Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

download Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

of 114

Transcript of Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    1/114

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    2/114

    Sustainability?

    Sustainable development should meet theneeds of the present without compromisingthe ability of future generations to meet theirown needs

    Our Common Future, World Commission on Environmentand Development, United Nations, 1987

    2 11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    3/114

    My Goal today

    Suggest ways SenSys community is and canbe more engaged in achieving sustainableenergy networks

    11/7/20123

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    4/114

    Quantifying Sustainability California Law

    AB 32 Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020

    Governors executive order S-3-05 (2005) 80% reduction below 1990 levels by 2050

    Renewable Portfolio Standard 33% renewables by 2020, 20% biopower procurement

    480 => 80 mmT CO2e in 40 years Population: 37 => 55 million Economic growth

    11/7/20124

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    5/114

    CA2050: GHG 90% below 1990

    5 11/7/2012

    But,

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1990 2005 2020 2050

    Historical BAU

    G H G E m i s s i o n s ( M t C O

    2 e / y r )

    Energy

    emissionsNon-energyemissions2020 Target

    2050 Target

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    6/114

    CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan

    Efficiency

    6 11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    7/114

    Efficiency Electrify

    7 11/7/2012

    CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    8/114

    CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan

    Efficiency Electrify Decarbonize

    the electricity Decarbonize

    the fuel

    8 11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    9/114

    CA2050 4 Part GHG Reduction Plan

    Efficiency Electrify Decarbonize

    the electricity Decarbonize

    the fuel

    9 11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    10/114

    All required for even 60% reduction

    but still fall short of 80%11/7/201210

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    11/114

    Scenarios

    11 11/7/2012

    New Nuclear plantevery 14 monthsfor 40 years

    New CCS facilityevery 9 mo.Exceeds saline

    aquifer

    Resources exist- 1.4 % of CA land- 43% agriculture- 3.4% urban

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    12/114

    The Problem: Supply-Demand Match

    12

    Baseline + Dispatchable Tiers Oblivious Loads

    TransmissionGeneration DemandDistribution

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    13/114

    An Engineering Marvel NA: 3 synchd regions Lots of wires

    170k miles of >200 kvtransmission

    6m miles of distribution

    3k miles of 500 kv DC 3,200 retail

    distributors 147 M customers

    125M res, 17.6 M com,0.78 M ind.

    10 ISO/RTO cover 2/3 Little communication

    11/7/201213http://www.nerc.com/docs/oc/rs/BA_BubbleDiagram_2011-10-03.jpg

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    14/114

    Towards an Aware Energy Network

    14

    Baseline + Dispatchable Tiers Oblivious Loads

    Communication

    Non-DispatchableSources

    Communication

    Aware InteractiveLoads

    TransmissionGeneration DemandDistribution

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    15/114

    Classic al view of the Energy Challenge

    Supply Transport Load

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Control

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    Nuclear,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas

    Single cyclenat. gas

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    Appliance

    Power Supplies

    Markets

    Circuits

    11/7/201215

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    16/114

    Modern Energy Network Challenges

    Supply Transport Load

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Control

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Nuclear ,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas / bio

    Single cyclenat. gas /

    bio

    PhotovoltaicWind

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    Appliance

    Power Supplies

    Storage

    Consumption

    Usage

    Schedule

    Pricing

    Facilities

    Personal

    Industrial

    Transportation

    Pumped

    Information Plane

    Physical Plane

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Storage Storage

    Circui ts

    11/7/201216

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    17/114

    Sensys? Creating the info plane

    11/7/201217

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    18/114

    Smart Meters the WSN Killer App?

    Supply Transport Load

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Control

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    Nuclear,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas

    Single cyclenat. gas

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    Appliance

    Power Supplies

    Markets

    Circuits

    11/7/201218

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    19/114

    Smart meter rollouts

    11/7/201219http://www.edisonfoundation.net/iee/Documents/IEE_SmartMeterRollouts_0512.pdf

    Proprietary / Zigbee

    Open IPv6,

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    20/114

    Much more than meters and billing

    11/7/201220

    http://www.openthegrid.com/docs/ipv6_in_smart_grid_field_area.pdf

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    21/114

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    22/11422

    The Mote/TinyOS revolution

    SmartDustWeC Rene

    Intelrene

    9998 00 01 0302 04 0605 07

    S E N S I T

    E x p e d

    i t i o n

    N E S T

    N E T S /

    N O S S

    C E N S

    S T C

    N S F

    C y b e r -

    P h y s i c a

    l

    Mica

    Inte l/UCBdot

    InteliMOTE

    XBOWcc-dot

    XBOWmica2

    XBOWrene2

    Intelcf-mica

    Boschcc-mica

    Dust Incblue cc-TI

    digital sunrain-mica

    XBOWmica

    zeevo BT

    TelosXBOWmicaZ

    Intel

    MOTE2EyesBTNod

    etrio

    8 kBrom kBram

    48 kB rom10 kB ram802.15.4

    L o W

    P A N / I P v 6

    Epic

    11

    I E T F R P L

    10

    11/7/2012

    Mote inside uP => Arm Cortex Radio => 802.15.4gnarrow=bandfrequency hopper TinyOS too SOC from here

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    23/114

    23

    Idle Listening: 3 Basic Solutions Scheduled Listening

    Arrange a schedule of communication Time Slots Maintain coordinated clocks and schedule

    Listen during specic slots Many variants:

    Aloha, Token-Ring, TDMA, Beacons, Bluetooth piconets, S-MAC, T-MAC, PEDAMACS, TSMP, FPS,

    Sampled Listening Listen for very short intervals to detect eminent

    transmissions On detection, listen actively to receive DARPA packet radio, LPL, BMAC, XMAC, Maintain always on illusion, Robust

    Listen after send (with powered infrastructure) After transmit to a receptive device, listen for a short time Many variants: 802.11 AMAT, Key fobs, remote modems,

    Many hybrids possible

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    24/114

    24

    802.5Token Ring

    Internet WSN assimilated

    802.3Ethernet

    802.11WiFi802.3a

    Ethernet10b2802.3i

    Ethernet10bT802.3y

    Ethernet100bT802.3ab Ethernet1000bT

    802.3an Ethernet

    1G bT

    802.11aWiFi802.11b

    WiFi802.11g

    WiFi802.11n

    WiFi

    X3T9.5FDDI

    SerialModem

    GPRS

    ISDNDSL

    Sonet

    Transport (UDP/IP, TCP/IP)

    Application (Telnet, FTP, SMTP, SNMP, HTTP)

    Diverse Object and Data Models (HTML, XML, , BacNet, )

    802.15.4LoWPAN

    Network (IP)Link2: link

    3: net

    4: xport

    7: app

    1: phy

    11/7/2012

    802.15.4e

    802.15.4gP1901.2

    6LoWPAN RFC6282

    RPL RFC6550

    COAP

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    25/114

    Or in industry speak

    11/7/201225

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    26/114

    At incredible scale

    11/7/201226

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    27/114

    ROLL & Sensys Role RPL retained fundamental routing diversity

    Multiple DODAGs with selection Incorporated trickle density awareness

    Many questions for which the research was simply

    not there Piece-wise source routing, routing stretch versus protocol

    complexity & state, routing metrics, Many issues for which the analysis is seriously

    incomplete Local / global repair, loop formation, routing staleness,

    scaling, state management, trickle timers IETF, mobile, and industry rediscovering Where is the research community?

    11/7/201227

    k

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    28/114

    Creating an Energy Network ???

    Supply Transport ConsumptionLoad

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Usage

    ScheduleControl

    Pricing

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Nuclear ,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas / bio

    Single cyclenat. gas /

    bio

    PhotovoltaicWind

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    ApplianceFacilities

    Personal

    Industrial

    Transportation

    Power Supplies

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Storage Storage Storage Pumped

    Information Plane

    Physical PlaneCircuits

    11/7/201228

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    29/114

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    30/114

    Grid Exists

    30

    Conventional Electric Grid

    GenerationTransmission

    DistributionLoad

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    31/114

    Internet Exists

    31

    Conventional Electric Grid

    GenerationTransmission

    DistributionLoad

    Conventional Internet

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    32/114

    Wh S ?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    33/114

    Where to Start?

    Buildings 72% of electrical consumption (US), 40-50% of total consumption, 42% of GHG footprint US commercial building consumption

    doubled 1980-2000, 1.5x more by 2025[NREL]

    Where Coal is used

    Prime target of opportunity forrenewable supplies

    33

    Renewable energy consumption

    Electricity source

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    34/114

    Building Power Consumption

    11%

    1MW 883 kW

    11/7/201234

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    35/114

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    36/114

    P

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    37/114

    11/7/201237

    Power-Proportional

    Buildings ? 1.45 MW 2.02 MW

    Min = 72% of Max

    Stanley Hall:Office + BioScience

    - 13 NMRs

    P

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    38/114

    11/7/201238

    Power-Proportional

    Buildings ? 756 KW 1030 KW

    Min = 69% of Max

    Koshland Hall:Office + ???

    P

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    39/114

    11/7/201239

    Power-Proportional

    Buildings ?62 KW

    202 KW

    Min = 31% of Max

    LeConte Hall: Office

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    40/114

    Power Proportionality

    40

    Productivity

    C o n s u m p

    t i o n

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    41/114

    Power Proportionality

    41

    Productivity

    C o n s u m p

    t i o n

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    42/114

    Doing Nothing Well ???

    11/7/201242

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    43/114

    Power Proportional Buildings?

    43

    50 Ton Chiller 200 Ton Chiller

    10 months 2 months

    Scott McNally Bldg Manager 11/7/2012

    The Building Challenge

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    44/114

    The Building Challenge

    44

    CT: mains

    powermonitoringPanel 1 Panel 2

    A

    B

    A

    B

    Panel 1 Panel 2

    A

    B

    A

    B

    1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    A1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    A2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    B2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    B

    1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    A1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    1

    5

    9

    13

    17

    21

    25

    29

    33

    37

    41

    3

    7

    11

    15

    19

    23

    27

    31

    35

    39

    A2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    B2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    2

    6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

    38

    42

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    B

    panel level powermonitoring

    ACme: plug loadenergy monitor and

    controller

    Temperature

    Humidity

    Vibra;on

    Pressure

    E le c t r ic L o ad T r e e C lim a t e P la n t

    Operations and Environment

    11/7/2012

    CEC B2G T tb d A E g

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    45/114

    CEC B2G Testbed - An EnergyTransparent Building

    11/7/201245

    Whole BldgMCL equip

    MCL infra

    MCL vac

    servers

    DOP HVAC

    Central vent

    office HVAC

    inst Lab 199HVAC

    Plug loads

    Lighting

    Parking Lot

    The Other Energy Usage

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    46/114

    The Other Energy Usage

    11/7/201246

    Bldg 90

    Wireless plug meters

    on 611 of 1200 loads

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    47/114

    sMAP simple Monitoring and Action Protocol Uniform Access to Diverse Physical Information

    11/7/201247

    Electrical

    Weather

    GeographicalWater

    EnvironmentalStructuralActuator

    Occupancy

    sMAP

    Modeling

    Visualization

    ContinuousCommissioning

    Control

    PersonalFeedback

    DebuggingStorageLocation

    Authentication

    Actuation

    A p p

    l i c a t

    i o n s

    P h y s

    i c a l

    I n f o r m a t

    i o n

    REST API

    HTTP/TCP

    JSON Objects

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    48/114

    Internet

    Cell phonesMAP Gateway

    sMAP

    Modbus RS-485

    sMAP

    sMAP Gateway

    EBHTTP / IPv6 / 6LowPANWireless Mesh Network

    sMAP

    sMAP

    sMAP

    sMAP

    Edge Router

    Temperature/PAR/TSR

    Vibra;on / Humidity

    AC plug meter

    Light switch

    D e n t c i r c u i t m e t e r

    P r o x y S e r v e r

    E B H T T P

    T r a n s l a ; o n

    California ISO sMAP Gateway

    sMAP Resources Applica;ons

    Google PowerMeter

    Weather

    sMAP

    Every Building

    Database

    sMAP Virtual Energy-Lab Ecosystem

    11/7/201248

    Factoring is critical

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    49/114

    Factoring is critical

    Archiver

    RDBMS TSDB

    sM

    AP

    sMAP

    sMAP

    c on

    t r ol

    w e b

    6lowpannetworks

    RS-458 bus

    BacNET/IP

    m o d el s

    m g

    m t

    Public interfaces

    Application-specificfunctionality built onexposed interfaces

    Provide access toarchived data

    Manage views, datacleaning

    Represent, transmit dataand metadata

    Abstract underlyingheterogeneity into simpledata model

    11/7/201249

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    50/114

    sMAP is Universal information representation for physical

    data Self-describing, compact JSON schema, transportable

    over UDP/TCP Integrated metadata

    Software Architecture for physical data processingand actuation Real-time and archival data, time-series DB Adapters/Drivers for legacy and direct streams Subscription, syndication, distillates Query processing, visualization interface

    Resource-oriented web-service framework forembedded applications

    50 11/7/2012

    http://code.google.com/p/smap-data

    All ph sic l info

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    51/114

    Name Sensor Type Access Method Channels

    ISO Data CAISO, NYISO, PJM, MISO, ERCOT, BPA Web scrape 1211ACme devices Plug-load electric meter Wireless 6lowpan mesh 344

    EECS submetering project Dent Instruments PowerScout 18 electric meters Modbus 4644

    EECS steam and condensate Cadillac condensate; Central Station steam meter Modbus/TCP 13

    UC Berkeley submetering feeds ION 6200, Obvius Aquisuite; PSL pQube,VerisIndustries E30

    Mosbus/Ethernet, HTTP 4269

    Sutardja Dai, Brower Hall BMS SiemensApogee BMS, Legrand WattStopper,Johnson Control BMS

    BACnet/IP 4064

    UC Davis submetering feeds Misc., Schneider Electric ION OPC-DA 34 (+)

    Weather feeds Vaisala WXT520 rooftop weather station;Wunderground

    SDI-12, LabJack/Modbus, webscrape

    33

    CBE PMP toolkit Dust motes; NewYork Times BMS CSV import; serial 874

    NOA Weather Forecast Meteorological (window, solar, cloud, etc) Web 77740

    SDH Air Quality CO2, Temp, TSR, PAR, Hum Wireless 6lowpan mesh 50

    total: 93,242

    All physical info

    11/7/201251

    www.openbms.org

    Li i g L b A h I t i

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    52/114

    Living Lab Approach: Innovate in aVirtual Private Grid

    GenerationTransmission

    DistributionLoad

    VPG

    11/7/201252

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    53/114

    sMAP Energy Markets, Ops, $,

    11/7/201253

    http://www.isorto.org

    BPA

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    54/114

    sMAP Solar, Wind, Meteorology

    1450 Met feeds covering Cal Solar Initiative: 130,275 proj. 1370 MW

    Cal Utility Solar: 60 facilities 695 MW Cal Utility Wind: 134 facilities 4295 MW

    11/7/201254

    MAP i

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    55/114

    sMAP generation CA generation plant locations, type, and

    rated power (> 0.1 MW) [CEC] Hourly output from each type of CA

    generation source for > 1 year [CAISO]

    [CEC] http://energyalmanac.ca.gov/powerplants/Power_Plants.xls

    [CAISO] http://www.caiso.com/green/renewableswatch.html11/7/201255

    Modern Energy Network Challenges

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    56/114

    Modern Energy Network Challenges

    Supply Transport ConsumptionLoad

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Usage

    ScheduleControl

    Pricing

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Nuclear ,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas / bio

    Single cyclenat. gas /

    bio

    PhotovoltaicWind

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    ApplianceFacilities

    Personal

    Industrial

    Transportation

    Power Supplies

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Storage Storage Storage Pumped

    Information Plane

    Physical PlaneCircuits

    11/7/201256

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    57/114

    What would the CA Grid be like @

    60% renewables?

    11/7/201257

    Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Liebreich April 5, 2011

    G-20Investment

    ($B)

    Whos Winning the Clean Energy Race? 2010 Pew Charitable Trust www.PewEnvironment.org/CleanEnergy

    CA g id t d S li

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    58/114

    CA grid today - SuppliesSource Rated

    (GW)

    Capacity

    Factor1

    Total Energy

    (TWh)

    % of Total

    EnergyGeothermal 2.600 38.7% 8.68 3.8%

    Biomass/Biogas 1.145 43.5% 4.30

    1.9%

    Small Hydro 1.380 31.7% 3.77 1.7%

    Wind 2.812 29.1% 7.06 3.1%

    Solar 3 0.403 28.7% 1.00 0.4%

    Nuclear 4.456 85.9% 33.00 14.6%

    Hydro 12.574 27.7% 30.05 13.3%

    Imports 11.055 2 66.6% 63.43 28.0%Thermal 44.339 19.7% 75.43 33.3%

    Total 80.764 32.6% 226.71 100.0%1 Mean delivered power divided by rated power (excl. import)2 For imports, rating is the maximum observed power 3 Residential net factored into demand11/7/201258

    CA g id t d S l Ch ll g

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    59/114

    CA grid today Supply Challenge

    11/7/201259

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    60/114

    CA grid today Supplies

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    61/114

    CA grid today - SuppliesSource Rated

    (GW)

    Capacity

    Factor1

    Total Energy

    (TWh)

    % of Total

    EnergyGeothermal 2.600 38.7% 8.68 3.8%

    Biomass/Biogas 1.145 43.5% 4.30

    1.9%

    Small Hydro 1.380 31.7% 3.77 1.7%

    Wind 2.812 29.1% 7.06 3.1%

    Solar 3 0.403 28.7% 1.00 0.4%

    Nuclear 4.456 85.9% 33.00 14.6%

    Hydro 12.574 27.7% 30.05 13.3%

    Imports 11.0552

    66.6% 63.43 28.0%Thermal 44.339 19.7% 75.43 33.3%

    Total 80.764 32.6% 226.71 100.0%1 Mean delivered power divided by rated power (excl. import)2 For imports, rating is the maximum observed power 3 Residential net factored into demand11/7/201261

    A i h d id

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    62/114

    A year in the todays grid

    11/7/201262

    Seasonal, Weekly, DailyvariationsMany underlying factors

    Peak: 47.1 GWMin: 18.8 GWMean: 26.3 GW

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    63/114

    A mid summers week

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    64/114

    A mid-summer s week

    11/7/201264Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    IMPORTS: 28.0%THERMAL: 33.3%WIND: 3.1%SOLAR: 0.4%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    07/08 07/09 07/10 07/11 07/12 07/130

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    T o t a

    l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    IMPORTS: 29.9%THERMAL: 26.2%

    WIND: 5.0%SOLAR: 0.6%

    BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.8%GEOTHERMAL: 3.2%

    HYDRO: 15.9%SMALL HYDRO: 1.9%NUCLEAR: 15.4%CA GRID DEMAND

    A winter weeks tale

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    65/114

    12/19 12/20 12/21 12/22 12/23 12/24

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    IMPORTS: 24.5%

    THERMAL: 38.5%

    WIND: 1.8%

    SOLAR: 0.1%

    BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%

    GEOTHERMAL: 4.0%HYDRO: 14.8%

    SMALL HYDRO: 1.4%

    NUCLEAR: 13.1%

    CA GRID DEMAND

    A winter week s tale

    11/7/201265Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    IMPORTS: 28.0%THERMAL: 33.3%WIND: 3.1%SOLAR: 0.4%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    Th D d D ti C

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    66/114

    The Demand Duration Curve

    11/7/201266

    A Si l h t if

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    67/114

    A Simple what if Take current demand, current activity, current

    technology, current deployment At a crude top-level scale (by category)

    Represented by the time series Scale up the renewable portions

    Preserve the seasonal, weekly, daily, hourly effectsof mother nature *

    Scale back the fossil fuel based supplies With current demand as a reference

    11/7/201267

    E ample: Solar

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    68/114

    Example: Solar

    11/7/201268

    Example: Solar Scaled

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    69/114

    Example: Solar Scaled

    11/7/201269

    Example: Wind

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    70/114

    Example: Wind

    11/7/201270

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    71/114

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    72/114

    A Year in CA grid @ 60%

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    73/114

    A Year in CA grid @ 60%

    11/7/201273

    Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESSIMPORTS: 2.6%

    THERMAL: 9.7%WIND: 34.4%SOLAR: 18.2%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    A Summer Week @ 60%

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    74/114

    A Summer Week @ 60%

    11/7/201274 Se Nov Jan Mar Ma Jul0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESSIMPORTS: 2.6%THERMAL: 9.7%WIND: 34.4%SOLAR: 18.2%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    07/08 07/09 07/10 07/11 07/120

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    T o t a

    l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESS

    IMPORTS: 0.0%

    THERMAL: 0.0%

    WIND: 41.6%

    SOLAR: 20.1%

    BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.8%

    GEOTHERMAL: 3.2%

    HYDRO: 15.9%

    SMALL HYDRO: 1.9%

    NUCLEAR: 15.4%

    CA GRID DEMAND

    A Winter Week @ 60%

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    75/114

    A Winter Week @ 60%

    11/7/201275 Se Nov Jan Mar Ma Jul0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESSIMPORTS: 2.6%THERMAL: 9.7%WIND: 34.4%SOLAR: 18.2%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    12/19 12/20 12/21 12/22 12/230

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    T o

    t a l C A

    P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESS

    IMPORTS: 1.8%

    THERMAL: 22.9%

    WIND: 33.4%

    SOLAR: 6.8%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%

    GEOTHERMAL: 4.0%

    HYDRO: 14.8%

    SMALL HYDRO: 1.4%

    NUCLEAR: 13.1%

    CA GRID DEMAND

    CA Grid @ 60%

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    76/114

    CA Grid @ 60%

    11/7/201276

    What Can we do to Make it Work?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    77/114

    What Can we do to Make it Work? Design for deep penetration

    Optimize for the whole, not peak production Use your off-grid intuition

    Efficiency for shaping Poor power proportionality of buildings and other loads,

    especially at night Storage

    Move energy in time Load scheduling (continuous DR)

    Precooling, preheating, guardband adjustment

    Deferral, acceleration Integrated Portfolio Management Utilize resources in concert with non-dispatcables

    Curtailment

    11/7/201277

    Load shifting to follow supply

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    78/114

    Load shifting to follow supply

    11/7/201278

    Sep Nov Jan Mar May Jul0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESSIMPORTS: 2.6%

    THERMAL: 9.7%WIND: 34.4%SOLAR: 18.2%BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 1.9%GEOTHERMAL: 3.8%HYDRO: 13.3%SMALL HYDRO: 1.7%NUCLEAR: 14.5%CA GRID DEMAND

    Windrush?Sunrush?- energy agile

    industry?

    A Day

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    79/114

    A Day

    00:00 06:00 12:00 18:000

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESS

    IMPORTS: 1.0%

    THERMAL: 21.2%

    WIND: 33.9%

    SOLAR: 15.8%

    BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 2.1%

    GEOTHERMAL: 4.2%

    HYDRO: 10.8%

    SMALL HYDRO: 1.3%

    NUCLEAR: 9.8%

    CA GRID DEMAND

    11/7/201279

    The Day with +/- 3 hours of shift

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    80/114

    The Day with +/- 3 hours of shift

    00:00 06:00 12:00 18:000

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    T o

    t a l C A P o w e r

    ( G W )

    EXCESS

    IMPORTS: 0.6%THERMAL: 16.4%

    WIND: 35.7%

    SOLAR: 19.1%

    BIOMASS/BIOGAS: 2.1%

    GEOTHERMAL: 4.2%

    HYDRO: 10.8%

    SMALL HYDRO: 1.3%

    NUCLEAR: 9.8%

    CA GRID DEMAND

    11/7/201280

    How to match demand to supply?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    81/114

    How to match demand to supply?

    11/7/201281

    Modern EE & CS Energy Challenges

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    82/114

    gy g

    Supply Transport ConsumptionLoad

    Generators Lines

    TransformersMeters

    VFDEfficiency

    Usage

    ScheduleControl

    Pricing

    Baseline

    Intermittent

    Peaker

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Nuclear ,Coal

    HydroGeothermal

    Combined cyclenat. gas / bio

    Single cyclenat. gas /

    bio

    PhotovoltaicWind

    T r a n s m

    i s s i o n

    D i s t r i b u t i o n

    Imports

    Motors

    Lighting

    HVAC

    Electronics

    ApplianceFacilities

    Personal

    Industrial

    Transportation

    Power Supplies

    FluctuatingRenewable

    Storage Storage Storage Pumped

    Information Plane

    Physical PlaneCircuits

    11/7/201282

    Interesting Sensor Networks

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    83/114

    g151 Temperature Sensors

    50 Electrical Sub-meters

    12 Variable Speed Fans

    138 Air Dampers

    312 Light Relays

    6 Variable Speed Pumps

    121 Controllable Valves

    > 6 , 0 0 0 S e n s e a n d

    C o n t r o l P o i n t s

    Sutardja Dai HallBuilt in 2009

    140k sq. ft.11/7/201283

    Controls are Widely Available

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    84/114

    Controls are Widely Available

    Bancroft Library: Built in 1949 100k sq. ft.

    5,000 points

    >70% of large buildings have digital controls

    U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2009 11/7/201284

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    85/114

    Measure => Model => Mitigate

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    86/114

    Mathematical model from Newtons law of cooling

    Model identied using semi-parametric regression

    dT/dt = -k r T - k cu(t) + k ww(t) ) + q(t)change in temperature

    over time

    time constantof room

    AC cooling

    weather heating from occupantsand equipment

    11AM 12PM 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM

    21

    22

    23

    Time

    ( C )

    11AM 12PM 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM

    0.0285

    0.029

    ( C / s )

    Time

    Temperature:Experimental (blue)Simulated (red)

    Heating from occupantsand equipment

    11/7/201286

    Learning-Based Model Predictive Control

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    87/114

    1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

    22

    23

    Time

    ( C )

    1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

    0

    1

    A C

    S t a t e

    Time

    1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

    22

    23

    ( C )

    Time

    1PM 3PM 5PM 7PM 9PM 11PM 1AM 3AM 5AM 7AM 9AM 11AM

    0

    1

    A C

    S t a t e

    Time

    Experimental LBMPC: 12.6kWh Consumed

    Temperature

    Control Action

    Simulated Hysteresis Control: 29.7kWh Consumed (estimated)

    Temperature

    Control Action

    (Aswani, Master, Taneja, Culler, Tomlin, 2011)

    g

    LBMPC adjusts for internal dynamics, avoids over-cooling, trades off duty cycle and switching frequency

    0 2 4 6 80

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Minutes

    k W

    Transient PowerSteady State Power

    11/7/201287

    Supply-Following Computational

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    88/114

    Supply Following ComputationalLoads

    11/7/201288

    IPSRequests

    Power

    Background Processing (shiftable)

    Controllable Storage

    QoS (fidelity & latency)

    Availability

    Forecasts

    Energy-Availability Driven Scheduling

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    89/114

    Non-dispatchable,variable supply

    Power proportional,grid-aware loads

    NREL Western Wind and Solar Integration Study Datasethttp://wind.nrel.gov/Web_nrel/

    0 200 400 600 8000

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14 x 104

    Time (hrs)

    P o w e r ( W )

    Pacheco wind farm

    0 200 400 600 8000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    x 104

    Time (hrs)

    P o w

    e r ( W )

    Scientific computingcluster

    200 250 3000

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    x 104 greedy pacheco 2.0x

    Time (hrs)

    P o w

    e r ( W )

    11/7/201289

    Energy Slack

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    90/114

    gy

    90

    ThermostaticallyControlled Load

    Set Point

    IPSGuard band

    11/7/2012

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    91/114

    From Auto Demand Response

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    92/114

    11/7/201292

    Sutardja Dai Hall

    To Personalized Automated Lighting

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    93/114

    Control

    Three controllableballasts per xture

    ~5 zones per oor

    BACnetsMAP

    HTTP

    Gateway

    MySQLPythonDjango

    PythonControlProcess

    11/7/201293

    Real Energy Savings

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    94/114

    11/7/201294

    0 0

    58%

    68% 69%63%

    53%

    65%68%

    75%71%

    61%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    0

    0.5

    1

    1.5

    2

    2.5

    3

    3.5

    4

    K W

    SDH 4th Floor Lighting Energy Usage

    Colab Savings

    Floor kW

    Collab kW

    A Macroscope ???

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    95/114

    10/11 00:00 10/11 12:00 10/12 00:00 10/12 12:00 10/13 00:00 10/13 12:00100

    80

    60

    40

    20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    100% Cooling

    100% Heating

    Dead band

    11/7/201295

    Network of

    Cooling Tower Loop

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    96/114

    Dampers(VAVs)

    Heating Coils &Valves

    70 F setpoint

    Condenser Water Pump (CWP)Always on max

    Control

    Loops

    11/7/201296

    Outside Air Intake

    Supply Fan(Air Handler Unit AHU)

    336 Pa setpoint

    Exhaust Air Return Fan

    Cooling Coil & Valve55 F setpoint

    Chilled Water Pump (CHP)Always on max

    Chiller 45 F setpoint

    Cold Water Loop

    H o t W

    a t e r

    L o o p

    V A V L o o p

    V A V L o o p

    V A V L o o p

    Air Handling

    Loop

    E c o n o m

    i z e r

    L o o p

    Script the building

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    97/114

    11/7/201297

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    98/114

    11/7/201298

    Theres a bldg app for that

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    99/114

    g pp

    11/7/201299

    Holistic HVAC optimization

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    100/114

    11/7/2012100

    12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18 12/19120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    RMSE = 5.6%

    Savings: 16.52%25.4 kW

    P o w e r ( k W )

    MeasuredBaseline

    Empirical models, includingexternal factors, and

    monitoring, provide rapid,focused feedback

    Dynamically set economizer, supply air temp, minairow, reheat

    0 8/10 0 8/10 0 8/11 0 8/11 0 8/12 0 8/12 0 8/13 0 8/13 0 8/14 0 8/140

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10x 10

    4

    A i r F l o w

    ( C F M )

    Fresh air

    Return Air

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    101/114

    CyberPhysical Building Systems

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    102/114

    BMS

    Cyber Physical Building

    L i g h

    t

    T r a n s p o r tProcess

    Loads

    Occupan tDemand

    LegacyInstrumentation &Control Interfaces

    PervasiveSensing

    Activity/Usage

    Streams

    Local Controllers

    Planning Visualiza;on

    OccupantSa;sfac;on

    Mul;-Objec;veModel-Driven

    Control

    Building IntegratedOperating System

    H V A C

    E l e c t r i c a

    l

    S e c u r i

    t y , F

    a u l t

    , A n o m a l y

    D e t e c t

    & M a n a g e m e n

    t

    Control andScheduleExternal

    Physical

    Models

    11/7/2012102

    BIM

    EmpiricalModels

    drvrs drvrs drvrs

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    103/114

    Synchrophasors

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    104/114

    Synchronized Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs)

    distributed across the transmission system 30 Hz sampling of voltage, current, frequency & phase Synchronized (

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    105/114

    Power Systems Applications Enhanced state estimation, Operator visualization Black Start visibility, Line impedance derivation Oscillatory mode detection & damping Post-disturbance analysis, Islanding Power network model validation

    11/7/2012105

    Phase Difference beforethe Blackout

    Aug 14, 2003

    Currently ~500 PMUs in US grid

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    106/114

    y g

    11/7/2012106

    The issues to solve?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    107/114

    Sensor placement Huge complex grid, few expensive PMUs

    Time synchronization Higher delity requires tighter synchronization Especially as we move to the distribution tier

    Latency Data rates (!), storage, query Continuous, unattended operation

    Especially during crises Analytics, Prognostics,

    11/7/2012107

    DIY Synchrophasors

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    108/114

    11/7/2012108

    What happens when ?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    109/114

    Push observability throughout distribution tier? Into consumption tier ? Electrify more and more of the transportation ? The loads become efficient, power

    proportional, and grid responsive?

    11/7/2012109

    From a Grid to an Energy Network

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    110/114

    110

    Load IPS

    SourceIPS

    energysubnet

    IntelligentPower Switch

    Monitor, Model, Mitigate

    Deep instrumentation Waste elimination Efficient Operation

    Shifting, Scheduling, Adaptation

    Forecasting Tracking Market

    Availability Pricing Planning

    11/7/2012

    IT and the 4 Part GHG

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    111/114

    Reduction Plan

    Efficiency

    Electrify Decarbonize

    the electricity Decarbonize

    the fuel

    111

    Monitoring, Analysis, Modeling,Waste Elimination, Power

    Proportionality, Optimal Control

    Intelligence, Communication,adaptation in Everything

    ZELB. Supply-Following Loads,Energy SLA, Cooperative Grid

    11/7/2012

    What made me think it was time for

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    112/114

    WSN reseatch?

    11/7/2012112

    Why the next tier of internet is here?

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    113/114

    11/7/2012113

    Thanks

  • 7/30/2019 Keynote Sensys 11-7-2012

    114/114