KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018...

36
KONE Results presentation 2020 JANUARY 28, 2021 HENRIK EHRNROOTH, PRESIDENT & CEO ILKKA HARA, CFO

Transcript of KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018...

Page 1: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

KONEResults presentation 2020JANUARY 28, 2021

HENRIK EHRNROOTH, PRESIDENT & CEO

ILKKA HARA, CFO

Page 2: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Q4 2020 Highlights

• Growing orders and earnings

in a challenging environment

• Strong development in China,

mixed elsewhere

• Entering a new strategic phase:

‘Sustainable success with

customers’

• Dividend proposal: EUR 1.75

dividend and EUR 0.50

extraordinary dividend per class

B share

Page 3: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation3

SOLID END TO THE YEAR

Q4 2020 Key figures

Q4 2020 Q4 2019 ChangeComparable

change

Orders received MEUR 2,068.7 1,988.3 4.0% 7.9%

Order book MEUR 7,728.8 8,051.5 -4.0% 0.7%

Sales MEUR 2,621.2 2,684.6 -2.4% 0.8%

Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 367.1 356.4 3.0%

Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 14.0 13.3

Adjusted EBIT MEUR 380.6 367.5 3.6%

Adjusted EBIT margin % 14.5 13.7

Cash flow from operations

(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 368.1 385.7

Basic earnings per share EUR 0.55 0.54 0.9%

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation4

GROWING EARNINGS AND EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG CASH FLOW

FY 2020 Key figures

FY 2020 FY 2019 ChangeComparable

change

Orders received MEUR 8,185.1 8,399.8 -2.6% -0.6%

Order book MEUR 7,728.8 8,051.5 -4.0% 0.7%

Sales MEUR 9,938.5 9,981.8 -0.4% 1.4%

Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 1,212.9 1,192.5 1.7%

Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 12.2 11.9

Adjusted EBIT MEUR 1,250.5 1,237.4 1.1%

Adjusted EBIT margin % 12.6 12.4

Cash flow from operations

(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 1,907.5 1,549.6

Basic earnings per share EUR 1.81 1.80 0.6%

Page 5: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

▪ Resilient operations despite COVID 19 restrictions

▪ Connected services and solutions delivering value for

our customers and improving differentiation

– Adaptability and enhanced user experience through DX

Class elevators, now rolled out in Europe and Asia-Pacific

– Reliability, safety and transparency with 24/7 Connected

Services, now around 100k units under maintenance

– Launch of KONE Office Flow™ for smart and adaptive

offices

▪ Raising ambitions in sustainability

– Science-based targets and commitment for carbon

neutrality

– KONE again on the CDP A list

New equipment orders

units

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation5

Business highlights for 2020

Maintenance basemillions of units

100,000

0

50,000

150,000

200,000

2015 20202011 20182012 2013 2014 2016

~173k

2017 2019

~180k

+4.0%

0.5

1.0

0.0

1.5 >1.4

2014 20182011 2015

>1.3

2012 2013 2016 2017 2019 2020

+4.5%

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation6

Split-adjusted dividend per class B shareEUR, 2006-2020

▪ Dividend payout in

2020: 97% of earnings

per share excluding

the extraordinary

dividend

▪ Effective dividend

yield, 2020:

▪ 2.6% excluding the

extraordinary dividend

▪ 3.4% including the

extraordinary dividend

Adjusted for share splits in 2008 (1:2) and 2013 (1:2)* Board’s proposal

Dividend proposal: EUR 2.25 per class B share including extraordinary dividend

1.20

0.33

1.75

0.25

2006 2008 20182013

0.330.45

2007

1.40

0.33

0.65

2009 2010

0.33

0.75

2011

0.88

2012

1.00

2014 2015

1.55

2016

1.65

2017

1.65 1.70

2019

0.50

2020

0.70Dividend

Extraordinary dividend

CAGR: 15%

Page 7: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

▪ Thomas Hinnerskov appointed EVP,

South Europe, Middle East and Africa

region (previously EVP, Central and

North Europe)

▪ Axel Berkling appointed EVP, Central

and North Europe (previously EVP,

Asia Pacific excluding China)

Johannes Frände

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation7

Changes in the Executive Board

Johannes Frände

appointed EVP, General

Counsel

Samer Halabi

Samer Halabi appointed

EVP, Asia-Pacific (excl.

China)

Page 8: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Market development

Page 9: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation

Monthly average number of starts per elevator, data from connected units

Indexed, indicative as data from a limited number of units

Elevator usage still clearly below normal levels

1/20207/2019 9/20203/2019 9/20191/2019 5/2019 11/2019 3/2020 5/2020 7/2020 11/2020 1/20210.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

US

UK

Germany

Singapore

Italy

Dec 20

vs Dec 19

-13%

-22%

-30%

-35%

-41%

9

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation10

GROWTH CONTINUED IN CHINA, UNCERTAINTY IMPACTING DEMAND IN OTHER REGIONS

New equipment market development in Q4 2020

EMEA market Asia-Pacific marketNorth American market

>2/3 of

global

market

(in units)

~20% of

global

market

(in units)

<5% of

global

market

(in units)

- - -

▪ Market declined significantly ▪ Market declined slightly

▪ Market in Central and North

Europe stabilized from previous

quarters, in South Europe, the

market declined significantly

and in the Middle East, the

market declined clearly

▪ The volumes grew slightly

driven by China where the

market continued to grow

▪ In the rest of Asia-Pacific, the

markets declined significantly

- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.

- +

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation11

GLOBAL MAINTENANCE MARKET WAS RESILIENT, MIXED DEVELOPMENT IN MODERNIZATION

Service market development in Q4 2020

*The volume market was significantly down and the growth was

driven by major projects.

North American market

<10% of

global market

(in units)

+ +++*Maintenance Modernization

>25% of

global market

(in monetary value)

EMEA market

~40% of

global market

(in units)

Maintenance

+ -

>1/3 of

global market

(in monetary value)

Modernization

Asia-Pacific market

>40% of

global market

(in units)

>15% of

global market

(in monetary value)

++Maintenance Modernization

- - - Significant decline (>10 %), - - Clear decline (5-10 %), - Slight decline (<5 %), Stable, + Slight growth (<5 %), + + Clear growth (5-10 %), + + + Significant growth (>10 %). Based on KONE’s estimate.

Stable

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation12

Chinese property market in Q4/2020

▪ In units ordered, the new equipment market grew slightly y-o-y

▪ Pricing environment continues to be characterized by intense competition

▪ Continued strong activity in the real estate sector in Q4

▪ Financing environment tightening for the developers

▪ High level of infrastructure investments

▪ Real estate investment +11.0% y-o-y in Q4

▪ Residential sales volume +12.7% y-o-y and new starts 4.7% y-o-y in Q4

▪ New home prices in the 70 biggest cities +3.75% y-o-y in December

▪ Consolidation among property developers continues

Page 13: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Q4 and 2020 Financials

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation14

Mixed development amidst the COVID 19 pandemicSTRONG DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA, RESTRICTIONS AND UNCERTAINTY STILL IMPACTED OTHER MARKETS IN Q4

KONE’s Q4 orders received growth at comparable FX rates

New equipment Modernization Maintenance

(repairs orders)

China

Rest of APAC

EMEA

Americas

Total

>10% decline >10% growth2-10% decline 2-10% growth< 2% change

KONE’s Q4 sales growth at comparable FX rates

New equipment Modernization Maintenance

China

Rest of APAC

EMEA

Americas

Total1.6% -4.7% 2.3%

Page 15: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

6,000

1,000

3,000

2,000

8,000

4,000

7,000

10,000

5,000

9,000

0

7,554

2010 2011 20132012 2017

7,959

2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 2020

8,400

1,9882,069

3,809

4,465

5,496

6,151

6,813

7,621 7,7978,185

January 28, 202115

MEUR

ORDERS RECEIVED GREW IN ALL AREAS IN Q4

▪ In Q4, the margin of

orders received was

stable

Orders received

1,9882,069

Q4 growth

4.0%

151151

Growth

at

comp.

FX

Q4

2019

71

Q4

2020

FX

2,0691,988

7.9%

Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation

2020 growth

-2.6%

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January 28, 202116

MEUR

SALES GROWTH WAS DRIVEN BY HIGH ACTIVITY IN CHINA OFFSETTING THE DECLINE IN ACTIVITY IN MANY OTHER AREAS

KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.

Sales

5,000

3,000

7,000

11,000

9,000

0

10,000

6,000

8,000

2,000

1,000

4,000

2011 2017 202020142013

9,071

2010 2012 2015 2016 2018

8,647

2019

9,982

2,685

9,939

4,987

2,621

5,225

6,277

6,9337,334

8,784 8,797

Q4 growth

-2.4%

22

19 19

85

New

equip

ment

Main

tenance

Q4

2019

Modern

ization

FX Q4

2020

2,685

2,621

Growth at comp. FX

0.8%

1.6%

2.3%

-4.7%

EMEA -2.7%

APAC 10.0%

Americas -8.7%

Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation

2020 growth

-0.4%

Page 17: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Q4

2019

Q4

2020

Gro

wth

Pro

fita

bili

ty

-8

FX

367

381

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation17

Adjusted EBIT* and adjusted EBIT marginMEUR; %

GOOD DEVELOPMENT IN A TOUGH ENVIRONMENT IN Q4

▪ In Q4, restructuring

costs related to the

Accelerate program:

EUR 13.5 million

* Adjusted EBIT was introduced in September 2017. Adjusted EBIT excludes restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program** KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016 are not restated and thus not fully comparable.

Adjusted EBIT

725

829

367 381

1,200

1,400

200

0

400

600

1,000

800

1,600

1,2931,206

2014

1,112

1,251

2011 2012 20182013 2015 2016 2017

13.7%

2019

14.5%

2020

9531,036

1,241 1,237

Q4 growth

3.6%

Q4 adj.

EBIT margin

+ Improved

pricing and

cost efficiency

2020 growth

1.1%

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January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation18

Cash flow from operations*MEUR

Q4 CASH FLOW DECLINED SLIGHTLY FROM COMPARISON PERIOD, FULL YEAR CASH FLOW EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG

▪ Net working capital

contributed positively

to the cash flow in

2020

▪ Improvement was

driven by a positive

development in several

net working capital

items

* Before financing items and taxesKONE had adopted IFRS16 from January 1, 2019 onward which improved cash flow from operations as payments of lease liabilities were included into cash flow from financing activities. The cash flows for comparative periods have not been restated.

Cash flow

386

368

1,000

0

2,000

1,500

500

1,550

20132011 2012 2014 2015 2016

1,213

2017 2018 2019 2020

820

1,071

1,346

1,474 1,509

1,2631,150

1,908

Page 19: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Market and business outlook for 2021

Page 20: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Market outlook for 2021

New equipment markets

▪ The Chinese market is expected to be stable or to grow

▪ In the rest of the world, the market is expected to be down y-o-y in the first

quarter due to a high comparison point and then to start recovering

Maintenance markets

▪ The maintenance markets are expected to be resilient, excluding the direct

impacts of the lockdown measures

Modernization markets

▪ The fundamental growth drivers are intact but uncertainty in the market

could still delay decision-making in modernization projects

January 28, 202120

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Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation21

Sales

▪ KONE estimates that in 2021, its sales growth will

be in the range of 0% to 6% at comparable

exchange rates as compared to 2020

Adjusted EBIT

▪ The adjusted EBIT margin is expected to be in the

range of 12.4% to 13.4%

Business outlook for 2021

Burdening our resultSupporting our performance

Impacts of COVID-19

Raw materials and

logistics

Investing in our

capability to sell and

deliver digital services

and solutions

Around MEUR -20

impact on EBIT from

exchange rates

Solid order book and

maintenance base

Improved margin of

orders received

Continual improvements

in quality and

productivity

January 28, 2021

Page 22: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Entering the next phase in KONE’s strategy

Page 23: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Customer centricity

▪ Mindset

▪ Ways of working

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation23

What has changed during this strategy period?

MINDSET

Customer-centricity

New capabilities

What did we accomplish during ’Winning with customers’ strategy phase?

OFFERING

New services and solutions

delivering value to

our customers

WAYS OF WORKING

Smarter and more efficient

organization

1

2 3

Page 24: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Positive development in

Net Promotor Score

Very positive development in

Employee engagement

Good development in our strategic targets over the strategy period

Strong development in both

new equipment and services

EBIT-% burdened by several headwinds,

positive development in 2020

Leader in eco-efficiency, continued

reduction in CO2/sales, improved safety

and diversity & inclusion

Page 25: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Sustainable success with customers

KONE STRATEGY 2021–2024

Page 26: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation26

Page 27: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

WHERE TO WIN

Where we grow faster than market

and how we differentiate

WAYS TO WIN

How we develop KONE Way and our capabilities

to succeed in a dynamic environment

Service business in China

Smart and sustainable cities

New solutions for customer value

Core products and services Empowered people

Marketing and sales renewal

Lean KONE

Digital + physical enterprise

27

Page 28: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Summary

▪ Strong performance overall in

an exceptional environment

▪ Entering the next phase of our

strategy with optimism and from

a position of strength

Page 29: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016
Page 30: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Appendix

Page 31: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

By business By area

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation31

1-12/2019 figures in brackets. Figures in charts are rounded and at historical exchange rates.

1-12/2020 Sales split

54%

(53%)32%

(32%)

14%

(15%)

41%

(39%)

39%

(41%)

20%

(21%)

New equipment

Maintenance

Modernization

Asia-Pacific

EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa)

Americas

Page 32: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

New equipment marketNew equipment orders received in units vs. market development

China’s share of KONE’s orders received and salesMonetary value

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation32

KONE in China

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

<20%

2006-2014

CAGR

2015- 017

CAGR

>35%

2018 2019 Q1-Q3

2020

Q4

2020

stable>-5%

KONE

Market<35%

1-12/2019

<40%

1-12/2020 1-12/2020

<30%

1-12/2019

~30%

% of sales% of orders received

The market grew slightly in units

KONE’s new equipment orders

grew significantly in units and in

monetary value

>5%<5%

>5%

<5%

>10%

<10%

~5%

>10%

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Sales by currencies 1-12/2020 Currency impact

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation33

Currencies

Main currencies

EUR

Other

RMB

USDMEUR Q4/2020 1-12/2020

Sales -84.9 -184.1

EBIT -8.0 -18.4

Orders

received-70.5 -163.0

1-12/2020

average

1-12/2019

average

Dec 31,

2020 spot

EUR /

RMB7.8916 7.7353 8.0225

EUR /

USD1.1452 1.1214 1.2271

EUR /

GBP0.8864 0.8773 0.8990

EUR /

AUD1.6523 1.6090 1.5896

Page 34: KONE Q4 2020 2020_Presentation...KONE has applied IFRS 15 and IFRS 9 standards from January 1, 2018 onwards and 2017 financials are restated retrospectively. Figures for 2011-2016

Balance sheet – assets employed

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation34

MEUR Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019

Assets employed

Goodwill 1,327.0 1,366.5

Other intangible assets 223.2 248.2

Tangible assets 710.0 742.2

Investments 143.2 139.2

Net working capital -1,160.1 -856.0

Assets employed total 1,243.4 1,640.0

Financed by

Equity 3,197.3 3,192.9

Net debt -1,953.8 -1,552.9

Equity and net debt total 1,243.4 1,640.0

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Net working capital

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation35

MEUR Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019

Net working capital

Inventories 597.0 648.6

Advance payments received and deferred revenue -1,766.8 -1,753.8

Accounts receivable 2,178.6 2,232.3

Other non-interest-bearing assets 720.9 669.6

Other non-interest-bearing liabilities -1,996.2 -1,848.0

Provisions -154.7 -127.1

Accounts payable -890.9 -809.8

Net deferred tax assets / liabilities 152.0 132.1

Net working capital total -1,160.1 -856.0

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Consolidated statement of cash flows

January 28, 2021 Results presentation for 2020 | © KONE Corporation36

MEUR 1-12/2020 1-12/2019

Operating income 1,212.9 1,192.5

Change in working capital before financing items and taxes 455.6 115.7

Depreciation and amortization 239.0 241.5

Cash flow from operations before financing items and

taxes1,907.5 1,549.6

Financing items and taxes -357.3 -279.9

Cash flow from operating activities 1,550.2 1,269.7

Investing activities -109.8 -121.8

Purchase of own shares - -

Increase in equity (option rights) - 37.5

Profit distribution -880.5 -851.7

Changes in non-controlling interest -3.8 -3.7

Free cash flow 556.1 330.3