Lithium Supply & Markets 2010 Chairman\'s Opening Speech
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Transcript of Lithium Supply & Markets 2010 Chairman\'s Opening Speech
January 2010
Lithium: a year of change (opening remarks)
Simon Moores, Deputy Editor, Industrial Minerals, UK
Lithium Supply
& Markets 2010
26-28 January 2010
Welcome to Las Vegas
Silver Peak (Brine)
Kings Mountain (hectorite - in development)
Clayton Valley (Brine)
Only operational lithium mine in North America
Nevada: home of lithium in North America
Evolution of sources
Spodumene/Petalite 1960s
Brine 1990s
Hectorite clay Geothermal Jadarite 2010s ?
Evolution of sources
Location: Santiago, Chile
Date: 26-28 January 2009
Delegation: 150
Industry tour: Salar de Atacama – SQM & Chemetall
The success of LSM09
A year of change…lithium hits the mainstream
Toyota in lithium agreement 19/1/2010
Lithium car batteries may shift balance of industrial power 9/10/2009
Full charge in lithium-ion battery boom 1/02/2009
Lithium for 4.8 bn EVs lets Bolivia upset market 7/10/2009
Born in the big bang, lithium to power hybrids 20/1/2010
Bolivia hopes it can meet China’s appetite for lithium 20/12/2009
A year of change: key developments
1.Supply
2.US Stimulus
3. Asia
4. Global auto industry
1. Supply developments
Galaxy leads pack (spodumene)
Pilot plant stage - 40 tpm Li2CO3, $5.7m.
20-30,000 tpa Li2CO3 by 2012-13
1. Supply developments
Bolivian progress at Uyuni
$5m. Borates plant
Reserves increase to 8.9m. tonnes Li?
Emerging hubs of activity
Nevada, USA (majority brine)
Ontario, Canada (spodumene)
Alberta, Canada (brine)
Argentina (brine)
1. Supply developments
2. US $2.4 billion battery stimulus
Chemetall - $28m.
Johnson Controls $299.2m.
EnerDel - $118.5m.
Mine
Market Tesla Motors - $465m.
3. Asia
South Korea Interest in Bolivia lithium
SK Energy Li-ion supply deal with Mitsubishi Fuso
LG Chem, Samsung
China BYD ambitions, Buffett investment
BYD produces own Li-ion
Approved to mass produce E-6
Enter the industrial giants POSCO, South Korea buys into Pan American Lithium
Toyota Tsusho Corp. (22% Toyota Motor Corp), Japan, buys into Orocobre lithium
4. Change in thinking for auto manufacturers
Recession
Old business model not working
Shift to the big business of tomorrow – electric cars (?)
4. Change in thinking for Auto manufacturers
“Our electric vehicle investment is not one-car
innovation, it is a new way of looking at our industry. This is the beginning of the
story.”
Carlos Ghosn, CEO, Nissan
Toyota (Japan) now the biggest car corporation
4. Change in thinking: from West to East
China the biggest carmaker (15m. Units in 2010, 10% rise on 2009)
Lithium in 2009
Global interest
Actual lithium carbonate demand by 20-30%
Li2CO3 price fall 20%$3/lb in Jan 09, 2.3-2.4/lb in Jan ’10
2005/2006 levels
Lithium in 2009
Recession hits established end markets
Market (% of market)
Ceramics(28-32% with glass)
Glass (28-32% with ceramics)
Batteries (22-25%)
Grease (~10%)
Reason
Construction
Construction/Auto
Handheld electronics
Auto, lower industrial activity
Recession hits established end markets
Demand down by 20-30%...
1. Magazine (monthly)
Industrial Minerals & lithium today
+ News Analysis
+ In-depth features/industry research
+ Pricing comment and summary
2. indmin.com
Daily news bulletins
Pricing as it happens
Weekly focus
Database access: 10 years of pricing, news, and features
Lithium carbonate & concentrate
pricing
Industrial Minerals & lithium today
3. Conferences
LSM 09 – Santiago, Chile
LSM 10 – Las Vegas, USA
LSM 11? Argentina? Canada? Australia? South Korea?
Industrial Minerals & lithium today
The team: Industrial Minerals (1967 - present )
Mike O’Driscoll, Editor (chair)
Simon Moores, Deputy Editor (chair)
Ismene Clarke, Advertising Manager
The team: Industrial Minerals Events (2007 - present )
Victoria Smith, LSM10 programmer
Charlie Shelley-Smith, Sponsorship & Exhibition Manager
Laura Black, Logistics Co-ordinator
930-1030 KeynotesHow strategic a resource is lithium?
Reserves & Resources: An update 2010
11-1230 The world’s present lithium supply SQM, Chemetall, FMC
1400-1530 Emerging North American production Canada Lithium, International Lithium Corp., Western Lithium
1600-1700 Lithium resources panel discussion
1700-1730 Regulatory risks to lithium supply
LSM10 Day One
LSM10 Day LSM10 Day two
915-1045 Focus on the EV market Panel discussion: NAATbatt; Ford; EnerDel; Angelo & Newton
Applications for advance batteries & grid storage - Altairnano Inc
11-1230 Independent Analysis of the Market & EV futureRoskill Information Services
Panel discussion: Gilford Securities; Plug In America; MDB Capital
1400-1530 Global supply developments 1 Galaxy Resources (Australia/China); Lithium Americas (Argentina);
1600-1630 Global supply developments 2Lithium One (Canada/Argentina)
1630-1700 The future of lithium
LSM10 Field Trip – Western Lithium