Labor Migration in Asia 1991

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    Labor Migration in AsiaAuthor(s): Philip L. MartinSource: International Migration Review, Vol. 25, No. 1 (Spring, 1991), pp. 176-193Published by: The Center for Migration Studies of New York, Inc.Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2546239

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT

    Labor

    Migration

    in Asia

    Philip

    L. Martin1

    University of California,

    Davis

    International

    migration

    for

    employment

    is

    usually

    studied

    by examining

    countries

    that

    export

    labor to or

    that receive

    foreign

    workers in Western

    Europe, North America, and in the Middle East. Other labor migrations are

    usually

    considered

    special

    cases

    (migration

    into South

    Africa),

    a

    continua?

    tion of historical

    patterns

    (migration

    across

    African

    borders),

    or

    relatively

    small

    labor

    migrations

    (migration

    into

    Singapore). Among

    the three

    major

    economic

    regions

    that dominate

    world economic

    output

    and trade?the

    U.S.-led

    North

    American

    region,

    the German-led

    European

    region,

    and the

    Japanese-led

    Asian

    region?international

    migration

    for

    employment

    within

    Asia has

    been

    conspicuous by

    its absence

    from

    literature.2

    A recent

    conference

    sponsored

    by

    the

    United Nations Center for Re?

    gional Development (UNCRD)

    in

    Nagoya, Japan

    examined the

    growing

    importance

    of labor

    migration

    for four

    major

    Asian

    labor

    importers (Japan,

    Hong Kong,

    Malaysia,

    and

    Singapore)

    and five

    major

    labor

    exporters

    (Bangladesh,

    Korea,

    Pakistan,

    Philippines,

    and

    Thailand).3

    Although

    reli?

    able

    data

    are

    unavailable,

    the four

    major importing

    countries include over

    one million

    foreign

    workers

    and

    persisting

    differences

    in

    wages, unemploy?

    ment,

    and economic

    growth

    rates,

    as well as

    events in

    the

    Middle East

    which

    have reduced the demand for

    foreign

    workers

    there,

    are

    expected

    to make

    international labor

    migration

    within Asia an

    increasingly

    important phe?

    nomenon.4

    1

    Professor

    f

    Agricultural

    conomics

    at the

    University

    f

    California,

    avis.

    2

    There have been

    articles n labor

    migration

    nto

    Singapore,

    nd

    the

    effects

    f

    emigration

    on abor

    exporters

    uch as

    the

    Philippines,

    utAsian abor

    migration

    s

    coveredmost

    extensively

    in

    the

    clipping

    ervice

    provided

    by

    Abella since

    1986.

    3

    Taiwan

    s also

    debating

    whether o

    import

    oreign

    workers,

    ut

    was

    not

    represented

    t the

    conference.

    Neither

    wereAustralia nd

    New

    Zealand,

    which re not

    consideredAsian countries.

    China

    has almost100

    companies

    that

    export

    workers,

    sually

    s

    project-tied

    orkers

    o build a

    steel mill n

    Africa;

    or

    example,

    t

    too was not

    represented

    t the

    conference.

    Half of these

    foreign

    workers re

    llegal

    liens n

    Malaysia.

    Japan

    has

    81,000

    egal

    foreign

    workers, 5,000foreigntudentsnd trainees,nd an estimated 00,000to200,000 llegal liens.

    176 IMR Volume

    xxv,

    No.

    1

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT 177

    The conference concluded that international

    labor

    migration

    would

    increase within

    Asia

    because

    the

    tight

    labor

    markets and

    rising wages

    which

    have stimulated

    Japanese

    investment in other Asian

    nations,

    for

    example,

    have

    not

    been sufficient to

    eliminate

    migration

    push

    and

    pull

    forces

    (Abella,

    1990).

    Japan

    has

    aggressively

    invested

    throughout

    Asia,

    taking

    capital

    and

    jobs

    to workers instead

    of

    improving

    workers,

    but

    Japan

    has not

    eliminated

    labor

    shortages

    within

    the

    country.5 Hong Kong

    was

    not as

    successful

    as

    Japan

    at

    restricting

    labor

    immigration,

    so

    its

    manufacturing

    industries

    have

    been

    slower to restructure.

    Singapore

    very

    effectively

    controls

    foreign

    workers,

    but

    has

    not

    yet

    decided

    exactly

    how

    quickly

    to

    force

    lower-wage

    industries

    to

    go

    abroad.

    Finally,

    booming

    Malaysia

    has

    very

    little control

    over immigration and a segmented labor market which complicates the job

    restructuring process.

    Labor

    shortages

    are

    occurring

    in

    Singapore,

    Hong

    Kong, Japan, Malaysia,

    and Korea

    as

    foreign

    worker

    employment

    in the

    Middle

    East is

    shrinking,

    so the

    Philippines,

    Thailand,

    Bangladesh,

    and

    Pakistan

    are

    looking

    with renewed

    interest

    to

    send workers to Asian labor

    markets such as

    Japan.

    There is

    an

    important

    background

    factor

    in all

    discussions of future

    labor

    migration

    within

    Asia: China

    has

    1.2

    billion

    people

    and

    several

    corporations

    which send Chinese workers

    abroad.

    If

    labor-short

    countries

    decide

    to recruit unskilled

    Asian

    workers,

    and Chinese

    workers are made

    available,

    China

    is

    expected

    to

    be able to

    supply

    all

    of the

    foreign

    workers

    required by

    Asian labor

    importers.

    LABOR

    IMPORTERS

    Japan

    Japan

    is Asia's economic locomotive.

    During

    the

    early

    1970s,

    labor

    short?

    ages

    in

    manufacturing prompted

    a debate

    over the need for

    guestworkers,

    but cultural

    insularity prevented

    employers

    from

    winning approval

    for

    foreign workers before the 1973 oil price hikes brought about a recession

    and industrial

    restructuring

    to make

    foreign

    workers

    unnecessary.

    In the

    Hong Kong

    has about

    75,000

    legal foreign

    workers nd

    perhaps

    20,000

    illegal

    aliens.

    Malaysia

    has

    400,000

    to

    800,000

    mostly

    llegal

    lien

    workers.

    Singapore

    has

    150,000

    egal

    foreign

    workers.

    There

    are about 15 million

    foreigners

    n

    Western

    European

    countries

    nd

    about

    15 million

    foreigners

    n

    North

    America.

    Between

    1986 and

    1989

    Japan

    nvested

    11

    billion

    n three

    fast-growing

    sian economies

    with combined

    population

    of

    250

    million?Malaysia,

    Thailand,

    and

    Indonesia.

    Korea, Taiwan,

    Hong

    Kong,

    and

    Singapore

    the

    4

    Tigers)

    nvested

    nother

    11

    billion n

    these

    ountries,

    ersus

    a U.S. investment f

    $3

    billion.A

    recent rticle

    predicted

    he

    600 million

    people

    in

    Western

    Pacific?Japan,

    he4

    Tigers,

    ASEAN,

    and coastal Chinese

    provinces

    Guangdong

    and

    Fujian?

    would

    surpass

    the EC and

    North

    America

    n economic

    activity

    within

    generation

    Tanzer,

    1990).

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    178

    INTERNATIONAL

    MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    early

    1980s,

    Japan

    was

    considered the

    best

    example

    of an

    industrial

    country

    that

    enjoyed rapid

    economic

    growth

    without

    foreign

    workers

    (Reubens,

    1982).6

    However,

    since

    the

    mid-1980s,

    there have once

    again

    been com?

    plaints

    from

    employers

    of

    labor

    shortages;

    for

    example,

    in

    May

    1990,

    the

    Japan

    Food Service Association

    urged

    the

    government

    to

    admit

    up

    to

    600,000

    unskilled

    workers on two to

    three-year

    contracts.

    Illegal

    immi?

    grants

    have

    begun

    to arrive

    while the

    government

    debates how

    to

    respond

    to labor

    shortage

    complaints.

    There

    were

    2,000

    illegal

    aliens

    apprehended

    in

    1983,

    14,000

    in

    1988,

    and

    23,000

    in

    1989,

    and in 1990 there are an

    estimated

    100,000

    to

    200,000

    illegal

    alien workers in

    Japan.7

    The men?

    from the

    Philippines, Bangladesh, Pakistan,

    and China?find unskilled

    jobs

    in

    construction

    and small factories

    while the women?from

    Thailand,

    Taiwan,

    and the

    Philippines?work

    as

    entertainers

    in bars and restaurants

    and as maids.

    Japan

    has an

    alien

    worker

    admissions

    system

    which

    requires employers

    to

    request

    the

    Immigration

    Bureau of

    the

    Ministry

    of

    Justice

    to

    certify

    that

    a

    particular

    alien worker is

    needed.

    The

    employer supplies supporting

    documentation,

    and

    the

    Immigration

    Bureau

    makes

    a

    decision

    on

    the

    employer's

    application

    without

    any

    formal consultation

    with the

    Ministry

    of Labor. If the Immigration Bureau approves the employer's request, it

    issues

    a

    certificate

    which

    permits

    the

    alien worker to secure the

    appropriate

    visa

    from

    a

    Japanese

    consulate before

    departing

    for

    Japan.

    Most

    temporary

    employment

    visas

    are for three

    years

    or

    less.

    This admissions

    system

    applies

    to all

    foreign

    workers,

    but

    requests

    to

    import

    unskilled alien

    workers

    are

    routinely

    denied.8

    Instead of

    approving

    the

    admission

    of

    unskilled

    alien

    workers,

    labor-short

    Japanese employers

    have been advised

    by

    the

    government

    to recruit older

    and

    disadvantaged

    Reubens

    1982:750)

    reviewed

    wo

    explanations

    or

    Japan's exceptional nondependence

    on unskilled oreignworkers: ight ontrols okeepthem utdespitepushand pullfactors,nd

    factors

    within

    Japan

    which

    1)

    nunimize

    he

    mount

    of

    ow-level

    work;

    nd

    2)

    integrate

    ow-level

    jobs

    into the

    abor

    market

    o

    that

    domesticworkerswould

    take them.

    The

    Ministry

    f

    Justice

    estimated

    hat

    100,000

    aliens

    were in

    Japan

    longer

    than

    they

    should have

    been

    in mid-1989.

    Shimada

    (1990:3)

    estimates

    hat,

    with the additionof

    persons

    legally

    n

    Japan

    as

    students,

    or

    example,

    but

    who violate

    the

    terms

    f their

    stayby

    working,

    there

    re severalhundred

    thousand

    llegal

    lien

    workers.

    8

    There

    are

    limited

    xceptions.

    The

    foreign

    hildren r

    spouses

    of

    Japanese

    citizens

    can

    enter

    Japan

    fairly

    asily

    to

    work

    there,

    nd there are an estimated

    0,000

    to

    50,000

    South

    Americans

    of

    Japanese

    descent

    employed

    n

    the

    Japanese

    auto

    parts

    and

    apparel

    industries.

    Another imited

    exception

    re

    foreign?usuallyFilipino?brides

    mported yJapanese

    farmers

    to be both wives

    and

    farmworkers.

    everal hundred

    have been

    imported,

    ut success has been

    mixed,

    n

    part

    because husband and wife

    ften

    have

    no

    common

    anguage.

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT

    179

    workers or to restructure

    jobs

    so

    that

    unskilled

    foreign

    workers are not

    needed.

    Japanese

    employers

    who cannot find unskilled

    Japanese

    workers have

    been

    turning

    to

    illegal foreign

    workers

    instead

    of

    restructuring. Filipino

    women

    have been

    imported

    legally

    as

    singers

    and entertainers for

    a

    decade,

    and the

    networks

    established

    by

    this

    immigration

    have been

    expanded

    to

    import

    illegal

    alien men

    for construction

    and

    manufacturing jobs,

    especially

    to

    small

    and

    medium-sized

    manufacturing

    firms such

    as

    foundries.9 In

    1987,

    about 70

    percent

    of the

    11,300

    illegal

    aliens who

    were

    apprehended

    while

    working

    in

    Japan

    were from the

    Philippines.

    Most

    illegal

    alien workers

    arrive

    on

    90-day

    tourist visas and then

    go

    to work as unskilled and semi?

    skilled workers in small

    manufacturing plants.

    Most earn about 60

    percent

    of what

    Japanese

    workers in

    comparable jobs

    earn,

    although

    one

    study

    reported

    that the

    illegal

    aliens earned more than

    comparable

    Japanese

    workers

    ($7.30

    versus

    $5.40

    hourly)

    because

    they

    had no

    job

    security (Koga,

    1990).

    This

    case

    study

    of

    subcontractors with

    less than 30

    employees

    who

    made

    parts

    for auto manufacturer

    Fuji

    found

    that

    4,000

    to

    5,000

    illegal

    Bangladeshi

    workers

    were

    up

    to

    half of

    these small

    firms' work

    forces,

    and

    their

    illegal

    presence

    was

    known

    and tolerated

    because,

    without

    them,

    these

    small

    firms could

    not survive

    (Koga,

    1990).

    After

    the

    June

    1990

    employer

    sanctions

    law,

    these

    employers

    switched to Brazilian workers of

    Japanese

    ancestry,

    who are

    permitted

    to live and work in

    Japan

    without

    restriction.

    Most

    illegal

    aliens

    arrive

    in

    Japan

    as tourists and then

    work,

    but there

    are

    also

    65,000

    foreign

    students and trainees in

    Japan.

    In some

    cases,

    labor

    recruiters

    sign up

    Chinese or Korean

    20

    to 30

    year-olds

    for

    Japanese

    language training

    and

    then

    put

    the students to work

    as soon as

    they

    arrive

    in

    Japan.

    These students want to

    work in

    Japan,

    and

    usually

    see the

    tuition

    payment

    as the

    price

    of

    getting

    into

    Japan

    to work.

    Immigration

    to

    Japan

    is

    regulated

    by

    the

    Immigration

    Control

    and

    Refugee

    Recognition

    Act

    (ICRRA)

    of

    1952.10ICRRA,

    which

    went into

    effect

    on

    June

    1, 1990,

    included sanctions

    of

    2

    million

    yen

    (about $15,000)

    for

    every

    illegal

    alien hired

    by

    an

    employer. Despite

    the

    labor

    shortage

    debate,

    9

    Most of the

    81,407

    legal

    foreign

    workers

    granted

    visas to work n

    Japan

    in 1988 were

    entertainers

    71,000).

    The next

    argest

    groups

    were

    business executives

    6,100)

    and

    language

    teachers

    2,000).

    There

    were

    only

    30,000

    legal foreign

    workers

    n

    1980,

    including

    20,000

    entertainers.

    10

    Japan

    requires

    refugees

    to have

    documentaryproof

    of

    political persecution

    and

    a

    Japanese

    guarantor. mmigration

    tatistics how

    that

    Japan

    accepted

    an

    average

    30

    refugees

    yearly ince 1982. Kono (1990) reports hat130,000refugees rrived nJapanbetween 1975

    and

    1989,

    and that

    63,000

    have

    been resetded

    n third

    ountries; 5,000

    are

    awaiting

    esetde-

    ment n

    refugee

    amps;

    and

    25,000

    are setded n

    Japan.

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    180

    INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    the

    June

    1990

    amendments

    do

    not deal

    with

    unskilled

    guestworker migra?

    tion

    because

    the issues

    needed

    to be discussed further

    (Suwa, 1990:6).

    However,

    the

    June

    1990 amendments are

    expected

    to

    make it

    easier

    for

    professional

    and

    skilled workers

    to

    work in

    Japan

    because

    they

    force

    the

    Immigration

    Bureau

    of

    the

    Ministry

    of

    Justice

    to

    publish

    its heretofore

    unpublished

    entry

    requirements

    and to

    act

    quickly

    on

    employer requests

    to

    admit and

    employ foreigners?administratively,

    the Bureau now has

    less

    discretionary

    authority

    to

    deny

    entry

    to

    lawyers

    and

    accountants

    who

    wish

    to

    work

    in

    Japan.

    Ten

    additional

    occupations

    are

    permitted

    to

    employ

    foreign

    workers,

    including

    lawyers

    and

    accountants,

    doctors and

    nurses,

    and

    research

    and

    education,

    bringing

    the total to

    28.

    While

    making

    it easier for

    professionals

    to

    work in

    Japan,

    the

    June

    1990

    amendments

    toughened

    sanctions

    against employers

    and

    brokers of

    illegal

    aliens. Most

    unskilled

    illegal

    aliens are

    recruited

    by

    labor

    brokers,

    enter

    Japan

    as

    tourists and

    they

    are then

    taken

    to

    a

    Japanese employer

    who

    has

    arranged

    with the

    labor

    broker

    for their

    employment.11

    The

    new

    2

    million

    yen

    fine and

    prison

    terms of

    up

    to three

    years

    apply

    to

    foreign

    and

    Japanese

    labor

    brokers

    and

    Japanese employers

    who

    knowingly

    hire

    illegal

    aliens.

    Illegal

    aliens

    working

    in

    Japan

    remain

    subject

    to fines

    of

    up

    to

    300,000

    yen

    (about $2,500)

    and

    up

    to

    three-year prison

    terms.

    The

    June

    1990 amendments caused confusion and concern

    among

    work?

    ers and

    employers

    in the

    construction,

    shipping,

    and restaurant

    industries.

    Several

    newspapers

    reported falsely

    that

    all

    illegal

    alien

    workers

    would

    be

    imprisoned,

    although only illegal

    aliens

    entering

    after

    June

    1,

    1990 were

    threatened with

    imprisonment,

    and

    an

    estimated

    20,000

    left

    Japan

    after

    March 1990

    (Suwa, 1990:7).

    The

    resulting

    labor

    shortage

    complaints

    from

    small and medium-sized

    businesses

    prompted

    a

    flurry

    of

    government

    activ?

    ities.

    A

    May

    1990

    government

    survey

    of

    10,000

    employers

    reported

    that

    15

    percent

    hired

    foreign

    workers

    within the

    past

    two

    years

    and that

    one-third

    would like

    to hire more

    foreign

    workers.

    About half

    of

    the

    foreign

    workers

    employed

    by

    these businesses were students.

    Foreign

    students

    are

    allowed

    to

    work

    twenty

    hours

    per

    week in

    Japan,

    but

    70

    percent

    in

    this

    survey

    were

    illegal

    aliens because

    they

    exceeded

    this

    limit. The number

    of

    foreign

    students

    and

    trainees

    jumped during

    the

    1980s from

    less

    than

    20,000

    in

    1983

    to

    65,000

    in 1988.12

    11

    Japan

    had

    2.4

    millionbusiness and tourist rrivals n

    1988,

    a

    doubling

    from

    1.2

    million

    in 1980. Over one third

    of these

    arrivals

    were from

    Korea

    and Taiwan. About 8.4 million

    Japanese

    traveled

    broad n 1988. Of the

    1.9 million

    new

    or first ime rrivals n

    Japan

    n

    1988,

    about halfweretouristsnd one-thirdwerebusinessvisitors.

    12

    Trainees n

    Japan

    are not

    permitted

    o

    be

    paid

    wages

    even

    if

    they

    receive

    on-the-job

    training.

    he number

    of trainees

    oubled

    to

    23,000

    between 1983

    and 1988.

  • 8/11/2019 Labor Migration in Asia 1991

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT

    181

    Japan

    is

    in the

    midst

    of

    a

    vigorous

    debate over

    foreign

    workers. On the

    one side are

    mosdy

    small

    employers

    who face increased international

    competition,

    a

    reduced

    number of

    entry-level Japanese

    workers for

    un?

    skilled

    jobs,

    and the

    knowledge

    that there are millions of

    Filipino,

    Bangladeshi,

    and

    Chinese

    workers

    who are

    eager

    to fill unskilled

    jobs

    in

    Japan.

    On the

    other side are the

    Japanese

    who

    note

    that

    Japan

    has done

    a

    poor

    job

    of

    integrating

    the

    700,000

    second and third

    generation

    descen?

    dants of

    Koreans

    imported

    before

    and

    during

    World War

    II,

    and

    they

    note

    the failure of

    European

    countries to

    get

    their

    guestworkers

    to

    leave and

    doubt

    that

    Japan

    can

    prevent

    unskilled

    workers from

    setding.13*

    14

    The

    government

    has

    established a

    ten-member Commission

    to

    study

    a

    consensus

    solution to labor

    shortage

    complaints.

    The

    Japanese

    Labor

    Min?

    istry opposes

    guestworkers?it

    projects

    a

    shortage

    of

    500,000

    workers

    during

    the

    1990s,

    but then

    notes that economic reforms

    could

    help

    to

    eliminate

    labor

    shortages

    without

    immigration.

    For

    example,

    reducing

    agricultural

    protections

    for

    Japan's

    4

    million farmers

    could

    provide

    addi?

    tional workers

    for

    labor-short

    industry

    and services.15

    Similarly,

    restructur?

    ing

    the distribution

    and

    retail

    sector

    from small

    family-operated

    businesses

    into

    U.S.-style

    superstores

    would

    free

    up many

    of the

    family

    workers.

    Japan's ruling

    Liberal-Democratic

    Party

    is reluctant to

    encourage

    labor-dis?

    placing

    structural

    changes

    in

    agriculture

    and

    retailing,

    two of

    its

    pillars

    of

    support.

    The

    Japanese

    government

    has so

    far resisted

    pleas

    for

    easy employer

    access to unskilled

    foreign

    workers.

    Instead,

    a

    government

    booklet for small

    13

    Japan occupied

    Korea from

    910 to theend

    ofWorldWar I. Mostofthe

    700,000

    Koreans

    in

    Japan

    have

    refused o

    give

    up

    theirKorean

    nationality,

    nd

    they

    etain heirKorean names.

    As

    foreigners

    n

    Japan, they

    must

    be

    fingerprinted

    nd

    carry

    lien

    registration

    ards. Third-

    generation

    Koreans?there

    were four n

    May

    1990?will no

    longer

    have to

    be

    fingerprinted

    {New

    York

    imes,

    May

    2,

    1990,

    p.

    A5).

    Some

    internationaUy-minded

    apanese

    believe that

    guestworkersmight

    egin

    to

    change

    Japanese

    prejudices

    gainst

    utsiders.

    However,

    ther

    Japanese

    believe thatracial

    homogeneity

    is a

    key

    o

    Japan's

    economic

    uccess,

    and thatracial and ethnic

    diversity

    urtAmerica's

    ability

    to

    compete.

    Former

    Prime MinisterNakasone in 1986 said that

    Blacks,

    Puerto

    Ricans,

    and

    Mexicans

    keep

    average

    U.S. educational evels

    low,

    and

    Justice

    Minister

    Kajiyama

    n

    1990

    justified

    ounding-up

    llegal

    lien Thai

    prostitutes

    y

    drawing

    parallel

    to

    Blacks,

    rguing

    hat

    when Blacks move

    n,

    whites

    re

    forced ut.

    The United

    States

    imposed

    a land reform n

    Japan

    afterWorld

    War II which

    has

    given

    Japan

    about 4.5

    million

    arms wned

    by

    their

    operators.

    These farms

    verage

    about 1 hectare

    or

    2.5

    acres each. Almost

    90

    percent

    of

    these

    farmers re

    part-time perators

    whose nonfarm

    income xceeds their armncome; n densely-populated apan,farmers an commute o urban

    jobs

    and farm n weekends.

    Many

    full-timearmers re

    workers

    who retired rom

    rban

    obs

    in

    their

    0s;

    their

    verage

    age

    is 56.

    However,

    halfof

    the

    farm

    work

    force

    s women

    n their 0s.

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    182

    INTERNATIONAL

    MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    and medium-sized

    employers offering

    3k

    jobs?dangerous

    (Kiken),

    dirty

    (Kitani),

    and

    demanding

    or hard

    (Kitsui)?told

    the

    employers

    that

    they

    should

    correct labor market mismatches

    with new

    technology

    and

    by

    making

    better use

    of

    women and older

    Japanese

    workers

    and not

    depend

    on

    foreign

    workers.

    However,

    many

    academicians

    and

    journalists

    discuss

    the

    inevitability

    of

    foreign

    labor

    and

    foreign

    workers:

    neighbors

    of

    tomorrow

    (Shimada,

    1990:17-18).

    Academic

    working

    papers

    assert that

    as

    long

    as

    Japan

    has a

    demand for

    labor,

    a

    large

    scale

    inflow

    of

    migrant

    workers from Asia is inevitable

    (Morita, 1990:11)

    and

    then

    they

    outline

    work-and-learn

    or

    other

    guestworker programs

    that admit

    foreign

    workers

    but minimize

    their

    negative

    effects,

    including

    their

    settlement in

    Japan.

    The

    sense that

    foreign

    workers are inevitable is

    widespread:

    there seems to be a

    belief that

    an

    international and

    open economy

    should

    include

    foreign

    workers. The

    government,

    unions,

    and

    the

    population

    at

    large

    seem to be

    opposed

    to the call for

    guestworkers

    made

    by

    business and

    some

    academi?

    cians,

    but

    a research

    institute

    funded

    by

    the

    Japanese

    Labor Union Confed?

    eration,

    which

    opposes

    the admission

    of unskilled

    foreign

    workers,

    recommended in October 1990 the admission

    of

    unskilled

    foreign

    work?

    ers.16

    Japan

    has the

    world's lowest

    fertility

    rate and

    longest

    life

    expectancy,

    guaranteeing labor shortage complaints for the foreseeable future if eco?

    nomic

    growth

    remains

    high

    (Martin,

    1989).

    Unemployment

    has been

    at

    2

    to 3

    percent

    during

    the

    1980s,

    and is not

    threatening

    to

    rise

    despite

    the

    energy

    price

    hikes

    occurring

    in the fall of 1990. If

    Japan

    were to

    import

    guestworkers,

    and

    if it added 10

    percent

    of

    foreign

    workers

    to its

    work force

    (as

    many

    European

    countries did in the

    early

    1970s)

    Japan

    would

    have 6

    million

    foreign

    workers.

    Singapore

    The

    city-state

    of

    Singapore

    has

    doubled

    its

    foreign

    work force from

    72,000

    in 1970 to

    150,000

    in

    1990,

    and reduced its

    dependence

    on

    Malays,

    who

    are

    now

    half

    of

    Singapore's foreign

    workers

    (Fong,

    1990).

    Most of

    Singapore's

    foreign

    workers

    are

    unskilled;

    perhaps

    25,000

    are

    skilled and

    professional

    workers.

    Singapore

    has

    one of

    the most interventionist

    guestworker

    policies

    in the world:

    it has

    separate

    systems

    for

    professional

    and

    unskilled

    foreign

    workers,

    and its

    micro

    management

    of unskilled

    foreign

    workers includes

    sectoral limitations

    (they

    can work

    only

    in

    hotels,

    manufacturing,

    construc?

    tion, and as domestic maids), per worker levies or taxes to equalize the cost

    of

    foreign

    and

    domestic workers

    (S$300

    in

    August

    1990),

    and a

    ceiling

    of

    16

    WallStreet

    Journal,

    October

    16, 1990,

    p.

    A27.

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT 183

    70

    percent foreign

    workers

    in

    any

    firm

    (but

    no

    quota

    on

    the

    total

    number

    of

    foreign

    workers in the

    country).17 Singapore

    enforces

    foreign

    worker

    rotation,

    increasing

    the

    training,

    transportation,

    and tax costs

    of

    employers,

    but rotation maintains

    foreign

    workers

    as a

    flexible

    buffer

    work force that

    can be

    sent

    home

    when

    they

    are no

    longer

    needed. Unskilled

    foreign

    workers

    are

    not

    permitted

    to settle or to

    bring

    their families

    to

    Singapore,

    and

    even

    marriage

    to

    a

    Singaporean

    does not confer an automatic

    right

    of

    residence in

    Singapore.

    As the number of unskilled

    foreign

    workers rose

    during

    the

    1970s,

    Singapore

    in

    1981

    announced

    a

    plan

    to

    stop recruiting

    unskilled

    foreign

    workers

    by

    1991.

    Employers protested

    and,

    instead of

    shrinking,

    the

    num?

    ber of

    foreign

    workers

    jumped

    to

    160,000

    or 11

    percent

    of the work force

    in

    1984.

    The 1986 recession

    sent

    50,000

    foreign

    workers

    home,

    but

    by

    1989

    their number

    was back

    up

    to

    161,000.

    Illegal

    immigration

    became

    a

    problem

    in the

    1980s.

    In

    March

    1989,

    Singapore

    announced that

    illegal

    aliens

    would receive

    a

    mandatory

    three-

    month

    jail

    term and

    three

    strokes

    of

    the cane.18 An

    amnesty

    before the

    law

    came into

    effect

    produced

    11,800

    illegal

    aliens,

    about half

    Thais,

    more

    than

    expected.

    However,

    when a Thai

    illegal

    alien worker was sentenced

    in

    June

    1989 to three months in

    jail

    and three-cane

    strokes,

    the

    Thai

    government

    protested the

    corporal punishment

    and pointed out that Singaporean em?

    ployers

    were not

    subject

    to cane strokes for

    knowingly

    hiring

    illegal

    aliens.

    In

    July-August

    1989,

    Singapore

    had a

    second

    amnesty,

    which

    produced

    another 500

    illegal

    aliens,

    and

    Singapore

    announced that henceforth

    em?

    ployers

    who

    knowingly

    hire five or more

    illegal

    alien workers

    would be

    caned.

    In

    contrast

    to

    its

    tightly

    regulated

    unskilled

    foreign

    worker

    program,

    Singapore

    has

    a liberal

    policy

    toward

    skilled and

    professional foreign

    workers. In

    August

    1989,

    Singapore

    announced

    that

    college-educated

    per?

    sons earning at least S$ 1,500 per month could apply for permanent resi?

    dence.

    This

    policy

    was

    designed

    to attract

    educated

    Hong Kong

    residents,

    where it has been received

    enthusiastically,

    and

    may

    send

    25,000

    immigrant

    families or

    100,000

    people

    to

    Singapore

    in the 1990s.

    Skilled

    Hong

    Kong

    residents

    may

    receive the

    right

    to

    immigrate

    immediately,

    but

    they

    do not

    17

    $1.00

    U.S.

    equaled

    S$1.70

    in

    November

    1990.

    18

    Cane strokes re

    applied

    with

    wood

    stick

    oaked

    n

    water,

    o

    that

    he flesh s

    removed,

    leaving

    a

    permanent

    scar.

    Caning

    often eads to

    hospitalization.

    It

    is

    believed that

    the

    Singaporean

    government

    as

    located and

    caned

    several

    llegal

    alien

    workers ince the

    summer

    1989

    dispute

    with

    Thailand,

    but

    canings

    are no

    longer publicized

    because

    they

    are

    not a

    deterrent o someIndian and Thai

    workers,

    or

    example.

    No

    employer

    has

    yet

    been

    caned,

    so

    it s

    not

    yet

    resolved

    exactly

    who an

    employer

    s;

    for

    example,

    who in a

    corporation

    s to be

    caned

    if five

    r

    more

    llegal

    aliens are

    found

    employed?

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    184

    INTERNATIONAL

    MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    have to move to

    Singapore

    for five

    years.

    There

    is

    some concern that such

    an influx of Chinese

    immigrants may upset Singapore's

    ethnic

    balance,

    which is

    currendy

    three-quarters

    Chinese.

    Singapore

    has

    a two-tiered

    foreign

    worker

    policy,

    encouraging

    the

    entry

    and setdement of skilled

    immigrants

    and

    permitting

    the

    entry

    of unskilled workers but

    discouraging

    their settlement. Few

    other

    governments

    have

    Singapore's

    confidence that

    foreign

    workers

    can

    be

    regulated exacdy

    as

    anticipated.

    However,

    in an

    apparent

    concession to setdement

    pressures,

    Singapore

    is

    encouraging

    unskilled

    foreign

    workers

    to

    upgrade

    their

    skills

    and then

    settle

    in

    Singa?

    pore.

    The

    major problems

    in

    Singapore

    are the

    foreign

    worker

    levy

    and the

    foreign policy consequences of Singapore's illegal alien policies. Singapore

    has no minimum

    wage,

    so when the

    government

    raised the

    foreign

    worker

    levy

    to

    discourage

    the recruitment

    of

    unskilled

    workers,

    employers

    simply

    cut

    wages

    to

    recoup

    the

    levy

    from

    the

    foreign

    workers

    they

    continued

    to

    import;

    in

    construction,

    for

    example,

    wages

    fell from

    S$23

    daily

    to

    S$16

    daily.

    A tax

    levy designed

    to

    change

    employer

    behavior

    away

    from reliance

    on unskilled

    foreign

    workers fails

    if

    employers

    simply

    take

    the

    levy

    from

    the

    workers,

    so the

    Singapore

    levy

    has

    become,

    in most

    cases,

    simply

    a

    way

    to reduce the

    wages

    earned

    by foreign

    workers without

    discouraging

    em?

    ployers from hiring them. Second, Singapore did not anticipate the vigorous

    1989 Thai

    protests

    to

    caning illegal

    aliens.

    Singapore

    learned

    that its

    domestic

    management

    of

    foreign

    workers had

    foreign policy consequences.

    Hong Kong

    Like

    Singapore,

    Hong

    Kong

    has had a

    tight

    labor market since

    the

    1970s?a

    two-tiered

    foreign

    worker

    policy

    with

    easy entry

    of skilled and

    professional

    workers,

    and the

    emigration

    to the

    United

    States,

    Canada,

    and Australia of

    some

    of

    its

    professionals

    (Yeh, 1990).

    However,

    most of

    Hong Kong's

    immigrants come from China, and Hong Kong will become a Special

    Administrative

    Region

    of China on

    July

    1,

    1997.

    Until October

    1980,

    Hong

    Kong

    had a

    touch base

    policy

    toward

    Chinese

    nationals?illegal

    aliens

    that

    got

    into

    Hong Kong

    could remain as

    legal immigrants.

    However,

    when

    170,000

    Chinese arrived

    in

    1979,

    the

    squatter population

    jumped

    from

    300,000

    in

    1978 to

    750,000

    in 1980 and

    Hong Kong toughened

    its

    policies

    toward

    Chinese nationals.

    Hong

    Kong employers wishing

    to

    hire

    skilled

    and

    professional

    workers

    can

    get

    an

    approval

    or

    certification from

    the Director of

    Immigration

    for

    the alien they wish to hire, and the alien then gets an employment visa.19

    Until

    1990,

    the

    only

    unskilled workers admitted

    to

    Hong Kong

    were

    39

    United

    Kingdom

    passport

    holders an enter nd

    work n

    Hong Kong

    without estriction.

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT

    185

    domestic

    helpers

    or maids.

    Originally begun

    as a

    program

    to

    get English-

    speaking

    maids

    for

    English-speaking

    families,

    the

    number

    of

    newly

    admit?

    ted

    legal

    maids

    jumped

    from

    2,000

    in 1976

    to

    44,000

    in

    1989,

    bringing

    the

    total to

    58,000,

    mostly Filipinos. Employers

    must

    provide

    housing

    and

    pay

    a

    minimum

    wage

    of

    HK$3,000

    per

    month,

    and

    the

    government

    has a

    dispute

    resolution

    service

    to

    deal

    with

    complaints

    from

    maids.20

    Filipino

    maids in

    Singapore

    and

    Hong Kong

    also

    have a union

    to

    represent

    them.

    In

    May

    1989,

    the

    Hong Kong government

    announced

    a

    program

    to

    import up

    to

    3,000

    skilled workers in

    a

    transitional

    program

    while

    compa?

    nies

    complaining

    of

    labor

    shortages developed

    labor-saving

    or

    training

    alternatives.

    However,

    employers

    immediately

    applied

    for

    8,500 workers,

    and in

    May

    1990 the

    government

    responded

    with an

    enlarged program

    to

    admit

    up

    to

    14,700

    skilled and semiskilled

    workers?2,700

    skilled

    workers,

    10,000

    semiskilled

    (machine

    operators

    with

    at least one

    year's

    experience),

    and

    2,000

    airport

    construction workers.

    These

    foreign

    workers must be

    housed

    by

    the

    employer

    for free or at

    a

    cost

    regulated by

    the

    government

    and be

    paid wages

    at least

    equal

    to the median

    wage published

    by

    the

    government

    for

    that

    occupation.

    After

    six

    months,

    Hong

    Kong employers

    applied

    for

    57,000

    foreign

    workers,

    or four times the

    annual

    quota,

    launch?

    ing

    a

    debate

    over

    whether more

    foreign

    workers should be admitted.

    Hong Kong and Singapore are small economies (Hong Kong has a labor

    force

    of almost

    3

    million,

    Singapore

    has 1.5

    million)

    that are successful

    manufacturing export

    platforms;

    that

    is,

    materials and

    components

    are

    brought

    to both

    countries, assembled,

    and then

    exported.

    In

    both

    areas,

    there

    have been

    persisting

    labor

    shortages

    that were

    usually

    satisfied

    by

    importing

    workers from a

    neighboring

    country?China

    to

    Hong Kong,

    and

    Malaysia

    to

    Singapore.

    Both countries

    adopted

    new

    policies

    in

    1989-90;

    Singapore

    enacted the

    foreign

    worker tax or

    levy

    and

    introduced

    new

    measures

    against illegal

    aliens,

    while

    Hong Kong cautiously expanded

    its

    foreign worker program from maids to skilled and semiskilled workers.

    Filipinos

    loom

    large

    in the ever

    more diversified

    foreign

    work force of both

    areas.

    Conference

    participants

    felt that

    Hong

    Kong's

    minimum

    wage system

    better

    protected foreign

    workers than

    Singapore's

    foreign

    worker

    levy.

    Indeed,

    the difference

    between

    these areas' control mechanisms illustrates

    the different

    goals

    of

    foreign

    worker

    policies:

    Singapore

    is

    primarily

    inter?

    ested in

    its own

    economy

    and believes

    that it can

    regulate foreign

    worker

    entry

    and

    settlement with

    precision,

    while

    Hong

    Kong's

    policy

    was

    subject

    to more debate before being implemented and includes quotas and wage

    protections

    sought

    by

    Hong

    Kong

    unions.

    20

    $1.00

    U.S.

    is

    equal

    to

    HK$7.8,

    so

    HK$3,000

    is

    equal

    to

    $385.

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    INTERNATIONAL

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    Malaysia

    Malaysia

    has about half of Asia's

    foreign

    workers, but their status and effects

    are

    not

    well documented.

    Malaysia

    is a

    resource-rich

    country

    of

    17

    million.

    About 80

    percent

    of

    the

    population

    lives on the

    Malay

    peninsula

    or

    West

    Malaysia,

    which

    is

    separated

    from East

    Malaysia

    in

    North Borneo

    by

    900

    miles of the South

    China

    Sea. The

    Malaysian population

    is 56

    percent

    Malay,

    33

    percent

    Chinese,

    and

    10

    percent

    Indian and other. The

    Malays

    tend

    to

    engage

    in

    peasant

    agriculture,

    the

    Chinese have urban

    businesses,

    and

    the

    Indians often do

    farm

    work on estates.

    Before

    independence

    in

    1957,

    the British

    imported

    Chinese,

    Indian,

    and

    Japanese workers to work on rubber plantations and estates. Malaysia

    adopted

    a

    New

    Economic

    Policy

    in

    1971,

    and rural

    Malays began

    migrating

    to urban areas for

    factory jobs.

    The

    semigovernmental agencies

    which

    operate

    the

    rubber

    plantations

    now face

    labor

    shortages,

    since

    the children

    of

    peasants

    and estate farmworkers

    prefer steady monthly jobs

    and salaries

    in

    urban factories

    to

    uncertain and

    daily

    farm

    wages.

    The

    plantations

    have

    once

    again begun

    to

    import Filipino

    and Indonesian

    workers,

    so

    that

    today

    three

    quarters

    of

    Malaysia's

    farmworkers

    are

    foreign

    workers.

    The number of

    foreign-born persons

    in

    Malaysia

    declined between 1970

    and 1980 according to the Census of Population, but this apparent decline

    simply

    reflects the undercount of

    illegal

    foreign

    workers

    (Abella, 1990:12).

    A

    1968

    Employment

    Restriction Act

    requires

    resident

    foreigners

    who

    are

    salaried workers

    to have work

    permits,

    and there

    were

    18,000

    such workers

    in

    1987. But resident workers with

    manual

    jobs

    in

    agriculture

    and

    construc?

    tion

    do not need

    such

    permits.

    Temporary

    workers need to

    have

    only

    passes,

    and

    about

    70,000

    foreigners

    have

    such

    passes.

    These

    data

    suggest

    that there

    are fewer than

    100,000

    legal foreign

    workers in

    Malaysia,

    but the estimated number

    of

    illegal migrants

    in

    Malaysia ranges from 200,000 to 1 million (Abella, 1990:12, calls 400,000

    conservative).

    By

    one

    estimate,

    there

    are

    perhaps

    350,000

    illegal

    In?

    donesians,

    100,000

    Filipinos,

    and several hundred thousand Thais.

    Malaysia's

    ethnic

    politics

    have

    made these estimates a

    political

    issue.

    Chinese

    politicians generally

    overestimate the

    number

    because most

    of

    the

    immigrants

    are

    Indonesian

    and

    Filipino

    Muslims,

    and the Chinese

    argue

    that because

    the

    immigrants

    are fellow Muslims

    the

    Malay-dominated

    government

    does not

    take

    vigorous

    action to reduce the

    illegal immigration

    which

    may

    add 1

    percent

    to

    the

    Malaysian

    population

    each

    year. Malaysia

    had amnesties for illegal aliens in 1986 and 1990, but the high cost of

    legalization

    under these

    programs

    meant

    that

    most

    aliens remained

    in an

    illegal

    status.

    Malaysia

    has an

    employer

    sanctions

    law,

    but it is

    apparently

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    CONFERENCE

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    187

    not

    enforced.

    Malaysia's long

    coastline and

    the

    historical

    affinity

    between

    Malays

    and

    Indonesians,

    make it

    hard

    to

    promote

    a

    vigorous anti-illegal

    immigration policy.

    Malaysia

    also

    exports

    workers. Over

    80,000

    Malaysians

    are

    employed

    in

    Singapore

    at

    wages

    that

    are

    about twice

    Malaysian

    levels.

    Another several

    thousand

    Malays

    are

    employed

    in Middle Eastern

    countries,

    and

    there

    may

    be

    1,000

    illegal

    alien

    Malaysians

    in

    Japan.

    Malaysians

    of Chinese

    origin

    appear

    most

    likely

    to

    emigrate.

    LABOR EXPORTERS

    There are three types of Asian labor exporters: countries which both export

    and

    import

    labor,

    but are net

    importers (Malaysia);

    countries

    which

    both

    export

    and

    import

    labor,

    but

    are

    on balance

    exporters

    (Thailand,

    and

    soon

    Korea);

    and

    classic

    labor

    exporters

    such as the

    Philippines, Bangladesh,

    and

    Pakistan.

    Malaysia

    exports professional

    workers to the United States and

    other industrial countries

    as

    well as skilled

    and

    semiskilled labor to

    Singa?

    pore,

    but

    imports

    more

    unskilled

    Indonesian,

    Thai,

    and

    Filipino

    workers

    than

    it

    exports.

    Thailand

    is a

    net labor

    exporter,

    but

    rapid

    economic

    growth

    has

    led to labor

    shortages

    and

    an influx of workers from

    Burma

    and

    Cambodia. These immigrant workers, as well as landless Thais, work on the

    northeastern farms that are owned

    by land-owning migrants

    who are

    in the

    Middle East.

    Thailand,

    with a

    population

    of

    56

    million and

    a work

    force

    of

    29

    million

    (83

    percent

    in

    rural

    areas),

    sent

    125,000

    migrant

    workers

    abroad

    in 1989.

    Half went to

    Saudi

    Arabia;

    only

    20

    percent

    went to Asian

    destina?

    tions

    such as

    Singapore,

    Brunei and

    Hong Kong (Tingsabath,

    1990.A7).

    Korea first sent

    240

    migrant

    workers to

    West

    Germany

    in 1963

    and,

    since

    then,

    about 1.7 million

    Korean

    migrants

    have remitted

    $16

    billion to

    Korea

    (Park, 1990).

    Korea

    sends

    primarily

    project-tied migrants,

    especially

    to

    the

    Middle Eastern countries which took two thirds of the Korean emigrants.

    Most of these

    men

    had

    two

    or

    three-year

    contracts to build a

    factory,

    hotel

    or

    road,

    for

    example.

    The Korean

    government required

    all

    migrants

    to have

    contracts that established

    minimum

    wages

    and

    maximum

    hours

    (eleven

    hours

    daily),

    but

    these

    standards were violated

    routinely,

    especially

    in the

    Middle

    East.

    However,

    when

    Korean

    workers

    protested

    these

    contract

    violations,

    as

    in

    Jubeil

    in

    1978,

    labor

    importers

    threatened

    to

    bar the

    importation

    of Korean

    workers

    unless these labor

    disputes stopped,

    which

    they

    did

    after the

    Korean

    government

    intervened,

    usually

    against

    the

    protesting migrants.

    In

    1989,

    Korean

    employment

    reached

    17.5

    million,

    the

    unemployment

    rate fell

    to

    2.6

    percent,

    and

    there

    were

    fears

    of

    labor

    shortages

    in the

    1990s

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    188 INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    if economic

    growth

    continues

    at

    10

    percent annually

    (Park, 1990:47).

    Korean

    manufacturing

    and construction

    employers complained

    that

    they

    needed

    about 5

    percent

    more workers

    in

    1989,

    and these labor

    shortages

    are

    expected

    to

    become

    more

    acute

    as

    Korea tries

    in the 1990s to build

    2

    million

    more houses

    and

    improve

    its

    infrastructure.21

    The

    demand for

    construction workers

    in Korea

    is

    reflected in their

    declining

    number

    abroad:

    in

    1983,

    about

    42

    percent

    of

    the

    225,000

    Korean workers abroad were

    construction

    workers;

    by

    1989,

    only

    10

    percent

    of

    76,000

    were

    construction

    workers

    (Park, 1990:9).

    Korea

    is

    debating

    whether

    to

    import

    unskilled

    workers

    in the 1990s from

    China,

    for

    example,

    but

    uncertainty

    about

    possible

    reunification

    with

    North

    Korea

    will

    probably preclude importing

    workers

    for at least

    a

    few

    more

    years

    despite

    labor

    shortage complaints.

    The

    Philippines, Bangladesh,

    and Pakistan are classic

    labor

    exporters

    in

    that

    each sends 10 to 30

    percent

    of their annual labor force

    entrants abroad.

    The

    Philippines

    processed

    3 million workers for overseas

    employment

    between

    1975 and

    1987,

    and

    85

    percent

    went to the Middle East

    (Go,

    1990:3).

    In

    1987,

    about

    425,000

    workers were

    processed

    for overseas

    employment.

    Filipinos

    who

    work

    abroad are

    mosdy

    young

    (56

    percent

    are

    20

    to

    29)

    men and

    women

    whose skills are bimodal:

    they

    include fourth

    grade only

    unskilled workers

    and

    maids as well as

    college graduate

    nurses.

    A

    frequent complaint

    of

    migrant

    workers

    in

    the

    Philippines

    and

    other

    labor-exporting

    countries

    is the

    high

    cost of

    getting

    a contract

    for

    an

    overseas

    job.

    The

    Philippines

    sets

    a

    maximum recruitment

    fee of

    P5,000

    (about

    $250),

    but workers

    report

    paying

    two

    or

    three times more to

    get jobs

    which

    pay

    about

    $250

    monthly;

    that

    is,

    workers

    pay

    up

    to

    25

    percent

    of

    their

    first

    year's earnings

    just

    to

    get

    a

    contract to

    go

    overseas.

    Reports

    of

    workers

    who

    paid

    fees to

    go

    abroad but

    never

    got

    a contract are common.

    Filipino

    women

    reportedly

    prefer

    to be maids in

    Singapore

    or

    Hong Kong

    instead

    of the Middle

    East,

    but

    recruitment

    fees are almost three times

    higher

    to

    get

    Asian

    versus

    Middle

    Eastern

    jobs.

    Bangladesh

    is

    a

    relatively

    new labor

    exporter,

    but

    it has

    emerged

    as one

    of the lowest-cost

    sources of

    unskilled

    workers

    and in 1989 sent

    106,000

    workers

    abroad,

    40

    percent

    to

    Saudi

    Arabia

    (Mahbub,

    1990:14).

    Remit?

    tances are

    about

    $800

    million

    annually,

    or

    equal

    to 50 to 60

    percent

    of the

    value of

    Bangladesh exports. Bangladesh

    runs

    a

    significant

    trade deficit

    21

    In

    November

    1990,

    Korea

    announced

    plans

    to scrutinizenew arrivals

    from outheast

    Asia

    to

    reduce

    llegal

    lien

    workers;

    lmost

    1,000

    llegal

    lien manual

    workerswere

    apprehended

    in

    1990,

    and one-thirdwere

    Filipinos.

    Korea

    plans

    to raise fines n

    illegal

    alien workers

    rom

    $4,200

    to

    $7,000

    and

    up

    tothree

    years

    n

    ail.

    Korean

    employers

    who hire

    llegal

    alienscan be

    fined

    4,200

    and

    imprisoned

    for

    up

    to

    three

    years.

    WallStreet

    Journal,

    November

    27, 1990,

    p.

    All.

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT 189

    each

    year,

    and this

    deficit

    is

    only partially

    covered

    by

    remittances and

    foreign

    aid.

    Some

    Bangladeshis argue

    that countries which

    export

    to

    Bangladesh

    should

    accept migrant

    workers

    so

    their

    remittances can

    pay

    for the

    exports.

    Japan,

    for

    example,

    exports

    five times

    more to

    Bangladesh

    than

    it

    imports,

    and

    current

    Bangladesh

    remittances from

    Japan pay

    for

    just

    5

    percent

    of

    these

    Japanese

    imports.

    Bangladesh migrants

    are

    eager

    to work in

    Japan:

    the

    per

    capita

    wage gap

    is

    about

    80 to one?one

    of

    the

    highest

    in the

    world?and

    Bangladesh

    would like

    to

    export

    more of its

    workers to

    Japan

    and elsewhere.22

    Both

    Bangladesh

    and Pakistan have been

    exporting

    about

    one

    quarter

    of

    their

    annual

    labor

    force

    growth.

    Pakistan's annual exit was over

    150,000

    in the

    early

    1980s,

    dipped

    to

    58,000

    in

    1986,

    and was

    96,000

    in 1989

    (Azam,

    1990:14).

    The

    percentage

    of

    migrants

    who are laborers has

    fallen from

    one-half in the

    early

    1980s

    to

    one-third

    in

    the

    late

    1980s,

    and the

    percentage

    of

    migrants

    who

    are

    drivers,

    clerks,

    and tailors

    has

    increased.

    Because of

    their

    patriarchal

    kinship systems,

    neither

    Bangladesh

    nor

    Pakistan send

    female

    migrants

    abroad,

    explaining why

    female

    migrants

    in

    the Gulf States

    tend to be

    Filipino,

    Thai,

    or Sri Lankan.

    Like

    Korea,

    Pakistan

    requires migrants

    to

    have

    a

    contract which

    guaran?

    tees

    minimum

    wages

    and

    working

    conditions

    before

    going

    abroad;

    in

    Pakistan,

    migrants

    with

    approved

    contracts

    get

    a Protector of

    Immigrants

    stamp

    in their

    passports.

    However,

    a

    significant

    fraction of Pakistani mi?

    grants apparendy

    leave without

    approved

    contracts;

    a

    survey

    of returned

    migrants

    in

    the

    mid-1980s

    found

    that

    only

    half had

    approved

    contracts when

    they

    left Pakistan. As in the

    Philippines,

    Pakistani

    workers

    often exit without

    contracts because

    the cost

    of

    getting

    a

    contract

    to

    work

    abroad

    may

    be 10

    to

    30

    percent

    of

    the

    first

    year's

    earnings.

    There

    were

    90,000

    Pakistanis

    in Kuwait when

    Iraq

    invaded

    in

    August

    1990,

    and about

    70,000

    have

    returned

    to Pakistan.

    The

    initial

    attempt

    to

    fly

    migrants

    from

    Jordan

    proved

    too

    expensive,

    so most Pakistani

    migrants

    returned

    by taking

    their autos

    and

    what

    household

    goods they

    could over?

    land

    through

    Iraq,

    Turkey,

    and Iran. Pakistan

    permitted

    returning

    migrants

    to avoid normal tariffs and customs duties on

    goods brought

    back

    by

    this

    land

    route.23 Pakistan

    is

    currendy

    estimating

    the losses

    experienced

    by

    its

    returning

    migrants,

    and

    it

    reckons

    that

    its

    remittances

    will

    decrease

    by

    $1.6

    billion in 1990.

    22

    Koga

    (1990)

    reported

    hat

    Bangladesh

    workers arned

    about

    $7

    per

    hour

    n

    1989

    n

    small

    manufacturing

    lants

    near

    Tokyo.

    23 In addition o

    losing

    their

    ontracts,

    akistani nd other

    migrants

    nKuwait awthevalue

    of their

    avings

    n Kuwaiti inars

    devalued

    by

    90

    percent

    when

    Iraq

    replaced

    the

    Kuwaiti

    dinar

    with ts own

    currency

    t a 1 to 1 rateversus

    the

    preinvasion

    1 to 10 rate.

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    INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

    REVIEW

    There

    were

    between

    3 and 3.5 million Asian

    migrants

    in the Middle East

    when

    Iraq

    invaded Kuwait

    in

    August

    1990.

    Amjad

    (1990:5)

    reports

    that

    India

    had

    800,000

    to

    1 million

    migrants

    in

    the

    Gulf

    States,

    Pakistan

    850,000

    to

    1.1

    million,

    the

    Philippines

    700,000

    to

    800,000,

    Bangladesh

    250,000

    to

    300,000,

    Sri

    Lanka

    200,000

    to

    300,000

    and

    Indonesia, Korea,

    and

    China

    less

    than

    100,000

    each. Remittances

    to the

    Asian countries

    of

    origin

    of these

    migrants

    were

    as much

    as

    $10

    billion

    annually

    during

    the 1980s.

    Unlike

    Arab labor

    migration

    to the

    Gulf

    States,

    Asian

    labor

    migration

    was much

    more

    organized,

    with

    Korea

    being

    the most

    organized exporter

    of labor

    and

    Thailand

    having

    the

    least

    governmental

    involvement

    in

    labor

    emigration.

    Few Asian

    countries

    have

    programs

    and

    policies

    which can translate

    remittances and returned migrants into sparkplugs for job-creating devel?

    opment.

    Government

    programs

    which

    assist

    returned

    migrants

    are some?

    times

    resented

    by

    other

    nationals because

    the

    returned

    migrants

    are in most

    cases

    better off

    than

    nonmigrants.

    However,

    without effective

    development

    strategies

    for

    both

    migrants

    and

    nonmigrants,

    remittances wind

    up

    being

    spent

    without

    launching stay-at-home

    development.

    There

    appears

    to be

    little research and

    few

    policy suggestions

    for

    using

    the

    window

    of

    opportu?

    nity

    provided

    by

    remittances

    and

    returned

    migrants

    to

    accelerate

    Asian

    development.

    CONCLUSIONS

    AND

    RECOMMENDATIONS

    Conference

    participants agreed

    that Asia

    is

    joining

    the Middle East

    as a

    major

    destination for

    Asian

    migrants

    in the

    1990s.

    There are

    now

    about 1

    million

    migrant

    workers

    in the four

    major

    Asian

    labor-importing

    countries,

    but

    half are

    illegal

    aliens in

    Malaysia.

    The

    major

    new

    destination

    may

    be

    Japan:

    it

    will

    continue

    to have

    labor

    shortages

    in the

    1990s,

    and if

    it decides

    to

    cope

    with

    these labor

    shortages

    by

    importing

    migrant

    workers,

    Japan

    could

    import

    in

    the

    1990s more than

    the

    2

    million

    migrants

    in

    Saudi Arabia.

    Japan

    seems to be divided on whether to become a

    labor-importing

    country

    in

    the 1990s. Like

    Singapore

    and

    Hong

    Kong, Japan

    now

    provides

    relatively easy

    entry

    for

    professional

    migrants.

    However,

    most of the

    80,000

    legal

    foreign

    workers

    in

    Japan,

    as well

    as most

    of the

    65,000

    foreign

    students

    and

    trainees

    and most of the

    200,000

    illegal

    aliens,

    are unskilled

    workers.

    Japan

    has

    indicated

    that

    it

    is

    willing

    to

    import

    unskilled

    workers

    by

    granting

    automatic work

    and settlement

    rights

    to

    South

    American residents

    of

    Japanese

    descent,

    for

    example,

    but

    Japan

    has

    not

    yet

    decided

    whether to

    import

    unskilled workers from other

    countries who

    may

    settle in

    Japan.

    Japan seems to be less confident than Singapore that it can rotate migrants

    and

    prevent

    settlement,

    and less

    interested

    than

    Hong Kong

    in

    migrant

    maids,

    but

    very

    worried

    about the settlement of

    migrant

    workers?the

    most

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    CONFERENCE

    REPORT

    191

    often

    repeated example

    of

    what

    Japan

    does

    not

    want

    is

    the Turkish workers

    who settled in

    Germany.

    While

    Japan

    debates

    whether

    to

    import

    unskilled

    migrant

    workers in the

    1990s,

    the

    Asian labor

    exporters

    that became accustomed to

    exporting

    10

    to 30

    percent

    of their annual

    labor force

    growth

    to

    Middle Eastern countries

    in the 1980s are

    looking

    for

    new

    destinations

    as

    the

    demand

    shrinks

    in

    the

    Middle East. These countries

    would

    like

    to

    go

    on

    exporting

    workers

    to

    earn

    remittances and to reduce their

    unemployment

    despite

    the

    widely

    acknowl?

    edged

    human and social costs

    of

    emigration

    due

    to

    family

    separation

    at

    home and

    mistreatment abroad.

    Emigration

    and remittances seem to have

    become institutionalized in

    some

    of

    the

    Asian

    labor-exporting

    countries,

    but

    there have been few studies of the local and regional effects of emigration

    and litde

    thought given

    to

    what

    development

    efforts

    should

    be

    undertaken

    if

    opportunities

    for

    emigration

    diminish.

    Conference

    participants

    thought

    that the current

    uncertainty

    about

    whether the destination of Asian

    migrants

    will shift from the Middle East

    offers

    a

    unique opportunity

    to

    reassess

    international

    migration

    for

    employ?

    ment.

    Potential labor

    importers

    such

    as

    Japan

    can

    determine the

    pros

    and

    cons of

    importing

    workers

    under

    the

    higher

    standards

    expected

    by

    labor

    exporters.

    In

    Japan's

    case,

    Asian

    labor

    exporters

    promise

    to

    be

    especially

    sensitive about the treatment of their nationals in Japan because ofJapan's

    often

    harsh

    occupation

    of

    their

    countries in

    World War

    II. If

    Japan

    and

    other

    Asian countries

    emerge

    as 1990s destinations for

    migrant

    workers,

    labor

    exporters

    hope

    that bilateral

    and

    multilateral

    agreements

    can deal

    with

    both

    the

    specific problems

    that

    have

    arisen with

    migration

    to

    the Middle

    East,

    such

    as

    recruitment costs and

    mistreatment

    abroad,

    and

    the more

    general

    issue of

    how

    to

    organize

    emigration

    so that

    exporting

    workers becomes

    a

    road

    to

    economic

    development

    rather than

    a

    path

    to

    continued

    dependence

    on

    foreign

    labor markets.

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