LPAC - Strategies for Risky Times · Confidential – A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Groupmay...
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LPAC - Strategies for Risky Times BetaShares – Vinnie Wadhera
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
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Disclaimer
Financial Intermediary use only
The information contained in this document is general information only and does not
constitute personal financial advice. It does not take into account any person’s
financial objectives, situation or needs. It has been prepared with all reasonable care
by BetaShares Capital Limited (ABN 78 139 566 868, Australian Financial Services
Licence No. 341181) (“BetaShares”). The information is provided for information
purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation. BetaShares
assumes no responsibilities for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in this document.
Performance and statistical results noted are unaudited. Past performance is not
indicative of future performance. Investments in BetaShares Funds are subject to
investment risk and investors may not get back the full amount originally invested.
Any person wishing to invest in BetaShares Funds should obtain a copy of the
relevant PDS from www.betashares.com.au and obtain financial advice in light of
their individual circumstances.
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ETFs - will Australia follow in the US footsteps?
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ETF Industry Facts Current Australian ETP Market Cap Growth
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: ASX, BetaShares
$0
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14
Market Cap (A$m)
Australian ETP Market Cap: July 2004 – May 2015 (A$m)
04 – 15YTD CAGR 32%
#ETPs 7 9 8 5 19 30 37 57 82 81 129
May-15
92
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SMSFs have been early (and heavy) adopters of ETFs
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Growing Levels of Awareness and Comfort Among Planners
15%
27% 28%
40%
17%
27%
19%
19%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2008 2010 2012 2014
Proportion of planners advising on ETFs: (%)
Currently or may use (%) 32% 54% 47%
Currently Using ETFs (%)
May use within 12 mths (%)
6
59%
Source: Investment Trends
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Adviser Involvement in ETF Investment
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The looming retirement wave The population either approaching or in retirement is growing
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A long retirement ride ahead Those aged between 55-65 years can expect to live another 20-30 years
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Equity investing as risky as ever New retirees should expect at least one 30-50% market decline during retirement
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Holding equities exposes investors to ‘sequencing risk’
Individuals nearing or in retirement may not have the time to recover from steep losses in the market when an individual needs to make withdrawals to meet current
income needs, it may not be possible to ride out a large decline in the market.
S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index – Time taken to recoup losses from market falls
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13
Source: Bloomberg
50% decline top to bottom
Almost 6 years to recoup losses from market fall
Nov. 2007
March 2009
Sept. 2013
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Relying on equities gives rise to “sequencing” risk Market downturns are especially nasty for those that are living off their nest-egg
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
1 6 11 16 21 26
Millio
ns
Smooth Returns, NoCrashEarly Market Crash
Late Market Crash
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The result: retirees face a tough trade-off Retirees need to balance sequencing vs. longevity risk
Longevity risk
Sequencing Risk High risk
Portfolio eg. 80% equities
Low risk Portfolio eg. 80%
bonds/cash
Probability of running out of money during retirement
Balancing Retirement Risks
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Typical retirement strategies now falling short The real returns available from cash and bonds have declined
*Deflated by weighted median CPI
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International diversification won’t avoid pain
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The correlation between Australian and global equities remains high, especially during downturns
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Part 1: Using equities for income Despite declining interest rates, real equity market dividend yields remain attractive
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Australian dividend yields are especially attractive Australian equities also benefit from dividend imputation which boosts gross yields by around 2%
%
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Part 2: Risk management to provide a “handbrake”
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A strategy of reducing risk at times of high market volatility and price weakness
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The aim: a more optimal risk-return trade-off
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Equity income together with risk management may help reduce sequencing and/or longevity risk
Longevity risk
Sequencing Risk
High risk portfolio
Low risk portfolio
Probability of running out of money during retirement with traditional AA
Lower probability trade-off via risk management
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The Fund aims to provide investors with exposure to large capitalisation Australian shares along with regular franked dividend income, paid monthly, that is at least double the income yield of the broad Australian sharemarket.
In addition, the Fund aims to reduce the volatility of equity investment returns and cushion downside market risk.
Key Information 31/12/2014
Investment Objective
Product Name: BetaShares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund (managed fund)
ASX Code HVST
Bloomberg Code
HVST AU
IRESS Code HVST.AXW
Asset backing Equities
Management Fee
0.65% p.a.
Expense recoveries
0.25% p.a. (estimate)
Inception Date 29 October 2014
Company Weighting
Commonwealth Bank 10.8%
Westpac Banking Corp 8.0%
BHP Billiton Ltd 7.1%
ANZ Banking Group 6.9%
National Australia Bank 6.3%
Telstra Corp Ltd 5.7%
Wesfarmers Ltd 3.7%
CSL Ltd 3.2%
Woolworths Ltd 2.9%
Woodside Petroleum Ltd 2.0%
Top 10 Underlying Exposures* 31/12/2014
Sector Allocation* 31/12/2014
BetaShares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund (HVST)
Financials 48.2%
M aterials 14.9%Consumer Staples 7.5%
Industrials 7.0%Telecommunicat ion Services
Health Care 5.8%Energy 5.1%
Consumer Discret ionary 3.0%Utilit ies 1.8%
Information Technology 0.7%
*Underlying Exposures and Sector Allocations will change regularly as a result of the investment strategy
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The case for Harvester
BetaShares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund (managed fund) (HVST) has
been specifically designed to meet the investment challenges of SMSFs
and retirees, offering the potential to:
• Provide attractive, tax-effective income for investment portfolios
• Significantly improve on risk-adjusted returns available from the
equities market
• Provide equity exposure while reducing the risks of significant
drawdowns
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The Dividend Harvester Strategy
Illustration of the Dividend Harvester Strategy – August/September 2014
Starting Universe: S&P/ASX 50
Filter for stocks paying dividends in next 2 months (+ market cap % liquidity filters)
10 Largest franked dividend payers (who meet yield threshold) included in Harvester Portfolio
Ticker Security Name
Portfolio
Weighting
(%)
IAG Insurance Australia Group Ltd 12.0%SUN Suncorp Group Ltd 12.0%
WPL Woodside Petroleum Ltd 12.0%TLS Telstra Corp Ltd 12.0%
CBA Commonwealth Bank of Australia 12.0%
Ticker Security Name
Portfolio
Weighting
(%)
WES Wesfarmers 8.0%AMP AMP 8.0%WOW Woolworths 8.0%
AMC Amcor 8.0%BHP BHP Billiton 8.0%
Ticker Security Name Ex Date
Expected Gross
Dividend ($)
Closing Price
as at 25/7/14
($)
Expected Gross
Div Yield (%)
IAG Insurance Australia Group 8/09/2014 0.371$ 6.29$ 5.91%
SUN Suncorp Group Ltd 20/08/2014 0.571$ 14.19$ 4.03%WPL Woodside Petroleum 27/08/2014 1.702$ 42.70$ 3.99%
TLS Telstra 27/08/2014 0.214$ 5.45$ 3.93%CBA Commonwealth Bank of Australia 19/08/2014 3.114$ 82.28$ 3.78%
WES Wesfarmers 29/08/2014 1.500$ 43.28$ 3.47%
AMP AMP 3/09/2014 0.163$ 5.42$ 3.00%
WOW Woolworths 9/09/2014 1.014$ 36.00$ 2.82%AMC Amcor 2/09/2014 0.235$ 10.27$ 2.29%
BHP BHP Billiton 3/09/2014 0.886$ 39.00$ 2.27%RIO Rio Tinto 13/08/2014 1.473$ 65.09$ 2.26%
STO Santos 27/08/2014 0.286$ 14.39$ 1.99%
QBE QBE Insurance Group 27/08/2014 0.214$ 11.86$ 1.81%
ORG Origin Energy 26/08/2014 0.250$ 14.13$ 1.77%CSL CSL 8/09/2014 0.648$ 66.80$ 0.97%
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Harvester Strategy – Annual Yields
This chart is for financial intermediary/wholesale client use only. It must not be given to any retail clients. Simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading, are based on certain
assumptions, and are produced with the benefit of hindsight. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that the Fund will achieve results similar to those shown. Past performance, simulated or
actual, is not an indication of future performance. Source: BetaShares, Milliman, Bloomberg
As the fund is expected to produce significant levels of income, investors and their advisers can elect to adjust how much income is required and reinvest the remainder through the DRP
HVST^ HVST^ HVST^ S&P/ASX 200 S&P/ASX 200 S&P/ASX 200
Gross Yield Net Yield Franking % Gross Yield Net Yield Franking %
2004 15.35% 10.90% 95% 5.77% 4.37% 75%
2005 17.76% 13.35% 77% 5.79% 4.45% 70%
2006 15.57% 11.65% 78% 5.66% 4.33% 72%
2007 16.51% 12.41% 77% 5.33% 4.08% 72%
2008 17.09% 13.25% 68% 4.93% 3.74% 74%
2009 15.78% 11.85% 77% 6.47% 4.90% 74%
2010 12.94% 9.76% 76% 5.20% 3.93% 76%
2011 16.81% 12.52% 80% 5.64% 4.25% 76%
2012 17.61% 13.08% 81% 6.85% 5.13% 78%
2013 16.83% 12.06% 92% 6.40% 4.76% 80%
2014 15.30% 11.50% 77% 5.98% 4.47% 79%
Average 16.14% 12.03% 79.92% 5.82% 4.40% 75.05%
Dividend yield is dividends paid after management fees and brokerage costs
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Monthly Harvester net yield since inception (Dec 2014 – May 2015)
Note: Yield calculated as monthly distributions declared divided by NAV/unit on ex-date for that month. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Distribution
amount is per unit.
Source: BetaShares
$0.000
$0.050
$0.100
$0.150
$0.200
$0.250
$0.300
December January February March April May
1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
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High Volatility is frequently associated with sharply falling markets
S&P/ASX 200 Index (1992-2013): Cumulative equity return and volatility
Source: Milliman Financial Risk Management LLC, 31/12/1991-31/12/2013. The chart above is historical and for illustrative purposes only. It does not represent actual performance of any investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Selected periods when increased market volatility was associated with market declines
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+
The Dividend Harvester Strategy
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The Dividend Harvester Risk Management Strategy
• Equity markets are not a ‘straight road’
• Volatility in the markets creates many ‘bends and turns’
• The Fund’s risk management strategy involves monitoring the volatility of equities daily
• If volatility rises beyond ‘normal’ levels, the Fund will apply a ‘handbrake’ and reduce market exposure by selling SPI futures
• Strategy aims to provide a ‘smoother ride’ for investors
Risk Management Strategy to provide most of the upside in rising markets while avoiding most of the downside in periods of decline
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Harvester’s Risk Manager
Sample Clients About Milliman
The risk management strategy employed by the Harvester Fund is being run in conjunction with Milliman, one of the largest institutional global risk managers in the world, assisting clients in managing risk on US$500B worldwide Milliman’s risk management strategies have been used for the last 15 years by some of the largest firms and institutional investors in the world Strategies used by Milliman helped their clients navigate the ‘tech bubble’ and global financial crisis The Dividend Harvester Fund provides investors access to such a strategy, which was previously primarily confined to large institutional investors During market downturns, the risk management strategy seeks to curb potential portfolio losses while preserving principal and gains captured in favourable market conditions
Milliman has 55 offices globally and employs more than 2,600 professionals, including more than 1,300 qualified consultants and actuaries
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Volatility Management with Milliman Managed Risk Strategy
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BetaShares Harvester Strategy (Simulated) v S&P/ASX 200 Index: 4 Dec 2007– 30 September 2014 (Indexed to 100)
Harvester Strategy has outperformed S&P/ASX 200 Index through the cycle
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13
BetaShares Harvester Strategy
S&P/ASX 200 TR Index + Risk Management Strategy
S&P/ ASX 200 TR Index HVST Strategy
S&P ASX 200 Index + Risk Strategy
S&P ASX 200 Index
Annual return (%, p.a.)
9.6% 4.2% 1.5%
Volatility (%, p.a)
13.4% 9.1% 19.6%
This chart is for financial intermediary/wholesale client use only. It must not be given to any retail clients. Excludes the effects of management costs, transaction costs and cash held for futures margins. Simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading, are based on certain assumptions, and are produced with the benefit of hindsight. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for
the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that the Fund will achieve results similar to those shown. Past performance, simulated or actual, is not an indication of future performance. Source: BetaShares, Milliman, Bloomberg
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-60.00
-50.00
-40.00
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 0 7 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 0 8 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 0 9 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 1 0 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 1 1 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 1 2 3 0 / 1 2 / 2 0 1 3
HVST (Simulated)
S&P/ASX 200 Acc. Index
Harvester Strategy – Drawdown Analysis
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BetaShares Harvester Strategy (Simulated) v S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index – Drawdown: 4 Dec 2007– 30 September 2014
This chart is for financial intermediary/wholesale client use only. It must not be given to any retail clients. Simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading, are based on certain assumptions, and are produced with the benefit of hindsight. Also, since the trades
have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that the Fund will achieve results similar to those shown. Past performance, simulated or actual, is not an indication of future performance Source: BetaShares, Milliman,
Bloomberg
Max Drawdown: S&P/ASX 200: -49.7%
HVST (Simulated): -17.6%
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While the Fund is expected to have broad application and be suitable for a variety of investors, it has been specifically designed to meet the needs of SMSFs, retirees and tax-exempt investors. It is particularly relevant to: • Investors seeking high levels of franked dividends and high tax
efficiency
• Investors seeking high income whilst mitigating the risk of market
volatility and large drawdowns
• Investors seeking equity exposure but who may be concerned about
uncertain financial markets
• Investors seeking relatively consistent monthly income to assist with
investment planning
Who is the Dividend Harvester For?
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The fund aims to provide investors with a simple way to profit from, or protect against, a decline of the Australian share market by seeking to generate returns that are negatively correlated to the returns of the
Australian share market (as measured by the S&P/ASX 200 index).
Key Information
Investment Objective
Product Name: BetaShares Australian Equities Bear Hedge Fund
ASX Code BEAR
Bloomberg Code BEAR AU
IRESS Code BEAR.AXW
Asset backing Australian Dollars
Management Fee 1.19% p.a.
Expenses Capped at 0.19% p.a
Fund Inception Date
6 July 2012
Portfolio Exposure
Short Australian Equities(1) ~100%
BetaShares Australian Equities Bear Hedge Fund Bear Fund – Product Factsheet
(1) Market movements may cause the Fund’s exposure to vary between -90% to -110% on a given day. The Fund does not track any benchmark and should not be expected to provide the exact opposite of the market return over any time period.
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The fund aims to help investors profit from, or protect against, a decline of the Australian share market by seeking to generate magnified returns that are negatively correlated to the returns of the Australian share
market (as measured by the S&P/ASX 200 Index).
Key Information
Investment Objective
Product Name: BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund
ASX Code BBOZ
Bloomberg Code BBOZ AU
IRESS Code BBOZ.AXW
Asset backing Australian Dollars
Management Fee 1.19% p.a.
Expenses Capped at 0.19% p.a
Fund Inception Date
17 April 2015
Portfolio Exposure
Short Australian Equities ~200% to275%
BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund Strong Bear Fund – Product Factsheet
The Fund does not track any published benchmark and should not be expected to provide any particular short multiple of the market return over any time period.
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BBOZ Fund Hedging Calculator
Inputs
Client Portfolio Size($) 1,000,000$
Desired Percentage to be hedged (%) 25%
Current BetaShares BBOZ Fund Portfolio Exposure % -209% Insert f igure from BetaShares Website: (http://w w w .betashares.com.au/products/name/bear-fund/#each-keyFacts)
Current BetaShares BBOZ Fund Intraday NAV (iNAV Live, $) 27.06$ Insert f igure from BetaShares Website: (http://w w w .betashares.com.au/products/name/bear-fund/#each-keyFacts)
Results
Units to Hedge = (Client Portfolio Size x Desired Percentage Hedged) / (BBOZ Fund Intraday NAV x BBOZ Fund Portfolio Exposure)
Approximate number of units of BBOZ Fund required in order to hedge portfolio (#) 4,421
Approximate value of investment in BBOZ Fund required in order to hedge portfolio ($) 119,632$
IMPORTANT NOTICE
Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
You should make your ow n assessment of the suitability, accuracy or completeness of this information as BetaShares gives no w arranty
Investors should check the suitability of their BBOZ Fund holdings regularly, just as they should w ith any short position position in the
market.
This information tool is only for the use Australian Financial Services Licensees and other “w holesale clients” w ithin the meaning of the
Corporations Act 2001 to help a prospective investor in the BEAR Fund interested in hedging their Australian equities portfolio to calculate
approximately how many BBOZ Fund units to buy given their portfolio size and level of hedging required.
It has been prepared by BetaShares Capital Ltd (ACN 139 566 868 AFS Licence 341181) (“BetaShares”), the responsible entity of
BetaShares Australian Strong Bear Hedge Fund (ASX code: BBOZ).
It is not a recommendation to buy units or adopt any particular investment strategy. It is general information only and does not take into
account any investor’s particular circumstances.
Investors should read the PDS (at w w w .betashares.com.au) and consider their particular circumstances before deciding to buy or hold
units.
Investors may buy units on ASX through a broker or f inancial adviser. Only investors w ho are authorised as trading participants under
the ASX Market Rules may invest through the PDS. Other investors may buy units in the Fund on the ASX through a stockbroker, f inancial
adviser or online broker.
An investment in BBOZ Fund is subject to investment risk and the value of units may go dow n as w ell as up.
Portfolio exposure is subject to change on a daily basis. The iNAV is updated frequently intra-day.
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Research has shown that equity income strategies using options may outperform
Summary results from ASX Buy-Write Study – April 2005 – December 2011(1)
(1) ASX Market Insights “An Encyclopedia of Australian Buy-Write Returns (August 2012”). Data from the ASX study is a general illustration of how various equity income (buy write) strategies have performed in different market conditions. The BetaShares Australian Top 20 Equity Yield Maximiser Fund will use an equity income strategy that
combines elements from both the different buy-write strategies described and evaluated in the ASX research, along with certain modifications that seek to optimise the strategy. As a result the strategy of the BetaShares Equity Yield Maximiser Fund is not identical to that described in the ASX research, and the performance described in the
ASX research is not indicative of the future performance of the Fund. 36
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
8.4%
5.7%5.5%
4.9% 4.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
BetaShares Aus Top 20
Eqty Yld Maximiser
(YMAX)
Djerriwarrah(DJW) Vanguard Australian
Shares High Yld ETF (VHY)
Russell High Div
Australian Shares ETF
(RDV)
SPDR MSCI Australian
Select High Dividend Yield
Fund (SYI)
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YMAX yield as at 1 April 2015 was 9.8% gross
Selected High Yield ASX ETPs: 12 month yield to 1 April 2015 (%)
Note: 12 month cash yield calculated as total distributions declared in the four quarters to 1 April 2015 divided by unit price on 1 April 2015. Past
performance is not an indicator of future performance.
Source: Morningstar, Issuer websites, BetaShares
9.8%
6.4%
7.2% 6.6%
Cash Yield
Gross Yield
8.2%
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38
July 2007 – March 2009
Example: Equity Income Strategy outperforming in a bear market
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09
ASX/University of Sydney “Delta” Strategy(1)
S&P/ASX 20 Index
-12%
-37%
Source: Bloomberg, ASX (1) ASX Market Insights “An Encyclopedia of Australian Buy-Write Returns (August 2012”). Data from the ASX study is a general illustration of how various equity income (buy write) strategies have performed in different market conditions. The BetaShares Australian Top 20 Equity Yield Maximiser Fund will use an equity income strategy that combines elements from the different buy-write strategies described and evaluated in the ASX research, along with certain modifications that
seek to optimise the strategy. As a result the strategy of the BetaShares Equity Yield Maximiser Fund is not identical to that described in the ASX research, and the performance described in the ASX research is not indicative of the future performance of the Fund.
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January 2009 – January 2011
Example: Equity Income Strategy outperforming in a modest bull market
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10
ASX/University of Sydney “Delta” Strategy(1)
S&P/ASX 20 Index 40%
27 %
Source: Bloomberg, ASX (1) ASX Market Insights “An Encyclopedia of Australian Buy-Write Returns (August 2012”). Data from the ASX study is a general illustration of how various equity income (buy write) strategies have performed in different market conditions. The BetaShares Australian Top 20 Equity Yield Maximiser Fund will use an equity income strategy that combines elements from the different buy-write strategies described and evaluated in the ASX research, along with certain modifications that
seek to optimise the strategy. As a result the strategy of the BetaShares Equity Yield Maximiser Fund is not identical to that described in the ASX research, and the performance described in the ASX research is not indicative of the future performance of the Fund.
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
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October 2009 – January 2011
Example: Equity Income Strategy outperforming in a range bound market
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10
ASX/University of Sydney “Delta” Strategy(1)
S&P/ASX 20 Index
9%
-1%
Source: Bloomberg, ASX (1) ASX Market Insights “An Encyclopedia of Australian Buy-Write Returns (August 2012”). Data from the ASX study is a general illustration of how various equity income (buy write) strategies have performed in different market conditions. The BetaShares Australian Top 20 Equity Yield Maximiser Fund will use an equity income strategy that combines elements from the different buy-write strategies described and evaluated in the ASX research, along with certain modifications that
seek to optimise the strategy. As a result the strategy of the BetaShares Equity Yield Maximiser Fund is not identical to that described in the ASX research, and the performance described in the ASX research is not indicative of the future performance of the Fund.
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March 2009 – March 2010
Example: Equity Income Strategy lagging in a strong bull market
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10
ASX/University of Sydney “Delta” Equity Income Strategy(1)
S&P/ASX 20 Index
50%
39%
Source: Bloomberg, ASX (1) ASX Market Insights “An Encyclopedia of Australian Buy-Write Returns (August 2012”). Data from the ASX study is a general illustration of how various equity income (buy write) strategies have performed in different market conditions. The BetaShares Australian Top 20 Equity Yield Maximiser Fund will use an equity income strategy that combines elements from both the different buy-write strategies described and evaluated in the ASX research, along with certain modifications
that seek to optimise the strategy. As a result the strategy of the BetaShares Equity Yield Maximiser Fund is not identical to that described in the ASX research, and the performance described in the ASX research is not indicative of the future performance of the Fund.
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
42
US Dollar Exposure : Portfolio Applications
1. A “deep value” play on US economic recovery • Signs of earnings expansion • Signs of employment growth • Signs of potential for lower AUD:USD interest rate differential
2. Inverse Correlation position to AEQ
• When fully invested in Australian listed securities, holding USD position provides exposure to a historically negatively correlated asset class
3. “Risk off” decision
• Consistency in portfolio – Equities-to-cash for the International Equities allocation (already in place for Aust Equities)
• Implement without “crossing” currencies back into AUD
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
43
Current Portfolio
Portfolio Weight Portfolio Value 15% Fall in Equity Market 10% Fall AUD vs USD & EUR End Portfolio Value
Weight $100 (p/f value) (hedge benefit) End Value
(%) ($million) ($million) ($million) ($million)
US Equities (IVV) 40.0% $40.0 $34.0 $4.0 $38.0
European Equities (IEU) 20.0% $20.0 $17.0 $2.0 $19.0
USD ETF (USD)
EUR ETF (EEU)
60.0% $60.0 $57.0
Portfolio Return -5.00%
Portfolio with 50% Equity "Risk Off"
Portfolio Weight Portfolio Value 15% Fall in Equity Market 10% Fall AUD vs USD & EUR End Portfolio Value
Weight $100 (p/f value) (hedge benefit) End Value
(%) ($million) ($million) ($million) ($million)
US Equities (IVV) 20.0% $20.0 $17.0 $2.0 $19.0
European Equities (IEU) 10.0% $10.0 $8.5 $1.0 $9.5
USD ETF (USD) 20.0% $20.0 $20.0 $2.0 $22.0
EUR ETF (EEU) 10.0% $10.0 $10.0 $1.0 $11.0
60.0% $60.0 $61.5
Portfolio Return 2.50%
Currency ETFs : Illustrative Example
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
44
FOR MORE INFORMATION Website Visit www.betashares.com.au [email protected] Blog: www.betasharesblog.com.au Twitter: @betashares 1300 487 577 (within Australia) +61 2 9290 6888 (outside Australia)
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
HVST– Some things to keep in mind
• Due to the high income nature of the Fund, investors in HVST should consider electing for some portion of the income distribution to be reinvested pursuant to a DRP in order to maximise participation in the total return growth potential of the Fund
• HVST’s portfolio has concentration risk (individual stocks + sectors)
• The Risk Management strategy has demonstrated its effectiveness over market cycles (i.e. over the medium/long term time horizons), but it is not designed to protect against day-to-day market fluctuations and ‘gap’ events
45
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
46
BetaShares Harvester Strategy – Full DRP (Simulated) v BetaShares Harvester Strategy - 50% DRP (Simulation) v BetaShares Harvester Strategy – No DRP (Simulated) : 4 Dec 2007– 30 September 2014 (Indexed to 100)
The importance of reinvesting distributions via the DRP for Harvester
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-13
BetaShares Harvester Strategy with full DRP participation
BetaShares Harvester Strategy with 50% DRP participation*
S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index
BetaShares Harvester Strategy with no DRP participation*
This chart is for financial intermediary/wholesale client use only. It must not be given to any retail clients. Excludes the effects of management costs *Assumes 14% average annual yield component from HVST strategy
Simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading, are based on certain assumptions, and are produced with the benefit of hindsight. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if
any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that the Fund will achieve results similar to those shown. Past performance, simulated or actual, is not an indication of future performance. Source: BetaShares, Milliman, Bloomberg
Income
Confidential – may not be distributed without the consent of BetaShares Capital A Member of Mirae Asset Financial Group
47
TOPIC AREA MYTH REALITY
VOLUME
Average daily volume looks very light so the ETF must be illiquid and difficult to trade
• ETF liquidity is driven off the liquidity of the underlying securities not ETF printed volume
• ETFs can issue new shares and therefore offer additional liquidity as frequently as necessary
• ‘Authorised Participants” (ETF issuer’s institutional trading partners) use the creation/redemption process to facilitate trading and satisfy market demand
PRICE
The last trading price for the ETF is close to the price that I should expect to pay or receive for my trade
• Last traded price is, simply, the last traded price
• Each trade is independent and has its own unique characteristics that should not affect any trade that follows
• These characteristics include time of trade, market levels, trade instructions etc
Last price is a good representation of the true value of the ETF
• The last price will not give you the best indication of the fair value of an ETF
• Investors interested in ‘fair value’ should refer to the ETF’s iNAV (intraday net asset value)
• Best practice issuers display ETF iNAVs on their websites and through data providers
TRADING COST
I need to trade an ETF at size to obtain the lowest trading cost
• For most investors, the quote depth visible on the screen itself (by market-makers) should be sufficient to handle investor orders at low bid/ask spreads
• Trades should be executed as limit orders (not market orders)
SELLS
I should be able to access liquidity to my buy order but will not be able to access the same liquidity for my sell orders
• Market makers have no preference for buys or sells and so liquidity levels should be equivalent for both buys and sells
Myths and Realities About ETF Trading