Kennedy Wilson Seattle Property...
Transcript of Kennedy Wilson Seattle Property...
Seattle Property Day
July 2018(Information as of March 31, 2018 unless otherwise noted)
Seattle Property Day1
Disclaimer/Forward-Looking Statements
Statements made by us in this presentation and in other reports and statements released by
us that are not historical facts constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of
Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended,
and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These forward-
looking statements are necessarily estimates reflecting the judgment of our senior
management based on our current estimates, expectations, forecasts and projections and
include comments that express our current opinions about trends and factors that may
impact future operating results. Some of the forward-looking statements may be identified
by words like “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “estimates”, “plans”, “intends”, “projects”,
“indicates“, “could”, “may” and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees
of future performance and involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions.
Accordingly, actual results or the performance of Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. (the
“Company”) or its subsidiaries may differ significantly, positively or negatively, from forward-
looking statements made herein. Unanticipated events and circumstances are likely to
occur. Factors that might cause such differences include, but are not limited to, the risks
that the Company’s business strategy and plans may not receive the level of market
acceptance anticipated; disruptions in general economic and business conditions,
particularly in geographic areas where our business may be concentrated; the continued
volatility and disruption of the capital and credit markets, higher interest rates, higher loan
costs, less desirable loan terms, and a reduction in the availability of mortgage loans and
mezzanine financing, all of which could increase costs and could limit our ability to acquire
additional real estate assets; continued high levels of, or increases in, unemployment and a
general slowdown in commercial activity; our leverage and ability to refinance existing
indebtedness or incur additional indebtedness; an increase in our debt service obligations;
our ability to generate a sufficient amount of cash from operations to satisfy working capital
requirements and to service our existing and future indebtedness; our ability to achieve
improvements in operating efficiency; foreign currency fluctuations; adverse changes in the
securities markets; our ability to retain our senior management and attract and retain
qualified and experienced employees; our ability to attract new user and investor clients;
our ability to retain major clients and renew related contracts; trends in the use of large, full-
service commercial real estate providers; changes in tax laws in the United States, Europe
or Japan that reduce or eliminate our deductions or other tax benefits; future acquisitions
may not be available at favorable prices or with advantageous terms and conditions; and
costs relating to the acquisition of assets we may acquire could be higher than anticipated.
Any such forward-looking statements, whether made in this report or elsewhere, should be
considered in the context of the various disclosures made by us about our businesses
including, without limitation, the risk factors discussed in our filings with the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Except as required under the federal securities laws
and the rules and regulations of the SEC, we do not have any intention or obligation to
update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information,
future events, change in assumptions, or otherwise.
The information with respect to the projections presented herein is based on a number of assumptions about future events and is subject to significant economic and competitive uncertainty and
other contingencies, none of which can be predicted with any certainty and some of which are beyond the company’s control. There can be no assurances that the projections will be realized, and
actual results may be higher or lower than those indicated. Neither the company nor any of their respective security holders, directors, officers, employees, advisors or affiliates, or any
representatives or affiliates of the foregoing, assumes responsibility for the accuracy of the projections presented herein.
The modeling, calculations, forecasts, projections, evaluations, analyses, simulations, or other forward-looking information prepared by Property and Portfolio Research, Inc. (Licensor) and
presented herein (the “Licensor Materials”) are based on various assumptions concerning future events and circumstances, all of which are uncertain and subject to change without notice. Actual
results and events may differ materially from the projections presented. All Licensor Materials speak only as of the date referenced with respect to such data and may have changed since such
date, which changes may be material. You should not construe any of the Licensor Materials as investment, tax, accounting, or legal advice.
Seattle Property Day2
Agenda
Welcome1 Bill McMorrow, Chairman and CEO, Kennedy Wilson
Seattle overview2 Kurt Zech, President, Kennedy Wilson Multifamily
Vintage Housing Holdings3 Ryan Patterson, President, Vintage Housing Holdings
Asset tour4
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1. Welcome
Overview
Bill McMorrow – Chairman and CEO, Kennedy Wilson
Seattle Property Day4
KW overview
Total employees
511No. of offices
24
Estimated Annual NOI2
$461m
Quarterly Dividend
$0.19
Carrying value of
real estate
$7.2bnNon-income producing
and unstabilized assets
$1.0bn
1 Information shown at share as of March 31, 2018.2 As defined in definitions section in the appendix.3 Based on annual dividend of $0.76 and share price of $21.15 on 6/30/18.
KENNEDY WILSON (NYSE:KW) AT A GLANCE1
Dividend Yield3
3.6%
Seattle Property Day5
Diversified portfolio and solid track record
SectorsMultifamily: 39%
Office: 33%
Retail: 18%
Hotel &
Industrial: 10%
Estimated Annual
NOI1
$461m
Multifamily units3
27,508Commercial area
(sq ft)2
19.0m
1 As defined in definitions section in the appendix.2 Includes 1.1m sq ft of unstabilized assets and 0.7m sq ft under development.3 Includes 418 unstabilized units and 2,530 units under development.
4 Approximate IRR on realized investments since going public through March 31, 2018. Disposition track record
excludes loan pools.
Transactions since going public
IRR on dispositions
to KW30%✓
Acquisitions: $20B
Dispositions: $10B
Disposition track record4
Investment
transactions
(gross)
$30bn
Global real estate portfolio
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The Kennedy Wilson story
Global business is positioned to grow1
Unrivalled long-term relationships with major institutions2
30-year track record as global real estate investor and operator5
Local investment and service expertise to accretively allocate capital3
4 First-mover advantage from early entry in key target markets
Seattle Property Day7
Near-term strategic priorities
Development
Non-core
Asset Sales
• Additional $32mm of Estimated Annual NOI through
projects completed by YE-2019
• Generate $500mm of additional cash by YE-2019
1
Investment
Management• Raise $1bn in third-party capital by YE-2018
• Expand capital raising to Europe3
Balance Sheet• Strategically grow multifamily portfolio in the U.S.,
Ireland and the U.K. 2
4
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2006First acquisition in WA
11,110Apartments
(incl.1,930 in development or
under contract)
1.4mOffice sq ft
$71mEstimated annual NOI(1)(3)
to KW
Washington is KW’s largest U.S. market; represents 35% of US portfolio NOI
1 As of March 31, 2018 and pro-forma for asset sales announced and completed subsequent to 1Q-2018. 3 As defined in definitions section in the appendix. 2 There can be no assurances that such units will be acquired and/or fully developed.
1
2
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2. Seattle market overview
Overview
Kurt Zech – President, Kennedy Wilson Multifamily
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Seattle by the numbers
Regional population
3.9mWage growth1
3.6% No state income tax
$0 Sq.ft. of office under
construction
5.1m
Unemployment rate
3.8%Committed to
transportation projects
$60bn
Source: JLL1 Meyers Research; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. For the year ended March 2018.
Seattle Property Day11
Seattle’s diverse employer base
7k
9k
9k
11k
11k
16k
16k
18k
30k
43k
45k
64k
0k 10k 20k 30k 40k 50k 60k 70k
Sources: Puget Sound Business Journal; CoStar Portfolio Strategy
Numbers are representative of full-time employees.
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Seattle is still a leader in job creation
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Moody’s Analytics; CoStar Portfolio Strategy. As of May-2018.
Year-over-year non-farm job growth
3.3% 3.3%
3.0%2.8%
2.4%2.1%
1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4%
1.2%
0.9%0.7%
1.6%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
12-Month Employment Growth U.S. Average
Seattle Property Day13
Job growth exceeding multifamily supply
Sources: CBRE Research; JLL1 Includes South Lake Union, Denny Triangle, Capitol Hill/First Hill, Queen Anne/Magnolia/Ballard, University District/Greenlake/Fremont, North Seattle, and South Seattle.
8.4m
21,520
78%
48,000
Projected commercial
sq.ft. added by 2020
Pre-leased
Potential new jobs (175 sq ft per employee)
New apartments
delivered by 20201
Seattle Property Day14
Rising home prices make it cheaper to rent
KingCounty
Seattle
Eastside
May-18 May-17
$960,000+9.7%
$830,000+13.9%
$725,275+14.5%
Record median home prices
Sources: Northwest Multiple Listing Service; Seattletimes.com
Source: JLL
Seattle Property Day15
Greater Seattle is a preferred destination for Bay Area workers
10 Fortune 500 companies headquartered in the Bay Area with
a significant headcount in the greater Seattle
10 Fortune 500 companies headquartered in the greater Seattle
Source: JLL
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Affordability case study: Seattle vs San Francisco
$135,000 $150,000
$0 $10,890
$33,660 $37,440
$27,86027%
of after-tax income
$45,29045%
of after-tax income
$73,480 $56,380
Seattle San Francisco
Average Software Engineer Salary
State Income Tax
Federal Income Tax
Class A, 1-Bedroom Apartment
Disposable Income
Source: JLL
30% more disposable income in Seattle
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US Multifamily portfolio overview
Seattle Property Day18
Washington represents 38% of US multifamily NOI
Estimated Annual
NOI(1)(2)
$56m
No. of stabilized assets
38
No. of stabilized multifamily units
9,180Market Rate: 73%
Affordable: 27%
Product Type
Atlas, Issaquah, WA Vintage at Urban Center, Lynwood, WA
VHH units in development
or under contract
1,930
1 As defined in definitions section in the appendix. 2 As of March 31, 2018 and pro-forma for asset sales announced and completed subsequent to 1Q-2018.
2
2
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Stable income with upside potential
15 / 4,971Communities / Units
Market rate portfolio1
Occupancy
Loss to lease 6%
93%
KW Ownership 61%
1 As of March 31, 2018 and pro-forma for asset sales announced and completed subsequent to 1Q-2018.
Estimated Annual NOI2
to KW $41m
2 As defined in definitions section.
Seattle Property Day20
Suburban assets outperforming
Same-property market-rate revenue growth comparison
1 As defined in definitions section in the appendix.
5.8%
6.7%
10.2%
8.5%
7.1%6.8%
7.6%7.1%
5.8%
4.5%
2,346 2,667
4,457
5,075 5,279
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1'18
Kennedy Wilson Public Real Estate Company Average KW Same-Property Units1
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KW’s suburban market-rate portfolio positioned for growth
$41m
Federal Way: 25%
Puyallup: 20%
Issaquah: 15%
South Lake Union: 12%
Bellevue/Redmond: 9%
Renton: 8%
Tacoma: 5%
Tumwater: 3%
Other: 3%
Submarket
Estimated Annual
NOI1$1,582
$2,194
Kennedy Wilson Public Real Estate Company Average
Washington average rents comparison
1 As defined in definitions section in the appendix.
1
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Value creation through asset management
Before
Onyx – interior renovations
Before After
$7,600
$2,400
32%
Avg. unit renovation cost
Avg. increase in rent/yr
Return on cost
$11,500
$3,000
26% Return on cost
Avg. unit renovation cost
Avg. increase in rent/yr
After
Belara – interior renovations
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3. Vintage Housing Holdings
Overview
Ryan Patterson – President, Vintage Housing Holdings
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Vintage Housing: Growing our portfolio with minimal equity
YE-20211
44
$14m
30
Stabilized units
KW cash basis
Communities(stabilized)
Today
$78m
6,400
At acquisition
(2Q-15)
5,500
34
9,120
─
1 The figures below are projections. There can be no assurances that such projections will be realized, and actual results may be higher or lower than those indicated.
KW expects to have all invested equity returned by YE-2018
Seattle Property Day25
4,209Stabilized Units
1,930Units in development or
under contract1
97%Occupancy
$15mEstimated annual NOI2
to KW
Washington represents 71% of US affordable NOI
1 There can be no assurances that such units will be acquired and/or fully developed. 2 As defined in definitions section in the appendix.
Seattle Property Day26
Affordable housing 101
Low-Income Housing Tax Credits Program (LIHTC – “lie-tech”)
Enacted in 1986, it is an indirect Federal subsidy used to finance the construction and rehabilitation of affordable rental
housing for low-income households.
How it works Who qualifies
• Families with an income of 60% or
less of area median incomes (“AMI”)
• Seniors 55 years of age or older
with an income of 60% or less of
AMI
• Section 42 of the Internal Revenue Code allows for
two types of LIHTC’s based on the nature of project
• Provides an incentive for developers through
awarding tax-exempt bonds for qualified projects
• Bonds allow for creation of tax credits which can be
sold to raise capital for their projects
• Investors receive a dollar-for-dollar credit against
their Federal tax liability for a period of 10 years
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Tax credit investment process
Federal Government allocates tax-exempt bonds and tax credits to states
State Housing
Agencies allocate
bonds and credits to
affordable housing
development
Affordable
Development
Limited Partners
(major financial
institutions)
TAX-EXEMPT BONDS
TAX CREDITS
TAX-EXEMPT BONDS
TAX CREDITS
TAX CREDITS
$
Seattle Property Day28
Mill Creek case study
$28.2m -Building & FFE
$5.7m - Developer Fee
$2.3m -Land
$2.4m - Permits
Key Stats
Units: 220 Close date: August 2016
Cost per door: $185K Construction completion: June 2018 $5.7m Total developer fee1
1 Remaining developer fee to the partnership to be paid from future cash flows.
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Generating attractive cash flow through resyndication
Resyndication: Dissolve an existing partnership and recapitalize into a new partnership with tax-exempt bonds
and tax credits which are sold to a new tax credit limited partner.
11 completed resyndications generated $55m for rehab capex & $44m cash to KW
11 additional resyndications expected by 2022
Case Study – Timbers by Vintage
$2.2m $7.4mKW total proceedsKW equity at acquisition
2015• KW equity of $2.2m at acquisition
• Bought out original tax credit LP and secured bridge loan, resulting in
$0.8m of cash to KW
2016• Resyndicated the project into a new venture, generating $4.5m in proceeds to KW
• Began rehab totaling $36K per door
2017• Completed rehab and converted property, generating $2.1m in fees to KW
Seattle Property Day30
4. Seattle asset tour
Overview
Seattle Property Day31
Tour Map
Seattle Property Day32
KW top assets in Washington by NOI1
Represents asset on Seattle property tour $64.2 5877,324
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
90 East
Club Palisades
Atlas
Belara
Bella Sonoma
Harrington Square
The Onyx
Radius
Apex
Equinox
Vintage Housing
Asset nameIssaquah, WA
Federal Way, WA
Issaquah, WA
Auburn, WA
Fife, WA
Renton, WA
Redmond, WA
Seattle, WA
Tacoma, WA
Seattle, WA
Various
Location
Office
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
Multifamily
SectorKW share of est.
NOI1
($m)
$13.1
8.5
6.0
5.0
3.4
3.3
2.9
2.8
2.2
2.1
14.9
Commercial
(000 sq ft)
587
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
MF
Units
-
750
343
430
280
217
400
282
209
204$49.3
Acquisition
date
Jun-17
Jan-11
Nov-17
Jul-16
Nov-14
Nov-12
Jun-08
Feb-17
Apr-14
Oct-16
Various
587
-
3,115
4,209
1 As of March 31, 2018 and pro-forma for asset sales announced and completed subsequent to 1Q-2018. Please see appendix for definition of Estimated Annual NOI.
Bella SonomaBelaraClub Palisades
Seattle Property Day33
Appendix
Overview
Seattle Property Day34
AppendixDEFINITIONS:
Estimated Annual NOI: “Estimated annualized NOI" is a property-level non-GAAP measure representing the estimated annual net operating income from each property as of the date shown, inclusive of rent abatements (if applicable). The calculation
excludes depreciation and amortization expense, and does not capture the changes in the value of our properties that result from use or market conditions, nor the level of capital expenditures, tenant improvements, and leasing commissions necessary to
maintain the operating performance of our properties. Any of the enumerated items above could have a material effect on the performance of our properties. Also, where specifically noted, for properties purchased in 2018, the NOI represents estimated
Year 1 NOI from our original underwriting. Estimated year 1 NOI for properties purchased in 2018 may not be indicative of the actual results for those properties. Estimated annual NOI is not an indicator of the actual annual net operating income that the
Company will or expects to realize in any period. Please also see the definition of "Net operating income" below. The Company does not provide a reconciliation for estimated annual NOI to its most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial
measure, because it is unable to provide a meaningful or accurate estimation of each of the component reconciling items, and the information is not available without unreasonable effort. This is due to the inherent difficulty of forecasting the timing and/or
amount of various items that would impact estimated annual NOI, including, for example, gains on sales of depreciable real estate and other items that have not yet occurred and are out of the Company’s control. For the same reasons, the Company is
unable to meaningfully address the probable significance of the unavailable information and believes that providing a reconci liation for estimated annual NOI would imply a degree of precision as to its forward-looking net operating income that would be
confusing or misleading to investors.
Net Operating Income: "Net operating income" or " NOI” is a non-GAAP measure representing the income produced by a property calculated by deducting operating expenses from operating revenues. Our management uses net operating income
to assess and compare the performance of our properties and to estimate their fair value. Net operating income does not include the effects of depreciation or amortization or gains or losses from the sale of properties because the effects of those items
do not necessarily represent the actual change in the value of our properties resulting from our value-add initiatives or changing market conditions. Our management believes that net operating income reflects the core revenues and costs of operating our
properties and is better suited to evaluate trends in occupancy and lease rates.
Public Real Estate Company Average: Simple average of Essex Property Trust, Inc., AvalonBay Communities, Inc., UDR, Inc., and Equity Residential.