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![Page 1: Leading During Times of Scarcity: Changing Conditions at the Top of the State Larry Kiley, PhD - Ex. Director, Rural Schools Association of NYS John W.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062423/56649e2d5503460f94b1d902/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Leading During Times of Scarcity: Changing
Conditions at the Top of the State
Larry Kiley, PhD- Ex. Director, Rural Schools Association of NYS
John W. Sipple, PhD- Director, NYS Center for Rural Schools
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Our Goals
- To describe the broad context of NYS- To narrow in on the “Top of the State”- To share our thoughts on the current
Challenges, Advantages, Opportunities for leadership in your school districts
- To share new resources for you.
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Small District Summit
• March 25th - Syracuse NY• 28 School districts serving fewer than
500 students• Focus on current trends and future
pressures• Desire to continue the conversation with
larger districts in regional settings.
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Major Changes from 1990 to 2000: Fewer Youth 1-9;
More Teens, 10-19; Fewer Young Adults 20-34; More Mid-Aged 35-64; Fewer Seniors 65-74; More
Elderly 75 & Over
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Job Change
• 1950 – 40% of upstate workers employed in manufacturing
• 2009 – less than 20% - closer to 15% work in manufacturing– 70% of Rural New Yorkers employed in
the service industry
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Economic Impact(Personal Income)
• Increasing levels of poverty – average 11% closing in on national average of 12.4%
• Personal Income has grown at ½ the national average – lagged the country by 11%
• Workers receive lower wages than counterparts nationwide
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School Impact
• Number of High Need Rural School Districts grew from 144 in 2004 to 158 in 2009– More than 36% - Free & Reduced Lunch
Count– Having lowest average expenditure per pupil
($12,975)– Lowest mean CWR (.48 or less)– Highest state aid ratio (66.8 or more)
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Student Population
• Declined at rate of 1% per year since the year 2000
• Rate of decline in High Need Rurals is 1.5% per year since the year 2000
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Economic Impact(Property)
• Property Values on the Increase – particularly Adirondack Park and Catskill Mountains
• In Migration – Metro New York– Relocation– 2nd Homes
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Changing Demographics
• Expectations and Interest of Long Term Residents
• Expectations and Interests of New Residents
• Fastest growing Sub population is Hispanic– What does it mean?
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Rural Schools
• Advantaged? Disadvantaged?– Size– Capacity– Expertise– Expectation– Isolation
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Pressures?
• Two state commissions
• Economy falling off cliff
• Declining Enrollments
• Weakening property values
• Stagnant state-aid
• High academic standards
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County Population Change1990-2000
Source: Program on Applied Demographics, Cornell University
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County Population Projections2000-2030
Source: Program on Applied Demographics, Cornell University
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Program on Applied Demographics
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Table View
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Assessed Value/Pupil
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Income/Pupil
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School Tax Rate (%)
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What to do?
• Program – Look inside and out• Any ‘Excess’ Capacity
– Space, Staff, Healthcare, Pre-K, Technology
• Reorganization (consolidation)
• Functional Consolidation (sharing)
• Inter-municipal Agreements (collaborating)
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SBHCs: My Experience
• The first and only “reform” that has absolute, uniform buy-in from school personnel who have one.
• Collaboration is built on trust and common goals.
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Where are they?
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1998 Ratio of UPK Slots to 4 yr olds
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% of 4-year-olds in Pre-K (All Districts)
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Non-School Resources
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Empire State Poll (2009)
• If merger resulted in improved academic and after-school activities, how supportive of merger?• 69% NYS, 59% Rural
• If merger resulted in reduced property taxes, • 52% support, 29% not support (rural only)
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Empire State Poll (2009)
How can schools help local community?• Improve preparation for college
• 58% NYS, 48% Rural
• Improve preparation for local employment• 22% NYS, 25% Rural
• Desire no change• 20% NYS, 27% Rural
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Empire State Poll (2009)
Among these choices, what would best help your local community? If schools provide...
• PreK - 27% NYS, 20% Rural
• Healthcare - 25% NYS, 27% Rural
• Services for immigrant children - 6% NYS, 7% Rural
• Services for Parents - 14% NYS, 14% Rural
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New York State Center for Rural Schools
Three Components• Facilitation - Will act as a clearinghouse
and conduit to ensure that the needs of rural schools and communities are heard and met
• Capacity - Expertise, Data, and Access to Data
• Research - Guided by REAC and the Field
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Access to Data & Contact Info
• http://pad.human.cornell.edu
• http://www.schooldatadirect.org
• http://RSANYS.org
• http://NYRuralSchools.org
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Questions
• What are the implications of what you heard today? For leadership in your schools? Communities?
• What can you take away that might help frame how you move forward?
• What are your priority areas?