Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf ·...

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Transcript of Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf ·...

Page 1: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting2013�2015

Sven Heiberg1 Arnis Parsovs23 Jan Willemson24

1Smartmatic-Cybernetica Centre of Excellence for Internet Voting

2Software Technology and Applications Competence Centre

3University of Tartu, Institute of Computer Science

4Cybernetica

November 5, 2015

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Research objective

Analyse information available to NEC in order to:

I Detect attacks against i-voting

I Detect system malfunction

I Study voter behaviour

Data sources:

I Log �les produced by i-voting servers

I Support requests handled by NEC

I Public information

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Page 3: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Estonia has i-voted since 2005

2005Local

2007Parl.

2009EP

2009Local

2011Parl.

2013Local

2014EP

2015Parl.

0

10

20

30ShareofInternet

voters

% of voters

% of veri�ed votes

Objects of this study:

I Municipal Elections 2013 (KOV2013)

I European Parliament Elections 2014 (EP2014)

I Riigikogu Elections 2015 (RK2015)

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Page 4: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Voting protocol in 2015

1. Authentication

2. Candidate list L3. Sigv (Encspub(cv , r))

4. Vote reference vr

5.r , vr 6.

vr

7.Enc s p

ub(c v, r),L

(8.cv )

There are three sub-protocols:

I Voting with smart card-based eID

I Voting with Mobile-ID

I Vote veri�cation with the mobile device

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Page 5: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Logs generated on candidate list retrievalIVCA VFS Log Monitor VSS

TLS client authgenerate sid()

sidmsgip, sid, IP

msgua, sid, UserAgent

msgauth, sid, PC, Certauthmsgbegin, sid

get candidate list()

C, Districtmsgname, sid, Name

msgdist, sid, District

check revoting vfs()

msgsend.req.rev, sid

sid, PC

msgreq.rev, sid

check revoting vss()

Rmsgresp.rev, sid

R

Rmsgrevoted, sid, R

msgresp, sid

C, sid, R

Log analysis is not a trivial task

I Logs in KOV2013 � more than 4'000'000 loglines, 700MB5

Page 6: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Log monitor

I Centralized logserver using rsyslog

I Log-processor

I Parse entry, extract information, �ll database

I Analysis front-end

I Provide descriptive statistics and pattern analysis

I Pseudonymization of logs for later research

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Database model

certificates

session idauth serialsign serialauth hashsign hashauth eidsign eid

sessions

session idpersonal codephoneipostimestamp candstatus candtimestamp votestatus votevote hashvote id

ips

session idipgeoip

persons

personal codegivennamesurnamedistrict

verifications

verification idvote idtimestampipgeoiposstatus

incidents

session idtimestamplogline

incident response

session idresponseusertimestamp

1 11

1..*

1..*1

0..*

1

1 0..1

0..*

1

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What should we look for in the data?

Normality pro�le:

I Describe in detail �normal� i-voting:I The voting session creates only expected log entries

I The voting session ends with a successfully cast vote

I The veri�cation session ends with a successfully veri�ed vote

I The voting session is completed in a few minutes

I Not too many voters share the same voting IP address

I Not too many veri�ers share the same verifying IP

I The overall percentage of revoters is small

I The vote is veri�ed from a single IP address

I etc.

I In total 24 features

I Anomaly pattern � inverse of normality

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Page 9: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Session breakdown

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

Session kind Sessions Voters Sessions Voters Sessions Voters

All sessions 176,144 � 120,503 � 211,215 �

Voting 170,801 138,532 114,792 104,679 201,811 179,262

Successful 80.1% 133,808 91.6% 103,151 89.7% 176,491

ID card 91.4% 122,471 89.0% 91,964 87.8% 155,267

Mobile-ID 8.6% 11,395 11.0% 11,226 12.2% 21,307

Unsuccessful 19.9% 19,705 8.4% 6,050 10.3% 15,007

ID card 76.9% 16,201 64.9% 4,157 69.1% 11,226

Mobile-ID 23.1% 3,658 35.1% 1,940 30.9% 3,864

Veri�cation 5,343 4,542 5,711 4,250 9,404 7,563

Successful 94.0% 4,521 85.7% 4,210 89.7% 7,522

Unsuccessful 6.0% 84 14.3% 131 10.3% 120

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Unsuccessful voting sessions

KOV2013

voters

EP2014

voters

RK2015

voters

KOV2013

sessions

EP2014

sessions

RK2015

sessions

102030405060708090100

Unsuccessful %

Successful %

10

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Unsuccessful voting sessions � explicit errors

Reason for failure KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

Explicit error 8,979 4,032 5,513

Common error 1,103 369 1,509

Maintenance 11 0 1

Under-aged voter 28 16 30

Ineligible voter 1,063 315 507

Voting ended 1 38 89

Session expired � � 882

Certi�cate issue 1,978 302 641

Pre-2011 Mobile-ID user 1,490 549 366

Bad Mobile-ID number 2,051 491 974

DigiDocService failure 47 0 0

Mobile-ID failures 2,217 1,148 1,956

Incident 93 1,173 67

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Unexpected log entries � incidentsI KOV2013

I 37 failed ID card sessions � buggy OpenSCI 36 failed voting sessions � problematic backup routineI 17 malformed votes � lack of error checking in voting clientI 3 invalid cell numbers � lack of input validation in voting client

I EP2014I 1131 failed voting sessions � timezone bug in cert veri�cationI 42 incidents with buggy OpenSC or failed M-IDI 196 malformed vote veri�cation requests � iOS veri�cation

applicationI 5 ID card sessions with card switchingI 6 sessions with incorrect session state change

I RK2015I 1 failed session � inaccessible voter listI 2 ID card sessions with card switchingI 4 ID card sessions vote signature invalidI 1 ID card session with invalid certi�cate signatureI 59 Mobile-ID sessions using outdated voting clientI 615 veri�cation sessions using outdated veri�cation applicationI 19 sessions with incorrect session state change 12

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Other reasons for failure

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

Reason for failure Sessions Voters Sessions Voters Sessions Voters

Other reason 24,969 16,087 5,593 4,340 15,214 12,072

Discontinued (Mobile-ID) 826 595 672 477 1,454 1,039

Authentication 636 470 461 332 1,008 731

Signing 190 178 211 196 446 415

Abnormal 40 34 0 0 0 0

Vote not submitted 24,103 15,563 4,921 3,889 13,760 11,103

ID card 23,004 14,630 4,524 3,521 12,283 9,779

Mobile-ID 1,099 954 397 371 1,477 1,353

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Unsuccessful voting sessions � failure to cast a vote

I Abandoned voting sessions � candidate list is successfully

downloaded, but the vote is never cast

I Forgotten PIN to access the signing key

I Bugs in voting client (KOV2013)

I Probably not disenfranchisement attack � would be noticed by

veri�cation

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

Sessions Voters Voters (u) Sessions Voters Voters (u) Sessions Voters Voters (u)

24,103 15,563 2,889 4,921 3,889 869 13,760 11,103 1,947

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Veri�cation errors

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

Reason for failure Sessions Veri�ers Sessions Veri�ers Sessions Veri�ers

Unsuccessful sessions 319 84 787 106 965 218

Newer vote cast 19 6 11 6 17 6

Veri�cation count exceeded 144 47 317 81 154 63

Veri�cation time exceeded 95 54 78 39 121 63

Vote ID not issued 60 � 185 � 58 �

Abnormal state 1 1 � � � �

Malformed vote ID � � 196 � � �

Invalid veri�cation request � � � � 615 104

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Support requests

Topic KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

QR code focussing problems 8 8 0

State-revoked ID cards (issued in 2011) 5 1 0

Android VVA crash 3 1 0

Outdated ID-software, drivers 9 6 8

IVCA Internet connectivity issues 109 24 0

Unsupported voting platforms 3 0 101

Pre-2011 Mobile-ID user 6 2 2

PIN code issues 3 9 0

ID-software not installed 13 0 0

IVCA errors 0xX 13 0 0

MacOS X without ID-software 0 41 0

Website related 0 14 12

Certi�cates not yet valid bug 0 10 0

iOS-based VVA 0-byte bug 0 4 0

ID-card certi�cates expired 0 0 2

General election questions 0 0 22

Built-in card readers, drivers 0 0 75

Other 85 49 109 16

Page 17: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

IP address shared by several voters

On average one IP shared by:

I KOV2013: 1.95 voters

I EP2014: 1.97 voters

I RK2015: 2.11 voters

IP addresses shared by more than 100 voters:

I KOV2013: 28 IPs (top IP shared by 1,127 voters)

I EP2014: 22 IPs (top IP shared by 970 voters)

I RK2015: 28 IPs (top IP shared by 1,415 voters)

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IP address shared by several voters

I Activity not evenly distributed over the voting period

I short interval (<5 minutes)

I the same OS

I no overlapping sessions

I IP activity in 24 hours

Group size KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

2 8,476 6,033 10,795

3 697 523 1,045

4 108 60 150

5 15 9 15

6 3 1 1

7 0 0 1

I RK2015 7 voter group: Colombian IP, ID cards, 20 minutes

I This is a technical upper-bound to group-voting

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IP address shared by several veri�ers

On average one IP shared by:

I KOV2013: 1.35 veri�ers

I EP2014: 1.31 veri�ers

I RK2015: 1.4 veri�ers

Top IPs shared by:

I KOV2013: 10 veri�ers

I EP2014: 13 veri�ers

I RK2015: 11 veri�ers

Voting and veri�cation IP the same:

I KOV2013: 53.28%

I EP2014: 56.82%

I RK2015: 60.17%

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Large percentage of revoters

Voters casting more than one vote:

I KOV2013: 1.93% (2,586 voters)

I EP2014: 1.69% (1,743 voters)

I RK2015: 2.29% (4,034 voters)

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

32 41 60

27 39 37

10 36 29

10 28 19

9 20 12

8 17 11

8 11 10

7 9 10

6 7 8

6 7 8

Top 10 revoters

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Large percentage of revoters

Time between revoting (h)

Fre

quen

cy

050

010

00

0 24 48 72 96 120 144 168

RK2015

I 30% revote in the �rst ten minutes

I 40% revote in the �rst hour

I 20% revote from a di�erent IP

I Voters with parallel voting sessions:

I KOV2013: 60 voters

I EP2014: 28 voters

I RK2015: 99 voters

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Page 22: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Large percentage of revoters

0

30

60

90

120

Oct 11 Oct 12 Oct 13 Oct 14 Oct 15 Oct 16 Oct 17Time

Act

ivity

First revotes cast by revotersFirst votes cast by voters (scaled by 0.25)

KOV2013

0

25

50

75

May 16 May 17 May 18 May 19 May 20 May 21 May 22Time

Act

ivity

First revotes cast by revotersFirst votes cast by voters (scaled by 0.25)

EP2014

0

50

100

150

Feb 20 Feb 21 Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24 Feb 25 Feb 26Time

Act

ivity

First revotes cast by revotersFirst votes cast by voters (scaled by 0.25)

RK2015

22

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Voting sessions too slow

Voting session length (s)

Fre

quen

cy

050

0015

000

0 120 300 480 660 840 1020 1200

RK2015

More than 50% sessions shorter than two minutes

More than 90% sessions shorter than six minutes

The longest voting sessions:

I KOV2013: 4.72 days

I EP2014: 5.6 days

I RK2015: 5.5 days (unsuccessful)

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Page 24: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Vote veri�ed from di�erent IP addresses

Votes veri�ed from more than one IP address:

I KOV2013: 19

I 2 IPs (18)

I 3 IPs (1)

I EP2014: 23

I 2 IPs (23)

I RK2015: 49

I 2 IPs (44)

I 3 IPs (2)

I 4 IPs (1)

I 7 IPs (1)

I 8 IPs (1)

Veri�cations over several days from di�erent OSs

⇒ QR codes published somewhere!

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Page 25: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Vote veri�ed from di�erent IP addresses � RK2015 4 IPs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZ4s95lFkk4#t=107

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Vote veri�ed from di�erent IP addresses � RK2015 8 IPs

https://twitter.com/LauriBambus/status/568355079318835200/photo/1 26

Page 27: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

First voting session seen as revoting

Security feature. No cases have been registered by the NEC.

27

Page 28: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Non-i-voter denied paper vote

On election Sunday I-voter will be denied paper vote.

Security feature. No cases have been registered by the NEC.28

Page 29: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � voter activity by age

0

5

10

15

20

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

Turn

out (

%)

KOV2013

0

5

10

15

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

Turn

out (

%)

EP2014

0

10

20

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

Turn

out (

%)

RK2015

29

Page 30: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � gender distribution of voting

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

%ofvoters

Female

Male

30

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General statistics � voter activity by gender (out of eligible)

●●●●

●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●●

●●●●●

●●

●●

●●●●

●●

● ●

20 40 60 80 100

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

vote

r ac

tivity

(%

)

In KOV2013 I-voted:

I M: 12.94%

I F: 11.78%

●●●●●

●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●

●●●●●

●●●●

●●

●●●

● ●

20 40 60 80 100

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

vote

r ac

tivity

(%

)

In EP2014 I-voted:

I M: 11.55%

I F: 9.84%

●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●●

●●●●●●●●●

●●●●

●●●●●●

●●●●

●●

●●

20 40 60 80 100

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

vote

r ac

tivity

(%

)

In RK2015 I-voted:

I M: 19.54%

I F: 17.40%

31

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General statistics � age vs voting time

● ●

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● ●

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● ●

●●

● ●

50

100

150

200

250

25 50 75 100Age

Vot

ing

time

(s)

KOV2013

●●

● ● ● ●●

●●

●●

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●●

●●

● ● ● ●● ● ● ●

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50

100

150

25 50 75 100Age

Vot

ing

time

(s)

EP2014

●●

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●●

● ● ●

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50

100

150

200

25 50 75 100Age

Vot

ing

time

(s)

RK2015

32

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General statistics � veri�er activity by age

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

Ver

ifier

s (%

)

KOV2013

0

2

4

6

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90Age

Ver

ifier

s (%

)

EP2014

0

2

4

6

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90Age

Ver

ifier

s (%

)

RK2015

33

Page 34: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � gender distribution of veri�cation

KOV2013 EP2014 RK2015

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

%ofveri�ers

Female

Male

34

Page 35: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � veri�er activity by gender

●●●●●●

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●●●●●

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●●●●●●

20 40 60 80 100

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

verif

ier

activ

ity (

%)

In KOV2013 veri�ed:

I M: 4.87%

I F: 2.04%

●●●●●●●●●

●●●

●●●●●●●●●

●●●●

●●

●●●

●●●●●●

●●

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●●

●●●

●●

●●

20 40 60 80

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

verif

ier

activ

ity (

%)

In EP2014 veri�ed:

I M: 6.26%

I F: 2.11%

●●●●●

●●●●●

●●●●●●●●

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20 40 60 80

020

6010

0

Age

Fem

ale

verif

ier

activ

ity (

%)

In RK2015 veri�ed:

I M: 6.16%

I F: 2.64%

35

Page 36: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Veri�cation activity among Mobile-ID users

KOV2013 EP2014 RK20150

5

10

15

%ofveri�ers

Mobile-ID users

Non-Mobile-ID users

36

Page 37: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � OS popularity by age

0

5

10

15

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

OSWindowsMacLinux KOV2013

0

5

10

15

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

OSWindowsMacLinux EP2014

0

5

10

15

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

OSWindowsMacLinux RK2015

37

Page 38: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � OS popularity by gender

Linux Mac Windows

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

KOV2013

Linux Mac Windows

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

EP2014

Linux Mac Windows

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

RK2015

38

Page 39: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � Veri�cation OS popularity (RK2015)

0

25

50

75

100

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90Age

%OS

AndroidiPhoneWindows

Android iPhone Windows

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

39

Page 40: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � eID tool popularity by age

0

5

10

15

20

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

eIDID cardMobile−IDDigi−ID KOV2013

0

5

10

15

20

25

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

eIDID cardMobile−IDDigi−ID EP2014

0

5

10

15

20

25

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Age

%

eIDID cardMobile−IDDigi−ID RK2015

40

Page 41: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

General statistics � eID tool popularity by gender

ID card Digi−ID Mobile−ID

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

KOV2013

ID card Digi−ID Mobile−ID

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

EP2014

ID card Digi−ID Mobile−ID

MaleFemale

020

4060

8010

0

RK2015

41

Page 42: Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015kodu.ut.ee/~arnis/slides_logmon.pdf · 2015-12-21 · Log Analysis of Estonian Internet Voting 2013 2015 Sven Heiberg 1 Arnis Parsovs

Conclusions

I Systematic data analysis method has been developed

I Several bugs were found and �xed

I No large-scale attacks were detected against the i-voters

I Observations are similar between the elections

I Interesting phenomena were observed

I Limitations

I Some data not available for investigation

I Attack vs legitimate behaviour

I Unexplained voter behaviour

42