KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample...

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KONE Q3 2017 OCTOBER 26, 2017 HENRIK EHRNROOTH, PRESIDENT & CEO ILKKA HARA, CFO

Transcript of KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample...

Page 1: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

KONE Q3 2017OCTOBER 26, 2017

HENRIK EHRNROOTH, PRESIDENT & CEO

ILKKA HARA, CFO

Page 2: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

Q3 2017 highlights

▪ Orders received returned to

growth in China with positive

contribution from focused

pricing actions

▪ Roll-out of new services gaining

momentum

▪ Profitability still burdened by

several headwinds

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Q3 2017 key figures

3

7-9/2017 7-9/2016Historical

changeComparable

change

Orders received MEUR 1,739.0 1,771.7 -1.8% 2.1%

Order book MEUR 8,703.0 8,699.0 0.0% 4.5%

Sales MEUR 2,190.8 2,170.2 0.9% 4.4%

Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 307.3 331.1 -7.2%

Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 14.0 15.3

Adjusted EBIT MEUR 310.6 331.1 -6.2%

Adjusted EBIT margin % 14.2 15.3

Cash flow from operations

(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 302.7 400.6

Basic earnings per share EUR 0.48 0.52

ORDERS RECEIVED AND SALES GREW AT COMPARABLE RATES, EBIT % STILL UNDER PRESSURE

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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January-September 2017 key figures

4

1-9/2017 1-9/2016Historical

changeComparable

change

Orders received MEUR 5,708.2 5,781.8 -1.3% 0.6%

Order book MEUR 8,703.0 8,699.0 0.0% 4.5%

Sales MEUR 6,285.5 6,191.1 1.5% 3.1%

Operating income (EBIT) MEUR 851.4 901.1 -5.5%

Operating income margin (EBIT %) % 13.5 14.6

Adjusted EBIT MEUR 854.7 901.1 -5.1%

Adjusted EBIT margin % 13.6 14.6

Cash flow from operations

(before financing items and taxes)MEUR 928.4 1,099.6

Basic earnings per share EUR 1.34 1.42

GOOD SALES GROWTH AND STABLE ORDERS IN A MIXED OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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5

13%

(13%)

34%

(33%)

53%

(54%)

ModernizationMaintenanceNew equipment

20%

(18%)

40%

(38%)

41%

(44%)

EMEA (Europe, Middle East and Africa) AmericasAsia-Pacific

BY BUSINESS BY AREA

1-9/2017 sales splitSHARE OF SERVICES AND THE AMERICAS AND EMEA REGIONS OUT OF TOTAL SALES CONTINUED TO GROW

1–9/2016 figures in brackets.

Figures in charts are rounded and at historical exchange rates.

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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Q3 business overview

▪ POSITIVES

▪ Both orders received and sales continued on a growth path

▪ Focused pricing actions and continued productivity improvements

showing positive impact

▪ Roll-out of new services gaining momentum

▪ Newly launched Residential Flow solution has raised high interest

among customers

▪ HEADWINDS

▪ Profitability continued to be burdened by several headwinds

▪ Competition remained intense in most markets

October 26, 20176

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Our strategy is delivering results and we will now accelerate our execution

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation7

TO GET FULL BENEFITS WE NEED TO

ACCELERATE THE PROGRESS

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8

Our Accelerate program targets improved customer-centricity, speed and efficiency

Increasing

speed

Increase speed in rolling-out

new services and solutions

Improving

efficiency

Leverage our scale even

better – improve service and

efficiency of non-customer

facing functions

Building customer-

centric capabilities

Strengthen customer interface

and people development in

local units

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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Market development

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10

New equipment market development in Q3

EMEA market North American market Asia-Pacific market

Q3 development

(in units) + + -

Share of global

market (in units)

▪ Slight growth in South Europe

▪ Market in Central and North

Europe stable at a high level

▪ Growth in the Middle East

despite market uncertainty

▪ Continued growth in the

United States

▪ Pricing environment continued

to develop positively

▪ Market in China rather stable

in units. Pricing rather stable

compared to the previous

quarter

▪ In the rest of Asia-Pacific, the

new equipment markets

continued to decline, driven by

India in particular

>2/3<5%~20%

GLOBAL MARKET VOLUMES WERE STABLE

+ = slight growth (<5%), ++ = clear growth (5-10%), +++ = significant growth (>10%)

- = slight decline (<5%), -- = clear decline (5-10%), --- = significant decline (>10%)

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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11

Chinese property market

Housing inventories Housing sales and prices E&E market

▪ Housing inventories low in higher-tier

cities; slight uptick in inventory levels in

the lower-tier cities due to decelerating

property sales

▪ Government’s restrictive measures have

cooled down the housing market

▪ Property sales still growing at a good rate

in lower-tier cities

▪ Real estate investment remained

relatively stable at a good level

▪ E&E demand rather stable

Sources: China NBS, CREIS, E-house, KONE estimates

9/2017: Q3 2017:

0

10

20

30

40

50

13.4

11.4

23.2

Q1

2016

Q3

2017

Q3

2015

Q3

2016

Q1

2017

Q1

2015

Q3

2014

Q1

2014

Tier-2Tier-1 sample of lower-tier cities

9/2017:

Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA

-10

0

10

20

30

0.2%

6.4%

07/1701/1707/1601/1607/1501/1507/1401/14

M-o-MHousing prices, Y-o-Y

PROPERTY MARKET SHOWING SIGNS OF COOLING OFF

-10

0

10

20

30

Q3

2017

7.4%

Q1

2017

Q3

2016

Q1

2016

Q3

2015

Q1

2015

Q3

2014

Q1

2014

E&E market Y-o-Y in unitsREI Y-o-Y

Rather

stable

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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Service market development in Q3

EMEA market North American market Asia-Pacific market

Maintenance

+ + +++Q3 development

Share of global

market (in units)

▪ Pricing environment remained

tough especially in South Europe

▪ Positive development except for

retail segment

▪ Continued good growth across the

region

Modernizationstable + +++

Q3 development

Share of global

market

(in monetary value)

▪ Mixed development ▪ Slight growth with continued

favorable development in the

pricing environment

▪ Significant market growth

~40%<10%>40%

GROWTH CONTINUED ACROSS REGIONS

>15%~25%~1/3

12

+ = slight growth (<5%), ++ = clear growth (5-10%), +++ = significant growth (>10%)

- = slight decline (<5%), -- = clear decline (5-10%), --- = significant decline (>10%)

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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Q3 financials

Page 14: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

500

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

0

-1.8%

-0.6%

Q4Q3

1,739

Q2

2,056

Q1

1,913

-1.5%

68

Growth at

comp. FX

Q3 2016

1,772

Q3 2017

1,739

FX

14

Orders receivedORDERS IN CHINA RETURNED TO GROWTH

MEUR

2010 2017

At historical exchange rates

▪ The relative margin of orders

received declined slightly but

remained at a good level

+ China returned to

growth, continued

growth in EMEA and

Americas,

- Orders declined in

rest of Asia-Pacific

2.1%

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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0

3,000

2,500

1,000

2,000

1,500

500

Q1 Q2

2,191

+0.9%

1,810

Q3 Q4

+3.5%

+0.5%

2,28471

2,191

FX

Mo

de

rniz

atio

n

Ma

inte

nan

ce

Q3

2017

New

equ

ipm

en

t

Q3

2016

2,170

15

SalesSALES GROWTH DRIVEN BY SERVICES

MEUR

2010 2017

At historical exchange rates

▪ EMEA: +10.4%

▪ Americas: +7.5%

▪ Asia-Pacific: -2.4%

+4.4%

At comparable exchange rates:

+2.7%

+5.1%

+9.5%

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

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311326

218

0

250

500

Q2Q1

-6.2%-6.4%

-1.7%

Q4Q3

13

331

311

FXProfitabilityGrowthQ3 2016 Q3 2017

16

EBITEBIT MARGIN STILL BURDENED BY SEVERAL HEADWINDS

ADJUSTED EBIT*, MEUR

2010 2017

At historical exchange rates

+ Services growth,

productivity

improvements

- Raw materials, margin

pressure in China

- R&D and IT

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation

* Adjusted EBIT introduced in September 2017. Adjusted EBIT excludes

restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program.

Page 17: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

Market and business outlook for 2017

Page 18: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

Market outlook for 2017

▪ NEW EQUIPMENT MARKETS

– Asia-Pacific: The market in China is expected to be relatively stable in units

ordered and competition is expected to continue intense. In the rest of Asia-

Pacific, the market is expected to decline slightly in 2017, but to return to

growth towards the end of the year.

– Europe, Middle East and Africa: the market is expected to grow slightly.

– North America: the market is expected to grow slightly.

▪ MAINTENANCE MARKETS

– The maintenance markets are expected to see the strongest growth rate in

Asia-Pacific and to grow slightly also in other regions.

▪ MODERNIZATION MARKETS

– The modernization market is expected to grow slightly in Europe and in North

America and to develop strongly in Asia-Pacific.October 26, 201718

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Business outlook for 2017 (unchanged)

▪ SALES

– KONE’s net sales is estimated to grow by 1–3% at comparable

exchange rates as compared to 2016.

▪ ADJUSTED EBIT

– The adjusted EBIT is expected to be in the range of EUR 1,200-

1,250 million, assuming that translation exchange rates would remain

at approximately the end of September level for the remainder of the

year. Restructuring costs related to the Accelerate program are

excluded from the calculation of adjusted EBIT.

October 26, 201719

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Q3 summary

▪ Orders back on growth track

▪ Firm actions to offset the

impact of several headwinds

continued

▪ Strategy execution progressing

well; the new Accelerate

program to speed up the

progress

Page 21: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10
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APPENDIX

October 26, 201722

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KONE in China

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation23

Share

of sales

<30%

Share of

orders

received

<35% >30%>35%

1-9/2016

Share

of salesShare of

orders

received

NEW EQUIPMENT MARKET

New equipment orders received in units vs. market development

CHINA’S SHARE OF KONE’S ORDERS AND SALES

In monetary value

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Q2/2017Q1/20172016

~-5%~-5%

2015

~-5%

<5%

2006-2014

CAGR

<20%

>35%

Q3/2017

Market

KONE

1-9/2017

The China market was

stable in units.

KONE’s orders were stable

in units.

The China market declined

slightly in units.

KONE’s orders declined

slightly in units.

The China market

was rather stable

in units.

KONE’s orders

were stable in

units and

increased in

monetary value.

Page 24: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

Currencies

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation24

SALES BY CURRENCY 1–12/2016

(MEUR) Q3/2017 1-9/2017

Sales -71 -94

EBIT -13 -20

Orders

received-68 -108

Others

USD

RMB

EUR

MAIN CURRENCIESCURRENCY IMPACT

1-9/2017

average

2016

average

Sep 30,

2017 spot

EUR / RMB 7.5828 7.3199 7.8534

EUR / USD 1.1151 1.1021 1.1806

EUR / GBP 0.8719 0.8159 0.8818

EUR / AUD 1.4592 1.4807 1.5075

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Q3 2017 Balance sheet – assets employed

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation25

MEUR Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Dec 31, 2016

Assets employed

Goodwill 1,324.1 1,346.7 1,371.8

Other intangible assets 272.4 266.7 292.9

Tangible assets 368.5 362.9 368.3

Investments 121.2 143.1 129.9

Net working capital -933.3 -1,052.8 -1,054.8

Assets employed total 1,152.9 1,066.5 1,108.0

Financed by

Equity 2,617.8 2,435.2 2,795.6

Net debt -1,464.9 -1,368.7 -1,687.6

Equity and net debt total 1,152.9 1,066.5 1,108.0

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Q3 2017 Net working capital

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation26

MEUR Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Dec 31, 2016

Net working capital

Inventories 1,527.7 1,531.8 1,373.5

Advance payments received -2,072.1 -2,134.7 -1,976.9

Accounts receivable 1,484.2 1,470.7 1,573.7

Other non-interest-bearing assets 497.2 564.8 429.8

Other non-interest-bearing liabilities -1,695.6 -1,806.2 -1,692.5

Provisions -135.1 -167.5 -183.2

Accounts payable -690.2 -676.7 -743.3

Net deferred tax assets / liabilities 150.5 165.0 164.1

Net working capital total -933.3 -1,052.8 -1,054.8

Page 27: KONE Q3 2017 · 2016 Q3 2017 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q1 2017 Q1 2015 Q3 2014 Q1 2014 Tier-1 Tier-2 sample of lower-tier cities 9/2017: Newly built area for sale / monthly sales 3-m MVA-10

Q3 2017 Consolidated cash flow

October 26, 2017 Interim Report, January-September 2017 | © KONE Corporation27

MEUR7-9/2017 7-9/2016 1-9/2017 1-9/2016 1-12/2016

Operating income 307.3 331.1 851.4 901.1 1,293.3

Change in working capital before financing items and taxes -32.9 42.9 -7.8 120.6 109.7

Depreciation and amortization 28.3 26.6 84.8 77.9 106.5

Cash flow from operations before financing items and

taxes 302.7 400.6 928.4 1,099.6 1,509.5

Financing items and taxes -107.7 -100.0 -242.1 -238.4 -331.0

Cash flow from operating activities 195.0 300.7 686.2 861.3 1,178.4

Investing activities -39.2 -39.2 -96.3 -160.1 -197.6

Purchase of own shares - - - -39.3 -39.3

Increase in equity (option rights) 7.1 5.1 21.6 11.5 18.4

Profit distribution - - -795.4 -718.2 -718.2

Changes in non-controlling interest -2.7 -6.7 -3.2 -26.6 -26.7

Free cash flow 160.2 259.9 -187.0 -71.4 214.9