Lecture 6

34
FOUNDATIONS OF RATIO AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

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FOUNDATION OF RATIOS

Transcript of Lecture 6

Page 1: Lecture 6

FOUNDATIONS OF RATIO AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

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Free Cash flow Valuation• It is a measure of financial

performance calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures.

• Free cash flow (FCF) is actually the cash that a company is able to generate after laying

out the money required to maintain or expand its asset base. It allows a company to

work on opportunities that enhance shareholder value.

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Free Cash flow Valuation• Cash is the sole resources to develop new

products, make acquisitions, retire debt, announce dividends etc

• FCF is calculated as: • EBIT(1-Tax Rate) + Depreciation & Amortization -

Change in Net Working Capital - Capital Expenditure

• It can also be calculated by taking operating cash flow and subtracting capital expenditures.

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Ratio analysis

• Ratio analysis: Comparative measurement of risk and return, facilitating intelligent investment and credit decisions. It is simply the quantitative analysis of the financial statements information.

• Focus of users: minimize risk, ensure that resources are available to assure payment of interest and principal obligations.

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RATIOS: CAUTIONARY NOTES• Economic assumptions: eliminate size

differences across firms and over time• Benchmarks: just useful for intra-industry

analysis but not for inter-industry analysis• Timing and window dressing• Negative numbers• Accounting methods: accounting methods

can affect income and balance sheet accounts

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ACTIVITY ANALYSIS

• Describe the relationship between the firm’s level of operations and the assets needed to sustain the activity.

• Higher ratio more efficient the firm’s operations

• Used to forecast a firm’s capital requirements and to assess the firm’s ability to acquire the assets needed to sustain the forecasted growth.

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COMPONENTS

• Short term activity ratios• Long term activity ratios

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SHORT TERM ACTIVITY RATIOS

inventory Average

sold goods ofCost urnoverInventoryt

• The inventory turnover ratio

• The average number of days inventory

turnoverInventory

360 tockventoryinsberofdayinAveragenum

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sreceivable Average

Sales Re urnoverceivablest

turnoversreceivable

360 tan dingareoutseceivablesberofdaysraveragenum

• The receivable turnover ratio

• The average numbers of days that receivables are outstanding

• The working capital turnover ratio

capital workingaverage

sales eritalturnovworkingcap

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payables tradeAverage

Purchases rnoverPayablestu

ratio turnover Payables

360 esysofpayablNumberofda

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LONG TERM INVESTMENT ACTIVITY RATIOS

assets totalAverage

Sales turnoverTotalasset

Fixed asset turnover = SALES / AVERAGE NET FIXED ASSETS

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• SaleSale

• Fixed asset turnover = -------------------------------------Fixed asset turnover = -------------------------------------

• Average net fixed assetsAverage net fixed assets

• SaleSale

• Fixed asset turnover = -------------------------------------Fixed asset turnover = -------------------------------------

• Average net fixed assetsAverage net fixed assets

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LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS

• Is used by short term lenders such as suppliers and creditors to assess the risk level and ability of a firm to meet its current obligations.

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5 CATEGORIES OF CURRENT ASSETS

4

5

•Inventories

•Prepaid expenses

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3 CATEGORIES OF CURRENT LIABILITIES

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• Current assets

• Current ratio = -------------------------

• Current liabilities

• Current assets

• Current ratio = -------------------------

• Current liabilities

WORKING CAPITAL RATIOS

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Current assets - InventoriesQuick ratio = ------------------------------------- Current liabilities

Current assets - InventoriesQuick ratio = ------------------------------------- Current liabilities

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• Cash + Marketable securities

• Cash ratio = -------------------------------------

• Current liabilities

• Cash + Marketable securities

• Cash ratio = -------------------------------------

• Current liabilities

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• Cash flow from Cash flow from operations

• operation ratio = -------------------------------------

• Current liabilities

• Cash flow from Cash flow from operations

• operation ratio = -------------------------------------

• Current liabilities

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LONG TERM DEBT AND SOLVENCY ANALYSIS

• Examines the firm’s capital structure in terms of the mix of its financing sources

• Examines the ability of the firm to satisfy its longer term debt and investment obligations.

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COMPONENTS

1. Debt ratios2. Interest Coverage Ratios

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CAPITALIZATION TABLE AND DEBT RATIOS

Total debt

• Debt to total capital = -------------------------------------

Total capital

or equivalent

Total debt

• Debt to equity = -------------------------------------

Total equity

Total debt

• Debt to total capital = -------------------------------------

Total capital

or equivalent

Total debt

• Debt to equity = -------------------------------------

Total equity

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INTEREST COVERAGE RATIOS

EBIT

• Times interest earned = --------------------------

• Interest expense

EBIT

• Times interest earned = --------------------------

• Interest expense

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Earnings before fixed charges

and taxes

• Fixed charge coverage = -----------------------------

• Fixed charges

Earnings before fixed charges

and taxes

• Fixed charge coverage = -----------------------------

• Fixed charges

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Average total assets

• Financial leverage = ----------------------------------

• Average total equity

Average total assets

• Financial leverage = ----------------------------------

• Average total equity

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PROFITABLITY ANALYSIS

• Measures the net income of the firm relative to its revenue and capital

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• Gross profit = Net sales – COGS• Operating profits = earnings before interest

and taxes or EBIT• Net income = earnings after taxes but before

dividends• Total capital = long term debt + short term

debt + common and preferred equity• Total capital = total assets

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Net income

• Net profit margin = ----------------------------

Revenue

Net income

• Net profit margin = ----------------------------

Revenue

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Gross profit

• Gross profit margin = ----------------------------

Revenue

Gross profit

• Gross profit margin = ----------------------------

Revenue

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EBT

• ROS = -------------------------------------

Sales

EBT

• ROS = -------------------------------------

Sales

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EBT

• ROA= -------------------------------------

Average total assets

EBT

• ROA= -------------------------------------

Average total assets

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EBT

• ROE = -------------------------------------

Average total equity

• ( Return on Equity)

EBT

• ROE = -------------------------------------

Average total equity

• ( Return on Equity)

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DUPONT SYSTEM OF ANALYSIS

• Be used to analyze return on equity (ROE)• Uses basic algebra to break down ROE into a

function of different ratios analyst can see the impact of leverage, profit margins, turnover on shareholder returns.

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ROE

ROE = (net profit margin) x (asset turnover )x (leverage ratio)

= (net income / sale) x ( sale/ assets) x (assets / equity)

ROE = (net profit margin) x (asset turnover )x (leverage ratio)

= (net income / sale) x ( sale/ assets) x (assets / equity)