Kuby Chapter 4: Newton's First Law of Migration: The Gravity Model
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Transcript of Kuby Chapter 4: Newton's First Law of Migration: The Gravity Model
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Chapter 4
Newton’s First Law of Migration:The Gravity Model
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Places are connected through spatial interaction
ideas
information
money
products
people(p. 88)
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Figure 4.1 (p. 89)
Migration
A permanent change in residence to outside one’s
community of origin.
Occurs at various spatial scales:
rural-to-urban
urban-to-urban
global (between countries)
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Factors of Place Desirability
(p. 88)
Less-desirable places
More-desirable places
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remittances
immigration = migration across an international border
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refugees immigrate unwillingly due to persecution in their home country
(a PUSH factor)
PUSH factorsPULL factors
other
better job
pleasant physical setting
affordable housing
desirable climate
proximity to family
high housing costs
traffic gridlock
rising crime rates
high tax rates
poor climate
undesirable job
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Migrant Selectivity
Figure 4.2 (p. 90)
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Distance Decay
Figure 4.3 (p. 91)
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Migration Streams
Figure 4.4 (p. 92)
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Migration Streams&
Counterstreams
Figure 4.5 (p. 93)
Ten Largest Domestic Migration Streams of
Persons Born in Cuba
Ten Largest Domestic Migration Streams of
Persons Born in Mexico
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Gravity Model
(p. 95)
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Figure 4.6 (p. 95)
Migration to California
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Mobility
• Part of American experience
• Mobility is high in developed countries with immigrant background
• Migration in the past as a predictor of future migration.
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U.S. Mobility Rates
Figure 4.8 (p. 98)
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Largest interstate migration streams
Figures 4.9 (p. 99)
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Net migration rates by stateFigures 4.10 (p. 99)
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• Regional and sub-regional shifts in population
• Net migration
• Migration patterns reflect:- location of states- historical patterns of movement- changing economic geography- perceptions about places
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Name That Key Term
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A person who is outside his or her country due to a well-founded fear of persecution and who is unable or unwilling to return.
Refugee
A permanent change in residence to outside one’s community of origin. Migration
A move across international borders.
Movements of ideas, information, money, products, and people between places. Spatial Interaction
Immigration
A well-defined migration channel from a specific origin to a particular destination. Migration Stream
Migration that runs opposite to a migration stream. Migration Counterstream
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Reasons to move from a particular place. Push Factors
Reasons to move to a particular place. Pull Factors
The percentage gain or loss of population due to migration. It is calculated as in-
migrants minus out-migrants divided by the total population, all times 100.
Positive numbers indicate net gain; negative numbers indicate net loss.
Net Migration Rate
The tendency for certain types of people to migrate. Age, education, and other sociodemographic characteristics are
________ ________ factors.
Migration Selectivity
Money sent by immigrants from host country to home country. Remittances
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A point on a scatter diagram that is roughly in line with the main trend but is separated from the main group of points
because of its very high or low value.
Extreme Value
A scatter of dots showing the relationship between two variables. Each dot on the
graph represents the x and y coordinates of a different observation or case.
Scatter Diagram
A model to predict spatial interaction, where size (population) is directly
related to interaction and distance is inversely related to interaction.
Gravity Model
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The declining intensity of an activity with increasing distance from its point of origin. Distance Decay
The difference between an actual observed value of some variable and its predicted value using the gravity model.
Residuals
Point on a scatter diagram that lies far off the trend line. ________ on the graph correspond to cases that are poorly
predicted by the model. ________ are not to be confused with extreme values,
which may lie far from any other point but which are still close to the best-fitting line.
Outlier
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Newton’s First Law of Migration:The Gravity Model
Chapter 4
Case Study
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After completing this chapter, you will be able to:
• Apply principles of spatial interaction to patterns of movement.
• Identify the major source areas for migration to your state.
• Use functions of a spreadsheet.
• Produce and interpret a scatter diagram.
• Discriminate between positive and negative residuals.
• Identify outliers on a scatter diagram.
• Think critically about models in human geography.
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Activity 1: Predicting Migrationwith the Gravity Model
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Online Activity
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Activity 2: Scatter Diagram
Online Activity
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Figure 4.11 (p. 105)
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Figure 4.12 (p. 106)
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Activity 3: Residual Map
Online Activity
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Newton’s First Law of Migration:The Gravity Model
Chapter 4
Case Study
Canadian Examples
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Online Activity
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Activity 2: Scatter Diagram
Online Activity
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Activity 3: Residual Map
Online Activity
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