KONE CMD 2015 An attractive business model with a high return … · High share of outsourcing to...
Transcript of KONE CMD 2015 An attractive business model with a high return … · High share of outsourcing to...
KONE CMD 2015 An attractive business model with a high return on capital Eriikka Söderström, CFO September 25, 2015
Global position in a life cycle business
Agenda
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues
Flexible cost structure
Good cash flow generation
High return on capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 2
We have strengthened our position globally and grown profitably
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 3
KONE sales by business 2009-H1/2015
MEUR
H1/2015
3,901
33%
11%
56%
2014
7,334
32%
13%
55%
2013
6,933
2012
6,277
2011
5,225
2010
4,987
2009
4,744
34%
19%
47%
Maintenance Modernization New equipment
KONE sales by area 2009-H1/2015
7,334
41%
15%
44%
2013
6,933
2012
6,277
2011
5,225
2010
4,987
2009 H1/2015
3,901
44%
16%
40%
2014
4,744
17%
21%
62%
Asia-Pacific
EMEA Americas
MEUR
Our regions are seeing different development phases and opportunities in the market
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 4
North America
>30%
<70%
Asia-Pacific ex-China
~50%
~50%
China
>90%
<10%
Middle East
~75%
~25%
Europe
~30%
~70%
Share of new equipment Share of services
SPLIT OF KONE’S NEW EQUIPMENT AND SERVICE SALES PER AREA
Europe and North America: We focus on further improving our field productivity and delivery capability
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 5
New equipment and
modernization
Maintenance
Decrease cost with installation productivity
Further improve sales management and product competitiveness
Invest into the delivery capability of our strong order book in North America
Improve productivity of field
operations with new technology
Continue building pricing capabilities
Asia-Pacific and the Middle East: We continue to invest in our delivery capabilities and processes
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 6
New equipment
Service
Ensure high quality
execution of strong order book
Continue expanding our service footprint and capabilities
Implement global best practices
Further improve product
competitiveness and installation productivity
China
Rest of Asia-Pacific & Middle East
Global position in a life cycle business
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues
Flexible cost structure
Good cash flow generation
High return on capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 7
Our order book is at a record-high level following solid growth in orders received
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 8
The order book consists of new equipment and modernization orders received
A strong order book
gives us longer term visibility
10,000
0
8,000
4,000
6,000
2,000
H1/2015
8,627
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
3,309
MEUR
Order book at historical exchange rates
ORDER BOOK 2009-H1/2015
The share of major projects and North America within the order book has increased
Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 9
Indicative breakdown of KONE’s order book
September 25, 2015
Order book rotation (new equipment)
Major projects
Globally Up to 5 years
Volume business
Europe ~1‒1.5 years
North America ~1.5‒2 years
Asia-Pacific ex China ~1.5‒2.5 years
China < 1 year
H1/2015
Volume projects Major projects
H1/2015
North America Asia-Pacific
EMEA
Estimated lag from new equipment order to completion
Maintenance provides a solid foundation for the business with recurring revenues
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 10
Retention rates for
existing maintenance contracts 90-95% globally
Growth in the business is scalable and requires little capital investment
Maintenance revenues form a stable foundation for the business through economic cycles
2,400
2,000
400
1,600
1,200
800
0 H1/2015
1,294
2014
2,338
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
1,625
MEUR
MAINTENANCE SALES 2009-H1/2015
Global position in a life cycle business
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues
Flexible cost structure
Good cash flow generation
High return on capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 11
Our cost structure is flexible and scalable
Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 12
Sourcing and manufacturing High share of outsourcing to component
suppliers
September 25, 2015
Installation Subcontracting used in installation
Service Expansion of footprint requires little
investment
Flexible cost base, with a low share of
fixed costs
Sourcing cost Favorable raw material price
development in key component materials
Labor cost inflation In mature markets low single digit
Higher but manageable in emerging
markets, trend slowing
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 13
Cost environment
Pricing is a headwind in many markets; cost environment on a favorable trend
New equipment Price competition continues intense in
many markets Services Modernization pricing environment
improving in growing markets
Regional variation in maintenance pricing
There are both headwinds and tailwinds in the cost environment
Pricing environment
We have several ways to address the challenges and opportunities in pricing and sourcing
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Pricing actions
Strengthen sales management and further improve sales data
analytics
September 25, 2015
Sourcing actions
Product cost development
actions
Numerous ways to improve product cost competitiveness:
- Optimized use of components - Simplicity in manufacturing, easier installation process
Ensure competitive prices from economies of scale
Ensure benefits from favorable raw material prices
We are addressing the pressures and also looking for opportunities
Our foreign exchange exposure is mostly limited to translation risk
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Transactional Balance between sales and costs provides
good natural hedging
Translational Changes in translation rates have an impact on
sales and EBIT
Full-year EBIT guidance includes a positive impact of 100-120 MEUR, assuming that translation exchange rates would remain at the average level of January-June 2015
Economic No major implications on competitiveness
Sales by currency H1/2015 Foreign exchange impacts
Others
2015
EUR
RMB
USD/CAD
Global position in a life cycle business
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues
Flexible cost structure
Good cash flow generation
High return on capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 16
Our working capital has remained at a very good level, supporting the strong cash flow
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1,500
1,250
1,000
750
500
250
0 Q2
1,378
2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 Q2 09
MEUR
12m rolling quarterly cash flow from operations (before financing items and taxes)
12M rolling quarterly cash flow
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.25
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.25 1.21 1.18 1.17
1.04 1.13
Cash conversion rate 2009-2014
Note: Cash conversion rate calculated as cash flow from operations before financing items and taxes / EBITDA
We are focused on maintaining a good level of working capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 18
Negative working capital WC rotation relative to sales
20
30
10
100
50
40
110
0
70
80
90
60
Q2 09
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Inventory rotation Accounts receivable & other non-IB assets rotation Accounts payable & other non-IB liabilities rotation
1,500
-2,000
-500
0
500
1,000
-1,500
-1,000
-2,500 2011 2010 Q2
09 2013 2012 Q2 2014
Net working capital Advance payments
Inventories Net inventory
Figures include new equipment and modernization
1,428
-574
-2,002
-940
Our capital expenditure needs remain low
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49 50 50
5358 62
36
14222033
161313
29
74
119
524447
88
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
66 64 62
49
84 79
86
MEUR
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
H1/ 2015
Amortization of acquisition related intangible assets Depreciation Capital expenditure excluding acquisitions
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE AND DEPRECIATION EXCLUDING ACQUISITIONS
Activity continues with acquisitions and we aim to further accelerate this
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37
6783
169185
46
167
0
40
80
120
160
200
H1/2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
(Nr of acquisitions) 21 21 23 21 38 17
We mainly acquire small local
maintenance companies to strengthen the density of our maintenance portfolio
In addition, we have acquired our distributors from time to time to expand to new markets
We make acquisitions within our business scope of providing the best People FlowTM experience 13
MEUR
ACQUISITION SPEND 2009-H1/2015
KONE’s financial performance has enabled increasing dividend payments to shareholders
Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 21 September 25, 2015
0.2
0.5
1.1
0.3 0.4
0.1 0.0
0.9
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.01
1986
1993
1991
0.02 1994
1988 1987
1989 1990
0.02
1984 1985
1992
CAGR +15%
2014
1.20
2013
1.00
2012
0.88
0.70
2011 2010
0.45
2009 2008 2007
0.33
2006 2005 2004 2003
0.25
2002
0.19
2001
0.09
2000
0.06
1999
0.04
1998 1997 1996 1995
1983 1982 1981 1980
0.01
Note: Includes the basic dividend. Adjusted for share splits in 1999 (1:3), 2002 (1:3), 2005 (1:2), 2008 (1:2) and 2013 (1:2). 1 EUR= 5.9 FIM; not adjusted to constant exchange rate. Additional extraordinary dividends: for 2009, a double dividend was paid; for 2011, an extraordinary dividend of EUR 0.75 was paid and for 2012 an extraordinary dividend of EUR 0.65 was paid.
EUR
SPLIT-ADJUSTED DIVIDEND PER CLASS B SHARE, 1980-2014
Global position in a life cycle business
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues
Flexible cost structure
Good cash flow generation
High return on capital
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 22
Our return on capital is very high
Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 23 September 25, 2015
%
0
10
20
30
40
50
37.7 36.3
29.4
34.3 34.8 34.0
2012 2011 2014 2009 2010
37.1
2013 H1/2015
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED 2009-H1/2015
We have grown profitably over the past 10 years and improved our EBIT margin at the same time The margin improvement over the last decade has been supported by:
September 25, 2015 Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 24
Improvement in profitability
even with the share of new equipment increasing
Operational efficiency
Scale and rationalization in sourcing
Fixed cost leverage
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
2006 Q2/2015
Note: Excluding one-time items. For 2012, intangible asset amortizations burden the margin.
12M QUARTERLY ROLLING EBIT MARGIN, Q4/2005-Q2/2015
Our long term targets remain intact
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Growth
Profitability
Cash flow
September 25, 2015
Faster than market
EBIT margin of 16%
Improved working capital rotation
We maintain the 16% long-term margin target WE HAVE FOUR KEY FOCUS AREAS GOING FORWARD
Eriikka Söderström | Capital Markets Day 2015 | © KONE Corporation 26 September 25, 2015
Productivity
Maintenance
Installation
Fixed cost management and leverage
Quality of field operations
New product quality
Accelerating service business growth
Faster than market growth in new equipment business
Smart growth investments
Granular market understanding
Right balance between growth and profitability
Processes and tools
Growth Pricing Quality
Global position in a lifecycle business
Good cash flow generation
Flexible cost structure
High return on capital
Strong order book combined with recurring revenues