John M. Drakedaphnia.ecology.uga.edu/drakelab/wp-content/uploads/2015/...John M. Drake Contact...

John M Drake

ContactInformation

Odum School of Ecology Phone (706) 583-5539University of Georgia E-mail jdrakeugaeduAthens GA 30602-2202 USA Skype johndrakeuga

Appointments Associate Professor University of Georgia (2010 ndash present)

bull Odum School of Ecology (2006 ndash present)

bull Biomedical and Health Sciences Institute (2008 ndash present)

bull Faculty of Infectious Diseases (2008 ndash present)

Keeley Visiting Fellow Wadham College Oxford University (Michaelmas term 2012)

Leverhulme Visiting Professor Oxford University (2012)

Assistant Professor University of Georgia (2006-2010)

Postdoctoral Fellow (2004-2006) National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis(Santa Barbara California)

Adjunct Professor (2003) Bethel College (Mishawaka Indiana)

Education University of Notre Dame Indiana USAPhD Biological Sciences May 2004 (Advisor Dr David M Lodge)

University of Notre Dame Indiana USAMA History and Philosophy of Science May 2007

Covenant College Lookout Mountain Georgia USABA Biology May 1999

ResearchInterests

Population Dynamics Ecology amp Evolution of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology NicheTheory Extinction Allee Effects

EditorialBoards

Ecosphere (Associate Editor 2010 ndash present)

Ecology Letters (Associate Editor 2012 ndash present)

Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B (Associate Editor 2013 ndash present)

Ecology amp Evolution (Associate Editor 2013 ndash present)

ResearchArticles

Indicatesundergraduateor high schoolauthor

Barnum TR JM Drake C Colon-Gaud AT Rugenski TC Frauendorf SConnelly SS Kilham MR Whiles KR Lips amp CM Pringle Food web structurepersists after amphibian extirpation in a Neotropical stream Ecology (In press)

Clements CF JM Drake J Griffiths amp A Ozgul Factors affecting the detectabil-ity of early warning signals in wild populations American Naturalist (In press)

Huang S JM Drake JL Gittleman amp S Altizer Parasite diversity declines withhost evolutionary distinctiveness A global analysis of carnivores Evolution (In press)

Drake JM RB Kaul LW Alexander SM OrsquoRegan AM Kramer JT PulliamMJ Ferrari amp AW Park Ebola cases and health system demand in Liberia PLOSBiology 13e1002056 httpdxdoiorg101371journalpbio1002056

Drury KLS JD Suter JB Rendall AM Kramer amp JM Drake Immigrationcan destabilize tri-trophic interactions Implications for conservation of top predatorsTheoretical Ecology (In press)

Alexander KA CE Sanderson M Marathe BL Lewis CM rivers J ShamamJM Drake E Lofgren VM Dato MC Eisenberg amp S Eubank 2015 Whatfactors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa PLOS NeglectedTropical Diseases (In press) httpblogsplosorgspeakingofmedicine2014

1111factors-might-led-emergence-ebola-west-africa

OrsquoRegan SM K Magori JT Pulliam MA Zokan RB Kaul HD Barton amp JMDrake Multi-scale model of epidemic fadeout Will local extirpation events inhibitthe spread of White-nose Syndrome Ecological Applications (In press)

2014 Lofgren E ME Halloran CM Rivers JM Drake TC Porco B Lewis WYang A Vespignani J Shaman JNS Eisenberg MC Eisenberg M Marathe SVScarpino KA Alexander R Meza MJ Ferrari JM Hyman LA Meyers S Eu-bank 2014 Mathematical models A key tool for outbreak response Proceedingsof the National Academy of Sciences USA 11118095-18096 httpdxdoiorg101073pnas1421551111

Xu J TL Wickramarathne NV Chawla EK Grey K Steinhaeuser RP KellerJM Drake amp DM Lodge 2014 Improving management of aquatic invasions by in-tegrating shipping network ecological and environmental data data mining for socialgood Proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD International conference on knowledgediscovery and data mining Pp 1699-1708 httpdxdoiorg1011452623330

2623364

Roche B JM Drake J Brown D Stallknecht T Bedford amp P Rohani 2014Adaptive evolution and environmental durability jointly structure phylodynamic pat-terns in avian influenza viruses PLoS Biology 12e1001931 httpdxdoiorg10

1371journalpbio1001931

Dallas T amp JM Drake 2014 The relative importance of environmental andphysical variables structuring zooplankton metacommunities Ecosphere 5104 http

dxdoiorg101890ES14-000711

Maher S A Guisan C Randin amp JM Drake 2014 Pattern recognition ecologicalniche models fit to presence-only and presence-absence data Methods in Ecology ampEvolution 5761-770 httpdxdoiorg1011112041-210X12222

Drake JM amp JC Beier 2014 Ecological niche and potential distribution ofAnopheles arabiensis in Africa in 2050 Malaria Journal 13213 httpdxdoi

org1011861475-2875-13-213

Krkosek M amp JM Drake 2014 On signals of phase transitions in salmon pop-ulation dynamics Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 28120133221 http

dxdoiorg101098rspb20133221

Wittmann M C Jerde J Howerth S Maher A Deines G Whitledge S BurbankW Chadderton A Mahon J Tyson C Gantz R Keller JM Drake amp DMLodge 2014 Re-evaluating the invasion risk of a biological control agent (grass carpCtenopharyngodon idella) Reducing ecological uncertainty with improved risk assess-ment in the Great Lakes basin Canadian Journal of Fisheries amp Aquatic Sciences71992-999 httpdxdoiorg101139cjfas-2013-0537

Drake JM 2014 Ensemble algorithms for ecological niche modeling from presencebackground and presence-only data Ecosphere 576 httpdxdoiorg101890

ES13-002021

Kramer AP amp JM Drake 2014 Time to competitive exclusion Ecosphere 552httpdxdoiorg101890ES14-000541

Drake JM 2014 Tail probabilities of extinction time in a large number of experi-mental populations Ecology 951119-1126 httpdxdoiorg10189013-11071

Brown VL Drake JM Stallknecht DE Brown JD H Barton Pedersen K ampRohani P 2014 Neutrality cross-immunity and subtype dominance in avian influenzaviruses PLoS One 9388817 httpdxdoiorg101371journalpone0088817

Dallas T amp JM Drake 2014 Nitrate enrichment alters a Daphnia-microparasiteinteraction through multiple pathways Ecology amp Evolution 4243-250 httpdx

doiorg101002ece3925

Barton H P Rohani D Stallknecht J Brown amp JM Drake 2014 Subtype diver-sity and reassortment potential for co-circulating avian influenza viruses at a diversityhot spot Journal of Animal Ecology 83566-575 httpdxdoiorg1011111365-265612167

2013 Kramer AP F Dobbs amp JM Drake 2013 Bacterial colonization and extinctionon marine aggregates stochastic model of species presence and abundance Ecology ampEvolution 34300-4309 httpdxdoiorg101002ece3789

Drake JM amp BD Griffen 2013 Experimental demonstration of acceleratedextinction time in source-sink metapopulations Ecology amp Evolution 33369-3378httpdxdoiorg101002ece3713

Drake JM 2013 Early warning signals of stochastic switching Proceedings ofthe Royal Society Series B 28020130686 httpdxdoiorg101098rspb20120686

Drake JM AN Hassan amp JC Beier 2013 A statistical model of Rift Valleyfever activity in Egypt Journal of Vector Ecology 38251-259 httpdxdoiorg

101111j1948-7134201312038x

OrsquoRegan SM amp JM Drake 2013 Theory of early warning signals of diseaseemergence and leading indicators of elimination Theoretical Ecology 6333-357

Bhatt S Gething PW Brady OJ Messina JP Farlow AW Moyes CLDrake JM Brownstein JS Hoen AG Sankoh O Myers MF George DBJaenisch T Wint GRW Simmons CP Scott TW Farrar JJ and Hay SI2013 The global distribution and burden of dengue Nature 496504-507

Robinson JR JP Wares amp JM Drake 2013 Extinction hazards in experimentalDaphnia magna populations effects of genotype diversity and environmental variationEcology amp Evolution 3(2)233-243

Brown VL JM Drake DE Stallknecht JD Brown K Pedersen amp P Rohani2013 Dissecting a wildlife disease hotspot the impact of multiple host species envi-ronmental transmission and seasonality in migration breeding and mortality Journalof the Royal Society Interface 10(79)20120804

2012 Maher SP AM Kramer JT Pulliam MA Zokan SE Bowden HD Barton KMagori amp JM Drake 2012 Spread of white-nose syndrome on a network regulatedby geography and climate Nature Communications 31306

Schmidt JP P Stephens amp JM Drake 2012 Two sides of the same coin Rareand invasive plants native to North America Ecological Applications 221512-1525Available online doi10189011-19151

Schmidt JP M Springborn amp JM Drake 2012 Bioeconomic forecasting ofinvasive species by ecological syndrome Ecosphere 3art46 httpdxdoiorgdoi101890ES12-000551

Drake JM amp AM Kramer 2012 Mechanistic analogy How microcosms explainnature Theoretical Ecology 5433-444 httpdxdoiorgdoi101007s12080-

011-0134-0

2011 Rohani P amp JM Drake 2011 The decline and resurgence of pertussis in the USEpidemics 3183-188

Magori K W Bajwa S Bowden amp JM Drake 2011 Decelerating spread of WestNile virus due to percolation in a heterogeneous urban landscape PLoS ComputationalBiology 7 e1002104 httpdxdoiorgdoi101371journalpcbi1002104

Drake JM J Shapiro amp BD Griffen 2011 Experimental demonstration ofa two-phase population extinction hazard Journal of the Royal Society Interface631472-1479 httpdxdoiorg101098rsif201100247

B Roche JM Drake amp P Rohani 2011 The curse of the pharaoh revisitedImplications for polymorphism increase and the emergence of highly virulent avianinfluenza Ecology Letters 14569-575 httpdxdoiorg101111j1461-0248

201101619x

Schmidt JP amp JM Drake 2011 Why are some plant genera more invasivethan others PLoS One 6e18654 httpdxdoiorgdoi101371journalpone0018654

Roche B JM Drake amp P Rohani 2011 An agent-based model to study theepidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of influenza viruses BMC Bioinformatics1287 httpdxdoiorg1011861471-2105-12-87

Schmidt JP amp JM Drake 2011 Time since introduction seed mass and genomesize predict successful invaders among the cultivated vascular plants of Hawaii PLoSOne 6e17391 httpdxdoiorgdoi101371journalpone0017391

Bowden S K Magori amp JM Drake 2011 Regional differences in the associationbetween land cover and West Nile virus incidence in humans American Journal ofTropical Medicine and Hygiene 84234-238

Pulliam HR JM Drake amp JRC Pulliam 2011 On estimating demographicand dispersal parameters for niche and source-sink models Pp 183-215 in SourcesSinks and Sustainability Across Landscapes J Liu V Hull and A Morzillo edsCambridge University Press

Vercken E A Kramer P Tobin amp JM Drake 2011 Critical patch size generatedby Allee effect in Gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar L) Ecology Letters 14179-186 httpdxdoiorg101111j1461-0248201001569x

Keller RK JM Drake M Drew amp DM Lodge 2011 Linking environmentalconditions and ship movements to estimate invasive species transport across the globalshipping network Diversity amp Distributions 1793-102 httpdxdoiorgdoi

101111j1472-4642201000696x

2010 Drake JM amp BD Griffen 2010 Early warning signals of extinction in de-teriorating environments Nature 467456-459 httpdxdoiorgdoi101038

nature09389

Lyons M M J E Ward H Gaff R Hicks JM Drake FC Dobbs 2010 Theoryof island biogeography on a microscopic scale are organic aggregates islands for aquaticpathogens Aquatic Microbial Ecology 601-13

Breban R JM Drake amp P Rohani 2010 A general multi-strain model with en-vironmental transmission Invasion conditions for the disease-free and endemic statesJournal of Theoretical Biology 264729-736

Kramer AM amp JM Drake 2010 Experimental demonstration of populationextinction due to a predator-driven Allee effect Journal of Animal Ecology 79633-639 Also see ldquoIn Focusrdquo Journal of Animal Ecology 79511-514

2009 Griffen BD amp JM Drake 2009 Environment but not migration rate influencesextinction risk in experimental metapopulations Proceedings of the Royal SocietySeries B 2764363-4371

Rohani P R Breban D Stallknecht amp JM Drake 2009 Environmental trans-mission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogeninvasion Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 10610365-10369

Drake JM 2009 Evolutionary relationships among human-isolated and wildlife-isolated West Nile viruses Infection Genetics and Evolution 91392-1393 http

dxdoiorgdoi101016jmeegid200907008

Drake JM amp BD Griffen 2009 The speed of expansion and extinction in exper-imental populations Ecology Letters 12772-778

Drake JM amp JM Bossenbroek 2009 Profiling ecosystem vulnerability to invasionby zebra mussels with support vector machines Theoretical Ecology 2189-198 httpdxdoiorg101007s12080-009-0050-8

Breban R JM Drake D Stallknecht amp P Rohani 2009 The role of environmen-tal transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics PLoS Computational Biology5e1000346

Kramer D B Dennis S Liebhold amp JM Drake 2009 The evidence for Alleeeffects Population Ecology 51341-354

Griffen BD amp JM Drake 2009 Scaling rules for the final decline to extinctionProceedings of the Royal Society Series B 2761361-1367

E Pardini JM Drake JM Chase T Knight 2009 Complex population dynam-ics and control of the invasive biennial Alliaria petiolata (garlic mustard) EcologicalApplications 19387-397

RP Keller amp JM Drake 2009 Trait-based risk assessment for invasive species Pp44-62 in RP Keller DM Lodge MA Lewis and JF Shogren (eds) Bioeconomicsof Invasive Species Oxford University Press

Herborg M JM Drake J Rothlisberger amp JM Bossenbroek 2009 Identifyingsuitable habitat for invasive species using ecological niche models and the policy im-plications of range forecasts Pp 63-82 in RP Keller DM Lodge MA Lewis andJF Shogren (eds) Bioeconomics of Invasive Species Oxford University Press

Drake JM amp CL Jerde 2009 Stochastic models of propagule pressure andestablishment Pp 83-102 in RP Keller DM Lodge MA Lewis and JF Shogren(eds) Bioeconomics of Invasive Species Oxford University Press

2008 Griffen B amp JM Drake 2008 Effects of habitat size and quality on extinction inexperimental populations Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 2752251-2256

Griffen B amp JM Drake 2008 A review of extinction in experimental popu-lations Journal of Animal Ecology 771274-1287 httpdxdoiorg101111j

1365-2656200801426x Also see ldquoEditorrsquos noterdquo Journal of Animal Ecology 771273

Adler P amp JM Drake 2008 Environmental variability stochastic extinction andcompetitive coexistence American Naturalist 172E186-E195

Hendrix PF MA Callaham JM Drake C-Y Huang SW James BA Snyderamp W Zhang 2008 Pandorarsquos box contained bait the global problem of introducedearthworms Annual Review of Ecology Evolution amp Systematics 29593-613

Drake JM EE Cleland C Bowles K Carney MC Horner-Devine S Emery JGramling MD Smith DB Vandermast E Fleishman amp JB Grace 2008 Do non-native plant species affect the shape of productivity-diversity relationships AmericanMidland Naturalist 15955-66

2007 Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2007 Hull fouling is a risk factor for intercontinentalspecies exchange in aquatic ecosystems Aquatic Invasions 2121-131

Drake JM 2007 Parental investment and fecundity but not brain size are associ-ated with establishment success in introduced fishes Functional Ecology 21963-968

Drury KLS JM Drake DM Lodge amp G Dwyer 2007 Immigration eventsdispersed in space and time factors affecting immigration success Ecological Modelling20663-78

C Costello JM Drake amp DM Lodge 2007 Evaluating the effectiveness of envi-ronmental management ballast water exchange in the North American Great LakesEcological Applications 17655-662

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2007 Rates of species introduction in the Great Lakesvia shipsrsquo ballast water and sediments Canadian Journal of Fisheries and AquaticSciences 64530-538

Keller RP JM Drake amp DM Lodge 2007 Fecundity as a basis for risk assess-ment of nonindigenous freshwater mollusks Conservation Biology 21191-200

2006 Drake JM SK Chew amp S Ma 2006 Societal learning in emerging epidemicseffectiveness of interventions in the 2003 SARS outbreak in Singapore PLoS One1(1)e20

Drake JM 2006 Extinction times in experimental populations Ecology 872215-2220

Drake JM 2006 Heterosis the catapult effect and establishment success of acolonizing bird Biology Letters 2304-307

Drake JM 2006 Limits to forecasting precision for outbreaks of directly transmitteddiseases PLoS Medicine 357-62

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2006 Allee effects propagule pressure and the prob-ability of establishment Risk analysis for biological invasions Biological Invasions8365-375

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2006 Forecasting potential distributions of non-indigenous species with a genetic algorithm Fisheries 319-16

Boyce MS CV Haridas C Lee CL Boggs EM Bruna T Coulson D DoakJM Drake J-M Gaillard CC Horvitz S Kalisz BE Kendall T Knight MMastrandrea ES Menges WF Morris C A Pfister SD Tuljapurkar 2006 De-mography in an increasingly variable world Trends in Ecology amp Evolution 21141-148

Drake JM A Guisan and C Randin 2006 Modelling ecological niches withsupport vector machines Journal of Applied Ecology 43424-432 httpdxdoi

orgdoi101111j1365-2664200601141x

Vellend M TM Knight amp JM Drake 2006 Antagonistic effects of seed dispersaland herbivory on plant migration Ecology Letters 9319-326

Drake JM KLS Drury DM Lodge A Blukacz N Yan amp G Dwyer 2006Demographic stochasticity environmental variability and windows of invasion risk forBythotrephes longimanus in North America Biological Invasions 8843861 http

dxdoiorgdoi101007s10530-005-4205-2

2005 Drake JM P Baggenstos amp DM Lodge 2005 Propagule pressure and persis-tence in experimental populations Biology Letters 1480-483

Drake JM 2005 Population effects of increased climate variation Proceedings ofthe Royal Society Series B 2721823-1827

Drake JM 2005 Density dependent demographic variation determines extinctionrate of experimental populations PLoS Biology 31300-1304

Drake JM 2005 Risk analysis for species introductions Forecasting populationgrowth of Eurasian ruffe (Gymnocephalus cernuus) Canadian Journal of Fisheries ampAquatic Sciences 621053-1059

Drake JM DM Lodge amp M Lewis 2005 Theory and preliminary analysisof species invasions from ballast water controlling discharge volume and locationAmerican Midland Naturalist 154459-470

Drake JM 2005 Risk analysis for invasive species and emerging infectious diseasesconcepts and applications American Midland Naturalist 1534-19

2004 Cleland EE M D Smith SJ Andelman C Bowles KM Carney MC Horner-Devine JM Drake S M Emery J Gramling amp DB Vandermast 2004 Invasionin space and time non-native species richness and relative abundance respond tointerannual variation in productivity and diversity Ecology Letters 7947-957

Drake JM amp JM Bossenbroek 2004 The potential distribution of zebra musselsin the United States BioScience 54931-941

Drake JM 2004 Allee effects and the risk of biological invasion Risk Analysis24795-802

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2004 Global hot spots of biological invasions evaluatingoptions for ballast-water management Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B271575-580

Leung B JM Drake amp DM Lodge 2004 Predicting invasions propagule pres-sure and the gravity of Allee effects Ecology 851651-1660

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2004 Effects of environmental variation on extinctionand establishment Ecology Letters 726-30

2003 Drake JM 2003 The paradox of the parasites implications for biological invasionProceedings of the Royal Society Series B Supplement (Biology Letters) 270S133-S135

Drake JM 2003 Why does grassland productivity increase with species richnessDisentangling species richness and composition with tests for overyielding and su-peryielding in biodiversity experiments Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B2701713-1719

ManuscriptsSubmitted


T Dallas RJ Hall amp JM Drake Competition-mediated feedbacks in experimentalmulti-species epizootics Submitted to Ecology

T Dallas M Krkosek amp JM Drake Experimental evidence of pathogen invasionthreshold in a Daphnia-microparasite system Submitted to Proceedings of the RoyalSociety Series B

Han B JP Schmidt S Bowden amp JM Drake Rodent reservoirs of future zoonoticdiseases Submitted to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA

Drake JM I Bakach MR Just SM OrsquoRegan M Gambhir I C-H Fung Trans-mission models of historic Ebola outbreaks a review Submitted to Emerging InfectiousDiseases

Schmidt JP P Stephens amp JM Drake Genome size and ploidy predict invasionsuccess of angiosperm introductions to Australia Submitted to Molecular Ecology

Maher SP ME Wittmann R de Triquet WL Chadderton DM Lodge amp JMDrake Potential distribution of two species of Asian carp in the contiguous UnitedStates Submitted to Diversity amp Distributions

Hefley TJ amp JM Drake Time series analysis for detection of an extinction thresh-old in deteriorating environments Submitted to Ecology

Dallas T M Holtackers amp JM Drake Costs of resistance and infection in aDaphnia-microparasite system Submitted to Functional Ecology

OrsquoRegan P Rohani amp JM Drake Tipping points in infectious disease dynamicsTransient analysis of seasonal and non-seasonal immunizing infections on the verge oferadication Submitted to American Naturalist

Drake JM G Akudibillah S Bowden RJ Hall A Kramer K Magori JPSchmidt A Silletti E Vercken amp M Zokan Computational training in ecology andevolutionary biology Submitted to Bioscience

Drake JM amp RP Keller Ecology of invasive species Submitted to Nature Knowl-edge Project

Drake JM Multi-scale evolution of case fatality rate in West Nile virus Submittedto PLoS Computational Biology

Drake JM Range bagging a new method for ecological niche modeling from high-dimensional presence-only data Submitted to Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Drake JM Early warning signals of dynamic bifurcation in the emergence of Mon-keypox virus Submitted to Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B

Published Data Open accessDrake JM amp BD Griffen 2015 Data from Early warning signals of extinctionin deteriorating environments Dryad Digital Repository Dryad Digital Repositoryhttpdxdoiorg105061dryadq3p64

Drake JM RB Kaul LW Alexander SM OrsquoRegan AM Kramer JT Pul-liam MJ Ferrari amp AW Park 2015 Data from Ebola cases and health sys-tem demand in Liberia Dryad Digital Repository Dryad Digital Repository http

dxdoiorg105061dryad17m5q

Roche B JM Drake J Brown DE Stallknecht T Bedford amp P Rohani2014 Data from Adaptive evolution and environmental durability jointly struc-ture phylodynamic patterns in avian influenza viruses Dryad Digital Repositoryhttpdxdoiorg105061dryad8ct18

Barton HD P Rohani DE Stallknecht J Brown amp JM Drake 2014 Datafrom Subtype diversity and reassortment potential for co-circulating avian influenzaviruses at a diversity hot spot Dryad Digital Repository httpdxdoiorg10

5061dryadnm70b

Drake JM amp BD Griffen 2013 Data from Experimental demonstration of ac-celerated extinction in source-sink metapopulations Dryad Digital Repository http

doi105061dryad7f297

Costello C JM Drake amp DM Lodge 2007 Data from Evaluating an invasivespecies policy ballast water exchange in the Great Lakes Ecological Archives http

esapubsorgarchiveapplA017027

Drake JM 2006 Data from Extinction times in experimental populations Eco-logical Archives httpwwwesapubsorgarchiveecolE087135

PublishedAbstracts


Miller P amp Drake JM 2015 Using the power patio as an early warning signal todetect critical transitions for disease emergence and eradication Emerging ResearchersNational (ERN) Conference in Science Technology Engineering and MathematicsFebruary 19-21 2015 Washington DC (Presentation)

Humphrey T T Dallas amp Drake JM 2015 Effects of pH and temperaturevariability on pathogen development and population purvival in Daphnia Emerg-ing Researchers National (ERN) Conference in Science Technology Engineering andMathematics February 19-21 2015 Washington DC (Presentation)

Drake JM Knowledge integration for the environmental sciences University ofGeorgia second annual Sustainable Science Symposium January 23 2015 (Presenta-tion)

Meyer NJ EB Laber K Pacifici BJ Reich amp JM Drake An adaptive controlstrategy for the West Africa Ebola outbreak Modeling the Spread and Control ofEbola in West Africa ndash A Rapid Response Workshop Atlanta Georiga January 222015 (Poster)

Gray D amp Drake JM 2014 Quantifying the performance of spatial and temporalearly warning signals of disease elimination American Biomedical Research Conferencefor Minority Students November 12-15 2014 San Antonio TX

Xu J TL Wickramarathne RP Keller JM Drake DM Lodge E Grey NVChawla amp K Steinhaeuser Improving management of aquatic invasions by integratingshipping network ecological and environmental data Data mining for social goodACM SIGKDD New York August 24-27 (Presentation)

Patel D AM Kramer amp JM Drake Predicting future spread suring an outbreakusing species distribution models Ecological Society of America Annual MeetingSacramento California August 15 2014 (Poster)

Righi G amp JM Drake Developing a model for a natural noise-induced phase tran-sition in Aphanizomenon flos-aquae Ecological Society of America Annual MeetingSacramento California August 14 2014 (Poster)

Drake JM W Bajwa SE Bowden amp K Magori Variation in outbreak size duringthe transition to endemicity West Nile virus in New York City Ecological Society ofAmerica Annual Meeting Sacramento California August 12 2014 (Presentation)

Barnum T JT Wootton RJ Bixby JM Drake JC Colon-Gaud D StokerA Rugenski T Frauendorf SJ Connelly SS Kilham MR Whiles K Lips Ex-plaining why grazing mayflies do not functionally compensate for the top-down controlof algal communities following disease-driven tadpole declines in a Neotropical straEcological Society of America Annual Meeting Sacramento California August 112014 (Presentation)

Kaul RB AM Kramer FC Dobbs amp JM Drake Allee effects Scaling downto the microbial level Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting SacramentoCalifornia August 11 2014 (Presentation)

Dallas T JM Drake amp M Krkosek Thresholds to pathogen invasion theory +experiment Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting Sacramento CaliforniaAugust 11 2014 (Presentation)

Bowden SE amp JM Drake Effects of density dependence and competition ondevelopment of larval mosquitoes Ecological Society of America Annual MeetingSacramento California August 12 2014 (Presentation)

Han BA SE Bowden JP Schmidt amp JM Drake Predicting bat reservoirs offuture zoonotic diseases Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting SacramentoCalifornia August 2014 (Presentation)

Dallas T amp JM Drake Costs of resistance and infection in Daphnia species exposedto a generalist microparasite Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease ConferenceFort Collins Colorado June 3-4 2014 (Presentation)

Kramer AM G Annis M Wittmann Wl Chadderton E Rutherford L Mason ampJM Drake Predicting potential distribution of invasive species using range bagginggolden mussel and killer shrimp in the Great Lakes Joint Aquatic Sciences MeetingPortland Oregon May 2014 (Presentation)

OrsquoRegan SM amp JM Drake Early warning signals of disease emergence and leadingindicators of elimination Ecological Society of America Minneapolis August 4-92013 (Presentation)

Drake JM New computational methods for modeling species potential distributionsEcological Society of America Minneapolis August 4-9 2013 (Presentation)

Han BA and JM Drake Rodent reservoirs of future zoonotic pathogens Ecolog-ical Society of America Minneapolis August 4-9 2013 (Presentation)

Barnum TR JM Drake C Coln-Gaud AT Rugenski TC Frauendorf S Con-nelly SS Kilham MR Whiles KR Lips and CM Pringle Food web propertiespersist following amphibian extirpations in a Neotropical stream Ecological Society ofAmerica Minneapolis August 4-9 2013 (Presentation)

Dallas T and JM Drake The influence of nitrate and pathogen dose on infectiondynamics and host traits in a Daphnia-microparasite system Ecological Society ofAmerica Minneapolis August 4-9 2013 (Presentation)

Kramer AM MM Lyons FC Dobbs and JM Drake Tiny islands Coloniza-tion and extinction of microbial species on marine aggregates Ecological Society ofAmerica Minneapolis August 4-9 2013 (Presentation)

Hackett E J Parker U Cote JM Drake S Hampton E Leahey C McClain BPenders I Rafols S Rebich Hespanha L Sheble N Vermueulen T Vision Stum-bling in a complex new direction notes from underwater Annual Meetings of theSociety for Social Studies of Science San Diego California October 2013 (Presenta-tion)

The sensible science working group (Hackett E J Parker U Cote JM DrakeS Hampton E Leahey C McClain B Penders I Rafols S Rebich Hespanha LSheble N Vermueulen T Vision) Assessing synthesis and synthesis centers FirstGlobal Meeting of Synthesis Center Directors Aix en Provence France October 2013(Invited presentation)

Barnum T JM Drake C Colon-Gaud A Rugenski T Frauendorf SS KilhamMR Whiles KR Lips and CM Pringle 2013 Consequences of catastrophic am-phibian declines on the food web attributes of a tropical stream Annual Meeting ofthe Society for Freshwater Science Jacksonville FL May 19-23 2013 (Presentation)

Kramer AM J E Ward M Pierce F Dobbs JM Drake Understanding thecontribution of marine aggregate-associated bacteria to pathogen load in oysters usingan agent-based model Association for the Sciences of Limnology and OceanographyAnnual Conference New Orleans LA February 2013 (Presentation)

Kramer AM J E Ward M Pierce F Dobbs JM Drake The contributionof marine aggregate-associated bacteria to pathogen load in oysters an agent-basedmodel NSF Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease PI meeting Athens GAMarch 16-18 2013 (Poster)

Maher SP JM Drake ME Wittmann R de Triquet WL Chadderton DMLodge 2012 Forecasting the distribution of two species of Asian carp using nativeand non-native range information Ecological Society of American Annual ConferencePortland OR August 5-10 2012 (Presentation)

Wittmann ME CL Jerde JG Howeth SP Maher JM Drake WL Chadder-ton AR Mahon CA Gantz RP Keller DM Lodge 2012 Reducing uncertaintyin the perceived risk of grass carp (Ctenopharyngodon idella) invasion in the GreatLakes Ploidy distribution and ecosystem impact Ecological Society of AmericanAnnual Conference Portland OR August 5-10 2012 (Presentation)

Kramer AM JT Pulliam SP Maher JM Drake 2012 Simplifying networksSpread of White-nose syndrome in North America Ecological Society of AmericanAnnual Conference Portland OR August 5-10 2012 (Presentation)

OrsquoRegan SM K Magori JT Pulliam MA Zokan RB Kaul HD Barton JMDrake 2012 Stochastic fade-out in space Will microscale disease-induced mortalityalong geographic corridors inhibit the macroscale spread of White-nose SyndromeEcological Society of American Annual Conference Portland OR August 5-10 2012(Presentation)

Maher S P T Pulliam M Zokan S Bowden H Barton K Magori JM Drake2012 Non-diffusive spread of White-nose Syndrome regulated by spatial heterogeneityand Climate 92nd Annual Meeting of the American Society of Mammalogists RenoNevada June 22-26 2012 (Presentation)

Drake JM 2012 Early warning of critical transitions in emerging infectious dis-eases Endemic and emerging infectious diseases of priority in the Middle East andNorth Africa Conference sponsored by National Institute of Allergy and InfectiousDiseases (NIAID) and CRDF Global June 18-21 2012 Istanbul Turkey (Plenarypresentation)

Kaul RB AM Kramer FC Dobbs JM Drake 2012 Allee effects in experi-mental microbial systems American Society for Microbiology June 15-20 2012 SanFrancisco California (Poster)

Dobbs FC J E Ward JM Drake R Hicks M M Lyons M Pierce A KramerX Zhao 2012 Microscopic islands Modeling the theory of island biogeography foraquatic pathogens colonizing organic aggregates Ecology and Evolution of InfectiousDiseases PI Meeting March 26-28 2012 Berkeley California (Poster)

Lyons M D Kramer E Ward R Hicks JM Drake F Dobbs 2011 MicroscopicIslands the role) of organic aggregates in aquatic disease ecology National ScienceFoundation Ecology of Infectious Diseases PI Meeting March 27-28 2011 MadisonWisconsin (Presentation)

Zokan M J Robinson J Wares JM Drake 2011 Cryptic species of Chydorus(Crustacea Cladocera) in the Southeastern USA Evolution 2011 June 17-21 2011Norman Oklahoma (Poster)

Drake JM 2011 Cost-sensitive machine learning algorithms for invasive speciesdecision support risk analysis and policy US Department of Agriculture EconomicResearch Service Program on Economic Impacts of Invasive Species 17 May 2011(Presentation)

Drake JM 2011 Computational methods for identifying structure in ecologicalnetworks Ecological Society of America Annual Conference Austin TX 11 August2011 (Presentation)

Schmidt JP amp JM Drake 2011 Rare and pest status among vascular plantsflip sides of the same coin A preliminary analysis of the native flora of North Amer-ica Ecological Society of America Annual Conference Austin TX August 7-12 2011(Presentation)

Kramer AM amp JM Drake 2011 Population variance and extinction of twocompetitors consuming a common resource Ecological Society of America AnnualConference Austin TX August 7-12 2011 (Presentation)

Bowden S JM Drake K Magori amp W Bajwa 2011 Statistical prediction ofWest Nile virus transmission intensity in New York City Ecological Society of AmericaAnnual Conference Austin TX August 7-12 2011 (Presentation)

Zokan M amp JM Drake 2011 Patterns of species diversity in a hyper-rich zoo-plankton community Ecological Society of America Annual Conference Austin TXAugust 7-12 2011 (Poster)

Stratmann T T OrsquoSullivan A Channell A Kramer M Zokan A Silletti JMDrake 2011 Two paths to extinction effect of deteriorating environments on extinc-tion time and distribution Ecological Society of America Annual Conference AustinTX August 7-12 2011 (Poster)

Maher SP JM Drake A Guisan CF Randin 2011 One-class and two-classclassification as methods for ecological niche modeling Ecological Society of AmericaAnnual Conference Austin TX August 7-12 2011 (Presentation)

OrsquoRegan SM amp JM Drake 2011 Transient analysis of an SIR epidemic modelEcological Society of America Annual Conference Austin TX August 7-12 2011(Poster)

Barton HD P Rohani JD Brown DE Stallknecht and JM Drake 2011Subtype diversity and reassortment potential for avian influenza viruses at a diversityhotspot Ecological Society of America Annual Conference Austin TX August 7-122011 (Presentation)

Kramer AM amp JM Drake 2011 Stochastic colonization and extinction of micro-bial species on marine aggregates NIMBioS Investigative Workshop Individual-basedEcology of Microbes National Institute for Mathematical and Biological SynthesisUniversity of Tennessee June 2011 (Presentation)

Dobbs FC JM Drake R Hicks E Ward MM Lyons A Kramer M PierceX Zhao 2011 Microscopic islands Modeling the theory of island biogeography foraquatic pathogens colonizing organic aggregates National Science Foundation Ecologyof Infectious Diseases PI Meeting March 27-28 2011 Madison Wisconsin (Poster)

Kramer A and JM Drake 2011 Mechanistic model of bacterial persistence onmarine aggregates National Science Foundation Ecology of Infectious Diseases PIMeeting March 27-28 2011 Madison Wisconsin (Poster)

Drake JM K Magori K Knoblich W Bajwa 2011 Mapping the force-of-infection of West Nile virus in New York City National Science Foundation Ecologyof Infectious Diseases PI Meeting March 27-28 2011 Madison Wisconsin (Poster)

Drake JM amp BD Griffen 2011 Early warning signals of extinction in a deteri-orating environment Gordon Research Conference on Stochastic Physics in BiologyVentura California January 24-28 2011 (Poster)

Pacifici K JM Drake W Bajwa 2010 A hierarchical Bayesian spatial modelto evaluate the influence of covariates on the spatio-temporal dynamics of West Nilevirus in New York City International Statistical Ecology Conference 2010 Universityof Kent Canterbury Kent UK July 6-9 2010 (Presentation)

Roche B JM Drake P Rohani 2010 Phylodynamics of influenza viruses whatis the role of environmental transmission Ecology and evolution of infections diseases8th annual workshop and conference Ithaca New York June 2-5 2010 (Poster)

Drake JM K Magori W Bajwa 2010 Percolation-like spread of West Nile virusin New York City International Association of Landscape Ecology annual conference2010 Athens Georgia (Invited presentation)

Magori K K Knoblich WI Bajwa JM Drake 2010 Spatial variation in WNVvector distribution in NYC International Association of Landscape Ecology annual

conference 2010 Athens Georgia (Invited presentation)

Wong A W Bajwa JM Drake 2010 Habitats of West Nile Virus CompetentMosquitoes The Effects of Urbanization in New York City University of GeorgiaCenter for Undergraduate Research Opportunities Annual Conference Athens GeorgiaMarch 29 2010 (Poster)

Kramer A E Vercken PC Tobin JM Drake 2010 Allee effects induce criticalarea for establishment in gypsy moth invasion Ecological Society of America annualconference 2010 Pittsburgh Pennsylvania (Presentation)

Magori K C Michael and JM Drake 2010 Multi-modal epidemics in multi-host pathogens Ecological Society of America annual conference 2010 PittsburghPennsylvania (Presentation)

Bowden S K Magori and JM Drake 2010 Regional differences in the associationbetween land cover and West Nile virus incidence in humans in the United States Eco-logical Society of America annual conference 2010 Pittsburgh Pennsylvania (Poster)

Drake JM and BD Griffen 2010 Early warning signals of extinction in deteriorat-ing environments Ecological Society of America annual conference 2010 PittsburghPennsylvania (Presentation)

Schmidt JP and JM Drake 2010 Cost-sensitive risk assessment for invasiveplant species in the United States Ecological Society of America annual conference2010 Pittsburgh Pennsylvania (Presentation)

Drake JM 2010 How do microcosms tell us about nature Notes toward a mecha-nistic understanding of population extinction Sustainable conservation bridging thegap between discipline special conference Trondheim Norway March 15-18 2010(Invited presentation)

Dobbs F JM Drake JE Ward RE Hicks 2010 Microscopic islands Modelingthe theory of island biogeography for aquatic pathogens colonizing marine aggregatesNSF Ecology of Infectious Diseases Network Meeting Atlantic City New Jersey March22-25 2010 (Poster)

Magori K C Michael JM Drake Multi-modal Epidemics in Multi-host PathogensNSF Ecology of Infectious Diseases Network Meeting Atlantic City New Jersey March22-25 2010 (Poster)

Drake JM 2010 Patterns in the case fatality rate of West Nile virus in NorthAmerica Evidence for directional changes in virulence NSF Ecology of InfectiousDiseases Network Meeting Atlantic City New Jersey March 22-25 2010 (Invitedpresentation)

Lyons MM JE Ward H Gaff R Hicks JM Drake FC Dobbs 2010 Theory ofisland biogeography on a microscopic scale Are organic aggregates islands for aquaticpathogens Ocean Sciences Portland Oregon March 24 2010 (Poster)

Drake JM K Magori W Bajwa 2009 Percolation-like spread of West Nile virusin New York City Ecological Society of America annual conference 2009 AlbuquerqueNew Mexico (Presentation)

Magori K W Bajwa S Bowden J Drake 2009 Decelerating spread of West Nilevirus due to percolation in a heterogeneous urban landscape Ecology and evolution ofinfections diseases 7th annual workshop and conference Athens Georgia May 21-222009 (Poster)

Bowden S and JM Drake West Nile Virus in New York City Using Birdsas an Indicator of Spatio-temporal Distribution University of Georgia Center forUndergraduate Research Opportunities Symposium Athens Georgia April 6 2009(Poster)

Drake JM and W Bajwa 2009 Percolation-like spread of West Nile virus in NewYork City NSF Ecology of Infectious Diseases Network Meeting Park City UtahMarch 30-April 2 2009 (Invited presentation)

Drake JM 2009 Shrinking degrees of separation among the worldrsquos ports AAASannual conference 2009 Chicago Illinois (Invited presentation)

Drake JM K Magori W Bajwa 2008 Population dynamics of West Nile Virusin New York City (1999-2007) EPIDEMICS - the inaugural conference on infectiousdisease dynamics Asilomar Conference Grounds Monterey CA December 1 2008(Presentation)

Magori K JM Drake S Bowden C Michael W Bajwa Bites in the Big AppleEcology of West Nile Virus in New York City UGA-CDC Collaborative ResearchForum CDC Headquarters September 4 2008 (Poster)

Magori K J Drake S Bowden C Michael W Bajwa Bites in the Big Apple Ecol-ogy of West Nile Virus in New York City EPIDEMICS - the inaugural conference oninfectious disease dynamics Asilomar Conference Grounds Monterey CA December1 2008 (Poster)

Drake JM and BD Griffen 2008 Extinction in experimental populations ef-fects of habitat quality size and metapopulation configuration Ecological Society ofAmerica annual conference 2008 Milwaukee Wisconsin (Presentation)

Drake JM K Magori W Bajwa 2008 Emerging urban vector-borne diseaseWest Nile Virus in New York City (1999-2006) Ecology and Evolution of InfectiousDiseases Conference 2008 Fort Collins Colorado June 5-8 2008 (Poster)

Drake JM W Bajwa and K Magori 2008 Emerging urban vector-borne diseaseWest Nile Virus in New York City (1999-2006) University of Georgia Global HealthSymposium 2008 Athens Georgia April 21-22 2008 (Poster)

Shapiro J amp JM Drake 2008 Effects of initial population size and food qualityon stochastic population persistence University of Georgia Center for UndergraduateResearch Opportunities Symposium Athens Georgia March 31 2008 (Poster)

Drake JM 2007 West Nile virus in New York City Ecology of Infectious DiseasePI meeting Albuquerque New Mexico (Poster)

Drake JM 2007 Accuracy and uncertainty in environmental niche modeling Eco-logical Society of America annual conference 2007 San Jose California (Invitedpresentation)

Drake JM S Chew amp S Ma 2006 Social learning in emerging epidemics inter-vention effectiveness in the 2003 SARS outbreak in Singapore Ecological Society ofAmerica annual conference 2006 Memphis Tennessee (Presentation)

Drake JM T Knight amp J Chase 2005 When management might backfiredensity-dependent population dynamics of the invasive biennial Alliaria petiolata (Gar-lic Mustard) Ecological Society of America annual conference 2005 Montral Canada(Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge KLS Drury A Blukacz and N Yan 2004 Model-ing windows of invasion risk for spiny water flea (Bythotrephes longimanus) in NorthAmerica with a nonhomogeneous birth death process Ecological Society of Americaannual conference 2004 Portland Oregon (Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge 2004 Global Hotspots of Biological Invasion EvaluatingOptions for Ballast Water Management Presented at American Institute of BiologicalSciences annual conference Washington DC March 2004 (Poster)

Drake JM 2004 Risk analysis for invasive species and emerging infectious diseasesconcepts and applications 24th annual Midwest Ecology and Evolution Conference

Notre Dame Indiana 7 March 2004 (Presentation)

Drake JM 2003 The measurement of biological diversity 1943-1982 InternationalSociety for the History Philosophy and Social Studies of Biology biannual conferenceVienna Austria July 1620 2003 (Presentation)

Drake JM MA Lewis and DM Lodge 2003 Policy Recommendations forBallast Water Standards 12th Annual Aquatic Nuisance Species Conference 2003Windsor Ontario (Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge and N Yan 2002 Allee effects and the success of colonizingspecies Bythotrephes longimanus in North America Ecological Society of Americaannual conference 2002 Tucson Arizona (Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge KLS Drury and G Dwyer 2002 Predicting invasionsuccess Deriving standards for ballast water from theoretical models 11th AnnualAquatic Nuisance Species Conference 2002 Washington DC (Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge N Yan 2001 Why it takes more than one Bythotrephes tocause an invasion ldquoRisk Assessment for Invasive Species Perspectives from Theoreti-cal Ecologyrdquo a joint workshop of the Ecological Society of America and the Society forRisk Analysis New Mexico State University Las Cruces New Mexico 21-23 October2001 (Poster)

Drake JM DM Lodge KLS Drury and G Dwyer 2001 Predicting invasionsuccess Applying probabilistic models of population growth to invading species In-ternational Association of Great Lakes Research annual conference 2001 Green BayWisconsin (Presentation)

Drake JM DM Lodge KLS Drury and G Dwyer 2001 Predicting the successof invading species applying stochastic models of population growth and the role ofAllee effects Society for Conservation Biology annual conference 2001 Hilo Hawaii(Presentation)

Invited Seminars ldquoThe Ecology of Ebolardquo Odum School of Ecology University of Georgia 27 January2015

ldquoEbola cases and health system demand in Liberiardquo US Centers for Disease Controlamp Prevention Atlanta Georgia 14 January 2015

ldquoSpread of White-nose Syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo Department ofBiology Kennesaw State University 30 September 2014

ldquoEarly warning signals of emerging infectious diseasesrdquo Georgia Southern UniversityEpidemiology Department 12 September 2014

ldquoSpread of White-nose syndrome on a spatial networkrdquo Grambling State UniversityBiology Department 23 January 2014

ldquoPopulation biology of infectious diseasesrdquo Philander-Smith College Division of Nat-ural and Physical Sciences 24 January 2014

ldquoSpread of White-nose syndrome on a spatial networkrdquo University of Arkansas LittleRock Department of Biology 24 January 2014

ldquoTipping points in nature and societyrdquo Moore College (Honors Program) Universityof Georgia 30 January 2014

ldquoEarly warning signals of critical transitions in infectious disease dynamicsrdquo GeorgiaRegents University Department of Biostatistics amp Epidemiology 1 November 2013

ldquoEarly warning signals of critical transitions in infectious disease dynamicsrdquo Univer-sity of Georgia Department of Mathematics Applied Mathematics Seminar series 7October 2013

ldquoEarly warning signals of critical transitions in infectious disease dynamicsrdquo IsaacNewton Institute for Mathematics workshop on Infectious Disease Dynamics Cam-bridge UK 21 August 2013

ldquoCurrent problems in forecasting epidemiological transitionsrdquo US Department ofHealth amp Human Services Biomedical Advanced Research and Development AuthorityWashington DC 2 May 2013

ldquoSpread of white-nose syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo University ofLiverpool 6 November 2012

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo University ofSheffield 17 October 2012

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo Natural En-vironment Research Council Centre for Ecology amp Hydrology (Wallingford UK) 19September 2012

ldquoSpread of white-nose syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo Microsoft Re-search Cambridge UK 8 June 2012

ldquoEarly warning systems for critical transitions in ecology and epidemiologyrdquo ImperialCollege London Silwood Park Campus 31 May 2012

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo University ofHelsinki (Metapopulation Research Group) 23 May 2012

ldquoEarly warning systems for critical transitions in ecology and epidemiologyrdquo OxfordUniversity (Center for Mathematical Biology) 27 April 2012

ldquoSpread of white-nose syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo University ofBasel 12 April 2012

ldquoDisease and the environmentrdquo National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis(Santa Barbara California) 2012 NCEAS Symposium on Trends in Ecological Analysisamp Synthesis 22 March 2012 (Invited panelist)

ldquoSpread of white-nose syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo Oxford Univer-sity (Department of Zoology) 9 March 2012

ldquoSpread of white-nose syndrome in a heterogeneous spatial networkrdquo University ofCambridge 5 March 2012

ldquoCost-sensitive machine learning algorithms for invasive species decision support riskanalysis and policyrdquo US Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service Pro-gram on Economic Impacts of Invasive Species 17 May 2011

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo University ofGuelph (Ontario Canada) April 12 2011

ldquoComputational methods for identifying structure in biological networksrdquo WashingtonUniversity February 15 2011

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo WashingtonUniversity February 14 2011

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in a deteriorating environmentrdquo University ofNebraska-Lincoln 20 January 2011

ldquoMechanistic analogy How microcosms tell us about naturerdquo University of SouthCarolina 10 December 2010

ldquoPopulation dynamics of West Nile virusrdquo National Center for Emerging and ZoonoticInfectious Diseases Centers for Disease Control Atlanta Georgia 13 October 2010

ldquoEarly warning signals of extinction in deteriorating environmentsrdquo Emory University17 September 2010

ldquoReaction-diffusion model of biological invasion for species with an Allee effect Appli-cation to ballast water dischargerdquo 1st meeting of NRC Committee on Assessing NumericLimits for Living Organisms in Ballast Water 2 June 2010

ldquoPopulation dynamics of West Nile virus in New York Cityrdquo University of MichiganCenter for the Study of Complex Systems 19 April 2010

ldquoCost-sensitive machine learning algorithms for invasive species decision support riskanalysis and policy genus level patternsrdquo US Department of Agriculture EconomicResearch Service Program on Economic Impacts of Invasive Species 22 October 2009

ldquoDecelerating traveling waves of West Nile virus in a heterogeneous urban environ-mentrdquo University of Georgia 29 September 2009

ldquoAnomalous patterns of West Nile virus mortality in the US (1999-2007)rdquo Universityof Georgia (EDGE) 18 September 2009

ldquoDecelerating traveling waves of West Nile virus in a heterogeneous urban environ-mentrdquo University of South Carolina 12 September 2009

ldquoDemographic stochasticity and the Daphnia modelrdquo Georgia Tech 1 October 2008

ldquoPopulation dynamics of West Nile virus in New York City (1999-2007)rdquo NationalInstitutes of Health Fogarty International Center 11 August 2008

ldquoGlobal change and disease distributions mapping uncertaintyrdquo University of Georgia2007 BHSI Spring Symposium Climate Ecology and Infectious Disease 16 April 2007

ldquoInfectious disease mediated by environmental change An issue for environmentaljusticerdquo University of Georgia River Basin Center 9 February 2007

ldquoDo we need an ecological ethicsrdquo Harvard Forest 24 July 2006

ldquoBiological invasions in aquatic ecosystems Local and global dynamicsrdquo Universityof North Carolina Chapel Hill 13 February 2006

ldquoForecasting population fluctuations in ecology and epidemiology Stochastic phenom-ena amp computational analysisrdquo Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 9February 2006

ldquoUnderstanding the drivers of population fluctuation and expansion extinction inva-sion and disease outbreak on landscapesrdquo Georgia Tech 27 January 2006

ldquoMechanistic and computational approaches to forecasting population fluctuations inecology and epidemiologyrdquo University of Georgia Institute of Ecology 23 January2006

ldquoComputational approaches to modeling disease-environment interactions forecastingmalaria dynamics in Africa with support vector machinesrdquo Penn State Center forInfectious Disease Dynamics 12 November 2005

ldquoLocal and global dynamics of biological invasions in aquatic ecosystemsrdquo WashingtonUniversity 3 November 2005

ldquoComputational approaches to ecological forecasting Disease outbreaks and speciesre-distributionrdquo Washington University 4 November 2005

ldquoModeling the potential distribution of zebra mussels in the United States patternrecognition and one-class classificationrdquo University of Tennessee Knoxville TNFebruary 4 2005

ldquoEthical considerations why does it matterrdquo Lecture Series Invasive Species andthe Public Good opening forum Yale School of Forestry and Environmental StudiesNew Haven CT January 24 2005

ldquoAllee effects in invasive species the discrepancy between models and datardquo USDAInteragency Research Forum on Gypsy Moth and other Invasive Species Annapolis

MD January 18-21 2005

ldquoExtinctions in experimental populationsrdquo National Center for Ecological Analysisand Synthesis Santa Barbara CA October 28 2004

ldquoBythotrephes ballast water and biological invasions Population biology and riskanalysisrdquo McGill University February 11 2004

ldquoHow many animals does it take to start an invasion Population biology for riskanalysis of non-indigenous speciesrdquo Covenant College March 28 2003

ldquoThe measurement of biological diversity 1943-1982rdquo Southwest Colloquium in theHistory and Philosophy of the Life Sciences Arizona State University February 21-222003

ldquoViable Populations and the Risk of Biological Invasion Tools for Managing Deci-sionsrdquo Environmental Risk Assessment Conference Cleveland State University Centerfor Environmental Science Technology amp Policy April 26 2002

OtherPublications

Indicatespeer review

Drake JM 2015 A new epidemiology UGA Research (In press)

Drake JM 2015 Mapping infectious disease Book review of Mapping diseasetransmission risk enriching models using biogeography and ecology Ecology (In press)

Rivers C K Alexander S Bellan S Del Valle J M Drake J NS Eisenberg SEubank M Ferrari M E Halloran A Galvani B L Lewis J Lewnard E LofgrenC Macal M Marathe M L Ndeo Mbah L Ancel Meyers R Meza A Park T PorcoS V Scarpino J Shaman A Vespignani W Yang 2014 Ebola models do more thanforecast (letter to the editor) Nature 515492 httpdxdoiorg101038515492a

Halloran ME A Vespignani N Bharti LR Feldstein KA Alexander M FerrariJ Shaman JM Drake T Porco JNS Eisenberg SY Del Valle E Lofgren SVScarpino MC Eisenberg D Gao JM Hyman S Eubank IM Longini 2014 Ebolamobility data (letter to the editor) Science 346433

Bowden SE amp JM Drake 2013 Ecology of host-pathogen systems with multiplespecies Nature Knowledge Project httpwwwnaturecomscitableknowledge

libraryecology-of-multi-host-pathogens-of-animals-105288915

Drake JM 2013 Food webs (book review) Quarterly Review of Biology 88132-133

Drake JM 2013 A niche for theory and another for practice Book review ofEcological Niches and Geographic Distributions by AT Peterson et al Trends inEcology amp Evolution 2876-77

Magori K amp JM Drake 2013 The population dynamics of vector-borne diseasesNature Education Knowledge 4(4)14

McKaughan DJ amp JM Drake 2012 Representing vague opinion Principia16(2)341-344

Drake JM 2012 Philosophy of ecology (book review) Quarterly Review of Biology87(2)141-142

Drake JM 2012 Ecology cognition and landscape Linking natural and socialsystems (book review) Quarterly Review of Biology 87(1)55-56

Springborn M JP Schmidt amp JM Drake 2012 Cost-Sensitive Risk Assessmentfor Invasive Plants in the United States Proceedings of the California Invasive PlantCouncil Symposium 151 Cal-IPC Berkeley CA 51-53

Drake JM amp AM Kramer 2011 Allee effects Nature Education Knowledge2(9)2 Available online httpwwwnaturecomscitableknowledgelibrary

allee-effects-19699394

Pardini EA JM Drake T Knight 2011 On the utility of population modelsfor invasive plant management response to Evans and Davis Ecological Applications21614-618

Drake JM 2010 Allee effects in ecology and conservation by F Couchamp L Berecand J Gascoigne (book review) Quarterly Review of Biology 85216

Drake JM 2009 Should Christians be realists Context and conversation withBradley John Montona review essay Christian Scholarrsquos Review XXXVIII(2)283-292

Drake JM DM Lodge and C Costello 2008 Reply to Ricciardi amp MacIsaacEcological Applications 18(5)1323-1324

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2008 Reply to Reid amp Hudson Canadian Journal ofFisheries and Aquatic Sciences 65554-555

Drake JM 2008 Niche modeling predictions from statistical distributions by DavidStockwell (book review) Biometrics 64311-312

Drake JM 2008 Population ecology population viability analysis Pp 2901-2907in Encyclopedia of Ecology Elsevier Oxford (Peer reviewed)

Drake JM 2007 When nature attacks Review of Invasion ecology (1st edn) by JLLockwood MF Hoopes and MP Marchetti Times Higher Education Supplement(May 2007)

Drake JM amp DM Lodge 2006 On the distribution and extension of rainbowsmelt reply Fisheries 31304-305

Drake JM 2006 Caring for creation edited by S Tillett (book review) Scienceand Christian Belief 18204-205

Drake JM 2005 Ethical considerations Invasive Species and the Public GoodYFF Review 8(1)19-21

Drake JM 2005 Ecological orbits by L Ginzburg and M Colyvan (book review)American Midland Naturalist 153454-455

Drake JM 2005 Fundamental limits to the precision of early warning systems forepidemics of infectious diseases PLoS Medicine 2 461462 Published online 30 March2005 Available online httpdxdoiorg101371journalpmed0020144

Drake JM 2005 A primer of ecological statistics by NJ Gotelli and AM Ellison(book review) Ecology 86810-811

Drake JM C Costello amp DM Lodge 2005 When did the discovery rate forinvasive species in the North American Great Lakes accelerate BioScience 55(1)4

Drake JM 2005 Proceedings of the 24th Annual Midwest Ecology and EvolutionConference Introduction American Midland Naturalist 15313

Drake JM 2005 Whence Explanation The Diversity of Practices in Ecology AReview of Scientific method for ecological research by E David Ford (book review)Biology and Philosophy 19801-807

Drake JM amp R Keller 2004 Environmental justice alert Do developing nationsbear the burden of risk for invasive species BioScience 54718-719

Drake JM 2004 Population viability analysis theoretical advances and researchneeds Endangered Species UPDATE 21(3)93-96

Drake JM 2004 Population Viability Analysis SR Beissinger and DR McCul-lough eds and Quantitative Conservation Biology by WF Morris and DF Doak(book review) Oryx 38(3)351-352

Drake JM 2004 Complex population dynamics A theoreticalempirical synthesisby Peter Turchin (book review) Quarterly Review of Biology 79(3)298

Drake JM 2004 Stochastic population dynamics in ecology and conservation by RLande S Engen and BE Saeligther (book review) Acta Biotheoretica 52219-220

Drake JM 2004 Foot and Mouth Disease Facing the new dilemmas GR Thom-son ed (book review) Risk Analysis 24(5)1412-1413

Drake JM amp RB Bademan 2003 Disseminating Darwinism Numbers and Sten-house eds (book review) Science and Christian Belief 15

Drake JM 2003 FEMLAB 23 (review of computer software for solving nonlinearpartial differential equations) Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America 84193-195

Drake JM 2003 The constructive use of metaphor in ecology Science dEbate re-sponses published online 5 September 2003 Available online httpwwwsciencemagorgcgieletters301562952ck=nck

Drake JM 2003 Chaos in ecology Experimental nonlinear dynamics by JMCushing et al (book review) CHANCE 16(4)48-49

Drake JM 2003 What has ecology to do with psychology A review of Ecologicalpsychology in context by Harry Heft Theory and Psychology 13573-576

Drake JM 2003 Children and nature Psychological sociocultural and evolutionaryinvestigations PH Kahn and SR Kellert eds (book review) Research News ampOpportunities in Science and Theology 3(12)32

Drake JM 2003 Narrative religion and science by Stephen Prickett (book review)Reviews in Religion amp Theology 10270-273

Drake JM 2003 Science and religion in the English speaking world by RichardBrooks and David Himrod (book review) Perspectives on Science and Christian Faith55(1)56

Drake JM 2003 The Darwin wars by Andrew Brown (book review) Science andChristian Belief 1565-66

Bademan RB amp JM Drake 2003 Reconciling science and religion The debate inearly-twentieth-century by Peter Bowler (book review) Reviews in Religion amp Theology1039-42

Drake JM 2002 Elements of mathematical ecology by M Kot (book review) ActaBiotheoretica 50205-207

Drake JM 2001 The care of creation RJ Berry editor (book review) Scienceand Christian Belief 13

Drake JM 2001 Doomsday The science of catastrophic events by Antony Milne(book review) Perspectives on Science and Christian Faith 5361-62

Drake JM 2000 Two cultures and the two cultures a book review of Dependentrational animals by Alasdair MacIntyre History and Philosophy of the Life Sciences22299-304

Drake JM 2000 Bright shadow of reality Spiritual longing in CS Lewis by CorbinScott Carnell (book review) Perspectives on Science and Christian Faith 52(2)142

Drake JM 2000 Thomas Henry Huxley The evolution of a scientist by SherrieL Lyons (book review) Perspectives on Science and Christian Faith 52(3)205-206Reprinted in Research News amp Opportunities in Science and Theology 1(8)17

Drake JM 2000 Einstein and religion Physics and theology by Max Jammar (bookreview) Perspectives on Science and Christian Faith 52(3)205

Grants National Institutes of Health to JM Drake B Epureanu M Ferrari A Park ampP Rohani ($3178076) 2014-2019 Title Forecasting tipping points in emerging andre-emerging infectious diseases

National Institutes of Health to B Halloran et al (Drake component $180705)2014-2019 Title Center for Statistics and Quantitative Infectious Diseases

Highlands Biological Station to JM Drake ($400) Title Exploratory study of theinquiline community of Sarracenia purpurea in the vicinity of Highlands NC

University of Georgia Presidentrsquos Venture Fund to JM Drake ($3500) Title Mobilegames for public environmental education

National Science Foundation to JM Drake and M Strand ($283500) 2012-2015Title REU Site Population Biology of Infectious Diseases DBI-1156707

National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration to DM Lodge JM Drake et al(Drake component $345057) 2010-2013 Title Forecasting spread and bioeconomicimpacts of aquatic invasive species from multiple pathways to improve managementand policy

National Science Foundation to F Dobbs J Ward J Niejako R Hicks T Holst andJM Drake (Drake component $451706) 2009-2013 Title Collaborative Research -Microscopic islands modeling the theory of island biogeography for aquatic pathogenscolonizing marine aggregates EF-0914347

National Science Foundation to P Rohani D Stallknecht amp JM Drake ($489202)2009-2012 Title Population ecology of avian influenza viruses DEB-0917853

James S McDonnell Foundation to JM Drake amp P Rohani ($449527) 2008-2013 Title Evolutionary epidemiology of multi-transmission pathogens in multi-hostnetworks

US Department of Agriculture to JM Drake ($174337) 2008-2010 Title Cost-sensitive machine learning algorithms for invasive species decision support risk analysisand policy Cooperative Agreement No 58-7000-8-0111

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($578619) 2007-2010 Title Emerg-ing urban vector-borne disease West Nile Virus in New York City (1999-2006) EF-0723601

Great Lakes Protection Fund to DM Lodge J Feder H-C Chang M Ozkan JMDrake and JA Andersen ($1090000 Drake component $195341) 2006-2009 TitleRisk Assessment and Management of Great Lakes Invasive Species

Department of Natural Resources to JP Schmidt JM Drake and R Carroll ($23831)Title Economic analyses for ecosystem services and climate change adaptation

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($19222) Title Collaborative re-search ndash Microscopic Islands Modeling the Theory of Island Biogeography for AquaticPathogens Colonizing Marine Aggregates (ldquoResearch Opportunity Awardrdquo to sup-port collaboration with students and faculty at Bethel College Indiana a primarilyundergraduate institution)

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($19162) Spring 2012 Title Collabo-rative research ndash Microscopic Islands Modeling the Theory of Island Biogeography forAquatic Pathogens Colonizing Marine Aggregates (ldquoResearch Opportunity Awardrdquo tosupport collaboration with students and faculty at Bethel College Indiana a primarilyundergraduate institution)

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($32357) Spring 2011 Title Collabo-rative research ndash Microscopic Islands Modeling the Theory of Island Biogeography forAquatic Pathogens Colonizing Marine Aggregates (ldquoResearch Opportunity Awardrdquo to

support collaboration with students and faculty at Bethel College Indiana a primarilyundergraduate institution)

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($14250) Spring 2010 Title Emergingurban vector-borne disease West Nile Virus in New York City (1999-2006) (Supple-ment to provide research opportunities for undergraduates)

University of Georgia Presidentrsquos Venture Fund to JM Drake ($2295) Title Sup-port for a visiting scientist Elodie Vercken


National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis to JM Drake amp W Langford($16900) June 2008 Title Machine Learning for the Environment (Supplement)

University of Georgia Presidentrsquos Venture Fund to JM Drake ($1500) Title Sup-port to provide research experience for teachers

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($72147) Summer 2008 Title Emergingurban vector-borne disease West Nile Virus in New York City (1999-2006) (Supple-ment to perform a study of mosquito feeding preferences) EF-0824507


University of Georgia Research Foundation Inc to JM Drake ($7010) 2008-2009Title Extinction in deteriorating environments

University of Georgia Research Foundation Inc to JM Drake ($7000) 2007 TitleDaphnia longevity in fluctuating environments

National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis to JM Drake amp W Langford($97850) 2006-2008 Title Machine Learning for the Environment

US Department of Agriculture to T Knight J Chase K McCue amp JM Drake($190069 Drake component $0) 2005-2006 Title Population dynamics of densitydependent garlic mustard populations

NSF Doctoral Dissertation Improvement Grant to JM Drake ($11986) Summer2003 (DEB-0308934) Title Invasion Risk in the Great Lakes Estimating PropagulePressure with Molecular Tools

JumpStart Grant (University of Notre Dame) to JM Drake and Jennifer L Tank($1000) Spring 2001 for integrating technology and classroom instruction GeneralEcology

Illinois-Indiana Sea Grant College Program Graduate Fellowship to JM Drake ($6000)2001-2002 Title How many animals does it take to cause an invasion Predicting fu-ture invaders and deriving standards for ballast water from theoretical models of Alleeeffects

EPA Graduate STAR Research Fellowship to JM Drake ($102000) 2001-2004 Ti-tle Predicting the identity and probability of establishment for potential aquatic in-vaders of the North American Great Lakes a risk assessment

Grantapplicationspending

National Science Foundation to B Han amp JM Drake (Drake component $1405985)2015-2020 Title Global ecological drivers of zoonotic disease Prediction patterns ampmechanisms

National Science Foundation to JM Drake ($151704) 2015-2016 Title RAPIDRobust allocation of public health interventions to contain Ebola in West Africa amachine learning approach

National Science Foundation to AW Park J Corn JM Drake DG Mead amp DStallknecht ($1671426) 2015-2019 Title Novel mechanisms for the invasion andpersistence of vector-borne diseases the case of hemorrhagic disease

Fellowships ampAwards

University of Georgia Creative Research Medal (2014) Keeley Visiting FellowshipWadham College Oxford Unviersity (2012) University of Georgia Sarah H MossFellowship (2012) Leverhulme Foundation Visiting Professorship Oxford University(2012) University of Georgia Excellence in Undergraduate Research Mentoring Fac-ulty Award (2011) National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis PostdoctoralFellowship (Summer 2004-Summer 2006) University of Notre Dame Department ofBiological Sciences 2004 Research Achievement Award (2004) Silicon Graphics Inc(SGI) University of Notre Dame College of Science Award for Computational Sci-ence and Visualization (2004) NSF Graduate Research Fellowship Honorable Men-tion (2000) Schmitt Research Fellowship (University of Notre Dame 1999-2003)Phi Theta Kappa (International honor society 1996) E Gordon Riley Scholarship(1996) Buffalo Foundation Scholarship (1997) Covenant College Instrumental MusicScholarship (1996-1998) Maryland Saltwater Sportfishermans Association Scholarship(1996-1998) AuSable Institute Fellow (1998) Covenant College Presidential Scholar-ship (1996-1999) Covenant College McDonald Scholarship (1997-1999) Deanrsquos List(Anne Arundel Community College 1994-1996 Covenant College 1996-1999) EagleScout Award (1993)

ThesesDirected

Reni Kaul (PhD expected 2018)

Tad Dallas (PhD expected 2016)

Sarah Bowden (PhD expected 2015)

Marcus Zokan (PhD expected 2015)

ThesisCommittees

Molly Fisher (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor J Gittleman)

John Vinson (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor A Park)

Chao Song (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor F Ballantyne)

Elise Krueger (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor F Ballantyne)

Kimmy Kellett (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor R Shefferson)

Thomas Barnum (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor C Pringle2014)

Krishna Pacifici (MA University of Georgia Statistics Thesis advisor N Lazar 2012)

Shan Huang (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisors J Gittleman andS Altizer 2012)

John Robinson (PhD University of Georgia Genetics Thesis advisor J Wares 2011)

Krishna Pacifici (PhD University of Georgia Forestry and Natural Resources Thesisadvisor M Conroy 2011)

Ken Leonard (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor M Bradford 2010)

Catherine Bradley (PhD University of Georgia Ecology Thesis advisor S Altizer2009)

Professionalactivities ampCommunityservice

UGA Presidentrsquos Faculty Advisory Committee (August 2014 ndash present)

Odum School of Ecology Promotion amp Tenure Committee (August 2014 ndash present)

Participant in the Advancing Theory and Research on Scientific Synthesis workinggroup (September 2013 ndash present)

Participant in the Macroecology of Infectious Diseases Research Coordination Network(October 2013 ndash present)

UGA Research Computing Advisory Committee (August 2011 ndash December 2011)

UGA Academic Honesty Panel (March 2011 ndash present)

Co-organizer of Organized Oral Symposium (with B Han) Ecological Applicationsof Machine Learning Ecological Society of America 2011 Annual Conference AustinTexas August 7-12 2011

UGA Faculty Learning Community on the Scholarship of Teaching and Learning (Fall2010 ndash Spring 2011)

Faculty sponsor of University of Georgia chapter of the National Students of AMF anetwork dedicated to supporting college students grieving the illness or death of a lovedone (April 2008-November 2011)

Co-organizer of Symposium (with S Altizer) Pathogens in Heterogeneous LandscapesConsequences of Environmental Variation for Infectious Disease Dynamics and Con-trol International Association for Landscape Ecology 2010 Annual Conference AthensGeorgia April 8 2010

UGA Biology Curriculum Commuttee (2010-2011)

NSF Population and Community Ecology Panel member (April 13-17 2010)

UGA Honors Faculty Mentoring Network (2009-2011)

Scientific Advisory Board Highlands Biological Station (2008 ndash present)

Advisory Board of the University of Georgia River Basin Center member (2007 ndashpresent)

Steering Committee of the Institute of Ecologyrsquos Conservation Ecology and SustainableDevelopment (CESD) Masters Program (2007-2008)

Odum School of Ecology Executive Committee (2007 ndash 2014)

Odum School of Ecology Undergraduate Curriculum Committee (2006 ndash 2009)

Co-director (with Bill Langford) of the Ecological Applications of Machine Learningworking group at the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis 2006-2009

Co-organizer of session about population dynamics of invasive plants ESA 2005 annualconference Montreal Canada

Co-chair 24th annual Midwest Ecology and Evolution Conference U Notre DameMarch 57 2004

Volunteer Hope Rescue Mission South Bend IN

Boy Scout Environmental Science merit badge counselor (2000 ndash 2004)

Advisory board for Notre Dame Kaneb Center for Teaching and Learning (2001 ndash 2002)

Society for Conservation Biology Committee on Education (2000 ndash 2002)

Volunteer educator Sunshine Cove Youth Camp (2000 ndash 2002)

Volunteer science fair judge (March 2000)

Teaching Senior Seminar (ECOL 4950)Fall 2006 Spring 2013

Population amp Evolutionary Ecology (ECOL 8310)Fall 2007 Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2011 Fall 2013

Introduction to Applied Statistics (ECOL 8990)Fall 2007

Population amp Community Ecology (ECOL 40006000)Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2013 Fall 2014

Data Visualization (ECOL 8990)Fall 2008

Meta-analysis (ECOL 8910)Spring 2010

Time Series Analysis (ECOL 8910)Fall 2010

Nonlinear Time Series Analysis (ECOL 8910)Spring 2011

Quantifying Biodiversity (ECOL 8910)Spring 2014

First Year Odyssey Seminar Introduction to Mathematical Biology (FYOS 1001)Fall 2011

First Year Odyssey Seminar The Structure of Scientific Revolutions (FYOS 1001)Fall 2013

Cross-Disciplinary Ecology (ECOL 8030)Fall 2014

Introduction to Computational Statistics (ECOL 8910)Spring 2015

Workshops 6th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington July 7-9 2014 (Instructor for module ldquoMathematicalmodels of infectious diseasesrdquo)

5th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington July 8-10 2013 (Instructor for module ldquoMathematicalmodels of infectious diseasesrdquo)

Early-warning signals for critical transitions bridging the gap between theory and prac-tice Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences (Amsterdam The Netherlands)October 12 2012 (Instructor)

4th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington July 11-13 2012 (Instructor for module ldquoMathemat-ical models of infectious diseasesrdquo)

Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases Centers for Disease Control amp Preven-tion Atlanta Georgia November 14-18 2011 (Instructor)

Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease 9th Annual Workshop and ConferenceUniversity of California Santa Barbara Santa Barbara California June 22-25 2011(Instructor for ecology workshop)

3rd Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington June 15-17 2011 (Instructor for module ldquoMathemat-ical models of infectious diseasesrdquo)

Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease 8th Annual Workshop and ConferenceCornell University Ithaca New York June 6-9 2010 (Instructor for ecology workshop)

2nd Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington June 13-15 2010 (Instructor for module ldquoMathemat-ical models of infectious diseasesrdquo)

Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease 7th Annual Workshop and ConferenceUniversity of Georgia Athens Georgia May 17-22 2009 (Instructor for ecology work-shop)

1st Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling of Infectious Diseases University ofWashington Seattle Washington June 15-17 2009 (Instructor for module ldquoMathemat-ical models of infectious diseasesrdquo)

Environmental Risk Assessment Cleveland State University Center for Environmen-tal Science Technology and Policy April 26 2002 (Instructor for workshop ldquoUsingenvironmental risk analysis to assess and control non-indigenous species invasionsrdquo)

Consulting University of Miami Environmental Changes and Mosquito-borne Disease in Arid En-vironments (2010-2015)

Lytmos Group Inc 400 SW Longview Blvd Suite 290 Leersquos Summit MO 64081(2009)

Eastern Research Group Inc 110 Hartwell Avenue Lexington MA 02421-3131 (2008)

World Health Organization (2008)

Reviewing Acta Tropica American Midland Naturalist American Naturalist Biological Dynam-ics Biological Invasions Biology Letters BMC Evolutionary Biology Bulletin ofMathematical Biology Canadian Aquatic Invasive Species Network Canadian Jour-nal of Fisheries amp Aquatic Sciences Canadian Journal of Forest Research ChristianScholarrsquos Review City University of New York Conservation Biology ConservationLetters Coral Reefs Diversity Diversity amp Distributions Ecohealth Ecosphere Ecog-raphy Ecological Applications Ecological Economics Ecological Entomology Ecologi-cal Informatics Ecological Modelling Ecological Monographs Ecology Ecology amp So-ciety Ecology Letters Ecosystems ElsevierAcademic Press Environmental amp Eco-logical Statistics Environmental Science amp Technology Evolution French NationalResearch Agency Frontiers in Ecology amp Environment Global Ecology amp Biogeogra-phy International Journal of Infectious Disease Journal of Animal Ecology Journal ofApplied Ecology Journal of Theoretical Biology Journal of the Royal Society InterfaceLeverhulme Trust Marine Ecology Progress Series Methods in Ecology amp EvolutionMissouri Life Sciences Research Board National Aeronautic and Space AdministrationGlobal Climate Change Education Research Program National Aeronautic and SpaceAdministration K12 Cooperative Agreements Program National Environment Re-search Council (UK) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Great LakesEnvironmental Research Laboratory National Science Foundation (USA) Nature Na-ture Communications Netherlands Space Office Oecologia Oikos Oxford UniversityPress Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society PLOS Biology PLOS Compu-tational Biology PLOS Currents PLOS Medicine PLOS ONE Population Ecology Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Proceedings of the Royal SocietySeries B Restoration Ecology Royal Society of New Zealand Science Springer Aca-demic Publishing Theoretical Ecology Theoretical Population Biology Transactionsof the American Fisheries Society Trends in Ecology amp Evolution Weed Research

News coveragePublishedcorrespondenceamp Derivativeworks

Clemmitt M Emerging infectious diseasesl CQ Quarterly Volume 25 Issue 7 Febru-ary 13 2015

Brack V Jr DW Sparks and TM Pankiewicz 2013 White noses and windmillsand worms Oh my Bat Research News 5447-51

University of Georgia press release Geographic complexity explains patterns of spreadof white-nose syndrome of bats (available online httpnewsugaedureleases

articlegeographic-complexity-explains-patterns-of-spread-of-white-nose-

syndro) December 18 2012

University of Georgia press release Screening horticultural imports new models as-sess plant risk through better analysis (httpnewsugaedureleasesarticlescreening-horticultural-imports-062812) fact sheet (httpdaphniaecologyugaedudrakelabIRSES-fact-sheet-1pdf) and list of weed hazards (httpdaphniaecologyugaedudrakelabrisky-species-764pdf) published online June28 2012

University of Georgia press release UGA study links land use with spread of WestNile virus (available online httpnewsugaedureleasesarticleuga-study-

links-land-use-with-spread-of-west-nile-virus) July 29 2011

University of Georgia press release UGA researchers find evidence of criticality inNorth American gypsy moth invasion (available online httpnewsugaedureleasesarticleuga-researchers-evidence-criticality-north-american-gypsy-moth-

invasion) December 20 2010

University of Georgia press release Study may help to predict extinction tipping pointfor species (available online httpnewsugaedureleasesarticlestudy-may-

help-predict-extinction-tipping-point-for-species) September 8 2010

University of Georgia press release UGA researchers demonstrate relationship betweenpredation and extinction in small populations (available online httpnewsuga

edureleasesarticleuga-researchers-demonstrate-relationship-between-predation-

and-extinct) September 3 2010

University of Georgia press release Indirect transmission can trigger bird influenza out-break (available online httpnewsugaedureleasesarticlestudy-indirect-transmission-can-trigger-bird-influenza-outbreak) June 2 2009

University of Georgia press release UGA Study Underscores Importance of RapidResponse in Curtailing Disease Outbreaks (available online httpnewsugaedu

releasesarticleuga-study-underscores-importance-of-rapid-response-in-

curtailing-disease-ou) January 3 2007

Holmes B 2011 Naturersquos mystery unlocked with AI New Scientist (20 August 2011pp 20-21)

Evans JA amp AS Davis 2011 Consequences of parameterization and structure ofapplied demographic models a comment on Pardini et al (2009) Ecological Applica-tions 21608-613

Anonymous 2011 The Cassandra factor TMCnetcom (29 January 20110) http

technewstmcnetcomnews201101295275544htm

Scheffer M 2010 Complex systems foreseeing tipping points Nature 467411-412httpwwwnaturecomnaturejournalv467n7314full467411ahtml

Keim B 2010 Early warning signs could show when extinction is coming Wired Sci-ence (9 September 2010) httpwwwwiredcomwiredscience201009extinction-tipping-point

Anonymous 2010 Predicting tipping points CERN Courier (26 October 2010)httpcerncouriercomcwsarticlecern44106

Pappas S 2010 Extinction rsquotipping pointsrsquo possibly predictable LiveScience (8September 2010) httpwwwlivesciencecom8599-extinction-tipping-points-possibly-predictablehtml (Re-posted at Yahoo httpnewsyahoocomextinction-tipping-points-possibly-predictablehtml Fox News httpwwwfoxnewscomscitech20100909extinction-tipping-points-possibly-predictable and MSNBChttpwwwmsnbcmsncomid39062636nstechnology_and_science-science)

Stokstad E 2010 Early warning for endangered species ScienceNOW (8 September2010) httpnewssciencemagorgsciencenow201009early-warning-for-endangered-spehtm

DeFranza D 2010 Forecasting and ecosystemrsquos point of no return Treehuggercom(10 September 2010) httpwwwtreehuggercomnatural-sciencesforecasting-an-ecosystems-point-of-no-returnhtml

Carpenter J 2010 University researcher predicts extinction rate The Red amp Black(UGA student newspaper 27 September 2010) httpredandblackcom201009

27university-researcher-predicts-extinction-rate

Anonymous 2010 Going going gone Columns (UGA research newspaper 6 Decem-ber 2010) httpcolumnsugaedunewsarticlegoing-going-gone

Gavrilles B 2010 When species are about to become extinct new research may helppredict tipping point Science Daily (8 September 2010) httpwwwsciencedailycomreleases201009100908171124htm

Anonymous 2012 News coverage on Carolina Minute (online part 1 part 2 part 3)

Stewart J 2010 Early warning when a species might be reaching the point of no returntoward extinction-tipping-point (Interview on BBC World Service Science in Action9 October 2010) httpwwwbbccoukiplayerconsolep009jfplScience_In_Action_10_09_2010

Gregory SD amp F Courchamp 2010 Safety in numbers extinction arising frompredator-driven Allee effects Journal of Animal Ecology 79511-514

Anonymous 2009 Survival tips Nature 461573

Madrigal A 2009 Global shipping industry makes world flatbiologically WiredcomScience blogs httpblogwiredcomwiredscience200902homogecenehtml

(February 19 2009)

Waters R 2008 Stop think then vote Sail Magazine (June 2008) (An editorialbased on our studies of invasive species in ballast water)

Anonymous 2008 Study points out danger to Great Lakes United Press International(January 21 2008)

Lynch J 2008 Ballast rules may not halt Lakes invaders The Detroit News (January21 2008)

Alexander J 2008 Are invaders riding on shipsrsquo hulls httpwwwmlivecomnews

grpressindexssfbasenews-40120058127811940xmlampcoll=6 (January 17 2008)

Alexander J 2008 Foreign species hitching rides on hulls The Muskegon Chronicle12 January 2008

Reid amp P Hudson 2008 Comment on ldquoRate of species introductions in the GreatLakes via shipsrsquo ballast water and sedimentsrdquo by John M Drake and David M LodgeCanadian Journal of Fisheries amp Aquatic Sciences 65549-553

Chronicle News Service 2007 Ships transport more invasive species mLivecom 26December 2007

Sharp E 2007 Saltwater ships pose hazard to Great Lakes Lansing State Journal21 December 2007

Ricciardi A amp HJ MacIsaac 2008 Is current ballast water policy sufficient to protectthe Great Lakes from ship-vectored invasions Ecological Applications 181321-1323

American Museum of Natural History 2007 Online Science Bulletin feature on invasivespecies httpwwwamnhorgsciencebulletinssid=bfinvasive_species20071101ampsrc=b (The animation of global spread through ballast water derived from researchby Drake and Lodge conducted during 2005-2007)

Barton BA amp WG Franzin 2006 On the distribution and extension of rainbowsmelt Fisheries 31304

Anonymous 2006 The difficulties of predicting the outbreak sizes of epidemics PLoSMedicine 3(1)e23

Monastersky R 2005 The number thats devouring science Chronicle of HigherEducation (14 October 2005) Volume 52 Issue 8 page A12

Anonymous 2005 Invasive species and the public good ForestWise 11 (Newsarticle in the Yale University Global Institute of Sustainable Forestry Newsletter aboutFletcher distinguished lecture series Includes picture from January 2005 forum)

Agoramoorthy G and MJ Hsu 2005 Religious freeing of wildlife promotes alienspecies invasions BioScience 55(1)5-6

Anonymous 2005 Are we understanding species extinction risk PLoS Biology 3

Monczunski J 2004 The hotspots of invasion Notre Dame Magazine Autumn 2004(October) p 17

Saeligther B-E and S Engen 2004 Stochastic population theory faces reality in thelaboratory Trends in Ecology amp Evolution 19351-353

Thagard A 2004 ND researchers study effects of ballast water The Observer (UNotre Dame student daily newspaper 23 February 2004)

Public Activitiesamp Outreach

Panelist ldquoA Conversation about Ebolardquo public discussion at the UGA Health SciencesCampus (25 September 2014)

Interview for the Public Radio Exchange program ldquoOpen Access Generation Openrdquo(16 December 2014) httpsbetaprxorgstories138032

APHIS-2006-0011 Importation of Plant for Planting Establishing a Category of Plantfor Planting Not Authorized for Importation Pending Pest Risk Analysis Public Com-ment (with R Keller D Finnoff amp D Lodge) October 2009

Letter of support to Paul Stolen and Minnesota Department of Natural Resourcesregarding Risk and Consequence Analysis Focused on Biota Transfers Potentially As-sociated with Surface Water Diversions Between the Missouri River and Red RiverBasins by Greg Linder et al 21 March 2006

APHIS-2005-0020 Proposed rules 7 CFR Part 319 Nursery Stock Regulations PublicComment (with R Keller J Bossenbroek amp D Lodge) April 2004

Increase Your Leadership on Global Warming open letter to California GovernorSchwarzenegger and California legislators from California scientists signatory March2005

USDA040371 Noxious Weeds Notice of Availability of Petitions To Regulate CaulerpaPublic Comment (with J Bossenbroek amp R Keller) December 2004

Scientists Statement Restoring Scientific Integrity in Policy Making signatory Septem-ber 2004

USCG200110486 Standards for Living Organisms in Shiprsquos Ballast Water Dischargedin US Waters Public Comment (with D Lodge) December 2003

Scientists Call to Action on Invasive Species Gifts To The Nation signatory November2003

Not in Our Name Statement of Conscience signatory November 2002

Updated February 26 2015

Alexander KA CE Sanderson M Marathe BL Lewis CM rivers J ShamamJM Drake E Lofgren VM Dato MC Eisenberg amp S Eubank 2015 Whatfactors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa PLOS NeglectedTropical Diseases (In press) httpblogsplosorgspeakingofmedicine2014

1111factors-might-led-emergence-ebola-west-africa

OrsquoRegan SM K Magori JT Pulliam MA Zokan RB Kaul HD Barton amp JMDrake Multi-scale model of epidemic fadeout Will local extirpation events inhibitthe spread of White-nose Syndrome Ecological Applications (In press)

2014 Lofgren E ME Halloran CM Rivers JM Drake TC Porco B Lewis WYang A Vespignani J Shaman JNS Eisenberg MC Eisenberg M Marathe SVScarpino KA Alexander R Meza MJ Ferrari JM Hyman LA Meyers S Eu-bank 2014 Mathematical models A key tool for outbreak response Proceedingsof the National Academy of Sciences USA 11118095-18096 httpdxdoiorg101073pnas1421551111

Xu J TL Wickramarathne NV Chawla EK Grey K Steinhaeuser RP KellerJM Drake amp DM Lodge 2014 Improving management of aquatic invasions by in-tegrating shipping network ecological and environmental data data mining for socialgood Proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD International conference on knowledgediscovery and data mining Pp 1699-1708 httpdxdoiorg1011452623330

2623364

Roche B JM Drake J Brown D Stallknecht T Bedford amp P Rohani 2014Adaptive evolution and environmental durability jointly structure phylodynamic pat-terns in avian influenza viruses PLoS Biology 12e1001931 httpdxdoiorg10

1371journalpbio1001931

Dallas T amp JM Drake 2014 The relative importance of environmental andphysical variables structuring zooplankton metacommunities Ecosphere 5104 http

dxdoiorg101890ES14-000711

Maher S A Guisan C Randin amp JM Drake 2014 Pattern recognition ecologicalniche models fit to presence-only and presence-absence data Methods in Ecology ampEvolution 5761-770 httpdxdoiorg1011112041-210X12222

Drake JM amp JC Beier 2014 Ecological niche and potential distribution ofAnopheles arabiensis in Africa in 2050 Malaria Journal 13213 httpdxdoi

org1011861475-2875-13-213

Krkosek M amp JM Drake 2014 On signals of phase transitions in salmon pop-ulation dynamics Proceedings of the Royal Society Series B 28120133221 http

dxdoiorg101098rspb20133221

Wittmann M C Jerde J Howerth S Maher A Deines G Whitledge S BurbankW Chadderton A Mahon J Tyson C Gantz R Keller JM Drake amp DMLodge 2014 Re-evaluating the invasion risk of a biological control agent (grass carpCtenopharyngodon idella) Reducing ecological uncertainty with improved risk assess-ment in the Great Lakes basin Canadian Journal of Fisheries amp Aquatic Sciences71992-999 httpdxdoiorg101139cjfas-2013-0537

Drake JM 2014 Ensemble algorithms for ecological niche modeling from presencebackground and presence-only data Ecosphere 576 httpdxdoiorg101890

ES13-002021

Kramer AP amp JM Drake 2014 Time to competitive exclusion Ecosphere 552httpdxdoiorg101890ES14-000541

Drake JM 2014 Tail probabilities of extinction time in a large number of experi-mental populations Ecology 951119-1126 httpdxdoiorg10189013-11071



doiorg101002ece3925






101111j1948-7134201312038x









011-0134-0





201101619x








101111j1472-4642201000696x


nature09389





































orgdoi101111j1365-2664200601141x



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5061dryadnm70b


doi105061dryad7f297




PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)




































doiorg101002ece3925






101111j1948-7134201312038x









011-0134-0





201101619x








101111j1472-4642201000696x


nature09389





































orgdoi101111j1365-2664200601141x



dxdoiorgdoi101007s10530-005-4205-2




































5061dryadnm70b


doi105061dryad7f297




PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)






































201101619x








101111j1472-4642201000696x


nature09389





































orgdoi101111j1365-2664200601141x



dxdoiorgdoi101007s10530-005-4205-2




































5061dryadnm70b


doi105061dryad7f297




PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)



































































orgdoi101111j1365-2664200601141x



dxdoiorgdoi101007s10530-005-4205-2




































5061dryadnm70b


doi105061dryad7f297




PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)





































































5061dryadnm70b


doi105061dryad7f297




PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)


































PublishedAbstracts



























































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)













































































































































































OtherPublications































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)
















































































































ThesesDirected





ThesisCommittees














































































































(February 19 2009)




































































































































(February 19 2009)


































John M. Drakedaphnia.ecology.uga.edu/drakelab/wp-content/uploads/2015/...John M. Drake Contact...

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Transcript of John M. Drakedaphnia.ecology.uga.edu/drakelab/wp-content/uploads/2015/...John M. Drake Contact...