Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model - are.berkeley.edufally/Courses/Econ181Lecture3a.pdf · Lecture...
Transcript of Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model - are.berkeley.edufally/Courses/Econ181Lecture3a.pdf · Lecture...
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Lecture 3a:
Specific-factor Model
Thibault FALLY
C181 – International Trade
Spring 2018
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• CHAPTER 2: Ricardian model:
• Only one factor of production: labor
• Labor is mobile across sectors
Everyone gains from trade
The next model relaxes these assumptions:
• CHAPTER 3: But what if:
• We have more than one factor of production?
• What if these factors are NOT mobile across sectors?
Then there may be losers and winners!
(unequal effects of globalization)
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• CHAPTER 3: Road map:
• Setting up the specific factor model
• Change in production and employment
• Aggregate gains from trade
• Effect on labor wages
• Effect on returns to K and Land
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Setup
• Two countries: Home and Foreign.
• Two sectors: Manufacturing and Agriculture
• Manufacturing uses labor and capital
• Agriculture uses labor and land.
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Setup
• Two countries: Home and Foreign.
• Two sectors: Manufacturing and Agriculture
• Manufacturing uses labor and capital
• Agriculture uses labor and land.
• Diminishing returns for labor in each industry:
The marginal product of labor declines if the
amount of labor used in the industry increases.
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Alternative interpretation
NOTE:
We can also use the same model and interpret “capital”
and “land” as fixed labor:
Capital: equivalent to Labor that is stuck in manufacturing
Land: equivalent to Labor that is stuck in Agriculture
Labor: Labor that is mobile across industries
Three types of labor depending on its mobility
(for the lecture, we’ll keep talking about capital and land as it’s easier to follow)
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Production function with Constant Returns to Scale:
• Manufacturing output:
such that:
),( LKFY
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
),(),( LKFLKF
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Production function with Constant Returns to Scale:
• Manufacturing output:
such that:
• This implies decreasing returns to scale if we focus
on one input:
• In each industry:
),( LKFY
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
),(),( LKFLKF
),(),( LKFLKF
),(),( LKFLKF
0
L
MPL
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Diminishing returns for labor in each industry:
(same for Agriculture: MPL decreases with production)
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Example of production function:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Example of production function:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Labor:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/1
3
2MMM LKaMPL
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPL in Manufactures:
• MPL in Agriculture: 3/1
3
2AAA LTaMPL
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Example of production function:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Labor:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/1
3
2MMM LKaMPL
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPL in Manufactures:
Increases with
• MPL in Agriculture:
Increases with
3/1
3
2AAA LTaMPL
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
MLK
ALT
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Example of production function:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Capital and Land:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPK in Manufactures:
• MPT in Agriculture:
3/2
3
1KLaMPK MM
3/2
3
1TLaMPT AA
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Example of production function:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Capital and Land:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPK in Manufactures:
Decreases with
• MPT in Agriculture:
Decreases with
3/2
3
1KLaMPK MM
3/2
3
1TLaMPT AA
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
MLK
ALT
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A)
C)D)
B)How does it look like
in this case?
Production Possibility Frontier:
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A)
C)D)
B)How does it look like
in this case?
Production Possibility Frontier:
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If one worker moves from A to B
(i.e. from Ag to Manufacturing):
Change in QA = - MPLA
Change in QM = + MPLM
PPF
Slope of PPF reflects the opportunity cost of manuf. output:
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If one worker moves from A to B
(i.e. from Ag to Manufacturing):
Why does the slope increase?
PPF
Slope of PPF reflects the opportunity cost of manuf. output:
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Slope of PPF reflects the opportunity cost of manuf. output:
If one worker moves from A to B:
Why does the slope increase?
MPLA increases and MPLM decreases
PPF
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Slope of PPF
Why does the slope increase from point A to B?
• Slope equals MPLA/MPLM
• As LA decreases, MPLA increases
• As LM increases, MPLM decreases
Hence the ratio increases!
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Labor market and relative prices
• Labor is mobile across sectors
• Hence wages are equalized:
• And should be the same across sectors. Hence:
= Slope of the PPF
AA
MM
MPLPW
MPLPW
M
A
A
M
MPLMPL
PP
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
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Equilibrium in Autarky:
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
Autarky Equilibrium:tangency between PPF and
indifference curve
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Equilibrium in Autarky:
1 Setup of Factor-Specific Model
Autarky Equilibrium:tangency between PPF and
indifference curve
In contrast to Ricardian model,
preferences affect equilibrium
relative price!
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• CHAPTER 3: Road map:
• Setting up the specific factor model
Change in production and employment
• Aggregate gains from trade
• Effect on labor wages
• Effect on returns to K and Land
![Page 25: Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model - are.berkeley.edufally/Courses/Econ181Lecture3a.pdf · Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model Thibault FALLY C181 –International Trade Spring 2018](https://reader030.fdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022040417/5d51648988c993df708b7a06/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
The Foreign Country
New world price?
• Let us assume that Home has a comparative advantage
in manufacturing
Equivalent to assuming that the Home no-trade relative
price of manufacturing is lower than Foreign rel. price:
(PM /PA) < (P*M /P*A).
2 Effect of Trade on production
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The Foreign Country
Effect on production?
New world price:
(PM /PA) < (PM /PA)W < (P*M /P*A).
• Let us assume that Home has a comparative advantage
in manufacturing
Equivalent to assuming that the Home no-trade relative
price of manufacturing is lower than Foreign rel. price:
(PM /PA) < (P*M /P*A).
2 Effect of Trade on production
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New relative price
2 Effect of Trade on production
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New production mix
New relative price
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
In the next example with Cobb-Douglas production,
I would like to show you:
• How to link ratio of MPL to employment
• How to link ratio of MPL to prices
How to link employment to prices
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Labor:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/1
3
2MMM LKaMPL
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPL in Manufactures:
• MPL in Agriculture: 3/1
3
2AAA LTaMPL
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
• Manufactures:
• Agriculture:
Marginal product of Labor:
3/23/1
AAA LTaY
3/1
3
2MMM LKaMPL
3/23/1
MMM LKaY
• MPL in Manufactures:
• MPL in Agriculture:
Slope of PPF:
3/1
3
2AAA LTaMPL
3/1
3/1
3/1
A
M
M
A
M
A
L
L
Ka
Ta
MPL
MPLSlope
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
• Slope of PPF:
3/1
3/1
3/1
A
M
M
A
M
A
L
L
Ka
Ta
MPL
MPLSlope
Constant term x Employment ratio
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
• Slope of PPF:
• At equilibrium:
• How does a change in prices affects ?
3/1
3/1
3/1
A
M
M
A
M
A
L
L
Ka
Ta
MPL
MPLSlope
A
M
P
PSlope
M
A
LL
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Quantitative example:
• Slope of PPF:
• At equilibrium:
• How does a change in prices affects ?
3/1
3/1
3/1
A
M
M
A
M
A
L
L
Ka
Ta
MPL
MPLSlope
A
M
P
PSlope
M
A
LL
3
3
33/1
3/1
3/1
M
A
M
A
M
A
A
M
M
A
A
M
P
P
Ka
Ta
L
L
L
L
Ka
Ta
P
P
2 Effect of Trade on production
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Clicker question:
If the relative price of manufacturing goods increases
by 1%, relative employment in manufacturing
increases by:
a) A negative percentage, i.e. decreases!!
b) Increases by 1%
c) Increases by 0.33%
d) Increases by 3%
AM LL
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Answer:
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Answer:
If the relative price of manufacturing goods increases
by 1%, relative employment in manufacturing
increases by:
d) Increases by 3%
AM LL
![Page 38: Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model - are.berkeley.edufally/Courses/Econ181Lecture3a.pdf · Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model Thibault FALLY C181 –International Trade Spring 2018](https://reader030.fdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022040417/5d51648988c993df708b7a06/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Quantifying changes with exponents, etc.:
• Suppose
• If X increases by 1% then Z increases by β %.
• If Z increases by 1% then X increases by 1/β %.
XaZ
• Suppose
• If X increases by x %
• If Y increases by y %
Then Z increases by: x+y %.
YXZ .
Some useful algebra…
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• CHAPTER 3: Road map:
• Setting up the specific factor model
• Change in production and employment
Aggregate gains from trade
• Effect on labor wages
• Effect on returns to K and Land
![Page 40: Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model - are.berkeley.edufally/Courses/Econ181Lecture3a.pdf · Lecture 3a: Specific-factor Model Thibault FALLY C181 –International Trade Spring 2018](https://reader030.fdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022040417/5d51648988c993df708b7a06/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Overall Gains from Trade?
• We start by looking at the average consumer
3 Gains from Trade
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New production mix
New relative price
3 Gains from Trade
Supply side:
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New equilibrium consumption
New budget line
Demand side:
3 Gains from Trade
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Clicker Q:
Trade for the
Home country is…?
a) XM = 5, MA = 20; b) XM = 20, MA = 20;
c) XM = 15, MA = 35; d) XM = 20, MA = 15;
25
15
50
030 40
30
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Overall Gains from Trade
So far, things are not very different from Ricardo:
New world price:
(PM /PA) < (PM /PA)W < (P*M /P*A).
• Manufacturing goods are exported,
• Agricultural goods are imported
• For an average consumer, Home is better off with trade.
3 Gains from Trade
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Gains for everyone?
• When there are gains from trade on average, it does not
imply that everyone gains from trade
• The interesting part of the model is to examine what
happens to the return to each factor:
1) Labor wage
2) Rental rate of Capital and Land
Do workers gain? Do land and capital owner gain?
3 Gains from Trade
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• CHAPTER 3 – Next lecture (part 2):
• Setting up the specific factor model
• Change in production and employment
• Aggregate gains from trade
Effect on labor wages?
Effect on returns to Capital and Land?