the

    weak management control philosophy setting, management is aggressive in doing

    business, has frequent disagreements with the external auditors, has less strictly applied

    internal control procedures if advancement of work suffers from them, and has

    compensation plans that are mainly based on reaching short-term accounting-based

    performance measures. Strength of management control philosophy is manipulated in a

    between subjects design.

    To examine the effects of the determinants of skeptical disposition and strength of

    management control philosophy on skeptical behavior, it is necessary to control for the

    auditors prior task experience by measuring the participants years of experience in

    conducting analytical procedures and adding that variable to the models.

    Research instrument validation and manipulation checksThe majority of the participants in the experiment (i.e. 86%) was living in the

    Netherlands and their mother tongue was Dutch.11 Therefore the case-materials were

    translated into Dutch. Concerning the measurement scales, Dutch translations were

    readily available for the Need for Closure scale (Cratylus, 1995) and for the Locus of

    Control Scale (see e.g. Boone and De Brabander, 1993). Translations were developed for

    the Interpersonal Trust Scale and for the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale. For that

    purpose a combination of the Parallel Blind Technique and Translation/Back-Translation

    methods was used (Behling and Law, 2000).

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    with 19 staff level auditors and minor modifications were made to the instrument on the

    basis of the comments received.

    The research instrument contains two parts. The first part includes the case

    description and the tasks (i.e. the dependent variables).12The second part contained the

    scales to measure skeptical disposition, demographic information and debriefing

    questions about the case.

    Two questions were asked as manipulation checks concerning the strength of

    management control philosophy variable (cf. Cohen and Hanno, 2000). The questions

    pertaining to the effectiveness of the control environment and overall control risk were

    assessed on a 9-point scale.13The scale regarding control environment effectiveness was

    ranging form very ineffective to very effective. The scale concerning overall control risk

    was ranging from very low risk to very high risk. The means score on the control

    environment effectiveness was 3.49 in the weak management control philosophy setting

    and 6.21 in the strong management control philosophy setting. The mean score on the

    overall control risk was 6.63 in the weak management control philosophy setting and

    4.76 in the strong management control philosophy setting. These results are in the

    expected direction and are highly significant (One-way ANOVAs show a p-value of

    0.000).In order to assess case realism and understandability two questions were scored

    on a 9-point scale. The scale for case realism ranged from highly unrealistic to highly

    realistic and the scale for case understandability ranged from very unclear to very clear.

    The mean score for case realism was 6.08 and the mean score for case understandability

    was 6.73. One-sample t-tests show that the mean scores are significantly above the

    middle points (i.e. a value of 5) of the scales (p-values are 0.000).

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    Sample

    All of the Big Four firms cooperated in this study. The participating firms are

    randomly coded as Firm A, B, C and D.14Descriptive information on the sample can be

    found in Table 1.

    *** INSERT TABLE 1 ABOUT HERE ***

    There were 376 participants in total of which 86 were female (i.e. 23%) and 286

    were male (i.e. 77%). All staff levels contained a number of participants that was

    sufficient for our statistical analyses. However, the number of partners (73) and staff (56)

    participating was less than managers (116) and seniors (124) taking part. The spread of

    the auditors across staff levels varied per firm as a result of availability.

    On average the auditors had about 10 years of general experience and 10 years of

    experience with conducting analytical procedures. Both general experience and task

    specific experience suggest that the participants possess the requisite task knowledge.

    The number of participants was relatively balanced across the two cells of the strength of

    management control philosophy manipulation.

    All participants completed only two of the measurement scales. This was donedue to limited time availability as well as to avoid information overload and/or fatigue.

    One-way ANOVAs show that there are no order effects in the administration of scales for

    skeptical disposition. However, since the scales were offered to the participants in

    different combinations, order-effects cannot be assessed for the sample as a whole. Table

    2 provides information on the sample sizes for the four measures of skeptical disposition

    studied across firms.

    *** INSERT TABLE 2 ABOUT HERE ***

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    As can be seen in Table 2 there are three possibilities for mutual comparison of

    the scales (1) the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale and the Need for Closure Scale; (2)

    the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale and the Interpersonal Trust Scale; and (3) the

    Interpersonal Trust Scale and the Locus of Control Scale.

    Administration of the experiment

    The experiment was conducted during 12 sessions of which 9 sessions were part of

    the yearly summer courses, two sessions were held during monthly partner meetings and

    one session was an audit methodology training course for instructors.

    The first author attended all sessions and provided a brief introduction before the

    start of the experiment. The single remark concerning the content of the study was that it

    comprised a case on conducting preliminary analytical procedures. After the introduction

    the participants received an envelope containing the research materials. A printed

    instruction regarding completion of the instrument was stuck on the envelope. The

    different versions of the questionnaire were spread across participants in a fully

    randomized fashion. After a starting-signal from the instructor the participants opened the

    envelope. The envelope included two smaller envelopes with parts one and two of the

    research instrument. The two envelopes containing the parts of the instruments wereidentified with identical numbers in order to enable ex post matching. The participants

    were asked to write down their name on the envelope in order to induce a feeling of

    accountability.

    Upon completion of part one (risk assessment and audit planning tasks), the

    participants were instructed to put the first part of the questionnaire into the first envelope

    and seal it. Then they proceeded with part two (skeptical dispositions and debriefing

    questions) which had to be put in the second envelope and sealed after completion.

    Finally, envelopes 1 and 2 had to be put into the large envelope.

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    Coding

    In the case description, the CFO provided a non-error explanation for the increase

    in the gross margin percentage. The participants were requested to think about possible

    alternative explanations for the increase in the gross margin percentage. Those alternative

    explanations were coded by the author and an experienced audit manager. The coding

    encompassed an assessment of the type of explanation and of the plausibility of the

    explanation (i.e. is the explanation logical and in the right direction). In order to

    appropriately study error explanations, which are of the highest importance to the study,

    the following types of explanations were distinguished: non-error explanations,

    unintentional error explanations, intentional error explanations and ambiguous

    unintentional/intentional explanations. Cohens Kappa Coefficient regarding the coding

    of the plausibility of the explanation was 0.795 (p = 0.000) and Cohens Kappa

    Coefficient for coding the type of explanation was 0.864 (p = 0.000). These levels of the

    Kappa are strong (e.g., Landis and Koch, 1977). Differences were discussed by the two

    coders and mutually resolved. Explanations were also coded as a repeated explanation or

    not (i.e. does the respondent repeat an earlier explanation). Although the Kappa

    Coefficient was significant (p = 0.000) its value was low (0.193). In the total of 1290

    explanations there were disagreements in only 54 cases (4.2%). In most cases one coderconsidered the explanations to be repeated while the second coder did not. A closer

    examination of the explanations revealed that there were new additional elements present

    in explaining what was going on in those cases. For this reason, after discussion the

    repeated explanations were coded as not repeated explanations.

    4. Results

    Descriptive statistics regarding the measurements scales used for skeptical

    disposition in the study are shown in Table 3. As can be derived from the table, all mean

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    The Cronbach alpha values for the scales are all adequate (see e.g. Nunnally,

    1978). One-sample Kolmogorov Smirnov tests and an examination of the histograms

    indicate that the measurement scales studied show normally distributed scores.

    Results for Research Question 1

    The quintessence of RQ1 is whether there is a relationship between the four

    measures for skeptical disposition. Table 4 shows Pearson correlations between the

    measures.

    *** INSERT TABLE 4 ABOUT HERE ***

    Table 4 shows a significant negative correlation between interpersonal trust and

    locus of control. This implies that an auditor who is more trusting (i.e. a higher score on

    interpersonal trust) has a more internal locus of control (i.e. a lower score on locus of

    control) and vice versa. If the theoretical assumption is correct that more skepticism

    means lower trust and more internal locus of control, this finding is contrary to

    expectations. None of the correlations between the other combinations are significant.

    This could be an indication that the measures capture different aspects of skepticism.Alternatively, this may be a first indication that some of the factors studied are not strong

    determinants of skeptical disposition. However, it has to be bore in mind that for reasons

    of brevity of the research instruments the study did not collect samples which enable

    comparison between interpersonal trust and need for closure, need for closure and locus

    of control, and locus of control and the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale.

    Results for Research Question 2

    MANOVAs were conducted to assess the impact of the independent variables on

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    determinant of skeptical disposition. The dependent variables were: the likelihood that

    managements change in sales mix explanation accounts for substantially all of the

    increase in gross margin (>85%), the likelihood of fraud, the number of alternative

    explanations provided, the number of error explanations provided, the likelihood that the

    error explanations account for substantially all of the increase in gross margin (>85%),

    and the number of budgeted hours. As independent variables the models included the

    respective determinant of skeptical disposition, the management control philosophy

    manipulation, years of experience with conducting analytical procedures (i.e. task

    specific experience) and an interaction term between the determinant of skeptical

    disposition and the management control philosophy manipulation.

    Results of Levenes tests of equality of error variances lead to rejection of the

    hypothesis that error variances are equal for: 3 (out of 6) dependent variables for the

    Interpersonal Trust scale; 2 dependent variables for the Need for Closure scale; 4

    dependent variables for the Locus of Control scale; and 1 dependent variable for the Hurtt

    Professional Skepticism Scale. However, the MANOVA technique is quite robust for

    violations of the equality of variances assumption when the sample sizes in the cells are

    roughly equal (see e.g., Hair et al., 2006, 409-410; Finch, 2005). The cells of the

    manipulated variable for the four professional skepticism measure samples are aboutequal (i.e., 149 and 142 for the Interpersonal Trust measure, 43 and 42 for the Need for

    Closure measure, 100 and 95 for the Locus of Control measure, and 92 and 89 for the

    Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale measure). Hence, the MANOVA results will be

    interpreted.

    An assumption for MANOVA is that a significant correlation exists between the

    dependent variables. This can be tested by Bartletts test for sphericity, which is

    significant (p = 0.000) for all four professional skepticism measure samples.

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    The multivariate effects are examined (untabulated). For the Interpersonal Trust

    measure sample, the tests show statistical significance for all independent variables in the

    model. Hence, all independent variables appear to have a significant influence on the

    collective set of dependent variables. For the Need for Closure measure sample, the tests

    show statistical significance for management control philosophy strength and for the

    interaction of the Need for Closure measure and management control philosophy

    strength. For the Locus of Control measure sample, the tests show statistical significance

    for management control philosophy strength and for task specific experience (and

    marginal significance for the interaction of the Locus of Control measure and

    management control philosophy strength). For the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale

    sample, none of the tests show statistical significance. However, the level of skepticism is

    marginally significant.

    Linear regressions were conducted in order to understand the nature of the impact

    of the independent variables on the skeptical behaviors. A summary of the regressions is

    provided in Table 5.

    *** INSERT TABLE 5 ABOUT HERE ***

    Interpersonal trust is significant in two of the six regression models (i.e. the

    likelihood that management explanation is right16 and the likelihood of fraud). These

    effects are in the expected direction.

    Need for closure is significant in one of the models (i.e. the number of error

    explanations). However, the effect is opposite to the expected direction. This effect will

    be examined further when Research Question 3 is discussed.

    Locus of control is not significant in any of the models. The Hurtt Professional

    Skepticism Scale is significant for the model regarding the number of error explanations

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    impact of different behaviors. Locus of control appears to have no direct influence on

    skeptical behavior, which suggests that locus of control does not directly determine

    skeptical behavior. Need for closure showed one effect that was opposite to the expected

    direction. That effect will be addressed when discussing the interaction effects.

    Results for Research Question 3

    RQ3 aims at assessing the interaction effects between determinants of auditors

    skeptical disposition and strength of management control philosophy in explaining

    auditors skeptical behavior.

    First, the direct impact of management control philosophy strength is examined.

    For interpersonal trust, strength of management control philosophy is significant in four

    of the six significant models (i.e. the likelihood of fraud, the number of alternative

    explanations, the number of error explanations and the weight of the error explanations).

    The effects are all in the expected direction. For need for closure, strength of

    management control philosophy is significant in three of the four significant models (i.e.

    the likelihood of fraud, the number of error explanations and the weight of the error

    explanations). The effects are all in the expected direction. For locus of control, strength

    of management control philosophy is significant in one of the four significant models (i.e.the number of error explanations) and marginally significant in one of the four significant

    models (i.e. the weight of the error explanations). Both effects are in the expected

    direction. For the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale, strength of management control

    philosophy is not significant in any of the significant models.

    All significant direct effects of strength of management control philosophy are in

    the expected direction. In the models with the number of error explanations and the

    weight of error explanations as dependents, strength of management control philosophy

    has the strongest direct effect.

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    (2007). The interaction effects are about equal concerning the effects for the need for

    closure construct. To be exact, there is a significant interaction effect between need for

    closure and the strength of management control philosophy concerning the number of

    error explanations and there are two marginally significant interaction effects for the

    likelihood of fraud and the weight of the error explanations. The plot of the interaction

    effect pertaining to the number of error explanations is presented in Figure 1. The figure

    shows that the number of generated error explanations is about equal for the low and high

    need for closure groups in the weak management control philosophy setting.17

    *** INSERT FIGURE 1 ABOUT HERE ***

    Hence, when there is a management control philosophy problem obviously all

    auditors seem to adequately respond to this, regardless of the skeptical disposition.

    However, in the strong management control philosophy setting there is a significant

    difference (post hoc Scheffe test) between the mean number of total error explanations

    for the low and high need for closure groups. Contrary to intuition, the line is upward

    sloping which indicates that auditors with a lower need for closure (i.e. they are supposed

    to possess a higher degree of skeptical disposition) generate less alternative errorexplanations than auditors with a higher need for closure (i.e. auditors with a supposedly

    lower degree of skeptical disposition). This seems to be related to the already presented

    finding that the direct effect of need for closure is opposite to the expected direction for

    the number of error explanations.

    This pattern is also suggested by the plot of the interaction effect of the weight of

    the error explanations (untabulated). However, post hoc Scheffe tests and independent

    sample t-tests do not show significant differences between the means of the low and high

    need for closure groups in the weak and the strong management control philosophy

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    concerning the interpersonal trust interaction in the Quadackers (2007) paper, the

    counterintuitive slope of the line may be explained by the fact that skeptical auditors

    focus more (i.e. put more weight) on fewer errors which would result in a higher average

    weight per error. This would result in a different slope if the interaction effect is

    calculated for the variable weight of the error explanations divided by the number of

    error explanations. A plot of this variable is presented in Figure 2.

    *** INSERT FIGURE 2 ABOUT HERE ***

    As can be seen from Figure 2, the slope for the strong control philosophy setting

    has reversed, as expected. An independent samples t-test shows marginal significance of

    the difference between the low and high need for closure groups (one-sided p = 0.07).19

    This implies that more skeptical auditors focus more (i.e. put more weight) on fewer

    errors which would result in a higher average weight per error. Apparently, this

    conception both holds for interpersonal trust and need for closure.

    The interaction effect concerning the likelihood of fraud is presented in Figure 3.

    *** INSERT FIGURE 3 ABOUT HERE ***

    The plot of the interaction effect looks similar to the plot of the interpersonal trust

    variable presented by Quadackers (2007). However, post hoc tests showed a significant

    difference for the low and high interpersonal trust groups in the weak management

    control philosophy setting but post hoc tests and independent sample t-tests do not show a

    significant difference for the need for closure measure (this might be due to the relatively

    small sample size of the need for closure sample).

    There is a marginally significant interaction effect between locus of control and

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    An independent sample t-test shows a marginal significance (two-tailed p = 0.07)

    of the difference between the low and high locus of control groups in the weak

    management control philosophy setting. However, the slope of the line is opposite to the

    slopes for the interpersonal trust and need for closure constructs. This implies that

    auditors with a more internal locus of control (i.e., a lower score on the locus of control

    construct), which allegedly means a higher skeptical disposition, assess lower likelihoods

    of fraud. This seems to suggest locus of control is not capturing behaviors that depict the

    notion of skepticism as outlined in professional standards.

    There are no interaction effects for the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale.

    In sum, the results suggest that the effect of skeptical disposition on the audit

    planning variables depends on the strength of management control philosophy. This in

    particular holds for the interpersonal trust and need for closure measures, which basicallyshow similar interaction effects.20

    5. Discussion

    Summary

    A summary of the findings concerning the effects of the determinants of skeptical

    disposition and strength of management control philosophy on skeptical behavior (as well

    as their interaction effects) are presented in Table 6. The findings show that interpersonal

    trust, need for closure and the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale are directly of

    influence on skeptical behaviors. Furthermore, there are significant interaction effects for

    the models concerning interpersonal trust, need for closure and locus of control.

    Predominantly, these interaction effects are present for the likelihood of fraud, the

    number of error explanations and the weight of the error explanations.

    In particular, the number of error explanations seems to be directly explained by

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    More skeptical behaviors are associated with interpersonal trust than any of the

    other determinants, suggesting it most closely depicts the skeptical behaviors prescribed

    in the auditing literature and professional standards. This also confirms the use of trust

    variables in earlier research on professional skepticism.

    An examination of the correlations between the determinants of skeptical

    disposition only revealed a significant negative correlation between interpersonal trust

    and locus of control. From a skeptical viewpoint this appears to be contrary to

    expectations. Interestingly, interpersonal trust has the strongest influence on skeptical

    behaviors while locus of control only has a weak impact. This suggests that although

    interpersonal trust and locus of control are related, locus of control does not seem to

    capture skeptical disposition. The importance of skepticism may overpower locus of

    control such that both internals and externals show skeptical behavior (cf. Phares, 1978,p. 282).

    Furthermore, none of the correlations between the other combinations of the

    determinants were found significant.21 This could be an indication that the measures

    capture different uncorrelated aspects of skepticism. This indication is supported by the

    fact that need for closure and the Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale also do have

    significant (in)direct effects on skeptical behaviors.

    Implications and suggestions for further research

    The fact that interpersonal trust is most closely related to skeptical behaviors

    confirms the use of trust variables in earlier research on professional skepticism. It

    warrants a further study of the components of the trust variable (see Quadackers, 2007) in

    order to more specifically find the factors comprising skeptical disposition.

    Moreover, the study shows that determinants of skeptical disposition appear to be

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    e.g., Libby and Luft, 1993; Nelson, 2007; Carpenter, 2004). Further research can address

    this issue.

    Additionally, alternative measures of auditors skeptical disposition should be

    examined.

    Another avenue of research may focus on developing more specific measures of

    skeptical attitude (see e.g. Ajzen, Lefcourt, 1991, pp. 414-), instead of the so-called

    global measures.

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    Table 1. Descriptive sample information

    Firm A Firm B Firm C Firm D Total

    Number of

    participants 85 96 140 55 376

    Number of sessions 1 3 6 2 12

    Staff level Partners 1 25 0 47 73

    Managers 50 41 19 6 116

    Seniors 32 27 65 0 124Staff 2 0 54 0 56

    Gender Male 59 84 92 51 286

    Female 26 11 47 2 86

    General experience Mean years 10.11 15.36 2.99 22.16 10.48

    St.dev. 6.40 8.95 2.00 8.52 9.37

    Experience with

    analytical review

    Mean years

    9.67 14.75 2.75 20.07 9.85St.dev. 6.11 9.36 1.93 6.86 8.86

    Strength of

    management control

    philosophy

    Weak

    42 47 68 27 184

    Strong 43 49 72 28 192

    Language Dutch 85 96 101 41 323

    English 0 0 39 14 53

    Table 2. Participants responding to measures of skeptical disposition across firms

    Firm A Firm B Firm C Firm D Total

    Interpersonal Trust Scale 0 96 140 55 291

    Need for Closure Scale 85 0 0 0 85

    Locus of Control Scale 0 0 140 55 195

    Hurtt Professional Skepticism Scale 85 96 0 0 181

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    Table 3. Descriptive statistics concerning the measurement scales

    Measurement

    Scale

    Mean

    score

    Standard

    deviation

    Theoretical

    range

    Actual

    range

    Theoretical

    mid point

    Cronbach

    alpha

    Interpersonal

    Trust scale 72.98 8.76 25-125 45-105 75 0.760

    Need for Closure

    scale 154.85 15.03 42-252 121-193 147 0.822

    Locus of Control

    scale 10.06 3.76 0-23 0-19 11.5 0.713

    Hurtt Professional

    Skepticism Scale 131.66 10.71 30-180 103-158 105 0.821

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    Table 4. Correlations between the professional skepticism determinants

    Interpersonaltrust

    Need for

    cognitiveclosure

    Locus ofControl

    Hurtt

    Professional

    SkepticismScale

    Interpersonaltrust

    PearsonCorrelation 1 .(a) -,367(**) -,084

    Sig. (2-tailed) . ,000 ,417

    N 291 0 195 96

    Need forcognitive

    closure

    PearsonCorrelation

    (a) 1 (a) ,089

    Sig. (2-tailed) . . ,416

    N 0 85 0 85

    Locus of

    Control

    Pearson

    Correlation -,367(**) (a) 1 .(a)

    Sig. (2-tailed) ,000 . .

    N 195 0 195 0

    Hurtt

    ProfessionalSkepticism

    Scale

    Pearson

    Correlation

    -,084 ,089 (a) 1

    Sig. (2-tailed) ,417 ,416 .

    N 96 85 0 181

    ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

    (a) Cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant.

    Table 5. Regression coefficients for the determinants of auditors skeptical

    di iti d th d l dj t d R

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    disposition and the models adjusted R-squares

    Interpersonal

    Trust

    Need for

    Closure

    Locus of

    Control

    Hurtt PS Scale

    Regression of the likelihood that

    management explanation is rightConstant 13.446 45.362 36.168 42.931

    Management control philosophy (MCPH) -.331 -67.239 .594 41.454

    Determinant of disposition (DOD) .359** -.051 .262 -.031

    Task-specific experience (TSE) -.153 .226 -.144 .066

    MCPH*DOD -.045 .391 -.279 -.370

    Adj. R-square (N) .015* (N=277) .001 (N=85) -.015 (N=188) .019 (N=175)

    Regression of the likelihood of fraud

    Constant 40.747*** 3.688 19.745*** -5.032

    Management control philosophy (MCPH) 71.549*** 128.778*** 10.289 26.875

    Determinant of disposition (DOD) -.304** .122 -.120 .210

    Task-specific experience (TSE) .164 -.174 .214 -.179

    MCPH*DOD -.666** -.667* 1.404* -.027

    Adj. R-square (N) .310*** (N=277) .267*** (N=84) .277*** (N=186) .236*** (N=176)

    Regression of the number of

    alternative explanations

    Constant 1.885 -2.242 3.677*** 1.069

    Management control philosophy (MCPH) 4.235*** 9.064 .123 4.384Determinant of disposition (DOD) .018 .037 -.049 .018

    Task-specific experience (TSE) .023** .002 .056*** -.019

    MCPH*DOD -.056** -.057 -.005 -.031

    Adj. R-square (N) .019* (N=283) .028 (N=85) .071*** (N=191) .005 (N=178)

    Regression of the number of error

    explanations

    Constant -.796 -5.729*** .901** -2.027

    Management control philosophy (MCPH) 4.852*** 9.388*** 1.534** 3.326

    Determinant of disposition (DOD) .021 .044*** -.041 .027**Task-specific experience (TSE) .045*** .015 .078*** -.010

    MCPH*DOD -.057*** -.054** -.057 -.021

    Adj. R-square (N) .111*** (N=282) .163*** (N=85) .234*** (N=190) .042*** (N=178)

    Regression of the weight of the error

    explanations

    Constant 10.275 -37.837 10.702 -7.215

    Management control philosophy (MCPH) 65.566*** 143.429** 17.664* -21.735

    Determinant of disposition (DOD) .030 .354 -.385 .254

    Task-specific experience (TSE) .593*** .229 .903*** -.186MCPH*DOD -.667* -.765* .461 .283

    Adj. R-square (N) .124*** (N=279) .165*** (N=85) .215*** (N=189) .071*** (N=176)

    Regression of the number of budgeted

    hoursConstant 147.380*** 113.601*** 124.131 70.269

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    Figure 1. A plot of the interaction effect between need for closure and the strength

    of management control philosophy for the number of total error

    explanations

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    Figure 2. A plot of the interaction effect between need for closure and the strength

    of management control philosophy for the average weight per error.

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    Figure 3. A plot of the interaction effect between need for closure and the strength

    of management control philosophy for the likelihood of fraud.

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    Figure 4. A plot of the interaction effect between locus of control and the strength of

    management control philosophy for the likelihood of fraud.

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    Table 6. Summary of significant and marginally significant effects.

    Significant effects determinantsskeptical disposition

    1-tailed

    p-value

    sign Significant effects managementcontrol philosophy strength

    1-tailed

    p-value

    sign Significant interactions 2-tailed

    p-value

    Interpersonaltrust

    Likelihood mngt expl. is right

    Likelihood of fraud

    0.032

    0.042

    +

    -

    Likelihood of fraud

    Number of alternative expl.Number of error explanationsWeight of error explanations

    0.000

    0.0090.0020.008

    +

    +++

    Likelihood of fraud

    Number of alternative expl.Number of error explanationsWeight of error explanations

    0.013

    0.0220.0090.073

    Need for closure Number of error explanations 0.002 +* Likelihood of fraudNumber of error explanations

    Weight of error explanations

    0.0100.005

    0.017

    ++

    +

    Likelihood of fraudNumber of error explanations

    Weight of error explanations

    0.0590.021

    0.077

    Locus of control - Number of error explanationsWeight of error explanations

    0.0130.055

    ++

    Likelihood of fraud 0.092

    Hurtt

    Professional

    Skepticism Scale

    Number of error explanationsNumber of budgeted hours

    0.0230.085

    ++

    -

    * This sign is not in the expected direction.

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