JLL Cleveland Industrial Employment Update February 2015
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Transcript of JLL Cleveland Industrial Employment Update February 2015
Sources: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change) Cleveland
-1,400
-900
-500
-400
600
700
800
3,100
4,700
5,700
-3,000 -1,000 1,000 3,000 5,000 7,000
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Financial Activities
Information
Government
Other Services
Educational & Health Services
Manufacturing
Mining, Logging & Construction
Professional & Business Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Number of Jobs
Total jobs vs. unemployment rate Cleveland
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
850,000
900,000
950,000
1,000,000
1,050,000
1,100,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Peak: 1,083,529 jobs
3.3%
unemployment rate
total jobs
Metro Cleveland . February 2015
6.0% Cleveland unemployment
1.2% Cleveland 12-month job growth
5.7% U.S. unemployment
2.3% U.S. 12-month job growth
• According to the most recent estimates from the BLS, total non-farm
employment in Cleveland stood at ~1.0 million payrolls, representing
an annualized increase of 12,400 jobs or 1.2 percent. Meanwhile,
unemployment decreased 100 basis points year-over-year to 6.0
percent.
• Industrial employment sectors have experienced modest employment
expansion over the last year, recording an annualized net gain of
3,100 jobs across the metro. Employment gains were led by the
mining, logging and construction sector, which added 3,100 jobs year-
over-year.
• Total U.S. nonfarm employment increased by 257,000 jobs in January,
and upward revisions were made to prior months totaling 147,000
jobs. Gains in January were led by retailers, construction firms and
health-care companies.
• Meanwhile, the U.S. unemployment rate decreased 90 basis points
from the prior year to 5.7 percent, the fifth month in a row below 6.0
percent. Labor force participation ticked up slightly to 62.9 percent but
remains at its lowest level since 1978.
Industrial employment update
Industrial employment trends (12-month change) Cleveland
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Mining, Logging & Construction Trade,Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Other Services
Due in part to the effects of manufacturers’ rebuilding inventories, along with
an upward trend in consumer spending, Cleveland’s industrial leasing market
has seen improvement. The region has recorded positive absorption of
industrial space for three consecutive years. The demand picture for the next
few years is also improved, thanks to a growing local economy which recently
surpassed pre-recession manufacturing exports levels.
Demand growth is expected to be modest, though, as manufacturing
companies bounce back from the recession leaner and more efficient,
requiring less space and employees to produce the same output. While
demand growth will stop rents from falling further, only minimal rent growth is
expected over the next few years. Vacancy currently sits around 7.0 percent,
which will induce some construction over the next 24 months. Look for these
developments to be mainly built-to-suit projects with limited speculative
construction taking place.
Industrial real estate implications
December 2012 December 2013 December 2014
Total Non-farm
Employment
1,031,500
1.7%
1,031,300
0.0%
1,043,700
1.2%
Unemployment Rate 7.0% 7.0% 6.0%
Cleveland Supersectors December 2012 December 2013 December 2014
Mining, Logging & Construction 33,900 -1.5% 33,900 0.0% 37,000 9.1%
Manufacturing 124,600 1.4% 124,500 -0.1% 125,300 0.6%
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities 187,100 1.4% 187,600 0.3% 186,200 -0.7%
Information 15,200 -1.9% 15,200 0.0% 14,700 -3.3%
Financial Activities 63,000 1.3% 62,500 -0.8% 61,600 -1.4%
Professional & Business Services 144,300 1.7% 145,800 1.0% 150,500 3.2%
Educational & Health Services 196,800 2.8% 198,200 0.7% 198,900 0.4%
Leisure & Hospitality 92,600 7.3% 89,800 -3.0% 95,500 6.3%
Other Services 39,800 -0.7% 40,000 0.5% 40,600 1.5%
Government 134,200 -0.9% 133,800 -0.3% 133,400 -0.3%
News on the street Cleveland businesses expanding, contracting, etc.
Employment statistics Cleveland
Industry employment stratification Cleveland
Educational & Health Services, 198,900, 19%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities,
186,200, 18%
Professional & Business Services,
150,500, 14%
Government, 133,400, 13%
Manufacturing, 125,300 , 12%
Leisure & Hospitality, 95,500, 9%
Financial Activities, 61,600 , 6%
Other Services, 40,600, 4%
Mining, Logging & Construction, 37,000, 4% Information,
14,700, 1%
Andrew Batson Senior Research Analyst Great Lakes Region tel +1 216 937 4374 [email protected] 127 Public Square, Suite 2410 Cleveland, OH 44114 www.jll.com/cleveland
Robert Kramp Senior Vice President – Americas Midwest & Great Lakes Research Director tel +1 312 228 2470 [email protected] 200 East Randolph Street, 47th Floor Chicago, IL 60601 www.us.joneslanglasalle.com/research
© 2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
All information contained herein is from sources deemed
reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made
to the accuracy thereof.
JLL Americas Research • Cleveland Industrial Employment Update 2
Brennan Holdings Ι Commercial Real Estate: Development
Brennan Holdings and Ray Fogg Corporate Properties are teaming up to develop a business park in Stow starting with a 108,000-square-foot warehouse building
expected to be under construction later this year. The building will face Seasons Road and feature ceilings 32 feet high, fire sprinkler systems and multiple truck
docks. Fogg said plans call for installing a road that will open all 45 acres up to development at the same time as the new warehouse goes up.
Cardinal Fasteners Ι Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing: Ceasing Operations
Once the darling of the U.S. wind energy industry and a success story that made it a presidential photo op, Bedford Heights-based Cardinal Fasteners is now set to
close. Parent company Dokka Fasteners recently announced that it will close Cardinal by the end of the first quarter and move its equipment to Dokka’s operations
in Auburn Hills, Michigan. Dokka Fasteners, part of the German-based Wurth Group, purchased Cardinal in 2011 following a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing.
Industrial Realty Group Ι Commercial Real Estate: Development
Demolition recently began on the shuttered Randall Park Mall. The Industrial Realty Group, which purchased the property in 2013, is razing the mall to make way for
an industrial park which could bring 1.2 million square feet of new construction to the 100-acre site near Interstates 480 and 271. Randall Park is the first mall in
Industrial Realty’s sprawling portfolio, which includes former corporate headquarters, manufacturing facilities and smaller industrial properties in Ohio and Michigan.
Post-Up Stand Ι Graphic Design Services: Expanding
Maple Heights trade show display and signage company Post-Up Stand is expanding and adding equipment that will grow its printing capabilities. Recently Post-Up
Stand bought a 20,000-square-foot building at 17701 Pennsylvania Avenue in Maple Heights for $350,000 to house inventory and some production. The company is
currently storing inventory in the building and in April plans to expand its production into the facility.
Sysco Corporation Ι Food Wholesalers: Mergers & Acquisitions
Houston-based Sysco Corporation (NYSE: SYY) recently announced that it has agreed to sell 11 US Foods Inc. distribution centers, including one in Twinsburg, to
rival Performance Food Group in an effort to convince federal regulators to approve its $3.5 billion merger with US Foods. Sysco in December 2013 agreed to buy
US Foods however, the Federal Trade Commission still is reviewing the transaction.
United States Steel Corporation Ι Commercial Real Estate: Development
United States Steel Corporation (NYSE:X) is laying off 614 workers as it idles its Lorain mill for an undetermined period beginning the first week of March. The
company said the temporary idling is a result of the softening in the energy market. With plummeting oil prices, drillers worldwide have been lowering their
exploration forecasts for 2015. That has meant a slowdown in the demand for the tubular steel made at the Lorain mill.