Key Success Factors for a Mining Project in a Time of Market Volatility
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Transcript of Key Success Factors for a Mining Project in a Time of Market Volatility
Our Cover Photos
Red Dog Mine, located in Alaska, is one of the world’s largest zinc mines. Zinc is an essential nutrient for brain development and growth in children. Tragically, up to one-third of the world’s population does not get enough zinc in their diets. That’s why Teck and the zinc industry are working with UNICEF on the Zinc Saves Kids program to provide zinc supplements to children in need in developing countries.
Bob Hamaguchi and W.E. Stanley cast their lines in quest of rainbow trout on Trojan Pond, a former tailings pond at our Highland Valley Copper mine. Trojan Pond is the site of an annual fly fishing tournament that raises funds for Royal InlandHospital in Kamloops, BC., and is a living example of a successful reclamation program.
Our Cover Photos
People like Gene Veilette, a haul truck driver at our Highland Valley Copper Mine, are Teck’s most important asset. We strive to create a company that is a special place to work for our employees, where a “safety first” approach permeates our culture.
This small frog can tell a big story. A frog living downstream from a mine is a sign of an ecologically sound, well-managed operation. It means we are doing our job, using environmentally sensitive techniques to extract the metals that all of us use in our everyday lives.
Both these slides and the accompanying oral presentation contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and forward-looking information within the meaning of the Securities Act (Ontario) and comparable legislation in other provinces.
Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variation of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Teck to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include statements relating to our future production, sales, earnings and cash flow, and our statements as to management’s expectations with respect to, among other things, business and financial prospects, the size and quality of Teck’s copper development projects and the timing of those projects, proposed expansions at existing operations, our production growth profile in copper, coal and oil, mine lives and mineral and oil and gas reserves and resources, progress in development of mineral and oil sands properties, future production, capital and mine production costs, demand and market outlook for commodities, future commodity prices and the financial results, cash flows and operations of Teck.
These forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties and actual results may vary materially. These statements are based on a number of assumptions, including, but not limited to, assumptions regarding general business andeconomic conditions, interest rates, the supply and demand for, inventories of, and the level and volatility of prices of coal, zinc, copper and gold and other primary metals and minerals produced by Teck as well as oil, natural gas and petroleum, the outcome ofengineering studies currently underway in connection with Teck’s development projects, the timing of receipt of regulatory and governmental approvals for Teck’s development projects and other operations, Teck’s costs of production and production and productivity levels, as well as those of its competitors, power prices, market competition, the accuracy of Teck’s reserve and resource estimates (including with respect to size, grade and recoverability) and the geological, operational and price assumptions on which these are based, the resolution of environmental and other proceedings, our ongoing relations with our employees and partners and joint venturers, the availability of financing for development projects and the future operational and financial performance of the company generally. The foregoing list of assumptions is not exhaustive.
Forward Looking Information
2
Events or circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially. Factors that may cause actual results to vary include, but are not limited to: unanticipated developments in business and economic conditions in the principal markets for Teck’s products or in the supply, demand, and prices for metals and other commodities to be produced, changes in power prices, changes in interest or currency exchange rates, inaccurate geological or metallurgical assumptions (including with respect to the size, grade and recoverability of mineral or oil and gas reserves and resources), changes in taxation laws or tax authority assessing practices, legal disputes or unanticipated outcomes of legal proceedings, unanticipated operational difficulties (including failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate in accordance with specifications or expectations, cost escalation, unavailability of materials and equipment, government action or delays in the receipt of permits or government approvals, industrial disturbances or other job action, and unanticipated events related to health, safety and environmental matters), decisions made by our partners or co-venturers, political risk, social unrest, lack of available financing for Teck or its partners or co-venturers, and changes in general economic conditions or conditions in the financial markets.
Certain of these risks are described in more detail in Teck’s annual information form available at www.sedar.com and in public filings with the SEC. Teck does not assume the obligation to revise or update these forward-looking statements after the date of this document or to revise them to reflect the occurrence of future unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
Forward Looking Information
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Ranking
Producer of metallurgical coal in N. America #1
Exporter of metallurgical coal in world #2
Zinc miner in world(1) Top 3
Copper growth potential over next 5-7 years 2x
Building a Leading Diversified Mining Company
Note 1: Brook Hunt, 2009
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TECK RESOURCES–DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
‘Stay the Course’ Strategy
LowLow--cost cost
Incremental GrowthIncremental GrowthCoalCoal
Building Building
ResourcesResourcesEnergyEnergy
Converting Resources to Cash Flow
Brownfield Brownfield
ExpansionExpansionCopperCopper
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CAGR Trend ~20%*
CAGR Trend ~23%*
$ millions
TECK RESOURCES
Strong and Growing Cash Flow
*Note: cash flows before asset sales, tax deferrals etc.
Record Record
resultsresults
6
December 2011December 2011
Net Debt to Net Debt + Equity 13%
Debt / EBITDA 1.3x
EBITDA / Interest 11.3x
Strong Financial Position
Mid Triple-B Ratings from All Major AgenciesMid Triple-B Ratings from All Major Agencies
Weighted average term to maturity: 15.2 Years
Weighted average coupon rate: 6.0%
Overall Debt Maturity Profile
Year
($millions)
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TECK RESOURCES
Growing Global Middle Class*
Source: OECD, Jan 2010
3 Billion increase by 2030• 700 million increase
1980 to 2009
• 3 billion increase 2010 to 2030
• Most resource intensive period of economic growth
*Daily per capita spending $10 to $100 in PPP terms
(million)
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Global Steel Consumption to Grow 1 Billion Tonnes by 2030
+80%+80%
Source: McKinsey Global Institute 2011
Requires
~500 million tonnes
more coking coal
Forecast Global Steel Demand(million tonnes)
9
Neither: Managed Growth (at a lower trajectory)
GDP
FY: 9.2% Q4: 8.9%
GDPGDP
FY: 9.2% Q4: 8.9%FY: 9.2% Q4: 8.9%
Fixed Asset Investment
FY: 23.8%
Fixed Asset InvestmentFixed Asset Investment
FY: 23.8%FY: 23.8%
Retail Sales
FY: 17.1%
Retail SalesRetail Sales
FY: 17.1%FY: 17.1%
Industrial Production
FY: 13.9% Q4: 12.8%
Industrial ProductionIndustrial Production
FY: 13.9% Q4: 12.8%FY: 13.9% Q4: 12.8%
TECK RESOURCES
China: Hard Landing or Soft Landing?
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TECK COAL – A CLOSER LOOK
Growth in Global Steel Market
Source: WSA
Global Production Over the Last +20 years
• 2000: China ~15% of global crude steel production
• 2011: China ~46% of global crude steel production
• Global (ex.China): production +15% over the same period
1990-1995:51%
1990-1995:12%
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TECK COAL – A CLOSER LOOK
China’s Changing Steel Industry
• 12th 5-year plan announced Nov 2011
• North east & central coastal regions: complete existing projects
• Central region: industry-wide upgrade and restructuring
• South-East Coast: New capacity in Guangdong (Zhanjiang), Guangxi (Fangcheng) and Fujian (Ningde)
CentralCentral
SouthSouth--East C
oast
East Coast
Domestic Steel Domestic Steel
ConsumptionConsumption
*Source: MIIT forecast
(Mt)
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TECK COAL – A CLOSER LOOK
China’s Move Toward Larger Furnaces
Source: Wuhan Iron and Steel Corporation, Wuhan, China
Capacity byBlast Furnace Size
Mt
Measure 10001000mm33 30003000mm33 50005000mm33 Teck Teck HCCHCC
Ash (%) ≤≤≤≤13.0 ≤≤≤≤12.5 ≤≤≤≤12.0 <10
S (%) ≤≤≤≤0.7 ≤≤≤≤0.65 ≤≤≤≤0.6 <0.55
CSR (%) ≥≥≥≥58 ≥≥≥≥63 ≥≥≥≥66 70-74
Coke Quality Requirement by
Blast Furnace Size
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• Production ‘12e vs. ‘11: +10%
• Increasing fleet size
• Modernizing plant
• Adding people
• Stabilizing strip ratio
TECK COAL – A CLOSER LOOK
Increasing Production from Existing Six Operations
Source: Teck Resources, 2012 guidance 24.5 to 25.5mt
Annual Coal ProductionMt
Targeting 28Mtpa 2013
15
• Trucks, shovels, drills have been ordered
• Permitting & stakeholder consultation proceeding
• Residential units acquired in Tumbler Ridge
• $340M capex for 2012
TECK COAL – A CLOSER LOOK
Quintette Re-start
Existing plant at Quintette
Targeting 3 Mtpa, 2013 start-up
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Source : Antaike
000’s
tonn
es (
conte
nt)
TECK COPPER – A CLOSER LOOK
Chinese Copper Imports Remain Strong
Record Record
ImportsImportsChina now accounts for more than 40%
of global copper consumption
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TECK COPPER – A CLOSER LOOK
Growing Copper Production
Source: Teck Resources, 2012 Guidance
kt
• Andacollo concentrator
• Highland Valley Copper
• Antamina expansion
‒ +30% ore first half 2012
Low cost brownfield projects
Annual Copper Production
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• Finalizing feasibility study
• Safe geo-political jurisdiction; low permitting risk
• Large resource: 200ktpa copper + 5ktpa molybdenum over 39 year mine life
• Low strip ratio
• No technology challenges – clean concentrate
• Recent concentrator construction experience (Andacollo)
TECK COPPER – A CLOSER LOOK
Quebrada Blanca Phase II200 kt Copper Production
South America
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TECK COPPER – A CLOSER LOOK
Relincho Project (100% Teck)180kt Copper Production
• Central Chile, low altitude, access to infrastructure, and local workforce
• Pre-feasibility completed Q3 2011: US$3.9b capex, 180ktpa contained copper, 6ktpa contained moly, 22-yr mine life, cash costs ~US$1.30/lb
• 3.0Mt contained copper resource; upside potential
• Full feasibility expected Q1 2013
South America
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Red Dog (100%)
• Exceptional zinc grades
• One of the largest zinc mines in the world
• 572,000 tonnes produced in 2011
• Outstanding exploration potential
Antamina (22.5%)
• Low cost, long life copper/zinc mine
• One of the world’s largest zinc producers – 53,000 tonnes produced in 2011
(Teck’s share)
• Expansion proceeding
Trail (100%)
• 1st quartile operating margin
• Fully integrated zinc and lead operations
• Captive hydro-electric power
TECK ZINC – A CLOSER LOOK
World Class Assets
Red Dog
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• Consistent with diversification strategy
• Core competencies:
Open-pit, truck & shovel
• Large long-life resource, low exploration risk
• Safe jurisdiction
TECK ENERGY – A CLOSER LOOK
Target for > 30 kbpd by 2016
Land Position post SBE Transaction
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TECK ENERGY – A CLOSER LOOK
Growing our Resource Base
Contingent Bitumen Resource
billion bbls
Today:
•Teck’s share: ~2.1 billion barrels of bitumen resource
•20% interest in Fort Hills & 50% interest in Frontier/Equinox
Post-SBE transaction:
•100% interest in Frontier/Equinox
•Resources: over 3.5 billion bbls
•Lease 421 still to come
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Source: Bloomberg, Teck estimates assuming Frontier at 50%, Lease 421 at 50%
Thousand B
arr
els
per
Day
TECK ENERGY – A CLOSER LOOK
Building a Substantial Energy Business
Teck’s Potential Oil Sands Production vs.Top 10 Canadian Oil Sands Producers (2010)
MarketCap:
$56bn $41bn $11bn $42bn
Market cap as at Feb 22, 2012
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TECK RESOURCES
Delivering Results and Future Growth
Emerging oil producerCreating value in Oil Sands assets
EnergyEnergy
Growing high quality productionCrucial raw material for steelmaking
Coking CoalCoking Coal
Expanding production Strong assets geared toward future growth
CopperCopper
World class operations1st quartile cash costs
ZincZinc
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