LAFAYETTE COLLEGE INVESTMENT CLUB April 11 th. MARKET UPDATE 4/11.

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LAFAYETTE COLLEGE INVESTMENT CLUB April 11 th

Transcript of LAFAYETTE COLLEGE INVESTMENT CLUB April 11 th. MARKET UPDATE 4/11.

Page 1: LAFAYETTE COLLEGE INVESTMENT CLUB April 11 th. MARKET UPDATE 4/11.

LAFAYETTE COLLEGE INVESTMENT CLUB

April 11th

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MARKET UPDATE

4/11

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Fed Worried About Low Inflation Hoping for an increase in inflation from

1% to 2% Worried about the risk of deflation Deflation could restrain firm’s

investment and hiring capabilities Central Bank officials do not expect an

increase until late 2015

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Markets Down

NASDAQ: Dropped 3.2% to 4052 S&P 500: Economists forecast a decline

in the first quarter from last year Dow Jones: Down 252 points to 16,191

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China

Exports down 6.6% on the year Imports dropped 11.3% Shanghai Composite up 1.4% Currency has fallen 2% against the

Dollar

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Europe

Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.5% Bank of England left Benchmark

unchanged as expected Greece wraps up first long term bind sale

in four years to strong demand

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Economic Data

Jobless Benefit Claims down 32,000 to 300,000

Winter has kept job creation at a slow pace

Continuing Unemployment claims dropped 62,000 to 2,776,000

192,000 jobs created in March

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PORTFOLIO UPDATE(WITH TASTE OF SUMMER HEDGE)

George Rakic & Portfolio Co.

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Portfolio Update

Sector NameDollar

amountWeight Benchmark

Information Technology Hardware

$83108.9

19% 18.70%

Financials$46049.

0610% 16.40%

Health Care$77709.

318% 13.40%

Consumer Discretionary$75897.

317% 12.20%

Industrials $44536 10% 10.70%

Energy$44688.

810% 10.10%

Consumer Staples$35254.

268% 9.60%

Materials$16328.

254% 3.50%

Utilities 0 0% 3.00%Telecommunication Services $19492 4% 2.40%

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Portfolio Update

Sector NameDollar

amountWeight Benchmark

Information Technology Hardware

$83108.9

19% 18.70%

Financials$46049.

0610% 16.40%

Health Care$77709.

318% 13.40%

Consumer Discretionary$75897.

317% 12.20%

Industrials $44536 10% 10.70%

Energy$44688.

810% 10.10%

Consumer Staples$35254.

268% 9.60%

Materials$16328.

254% 3.50%

Utilities 0 0% 3.00%Telecommunication Services $19492 4% 2.40%

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Plan for upcoming weeks

Get more utilities and financials

Sell some Consumer Discretionary and Helath Care

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Taste of Summer

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Taste of Summer

…hedge

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What is a hedge?

Fancy term for CYA strategy

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How to do that?

Use equities Use other financial instruments

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Equities (stocks)

Don’t be too invested in any specific stock

Bet on stocks that don’t move with the market

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Don’t be too invested in any specific stock

GE 4.83% GILD 4.12%

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SELL

100 GILD @ $65.48 (out of 300)

250 GE @ $25.58 (out of 900)

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Utilities:

S&P 500: 3%Investment Club:

0%

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Buy 220 Shares at $45.53

By Kyle Lievre

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Company SummaryThe American Water Works Association is a company based out of

New Jersey that provides drinking water and wastewater treatment to the United States and Canada.

AWK owns: -80 surface water treatment plants -500 groundwater treatment plants -1,000 groundwater wells -100 wastewater treatment facilities -1,200 treated water storage facilities -1,300 pumping stations -87 dams -47,000 miles of mains and collection pipes

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The American Water Works Association generates revenues from:

-residential customers-shops and businesses-industrial customers-government and public sector facilities-other water utilities-public fire hydrants and private fire customers for use in fire

suppression systems-United States military-municipalities-the food and beverage industry

Who does AWK Serve?

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Competitors

  AWK AWR VEMarket Cap 8.12B 1.21B 10.65B

Revenue 2.90B472.08

M 28.89B

EBITDA 1.35B160.04

M 2.52BProfit Margin 12.73% 13.28% -0.61%EPS 2.06 1.61 0.07P/E 22.08 19.34 292.94

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Five Year Performance Against Competitors

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YTD Performance Against Competitors

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Why Buy American Water Works?

- American Water Works is a good value compared to its competitors

- Pays Quarterly Dividends- The Investment Club’s portfolio currently has NO

utilities- Increased Demand for water over the summer- People will always need water – A good hedge

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Risks

-CEO is being replaced by CFO, new CFO is coming in

-CEO and CFO do not personally own stock in the company

-Government Regulation

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The Benefits Offset the Risks, making AWK a good stock to buy.

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Buy 220 Shares at MarketPrice of $45.53

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SALES AND TRADINGTHE GUTS & GLORY

By: Timothy C. Simon

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“The Investment Bank”Sell-Side Review

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What the floor typically looks like….

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Typical View of S&T Screen

Multiple Programs Multiple Screens

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What is Sales and Trading?

Sales and trading is one of the key functions of an investment bank.

The term refers to the various activities relating to the buying and selling of securities or other financial instruments.

Typically an Investment Bank will perform these tasks on behalf of itself and its clients.

In “Market Making” - traders will buy and sell financial products primarily to facilitate the investment and trading activities of its clients with the goal of making an incremental amount of money on each trade.

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Sales

The Sales component refers to the investment bank's sales force, whose primary job is to call on institutional and high-net-worth investors to suggest trading ideas and take orders.

Sales desks then communicate their clients' orders to the appropriate trading desks, who can price and execute trades, or structure new products that fit a specific need.

Sales is a core area of any investment bank, comprising the vast majority of people and the relationships that account for a substantial portion of any investment banks revenues.

The institutional salesperson manages the bank's relationships with institutional money managers such as mutual funds or pension funds. Institutional sales is often called research sales, as salespeople focus on selling the firm's research to institutions. 

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Trading

Trading - “Trading” is a nebulous term, so let’s fix that by discussing the two basic types first: agency trading and prop (proprietary) trading. Agency Trading: You simply execute orders for the client

– you’re merely an “agent” doing what he/she wants and do not have (much) freedom.

Prop Trading: You are the principal and can make whatever trades you want, using your own money – within your trading mandate and risk limits.

Types of Traders Block Trader Sales-Trader Structured Product Trader

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Research Analysts

Research – Analysts are commonly divided between the two basic kinds of securities: equity analysts (researching stocks and their issuers) and fixed income analysts (researching bond issuers). Security analysts are usually further subdivided by industry

specialization (or sectors) -- among the industries with the most analyst coverage are biotech, financial services, energy, and software services, etc.

Traditionally, analysts use fundamental analysis principles but technical chart analysis and tactical evaluation of the market environment are also routine.

Often at the end of the assessment of analyzed securities, an analyst would provide a rating recommending an investment action, e.g. to buy, sell, or hold the security.

Debate still exists about the way sell-side analysts are paid. Usually brokerage fees pay for their research. But this creates a temptation for analysts to act as stock sellers and to lure investors into "overtrading."

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Equity Research

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The Breakdown FICC, Equities, and Securitized Products

FICC

Fixed Income Treasury Notes/Bonds Muni’s Corporate High Yield/Junk

Currencies

Commodities

Equities

Cash Trading

Program Trading

Electronic Trading

Flow Derivatives

Convertibles

Securitized Products

MBS

CMBS

RMBS

ABS

Rates

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Trivia Question

First person to answer the question will receive an official Lafayette Investment Club Fleece.