John C. McCarthy Vice President, Asia Pacific Research
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Transcript of John C. McCarthy Vice President, Asia Pacific Research
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Putting Grid Computing In ContextJohn C. McCarthyVice President, Asia Pacific ResearchForrester Research
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Theme
Grid computing is not a unique market, but an
element in the transformation of IT
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Agenda
• Who is Forrester?
• The current environment
• Defining grid computing
• Grid in the context of the broader move to Organic IT
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Who is Forrester?
Founded in 1983, Forrester Research is an independent technology research company that provides pragmatic and forward-thinking advice about technology’s impact on business and government.
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Client-focused products & services
Research • WholeView 2™• Inquiry
Community• Forrester
Oval Program™• Events• ForrTels™
(Member-level seats only)• Workshops
Consulting• Marketing Strategy • Effective Use Of Technology • Innovation & Organizational
Design • Supply & Demand Networks • IT Sourcing • Customer Experience Design
& Evaluation
Data• Custom Consumer Research• Forrester’s Ultimate Consumer
Panel™• Technographics® Data &
Services, Business & Consumer• Omnibus
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Forrester by the numbers in 2005
• 11,500 surveys of senior IT, business, and government executives in Asia, North America, and Europe
• 260,000 consumer surveys in NA and Europe
• 3,400 vendor briefings and research interviews
• 2,000 published pieces of research
• 20,000 inquiries with clients
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A custom and transparent research experience
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In 2005 IT Is In A Period Of Refine & Design
Forrester Research, June 2005 Trends “The Seeds Of The Next Big Thing”
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Rapid growth in IT spending has peaked!
• The bulk of the infrastructure is in place
• Very large scale implementations are over
• Wage and services rates are in a period of deflation
• Overall capital budgets cannot sustain more growth
• Lower cost, niche new technologies dominate the agenda
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The re-apportionment of IT spending
Infrastructure
App maintenanceNew devServices
1995
Infrastructure
App maintenance
Services
New dev
2000
New dev
InfrastructureApp maintenance
Services
2005
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The skills needed in IT are changing dramtically
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IT industry takes mature attributes
• Vendors cut costs/build out GDM
• Operational efficiency becomes paramount
• Suppliers invest in solution accelerators/frameworks
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Shifting IT services economics
Clients costs
Vendors traditional costs
Economies of scaleBest practices
New pricing reality
OffshoreReuseProcess
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Theme
Grid computing is not a unique market, but an
element in the transformation of IT
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Vendors are pitching new ideas:
DSI
Utility Computing
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These ideas have many names ...
• Utility computing (confusing and incomplete)
• Grid computing (has lost its specific meaning)» Global Grid Forum (GGF), Globus, Enterprise Grid Alliance (EGA)
• On demand — IBM, CA, and others
• Adaptive Enterprise, Utility Data Center — HP
• N1 and Grid — Sun Microsystems
• Dynamic Systems Initiative — Microsoft
• Others
» Policy-based computing, service-centric computing, TRIOLE, Harmonious Computing, open mission-critical systems, Valumo, business blueprinting
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... but are really three ideas mixed together
1. What’s the right architecture?
» Distributed versus Organic IT
– Choose based on ROI to firm
2. Should I outsource?» Location and management
– Choose based on skills, costs, strategic focus
3. What’s the pricing scheme?
» Purchase, lease, or pay per use
– Choose based on financial needs
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It takes a full page table to list all the industry names...
Term Uses ArchitectureOutsourcing
PricingTransformation
Organic IT
Organic Business
Grid, grid computing
On demand,on demand computing
On Demand eBusiness
Utility Data CenterAdaptive Infrastructure
Adaptive Enterprise
N1, N1 Grid
Dynamic systems
Dynamic data center
Agile enterprise
Forrester Research
Forrester Research
HP, Sun, IBM, Oracle, DataSynapse ,Platform Computing, Entropia, UnitedDevices, Paremus, Enigmatec, and CassattCA, IBM, Sychron, Speedera Networks, Akamai Technologies
IBM
HP
HP
Sun
Microsoft
Microsoft
EDS, Unisys
Autonomic computing IBM, Enigmatec
Utility computing, utilityservices
VERITAS, Egenera, Sun, Cassatt, Paremus,Connectria, H P, IBM, BEA, and ED S
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... but it takes two slides to show the table!
Adaptive computing
Managed computing
Dynamic computing
Recovery-oriented computing
VALUMO
TRIOLE
Harmonious computingBusiness blueprinting,3DVisible EnterpriseIT Utility Services
Virtual data centre
Intelligent control system
Data center automation
Hive computing
Virtual infrastructure
SAP
Merrill Lynch
Dell
http://roc.cs.berkeley.edu/
NEC
Fujitsu
Hitachi
Unisys
Connectria
F5 Networks
VIEO
Tsunami Research
VMware
BladeLogic, Opsware, and Etagon
Term Uses ArchitectureOutsourcing
PricingTransformation
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“What do you think the term ‘grid computing’ means?”
38%
32%
30%
20%
15%
11%
15%
Clustered computing, where severalcoupled servers perform as one serverData grids for efficient sharing of data
across several different locations or systems
Base: 149 North American companies(multiple responses accepted)
Confusing term that has severaldifferent meanings
Same or similar to utility computing
Massively parallel processing of numericworkloads across several computers
Same or similar to virtualizationof IT resources
Don’t know
Source: May 18, 2004, Trends “Grid Gets Big, But The Term Is Confusing”
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Resource gridEncompasses all fivekey elements of IT
infrastructure resources
Grid refers to five key elements of IT infrastructure or just one element
Compute grid:An approach to sharingcompute resources thatbuilds on somecapabilities of thesoftware andmanagementelements
Data grid:An approach to sharing
data or storage resourcesthat builds on some
capabilities of thesoftware andmanagement
elements
Software
Storage
Network
ComputingManagement
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Theme
Grid computing is not a unique market, but an
element in the transformation of IT
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CIOs and businesspeople are waking to a new reality
• The technology costs too much…
• …and doesn’t deliver on its promise
• While vendors offer warmed-over technology repeats
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CRMERP
Why is there a new architecture? Selfish assetsHR
PeopleSoftSAP SiebelSoftware:Monolithiccode
SunHP DellHP
Servers:Single-purposeservers
IBMEMCHitachi
Storage:Isolateddisks
InternetWANLANNetwork:Fragmented
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G3,500 firms find storage difficult to manage
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Much of the storage bought is not used
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“How much are you spending on integration?”
Base: 50 companies(all values in US$)
Minimum:$300,000
Minimum:$300,000
Maximum:$30 million
Maximum:$30 million
Median:$4.8 million
Mean:$6.4 million
Mean:$6.3 million
Median:$3.5 million
20042002
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Organic IT is:
► IT Infrastructure that automatically shares and manages reliable virtualized software, processors, storage, and networks across all applications and business services
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Abstraction is the key to Organic IT
LED traffic light
Multiple LEDs
Bulb traffic light
Single Filament
72.4°
Thermostat
Air Conditioning
Furnace
Humidifier
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The solution? Four innovations lead to Organic IT - shared IT infrastructure
CRMERP HR
PeopleSoftSAP SiebelSoftware:Modular
SunHP DellHP
Servers:Shared
IBMEMCHitachi
Storage:Pooled
InternetWANLANNetwork:Unified
Web services, SOA,composite apps
Fabricswitch
CPU RAM CPU RAM
Net Fibrechan.
Server virtualization,compute grids.
Storage virtualization,SMI-S management
Automation and virtualization
Result? Barriers to business agility drop
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Proactive management software is at the heart of Organic IT
SoftwareFlexible, modular code
Computing
Shared, flexible servers
Storage
Pooled, networked disks
Network
Organic management
Proactive, policy-based mgmt. and automation
Unified, flexible links
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Crystallizing the savings from Organic IT
1. Massively higher utilization
» From today’s 10%-20% to 70%-80%
» Result: Cut purchases in half
2. Dramatic increases in IT labor efficiency
» From today’s 6TB to 600TB
» Result: Double IT staff efficiency
3. Rapid response to business needs
» From months to hours or days
» Result: Faster time to market
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Server virtualization
13%
51%
36%29%
52%
19%24%
38% 38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Already using Aware Not aware
Korea Japan NA EU
Base: 603 infrastructure decision-makers at North American enterprises *Base: 234 infrastructure decision-makers at European enterprises
*Base: 53 infrastructure decision-makers at Japan enterprises
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Automated patch management
2%
32%33%
45%
23%30%
24%
45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Already using Aware Not aware
Korea Japan NA EU
Base: 603 infrastructure decision-makers at North American enterprises *Base: 234 infrastructure decision-makers at European enterprises
*Base: 53 infrastructure decision-makers at Japan enterprises
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Data center automation (Automated server management and provisioning)
42%
45%
13%
17%
55%
28%
38%
38%
24%
0% 20% 40% 60%
Not aware
Aware
Already using
Korea Japan NA EU
Base: 603 infrastructure decision-makers at North American enterprises *Base: 234 infrastructure decision-makers at European enterprises
*Base: 53 infrastructure decision-makers at Japan enterprises
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Grid computing
2%
32%33%
45%
23%30%
24%
45%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Already using Aware Not aware
Korea Japan Australia NA
Base: 603 infrastructure decision-makers at North American enterprises *Base: 234 infrastructure decision-makers at European enterprises
*Base: 53 infrastructure decision-makers at Japan enterprises
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Crystallizing the savings from Organic IT
1. Massively higher utilization
» From today’s 10%-20% to 70%-80%
» Result: Cut purchases in half
2. Dramatic increases in IT labor efficiency
» From today’s 6TB to 600TB
» Result: Double IT staff efficiency
3. Rapid response to business needs
» From months to hours or days
» Result: Faster time to market
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Summary
• Grid computing is not a unique market, but an element in the transformation of IT
• Economics of IT are changing
• Grid computing is one of many labels vendors are applying to the new model for IT infrastructure
• Grid is one element in a broader Organic IT approach
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Selected Forrester offshore bibliography
• October 17, 2005 Data Overview “The State Of Infrastructure Adoption”
• October 17, 2005 Trends “Which Industries Are Using Compute Grids?”
• October 11, 2004 Trends “Who Is Using Organic IT Technologies?”
• August 18, 2005, Trends “Organic IT Challenges IT Organizational Practices”
• January 20, 2005, Market Overview “Decoding Grid Technology”
• May 18, 2004, Trends “Organic IT 2004: Cut IT Costs, Speed Up Business”
• May 18, 2004, Trends “Grid Gets Big, But The Term Is Confusing”
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Thank you
For a copy of the slides and our latest Grid Computing Research
please logon to
www.forrester.com/GFK
John C. McCarthy
+1 617/613-5710