JLL Pittsburgh Office Insight

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Office employment sectors waver in 2014 According to the most recent estimates from the BLS, total non-farm employment in Pittsburgh stood at ~1.2 million payrolls, representing an annualized increase of 9,100 jobs or 78 basis points. Meanwhile, unemployment decreased 1.7 percentage points year-over-year to 4.3 percent. Office-using employment sectors in Pittsburgh have contracted in recent months, recording an annualized net loss of 1,100 jobs across the metro. The professional and business services sector recorded the largest gains, adding an annualized 900 jobs, however these gains were largely overshadowed by declines in the government sector, where employment decreased by 1,400 jobs year-over-year. Office employment trends (12-month change) Source: JLL Research U.S. Steel headquarters announcement to disrupt CBD fundamentals U.S. Steel announced it will build a new headquarters in downtown Pittsburgh. Clayco, which is acting as developer on the project, expects to break ground by September 2015 and complete the build within 22 months. The five-story building will total 268,000 square feet, with U.S. Steel occupying 250,000 square feet. The facility will also include a steel museum and retail space. When construction is completed, about 800 employees will relocate from 425,000 square feet at the U.S. Steel Tower. U.S. Steel will lease the headquarters for 18 years from an ownership group consisting of Clayco and the Pittsburgh Penguins. CBD vacancies Source: JLL Research Speculative and build-to-suit construction underway across the metro Office demand has kept construction crews hard at work across the metro. In 2014, 748,000 square feet of office space was delivered, with an additional 1.8 million square feet under construction at year’s end. Roughly half of this 2.3 million square feet is speculative space. The majority of construction activity is taking place downtown and in Southpointe submarket. The largest project currently underway is the 800,000-square-foot Tower at PNC Plaza downtown, which will be fully occupied and owned by PNC when it is competed in third quarter of 2015. Office construction activity (square feet) Source: JLL Research 14.9% Total vacancy 129,808 YTD net absorption (s.f.) 38,211 Q4 2014 net absorption (s.f.) 3.0% 12-month rent growth 1,767,000 Total under construction (s.f.) 71% Total preleased Office Insight Pittsburgh | Q4 2014 Construction pipeline to disrupt fundamentals (10.0) 0.0 10.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Information Government 8.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 6.8% 19.5% 23.3% 21.9% 26.4% 24.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Class A Class B 1,767,000 748,000 - 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 Under Construction 2014 Deliveries

Transcript of JLL Pittsburgh Office Insight

Page 1: JLL Pittsburgh Office Insight

Office employment sectors waver in 2014

According to the most recent estimates from the BLS, total non-farm

employment in Pittsburgh stood at ~1.2 million payrolls, representing an

annualized increase of 9,100 jobs or 78 basis points. Meanwhile, unemployment

decreased 1.7 percentage points year-over-year to 4.3 percent. Office-using

employment sectors in Pittsburgh have contracted in recent months, recording

an annualized net loss of 1,100 jobs across the metro. The professional and

business services sector recorded the largest gains, adding an annualized 900

jobs, however these gains were largely overshadowed by declines in the

government sector, where employment decreased by 1,400 jobs year-over-year.

Office employment trends (12-month change)

Source: JLL Research

U.S. Steel headquarters announcement to disrupt CBD fundamentals

U.S. Steel announced it will build a new headquarters in downtown Pittsburgh.

Clayco, which is acting as developer on the project, expects to break ground by

September 2015 and complete the build within 22 months. The five-story building

will total 268,000 square feet, with U.S. Steel occupying 250,000 square feet.

The facility will also include a steel museum and retail space. When construction

is completed, about 800 employees will relocate from 425,000 square feet at the

U.S. Steel Tower. U.S. Steel will lease the headquarters for 18 years from an

ownership group consisting of Clayco and the Pittsburgh Penguins.

CBD vacancies

Source: JLL Research

Speculative and build-to-suit construction underway across the metro

Office demand has kept construction crews hard at work across the metro. In

2014, 748,000 square feet of office space was delivered, with an additional 1.8

million square feet under construction at year’s end. Roughly half of this 2.3

million square feet is speculative space. The majority of construction activity is

taking place downtown and in Southpointe submarket. The largest project

currently underway is the 800,000-square-foot Tower at PNC Plaza downtown,

which will be fully occupied and owned by PNC when it is competed in third

quarter of 2015.

Office construction activity (square feet)

Source: JLL Research

14.9% Total vacancy

129,808 YTD net absorption (s.f.)

38,211 Q4 2014 net absorption (s.f.)

3.0% 12-month rent growth

1,767,000 Total under construction (s.f.)

71% Total preleased

Office Insight

Pittsburgh | Q4 2014

Construction pipeline to disrupt fundamentals

(10.0)

0.0

10.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Financial Activities Professional & Business Services Information Government

8.0% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 6.8%

19.5% 23.3% 21.9%

26.4% 24.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Class A Class B

1,767,000

748,000

- 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000

Under Construction

2014 Deliveries

Page 2: JLL Pittsburgh Office Insight

Current conditions – market and submarket Historical leasing activity

Source: JLL Research Source: JLL Research

Total net absorption (s.f.)

Source: JLL Research

Total vacancy rate

Source: JLL Research

Direct average asking rent ($ p.s.f.)

Source: JLL Research

695,350

1,248,476

639,801

1,169,811 1,061,737

925,765 772,970

-151,142

129,808

-500,000

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

$20.18 $20.07 $20.34

$19.96 $20.22 $20.15

$20.75 $20.97

$21.59

$19.00

$20.00

$21.00

$22.00

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

18.4%

15.7% 15.9%

16.5% 16.1%

14.1% 14.5%

14.8% 14.9%

13.0%

15.0%

17.0%

19.0%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Suburbs Land

lord

leve

rage

Tenant leverage

Peaking

market

Falling

market

Bottoming

market Rising

market

CBD

2,400,000

3,500,000

4,000,000 3,700,000

2,800,000

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

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