June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m,...

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June 2003 AWB Limited

Transcript of June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m,...

Page 1: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

June 2003

AWB Limited

Page 2: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

2003 Half-year results impacted by drought

• Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61%

• Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

• Earnings per share of 10.9 cents, down 61%

• Interim dividend of 14 cents per share

• Drought impacted wheat crop of 9.7 million tonnes

• Loan book peaked at $1.6b in December 2002

• Gross Pool Value at $1.3b

Page 3: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Statement of financial performance

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02 Change

Revenue from ordinary activities 1,030.3 1,559.7 (34%)

Cost of sales (883.0) (1,354.1) (35%)

Borrowing costs (42.7) (42.3) 1%

Depreciation & amortisation (12.2) (5.6) 118%

Other (52.4) (50.4) 4%

Share of net profit of associates 2.8 1.9 47%

Operating profit before tax 42.8 109.2 (61%)

Net profit 29.9 77.1 (61%)

Page 4: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Cashflow$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

Operating profit before tax 42.8

Tax paid (39.2)

Depreciation & amortisation 12.2

Working capital changes 19.3

Increase in net cash & short term deposits (195.1)

Purchase of non-current assets (49.1)

Purchase of investments (121.7)

Dividends paid (30.2)

Net new equity 1.9

Decrease in loan book 250.1

Increase in debt (109.0)

Page 5: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Capital expenditure

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02 Change

Grain centres construction 40.7 8.6 373%

System Development &

Other Plant & Equipment

8.4 18.3 (54%)

Total 49.1 26.9 83%

Depreciation 12.2 5.6 118%

Page 6: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Statement of financial position$million As at 31-Mar-03 As at 31-Mar-02

Assets

Cash 61.9 11.7

Receivables 1,721.3 2,987.1

Investments 381.8 109.9

Inventories 310.8 169.3

Property, plant & equipment 206.9 126.2

Other 52.8 18.4

2,735.5 3,422.6

Liabilities

Payables 121.1 188.6

Interest bearing liabilities 1,746.6 2,355.8

Provisions 8.8 47.3

Other 43.1 41.5

1,919.6 2,633.2

Net Assets 815.9 789.4

Page 7: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Business operations

$million

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-03

For the 6 months ended

31-Mar-02Change

Pool Management Services 8.3 1.8 361%

Grain Acquisition & Trading 15.0 52.5 (71%)

Grain Technology (2.5) (0.9) 178%

Supply Chain & Other Investments 2.8 22.5 (88%)

Interest expense (18.6) (10.4) 79%

Finance & Risk Management 35.5 50.7 (30%)

Corporate 2.3 (7.0) 133%

Operating profit before tax 42.8 109.2 (61%)

Net profit after tax 29.9 77.1 (61%)

Page 8: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Outlook• AWB is forecasting full-year NPAT result in the range of $40-

$45m

• AWB has forecast 2003-04 wheat production between 22-24mt, around 10-15% above the 5 year average. The 2002-03 El Niño is officially finished

• Stable dividend payment for 2002-03 despite reduction in earnings. The Board intends to maintain a stable dividend policy

• Strategic investment in Futuris Limited

• Capital management and ring fencing

• Expand Finance and Risk Management products

• Further growth and diversification – aim to be less than 80% reliant on the wheat crop by end of 2004

Page 9: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Global supply and demand

• 2003-04 world wheat production

is forecast to rebound strongly

following a 5% fall in 2002-03

due to limited production in

Australia, Canada and US

• Carryover stocks are at

relatively low levels,

representing approximately

three months supply.

• Production in other major

exporting countries are forecast

to increase

530

540

550

560

570

580

590

600

610

620

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03(f) 2003-04(z) 2004-05(z)

(mt)

0

50

100

150

200

250(mt)

World Production

World Consumption

World stocks (ending)

(f) = forecast. (z) = projection. Source: ABARE 2003

Page 10: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Global export market share 2003-04

EU15% Canada

14%

Argentina9%

All other20%

Australia16%

USA26%

• Australian, Canadian and US wheat crops expected to rebound significantly

• 2003-04 total exports by major exporting countries forecast to increase to 79.3mt, an increase of 17mt from 2002-03

• Major wheat exporting countries continue to face competition from non-traditional exporters in 2003-04

(above figures are forecasts). Source: USDA May 2003

Page 11: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Non-traditional exporters• Non-traditional exporters have increased their export program over the last

two years due to good production, large carryover stocks and increased investment in transport and infrastructure

• However, some of these exporters will produce significantly lower tonnage in 2003-04, reducing total exports by non-traditional exporters to only 13.2mt compared with 34.9mt in 2002-03

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

(mt)

Russia Ukraine Kazakhstan EasternEurope

India Pakistan

2001-02

2002-03(e)

2003-04(f)

(f) = forecast. (e) = estimate

Source: USDA May 2003

Page 12: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Key issues

• Iraq

• Strategic investment in Futuris

• Senate inquiry into WEA Funding

• Future of the Single Desk system

Page 13: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

AWB will continue supplying Iraq

• Wheat supply is continuing via the UN Oil-For-Food program under direction from the World Food Program

• The UN Oil-For-Food program has been extended to September 2003

• The UN and the US administration will continue to honour contracts previously awarded

• Australian wheat is widely used and recognised throughout the Middle East region as a clean quality white wheat

• Australia has been supplying Iraq with this wheat for more than 54 years. AWB expects to retain a strong market share in Iraq in the future

Page 14: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Strategic investment in Futuris

• AWB currently owns 14.2% in Futuris – we are the largest single shareholder

• The primary objective is to maximise the value of our investment and to pursue opportunities with Elders (namely, their distribution network)

• In order to increase stake above 15%, we have lodged an application to the Treasurer.

• We expect a decision to be made by the end of June 2003

• This is all about keeping our options open

Page 15: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Senate inquiry into WEA Funding

• The main purpose of the amendment to the Bill is about the ongoing funding to support the continuing operation of the WEA

• However, the process has given a forum to the anti Single Desk campaigners; trying to dismantle the Single Desk

• AWB has participated and cooperated fully with the inquiry

Page 16: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

Single Desk

• The 2004 WEA Review is limited to a review on AWBI’s performance as manager of the Single Desk

• It will not incorporate National Competition Policy (NCP) principles or the broader industry issues

• The Single Desk system legislation will be reviewed in 2010 under the NCP principles

• This was confirmed by Minister Truss at the Grains Week conference in March 2003.

Page 17: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

QUESTIONS

Page 18: June 2003 AWB Limited. 2003 Half-year results impacted by drought Net profit after tax of $29.9m, down 61% Total operating revenue of $1.03b, down 34%

For more information contact:

Delphine Cassidy

Head of Investor Relations

Ph: +61 3 9209 2404

Email: [email protected]

www.awb.com.au