Liam Brannigan - University of Oxford · Generated using version 3.0 of the o cial AMS LATEX...
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Shear and shear-driven diapycnal mixing at the base of the1
oceanic mixed layer2
Liam Brannigan ∗
Atmospheric, Oceanic & Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
3
Yueng-Djern Lenn and Tom P. Rippeth
School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Menai Bridge, Wales, UK
4
Elaine McDonagh
National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, UK
5
Teresa K. Chereskin and Janet Sprintall
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California in San Diego, USA
6
∗Corresponding author address: Liam Brannigan, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Planetary Physics, University
of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
E-mail: [email protected]
1
ABSTRACT7
Observational data have been used to evaluate a simple theoretical model for the generation8
of shear spikes at the base of the oceanic mixed layer. The model predicts that large changes9
in shear squared are due to the alignment and magnitude of the wind and shear vectors.10
The observational data from a high resolution cruise in Drake Passage have shown that the11
model is most effective at predicting changes in shear when shear is driven by near-inertial12
wind-driven currents. It is also more effective as stratification approaches typical open ocean13
values. Richardson number analysis confirms that much of the shear spiking is adequate to14
drive diapycnal mixing across the base of the mixed layer well in excess of background levels.15
Rotary spectral and statistical analysis of an additional 242 Drake Passage transects from16
1999 to 2011 reveals the prevalence of shear-spiking throughout the year, with the highest17
associated diapycnal mixing potential occurring in northern Drake Passage during winter.18
1
1. Introduction19
High shear characterises the water column just below the surface mixed layer in observa-20
tions throughout the global ocean (Johnston and Rudnick 2009). The key driving force for21
this shear is thought to be the wind stress applied locally at the ocean surface (Grant and22
Belcher 2011). Observations from shelf-sea locations, however, have shown that periods of23
high shear are very intermittent and are not always directly correlated with the magnitude24
of the wind forcing (Rippeth et al. 2009).25
The high near-surface shear has a number of important consequences for the general26
circulation of the ocean and the fluxes of properties such as heat and nutrients. Intermittent27
spikes in shear can be sufficiently strong to generate Kelvin-Helmholtz instabilities. These28
instabilities can generate diapycnal mixing which changes the properties of the water masses29
in the ocean above the thermocline (Dohan and Davis 2011). However, the instabilities also30
dissipate a significant portion of the kinetic energy flux into the ocean arising from the wind31
work at the surface (Plueddemann and Farrar 2006), leaving a reduced amount of kinetic32
energy available to drive the large-scale geostrophic circulation (von Storch et al. 2007) and a33
deep overturning circulation driven by abyssal diapycnal mixing (Munk and Wunsch 1998).34
The mixing at the base of the surface layer is also thought to control the supply of primary35
production-limiting nutrients to the euphotic zone (Law et al. 2003; Rippeth et al. 2009) and36
could explain the presence of sub-surface chlorophyll maxima (Parslow et al. 2001). Hence,37
diapycnal mixing helps drive the biological pump which draws down atmospheric CO2 and38
can also affect the subduction of surface layer fluids, both of which have been implicated in39
the deep export of CO2 (Karleskind et al. 2011) to the abyssal ocean.40
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The observed intermittent shear spikes lead to two significant oceanographic challenges.41
Firstly, they are difficult to observe in situ (they require finescale observations) and are42
also invisible to satellites. Secondly, they occur at a sub-grid scale for General Circulation43
Models (GCMs) and so must be parameterized. Clearly, the problem of adequately observing44
the mixing processes limits our ability to parameterize them. Dalan et al. (2005) noted that45
diapycnal diffusivity is among the least known parameters in the current generation of GCMs46
while the sensitivity of model outputs to it is high.47
A recent theoretical advance by Burchard and Rippeth (2009) (hereafter BR09) has48
shed light on the dynamical process leading to generation of shear spikes first observed in49
continental shelf seas (Rippeth et al. 2009). BR09 showed that spikes in the shear magnitude50
can be caused by an interaction between the shear and the surface wind stress. Observations51
from the northern North Sea (BR09) and the Arctic Laptev Sea (Lenn et al. 2011) lend52
further support to this theory. Furthermore, these studies highlighted that when the water53
column is of marginal stability (Ri ≈ 1, where Ri is the Richardson number) shear spiking54
incidents were associated with dissipation of turbulent kinetic energy orders of magnitude55
higher than background levels.56
In this study, we examine Southern Ocean data to investigate whether a similar process57
is effective in the open ocean. High winds, the transformation of key overturning water58
masses that outcrop within the surface mixed layer, and high primary production leading59
to the Southern Ocean’s reputation as an overall carbon sink make it an ideal location for60
this study. The data used here include two transects of the Drake Passage region made by61
the RRS James Cook (hereafter Cook) in February 2009 and 242 transects of Drake Passage62
made by the ARSV Laurence M. Gould (LMG) between 1999 and 2011 (Fig. 1). The63
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primary aims of this research are to: (1) identify mechanisms leading to the generation of64
shear spikes in the open ocean surface boundary layer; (2) estimate the seasonal and spatial65
variability of shear and (3) evaluate the potential of shear spikes to drive diapycnal mixing66
across the seasonal thermocline. The analytical model for the production of shear squared67
(S2) in an open ocean environment is derived in Section 2. The datasets are described in68
Section 3. The overall structure of the water column and the observed shear are set out in69
Section 4 while the effectiveness of the model is evaluated in Section 5. The potential for70
shear spikes to drive mixing is considered in Section 6 before concluding with a summary71
and discussion in Section 7.72
2. Shear production model73
The central idea of this model is that the production or destruction of shear across the74
base of the surface mixed layer can be driven by interaction between the shear and the75
surface wind stress.76
BR09 based their continental shelf sea model for shear production on a one-dimensional77
momentum balance between linear and Coriolis acceleration, the surface wind stress and78
friction. For the open ocean, following Pollard and Millard (1970), we can express the79
vertically-averaged momentum balance in the mixed layer as:80
du
dt− fv =
τxw − τxiρH
(1a)81
82
dv
dt+ fu =
τ yw − τyi
ρH(1b)83
where ddt
is the (non-advective) time derivative, u and v are the zonal and meridional compo-84
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nents of velocity in the mixed layer, t is time, f is the Coriolis parameter, τw is the relative85
wind stress (with superscripts indicating the directional component), τi is the interfacial86
frictional stress, ρ is the layer average potential density and H is the mixed layer depth87
(MLD). Note that surface stress is taken to be the relative wind stress, that is the velocity88
of the wind relative to the surface ocean current. Hereafter, the body forces due to wind89
and interfacial friction are denoted as Tw and Ti respectively, where these are the stresses90
divided by ρ.91
The momentum balance can be adapted into shear form with the further assumption that92
the layer below the mixed layer is quiescent i.e. that the acceleration due to wind forcing93
is restricted to the surface mixed layer. In practice, the model does not require zero flow94
below the mixed layer, only that any background flow (e.g. mesoscale eddy or geostrophic95
flow) is more lightly sheared across the base of the mixed layer than the flow driven by the96
local wind. The relationship between velocity and shear is as follows:97
Su =u− ulhs
(2a)98
99
Sv =v − vlhs
(2b)100
where hs is the distance between the centers of mass of the upper layer (above the mixed101
layer base) and lower layer (below the mixed layer base), which are assumed to be constant102
in time and ul and vl are the lower layer velocity components. Following the approach of103
BR09, we can substitute equation (2) into equation (1) by dividing all terms in equation (1)104
by hs:105
dSudt− fSv =
T xw − T xihsH
(3a)106
107
dSvdt
+ fSu =T yw − T
yi
hsH(3b)108
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These equations are then multiplied by Su and Sv respectively:109
1
2
dS2u
dt− fSuSv =
SuTxw − SuT xihsH
(4a)110
111
1
2
dS2v
dt+ fSuSv =
SvTyw − SvT
yi
hsH(4b)112
Adding these equations leads to the Coriolis terms cancelling and a dot product relationship113
emerges on the RHS:114
dS2
dt= 2(
S
hs· TwH− S
hs· TiH
) (5)115
or:116
dS2
dt= P (S2)−D(S2) (6)117
where P (S2) denotes the production/destruction of S2 (dependent on relative alignment of118
the wind and shear vectors) and D(S2) denotes the destruction of S2 by interfacial friction.119
Finally, the interfacial friction body force Ti can be parameterized using a quadratic120
friction law (following BR09) as:121
T xi = ci(u− ul)[(u− ul)2 + (v − vl)2]12 = cih
2sSu|S| (7a)122
123
T yi = ci(v − vl)[(u− ul)2 + (v − vl)2]12 = cih
2sSv|S| (7b)124
where ci is the drag coefficient. This allows equation (5) to be restated as:125
dS2
dt= 2(
S
hs· TwH− ci
hsHS3) (8)126
127
This simple theoretical model predicts that alignment of wind and shear produces the128
maximum value for the production of S2. Note, however, that if the shear vector is rotating129
inertially S2 continues to increase after the point of alignment and only reaches its maximum130
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value where equation (5) is zero i.e. when wind and shear are 90◦ out of phase. The model131
addresses changes in S2 at timescales of hours or less, at which timescales the MLD generally132
varies much less than the other terms and so is held constant in the model. However, the133
variations in MLD at monthly timescales are comparable to the variations in the other factors134
and so are considered for the observations of the annual cycle in Section 4 (c). This simple135
momentum balance does not take into account pressure gradients, advection, shear due to136
surface or internal waves or mixing. The effectiveness of the model given these assumptions137
is considered further in Section 5.138
3. Data139
Two Drake Passage datasets are used for this analysis. The densely-sampled hydrographic140
surveys from the Cook provide long (≥ 5 day) pseudo time-series data used to evaluate the141
model for specific conditions at high temporal resolution. The comparatively fast (∼ 2 day)142
repeat transects spanning the 12 years of the LMG dataset are used to evaluate the model143
with lower temporal resolution but covering the full range of conditions experienced through144
the annual cycle. As the focus here is on open ocean processes, data gathered in continental145
shelf and slope areas (i.e. bathymetry < 1500 m depth) are excluded from the analysis. As146
Drake Passage sections encompass only two wind decorrelation lengthscales (≈ 500 km), it147
is reasonable to treat each transect as a virtual time-series, while two degrees of freedom are148
assumed when conducting spectral analysis across a whole transect.149
The Cook observations consist of two hydrographic surveys of the Drake Passage region150
gathered on the JC31 cruise in February 2009 (McDonagh et al. 2009). This was a dedi-151
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cated oceanographic cruise with frequent stops to perform full-depth hydrographic casts with152
a conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) instrument and both lowered and ship-mounted153
acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCP). It took place from 3rd February to 3rd March154
2009, in the late austral summer. The first survey was conducted southbound from South155
America towards the West Antarctic Peninsula (SB, Fig. 1) and the other survey was156
conducted northbound from the West Antarctic Peninsula towards the eastern edge of the157
Patagonian Shelf and the Falkland Islands (NB, Fig. 1).158
The LMG dataset consists of underway observations from 242 crossings of Drake Passage159
made between 1999 and 2011. Upper ocean currents were measured by the LMG ship-160
mounted ADCP during year-round crossings of the Passage as part of regular resupply trips161
to Palmer Station on Anvers Island off the West Antarctic Peninsula or for specialist scientific162
cruises in the region. The hydrographic data came from the deployment of expendable163
bathythermograph (XBT) and expendable conductivity-temperature-depth (XCTD) probes.164
The LMG transects lay primarily between the two Cook surveys and fan out from Cape165
Horn towards the south, with some clustering along the directly-southbound transect at the166
western end of the domain (Fig. 1). The LMG ADCP surveys used in this study were167
conducted between September 1999 and April 2011, while the 96 XBT/XCTD surveys were168
conducted between September 1996 and February 2011. There are ADCP and XBT/XCTD169
data from all months with fewer transects in July and August.170
The velocity data used in this study were sampled using 153.6 kHz RDI ADCPs. On the171
Cook, the ADCP was mounted on the portside retractable drop keel. When the keel was172
extended, transducer depth was approximately 9.6 m and only these data are used here. The173
LMG ADCP is located in a special anti-freeze filled sonar pod that sits below bubbles in174
8
order to minimise data noise in the surface boundary layer. The speed of sound through the175
anti-freeze is measured independently and the ADCP data were adjusted accordingly (see176
Lenn et al. (2007) for further detail). Both the Cook and LMG ADCP data were collected177
with a vertical bin length of 8 m. These data were gridded to an 8 m grid with a first depth178
of 23.5 m for the Cook data and 26 m for the LMG data. The temporal averaging was179
five-minute ensembles for the Cook dataset and 15-minute ensembles for the LMG dataset180
During the Cook cruise, 47 full-depth CTD profiles were collected on the southbound181
transect and 30 profiles on the northbound transect. These were typically deployed at182
separations of 30 km. The instrument used was a Seabird 911Plus that had a 300 kHz183
RD Instruments Workhorse ADCP unit attached with an altimeter pinger to ascertain the184
bottom depth at the point of each CTD deployment. The LMG hydrographic profiles were185
made using Sippican Deep Blue XBT and TSK Sippican Digital XCTD probes. The XBTs186
record temperature data with 2 m vertical resolution and 6-15 km along-track resolution.187
These observations were objectively mapped to a grid with 10 m vertical resolution and 0.1◦188
latitudinal resolution. Since 2001 XCTDs have also recorded both temperature and salinity189
data with a vertical resolution of less than 1 m. The XCTDs have been deployed more190
sparsely than the XBTs with an along-track resolution of 25-100 km. Salinity is inferred191
from a historical climatology using a position-dependent T-S-z relation adjusted for salinity192
anomalies observed by the XCTDs when available (see Sprintall (2003) for more detail). The193
adjusted salinities were objectively mapped to the same 10 m vertical resolution and 0.1◦194
latitudinal resolution as the XBT data. Density was then calculated using the objectively195
mapped temperature and inferred salinity fields.196
Wind data were recorded by onboard meteorological data systems and averaged into197
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one minute ensembles. Cook wind speed and direction were recorded by a Gill Windsonic198
anemometer located on a foremast at a height of 16 m above the waterline, while LMG wind199
speed and direction were recorded by port and starboard RM Young 5106 anemometers200
located on the ship′s main mast at a height of 30 m above the waterline.201
These winds were then used to estimate the 10 m wind components using the boundary202
layer profile of Large and Pond (1981). The relative wind speed was then calculated by203
subtracting the surface ocean current (using the shallowest ADCP depth bins as a proxy)204
from the calculated 10 m wind before using the Large and Pond (1981) parameterization205
to calculate the relative wind stress. This parameterization assumes the atmosphere is of206
neutral stability and the air density was taken as 1.25 kg m−3 throughout. Large and Pond207
(1981) note that there is an error in the calculated stress of less than 10% in converting208
the wind speed from the observed wind to the 10 m wind and this error decreases with209
wind speed. If the magnitude of the atmospheric stability parameter (the Monin-Obukhov210
length) is of the order of the observation height this can introduce a further 20% error in211
the calculated stress. We assume however, that these errors are bounded in the evaluation212
of the model below as stronger winds tend to induce neutral stability in the atmospheric213
boundary layer and, furthermore, these errors do not affect the direction of the wind stress214
which is the most critical part of our analysis below. For the Cook dataset there were no215
observations of wind speed greater than the 25 m s−1 upper limit for which the Large and216
Pond (1981) parameterization is defined and less than 0.3% of the observations in the LMG217
dataset exceeded this limit. Observations below the 4 m s−1 lower limit are not important218
for the analysis below as the model aims to describe periods of significant wind stress.219
Data are analyzed by season to observe temporal patterns. Here summer is taken to220
10
be January, February and March, fall is April, May and June, winter is July, August and221
September and spring is October, November and December.222
4. Characteristics of stratification and shear223
Stratification determines where the mixed-layer base is located and can also impact the224
near-inertial shear that is the focus of this study. In this section, we describe the seasonal225
variability of Drake Passage upper ocean stratification, and the definitions and characteristics226
of the mixed-layer depth and the bulk shear used to test our theoretical model.227
a. Stratification228
The temperature and salinity profiles from the Cook transects in Fig. 2 (a,b) show a229
warm surface mixed layer (above 100 m depth) overlying the main thermocline, and a surface230
temperature gradient with colder water polewards. Latitudinal gradients in density due to231
different water masses are also present below the mixed layer. In the north of Drake Passage232
the surface layer is not homogeneously mixed but instead is more weakly stratified than the233
thermocline below (Fig. 2 (e,f)). The water column to the south has a well-defined mixed234
layer with a uniform density profile near the surface above a sharp transition layer (Fig. 2235
(e,f)). The upper ocean departs from stable thermal stratification south of 59◦ S between 50236
m and 250 m depth (Fig. 2 (a)), the location of a temperature minimum in the upper ocean.237
The overall static stability is maintained by the strong salinity gradient in this region. The238
steeply sloping isopycnals of the Polar Front (PF) (Fig. 2 (c,d)) mark the transition between239
11
a water mass to the south with thermal and haline stratification and a water mass to the240
north with thermal stratification but no vertical salinity gradient in the upper ocean.241
The buoyancy frequency squared (N2) was calculated as242
N2 = − g
ρ0
(ρu − ρl)hs
(9)243
where g is gravitational acceleration, ρ0 is the mean density of the two layers, ρu and ρl are244
the densities in the upper and lower layers respectively and hs is the distance between the245
centers of mass of the two layers.246
Seasonal variability in the water column structure characterises the calculated LMG247
monthly-mean N2 sections (Fig. 3). Beginning in the austral spring (October-November),248
surface layer stratification develops above 150 m depth. This intensifies and shoals through-249
out the austral summer and peaks in March when the MLD is at ∼40 m depth. As fall sets in250
this stratification weakens and is substantially eroded by late winter (August). Latitudinal251
variations in water mass properties observed in the Cook cruise are evident throughout the252
year (Fig. 3). In the late austral summer (February-March in Fig. 3), for example, strat-253
ification is twice as intense in the south of the Passage as in the north, and even in winter254
(July-August) the water column in the north remains more weakly stratified north of the255
PF than to the south. These latitudinal differences are due to the different vertical salinity256
gradients near the surface (e.g. Fig. 2 (a,b)). In particular, the weak haline stratification in257
the north of the Passage leads to greater thermal control of water column structure.258
The effect of Drake Passage stratification on shear-driven diapycnal mixing is non-trivial259
to diagnose. More shear is expected to be generated in the south of Drake Passage where the260
higher stratification at the base of the mixed layer inhibits downwards momentum transfer,261
12
but the formation of shear instabilities may be inhibited by the high stratification. In262
the north of Drake Passage, the lower density gradients result in weaker shear which may263
be sufficient to overcome the stabilising effect of the stratification. However, any shear-264
instabilities that occur in the north may lead to less water mass transformation and energy265
dissipation than similar instabilities in the south given the smaller vertical density gradient.266
These features are investigated below.267
b. Defining the bulk shear268
In order to estimate the near-inertial shear, we define a bulk shear from the difference269
between the current averaged over the upper layer (above the mixed layer base) and the lower270
layer (below the mixed layer base), divided by the distance between the centers of mass of271
these two layers. First, the MLD was defined for the Cook data (following the definition of272
the Dong et al. (2008) Southern Ocean MLD climatology) as the shallowest depth where the273
potential density is 0.03 kg m−3 greater than at the surface. The thickness of the layers and274
the size of the gap between them is based on a conservative estimate for the thickness of the275
high shear layer from Johnston and Rudnick (2009). As such, the upper layer defined for276
the Cook bulk shear extended from the ADCP depth bin centered at 31.5 m depth (having277
excluded the shallowest layer centered at 23.5 m due to occasional missing observations) to278
the depth closest to the MLD. The lower layer was 32 m thick. There is a gap between the279
two layers of 24 m (the portion of the water column with the highest density gradient). The280
MLD for the LMG bulk shear layers were given by the Dong et al. (2008) 1◦×1◦ climatology.281
The LMG upper layer extended from the first gridded depth at 26 m to the depth closest to282
13
the MLD. The LMG lower layer was up to 50 m thick where the data were available, with283
a 24 m gap between the two layers.284
The bulk shear time series below are presented without interpolation, with details of any285
filters used noted in the relevant captions. When the bulk shear are used in Fourier spectral286
analysis, linear interpolation within transects is used to fill in missing data. When the LMG287
data are used, the Fourier components are computed transect by transect and then averaged288
to produce the spectra, with each transect providing two degrees of freedom.289
c. Annual cycle of shear290
A comparison of the monthly-mean stratification (Fig. 3) and shear (Fig. 4) shows that291
they covary positively over the annual cycle. However, this covariance does not occur in292
a uniform spatial manner. South of the PF, the peak shear depth is generally coincident293
with the MLD (Figs. 3 and 4), but north of the PF the correspondence between MLD and294
peak shear depth is weaker. In August, for example, the shear maximum at 57◦ S is located295
around 180 m depth when the MLD is almost 100 m deeper (Fig. 4). This is likely a function296
of the difference in stratification north and south of the PF. The sharp transition layer south297
of the PF provides a greater density gradient across which the currents are more sheared298
than occurs across the diffuse thermocline north of the PF. This can result in shear up to an299
order of magnitude higher south of PF. These results illustrate the importance of buoyancy300
forcing in pre-conditioning the shear field. While the model proposed in Section 2 assumes301
that the MLD is constant over a short time scale and shear production then scales with the302
wind stress (depending on alignment of the wind and shear vectors), seasonal changes in the303
14
buoyancy profile appear to influence MLD and thus shear magnitudes.304
Firing et al. (2011) observed that the vertical shear in Drake Passage (both mean and305
time-varying) is small throughout the upper 1000 m below the mixed layer, which implies306
there is no high shear layer below that observed here.307
d. Bulk shear statistics and rotary properties308
The probability distribution functions (PDF) of S2 (Fig. 5) show that it has a non-309
Gaussian distribution with a distinctly leptokurtic profile in all seasons. This property is310
confirmed by taking the kurtosis of the distribution (Table 1), where kurtosis values of 17311
or greater are found in all seasons (versus a value of three for a Gaussian distribution).312
The highest mean values of S2 are found in summer, fall and spring (Table 1). The mean313
values in winter are somewhat lower, despite this being the season of highest wind stress and314
wind stress variance in Drake Passage (Thompson et al. 2007). The (normalised) standard315
deviations show that the degree of variation is relatively uniform throughout the year. These316
statistics confirm that enhancement of shear is an intermittent process, with bursts of high317
shear interspersed among longer intervals of much lower shear.318
Rotary spectral analysis of bulk shear provides insight to the forces affecting it in Drake319
Passage (Fig. 6 (a-c)). The inertial frequency in Drake Passage ranges from 0.070 cycles320
per hour (cph) (14.25 hour period) in the north to 0.075 cph (13.25 hours) in the south.321
The rotary spectra of the southbound Cook bulk shear peaks at an anti-cyclonic rotation322
of 0.072 cph, very close to the mean inertial frequency of 0.073 cph. There is much less323
shear variance rotating cyclonically. In the northbound transect there is a much broader324
15
anti-cyclonic spectrum peak (Fig. 6 (b)), stretching between 0.03-0.08 cph, with the peak325
located between 0.04-0.05 cph (20-25 hours), and a second smaller peak at ∼0.14 cph. The326
95% confidence intervals are, however, relatively large due to the few degrees of freedom in327
these individual transects with only the largest peaks significantly different from zero.328
The cause behind shear variance rotating close to the inertial period is wind-driven near-329
inertial oscillations in the surface layer. Bulk shear variance at lower frequencies on the330
northbound transect (Fig. 6 (b)) must have other origins. On the Cook cruise, the typical331
ship speed was 4.6 knots (∼ 8.5 km per hour). This implies that features with a 20 - 30 hour332
observed rotation period would have a spatial scale of 170 - 270 km. These values correspond333
to the observed length scales of mesoscale eddies in Drake Passage (Lenn et al. 2007) and334
suggest that, at least during the northbound Cook transect, the eddy field may contribute335
to shear at the base of the surface mixed layer. There is no evidence in the spectrum of a336
significant tidal influence.337
The magnitude of the LMG bulk shear variance differs between seasons (Fig. 6 (c)) in338
line with the means shown in Table 1. The spectra in spring and fall have a similar shape339
with a peak close to the inertial frequency and the variance falling off more slowly at lower340
frequencies. In summer and winter the peak shear variance occurs at 0.045 cph (22 hours),341
with the remainder spread broadly around this (Fig. 6 (c)). On account of the much higher342
degrees of freedom in this calculation the shear variance is shown to be significantly different343
from zero in all seasons at frequencies less than approximately 0.15 cph (6.7 hours).344
The lack of a wintertime peak at the inertial period is surprising, given that this is the345
season of greatest wind stress variance, while the winds slacken in summer (Thompson et al.346
2007). This is also the season of highest kurtosis of S2 (Table 1) and may indicate that a347
16
different regime applies in winter. This could have consequences for the range of applicability348
of the model and is considered further below. As for the Cook transects, the anti-cyclonic349
rotation of the LMG data is greater than the cyclonic rotation with 95% confidence, the350
latter of which has very low variance and is indistinguishable by season except in summer351
(Fig. 6 (c)). Taken together, the analysis here suggests that shear results from a variety of352
forcing mechanisms and the background buoyancy field.353
One factor that can be investigated in the shear generation process is interfacial friction.354
Again following BR09, the interfacial drag term can be parameterized as follows:355
cih2sS
2 = KmSif (10)356
where Km is the interfacial eddy viscosity and Sif is the interfacial shear. With Sif = 5×10−3357
s−1(±4× 10−5 s−1) taken as the mean of shear between successive ADCP depth bins in the358
high shear layer during the Cook cruise, hs = 40 m and an assumption of Km = 10−5 m2s−1359
as a typical open ocean diapycnal mixing value (Moum and Rippeth 2009). This gives an360
interfacial drag coefficient of 10−4. Furthermore, if we assume the following scale values:361
S = 10−3 s−1, Tw = 10−1 N m−2, T = 102 s, hs = 40 m and H = 100 m, then the shear362
production term P(S2) is O(10−8) while the dissipation term D(S2) is O(10−14). This scale363
analysis leads to the conclusion that interfacial shear can be neglected and suggests that the364
alignment of the relative surface wind and shear vectors is the key driver of changes in S2.365
17
5. Model evaluation366
Here, we employ a dual approach to evaluating the proposed open-ocean shear spike gen-367
eration model with the Drake Passage observations. First, we perform a detailed comparison368
of dtS2 (with the subscript denoting differentiation) and predicted shear squared production369
(P(S2)) for the two Cook transects as set out in equation (5). Second, we expand our model370
evaluation over all seasons using the LMG data to provide a statistical test of model skill.371
The Cook dtS2 series are noisy and therefore a five-hour moving average filter has been372
applied (Fig. 7 (e,f)). The dissipation of S2 by interfacial friction was shown to be in-373
significant with respect to the production of S2 in Section 4 (d) and so is omitted from the374
comparison. The southbound transect data run from hour 0900 in 2009 (12.00h Universal375
Time on 7th February 2009) and continued for nine days. The northbound transect began376
at hour 1215 in 2009 (15.00h on 20th February) and continued for five days.377
At the start of the southbound transect (in northern Drake Passage between hours 0900378
and 0975) S2 is lower compared to later in the transect (Fig. 7 (c)) and the P (S2) term379
is smaller than dtS2 (Fig. 7 (e)). From hour 0960 the magnitude of P (S2) and dtS
2 both380
increase and the model and data remain well correlated until approximately hour 1000 when381
the wind stress drops below 0.05 N m−2 resulting in model output P (S2) close to zero.382
When the wind stress picks up again from hour 1025 to hour 1100, peaks in dtS2 and P (S2)383
align and the model cycles are more pronounced (Fig. 7(e)). For example, there are near-384
coincident peaks in dtS2 and P (S2) at hours 1032, 1046 and 1090.385
The model also predicts the development of shear spikes in the northbound transect,386
despite differences in the bulk shear relative to the southbound transect highlighted by the387
18
rotary spectrum (Fig. 6 (b)). The model predicts shear production due to wind and shear388
alignment at the points of shear spiking near hours 1230, 1261 and 1323, albeit with a smaller389
magnitude than dtS2. However, the model worked best in the southbound transect. This390
is because the shear in this case was dominated by wind-forced near-inertial rotations, as391
can be seen by the shear vector rotating at the inertial frequency for much of the transect392
(Fig. 7 (g)). In the northbound transect the shear vector rotation is much more variable393
with frequent changes of direction and a number of frequencies present (Fig. 7 (h)).394
In the southbound transect the model proved a better predictor of the magnitude of395
dtS2 in the southern part of the Passage (hours 1025-1125). This is because the model396
assumes that wind accelerations are confined to the surface layer. As the stratification397
became stronger south of the PF this assumption is better justified, as it gave rise to shear398
concentrated at the base of the mixed layer where the calculation is performed. If the water399
column is lightly and continually stratified, inertial currents and shear will be distributed400
over a thicker layer, as compared to a water column that has a layer of relatively uniform401
density but with a distinct jump in density at the base of the surface layer.402
This simple model does not provide a complete prognostic description for the generation403
of shear at the base of the mixed layer and there is evidence of other processes. For example,404
the sub-inertial period shear generated near hour 1010 of the southbound Cook transect405
(Fig. 7 (c)) is due to stronger velocities in the layer below the mixed layer base (not shown),406
whereas other shear spikes at times of surface wind forcing arise from stronger velocities in407
the surface layer. This may be from the propagation of near-inertial internal waves generated408
further south. The shear variance spectra in Section 4 (d) also highlighted the role of longer409
period rotations in both directions, which may indicate shearing of mesoscale eddies or410
19
geostrophic features in all seasons in Drake Passage.411
Bathymetry may account for differences between the shear fields of the two Cook tran-412
sects. Although both transects take place in open ocean conditions the northbound transect413
was downstream of the Shackleton Fracture Zone and overlies rougher topography at depth.414
This leaves open the possibility that the large scale flow may be generating additional ver-415
tically propagating internal waves in the northbound transect.416
Given the intermittent nature of shear spikes, it is instructive to consider a statistical417
measure of the model skill using the larger LMG dataset (Fig. 6 (d)). We estimated and418
compared the magnitude-squared coherence (hereafter coherence) between (1) shear-squared419
and relative surface stress, (2) the time derivatives of the aforementioned and (3) dtS2 and420
predicted P (S2). All of the estimated coherences differed significantly from zero at 95%421
confidence. Coherence was highest between the shear-squared and relative surface stress at422
low frequencies, suggesting that longer periods of forcing will generate more shear, which is423
consistent with previous findings (Grant and Belcher 2011). However, the coherence drops424
markedly at super–inertial frequencies. Notably, the coherence between dtS2 and predicted425
P (S2) exceeded the other estimates with 95% confidence over most of the super-inertial426
frequencies resolved. In fact, the peak in the dtS2 and P (S2) coherence between 0.2 cph and427
0.3 cph corresponds to the duration of a typical shear-spike. This implies that our simple428
theoretical model can predict the intermittency of the shear spikes better than wind stress429
alone because it is at the higher frequencies where the alignment of wind and shear captured430
by the model becomes crucial.431
20
6. Diapycnal mixing potential432
The diapycnal mixing potential of shear-driven instabilities can be estimated for both433
the Cook transects by calculating Ri and then applying a statistical parameterization to434
estimate the mixing level. The Richardson number was estimated for the Cook transects435
using the MLD shear (calculated from successive ADCP depth bins, rather than the bulk436
shear). Each Ri calculation was made by dividing N2 for each profile by the maximum437
value of S2 observed closest to that station. The higher resolution (2 m) density data are438
averaged vertically to give N2 at the same (8 m) vertical resolution as the velocity data.439
The maximum value of S2 is used due to the non-linear dependence of turbulent mixing on440
high values of shear. As such, the calculation gives an upper bound to diapycnal mixing.441
The short-term variability of S2 is markedly higher than N2 (Fig. 8 (a,b)). The overall442
trend was for Ri to increase polewards with consistently low values (< 0.5) in the northern443
part of both transects (between hours 0910 and 1000 southbound and 1290 to 1320 north-444
bound, Fig. 8 (c,d)). This is notable as the value of S2 also increases polewards and shows445
that the increase in stratification polewards more than offsets the more intense shear in the446
Ri calculation and so reduces the potential for mixing.447
A statistical solution to the problem of estimating diapycnal mixing from shear and buoy-448
ancy observations of limited vertical resolution was proposed by Polzin (1996). It requires449
an assumption of a higher Ric (the critical threshold below which mixing is assumed to take450
place) to account for the upward bias in observed Ri due to the limited temporal and spatial451
resolution in the observations. Polzin (1996) examined a model proposed by Kunze et al.452
(1990) that set out the following parameterization for ε, the rate of dissipation of turbulent453
21
kinetic energy to heat:454
ε =frδz2
96〈N3(
1
Ri− 1
Ric)(
1√Ri− 1√
Ric)〉 (11)455
Here fr is the fraction of time that the water column is unstable, δz is the vertical resolution456
of the observations and angle brackets denote temporal averaging over an event. The values457
of fr have been derived empirically by Polzin (1996). Ric must be chosen to reflect the458
limited vertical resolution available and is, in general, greater than the theoretical critical459
value of 0.25. In the analysis which follows, Ric is chosen to be 0.5. This is the largest460
value for which the statistical analysis is defined. Polzin (1996) notes that the range of461
applicability of the model is where 〈S2〉\N2 (where the overbar indicates the background462
buoyancy frequency squared is used) is greater than one, which is satisfied here. The value463
of dissipation calculated can then be used to estimate the diapycnal mixing according to the464
standard parameterization:465
κρ = ΓεN−2 (12)466
where Γ is a mixing efficiency, estimated as 0.2 by Osborn (1980). This approach has been467
the most commonly used to estimate diapycnal mixing (e.g. Thompson et al. (2007)), but468
there remain significant caveats. Ivey et al. (2008) note that the mixing efficiency Γ is not469
a universal constant and becomes smaller as the turbulence becomes more intense. As such,470
this estimate is often taken as an upper bound to diffusivity (Lenn et al. 2011).471
This approach was applied to the Cook data where Ri < 0.5 to derive an upper bound on472
diffusivity (Fig. 8 (e,f)). In the intervening periods it is likely to be closer to some background473
level, presumably higher than the value of 10−5 m2s−1 often thought to be typical of the ocean474
interior (Moum and Rippeth 2009). The highest values of κρ are O(10−4) m2s−1 and are475
22
found in the northern part of the Cook transects near 58◦ S in the southbound transect (i.e.476
between hours 0940 and 1020) and near 57◦ S in the northbound transect (between hours477
1260 and 1300).478
A broader perspective is provided by a Ri analysis using the LMG data set. To account479
for the intermittent nature of the spikes in S2, the Ri are computed from each LMG transect480
and then sorted by season. The percentage of Ri from each season that fall below Ri = 1 is481
calculated per 0.1◦ latitude box (Fig. 9). This calculation is approximate due to the inferred482
salinity relationship.483
While there are some isolated high percentages of low Ri observed in the winter months,484
a clear overall pattern is present (Fig. 9). The latitude band between 58◦ and 56◦ S has the485
greatest percentage of low Ri values, with winter characterised by more low Ri than summer.486
Our results imply that while both stratification and shear are weak north of the PF, the487
observed Ri are closer to the critical threshold for instabilities to grow and mixing to occur.488
It is clear that the non-linear dependence of mixing on Ri is a crucial step in understanding489
mixing rates.490
7. Discussion491
A simple theoretical model for the generation of shear spikes in open ocean conditions492
has been derived. There is evidence that the model provides a useful prognostic tool for493
predicting the generation of shear spikes where the shear arises due to local wind forcing.494
Spikes in the production of shear were observed to be nearly coincident with the alignment495
of wind stress and shear. The model predicts that shear is generated intermittently and496
23
statistics of shear indicate that this is how it behaves year-round. The shear spikes generated497
in line with the model prediction have been shown to produce mixing much higher than498
background levels. The higher level of stratification in the near-surface layer in the south499
of Drake Passage is more typical of mid-latitude oceans than that in the north of Drake500
Passage. As the simple model proved a better predictor of shear production in the south of501
the Passage, this is encouraging for its wider applicability.502
As mesoscale eddies dominate Southern Ocean dynamics, they are also likely to influence503
the shear field, particularly in the eddy-rich north of Drake Passage (Lenn et al. 2007). Zhai504
et al. (2005), for example, showed that inertial oscillations can interact with eddies rotating505
in the same direction and thereby channel energy down into the abyssal ocean. While the506
implications of this for the shear field are not yet clear, such interactions could account for507
the significant shear variance at periods longer than the inertial period, especially if resonant508
wave-wave interactions lead to shear variance rotating at the inertial frequency being spread509
to different frequencies.510
Thompson et al. (2007) also found that the region near 57-58◦ S was where the highest511
diapycnal mixing between 100-200 m depth occurs in Drake Passage from an analysis of512
observed density overturns in the XCTD portion of the LMG dataset. This provides some513
support for the argument that shear-driven mixing is at its highest in this part of the Passage514
and therefore parameterizations based on Ri should generate the right pattern of mixing in515
Drake Passage.516
The bulk shear statistics illustrate that the large values of shear crucial for generating517
mixing are intermittent in time and the seasonal probability density distributions of shear518
display high kurtosis. This presents a challenge for modelling efforts with resolution coarser519
24
than O(10) m, as any time or space averaging is likely to reduce the value of S2 below520
the threshold for instabilities to grow. Although shear-driven mixing is a feature of widely-521
used parameterizations of upper ocean mixing such as the KPP scheme (Large et al. 1994)522
or the PWP scheme (Price et al. 1986), horizontal grid spacings on the order of tens or523
hundreds of kilometres are likely too large to capture the effect detailed here. BR09 observed524
diapycnal mixing scaling positively with S3. Furthermore, Lenn et al. (2011) found that525
intermittent mixing events had rates of energy dissipation up to three orders of magnitude526
greater than background levels. While weaker Drake Passage stratification would result in527
different scalings, it is likely that the spikes that arise from wind-shear alignment would528
drive levels of energy dissipation higher than predicted by the parameterizations, though529
this must be confirmed by direct observations.530
Acknowledgments.531
The work of Liam Brannigan was supported by an NERC MSc. Studentship and NERC532
OSMOSIS grant DCRUHN0. Yueng-Djern Lenn is an NERC Postdoctoral Fellow (NE/H016007/1)533
and the JC31 cruise to the Southern Ocean was supported by the NERC Oceans2025534
programme. The LMG time series measurements are supported by the National Science535
Foundation′s Office of Polar Programs grants ANT-9816226/0338103/0838750 (ADCP) and536
ANT-0003618/0337998/0943818 (XBT/XCTD). We thank those responsible for gathering537
the data used here: the scientific team, captain and crew of the RRS James Cook cruise to538
Drake Passage in February 2009; and all those involved in the National Science Foundation539
data-gathering program in Drake Passage and the captain and crew of the ARSV Laurence540
25
M. Gould. Ben Lincoln, Drs. Ben Moat, Shane Elipot, Louise Darroch, Chris Old and Prof.541
David Marshall also provided invaluable assistance during the course of the research.542
26
543
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30
List of Tables620
1 Statistics of S2 for the Laurence M. Gould data. The standard deviation has621
been normalised by dividing by the respective mean values. The statistics are622
calculated for the 208 transects for which corresponding hydrographic data623
were available. 32624
31
Table 1. Statistics of S2 for the Laurence M. Gould data. The standard deviation has beennormalised by dividing by the respective mean values. The statistics are calculated for the208 transects for which corresponding hydrographic data were available.
Statistic Summer Fall Winter SpringMean (s−2) 3.7× 10−6 1.8× 10−6 0.6× 10−6 1.2× 10−6
Standard deviation 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.5Kurtosis 17.2 48.2 163.3 34.4No. of transects 45 60 40 63
32
List of Figures625
1 Map of Drake Passage with bathymetry in grayscale and contour lines at626
1500 m, 3000 m and 4500 m. The two solid lines show the location of the high627
resolution James Cook transects (with the southbound transect marked as628
‘SB’ and the northbound transect as ‘NB’), while the crosses mark locations629
on the Laurence M. Gould crossings. 36630
2 Hydrographic profiles of the southbound (left panels) and northbound (right631
panels) James Cook transects. (a,b) The potential temperature profiles with632
0.1 PSU salinity contours overlain showing the contrast between the thermally633
stratified region to the north of Drake Passage and the salinity stratified region634
to the south. (c,d) The potential density profiles with contour lines every 0.1635
kg m−3. The steeper isopycnal slopes in the north of the Passage show the636
weaker stratification there. (e,f) The potential density profiles from a selection637
of individual CTD casts showing that the mixed layers are more defined in638
the south of the Passage than the north. 37639
3 Log10N2 in Drake Passage as observed on the Laurence M. Gould transects.640
N2 is calculated for each transect separately and then averaged by month.641
Values of N2 less than zero in any profile are excluded. The Dong et al.642
(2008) mixed layer depth climatology is marked by black dots. The data643
show the tendency for stratification to be stronger in the south of the Passage644
than the north and stronger in summer than winter. 38645
33
4 Log10S2 in Drake Passage showing that monthly-mean shear tends to be higher646
and more spatially concentrated in the south of the Passage and in summer.647
Shear has been calculated here between successive ADCP depth bins rather648
than as a bulk shear. The Dong et al. (2008) mixed layer depth climatology649
has been marked by black dots to illustrate the broad positive covariance650
between the shear and mixed layer depth. The mixed layer depth of 275 m at651
57◦ S in July is off the scale shown here. 39652
5 Probability distribution functions of S2 in Drake Passage where (a) shows the653
PDFs for standard deviations less than 3 and (b) extends this by showing the654
PDFs for the tail with a re-scaled y-axis. A Gaussian distribution has been655
included for comparison. These PDFs have been calculated for each season656
individually with respect to the standard deviation of that season. 40657
6 Rotary spectral analysis of the bulk shear vector in the (a) southbound, (b)658
northbound James Cook transects (where the top of the error bar is out of659
range) and (c) Laurence M. Gould seasonal bulk shear; 95% χ2 confidence660
intervals are shown. Anti-cyclonic spectra are plotted as solid lines; cyclonic661
spectra are plotted as dashed lines. (d) The spectral coherence between S2662
& |τ | (red), dtS2 & P (S2) (blue), dtS
2 & dtτ (green) is shown with 95%663
confidence intervals assuming 2 degrees of freedom for each of 161 transects664
included here. Gray shading in (a-d) indicates the range of inertial frequencies665
of Drake Passage. 41666
34
7 Observations of the wind, shear and model output in the James Cook south-667
bound (left panels) and northbound (right panels) transects: (a,b) wind stress,668
(c,d) bulk S2, (e,f) a comparison of dtS2 and P(S2) and (g,h) the direction of669
the wind (green stars) and shear (blue circles) vectors with black lines showing670
rotation at the local inertial frequency included for comparison. The direction671
is calculated relative to due north with rotation positive in a clockwise sense.672
A five hour moving average filter has been applied to the dtS2 time series in673
(e,f) and a one hour moving average filter has been applied to the shear vector674
in (g,h). Time is given in hours from midnight on 1 January 2009. 42675
8 An estimate of diapycnal mixing for the southbound (left-hand panels) and676
northbound (right-hand panels) James Cook transects: (a,b) N2 (s−2) and S2677
(s−2); (c,d) the Richardson number, with critical values Ric = 0.5 (solid line)678
and Ri = 1 (dashed). Observations where Ri < Ric and so the diffusivity679
estimate can be made have been circled; and (e,f) the estimate of κρ at points680
where it is defined by the Polzin (1996) parameterization. 43681
9 The percentage of the observed values with Ri < 1 in each 0.1◦ latitude box,682
showing that the northern part of Drake Passage in winter is most suscepti-683
ble to shear-driven instabilities. S2 has been calculated with respect to the684
Dong et al. (2008) mixed layer depth climatology, and a moving average has685
been applied over 10 km to match the 10 km interval between hydrographic686
observations. 44687
35
−1500
−3000
72oW 68
oW 64oW 60
oW 56o
W 52oW
68oS
64oS
60oS
56oS
52oS
SB
NB
Longitude
La
titu
de
Ele
va
tio
n a
bo
ve
me
an
se
a le
ve
l (m
)
−6000
−5000
−4000
−3000
−2000
−1000
0
Fig. 1. Map of Drake Passage with bathymetry in grayscale and contour lines at 1500 m,3000 m and 4500 m. The two solid lines show the location of the high resolution JamesCook transects (with the southbound transect marked as ‘SB’ and the northbound transectas ‘NB’), while the crosses mark locations on the Laurence M. Gould crossings.
36
Fig. 2. Hydrographic profiles of the southbound (left panels) and northbound (right pan-els) James Cook transects. (a,b) The potential temperature profiles with 0.1 PSU salinitycontours overlain showing the contrast between the thermally stratified region to the northof Drake Passage and the salinity stratified region to the south. (c,d) The potential densityprofiles with contour lines every 0.1 kg m−3. The steeper isopycnal slopes in the north ofthe Passage show the weaker stratification there. (e,f) The potential density profiles froma selection of individual CTD casts showing that the mixed layers are more defined in thesouth of the Passage than the north.
37
Fig. 3. Log10N2 in Drake Passage as observed on the Laurence M. Gould transects. N2 is
calculated for each transect separately and then averaged by month. Values of N2 less thanzero in any profile are excluded. The Dong et al. (2008) mixed layer depth climatology ismarked by black dots. The data show the tendency for stratification to be stronger in thesouth of the Passage than the north and stronger in summer than winter.
38
Fig. 4. Log10S2 in Drake Passage showing that monthly-mean shear tends to be higher and
more spatially concentrated in the south of the Passage and in summer. Shear has beencalculated here between successive ADCP depth bins rather than as a bulk shear. The Donget al. (2008) mixed layer depth climatology has been marked by black dots to illustrate thebroad positive covariance between the shear and mixed layer depth. The mixed layer depthof 275 m at 57◦ S in July is off the scale shown here.
39
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 30
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8P
roba
bilit
y de
nsity
(a)
SummerFallWinterSpringNormal
3 4 5 6 7 80
1
2
3
4
5
6
7x 10−3
PDF tail(b)
Standard deviations
Fig. 5. Probability distribution functions of S2 in Drake Passage where (a) shows the PDFsfor standard deviations less than 3 and (b) extends this by showing the PDFs for the tail witha re-scaled y-axis. A Gaussian distribution has been included for comparison. These PDFshave been calculated for each season individually with respect to the standard deviation ofthat season.
40
Fig. 6. Rotary spectral analysis of the bulk shear vector in the (a) southbound, (b) north-bound James Cook transects (where the top of the error bar is out of range) and (c) LaurenceM. Gould seasonal bulk shear; 95% χ2 confidence intervals are shown. Anti-cyclonic spectraare plotted as solid lines; cyclonic spectra are plotted as dashed lines. (d) The spectralcoherence between S2 & |τ | (red), dtS
2 & P (S2) (blue), dtS2 & dtτ (green) is shown with
95% confidence intervals assuming 2 degrees of freedom for each of 161 transects includedhere. Gray shading in (a-d) indicates the range of inertial frequencies of Drake Passage.
41
0
0.5
1τ
(N m
−2)
(a) Southbound
0
0.20.40.60.8
1x 10
−4
S2 (
s−2)
(c)
−6
−4
−2
0
2
4
6x 10
−9
s−3
(e)
900 925 950 975 1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125−180
−90
0
90
180
Dire
ctio
n °
(g)
Time (hours in 2009)
Northbound
(b)
Wind stress
(d)
Bulk shear squared
(f)
dtS2
P(S2)
1215 1240 1265 1290 1315Time (hours in 2009)
(h)
Wind directionShear direction
Fig. 7. Observations of the wind, shear and model output in the James Cook southbound(left panels) and northbound (right panels) transects: (a,b) wind stress, (c,d) bulk S2, (e,f)a comparison of dtS
2 and P(S2) and (g,h) the direction of the wind (green stars) and shear(blue circles) vectors with black lines showing rotation at the local inertial frequency includedfor comparison. The direction is calculated relative to due north with rotation positive in aclockwise sense. A five hour moving average filter has been applied to the dtS
2 time seriesin (e,f) and a one hour moving average filter has been applied to the shear vector in (g,h).Time is given in hours from midnight on 1 January 2009.
42
00.5
1
2
3
Ri
(c)0
2.5
5x 10−4 Southbound transect
s−2
(a)
N2 S2
900 950 1000 1050 11000
2.5
5x 10−4
Time (hours in 2009)
k ρ (m
2 s−1)
(e)
(d)
Northbound transect(b)
1220 1240 1260 1280 1300 1320Time (hours in 2009)
(f)
Fig. 8. An estimate of diapycnal mixing for the southbound (left-hand panels) and north-bound (right-hand panels) James Cook transects: (a,b) N2 (s−2) and S2 (s−2); (c,d) theRichardson number, with critical values Ric = 0.5 (solid line) and Ri = 1 (dashed). Obser-vations where Ri < Ric and so the diffusivity estimate can be made have been circled; and(e,f) the estimate of κρ at points where it is defined by the Polzin (1996) parameterization.
43
-63 -62 -61 -60 -59 -58 -57 -56 -55 -540
5
10
15
20
25
latitude
pe
rce
nt
Ri <
= 1
summer
fall
winter
spring
Fig. 9. The percentage of the observed values with Ri < 1 in each 0.1◦ latitude box,showing that the northern part of Drake Passage in winter is most susceptible to shear-driven instabilities. S2 has been calculated with respect to the Dong et al. (2008) mixedlayer depth climatology, and a moving average has been applied over 10 km to match the 10km interval between hydrographic observations.
44