LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory...

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LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT Manuele Margni [email protected]

Transcript of LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory...

Page 1: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Manuele Margni [email protected]

Page 2: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

The ISO process

Iterative process

• The collected data may lead to the modification of the scope of the study

• The goal itself can also be revised

Interpretation(ISO-14044)

Goal & scope definition(ISO-14044)

Inventory analysis(ISO-14044)

Impact assessment(ISO-14044)

Applications

•Product

development

and

improvement

•Strategic

planning

•Public policy

•Marketing

•Others

Framework(ISO-14040)

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• Aims at understanding and evaluating the magnitude and

significance of the potential environmental impacts for a

product system throughout the life cycle of the product

• to better understand the environmental significance of Life

Cycle Inventory results

Purpose of Life Cycle Impact Assessment

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Life cycle inventory

Inputs

Natural

resource

extractions

Iron ore

Crude oil

Water

Wood

Solar energy

Land use

Emissions in

Air : CO2, SO2, PM, VOC

Water : PO4, NO3

Soil : pesticides, metals

Resource Acquisition

Production

Distribution

Use

End-of-Life

Other environmental

interventions

Radiations

Heat

Noise

Outputs

Functional unit

= given « amount » of

function to which all inputs

and outputs are related to

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Problem = weigthing pollutants

≠?

Weighting is not straightforward

� like comparing apples and oranges

When considering the amounts emitted and the very different

nature of the extractions and emissions included in inventory

� more like comparing an elephant and an apple!

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Life cycle impacts assessment

Elementary flows

Inputs:Iron ore

Crude oil

Water

Wood

Solar energy

Land use

Outputs :CO2

SO2

PM

VOC

PO4

NO3

Pesticides

Metals

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UNEP/SETAC Life Cycle Initiative LCIA framework

From Jolliet et al (2004), Int. J LCA 9(6)

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Cause-effect chain

It represents a series (or

network) of interconnected

environmental mechanisms

It allows to describe the

pathways leading to

endpoints within each

impact category

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Cause-effect chain and indicator for climate change

1. GHG emission (elementary flow)

2. Infrared radiative forcing

(1st order effect)

3. Increase in global temperatures

(2nd order effect)

4. Sea level rise due to water expansion and

glaciers melting

(3rd order effect)

n. Damage to human health and ecosystems

(nth order effect)

Midpoint

Category

indicator

Cause and effect

chain = a

sequence of

Environmental

mechanisms

Global warming

Damage

Category

indicator

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Midpoint vs. Damage Impact categories

Uncertainty

Relevance

Uncertainty

of modelsUncertainty

of interpretation

Global uncertainty

of impact results

LCI Midpoint Endpoint

Figure of J.Potting, M.Hauschild and O.Jolliet

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The LCIA procedure

Mandatory elements

Selection of impact categories, category inidcators and characterisation models

Assignment of LCI results (Classification)

Calculation of category indicator results (Characterisation)

Category indicator results (LCIA profile)

Optional elements

Normalization

Weighting and aggregation

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Assignment of LCI results to the selected impact categories

Example: CO2, CH4 et N2O affect the global warmingpotential.

This element is required to proceed to the LCIA phase.

Classification - Definition

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Classification

Human toxicity

Respiratory effects

Aquatic ecotoxicity

Aquatic eutrophication

Global warming

Non-renewable primary energy

Elementary flows

Inputs:Iron ore

Crude oil

Water

Wood

Solar energy

Land use

Outputs :CO2

SO2

PM

VOC

PO4

NO3

Pesticides

Metals

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Classification – In which category?

1. In parallel

Ex: SO2 acidification

human health (through inhalation)

2. In series

a) directly

Ex: metals ecotoxic effects toxic effects

(through food chain)

b) indirectly

Ex: SO2 acidification

Al mobilisation

ecotoxic effects

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Characterisation: definition

1. Contribution of inputs and outputs to differentimpact categories are evaluated.

2. The contributions to the same impact categoryare summed up.

It implies to convert the assigned LCI results intocommun units within a given impact category

Calculation of category indicator results in numerical format

Page 16: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Characterisation: example

= 298 kg CO2 eq.

= 25 kg CO2 eq.

= 1 kg CO2 eq.= 1 kg CO2

= 1 kg CH4

= 1 kg N2O

Global warming

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• Developed by the IPCC

• Used to calculate the characterisation factors

• Considers the infrared radiative forcing generated by a

greenhouse gas emitted in the atmosphere over

different time horizons (20, 100 ot 500 years)

• Two key parameters: atmospheric lifetime and heat

absorption

Global warming

Characterisation model

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where:

ai radiative efficiency per unit of concentration of gaz i

Ci(t) concentration of gaz i at time t

T time horizon

Characterisation factor = Global warming potential (GWP)

Unit = kg CO2 eq./kg gas

Global warming

Characterisation factor

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0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1 51 101 151 201 251 301 351 401 451

Ra

dia

tiv

e f

orc

ing

(

x1

0-1

5W

/m2/k

g)

Time following the emission (years)

Dynamic characterization factors

Carbon dioxide

Methane500100GWPGWP f

25 7.6

GWP100 = 25 kgCO2/kgCH4

100 ans 500 ans

GWP100 = 7.6 kgCO2/kgCH4

Différence between GWP100 and GWP500

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LCIA in practice

1. Choice of LCIA method(pre-established choice of impact categories, category

indicators, characterisation model and factors)

2. Classification

3. Characterisation(calculation of category indicator results or impact scores)

where:

Sj Impact score for category j (ex. in kg CO2 eq.)

CFji Characterisation factor of elementarey flow i for

impact category j

(ex. in kg CO2 eq./kg of i)

mi Elementary flow realted to functional unit (ex.

kg of i)

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IMPACT 2002+ Life cycle impact assessment methodology

Elementary flows

Cancer & non-cancer effects

Respiratory effects

Ionizing radiations

Ozone layer depletion

Photochemical oxidation (smog)

Aquatic ecotoxicity

Terrestrial ecotoxicity

Aquatic acidification

Aquatic eutrophication

Terrestrial acidification/nutrification

Land occupation

Non-renewable energy

Mineral extraction

Global warming

Water (withdrawn)

Human health

Ecosystems quality

Resources

Climate change

Water (inventory)

NOX

Crude oil

Iron ore

PO43-

CO2

SO2

Irrigation water

Cooling water

Impact categories Damage categories

Hundred others. . .

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IMPACT2002+ – Midpoints

Midpoint category Indicator unit

Carcinogens C kg C2H5Cl eq. (air)

Non-carcinogens NC kg C2H5Cl eq. (air)

Respiratory – inorganics RI kg PM2.5 eq. (air)

Ionizing radiations IR Bq C14 eq. (air)

Ozone layer depletion OL kg CFC-11 eq. (air)

Respiratory – organics RO kg C2H6 eq. (air)

Aquatic ecotoxicity AE kg Triethylene glycol eq. (water)

Terrestrial ecotoxicity TE kg Triethylene glycol eq. (water)

Terrestrial acidification/nutrification TAN kg SO2 eq. (air)

Land occupation LO m2.yr organic arable land eq.

Aquatic acidification AA kg SO2 eq. (air)

Aquatic eutrophication AE kg PO43- eq. (water)

Global warming GW kg CO2 eq. (air)

Non-renewable primary energy NE MJ primary

Mineral extraction ME MJ surplus

Page 24: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT2002+ – Endpoints

DALY (Disability Adjusted Life Years): years of life (in good

health) loss, takes into account premature deaths and time

spent sick

PDF.m2.yr : Potentially Disappeared Fraction of species over a

certain area over a certain time

Endpoint category Indicator unit

Human health HH DALY

Ecosystem quality EQ PDF.m2.yr

Climate change CC kg CO2 eq.

Resources R MJ primary

Page 25: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT2002+ – Midpoints profile for the cars

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

C NC RI RO IR OL AE TEc AA AEu TAN LO TW GW NE ME

D

B5

G

E5

GN

El

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IMPACT2002+ – Damage profile for the cars

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

HH EQ CC R

D

B5

G

E5

GN

El

Page 27: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT2002+ – Damage profile for the cars

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

C NC RI RO IR OL AE TEc AA AEu TAN LO TW GW NE ME

D

B5

G

E5

GN

El

Human Health Ecosystem Quality Resources

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LCI result

CO2

VOS

P

SO2

NOx

CFC

Cd

PAH

DDT

Land use

Oil

Raw mat.

Single sco

re

Decr. Ozone P.

Ozone Conc.

Hazard. W. Dose

Absorbed Dose

PM10 Conc.

Infra-red ForcingClimate Change

Ozone depletion

Radiation

Hum tox

Particulate Form.

P. C. Ozone Form.

Reso

urces

Surpusco

stDamage

Human

health

DALY

Damage

Damage

Damage

Damage

Damage

Minerals Cons.

Fossil fuel Cons. Energy Content

Decrease Conc.

Hazard W. Conc.Marine Ecotox.

Marine Eutr.

Fresh water Eutr.

Fresh W. Ecotox

Algae Growth

Algae Growth

.Hazard W. Conc

Nat. Land Transf.

Urban Land Occ.

Terr.Ecotox

Agr. Land Occ.

Terr. Acidif.

Hazard W. Conc.

Occupied Area

Base Saturation

Transformed area

Eco

systems

PDF.m

2..yr

Terr.

Damage

Fresh.

Damage

Marine

Damage

Midpoint category

Midpoint Indicator

Endpoint category

Endpoint indicator

ReCiPe Life Cycle Impact Assessment Methodology

ReCiPe

Page 29: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

ReCiPe (Egalitarian) – Endpoints for the cars

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

HH E R

D

B5

G

E5

GN

El

Page 30: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT World+ Life Cycle Impact Assessment Methodology

IMPACT World+

(30 impact categories)

30

Page 31: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Retrospective of LCIA methodological development

31©

© 31

1984: Critical Volume (BUS)

1992: CML (Heijungs)

1997: EDIP97 (Wenzel)

1995: Ecoindicator95

(Goedkoop)

1993: EPS (Steen)

1991: Ecoscarcity

Page 32: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

©32

At the beginning of ‘90

3 school of thoughts:

Ecoscarcity 1991, (or Ecopoints),

distance to target

CML 1992, midpoint modeling

EDIP 97 and 2003, TRACI, …

EPS 1993, damage modeling

Ecoindicator 99, IMPACT 2002+,

LIME, ReCiPe, …

Page 33: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Retrospective of LCIA methodological development

Page 34: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

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MidpointMidpointMidpointMidpoint DamagesDamagesDamagesDamages

(or Endpoint)

MidpointMidpointMidpointMidpoint and and and and

DamagesDamagesDamagesDamages

JEPIX Ecoindicator 99 IMPACT 2002+

CML EPS LIME

(Swiss) Ecoscarcity EPS 2000

EDIP ReCiPe

LUCAS IMPACT World+

ILCD Handbook

Classification of existing LCIA methodologies

Methodology oriented:

Page 35: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

35

Méthodologies ACVI et liens web

Eco-indicator 99: http://www.pre.nl/eco-indicator99/

EDIP 2003: http://ipt.dtu.dk/~mic/EDIP2003

EPS 2000d: http://eps.esa.chalmers.se/

CML 2001, (Dutch) Handbook on LCA:

http://www.leidenuniv.nl/cml/ssp/projects/lca2/lca2.html

Impact 2002+: http://www.impactmodeling.org

IMPACT World+: http://www.impactworldplus.org

JEPIX: www.jepix.org

LIME: http://www.jemai.or.jp/lcaforum/index.cfm

Swiss Ecoscarcity: http://www.e2mc.com/BUWAL297%20english.pdf

TRACI: http://epa.gov/ORD/NRMRL/std/sab/iam_traci.htm

LUCAS http://www.ciraig.org

ReCiPe http://www.lcia-recipe.net/

Description des méthodologies dans le ILCD Handbook

Page 36: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

A Barbie doll to illustrate the concept of global economy:

• Barbie’s body is made of plastic produced in Taiwan,

• it is manufactured in China

• using moulds from the USA and Europeanand Japanese machinery

• her nylon hair is Japanese

• her clothes are Chinese

• she then travels by boat to 150 different countries to be sold

The need to evaluate a product systems within a global

economy

Page 37: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Evaluate a product systems within a global economy

Page 38: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

EDIP

RECIPEIMPACT 2002+

TRACI

LUCAS

LIME

IMPACT WORLD+

Evaluate a product systems within a global economy

Page 39: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Global default characterization factor:

Central Asia

South East Asia

Oce

Africa + Middle East

Latin America

North America

Arctic

Europe

Continental characterization factors:

Country level characterization factors :

Fine resolution characterization factors :

IMPACT World + LCIA at complementary scales

Page 40: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT World + : a LCIA method that

• Accounts for regional specificity

• Ensures modelling the entire world in a consistent way

• Allows accounting for uncertainty and spatial variability

• Useful to both academic research and practitioners

• Compatible with regional developments of LCI DB

• Complementary to carbon and water footprint

http://www.impactworldplus.org/en/

Beta version available for download at:

Page 41: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT World+ Life Cycle Impact Assessment Methodology

IMPACT World+

(30 impact categories)

41

Page 42: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

APPENDIX

Page 43: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

IMPACT2002+ – Midpoints

Midpoint category Indicator unit

Carcinogens C kg C2H5Cl eq. (air)

Non-carcinogens NC kg C2H5Cl eq. (air)

Respiratory – inorganics RI kg PM2.5 eq. (air)

Ionizing radiations IR Bq C14 eq. (air)

Ozone layer depletion OL kg CFC-11 eq. (air)

Respiratory – organics RO kg C2H6 eq. (air)

Aquatic ecotoxicity AE kg Triethylene glycol eq. (water)

Terrestrial ecotoxicity TE kg Triethylene glycol eq. (water)

Terrestrial acidification/nutrification TAN kg SO2 eq. (air)

Land occupation LO m2.yr organic arable land eq.

Aquatic acidification AA kg SO2 eq. (air)

Aquatic eutrophication AE kg PO43- eq. (water)

Global warming GW kg CO2 eq. (air)

Non-renewable primary energy NE MJ primary

Mineral extraction ME MJ surplus

Page 44: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Normalization

Calculation of the magnitude of category indicator resultsrelative to reference information

To obtain a better understanding of the relative importance of the impact/damage category indicator results for the studied system

Optional element, can be useful for communicating results

Required to proceed to weighting and aggregating results into a single score

Page 45: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

Normalization

DALY / RSPDF.m2.an / RSkg CO2 eq. / RS

MJ / RS

=

LCIA profile related to

functional unit (FU)

LCIA profile related to

reference system (RS)

kg C2H3Cl eq. / RSkg TEG eq. / RSkg CO2 eq. / RSPrimary MJ / RS

kg crude oil / RSkg CO2 / RSkg PM / RSkg SO2 / RS

DALY / FUPDF.m2.an / FUkg CO2 eq. / FU

MJ / FU

kg C2H3Cl eq./ FUkg TEG eq. / FUkg CO2 eq. / FUPrimary MJ / FU

kg crude oil / FUkg CO2 / FUkg PM / FUkg SO2 / FU

=

RS eq. (Human health )RS eq. (Ecosystem quality)

RS eq. (Climate change)RS eq. (Resources)

Reference system can be:• Other product system, ex. reference product• Geographic area for a specific year, ex. Europe in 2008• Geographic area for a specific year per capita, ex. Average European in 2008

NormalizedLCIA profile

Page 46: LIFE CYCLE IMPACT ASSESSMENT - CIRAIG · (ISO-14044) Goal & scope definition (ISO-14044) Inventory analysis (ISO-14044) Impact assessment (ISO-14044) Applications •Product development

0,00E+0

5,00E-4

1,00E-3

1,50E-3

2,00E-3

2,50E-3

3,00E-3

HH EQ CC R

pe

rso

n e

q.

D

B5

G

E5

GN

El

IMPACT2002+ – Normalized endpoints for the cars

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Weighting

There is no scientific basis to aggregate results intosingle score � social value choices

Weighting and aggregation not permitted for LCA usedto support public comparative assertion

If weighting is to be done � much easier to weightdamages (endpoints) then amounts of actual emissionsor of equivalent emissions (midpoints)

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Weighting & aggregation

Classification & Characterisation

NormalizationWeighting

personneyear eq.

personneyear eq.

personneyear eq.

personneyear eq.

Single score

ecopoint

ecopoint

ecopoint

ecopoint

Elementary flows

Inputs:Iron ore

Crude oilWater Wood

Solar energyLand use

…Outputs :

CO2

SO2

PMVOCPO4

NO3

PesticidesMetals

DALY

PDF.m2.yr

kg CO2 eq.

MJ

kg C2H3Cl eq.

kg PM2.5 eq.

kg TEG eq.

kg PO43- eq.

kg CO2 eq.

Primary MJ

& aggregation

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Weighting principles

1. « Willingness to pay » for a healthy life or a clean environment

Ex: EPS

2. Costs of prevention or remediation (e.g. $ or MJ)

3. Experts or stakeholders panel

Ex: Ecoindicator 99

4. « Distance to target » (e.g. legislative objectives)

Ex: Ecopoints