London Infrastructure Plan2050

Sir Edward ListerChief of Staff and Deputy Mayor for

Planning and Policy

POPULATION (MILLIONS}

14

1aHigh13.4 million

12Central11.3 mil lion

10

gLow

9.5 million

g

'l

8

5

4

a

1900 1920 1940 1980 1990 11100

1Q20 1040 11160 tQBO

2000 2020 2040 2080

WHY A LONG TERM INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN:populat ion growth

WHY A LONG TERM INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN:Announce to the wor ld that London is the best p lace to do business

Wi t h a m i l l i o n m o re p e o p l e i n Lo n d o n i n t h e n ex t d e c a d e , b y 2 0 3 1 w e w i l l n e e d :

• 3 4 , 9 0 0 m o re h o m e s : l i ke l y t o b e h i g h e r• 1 . 3 m - 2 . 2 m s q f t o f o ffi c e s p a c e i n c e n t r a l Lo n d o n

a l o n e• 1 . 3 m - 2 . 2 m s q f t o f c o m p a r i s o n re t a i l s p a c e• 4 0 , 0 0 0 m o re h o t e l b e d ro o m s

WHY A LONG TERM INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN:s ignifi cant economic opportuni ty but feroc ious compet i t ion

London’s in frastructure is a compet i t ive r isk

Congestion

Aviation Connectivity

Housing

Space for walking and cycling

W H AT D O E S L O N D O N N E E D ?

INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN AIMS

“Present recommendations and actions to ensure London’s infrastructure requirements to 2050 are articulated, costed and funding arrangements are in place (as far as possible).

Demonstrate to the Government, Londoners and investors that infrastructure is a key priority and that London has a clear plan to meet the demands of its growing population and remain a leading world city.

Ensure the London Infrastructure Plan is supported and deliverable, through active involvement of keystakeholders.

Provide the Mayor and other London leaders with theinformation to understand and critically appraise London’s infrastructure delivery”

FOUR CRITICAL QUESTIONS

O V E R A L L

K E Y F I N D I N G S

T R A N S P O R T

( 1 )

Enable 36 trains per hour across the Jubilee, Piccadilly, Northern and Central line

Tube

inve

stm

ent £

15-1

8 bn

Transform national commuter rail network through joint investment with Network Rail(£15-20 bn)

Crowding levels on the tube network 2031

Further ‘Crossrails’ starting with Crossrail 2 by 2030 and increasing frequency of Crossrail 1 trains (£23-30 bn)

Bakerloo line extension

T R A N S P O R T

( 2 )

A congestion- busting programme to support network functioning for essential journeys (£2-5bn)

A series of new river crossings in east London to overcome the major barrier effect constraining the potential of this region (£1-2bn)

A comprehensive network of high quality cycle and pedestrian routes (£2-4bn)A new inner orbital tooled tunnel and series of mini-tunnels and decking over to help transform places across the city (£15- 25bn)

GREEN

THE ALL LONDON GREEN GRIDFRAMEWORK PLAN

· · • Siiateg-c corridOfsSlrateg c inllsMetropc l:m park opportunlttea-?" Regiona 1 park opporluntties

e Regionalparks

e Metropolitan !)3tks

Dtstricl parksloc;al parks &. open spactts

Other/pnvate spaces·---· Strateg c W3 king

routes Strateg c cyclmg routes

Sautee . Gre•1:er l.Dndon Authan1J'

D I G I TA LC O N N E C T I V I T Y

Before 2020s…and beyond

Fibre and wireless access to the internet

To enable new ideas

E N E R G Y

More investment in locally produced energy (£300million in the pipeline)

WAT E R

Sewage

Expected a deficit in water supply of over half a billion litres a day by 2050

Flood defence

About 16% of London is built on the protected flood plains of our rivers that holds critical infrastructure.

More investment is needed in flood defences that can cope with climate changes and aging existing infrastructure defences.

WASTE: create facil ities to re-use and recycle

N E X T S T E P S

S PAT I A L S C E N A R I O S

Accommodating population outside London

Assuming current policies continueIncreasing densities in locationswith good public access.

Increasing densities at towncentres.

BETTER DELIVERY

• Innovation and growth to be at the centre of our work

• A new Infrastructure Delivery Group

• Work to gain cross party support and commitment to London’s infrastructure projects

• Reforms to the regulatory systems (energy, water and ICT) to enable delivery ahead of demand, innovation and transparency

• Fiscal devolution

COSTSBILLIONS

ESTIMATE

250

200

150

OVERALL CAPITAL EXPENDITURE

tOO

50

0

2011- 15 2016-20 2021 - 2.5

2026 - 30

2031 -35 2036 - 40 2041 - 45 2046 - 50

% OFGVA

tOI!E.

Our best cost estimatesto meet all our infrastructureneeds would almost double expenditure as a proportion of the economy. Housing and transport make up three quarters of the total costs

Population 2050 of 11.3 mJIIion, construction cost inllation of 211E> per annum above RPI, pobcy aspmltions are acnieved

211b

Transport

• • SchoolsHousing Waste

•Energy • Digital conneclivityWater • Green infrasuucurre

tllb- Capex as qa of GVA

Ollb Sll'urae: Amp

PAYING

FORIT

Such a level of investment cannot be sustained doing things in the traditiona l way. INCOME FROM CENTRAL

GOVERNMENT GRANTS

We need a combinationof better coordination and integration, better asset utilisation, more use of data and private capital.

lond on: 66'1bNew York: 30.9%

Tokyo: 7.7'1b

FISCAL DEVOLUTIONMore spending powers for London will be key.

UPLIFT IN

PROPERT Y

VALUES

ADDITIONAL

REVENUES

BETTER USE

OF OUR DATA BETTER INTEGRATION

AND COORDINATION

PROCUR EMENT PRIVATE CAPITAL

Y O U R I N P U T

KEY CONSULTATION QUESTIONS:

1. Do you agree we should have a long term plan?2. Our stated requirements - any unnecessary?

Anything else?3. Funding – how can we close the gap?4. What more in addition to the Delivery Board to

ensure best practice, joined up delivery?5. Where w ill London’s growth best be

accommodated?6. Amend incentives for utility providers to share

costs more equitably? How to do this?7. Approach to technological change? Which

innovations?8. How to change behaviours to reduce demand?

And various sector specific questions