Long Term Vehicle Charging Plans · 4/10/2014 · In California year-to-date, PEV sales have...

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Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc. Long Term Vehicle Charging Plans 1 April, 2014

Transcript of Long Term Vehicle Charging Plans · 4/10/2014 · In California year-to-date, PEV sales have...

Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

Long Term Vehicle Charging Plans

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April, 2014

Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

The ChargePoint Network

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Every 9 seconds, an EV driver charges at one of our 16,500 stations

91,000,000 gas-free miles driven

3.8 Milliongallons of gas avoided

28,000,000pounds of CO2 avoided

70%market share

30,400megawatt hrs of

energy dispensed

1,900+organizations use

ChargePoint

35%of EV drivers carry a ChargePoint card

Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

Charging Services will Increase in Importance

+ Charging Stations+ Billing Software+ Reservations+ Smartphone Apps+ Advertising+ Authentication+ Asset Management+ Energy Management+ 24/7 Driver Care+ Station Owner Care+ Monitoring & Statistics+ Remote Maintenance

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Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

Networked Charging Becoming Dominant Model

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49%68%

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Q1 2012 Q3 2013

Market Share of Networked Public Charging

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Charging Service Models

Business Cost Plan Value PropWorkplace Subsidized $550/year to retain an employee

Workplace Paid Employee pays $2 a day

City Cost recovery Resident pays $1 a charge

Apartment building Vending Machine 6 year payback, then $1000 a year income

Pure service provider Subscription business $60/month, 6 year payback

Hotel Amenity $550/year to attract guests

Retail Amenity $1 subsidy to bring in a customer

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Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

California has Initiated Dramatic EV Car Adoption across the US!

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According to Pike, by 2020 2.4% of total Light Vehicles are expected to be PEVs

In California year-to-date, PEV sales have already eclipsed the 2.5% mark!

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And Growth will Continue

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# of

EVs

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EVs

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ntag

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LD

V sa

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Electric Vehicle Market: USA 2012-2020New EV SalesCumulative EVsNew EV Sales as % of LDV Sales

Add to 2020

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Forecasting Attach Rate to 2020Analysis by Vertical (long-term cumulative attach rate)

+ Based on expectation of long-term industry attach rates by vertical, we can forecast our cumulative attach rate based on an 85% networked market and 65% CP market share

Expected Share of Expected Long‐Term Cumulative Attach Rate

Weighted Avg Cumulative Attach Rate (Industry)

Weighted Avg Cumulative Attach Rate (ChargePoint)US Total Industry

Workplace 45% 25% 11.25% 6.22%

MDU 20% 50% 10.00% 5.53%

Municipality 15% 5% 0.75% 0.41%

Parking 10% 10% 1.00% 0.55%

Hospitality 5% 5% 0.25% 0.14%

Retail 5% 5% 0.25% 0.14%

TOTAL 100% 24% 13%

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Forecasting Attach RateChargePoint Annual and Cumulative

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4.8%5.2%

7.0%

9.6%

11.2%

12.8%

14.8%

17.1%

7.5%

6.4% 6.7%

7.7%

8.8%

9.9%

11.2%

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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

ChargePoint Attach Rates

Annual Attach Rate (estimated for Y13)

Cumulative Attach Rate (estimated for Y13)

Note: annual attach rate show absolute number of ports to cars (not-lagged)

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Forecasting Attach RateProfile of Station Utilization – Location Matters!

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Profile of Sacramento from Jim – shows high variety of station utilization based on site

• Utilization characteristics of our leading customers are indicative of future potential• Location drives utilization! Poorly located ports distort utilization trends.

Copyright © 2013 ChargePoint, Inc.

Public EV Infrastructure is not keeping up with EV Adoption

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No.

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ublic

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Rise in EV Drivers Outpaces Available Ports

Total Ports - CA Total Ports - Rest of US CP Accounts - CA CP Accoutns - Rest of USA

Infrastructure Gap

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Consequently, Public Ports are Increasingly Over-Utilized+ Current attach rate (EVs per port) in CA is ~7:1

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No.

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ccou

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evel

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ort

Accounts per Port - CA Accounts per Port - Rest of USA

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Case Study: Major CA Workplace Customer

+ Infrastructure investment stimulates EV adoption!

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and ports will still be used everyday

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If you build it they will come...

Total Ports EV Drivers

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Case Study: Major CA Airport

+ Illustration of typical customer utilization in our portfolio

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and ports are reaching capacity

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CA Airport experiences more and more EV drivers…

Total Ports No. of Unique Drivers

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Quantifying California’s EV Infrastructure “Gap”Attach Rate: Relationship between EVs & public EV ports—defined as # of “public” EV ports deployed per EV sold (“public” defined as non-single family residential)

• 50% Attach Rate: Short-term “target” rate to support rapid pace of EVs sold in next 5-10 years• 15% Attach Rate: Historical relationship observed in ChargePoint’s charging port portfolio, which

has already generated complaints from EV customers regarding lack of public EV infrastructure• 5% Attach Rate: Unsustainable public EV infrastructure platform and will retard new EV adoption

Projected EV/PHEV New Car Sales Projected Growth (Cumulative Sales)

2012 RegisteredEV Cars

2012 Public EV Charging Ports(# of Ports)

2015 Projected Cumulative EV Cars (Est # of cars)

Required 2015 Public EV Charging Ports(50% Attach)

2020 Projected Cumulative EV Cars (Est # of cars)

Required 2020 Public EV Charging Ports (50% Attach)

CA 29,640 4,348 90,625 45,312 442,895 221,448

US Total 76,133 17,203 391,672 195,836 2,006,143 1,003,072

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Based on conservative Pike Research projections for EVs sold, California needs approximately $1 billion in “public” charging ports by 2020!

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DC Chargers

+ We’re installing 1 a day in the US

+ They can pay their way except….

+ Demand charges are killers

+ Proposal in Hawaii is Demand Charges are waived if DR is implemented

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Obstacles to Adequate Infrastructure+ Landlords aren’t interested

• HOA, Apartment landlords, Business parks

+ Installations are expensive

+ Lack of adoption of HB 130

+ Lack of awareness of the inevitability of installing EVSE

+ Lack of awareness of scaling of EVSE

+ Lack of time pressure to deploy infrastructure

+ An expectation that the government will build the infrastructure

+ Energy Services market doesn’t work• FR, DR, LCFS, Capacity Management

+ Still a lot of chicken and egg – parking garages, curbside18

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Opportunities

+ We need Dept. of Commerce help to proliferate HB130

+ If a business or a resident wants EVSE, they shall get it

+ Workplaces should have 1 port for every two EV’s

+ Some people are doing it right

+ Awareness of the inevitability of installing EVSE

+ We need funding for make readies in HOA/Apartments

+ Methods for getting energy service money to flow

+ Leveraged financing

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Thank You

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