LAB B3 - Wick
Transcript of LAB B3 - Wick
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John WickLAB B3 Narrative
EDUC 746
The purpose of this study was to predict if skiers are more likely to fall based upon the
season and difficulty level of the ski run. The research question being examined is: Can we
accurately predict a skiers likelihood to fall if we know the season and the difficulty level of the
ski run?
There are three variables in this study: Falling, Difficulty, and Season. The dependent
variable is the probability of falling or not falling. The independent variables are Difficulty and
season. Difficulty is a categorical variable that has been treated as a continuous variable. Season
is a categorical variable that contains three seasons. Two of the seasons Autumn and spring, are
further coded into dummy variables.
The participants for this study are skiers and the sample size is n=15.
The analysis that was performed for this study is Logistical regression. Results of this
analysis indicate that the overall model with predictors doesnt fit well when compared to the
model with no predictors, X2 (3,15) = 2.71, p > .05. Furthermore, the odds ratio is positive,
2.748 > 1 which means that when the difficulty level increases it is more likely that the skier will
fall into the category coded as 1 (falling down), however the p value of the Wald test is .347
indicating that this increase is not statistically significant.
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John WLAB B3 Narra
EDUC
GET
FILE='/Users/John/Documents/APU/EdD/ADV SATS/LAB A/LAB B/LAB B3
Data.sav'.
DATASET NAME DataSet1 WINDOW=FRONT.COMPUTE Season1=0.
EXECUTE.
IF (Season = 1) Season1=1.
EXECUTE.
COMPUTE Season2=0.
EXECUTE.
IF (Season = 2) Season2=1.
EXECUTE.
SAVE OUTFILE='/Users/John/Documents/APU/EdD/ADV SATS/LAB A/LAB B/LA
B3 Data.sav'/COMPRESSED.
LOGISTIC REGRESSION VARIABLES Fall
/METHOD=ENTER Difficulty Season1 Season2
/CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10) ITERATE(20) CUT(.5).
Logistic Regression
[DataSet1] /Users/John/Documents/APU/EdD/ADV SATS/LAB A/LAB B/LAB B
Data.sav
Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Casesa N Percent
Selected Cases Included in Analysis 15 100.0
Missing Cases 0 .0
Total 15 100.0
Unselected Cases 0 .0
Total 15 100.0
a. If weight is in effect, see classification table for the total
number of cases.
Dependent Variable Encoding
Original Value Internal Value
Not Falling 0
Falling 1
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John WLAB B3 Narra
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Block 0: Beginning Block
Classification Tablea,b
Observed
Predicted
Fall Percentage
CorrectNot Falling Falling
Step 0 Fall Not Falling 0 6 .0
Falling 0 9 100.0
Overall Percentage 60.0
a. Constant is included in the model.
b. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 0 Constant .405 .527 .592 1 .442 1.500
Variables not in the Equation
Score df Sig.Step 0 Variables Difficulty 1.746 1 .186
Season1 1.250 1 .264
Season2 .417 1 .519
Overall Statistics 2.454 3 .484
Block 1: Method = Enter
Omnibus Tests of Model CoefficientsChi-square df Sig.
Step 1 Step 2.710 3 .439
Block 2.710 3 .439
Model 2.710 3 .439
Model Summary
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John WLAB B3 Narra
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Step
-2 Log
likelihood
Cox & Snell R
Square
Nagelkerke R
Square
1 17.481a .165 .223
a. Estimation terminated at iteration number 4 because
parameter estimates changed by less than .001.
Classification Tablea
Observed
Predicted
Fall Percentage
CorrectNot Falling Falling
Step 1 Fall Not Falling 4 2 66.7
Falling 1 8 88.9Overall Percentage 80.0
a. The cut value is .500
Variables in the Equation
B S.E. Wald df Sig. Exp(B)
Step 1a Difficulty 1.011 .896 1.273 1 .259 2.748
Season1 .928 1.589 .341 1 .560 2.528
Season2 -.418 1.387 .091 1 .763 .658
Constant -1.777 1.890 .884 1 .347 .169
a. Variable(s) entered on step 1: Difficulty, Season1, Season2.