Lecture 8 Chap13

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    Preparing the System Proposal

    Systems Proposal

    In order to prepare the systems proposalanalysts must use a systematic approach toidentify hardware and software needs

    Ascertaining hardware and software needs

    Identifying and forecasting costs and benefits Comparing costs and benefits

    Choosing the most appropriate alternative

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    Steps to Ascertain Hardware and Software Needs

    Inventory computer hardware currently available Estimate current and projected workload for the

    system

    Evaluate the performance of hardware and

    software using some predetermined criteria Choose the vendor according to the evaluation

    Obtain hardware and software from the vendor

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    Hardware Inventory Check

    Type of equipment: model no.,manufacturer

    Status of equipment operation

    Estimated age of equipment

    Physical location of equipment

    Department or person responsible for

    equipment

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    Criteria for Evaluating Hardware

    Time required for average transactions(including time for input and output)

    Total volume capacity of the system Idle time of the central processing unit

    Size of memory provided

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    People that Evaluate Hardware

    Management

    Users

    Systems analysts

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    Three Options for Obtaining ComputerEquipment

    Buying

    Leasing Rental

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    Buying

    Advantages Disadvantages

    Cheaper than leasingor renting over thelong run

    Initial cost is high

    Ability to changesystem

    Risk of obsolescence

    Provides taxadvantages ofaccelerateddepreciation

    Risk of being stuck ifchoice is wrong

    Full control Full responsibility

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    Leasing

    Advantages Disadvantages

    No capital is tied up Company doesnt ownthe system when lease

    expiresNo financing isrequired

    Usually a heavy penaltyfor terminating thelease

    Leases are lower than

    rental payments

    Leases are more

    expensive than buying

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    Renting

    Advantages Disadvantages

    No capital is tied up

    No financing is required

    Company doesnt own

    the computer

    Easy to change systems

    Maintenance andinsurance are usuallyincluded

    Cost is very highbecause vendor assumes

    the risk (most expensiveoption)

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    Evaluation of Vendor Support for Hardware

    Hardware support full line of hardware, quality products, warranty

    Software support

    complete software needs, custom programming, warranty

    Installation and training support commitment to schedule, in-house training, technical

    assistance

    Maintenance support

    routine maintenance procedures, specified response timein emergencies, equipment loan while repair is being done

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    Guideline for Evaluating Software

    Performance effectivenessperform all required anddesired tasks, well-designed display screens, adequatecapacity

    Performance efficiencyfast response time, efficientinput, output, storage of data and backup

    Ease of usesatisfactory user interface, help menu,ReadMe files, flexible interface, adequate feedback,good error recovery

    Flexibilityoptions for input and output, usable withother software

    Quality of documentationgood organization, adequateonline tutorial, Web site with FAQ

    Manufacturer supporttech support hot line,newsletter/email, downloadable product updates

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    Costs and BenefitsAnalysis

    Systems analysts should take tangiblecosts, intangible costs, tangible benefits,and intangible benefits into considerationto identify cost and benefits of aprospective system

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    Tangible Costs

    Tangible costs are those that can beaccurately projected by systems analystsand the business' accounting personnel

    Examples: Cost of equipment

    Cost of resources

    Cost of systems analysts' time

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    Intangible Costs

    Intangible costs are those that aredifficult to estimate, and may not beknown

    Examples: Cost of losing a competitive edge

    Declining company image

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    Tangible Benefits

    Tangible benefits are advantagesmeasurable in dollars that accrue to theorganization through use of theinformation system

    Examples:

    Increase in the speed of processing

    Access to information on a more timely basis

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    Intangible Benefits

    Intangible benefits are advantages fromuse of the information system that aredifficult to measure

    Examples: Improved effectiveness of decision-making

    processes

    Maintaining a good business image

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    Selecting the Best Alternative

    To select the best alternative, analystsshould compare costs and benefits of theprospective alternatives using

    Break-even analysis

    Payback

    Cash-flow analysis

    Present value method

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    Break-Even Analysis

    Break-even analysis is the point at whichthe cost of the current system and theproposed system intersect

    Break-even analysis is useful when abusiness is growing and volume is a keyvariable in costs

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    Break-Even Analysis

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    Payback Period(PBP)

    Payback determines the number of years ofoperation that the system needs to pay backthe cost of investing in it

    Payback is determined in one of two ways: By increasing revenues

    By increasing savings If the PBP of a project is 6 years and the

    project can exist 3 years in the fast technologychange situationit should be rejected.

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    How to determinePBP

    PAY BACK PERIOD (PBP)Investment: $ 20,000

    Amount Recovered in 2002: $ 7,312Remaining Investment to be recovered: $12,668Amount Recovered in 2003: $ 7,768Remaining Investment to be recovered: $ 4,920

    Part of 2004 Needed : 4,920/7352= 0.67(Assuming that Amount Recovered in 2004 is $7352)

    PBP = 1 + 1 + 0.67 = 2.67 YEARS

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    Payback Period

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    Three Drawbacks of the Payback Method

    It is strictly a short-term approach toinvestment and replacement decision

    It does not consider the importance of howrepayments are timed

    It does not consider total returns from theproposed systems project that may go wellbeyond the payback year

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    Cash-Flow Analysis

    Cash-flow analysis is used to examinethe direction, size, and pattern of cashflow associated with the proposedinformation system

    Determines when a company willbegin to make profit

    Determine when cash outlays and

    revenues will made up for initialinvestment

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    Cash-Flow Analysis

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    Present Value Method

    Assess all the economic outlays andrevenues of the information system overits economic life and to compare coststoday with future costs and today'sbenefits with future benefits

    Use present value when the paybackperiod is long, or when the cost ofborrowing money is high

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    Present Value Method

    Without considering present value

    Considering present value

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    Guidelines for Selecting the Best Alternative

    Use break-even analysis if the project needs to bejustified in terms of cost, not benefits or if benefitsdo not substantially improve with the proposedsystem.

    Use payback when the improved tangible benefitsform a convincing argument for the proposedsystem.

    Use cash-flow analysis when the project isexpensive relative to the size of the company.

    Use present value when the payback period islong.