Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda...

10
© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 1 www.insiidetrack.com 2/2009 - 03/2009 March 2009 - Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles have now become the focus as the markets (and the world) ap- proach an incredible convergence of multi-century cycles - mostly related to Jerusalem - arriving in 2010/2011. That is when an initial crescendo is expected, a likely precursor to 2017/2028, 2021 & 2027/2028. The following are some intriguing excerpts from the March 2009 INSIIDE Track - dealing with these geopolitical cycles and some corresponding market cycles, which in- clude the potential for a Major stock market low by March 6. Also included is another excerpt of ‘ancient’ analysis from the Cycle of Time discussions that de- tailed why 1999/2000 was projected to initiate a dramatic 7-year, 12-year & 19-year cycle of events in the Middle East - beginning with War Cycles forecast for the first full year of that new 360-year cycle (Sept. 2000--Sept. 2001 was the first full year). The fulfillment events of Sept. 2001 reinforced Middle East cycles colliding in 2010/2011... on the way to 2017/2018 - when Jerusalem ‘liberation’ & occupation cycles converge. Both of these cycles should pave the way for momentous Middle East events & changes - leading into 2027/2028... Outlook 2009... & Beyond IV: Upsetting the Status Quo... 02-26-09 - If I were to ask you what event - of the past 60 days - could have the greatest impact on the status quo over the next decade (or longer)... you might answer that one of the multiple bailout plans would. That would be a reasonable answer… You might cite the inauguration of President Obama, due to both its racial precedent and its impact on Jerusalem: 2010/2011 Cycles II Middle East Analysis Recap CONTENTS Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles.....1 INSIIDE Track excerpts....1 - 10 “...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1 by Eric S. Hadik Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II 2010/2011 Battles Likely

Transcript of Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda...

Page 1: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 1 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

March 2009 - Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles have now become the focus as the markets (and the world) ap-proach an incredible convergence of multi-century cycles - mostly related to Jerusalem - arriving in 2010/2011. That is when an initial crescendo is expected, a likely precursor to 2017/2028, 2021 & 2027/2028.

The following are some intriguing excerpts from the March 2009 INSIIDE Track - dealing with these geopolitical cycles and some corresponding market cycles, which in-clude the potential for a Major stock market low by March 6.

Also included is another excerpt of ‘ancient’ analysis from the Cycle of Time discussions that de-tailed why 1999/2000 was projected to initiate a dramatic 7-year, 12-year & 19-year cycle of events in the Middle East - beginning with War Cycles forecast for the first full year of that new 360-year cycle (Sept. 2000--Sept. 2001 was the first full year).

The fulfillment events of Sept. 2001 reinforced Middle East cycles colliding in 2010/2011... on the way to 2017/2018 - when Jerusalem ‘liberation’ & occupation cycles converge. Both of these cycles should pave the way for momentous Middle East events & changes - leading into 2027/2028...

Outlook 2009...

& Beyond IV: Upsetting the Status Quo...

02-26-09 - If I were to ask you what event - of the past 60 days - could have the greatest impact on the status quo over the next decade (or longer)... you might answer that one of the multiple bailout plans would. That would be a reasonable answer…

You might cite the inauguration of President Obama, due to both its racial precedent and its impact on

Jerusalem: 2010/2011 Cycles II

Middle East Analysis Recap

CONTENTS

Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles.....1

INSIIDE Track excerpts…....1 - 10

“...Let us run with patience the race that is set before us.” Hebrews 12:1

by Eric S. Hadik

Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II 2010/2011 Battles Likely

Page 2: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 2 www.insiidetrack.com

the political landscape (with Democrats now con-troling the House, Senate and White House). That would also be a reasonable answer.

Some might even conclude that the surge in S. American earth disturbances (more on this in a mo-ment) is part of a larger period of instability that will have far-reaching implications. I would agree (particularly since I just wrote that), but would specu-late that there was another event that could eventu-ally turn the status quo upside down...

Combined with the recent election results in Israel (okay, I cheated by piggy-backing two events - not just one), the discovery of a potentially massive deposit of Natural Gas - off the coast of Israel - could be the most destabilizing factor for the status quo (see article above).

In a normal world, an event like this would be greeted with elation or relief as a Western-friendly, democratic nation has just gained access to a large source of energy. But, this is not a normal world and anything good for Israel often becomes more fodder for calls to „wipe Israel off the map‟, as her neighbors have been crying out for decades.

This discovery of gas occurred only 18 days beyond 2008 - the cycle that was predicted (several years ago) to time a major oil discovery in Israel - and comes at the same time as so many corre-sponding events. Consider the following...

Oil prices have just collapsed, leaving many Arab nations angry at the West for not keeping oil above $120/bbl.

And, since some of them funneled large amounts of their oil windfall into military stockpiling, the economies and living conditions remain sub-standard for all but the sheiks or ruling party/family members.

Can you guess who will ultimately be blamed?

It won’t be the leaders of those nations. It will be Israelis... or Americans... or both.

On the heels of this oil collapse, Iran has:

1 - Reached the level in uranium-enrichment where it could theoretically build a bomb in 2009.

2 - Launched its first domestically-produced, commercial satellite into orbit on February 2, 2009 (while celebrating the 30-year anniversary of the

1979 Revolution). This came 360 degrees from its February (2nd or 3rd) 2008 launch of its Kavosh 1 rocket... and near the 2-year anniversary of when China exhibited its missile capabilities by shooting a weather satellite out of space.

[The late-January Space Cycle keeps hitting and was corroborated by the collision of a U.S. & Russian satellite in early February. This added about 500 fragments of orbiting debris for other sat-ellites to avoid.]

3 - The IAEA announced that it discovered an additional 460 pounds of enriched uranium - 30-35% more than originally disclosed by Iran. In the words of United Nations officials, they have „enough atoms to make an atom bomb‟.

Oh yeah... all the experts were ‘shocked’ by this revelation. Are these the same experts that - in 2008 - assured us that Iran had already abandoned its nuclear ambitions?

In August 2006, I described the unique, geo-metric pattern (90 degrees at a time) with regard to events in Iran and with its president - Ahmadinejad. This sequence ushered in major events every 90 days, with the months of February, May, August & November pinpointing these events...

Well, February 2009 has certainly perpetuated the cycle and turns focus forward to 90 (& 180 and 270) days/degrees from now... in May & August & November 2009.

Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles... Getting back to the original discussion…

At the exact time (2008 - 2011) when Kingdom of Jerusalem cycles converge, Israel has elected a new (potentially more hawkish) government and discovered a large deposit of natural gas - some-thing that could make then energy-independent in the years to come.

Meanwhile, their arch-nemesis - who swept into office in 2005 on the promise to „wipe Israel off the map‟ - has demonstrated his (and his nation’s) mis-sile, satellite and nuclear technology advances... all in the cyclically-momentous year of 2009.

And, for those that are paying attention, Ahmadinejad’s top cheerleader - Hugo Chavez - celebrated his own victory in Venezuela, a referen-

Page 3: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 3 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

dum that will let him rule, ad infinitum (as if he would have stepped down at the end of his term, anyway). The cord of three strands is not easily broken..

17-Year Cycle in Disease.. There were a few other events in the past 60 days that also warrant a review...

One very disconcerting revelation was the January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black Death‟. The one that decimated Europe - and some other nations - during the 1340’s (and had another surge in Holland, London and Vienna between 1663 - 1679).

This Plague (also known as Bubonic Plague) appeared in the late-1320’s and early-1330’s and reached its peak in the late-1340’s. It killed 30 - 60% of Europe’s population and 20-25% of the world’s population in the 1300’s.

680 Years (17-Year Cycle times 40 „periods of testing‟) after its late-1320’s discovery and 340 Years (the mid-point of that 680-Year period and another higher-degree multiple of the 17-Year Cy-cle) after the 1663 - 1679 outbreak, the Black Death has reared its ugly head. Of course, this time it could have been deliberate. The question is “Can it be stopped as quickly as it was started?”

[Editor’s Note: Immediately after Israel/Jerusalem Cycles converge in 2017/2018, this Plague Cycle should be monitored - from 2019 - 2028 (340 years from 1679 culmination & 680 years from late-1340’s culmination)]

17-Year Earth Disturbance Cycle... Similar to the 90-degree cycle that influences Mr. Ahmadinejad’s actions, S. American earth distur-bances have been on the same cycle (don’t ask me why earth instability in the Southern & Western

Israel Digging for ‘Gold’

ISRAEL DISCOVERS GAS! by Hillel Fendel

01/18/09 - http://www.IsraelNationalNews.com

The Houston-based Noble Energy company, drilling for Israel’s Delek fuel company, announced that it has dis-covered a huge deposit of natural gas under the Mediterranean Sea near Haifa. Infrastructures Minister Binyamin Ben-Eliezer (Labor) said that the find was of “historic proportions,” and that it could change the face of Israel’s economy.

Eighty-seven billion cubic meters, or nearly 3.1 trillion cubic feet, of high-quality gas are estimated to be in three deposits in the Tamar Drilling site, which is named for Delek owner Yitzchak Teshuva’s granddaughter. Teshuva said that the find marks a “historic milestone and a great holiday for Israel,” and that he has no doubt it will “supply Is-rael’s energy needs for many decades to come.” Stock prices in the Delek company jumped 38% following the an-nouncement, and its daughter company, Delek Drilling, has jumped even higher.

The gas is located 90 kilometers west of Haifa, between Israel and Cyprus, but the rights to the Cypriot drilling sites are also owned by Teshuvah. The depth of the water above the find is 1.7 kilometers, over a mile, and the gas is located another 4.9 kilometers deep in an area 140 meters wide. In light of the positive results from the finds, a $20 million test drill will be carried out over the next three weeks.

“Until now, proponents for the coal plant said that Israel could not afford to rely on natural gas from hostile countries. But now, we must bury the plans for the coal plant, which would be dangerous to the health of the resi-dents in the area. Instead, a plant fueled by green, Israeli natural gas must be built there, with minimal health risks and great financial benefits to Israel’s economy.”

www.insiidetrack.com

The November & December 2005 issues of INSIIDE Track (which can be found in the ‘Focus 5768 II’ Special Report) predicted a major oil strike in Israel in 2008, a 60-year cycle (as well as numerous other cycles that would enter new phases in 2008) from the discovery of the largest oil field in 1948 (Ghawar; in Saudi Arabia). It appears as though this projection was off... by 18 days. I never said cycles were perfect. The ramifications of this will likely play out for many years! IT

Page 4: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 4 www.insiidetrack.com

Hemisphere coincides with mental & emotional insta-bility in the Northern & Eastern Hemispheres).

This was demonstrated throughout 2008 but I have brought together - and updated where neces-sary - all the cycles followed and discussed last year.

These cycles begin with the 17-Year Swarm Cycle that has impacted global earthquakes and volcanoes (see January 2009 INSIIDE Track II), but also earthquakes and volcanoes in Central & South America... with a particular emphasis on Chile.

Leading into the latest ‘swarm’ - in 2007 - 2010 - Central & South America were displaying an uncanny precision on a 360-degree basis, experiencing major earthquakes and/or volcanoes in mid-November dur-ing 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 & 2008!

And, as the 2007 - 2010 ‘Swarm Cycle‟ was beginning, this 360-degree cycle broke down into a very consistent 90-degree cycle. Could this be lead-ing into a crescendo - a major earth event - just as accelerating and intensifying birth pains herald the imminent arrival of a new creation?...

[See the March 2009 INSIIDE Track for more details on this uncanny web of earthquake cycles - a harbinger of intensifying quakes in S. America (Chile?), Japan & N. America in the coming months & year(s) - with particular focus on specific months.]

While these discussions might seem unrelated to the markets - or „on the fringe‟ with respect to in-vesting - nothing could be farther from the truth. These cycles are all related and you cannot compart-mentalize life and ignore crucial influences.

If the source of our physical grounding - the earth - is going through a regular period of destabili-zation, why wouldn’t our actions and emotions be-come a bit destabilized, as well…

18 - 22 months ago, a lot of readers thought that projections for a 50% drop in the Stock Market - from Oct. 2007 into 2009/2010 - were outlandish.

They‟re rethinking their skepticism now. IT

[End of excerpt from March 2009 INSIIDE Track.]

STOCK INDICES 02/26/09 - Outlook 2009 (1-12 mos.):

Stock indices remain in a multi-year bear mar-

ket… However, two key events of 2009 may have ac-

celerated the time for a multi-month bottom.

The first is price action...

The Major downside objective for this decline -

since late-2007 - has been at 7,100/DJIA (or a range of

6,948 - 7,197/DJIA).

One of the primary reasons was the fact a 50%

decline was projected. This would take the DJIA from

its peak at 14,198 down to 7,099... or from its highest

close at 14,164 down to 7,082... or from its highest

weekly close at 14,093 down to 7,046.

Another reason was the intra-decade low - at

7,197 - was likely to be retested and broken (since so

many other indices had tested and held - or topped out

below - their intra-decade highs).

A third reason involved the same data point (the

October 2002 low of 7,197), but from a wave perspec-

tive...

Since the DJIA had rallied to new highs in 2007

(as opposed to the S+P, which set a double top, and the

Nasdaq 100 that only rebounded about .382 of its 2000

- 2002 decline), it meant that the October 2002 low was

a ‘4th wave of lesser degree’ that would need to be

tested by the next correction.

A fourth reason was/is the comparison of waves.

If the 2000 - 2002 decline was a correction in the final

stages of a major advance, the next decline was ex-

pected to be greater than that decline - thereby confirm-

ing that a MAJOR top was intact.

This decline should be 1.618 times the magnitude

of the 2000 - 2002 decline, which would take the DJIA

down to 6,824... slightly below the projected range.

A fifth reason had to do with cycles and price lev-

els. Throughout 2008, I discussed the importance of

10,573/DJIA - the double-bottom of 2006 that initiated

the final, 16-month surge in the DJIA.

I repeatedly described how I thought this previous

support would turn out to be the midpoint (that would

later become the 50% retracement level on the way

back up) of the overall decline.

If one takes the starting point of this decline

(14,198) and measures the distance from/to 10,573,

then half of the projected decline is 3,625 points. When

Page 5: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 5 www.insiidetrack.com

doubled, that figure becomes 7,250 points - the pro-

jected magnitude of the anticipated 2-3 year decline.

14,198 minus 7,252 points = 6,948/DJIA.

Conclusion: The DJIA is testing a MAJOR downside objective and support level - around 7,100 (stretching down to 6,824).

Moving on to cycle action...

The Nasdaq 100 has been the lead market for

many years. It led the way higher during the 1990’s

bull market (bubble). It led the way lower into 2002. It

has been the index that so precisely adheres to the Janu-

ary Cycle (as it is doing again in 2009).

It was also the index that exhibited the clearest

waves on the way down... which were featured in the

12/06/08 Weekly Re-Lay and repeated in the January

2009 INSIIDE Track, with this conclusion:

“The Nasdaq 100, for starters, has provided a wave sequence that is almost textbook, with respect to inter-wave relationships...From its late-2007 peak, the NQ dropped for 19 weeks and then rebounded for 12 weeks… a .618 retracement in time. It then entered a steeper decline that lasted 24 weeks.

With these 3 primary waves acting as the basis

for calculating future moves, there are some expec-tations that can be built for the ensuing rebound…The first one is that it will be related to the preced-ing, 24-week decline. The two most common re-tracements would be a 12-week (50%) rebound or a 14--15-week (.618) rebound.

The second one is that this rally will be similar to the previous rally (the 12-week rally in March - May 2008). The most common relationship - between a „2‟ wave rally and a „4‟ wave rally - is that of wave equivalence (12 weeks).

The next most common relationship is that the two are related by the 2DGR. In that case, it would make the impending rally either 9 weeks or 15 weeks in duration (.786 or 1.272 times 12 weeks). Putting this together, the odds favor either a 12-week or a 14--15-week rebound from the recent lows.

A 12-week rally would carry the Nasdaq 100 higher into February 9--13, 2009, whereas a 14--15-week rally would carry it higher into February 23--March 6, 2009.

The February 9--13th date would not be an un-usual time for a peak since it is exactly 180 degrees from the August 11th peak in the indices.”

DJIA: 29-30 Week Low-High-High-Low Cy-cle Sequence (& 14-15 week cycle):

February 23 - March 6, 2009

www.insiidetrack.com

30 wks up 29 wks high-high

29 wks dn.

14 wks up 15 wks dn.

15 wks high-high

14 wks dn.

14-15 wks low-low Feb. 23 - Mar. 6, ‘09

Page 6: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 6 www.insiidetrack.com

As the chart on page 8 shows, the

Nasdaq 100 did complete a 12-week

rally and did peak during the week of

February 9 - 13, 2009.

In and of itself, this is a perfect

fulfillment of the cycle outlook. How-

ever, price action is ALWAYS the ulti-

mate filter for cycles. And, just as I

stated last month, there were some dis-

crepancies between the Indices.

While the Nasdaq 100 has been

giving signs that this peak is not the end

of the rebound, the DJIA was signaling a

drop to new lows into its most synergis-

tic cycle convergence - on February 23

- March 6, 2009.

The chart on page 9 is an updated

copy of another chart from the January INSIIDE Track.

The only difference is that it is adjusted to show the

potential for a DJIA bottom at this time.

This aligns with the accompanying chart of the DJ

Comp Index (DJ Industrial, Utility and Transportantion

Index combined), which has a different wave structure

than the DJIA.

In this wave structure, the DJ Comp is very

clearly completing a 5-wave decline, part of a larger-

degree 3rd wave drop. The reason I labeled the larger

waves as ‘X’, ‘Y’ & ‘Z’ is that I am not sure if they are

an ‘A-B-C’ (3-3-5) or a ‘I-II-II’ of a larger 5-wave de-

cline.

At the moment, I do not want to get bogged down

with the precise Elliott Wave count since there are

many other indicators I use for determining my out-

look. One thing that would help clarify the larger Elli-

ott count is whether the ‘4th wave of lesser degree’ is

exceeded or not. My guess is that it will be.

Longer-term traders & investors (3-5 year or

longer) should have exited the majority of equity hold-

ings in late-2007 and then liquidated remaining hold-

ings in 2008, with an avg. exit price around 12,450/

DJIA.

3-6 month traders should have entered equities in

late-2008 - around 7,800-8,000/DJIA - and should have

exited these earlier in February w/losses.

However, 3-6 month AND 6-12 month traders can

begin averaging into equities at these levels... and aver-

aging in down to 6,450/DJIA. Futures Trading In-

volves Substantial Risk

INFLATION MARKETS 02/27/09 - Outlook 2009 (1-12 months):

Gold & Silver surged into the mid-point (16

weeks) of Silver’s 30-32 week cycle (see chart at right)

but are still expected to extend this rally into the .618

(20 weeks) division of this cycle. The week of March

16 - 20th is that 20th week.

This 30 - 32 week low-low-low-low-high-low

Cycle Sequence is still expected to produce a low in

June 2009, which is also the 3-year anniversary of the

June 2006 bottom. The February INSIIDE Track pro-

vides more details on this outlook for Gold & Silver.

Looking out a little further, cycles portend another

important low in January 2010. This would be the

next phase of the 30 - 32 week cycle AND an overlap-

ping 61 - 63 week low-low-low Cycle Progression...

that should prompt another low.

If I was to paint the ideal scenario, it would be

that Gold sets ascending lows in June 2009 and January

2010... and then enters a more pronounced advance

from that point forward…

X

Z

Y

1

5

4

3

2

Dow Jones Comp Index Wave Structure

www.insiidetrack.com

Page 7: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 7 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

From a price perspective, Gold & Silver tested

key 1-2 year support levels when Silver tested its major

‘4th wave of lesser degree’ (the June 2006 low of

950.0/SI) and Gold tested a 70-week level of resistance

turned into support (the May 2006 - Sept. 2007 resis-

tance at 690 - 720/GC), in October.

Now that both metals have turned their intra-year

trends up, the October lows are becoming a more im-

portant level of support that might not be tested again.

[End of excerpts from Mar. 2009 INSIIDE Track.]

March 2009 - Technical & cyclical analysis in key markets is providing some intriguing possibilities for the overlapping geopolitical cycles that all come together in the next two+ years…

The stock market is fulfilling MAJOR downside

objectives as the DJIA nears multi-year targets & support levels at 6,824--7,197, the ideal range for a Major bottom. That would fulfill a primary objective since 2007 - when Stock Indices validated the 17-Year Cycle analysis & began a multi-year decline.

Meanwhile, Gold & Silver are projected to see ascending lows in June 2009 & Jan. 2010, before accelerating higher (in sync with projections first dis-cussed in 1999--2001).

What is this saying for Middle East & Kingdom of Jerusalem cycles that should also accelerate higher - into 2011?!

Whatever does unfold is likely to be just the first step in a larger process, expected to intensify (again) into 2017/2018, into 2021 & ultimately into

2027/2028. IT

Silver Weekly (Cash Price) 30 - 32 Week Cycle

www.insiidetrack.com

Page 8: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 8 www.insiidetrack.com

5760...The Cycle of Time

The Transition Has Just Begun...

3-29-00 - "Whoever doesn't like it can drink the water of the Dead Sea!"

This early-March quote from Yasser Arafat reiterated Palestinian plans to declare statehood by September 2000.

This will come at the 7-year point of the Oslo Peace Accord - marking a time of `completion' and of a new cycle in Middle East developments.

It will also perfectly coincide with the tran-sition of major cycles from 5760 - 5761; the beginning of a new 360-year cycle in Israel.

It also marks another dramatic change. Throughout the past 7 years, Mr. Arafat has consistently and persistently reserved his real feel-ings for speeches to Arab-only and/or Islamic-only conferences.

On numerous occasions, he would play the Western media like a finely-tuned violin making statement after statement about his poor innocent peace-loving government... only to run to the next Arabic conference and declare with a vengeance that he is prepared to take Jerusalem by force, and will stir up every kind of imaginable terror to force Israel out of Jerusalem.

The Western media was aware of these con-flicting statements but willingly chose to ignore them since they did not fit into their agenda and their own political beliefs and ideologies.

The difference is that ever since Mr. Assad and Syria took center stage in Israel's attempts at peace, Mr. Arafat has chosen to overtly share his inflammatory statements with the Western media. This has forced them to reveal his aspirations - instead of trying to place a positive or anti-Israeli spin on them whenever and wherever possible.

Mr. Arafat does not like playing second fiddle to Mr. Assad and realizes that it is time to play his `ace up the sleeve' in an attempt to either force Israel into immediate and more drastic conces-

sions OR to prepare for an imminent escalation in tensions and violence throughout their land.

At the same time, Israel is busy trying to lure Mr. Assad back to the bargaining table so that they can find a way to give away the strategic Go-lan Heights while securing massive US aid and cutting-edge technology in the process.

Add to this picture a bruised but not beaten US president that wants to leave some kind of leg-acy and you have the makings for some DRA-MATIC events in the Middle East in the coming months.

These events (good or bad) cannot help but have a major impact on the outlook for the next decade. What will the US sacrifice in exchange for a temporary cessation of tensions in the Middle East?

How will the Arab world (still set on the de-struction of Israel) respond if the US appears to be disproportionately favoring Israel?

How long will it take before enough OPEC nations unite to destroy the economy of the US by pushing oil up to $40.00 and beyond?

Many OPEC nations resent the US `strong-arm' tactics in influencing this week's meeting.

“These events (good or bad) cannot help but have a major impact on the outlook for the next decade… How long will it take before enough OPEC nations unite to destroy the economy of the US by pushing oil up to $40.00 and beyond?

...It only took a couple weeks of oil above $30.00/bbl in 1990/1991 to create a recession and knock out a US president.

In 1973-1974, the Arab World was able to create a US stock market crash of over 40% with an oil embargo (coinciding with the hasty exit of a US president).

In 1979-1980, they doomed a US president and contributed to the biggest surge in inflation and the largest increase in US interest rates with a second oil `shortage'.

So, why does anyone believe that `things are dif-ferent now'.”

Page 9: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 9 www.insiidetrack.com

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

It only took a couple weeks of oil above $30.00/bbl in 1990/1991 to create a recession and knock out a US president.

In 1973-1974, the Arab World was able to cre-ate a US stock market crash of over 40% with an oil embargo (coinciding with the hasty exit of a US president).

In 1979-1980, they doomed a US president and contributed to the biggest surge in inflation and the largest increase in US interest rates with a second oil `shortage'.

So, why does anyone believe that `things are different now'.

Let's see... the early `70's, early `80's and early `90's each saw sharp stock market correc-tions, dramatic rises in the price of crude, slow-downs or all-out recessions in the US economy, and the demise of US presidents.

Could the early `00's see the same? If so, will it come now or later?...

This brings me back to two cyclic conclusions drawn by two separate (unknown to each other) individuals regarding the exact same thing:

The year of 5760 marks a MAJOR cyclic roll-over for Israel, the Middle East and the US role in global politics.

The first was conveyed in the Cycle of Time V (and its prequels) that 5760 represented the culmination of decade-, century- and millennial-related cycles and would mark a critical turning point for Israel.

The second was given last month and dis-cussed a Kabbalist belief that the days of man were the `measure of the Miqvah' and would see culmination (or perhaps important transition) in 5760.

The Year 5760 culminates in Sept. 2000 and will be a major turning point.

The ensuing year of 5761 begins a new chap-ter in Middle East history…

2001 also completes the 28- and 84-year cy-cles that have impacted Israel (& Russia) since the early-1900's.

There is also an intriguing religious (Christian & Jewish) cycle reaching fruition in September 2001 that I will discuss separately.

2001 is 60 years from the last giant sur-prise to hit America's shores in Dec. 1941. 60 years is recognized by cyclists - includ-ing W.D. Gann - as a crucial `Grand Cy-cle'.

Could another surprise occur in 2001?

Another Gann-related cycle stems from the American declaration of Independence in 1776.

225 years later - 15 x 15 or 5 x 45 geomet-ric years - is 2001. Is a Declaration of Dependence in store?

…As for the stock market, there is a se-quence of 19's that is a harbinger of transi-tion. The weeks of January 3rd to March 3rd were exactly 19 weeks from the prior correction and were forecast to usher in a new correction.

“The year of 5760 marks a MAJOR cyclic rollover for Israel, the Middle East and the US role in global poli-tics...The ensuing year of 5761 begins a new chapter in Middle East history…

2001 also completes the 28- and 84-year cycles that have impacted Israel (& Russia) since the early-1900's.

There is also an intriguing religious (Christian & Jew-ish) cycle reaching fruition in September 2001...

2001 is 60 years from the last giant surprise to hit America's shores in Dec. 1941. 60 years is recognized by cyclists - including W.D. Gann - as a crucial `Grand Cycle'.

Could another surprise occur in 2001?

...The first warning shot has been fired across the bow of the US economy and bull market. This does not mean they will immediately go sour. It does, however, reveal a weak point that will be attacked at a more vulnerable and opportune time…

2001 is the year to watch…”

Page 10: Kingdom of Jerusalem Cycles II - INSIIDE Track Trading€¦ · January 21/22 story that 40 al Qaeda terrorists were killed by the Black Death Plague. Yes, that „Black ... why earth

INSIIDE Track Middle East Analysis Jerusalem Cycles II © ITTC - 2/2009 - 03/2009

© INSIIDE Track Trading Page 10 www.insiidetrack.com

What did the market do? It mirrored this de-cline, exactly 19 weeks later.

I am also watching the long-term trend in re-lation to this cycle. 1982 was recognized as the final low of the old bear market. It occurred 9 1/2 years from the 1973 high (1/2 of a 19-year cycle).

2001 is 19 years from this last major low and is destined to provide a major turning point...

The first warning shot has been fired across the bow of the US economy and bull market. This does not mean they will immediately go sour. It does, however, reveal a weak point that will be attacked at a more vulnerable and opportune time.

2001 is the year to watch, but 2000 should have some dynamic moves - in both directions - as the first stages of a major transition take place.”

The previous analysis is from the April 2000 issue of INSIIDE Track & described ongoing analy-sis linked to the Cycle of Time and expectations

that Sept. 2000--Sept. 2001 would usher in a new 360-Year Cycle in Israel & the Middle East… and begin with a bang,

Combined with War Cycles in Aug. - Oct. 2001 (linked to the „last giant surprise to hit America‟s shores‟), that was forecast to usher in new wars and a steady shift in the Middle East leading into 2017/2018 and ultimately into 2027/2028.

Market analysis reinforced that outlook, project-ing a multi-year surge in oil prices & a resulting drop in the stock market

Sadly, those cycles were uncannily accurate & triggered a massive military shift in America’s per-spective on the Middle East. The events of Sept. 2001 also fulfilled related analysis on an „intriguing religious‟ cycle that was projected to bring Christian & Jewish interests into closer collaboration.

Those events powerfully validated expectations for 2011 and ultimately for 2017/2018. The initial Cycle of Time (19 years) from 2000/2001 is ex-pected to usher in unprecedented changes & events in the decade that follows (into 2027/2028). Will 2011 keep the ball rolling? IT

Information is from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Due to futures’ volatility, recommendations are subject to change

without notice. Readers using this information are solely responsible for their actions and invest at their own risk. Past performance is no guarantee of future

results. Principles, employees and associates of INSIIDE Track Trading Corporation may have positions in recommended futures or options. No part of this

publication may be reproduced or re-transmitted without the editor’s written consent. All Tech Tips (underlined and italicized) -- as well as the term Tech

Tips -- are trademarks of INSIIDE TRACK Trading Corporation and all unauthorized reproduction is strictly prohibited.

Copyright 2009 INSIIDE Track Trading Corporation

INSIIDE TrackTM newsletter is published monthly with periodic Special Reports. Copyright © 2009 ITTC. Eric S. Hadik -- Editor

SUBSCRIPTION RATES:

Monthly newsletter with periodic Special Reports: • $179 per yr. (12 issues)

Monthly newsletter plus intra-month Updates package*: • $199 for 6 mos. (6 issues & 6 months)

Monthly newsletter plus intra-month Updates package*: • $297 per yr. (12 issues & 12 months)

*Eric Hadik’s Tech Tip Reference Library is available for $249 (included as a FREE bonus with either ‘package’ subscription)

Make checks payable to INSIIDE Track Trading. Credit Card payments can be made via www.PayPal.com (to ‘[email protected]’)

PO Box 2252 • Naperville IL 60567 • 630-637-0967 (vc) • 630-637-0971 (fx) • [email protected] • www.insiidetrack.com

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PER-FORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETI-CAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.