Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University...

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an Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Developm Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University of Massachusetts Edward March Thayer School of Engineering Dartmouth College THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES Innovative Enterprise; a Case Study in the Transformation of from an Old Economy into a New Economy Business Model* Driving Factors for Change Evolving Strategy and Organization Transformation Results Edward March Thayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College Master of Engineering Management Program ed on Paper: “The Rise and Demise of Lucent Technologies”, William Lazonick rd March, Journal of Strategic Management Education 7(4), 2011 1

Transcript of Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University...

Page 1: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and DevelopmentRitsumeikan University

July 30-31, 2015

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

The Innovative Enterprise; a Case Study in the Transformation of AT&Tfrom an Old Economy into a New Economy Business Model*

Driving Factors for ChangeEvolving Strategy and Organization

Transformation Results

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering, Dartmouth College

Master of Engineering Management Program

*Based on Paper: “The Rise and Demise of Lucent Technologies”, William Lazonick and Edward March, Journal of Strategic Management Education 7(4), 2011

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Page 2: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Basic Differences between Telecommunications and Computer Industries before Technology Convergence

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

Convergence: Digital Technology Replaces Analog Signaling; Voice, Data, Video can be Transmitted across the same Network, Limited Pre-ConditioningTelecommunication and Computer Industries have a Common Technology Base

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Page 3: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Telecommunications Industry Regulatory Changes Driven by Technical Advances

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

Deregulated Telecommunications Industry Forces Change in Lucent Technologies Culture

(1) Greater competition, faster new product development (2) More risk taking in market introductions (3) Investment made according to a technology roadmap (4) Advanced manufacturing capability developed

in parallel with new designs

Onset ofConvergence

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Page 4: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Lucent Technologies Organization StructureNovember 1997

Chairman

Henry Schacht

Chief ExecutiveOfficer

President

Rich McGinn

Executive V.P.Corporate Staff

Operations

Patricia Russo

Executive V.P.Chief Financial

Officer

Don Peterson

Executive V.P.Chief Operating

OfficerPresident Bell Labs

Dan Stanzione

Executive V.P.Chief Operating

Officer

Ben Verwaayen

Office of the Chief Executive Officer

Group PresidentMicroelectronics

&Intellectual Property

Curtis Crawford

Group PresidentBusiness Comm.

Systems &Data Networking

Systems

William O’Shea

Group PresidentGlobal Service

Providers Business

Carleton Fiorina

Product Groups Customer Groups

Group PresidentOptical Networking

Gerald Butters

Group PresidentWireless Networking

Jim Brewington

Group PresidentSwitching & Access

Systems

Robert Holder

Group PresidentNetwork Products

William Spivey

Acting GroupPresident

CommunicationsSoftware

J. Carl Hsu

PresidentInternational Region

Global ServiceProviders Business

Joseph Colson

Executive V.P.ResearchBell Labs

Arun Netravali

PresidentNew Ventures

Group

Thomas Uhlman

Business Units

Executive V.P.Corporate Staff

Operations

Patricia Russo

Executive V.P.Chief Financial

Officer

Don Peterson

Executive V.P.Chief Operating

OfficerPresident Bell Labs

Dan Stanzione

Executive V.P.Chief Operating

Officer

Ben Verwaayen

Office of the Chief Executive Officer

Group PresidentMicroelectronics

&Intellectual Property

Curtis Crawford

Group PresidentBusiness Comm.

Systems &Data Networking

Systems

William O’Shea

Group PresidentGlobal Service

Providers Business

Carleton Fiorina

Product Groups Customer Groups

Group PresidentOptical Networking

Gerald Butters

Group PresidentWireless Networking

Jim Brewington

Group PresidentSwitching & Access

Systems

Robert Holder

Group PresidentNetwork Products

William Spivey

Acting GroupPresident

CommunicationsSoftware

J. Carl Hsu

PresidentInternational Region

Global ServiceProviders Business

Joseph Colson

Executive V.P.ResearchBell Labs

Arun Netravali

PresidentNew Ventures

Group

Thomas Uhlman

Business Units

11 “Hot Businesses” Rich McGinn, CEO

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

Business Units

Business Unit Structure• Decentralized, Entrepreneurial• Separated by Technology• Each a Profit/Loss Center• Overlapping Products, Confusing to the Customer

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Page 5: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Emerging Communications Technologies Influence Lucent Strategy,Exhaust R&D Resources

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

Global Competitors were Pushing Communications Technology in New Directions

Incumbent Technology

Voice Networks,Circuit Switching

Centralized NetworkControl

Electronic Transport

Wireline Services

Internet “Twisted Pair”

Alternative Technology

Data Networks,Packet Switching

Distributed Network Control

Optical Transport

Wireless Services

Internet “Coaxial Cable”

Lucent Strategy

Adapt

Adapt

Innovate

Innovate

Innovate

Successful Strategy Failed Strategy

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Page 6: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Lucent Technologies Transformation Results

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

Growth Decline StagnationInternet: 2nd Phone LineDigital Switch Demand

Electrical to Optical ConversionWireless Network Installation

Network Overcapacity

EmployeeDownsizing

Lost Opportunities,Lack of ResourcesEnterprise Systems

Data NetworksGlobal Wireless

Growth

Decline

Stagnation

Business Units Spun-OffEnterprise Networks 9/2000

Microelectronics 4/2001

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Page 7: Japan Conference on Financial Institutions for Innovation and Development Ritsumeikan University July 30-31, 2015 William Lazonick The AIRnet University.

Consequences of Insufficient Investment in Technology Development

Consequences of Insufficient Investment in Technology

William LazonickThe AIRnet

University of Massachusetts

Edward MarchThayer School of Engineering

Dartmouth College

THE RISE AND FALL OF LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES

When compete on technology, if R&D investment is not sustained, or if technology cannot be acquired, product portfolio becomes

obsolete and company eventually fails

Options for Lucent Technologies during “Stagnation Period”

• Supplier of legacy telecommunication equipment• Niche supplier of specialty equipment• Merge with another company, pooling resources and products together to retain full-line supplier status

Alternative Chosenfor Reestablishing

Growth*Effective November 2006

*Less than two years after the merger, Bell Labs was no longer engaged in basic research.

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