Knowledge Futures in ICT and Education
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Transcript of Knowledge Futures in ICT and Education
Knowledge Futures in ICT and Education
Gordon J. Pace
Introduction and Disclaimer
By now, you’ve heard about the eForesee project from far too many lecturers – I will be presenting the
Foresight process adopted, and the results of the process, and will not
say anything about the project itself.
Overview of the Process
Tools Used: Stakeholder-mapping to include strategic
players, a range of experts and other stakeholders.
Local awareness-raising and training events. Questionnaires The creation of an Expert Panel responsible
for refining the inputs from the consultations. Identification and analysis of main drivers.
Overview of the Process
The Outcomes of the Process Identification of actions lines. Creation of independent Foresight initiatives. Creation of the Vision Document. A second round of consultations with the
strategic players. Implementation of the principal Action Lines.
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Building a List of Stakeholders
Stakeholders identified through: Participants from NSIT Individuals identified Respondents to call for interest in local media. Persons registering on eForesee website Participants in various awareness raising eventsAnd categorised by: Ability to provide useful input Ability to influence change Ability to increase validity of outcome
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Mapping of Stakeholders
Awareness-raising events Questionnaire-based surveys Co-nomination exercises Extensive use of various media, in particular
the eForesee website Stakeholder analysis
Foresight Training Workshop Rationale and Approach to Foresight
Using Foresight for National STI Policy-making (the Accession Challenge)
Different kinds of foresight (Technology vs. Social) Scoping foresight, the process of developing realistic objectives,
mission statement Linkage to STI Policy and key decision-makers
Foresight tools and transfer of hands-on experience Learning from Relevant Foresight Experiences in the EU
particularly those focused on small catch-up economies. Different approaches for adapting foresight tools. Making the Most of Foresight Outputs Designing a Foresight Exercise: From theory to practice
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Four Archetypal Scenarios
Business as usual (surprise-free, best guess)
Hard times (major challenges but not catastrophic collapse)
Onwards and upwards (successful mastery of current trends, do better)
Visionary/ paradigm shift (alternative directions).
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Contrasting Visions for Malta’s Future in 2020
Hard Times – Apocalypse Soon! or APOCALYPSO
Onward and Upward Scenario : A Forward-Looking Malta
Paradigm Shift Scenario: Go.Malta.Go (Global Malta/IT-friendly Malta)
HARD TIMESApocalyse Soon! or APOCALYPSO
‘Malta is sidelined - no active participation anywhere in the world. Not forming part of the global knowledge economy
Persistence of the current situation especially the fragmentation in industry, government, organisations
The baggage of a thousand years… We cannot share and network if we have never been taught to do
this. No teamwork at all levels We cannot blame youngsters if we do not teach them Limited space … Feel threatened No one is doing any sharing Brain drain Unutilised capacity of ICT investment and in education Lack of R&D
Onward and Upward Scenario : A Forward-Looking Malta
Malta is competitive, a leader in ICT with good quality of life, cares for the social and economic aspects and encourages the generation and fostering of ideas.
The relationship between academic and industrial spheres is strong Development of the sectors of research and innovation There is training at all levels and re-thinking of the educational system There is a social debate about value of technology and how to use it More maturity among social partners Rethinking of political transparency and political system The infrastructure is improved Cooperation develops between local companies and clusters develop The right funding arrangements are available.
Paradigm Shift Scenario: Go.Malta.Go Malta is a showcase to propagate ideas and experiments in education. Flexible (human resources) Small is beautiful Creativity Community spirit and collaboration Maximising on Malta’s entrepreneurial heritage Application of communication/ collaboration skills Higher levels of technological innovation Infrastructural upgrades Government as a facilitator – e-government and incentives for
investment but largely driven by commerce Reliant on private sector ICT catering for needs in business, communication and education Virtual – high bandwidth in place Cultural – languages, brokerage skills
The Vision: Go.Malta.GoMalta in 2010 – Living in a Knowledge Community
Highly-networked, knowledge-driven community where the knowledge residing in individuals and organizations, is mapped on an ongoing basis, and made available in real-time via the National Knowledge Platform to the community for discussion, analysis and learning. Organisational, sectoral and socio-cultural boundaries are thereby lowered, allowing for strong community dynamics in favour of fast track learning.
Highly innovative product niches created, with ideas and individuals produced through a national applied research center, and supported by a startup fund to enable the exploitation of emerging new ideas.
The Vision: Go.Malta.Go Malta in 2010 – Living in a Knowledge Community
Local knowledge strengths in cultural heritage, commerce, crafts, fisheries, education, lifelong learning, creativity, health, diplomacy, the Maltese diaspora, are fully but sustainably exploited using latest developments in science, technology and innovation.
The highly developed ICT and KM infrastructure, the excellent location and facilities for conferencing and research, as well as Malta’s small size make it an ideal testbed for a synergy of innovative eCommunity, eGovernance and eCommerce ventures.
The Vision: Go.Malta.Go Malta in 2010 – Living in a Knowledge Community
The ageing population in Europe allows Malta to exploit specialized niche markets in tourism catering for a range of concerns and interests including a secure environment, health, knowledge services especially for persons with special needs, lifelong learning, cultural heritage, required by the more well-off, mature tourist.
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
Drivers within Maltese Context
Governance 25
Social/ Cultural 15
Education System (and research) 12
Industry/ Economic 9
Links to Europe and the Mediterranean Region 5
Human Resources 5
Technology 3
Infrastructure and Environment 3
Overview of the process
STEP 1
STEP 2
STEP 3
STEP 4
STEP 5
STEP 6
Stakeholder MappingStakeholder Pool
StrategicClients Experts
Consultations, Interviews,On-line fora,
Desk-based research
Mapping Alternative FuturesEvents and On-Line
Feasibility Analysis, SWOTs on Driver, Expert Panel Meetings and WGs
Exploring Scenarios Expert Panel Meetings Facilitated Workshop
• Possible• Feasible• Preferred
• Science & Tech• Economic & Political• Socio-cultural
RecommendationsAction Lines and ReportsEditoral Group Meetings
Dissemination,Consultation,
Implementation, Events, Interviews
STEP 6
STEP 7
Expert
Panel
The Vision: A Summary
Exploitation of highly innovative product niches: Building a highly developed ICT infrastructure; Malta’s small size: a testbed for innovative
eAnything ICT creating a more secure, better-
networked community.
The Vision: Malta in 2010: Living in a Knowledge Community
Innovative R&D towards a more competitive ICT industry within a
highly-networked, knowledge-driven community.
MCAST
Diploma Courses
Pri/Sec ICT education Industry
University of Malta
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education Industry
MCAST
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education Industry
MCAST
Mobility Programme
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education Industry
MCAST
Mobility Programme
Startup fund
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education Industry
MCAST
Mobility Programme
Startup fund
RTDI Programme
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education
Innovative startups
MCAST
Development Industry
Multi-nationals
Mobility Programme
Startup fund
RTDI Programme
Legal, Regulatory
& Standards Network
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education
Innovative startups
MCAST
Development Industry
Multi-nationals
Mobility Programme
Startup fund
RTDI Programme
Legal, Regulatory
& Standards Network
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education
Innovative startups
MCAST
Development Industry
Multi-nationals
Mobility Programme
eCrime & Security forum
Startup fund
RTDI Programme
Legal, Regulatory
& Standards Network
More
research
oriented
education
University of Malta
Diploma Courses
Applied Research Centre
Pri/Sec ICT education
Innovative startups
MCAST
Development Industry
Multi-nationals
Mobility Programme
eCareer and eEmployment Network
Startup fund
RTDI Programme
eCrime & Security forum
Other Action Lines
Instilling a Foresight culture: Schools, policy making …
Widening education: e-learning, e-centre for lifelong learning …
Social and community: Culture and ICT, FutureFest-Futurechild …
Conclusions
This was the first local Foresight experience It lacked a clear direction and premeditated
structure. We tried to emulate well-tried approaches which
worked well elsewhere, with limited success. The experience provided invaluable input to the
other Foresight exercises. The output is intended to be seen as a live
document, changing and adapting to new circumstances.
Conclusions (2)
Lack of relevant statistics and related resources is a major stumbling block for Technology Foresight in Malta.
The tools are useful, the process is invaluable, identifying and motivating the right actors is crucial.