3/10/2020 Surviving epidemics, pandemics, bioterrorism and COVID-19 - Are you prepared?

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Crisis consulting �rm “MOSAIC” views the COVID-19 coronavirus through the lens of security andintelligence crisis management, releasing the guide Surviving Epidemics and Bioterrorism toshow the e�cacy of biological warfare countermeasures to the present crisis.

The 21st century is proving to be a kaleidoscope of potentially humanity ending threats. The COVID-

19 virus is the latest joy peeking out of Pandora’s Box, and MOSAIC, a crisis management,

intelligence and security advisory �rm (Multi Operational Security Agency Intelligence Company), is

releasing an updated survival guide in response.

by Lima Charlie

Surviving epidemics, pandemics, bioterrorism andCOVID-19 – Are you prepared?

3/10/2020 Surviving epidemics, pandemics, bioterrorism and COVID-19 - Are you prepared?

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Y O U M I G H T B E I N T E R E S T E D I NThe second edition of a publication originally produced in 2005 in the aftermath of the anthrax

attacks, Surviving Epidemics and Bioterrorism features comprehensive information on COVID-19.

Readers will learn about the origin of the virus and prevention e�orts that can be employed to

prevent its spread.

But Surviving Epidemics doesn’t stop there.

The original MOSAIC guide was speci�cally designed for deliberately caused outbreaks, such as a

biological or chemical attack, but the authors believe that much of the content can be applicable to

naturally occurring one, such as COVID-19. “The di�erence between an outbreak and biological

warfare relates predominately to the source of the infectious disease, but the survival methods that

need to be adhered to are virtually identical.”

By viewing the COVID-19 coronavirus crisis through the lens of security and intelligence analysts and

experts, MOSAIC seeks to show the e�cacy of certain biological warfare countermeasures to the

present crisis.

Tony Schiena, a counterterrorism expert, former intelligence operative and founder of MOSAIC, told

Lima Charlie News, “When we built MOSAIC’s team, we brought together crisis management experts

that could adapt to a broad range of security threats, that included bioterrorism experts and one

senior leader in the CIA’s response to the ebola outbreak in West Africa. That team is exactly why we

are prepared for rapid response in the face of the COVID-19 virus.”

Apart from Schiena, who made headlines in 2015 for exposing ISIS use of chemical and radiological

weapons against the Kurds in Iraq, MOSAIC consists of intelligence and security experts that include

Darrell M. Blocker, former Deputy Director of the CIA’s Counterterrorism Center, and Richard

Frankel, a former FBI agent that served as the Associate Director of National Intelligence and Senior

FBI Representative to the U.S. O�ce of the Director of National Intelligence. MOSAIC reports that it

has approached the COVID-19 epidemic by analyzing its impact on, among other things, world

economies, migration, and even opportunities for organised criminal networks.

“MOSAIC has already started conducting Red Team analyses on the COVID-19 pandemic and is

identifying sectors, populations, technologies and other a�ected areas, while devising stop measures

in case the predictions crystallise,” said Schiena.

The authors of Surviving Epidemics are clear to stress that this is not doomsday planning but a very

pragmatic approach on how best to protect yourself and your family from a seemingly unlikely but

extremely serious crisis. “It must be emphatically stated that the coronavirus is not in any shape, way

3/10/2020 Surviving epidemics, pandemics, bioterrorism and COVID-19 - Are you prepared?

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The Surviving Epidemics handbook opens with a detailed introduction to COVID-19. It places COVID-

19 in a continuum with its coronavirus precursors, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). Coronaviruses consist of a core of genetic material,

enclosed within an envelope of protein spikes, which resembles a crown; corona is the latin term for

crown. Coincidentally, past strains of coronavirus were found to have genomes of a mosaic structure.

Coronaviruses are zoonotic, meaning they are transmitted between animals and people. SARS was

transmitted from civet cats to humans and MERS from dromedary camels to humans. Since

December 2019, when the World Health Organisation (WHO) was informed of a cluster of cases of

pneumonia of unknown cause detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province of China, the speci�c culprit

for COVID-19 remains unclear. Surviving Epidemics tracks through detection of COVID-19,

transmission rates, and fatality rates, clearly articulating that coronaviruses are an ongoing threat.

Coronaviruses are apparently circulating in animals that have not yet infected humans, meaning

coronaviruses could be a growing and persistent problem.

As of this writing, more than 95,100 people have been sickened by the recent coronavirus outbreak.

Of at least 3,249 deaths, all but 268 are in mainland China. Virtually every sector in the world has

been a�ected by COVID-19 with signi�cant losses occurring from business disruption.

Surviving Epidemics tracks through much of the safety measures advised by governments and experts

worldwide, which are admittedly basic and generally consists of recommendations that include

“respiratory hygiene” and “cough etiquette”, the usefulness, or lack thereof, of face masks, “social

There is almost no place on the surface of the Earth, howeverhostile the environment, in which man has not survived and

in many cases �ourished.

-John Kingsley, Introduction to Surviving Epidemics andBioterrorism

or form an example of a biological or chemical weapon, but the advice provided is logically and

practically sound for dealing with outbreaks, epidemics or pandemics.” For example, “quarantines

are amongst a number of routine responses to outbreaks, but very few are prepared for this

eventuality.”

3/10/2020 Surviving epidemics, pandemics, bioterrorism and COVID-19 - Are you prepared?

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remedies.

The initial countermeasures described in the book are meant for a limited crisis, one in which a tragic

number of people are perishing, but the functions of global capitalism do not break down. Basically:

how do you try not to become infected while still showing up to work?

The rest of the handbook, however, is meant to prepare the reader for far worse eventualities.

Humanity has not been subject to a truly devastating pandemic since the advent of modern medicine,

with the Spanish Flu in the aftermath of the First World War killing some 40-50 million people. At

the time, this was around 3% of the global population. The book argues, however, that given modern

advances in medicine and hygiene, we are currently in better conditions to withstand deadly

biochemical and radiological events than ever before in human history.

distancing” and even developing a healthy immune system that includes the use of various home

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Y O U M I G H T B E I N T E R E S T E D I NOnce past discussion about COVID-19, the book cycles to more of a survival guide, detailing

emergency procedures for biochemical and even radiological events. In that respect Surviving

Epidemics is a relatively comprehensive guide of how to prepare you, and your family, for a long term

pandemic or global tragedy, both in protecting yourself from exposure and ensuring your basic

survival needs are met. The book provides di�ering guidelines according to lengths of disruption,

ranging from one week to one year.

A section on First Aid provides emergent medical care information speci�c to biochemical and

radiological disasters, and another section details instructions for the construction of shelters. Yet

another section provides guidance on face respirators and even how to construct a rudimentary face

mask. Readers should also note the various survival pack outlines, storage information, and recipes

included towards the end of the guide. The guide, which can be downloaded for a buck from Amazon,

is a manageable 128 pages, and is densely packed with actionable items.

You miht be asking yourself, why do I need to stockpile for a year, will the government not come to help?

Also, COVID-19, radiological, biochemical terrorism … Come on, is the apocalypse going to drop on my

house speci cally? Interestingly, these two questions somewhat answer each other.

In the initial aftermath of the 2005 Hurricane Katrina, many residents of New Orleans were not as

high and dry as they might have liked. It took between 3 and 5 days for the U.S. federal government to

distribute food and water to the city’s residents, while unsanitary conditions caused the rampant

spread of infectious diseases, including an outbreak of norovirus. This might not move you to stock

up for a year, but let us think this through. Since 2005, the U.S. housing market has threatened to

trigger a global �nancial meltdown, refugees have more than doubled as a share of the global

population, and the frequency of severe weather events has continued its onward march. All this

indicates that self-reliance in the face of disaster should be a priority.

Surviving Epidemics is a guide on how best to protect yourself and your family from an extremely

serious crisis, whichever it may be. Maybe you’ll get lucky, and your crisis will be the government’s

top priority. However, if an epidemic, turned pandemic, followed by any one of a number of natural or

unnatural catastrophes comes to your door, it might take awhile for someone to reconnect the phone

lines so you can order food, or call the police.

LIMA CHARLIE WORLD

[Subscribe to our newsletter for free and be the �rst to get Lima Charlie World updates delivered right

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Lima Charlie World provides global news, featuring insight & analysis by military veterans, intelligence

professionals and foreign policy experts Worldwide.

For up-to-date news, please follow us on twitter at @LimaCharlieNews

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