Bridging the Gap Between the Technological Singularity and Medicine: Highlighting a

Course on Technology and the Future of Medicine

Kim Solez, MD

The Technological SingularityThe technological singularity occurs as artificial intelligences surpass human beings as the smartest and most capable life forms on the Earth. Technological development is taken over by the machines, who can think, act and communicate so quickly that normal humans cannot even comprehend what is going on. The machines enter into a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, with each new generation of A.I.s appearing faster and faster. From this point onwards, technological advancement is explosive, under the control of the machines, and thus cannot be accurately predicted (hence the term "Singularity"). – Ray Kurzweil

Moore’s Law Predicts Singularity

Major Singularity Developments in February 2011

Focus Groups in May 2011

Course conceptualized in March 2011, tested with

focus groups in May for its suitability as a

course for both undergraduate and graduate students.

Over Time Our Course’s Sessions Have Developed a Pedagogical

Rhythm, Leading To A Self-organized Structure

Ten minute introduction Fifty minute lecture Twenty minute discussion In the course we talk about

machines replacing many of the functions of human beings. This picture was taken by a machine without human intervention, as were many of the best still images from the course. The video camera is constantly comparing the scene to algorithms and takes still pictures when the requirements of the interesting picture algorithm are satisfied.

Video and Audio Quality Superb Now!

First teaching session 2011 Recent teaching session 2014

Hot-linked tables of contents in YouTube video descriptions at http://www.youtube.com/user/kimsolez allow one to jump right to content of interest.

Some Student Presentation Videos Have Had Amazing Positive Effects!

Heather Graves, from Department of English and Film Studies, in Faculty of

Arts.

Diverse Faculty from Across The Campus Are Increasingly Comfortable in the Course.

We shoot broadcast quality video of each lecture and discussion.

Previous lectures on YouTube.com at /user/KimSolez . Students are asked to critique one past lecture, and suggest improvements in presentation and hot-linked table of contents (20% of grade).

Students write one 3,000 word paper (40%) and give 20 min. presentation on same subject (30%). Also graded on class participation (10%).

No required reading. Suggested reading list in course outline, readings suggested by Email.

Course Specifics

The technological Singularity. Existential risks, AI, genomics, and nanotech.

Ways to optimize a positive outcome for humanity in the co-evolution of humans and machines . The influence of these considerations on medicine of the future.

Dean of Science speaking, prominent people internationally. Most lectures not very “medical”. Easily understood.

Balanced view provided by incorporating both tech skeptics and tech advocates.

Course Content

Problem of Audience Heterogeneity

Some already know what the technological Singularity is, others don’t, and are finding out now.

However, if the people and ideas presented are genuinely new and interesting should be able to satisfy both groups.

The most interesting aspects have to do with the impact on young people today.

Considerable youth orientation in the course. Faculty are getting younger and younger.

“We Do Not Yet Have Faculty Arriving By Skateboard But I Predict It Will Happen!”

It Happened! – Ross Lockwood

Medical student elective participation in course. International peer review of YouTube videos, modifications made.

Two Quantum Biology lectures. Young person old person point counterpoint lecture January 30th,

Abdullah Saleh/Earle Waugh Medical Ethics in a World of Robots(What will we allow when everything is possible).

Collaboration with Disruptive Technologies in Medicine course in Budapest, Hungary, the only other course somewhat like this one.

We are constantly seeking ways to enhance the intellectual ferment/exchange of ideas and improve the course. Your input is welcome!

Other Innovations New in 2014

Nova program on PBS Television (7 million viewers) Big Bang Theory (the TV show; 20 million viewers) Singularity Summit (9,000 views per video) Kim Solez – Technology and Future of Medicine Course

LABMP 590 (2,500 views per video)

The Technological Singularity – Dissemination of Ideas

Marcus Hutter, ppt with audioThe Singularity Inside and Out

.

The Challenge of Friendly AI Probably Exaggerated

However, Marcus Hutter suggests that there is an element of human insignificance that makes the whole scenario much more challenging. Also, Hutter has created a model general AI which makes the challenge seem more immediate!

Outside the Singularity looking in it will be white noise

Inside the Singularity if everything speeds up at the same rate we may not notice anything; it may seem like normal life to us

Even if initially our biological brains count for something in our mental processes, very soon the processing power of the machine implant will vastly outstrip our biological brains. Our biological brains become insignificant regardless of the friendliness or lack thereof of the AI

Hutter For the First Time Conjures Up A Picture of What the Singularity Will Be Like

Extreme risk taking because we can back ourselves up from backups if something bad happens

Insignificance, lack of identity. Why wait to create backups when we have the processing power to run several lives at once. Can replicate ourselves endlessly in seconds! No more waiting 9 months!

The world has little incentive to keep identities straight when biological brains contribute so little to mental processes. Bigger not better

Aimlessness, lack of sense of purpose

Stuck In A Dysphoric “Eternal Youth” A Caricature Of What It Is Like To Be Young

The challenge of producing a friendly AI becomes just a small part of the much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended

A positive outcome is possible; let’s make it likely We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive

outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!

A simple approach is needed to engage the general public on these matters!

This course is a beginning attempt at achieving that.

Real Youth Today Also Experiences Dystopia Due To Poor Economy, Worth

Working Hard To Ensure A Better Future For Ourselves!

Foxconn Announcement That It Was Replacing One Million

Workers with One Million Robots Made Singularity Appear Much

Nearer

The challenge of friendly AI becomes just a small part of a much larger challenge of creating a friendly world in which humans still have lives of significance, human history is retained and extended.

We all need to be engaged in ensuring a positive outcome for humanity. The future is ours to shape. We need to get busy doing that!

Part of the imagined future could beone where all disease was eliminated but life was intolerable. Another where the only diseases are from bioterrorism.

We Could Eliminate All Disease and Still Have A Terrible World!

All natural disease may be eliminated, leaving only man-made diseases. But that may leave as much for physicians to do as there is today!

Challenging responses to bioterrorism and stem cell technologies.

Focus of medicine no longer disease but enhancement, which will extend beyond the physical to the moral and spiritual.

Social responsibility an important aspect of medicine and one of the focuses of the course.

2045 is only 32-33 years from now. Many of you will still be working then. What will

medical careers be like then?

“It is the curse of humanity that it learns to tolerate even the most horrible situations by habituation. Physicians are the natural attorneys of the poor, and the social problems should largely be solved by them.” -Rudolf Virchow

Rudolf Virchow on the Social Responsibility of Medicine

We need the mainstream public to regard the coming Technological Singularity as fact, not fiction.

We need to promote organized thinking about the future in Universities and beyond.

We need to conceptualize ways to increase our reach from this one course to the world at large.

We need to think of China-specific solutions to these problems. Where should video be?

Suggestions on how to capture the imagination of the public to start everyone thinking about

these matters are most welcome.