Labor Trends

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Department of Workforce Development

Labor Trends

in

Northwest Wisconsin

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•In the last 20 years the population increased 6% and the labor force expanded 25%.

•The northwest population is growing primarily from new residents who move to the area.

•The population in NW Wisconsin is projected to increase 7% by 2020 … but the labor force will increase only 3 - 4%.

•By 2020, 23 percent of the population will be over the age of 65.

Population and Labor Force

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Historic and ProjectedPopulation and Labor Force

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Source: WI Dept of Admin, Demographic Services, DWD Local Area Unemployment Statistics, OEA

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Components of population change in Northwest

Wisconsin: 2000 - 2005

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

Total Natural

increase

Migration

Northwest

Wisconsin

UnitedStates

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NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2000

5%17%

55%

83%85%

86%

69%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

16 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 -74 75 +

Population

Labor force

Age groups

= 89,700

Source: US Census 2000

=143,026

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Labor Force Participation in 2000 Wisconsin = 69.1%

United States = 63.9%

54 – 60 Percent

61 – 70 Percent

66 – 70 Percent

Greater than 71%

Source: US Census Bureau, Census 2000

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Labor Force Participation by Age Group

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

16-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-44 45-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70+

Northwest Wisconsin US

Source: Census 2000

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NW Wisconsin Population & Labor Force by Age in 2015

6%21%

57%

85%

88%85%

71%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

16 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 -74 75 +

Population

Labor force

Age groups

= 97,600

Source: special tabulation using Census 2000 & WI Demographic Services population projections

= 158,450

62%

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Labor Force Distribution by Age

13,683 13,982 10,593

16,267 18,48218,175

45,656 44,22538,249

10,58517,119

19,119

6,5913,521

4,677

2000 2010 2020

65+

55-65

35-54

25-34

16-24

89,700 98,500 92,700

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Civilian Non-institutional Population

Not in the labor force

16+ years old = labor force age

population

Under 16 years old

Not interested in

work

Civilian Labor Force

Working or looking for work

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64.5%

4.0%

31.5%

Discouraged workers

Retired workers

Students

Family responsibilities

Job losersJob

leaversNew entrants & re-entrants

Unpaid family workers

Self-employed workers

Full time workers

Part time workers

Temporary workers

Employed

Not in labor force

Unemployed

68.5% of the population aged 16 yrs or more is either

employed or unemployed

Northwest labor force participation rate -

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Labor Force, Employment & Jobs

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Labor forceHshld. employment

Nonfarm jobs

Source: WI DWD, Bureau of Workforce Information

------16%------

------25%------

---3%---

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•An average of 92,840 residents in NW Wisconsin were employed in 2005, including self-employed, farmers, owner/operators, and job-holders.

•There was an average of 74,200 jobs in 2005 - a new high – in NW Wisconsin.

•Female workers out-number male workers in NW Wisconsin: 50.6 vs 49.4%

•43% of the workers in NW Wisconsin are aged 45 years or over.

•60% of all workers with a Bachelor’s degree or more are aged 45 years or over.

Labor Force and Jobs

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Nonfarm Jobs Added 1980-1990

Northwest Wisconsin

Finance, Ins.

Real Estate

4% Manufacturing34%

Construction &

Mining

5%

Total Trade

24%

Services &

Misc.

33%

Source: DWD, Small County Employment Estimates, 2006

Total = 7,920

Transportation, Comm, Utilities -510

Government -120

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Nonfarm Jobs Added 1990-2000

Northwest Wisconsin

Finance, Ins.

Real Estate

3%

Manufacturing

10%

Construction &

Mining

12%

Total

Government

22%

Trans, Comm,

Utilities

5%

Total Trade

22%

Services &

Misc.

19%

Casino

7%


Total = 14,511

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Nonfarm Jobs Added in 2005Northwest Wisconsin

Financial

activities

9%

Manufacturing

13%

Constr & nat.

resources

18%Info/prfsnl-bus.

& othr. serv.

Whsl-Retail

Trade

9%

Transpo/wrhsg/

utilities

12%

Government

0%

Leisure &

hospitality

7%

Ed & health

services

20%


Total = 700

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Total nonfarm jobs in Northwest Wisconsin

68,000

69,000

70,000

71,000

72,000

73,000

74,000

75,000

76,000

77,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

4,50

0

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Nonfarm Jobs in 2005Northwest Wisconsin

Financial

activities

4%

Manufacturing18%

Constr & nat.

resources

5%

Info/prfsnl-bus.

& othr. serv.

12%

Transpo/wrhsg/

utilities

5%

Whsl-Retail

Trade

15%

Government

22%

Leisure &

hospitality

12%

Ed & health

services

7%


Total = 74,230

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10 Largest Industry Sectors-45% of the jobs-

Ambulatory Health Care Services

Food and Beverage Stores

Truck Transportation

Hospitals

Food Manufacturing

Education services

Executive, Legislative, & General Government

Food Services & Drinking Places

Wood Product Mfg

Nursing and Residential Care Facilities

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Greater share of employment than in U.S.

(higher location quotient)Sector name LQ NW% US%

Manufacturing 31 1.2 2.6%2.2%

Manufacturing 32 2.9 10.7%3.7%

Retail trade 44 1.0 9.9%9.4%

Transportation 1.5 4.1%2.7%

Arts, Entertainment, Recreation 1.3 2.2%1.7%

Accommodation & Food Service1.1 10.6%9.8%

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311 Food 312 Beverage &

tobacco 314 Textile

products 315 Apparel 316 Leather &

related 321 Wood 322 Paper 323 Printing &

support 324 Petroleum &

coal 325 Chemical 326 Plastics &

rubber 327 Nonmetalic

mineral

481 Air 482 Rail 483 Water 484 Truck 485 Transit & ground

passenger 486 Pipeline 487 Scenic & sightseeing 488 Support activities

441 Motor vehicle & parts

442 Furniture & home 443 Electronics &

appliance 444 Bldg mat. & garden

equip. 445 Food & beverage 446 Health & personal

care 447 Gasoline 448 Clothing &

accessories

711 Performing arts, spectator sports

712 Museums, historical sites 713 Amusements, gambling 721 Accommodation 722 Food & drinking

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Age of Workers with Northwest Employers

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

14-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

2001 2002 2003 2004

Age group

Source: US Census, Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics

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0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Male Female

Age group


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99Age group

Turn-over

Age of Workers withNorthwest Manufacturers

All = 4.2%

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0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Male Female

Age group


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99Age group

Turn-over

Age of Workers withNorthwest Health Care Providers

All = 7.8%

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Male Female

Age group


0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99Age group

Turn-over

Age of Workers withNorthwest Retailers

All = 9.3%

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0

200

400

600

800

1,000

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99

Male Female

Age group


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-99Age group

Turn-over

Age of Workers withNorthwest Accommodation and Food Service

All = 15.6%

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Sex of Workers with NW Employers

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Const &Nat.Rsrcs

Mfg Trade Transp &Util

Finan. &RE

Info, Prf& Bus,Othr

Education Healthcare

Accom. &Food Srv

Pub.Adm.

Male Female


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1,000+

500-999

250-499

100-249

50-99

20-49

10-19

5-9

1-4

No. of employees

Northwest Wisconsin estalishments and workers by employment size range in 2004

2,556

1,147

691

437

160

76

24

5

0

01,0002,0003,000

Number of establishments by size range

5,728

7,499

9,173

13,016

10,869

11,303

8,629

2,990

0

0 5,000 10,000 15,000

Number of workers by size

88%

17%

32%

>1%

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$20,179 – $24,999

$25,000 – $28,999

$29,000 – $33,999

$34,000 – $39,920

2004 Annual Average Wage

Source: DWD, BWI, Census of Employment & Wages

U. S. - $39,348

Wisconsin - $34,749

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Occupation Projections

Employment by industry from Quarterly Census of Employment &

Wages

Industry-occupation

matrix

Occupation Employment Survey identifies occupations

employed in specific industries

Used for monthly employment

estimates

Industry demand projected Hourly

wagesEstimate for self-

employed

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Occupation group distribution & wages

$16.56

$17.72

$23.40

$10.61

$7.58

$11.12

$10.61

$15.41

$13.00

$12.58

$19.65

$21.25

$29.51

$11.39

$13.21

$15.00

$14.12

$8.12

$12.96

$19.18

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Trans & Movers

Maint./Prod.

Construction

Office/Admin

Sales

Food service

Other service

Healthcare

Professional

Mgmt & Bus. Wisconsin

Northwest

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Nonfarm Jobs: Actual & Projected

2012

49,736

74,22972,164

57,829

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Actual jobs Trend 2012 projected

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Industry projections 2002 - 2012

396,340

8,250

26,590

34,660

26,590

22,390

18,440

23,850

16,800

59,950

131,100Milw-WOW 15.7%

South Central 14.5%

Southwest 14.3%

West Central 13.9%

Western 13.7%

Southeast 13.4%

North Central 13.4%

Wisconsin 13.3%

Fox Valley 12.2%

Bay Area 11.9%

Northwest 11.8%

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NW Job Growth by Industry 2002-2012

Education &

Health Services

40%

Public Admin.

3%

Constr. & Nat.

Resources

8%

Manufacturing

5%Trade

11%

Transporting &

Utilities

6%

Financial

Activities

4%

Info, Prfsnl &

Bus. Services

11%

Leisure &

Hospitality

12%

Total projected increase - 8,250 jobs

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Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2002

Admin. Support

16%

Education

related

6%

Other

professional

6%

Mgmt &

Business

6% Healthcare

related

7%

Other service

9%Sales related

9%

Food service

10%

Transporting &

Mat. moving

9%

Maintenance &

Production

17%

Nat. resources &

Construction

5%

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Occupation Distribution in Northwest WI in 2012

Admin. Support

15%

Education

related

6%

Other

professional

6%

Mgmt &

Business

6% Healthcare

related

8%

Other service

9%

Sales related

9%

Food service

10%

Transporting &

Mat. moving

9%Maintenance &

Production

16%

Nat. resources &

Construction

6%

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Projected new jobs: 2002 - 2012

0 50 100 150 200

Transporting & Mat. moving

Maintenance & Production

Nat. Resources & Construction

Clerical & Admin. Support

Sales related

Other service

Food service

Other professional

Education related

Healthcare related

Management & Business

NorthwestWisconsin

Source: WI, Office of Economic Advisors, October 2004

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16 occupations with most new jobs

Truck Drivers, Heavy

Nursing Aides Registered Nurses Cashiers Retail

Salespersons Waiters/Waitresses Comb. Food Prep.

(incl. fast food) Carpenters

Personal & Home Care Aides

Janitors & Cleaners Office Clerks/General Bartenders Maids/Housekeeping

Cleaners Sales Reps, Whlsl & Mfg General & Operations Mgrs Maintenance & Repair

Workers, General

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Occupations with most new jobs 2002-2012 (annual openings)

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Truck Drivers,Heavy

Nursing Aides

Registered Nurses

Cashiers

Retail Salespersons

Waiters/Waitresses

Comb. Food Prep.

Carpenters

Personal Care Aides

Janitors & Cleaners

Office Clerks/General

Bartenders

Maids/Housekpg Cleaners

Sales Reps, Whlsl & Mfg

General & Operations Mgrs

Maint. & Repair Workers, Gen.

New

Replacements

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Projected annual openings: 2002 - 2012

0 100 200 300 400

Transporting & Mat. moving

Maintenance & Production

Nat. Resources & Construction

Clerical & Admin. Support

Sales related

Other service

Food service

Other professional

Education related

Healthcare related

Management & Business NorthwestWisconsin

Source: WI, Office of Economic Advisors, October 2004

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16 occupation with most openings

Cashiers Waiters/Waitresses Retail Salespersons Truck Drivers,

Heavy/Tractor-Trailer Comb. Food Prep.

Including fast food

Nursing Aides Registered Nurses Bartenders

Carpenters Office Clerks/General Laborers-Freight, Stock,

Material Movers: Hand Personal & Home Care

Aides Janitors/Cleaners Maids/Housekeeping

Cleaners Sales Reps, Whlsl/Mfg Elementary School

Teachers, not Special Ed

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Occupations with most annual openings 2002-2012

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Cashiers

Waiters/Waitresses

Retail Salespersons


Comb. Food Prep.

Nursing Aides

Registered Nurses

Bartenders

Carpenters

Office Clerks/General

Laborers/Movers: Hand

Home Care Aides

Janitors/Cleaners

Maids/Housekpng Clnrs

Sales Reps, Whlsl/Mfg

Elem. School Teachers

New

Replacements

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16 Occupations with greatest % increase

Home Health Aides Personal Care Aides Social/Human Service

Assistants Registered Nurses

Preschool Teachers Electricians Receptionists &

Information Clerks Bus Drivers, School

Child Care Workers Counter and Rental

Clerks Plumbers, Pipefitters,

Steamfitters Hairdressers/

Cosmetologists Carpenters Truck Drivers, Heavy &

Tractor-Trailer Nursing Aides Child/Family/School

Social Workers

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Jobs added annually by occupations with fastest

growth

0 15 30 45 60 75 90

Home Health Aides

Personal Care Aides

Social Serv. Assits

Registered Nurses

Preschool Teachers

Electricians

Recept. & Info. Clrks

Bus Drivers, School

Child Care Workers

Counter & Rental Clerks

Plumbers/Pipefitters

Cosmetologists

Carpenters


Nursing Aides

Fam./School Social Wrkrs

New

Replacements

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Distribution of jobs by training: 2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mfg Health care Education

Short-termOJT

Moderate-term OJT

Long-termOJT, Voc,Assoc. dgr.

Work expin occ

Bachelor'sdegree

More thanbachelor's

Source: WI DWD, Office of Economic Advisors, Employment Projections

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Distribution of jobs by training: 2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Retail Accom & Fd Ser All industries

Short-termOJT

Moderate-term OJT

Long-termOJT, Voc.,Assoc. dgr.Work exp inocc

Bachelor'sdegree

More thanbachelor's

Source: WI DWD, Office of Economic Advisors, Employment Projections

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Projected Job Openings by Training

2002 - 2012

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Short-termOJT

Moderate-term OJT

Long-trm OJT,Voc. trng,Assoc. dgr

Work exp. infield

Bachelor'sdegree

Grad. &prfsnl dgr

Replacements

New

Source: WI DWD, OEA, Employment Projections, 2002-2012

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NW Education by Age Group

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

No HS dipl HS dipl Somecollege; no

dgr.

Assoc. dgr. Bachelor’sdgr.

Prfsnl. dgr.

18-24 25-34 35-44 45-64 65+

Source: US Census 2000

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Percent with education or training beyond high school: 2000

32 – 35 Percent

36 – 45 Percent

46 – 55 Percent

56% and greater

Wisconsin = 50.5%


Source: Census 2000, SF3, PCT-25

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Top occupations (by sex) with post-secondary ed.

Elementary/middle school teacher

Registered nurse Secretary Bookkeeper/acct. clerk Nurse/home aide Accountant/auditor Office clerk Cashier Customer service rep. Retail salesperson

1st-line suprv/mgr. retail Carpenter Driver/sales worker Elem./middle schl.

teacher Manager 1st-line suprv. prod. wrkr. Janitor/bldg. cleaner Farmer/rancher Auto service tech/mech. Secondary schl. teacher

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Percent with Bachelor’s degree and more: 2000

10 – 15 Percent

15 – 20 Percent

20 – 25 Percent

Greater than 25%

Wisconsin = 22.4%


Source: Census 2000, SF3, PCT-25

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Top occupations (by sex) with Bachelor’s degree or more

Elementary/middle teacher

Registered nurse Secondary teacher Postsecondary teacher Social worker Accountant/auditor Secretary/Adm. assist. Counselor Special ed. teacher Med/hlth service mgr.

Elementary/middle teacher

Secondary teacher Lawyer Manager Education administrator Postsecondary teacher Clergy Physician/surgeon Accountant/auditor 1st-line suprv/mgr. retail

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Beverly GehrkeLabor Market Analyst

Dept. of Workforce Development715-634-5289

[email protected]

www.dwd.state.wi.us/oea

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Labor Trends

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