John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU...

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John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic Wasatch Front and Olympic Venues Venues

Transcript of John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU...

Page 1: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt

NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC

Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic VenuesFront and Olympic Venues

Page 2: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

OverviewOverview

What is the “normal” weather for February/March?– Interplay of synoptic/mesoscale weather

systems and local terrain Preparing for media and public interest in

the weather during the Olympics Monitoring weather during the Olympics:

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Is it very

common to have so many hours in

a row of …?

Has “this” ever happened before?

Page 3: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Olympic Climate InformationOlympic Climate Information

Page 4: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

February/March 500 mb HeightFebruary/March 500 mb Height

Zonal Average Removed

February

SLC

SLC

March

Page 5: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Local Weather Local Weather HazardsHazards

• Orographic snow• Lake effect snowbands• Dense fog• Downslope winds

• Gap flows

Page 6: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

What’s the difference in precipitation between What’s the difference in precipitation between the valleys and mountains?the valleys and mountains?

Annual Annual Precipitation: Precipitation:

NRCS (in)NRCS (in)

Page 7: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr

SLCAlta

S no w

fall

(In

c he s

)

How does snowfall vary during the How does snowfall vary during the winter ?winter ?

Monthly Snowfall: Monthly Snowfall: 1948-20001948-2000

Page 8: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

How often do strong fronts move How often do strong fronts move through the Wasatch Front?through the Wasatch Front?

February- 1+ strong front per yearMarch- 2+ strong fronts per year

Page 9: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

How often is there heavy snowfall?How often is there heavy snowfall?

During the Olympic period, 2 periods of 7 consecutive hours of moderate/heavy snowfall

Page 10: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

How often is there strong wind?How often is there strong wind?

During the Olympic period, 2 years with more than 24 consecutive hours of winds > 20 mph

Page 11: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

How often is there dense How often is there dense fog/stable conditions?fog/stable conditions?

1 Occurrence of 13 consecutive hours of dense fog

Page 12: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

What’s the chance for fog during What’s the chance for fog during Opening/Closing Ceremonies?Opening/Closing Ceremonies?

Higher chance of stable period for Opening Ceremonies than Closing Ceremonies

Page 13: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Was the fog last winter unusual?Was the fog last winter unusual?

Page 14: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Is this year unusually cold?Is this year unusually cold?

For the Olympic period, 18 of 24 h were below freezing during 1989; 3 of 24 h during 1992

Page 15: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

The Olympic regionThe Olympic region

Snowbasin Downhill, Combined, Super-G

Utah Olympic ParkBobsled, Luge, Skeleton,

Ski Jumping, Nordic Combined

Park CityAlpine GS, Snowboard GS

Snowboard Half Pipe

Deer ValleyAlpine Slalom, Aerials, Moguls

Soldier Hollow: Cross Country, Biathlon, Nordic Combined

Page 16: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Snowbasin- Downhill VenueSnowbasin- Downhill Venue

• Mt. Allen- SBB

• John Paul- SBW

• Shooting Star- SSS

• Base- SBE

SBE

SBB

SBB

SBB

SBW

SSS

SBE

• Ogden Peak- OGP

• Strawberry Top- SB2

OGP

SB2

• Wildcat-SWI

•MidBowl- SNI

• Strawberry Base- SB2

SB1

SNI

SWI

SBE

Page 17: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Park City- Snowboard/Grand SlalomPark City- Snowboard/Grand Slalom

•Base- PCB

•Eagle- PCS

•Summit- PCT

•Jupiter- PKC

•Golf Course- SNC

SNCPCBPCSPCTPKC

Page 18: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Deer Valley: Aerial/Slalom/MogulsDeer Valley: Aerial/Slalom/Moguls

•Burns- DVE

•Bald Eagle- DVB

•Bald Mtn- MBY

•Empire Peak- EMP

•Daly West- SNV

DVE

MBYDVB

EMP

SNV

Page 19: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Venue Stations

• Bear Upper- WBU

• Bob Lower- WBE

• Bob Upper- WBS

CLK

C99

Utah Olympic ParkUtah Olympic Park

WBSWBU WBE

Page 20: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Wind Variations on the Ski Jump SlopeWind Variations on the Ski Jump Slope

Page 21: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Wind Variations on the Ski Jump SlopeWind Variations on the Ski Jump Slope

Page 22: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Wind Variations on the Ski Jump SlopeWind Variations on the Ski Jump SlopeSeptember 28-29 2001

Top-bottom- Black; Blue; Green; Red

Dow

nslo

pe

Up

slop

e

Page 23: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Soldier Hollow- Cross Country/Biathlon VenueSoldier Hollow- Cross Country/Biathlon Venue

•Venue Stations

•Stadium- WMP

•Whale’s Tail- WM2

•West Slope- WMH

•Valley- WMG

WM2 WMP WMG

WMH

Stadium

Page 24: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Snow TemperatureSnow Temperature

Photo: Al Bello/ALLSPORT)

Page 25: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

How cold will it feel at the venues?How cold will it feel at the venues?

Page 26: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Monitoring Weather Conditions during the OlympicsMonitoring Weather Conditions during the Olympics

Page 27: John Horel, Jonathan Slemmer*, Mike Splitt NOAA Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction,* CWSU ZLC Local Microclimates of the Wasatch Front and Olympic.

www.met.utah.edu/olympics

Monitoring the Weather During Monitoring the Weather During the Olympicsthe Olympics 24/7 Monitoring of weather observations Special weather summaries– 12-h snowfall/precipitation totals from venues– Daily summary of weather at venues and

Olympic region

Weather history of the Olympics– Evaluation/validation of model guidance– Impact of weather upon the Games